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Posted: 5/15/2024 10:12:32 AM EDT
[#1]
This happened at the same time Iraqi militias said they were going to expand into Jordan. Link
Report: Jordan foiled a weapons smuggling operation; seized Iranian weapons, arrested Muslim Brotherhood members in March Jordan has foiled a suspected Iranian-led plot to smuggle weapons into the kingdom to help opponents of the ruling monarchy carry out acts of sabotage, according to two Jordanian sources with knowledge of the matter. The weapons were sent by Iranian-backed militias in Syria to a cell of the Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan that has links to Hamas, the people told Reuters. The cache was seized when members of the cell, Jordanians of Palestinian descent, were arrested in late March, they said. The two Jordanian sources, who requested anonymity to discuss security matters, declined to say what acts of sabotage were allegedly being planned, citing ongoing investigations and covert operations. They said the plot's aim was to destabilize Jordan, a country that could become a regional flashpoint in the Gaza crisis as it hosts a U.S. military base and shares borders with Israel as well as Syria and Iraq, both home to Iranian-backed militias. The sources didn't specify what weapons were seized in the March raid, though said in recent months security services have thwarted numerous attempts by Iran and its allied groups to smuggle in arms including Claymore mines, C4 and Semtex explosives, Kalashnikov rifles and Katyusha rockets. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 10:13:22 AM EDT
[#2]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Damn. Place got deleted. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:05:18 AM EDT
[#3]
Video of a Russian POW.  Take it with a grain of salt, of course. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:10:04 AM EDT
[Last Edit: fadedsun]
[#4]
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:12:44 AM EDT
[#5]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:  https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GNnr-KoXQAEq_31?format=jpg&name=medium TACMS and GMLRS are inadvertently just hard to hit with air defense missiles |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:20:58 AM EDT
[#6]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By R0N: TACMS and GMLRS are inadvertently just hard to hit with air defense missiles Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By R0N: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GNnr-KoXQAEq_31?format=jpg&name=medium TACMS and GMLRS are inadvertently just hard to hit with air defense missiles I know, isn't it great? Especially when China has many air defense systems derived from the S-300 and S-400 model. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:21:38 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#7]
Dbl tap.
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:32:11 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#8]
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:33:14 AM EDT
[#9]
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:35:04 AM EDT
[#10]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GNoIoouW0AIeBAA?format=jpg&name=small That’s one of the overhead rear hatches. Easy fix. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:39:06 AM EDT
[#11]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: I pointed this issue out a couple of days ago: Something important is going on with regards to Patrushev. Three possibilities IMO: 1)He's being held accountable/scapegoated for policy failures regarding Ukraine and the Western reaction. 2)He was working against Putin (up to and including overthrow) to forward his own even more aggressive anti-Western vision and got caught. 3)It's a misdirection play. My money is on 3. Hypothetical - what if Putin is already dead and Patrushev is running the country through his doubles? Having a throwaway job title with no duties would give him plenty of time to sock puppet the doubles while actually running the country. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: ISW assessment for May 14th. https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-14-2024 I pointed this issue out a couple of days ago: "Patrushev will oversee the strategic development of the Russian shipbuilding industry as well as "other areas, perhaps." Russian presidential assistants typically help the Russian president in the execution of their powers, including by preparing proposals for presidential work and by participating in official meetings alongside the president. Presidential assistants may perform other tasks as the president orders. Dyumin's appointment as Putin's assistant on DIB issues is consistent with Putin's apparent effort to restructure the Russian economy for a protracted war Dyumin generally has a positive reputation amongst Russian commentators and is seen as a solid and effective professional, and Putin likely is hoping to leverage Dyumin's good reputation to manage his own. Russian commentators received the news of Patrushev's new position less certainly, however. Russian opposition outlet Meduza, citing sources close to the Kremlin, stated that its sources were "stunned" when they saw that Putin had removed Patrushev from the Security Council, and even more "shocked" that his new position is to be Putin's assistant on shipbuilding. Putin may have moved Patrushev to this new position in order to rebalance the siloviki-run power vertical that exists within the Russian security services, as ISW previously reported Putin tends to do with powerful siloviki. Patrushev is reportedly a close Putin ally, the individual personally responsible for the assassination of Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin, and Putin's personal diplomat who frequently conducted diplomatic trips on Putin's behalf, according to Western reporting. Putin can continue to use Patrushev's connections and experience even if Patrushev is nominally acting as an expert on "shipbuilding" strategy. The new position is nevertheless an obvious demotion." Something important is going on with regards to Patrushev. Three possibilities IMO: 1)He's being held accountable/scapegoated for policy failures regarding Ukraine and the Western reaction. 2)He was working against Putin (up to and including overthrow) to forward his own even more aggressive anti-Western vision and got caught. 3)It's a misdirection play. My money is on 3. Hypothetical - what if Putin is already dead and Patrushev is running the country through his doubles? Having a throwaway job title with no duties would give him plenty of time to sock puppet the doubles while actually running the country. Or is there something majorly wrong in the shipbuilding and he got put there to fix it as someone Putin (at least theoretically) trusts. |
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TX, USA
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:48:38 AM EDT
[Last Edit: GBTX01]
[#12]
Video of shooting. Shooter
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:54:21 AM EDT
[#13]
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:55:11 AM EDT
[#14]
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:55:18 AM EDT
[#15]
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Posted: 5/15/2024 11:57:40 AM EDT
[#16]
44 minutes ago.
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Posted: 5/15/2024 12:52:25 PM EDT
[#17]
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:04:56 PM EDT
[#18]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: That is where the supply of Soviet calibers comes in. Ukrainian forces need 152 and 122mm stuff as well. The Estonian and German Rheinmetal assessment was for 155mm supply only. Now that 155mm production is up, watch for increases in the supply of 155mm guns along with an increase in feeding those guns. Add in the supply from BAE England and the US and the artillery crises might abate a bit for the Ukrainians. More so if extra force multipliers get thrown into the mix like ATACMS, F-16's etc. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Originally Posted By Cypher15: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Estonian and German sources estimated that Ukraine needs 2 million rounds of 155mm per year to sustain operations and have localized fire superiority.
That is where the supply of Soviet calibers comes in. Ukrainian forces need 152 and 122mm stuff as well. The Estonian and German Rheinmetal assessment was for 155mm supply only. Now that 155mm production is up, watch for increases in the supply of 155mm guns along with an increase in feeding those guns. Add in the supply from BAE England and the US and the artillery crises might abate a bit for the Ukrainians. More so if extra force multipliers get thrown into the mix like ATACMS, F-16's etc. Convert those Soviet systems to NATO calibers and streamline those logistics chains. Someone has to have those plans on the shelf somewhere. |
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TX, USA
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:18:18 PM EDT
[Last Edit: GBTX01]
[#19]
Slovakian news outlet Pravda: "According to information from an anonymous source, the prime minister was shot in the stomach, while one of the bullets went through his intestine. He claims that Fico is bleeding in the abdominal cavity and the doctors cannot find the source of the bleeding." Well it didnt take very long to get the shooter in front of a camera....
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:21:24 PM EDT
[#20]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Russian morale is high at the front.
Rifle in hand, ammo in rifle, target within 5 yards in the open…maybe it will only take another 500,000 dead to incentivize proper decisions. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:25:38 PM EDT
[#21]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Soon.
Probably these attacks are ad hoc. To actually go after one they need a fixed-wing with a lot more performance. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:37:18 PM EDT
[#22]
I wonder if this works, the downwash from the main rotor will push the drone away.
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:37:40 PM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#23]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: Probably these attacks are ad hoc. To actually go after one they need a fixed-wing with a lot more performance. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Soon.
Probably these attacks are ad hoc. To actually go after one they need a fixed-wing with a lot more performance. They need some Coyote blk II for anti helicopter work at 15km + from the front.  
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:40:10 PM EDT
[#24]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By fadedsun: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/51435/IMG_4161_jpeg-3214937.JPG https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/51435/IMG_4162_jpeg-3214929.JPG https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/51435/IMG_4163_jpeg-3214936.JPG S400 targeted at belbek airfield Makes me happy to see, targeting these systems should be priority 1. Take away the Russian umbrella so they can feel the rain.. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:46:54 PM EDT
[#25]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 4xGM300m:
Video of a Russian POW. Take it with a grain of salt, of course. I believe 90% of what he said, and the parts about drinking were 100% accurate. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:49:50 PM EDT
[#26]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By jhereg: Or is there something majorly wrong in the shipbuilding and he got put there to fix it as someone Putin (at least theoretically) trusts. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By jhereg: Originally Posted By Capta: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: ISW assessment for May 14th. https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-14-2024 I pointed this issue out a couple of days ago: "Patrushev will oversee the strategic development of the Russian shipbuilding industry as well as "other areas, perhaps." Russian presidential assistants typically help the Russian president in the execution of their powers, including by preparing proposals for presidential work and by participating in official meetings alongside the president. Presidential assistants may perform other tasks as the president orders. Dyumin's appointment as Putin's assistant on DIB issues is consistent with Putin's apparent effort to restructure the Russian economy for a protracted war Dyumin generally has a positive reputation amongst Russian commentators and is seen as a solid and effective professional, and Putin likely is hoping to leverage Dyumin's good reputation to manage his own. Russian commentators received the news of Patrushev's new position less certainly, however. Russian opposition outlet Meduza, citing sources close to the Kremlin, stated that its sources were "stunned" when they saw that Putin had removed Patrushev from the Security Council, and even more "shocked" that his new position is to be Putin's assistant on shipbuilding. Putin may have moved Patrushev to this new position in order to rebalance the siloviki-run power vertical that exists within the Russian security services, as ISW previously reported Putin tends to do with powerful siloviki. Patrushev is reportedly a close Putin ally, the individual personally responsible for the assassination of Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin, and Putin's personal diplomat who frequently conducted diplomatic trips on Putin's behalf, according to Western reporting. Putin can continue to use Patrushev's connections and experience even if Patrushev is nominally acting as an expert on "shipbuilding" strategy. The new position is nevertheless an obvious demotion." Something important is going on with regards to Patrushev. Three possibilities IMO: 1)He's being held accountable/scapegoated for policy failures regarding Ukraine and the Western reaction. 2)He was working against Putin (up to and including overthrow) to forward his own even more aggressive anti-Western vision and got caught. 3)It's a misdirection play. My money is on 3. Hypothetical - what if Putin is already dead and Patrushev is running the country through his doubles? Having a throwaway job title with no duties would give him plenty of time to sock puppet the doubles while actually running the country. Or is there something majorly wrong in the shipbuilding and he got put there to fix it as someone Putin (at least theoretically) trusts. Patrushev doesn’t know anything about shipbuilding. It’s either a pigeonhole to punish him or a fakeout to enable something else. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:53:52 PM EDT
[#27]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Dracster: Convert those Soviet systems to NATO calibers and streamline those logistics chains. Someone has to have those plans on the shelf somewhere. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Dracster: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Originally Posted By Cypher15: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Estonian and German sources estimated that Ukraine needs 2 million rounds of 155mm per year to sustain operations and have localized fire superiority.
That is where the supply of Soviet calibers comes in. Ukrainian forces need 152 and 122mm stuff as well. The Estonian and German Rheinmetal assessment was for 155mm supply only. Now that 155mm production is up, watch for increases in the supply of 155mm guns along with an increase in feeding those guns. Add in the supply from BAE England and the US and the artillery crises might abate a bit for the Ukrainians. More so if extra force multipliers get thrown into the mix like ATACMS, F-16's etc. Convert those Soviet systems to NATO calibers and streamline those logistics chains. Someone has to have those plans on the shelf somewhere. Probably not. Best idea is to use them up (including spare barrels) and throw them away, replace with 155s. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:53:56 PM EDT
[#28]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By CarmelBytheSea: Without the USA China most certainly needs Europe’s trade, money and ideally a Europe that doesn’t involve itself in a Pacific war or political support for a U.S. Pacific war or following USA sanctions on China https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news_225366.htm https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/459941/IMG_4205_jpeg-3214850.JPG Ok, I think I understand. It's probably not about preventing a NATO response, although another "Hungary" blocking and delaying everything wouldn't hurt either, but it's about replacing the USA/China trade that would undoubtably be damaged if/when the Taiwan invasion happens...And I am NOT 100% convinced that the USA would intervene militarily. It's all very interesting, like watching and waiting for the Sudetenland to be annexed in 1938... |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:55:13 PM EDT
[Last Edit: CarmelBytheSea]
[#29]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By ITCHY-FINGER: Ok, I think I understand. It's probably not about preventing a NATO response, although another "Hungary" blocking and delaying everything wouldn't hurt either, but it's about replacing the USA/China trade that would undoubtably be damaged if/when the Taiwan invasion happens...And I am NOT 100% convinced that the USA would intervene militarily. It's all very interesting, like watching and waiting for the Sudetenland to be annexed in 1938... China isn’t willing to take that risk and assume the US won’t intervene so it’s been taking steps in case that happens. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 1:56:44 PM EDT
[#30]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 4xGM300m: I wonder if this works, the downwash from the main rotor will push the drone away. A long long time ago I speculated about methods. You need a fast fixed-wing and you may not even need explosives. Dive from above and fly through the rotor blades with a 10-pound steel bar inside the drone. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:01:26 PM EDT
[#31]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Bogdan: Listened to what Arrestovich had to say and Ukrainian armed forces are a complete shit show right now. Russian forces are super heavy top down so whatever operational lessons they learn gets pushed from top down and retained. AFU? Its a shit show, basically there is no permanent STAFF/HQ for what I believe is their brigade or up sized units and they get scattered and have no permanent leadership and the operational lessons learned never make their way up unlike Russians. Again I have the scales wrong but lets say you take the USMC 2nd division and take 3/8 and stick them waaay south in Ukraine and take 2/8 and stick them waaay north east in Ukraine and the staff/officers in charge of the division are not permanently assigned to that division. BUT WAIT THERE IS MORE! Because Ukrainian politicians are cunts that only care abut getting re-elected they never pushed mobilization bill on time. So now we have 70-80% attrition for some what used to be effective and experienced units that are now combat ineffective, and they have brand new units just built that are fucking useless because they have zero experience on all levels. Looks like a bunch of fortifications never martialized because corruption too. I personally think that this would have never happened if Zelenski dint replace Zaluzni with his personal butt boy catamite Syrski Sounds like a war fought between Company Commanders, sending platoons here and there with Division Command and higher doing more bad then good. Without the drones and the various long range rockets, this war may end up looking like one giant India .v China border skirmish with 100K guys swinging shovels and clubs at each other! |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:07:00 PM EDT
[#32]
Quote HistoryThat will make for a boring reef... |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:08:08 PM EDT
[#33]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: Probably not. Best idea is to use them up (including spare barrels) and throw them away, replace with 155s. Putting all of your eggs in one basket is not the best idea. They have a history of making 122 and 152. Keep them as long as it's needed until 155 can come in adequate supplies. Romania and Bulgaria both make those calibers in large quantity while Ukraine does not. In the future, standardize..but for now it wouldn't be the best idea. The D30 is a tiny gun that's easy to tow. |
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NC, USA
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:10:46 PM EDT
[#34]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Bogdan: Listened to what Arrestovich had to say and Ukrainian armed forces are a complete shit show right now. Russian forces are super heavy top down so whatever operational lessons they learn gets pushed from top down and retained. AFU? Its a shit show, basically there is no permanent STAFF/HQ for what I believe is their brigade or up sized units and they get scattered and have no permanent leadership and the operational lessons learned never make their way up unlike Russians. Again I have the scales wrong but lets say you take the USMC 2nd division and take 3/8 and stick them waaay south in Ukraine and take 2/8 and stick them waaay north east in Ukraine and the staff/officers in charge of the division are not permanently assigned to that division. BUT WAIT THERE IS MORE! Because Ukrainian politicians are cunts that only care abut getting re-elected they never pushed mobilization bill on time. So now we have 70-80% attrition for some what used to be effective and experienced units that are now combat ineffective, and they have brand new units just built that are fucking useless because they have zero experience on all levels. Looks like a bunch of fortifications never martialized because corruption too. I personally think that this would have never happened if Zelenski dint replace Zaluzni with his personal butt boy catamite Syrski interesting join date precisely one day after Russia's invasion of Ukraine |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:21:41 PM EDT
[Last Edit: CarmelBytheSea]
[#35]
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:27:00 PM EDT
[#36]
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:27:31 PM EDT
[#37]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: Patrushev doesn't know anything about shipbuilding. It's either a pigeonhole to punish him or a fakeout to enable something else. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: Originally Posted By jhereg: Originally Posted By Capta: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: ISW assessment for May 14th. https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-may-14-2024 I pointed this issue out a couple of days ago: "Patrushev will oversee the strategic development of the Russian shipbuilding industry as well as "other areas, perhaps." Russian presidential assistants typically help the Russian president in the execution of their powers, including by preparing proposals for presidential work and by participating in official meetings alongside the president. Presidential assistants may perform other tasks as the president orders. Dyumin's appointment as Putin's assistant on DIB issues is consistent with Putin's apparent effort to restructure the Russian economy for a protracted war Dyumin generally has a positive reputation amongst Russian commentators and is seen as a solid and effective professional, and Putin likely is hoping to leverage Dyumin's good reputation to manage his own. Russian commentators received the news of Patrushev's new position less certainly, however. Russian opposition outlet Meduza, citing sources close to the Kremlin, stated that its sources were "stunned" when they saw that Putin had removed Patrushev from the Security Council, and even more "shocked" that his new position is to be Putin's assistant on shipbuilding. Putin may have moved Patrushev to this new position in order to rebalance the siloviki-run power vertical that exists within the Russian security services, as ISW previously reported Putin tends to do with powerful siloviki. Patrushev is reportedly a close Putin ally, the individual personally responsible for the assassination of Wagner Group financier Yevgeny Prigozhin, and Putin's personal diplomat who frequently conducted diplomatic trips on Putin's behalf, according to Western reporting. Putin can continue to use Patrushev's connections and experience even if Patrushev is nominally acting as an expert on "shipbuilding" strategy. The new position is nevertheless an obvious demotion." Something important is going on with regards to Patrushev. Three possibilities IMO: 1)He's being held accountable/scapegoated for policy failures regarding Ukraine and the Western reaction. 2)He was working against Putin (up to and including overthrow) to forward his own even more aggressive anti-Western vision and got caught. 3)It's a misdirection play. My money is on 3. Hypothetical - what if Putin is already dead and Patrushev is running the country through his doubles? Having a throwaway job title with no duties would give him plenty of time to sock puppet the doubles while actually running the country. Or is there something majorly wrong in the shipbuilding and he got put there to fix it as someone Putin (at least theoretically) trusts. Patrushev doesn't know anything about shipbuilding. It's either a pigeonhole to punish him or a fakeout to enable something else. You don't necessarily have to know the product if it's a corruption issue. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:28:15 PM EDT
[#38]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Bogdan: Listened to what Arrestovich had to say and Ukrainian armed forces are a complete shit show right now. Russian forces are super heavy top down so whatever operational lessons they learn gets pushed from top down and retained. AFU? Its a shit show, basically there is no permanent STAFF/HQ for what I believe is their brigade or up sized units and they get scattered and have no permanent leadership and the operational lessons learned never make their way up unlike Russians. Again I have the scales wrong but lets say you take the USMC 2nd division and take 3/8 and stick them waaay south in Ukraine and take 2/8 and stick them waaay north east in Ukraine and the staff/officers in charge of the division are not permanently assigned to that division. BUT WAIT THERE IS MORE! Because Ukrainian politicians are cunts that only care abut getting re-elected they never pushed mobilization bill on time. So now we have 70-80% attrition for some what used to be effective and experienced units that are now combat ineffective, and they have brand new units just built that are fucking useless because they have zero experience on all levels. Looks like a bunch of fortifications never martialized because corruption too. I personally think that this would have never happened if Zelenski dint replace Zaluzni with his personal butt boy catamite Syrski Arestovich wanted to run for president, so he was incentivized to criticize the entire Ukrainian government and the response to the invasion, and then in Talinn last year he allegedly said some proish-Russian shit that made one of the parliament members say he should be arrested the moment he comes back to Ukraine. In support of this, a search for him on Twitter will show that pretty much the only people quoting him are pro-Russian, keeping in mind that because of the above, that seems pretty natural. He seems like he's probably a pro-UA guy (despite being a Belarusian/Pole/Russian born in Georgia), but he's one of those that I just don't have the cultural insight to be able to judge, so I've written him off as a source completely. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:31:02 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Easterner]
[#39]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Bogdan: Listened to what Arrestovich had to say and Ukrainian armed forces are a complete shit show right now. Russian forces are super heavy top down so whatever operational lessons they learn gets pushed from top down and retained. AFU? Its a shit show, basically there is no permanent STAFF/HQ for what I believe is their brigade or up sized units and they get scattered and have no permanent leadership and the operational lessons learned never make their way up unlike Russians. Again I have the scales wrong but lets say you take the USMC 2nd division and take 3/8 and stick them waaay south in Ukraine and take 2/8 and stick them waaay north east in Ukraine and the staff/officers in charge of the division are not permanently assigned to that division. BUT WAIT THERE IS MORE! Because Ukrainian politicians are cunts that only care abut getting re-elected they never pushed mobilization bill on time. So now we have 70-80% attrition for some what used to be effective and experienced units that are now combat ineffective, and they have brand new units just built that are fucking useless because they have zero experience on all levels. Looks like a bunch of fortifications never martialized because corruption too. I personally think that this would have never happened if Zelenski dint replace Zaluzni with his personal butt boy catamite Syrski Not sure where what you listened to and your thoughts start or end. Lots of BS in it for whatever that's worth. Fortifications are everywhere. Sometimes placing them on the exact border isn't practical. The AFU are doing very well. Many improvements have been made in regards to training. We ourselves have become a lot more organized in the past couple months, as far as support and training in our schedule. Many of our guys are actually attending various training at the moment. While many are "panicking" about Kharkiv, we aren't. We are the guys actually fighting in this war and that should say something. Perhaps if one were to go back and think about what went down in the past two months... there might be clues as to why Russia is pushing in Kharkiv. Perhaps that was the intention?... Yeah OPSEC and all that, but the answers are there for all to see. Does Ukraine need better air defense in Kharkiv? No doubt. Could things be better? Always. There's plenty of arm chair quarterbacks sharing their thoughts. Listen at your own risk. They don't necessarily know everything. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:39:41 PM EDT
[#40]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: Arestovich wanted to run for president, so he was incentivized to criticize the entire Ukrainian government and the response to the invasion, and then in Talinn last year he allegedly said some proish-Russian shit that made one of the parliament members say he should be arrested the moment he comes back to Ukraine. In support of this, a search for him on Twitter will show that pretty much the only people quoting him are pro-Russian, keeping in mind that because of the above, that seems pretty natural. He seems like he's probably a pro-UA guy (despite being a Belarusian/Pole/Russian born in Georgia), but he's one of those that I just don't have the cultural insight to be able to judge, so I've written him off as a source completely. No, he did not want to run for president not until after he said some TRUE things about Zelenski and the parliament. After that Zelenski and his people went hard after him. He gets accused of saying pro russian things by people below 83 IQ every day. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:45:31 PM EDT
[#41]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Easterner: Not sure where what you listened to and your thoughts start or end. Lots of BS in it for whatever that's worth. Fortifications are everywhere. Sometimes placing them on the exact border isn't practical. The AFU are doing very well. Many improvements have been made in regards to training. We ourselves have become a lot more organized in the past couple months, as far as support and training in our schedule. Many of our guys are actually attending various training at the moment. While many are "panicking" about Kharkiv, we aren't. We are the guys actually fighting in this war and that should say something. Perhaps if one were to go back and think about what went down in the past two months... there might be clues as to why Russia is pushing in Kharkiv. Perhaps that was the intention?... Yeah OPSEC and all that, but the answers are there for all to see. Does Ukraine need better air defense in Kharkiv? No doubt. Could things be better? Always. There's plenty of arm chair quarterbacks sharing their thoughts. Listen at your own risk. They don't necessarily know everything. I am really bad at explaining myself and debating on doing a video maybe to get my point across better. But I said what you said, we (Ukes) have excellent experience and operational knowledge from bottom but we fail to push it up. Imagine you have a 3 star Michelin restaurant and you keep swapping the chefs with no rhyme or reason. There needs to be permanent leadership/leadership core. We are breaking branches off a tree drilling a hole in a tree and sticking the broken branch in a hole. Again this is way way above you head, high level staff officer type shit. I wish I had the ability to explain it better. I know we have fortifications, but we have X fortifications when we were supposed to have Y fortifications and the delta disappeared in contractors pockets. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:48:49 PM EDT
[#42]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: Arestovich wanted to run for president, so he was incentivized to criticize the entire Ukrainian government and the response to the invasion, and then in Talinn last year he allegedly said some proish-Russian shit that made one of the parliament members say he should be arrested the moment he comes back to Ukraine. In support of this, a search for him on Twitter will show that pretty much the only people quoting him are pro-Russian, keeping in mind that because of the above, that seems pretty natural. He seems like he's probably a pro-UA guy (despite being a Belarusian/Pole/Russian born in Georgia), but he's one of those that I just don't have the cultural insight to be able to judge, so I've written him off as a source completely. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: Originally Posted By Bogdan: Listened to what Arrestovich had to say and Ukrainian armed forces are a complete shit show right now. Russian forces are super heavy top down so whatever operational lessons they learn gets pushed from top down and retained. AFU? Its a shit show, basically there is no permanent STAFF/HQ for what I believe is their brigade or up sized units and they get scattered and have no permanent leadership and the operational lessons learned never make their way up unlike Russians. Again I have the scales wrong but lets say you take the USMC 2nd division and take 3/8 and stick them waaay south in Ukraine and take 2/8 and stick them waaay north east in Ukraine and the staff/officers in charge of the division are not permanently assigned to that division. BUT WAIT THERE IS MORE! Because Ukrainian politicians are cunts that only care abut getting re-elected they never pushed mobilization bill on time. So now we have 70-80% attrition for some what used to be effective and experienced units that are now combat ineffective, and they have brand new units just built that are fucking useless because they have zero experience on all levels. Looks like a bunch of fortifications never martialized because corruption too. I personally think that this would have never happened if Zelenski dint replace Zaluzni with his personal butt boy catamite Syrski Arestovich wanted to run for president, so he was incentivized to criticize the entire Ukrainian government and the response to the invasion, and then in Talinn last year he allegedly said some proish-Russian shit that made one of the parliament members say he should be arrested the moment he comes back to Ukraine. In support of this, a search for him on Twitter will show that pretty much the only people quoting him are pro-Russian, keeping in mind that because of the above, that seems pretty natural. He seems like he's probably a pro-UA guy (despite being a Belarusian/Pole/Russian born in Georgia), but he's one of those that I just don't have the cultural insight to be able to judge, so I've written him off as a source completely. I read a fair amount by and about him earlier in the war. He had an advisory role and lost it, probably for good reason. Some of what he says probably has a kernel of truth. That wouldn’t surprise me at all. OTOH I also think he’s self-serving and has an axe to grind. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:51:42 PM EDT
[#43]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Bogdan: I am really bad at explaining myself and debating on doing a video maybe to get my point across better. But I said what you said, we (Ukes) have excellent experience and operational knowledge from bottom but we fail to push it up. Imagine you have a 3 star Michelin restaurant and you keep swapping the chefs with no rhyme or reason. There needs to be permanent leadership/leadership core. We are breaking branches off a tree drilling a hole in a tree and sticking the broken branch in a hole. Again this is way way above you head, high level staff officer type shit. I wish I had the ability to explain it better. I know we have fortifications, but we have X fortifications when we were supposed to have Y fortifications and the delta disappeared in contractors pockets. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Bogdan: Originally Posted By Easterner: Not sure where what you listened to and your thoughts start or end. Lots of BS in it for whatever that's worth. Fortifications are everywhere. Sometimes placing them on the exact border isn't practical. The AFU are doing very well. Many improvements have been made in regards to training. We ourselves have become a lot more organized in the past couple months, as far as support and training in our schedule. Many of our guys are actually attending various training at the moment. While many are "panicking" about Kharkiv, we aren't. We are the guys actually fighting in this war and that should say something. Perhaps if one were to go back and think about what went down in the past two months... there might be clues as to why Russia is pushing in Kharkiv. Perhaps that was the intention?... Yeah OPSEC and all that, but the answers are there for all to see. Does Ukraine need better air defense in Kharkiv? No doubt. Could things be better? Always. There's plenty of arm chair quarterbacks sharing their thoughts. Listen at your own risk. They don't necessarily know everything. I am really bad at explaining myself and debating on doing a video maybe to get my point across better. But I said what you said, we (Ukes) have excellent experience and operational knowledge from bottom but we fail to push it up. Imagine you have a 3 star Michelin restaurant and you keep swapping the chefs with no rhyme or reason. There needs to be permanent leadership/leadership core. We are breaking branches off a tree drilling a hole in a tree and sticking the broken branch in a hole. Again this is way way above you head, high level staff officer type shit. I wish I had the ability to explain it better. I know we have fortifications, but we have X fortifications when we were supposed to have Y fortifications and the delta disappeared in contractors pockets. Your free to explain your knowledge in the subjects you mentioned, perhaps things you observed during your time at different fronts/your travels through the country. Help us to understand what you mean. I could give two shits about some dude you listened to in a podcast or whatever source you are pulling your info from. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:52:34 PM EDT
[#44]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: I read a fair amount by and about him earlier in the war. He had an advisory role and lost it, probably for good reason. Some of what he says probably has a kernel of truth. That wouldn’t surprise me at all. OTOH I also think he’s self-serving and has an axe to grind. He lost his position because mentioned that the russian cruise missile that hit Ukrainian apartment building was hit by Ukrainian AA missile or something like that. Essentially he said the truth but he should have kept his mouth shut. Yes he has an axe to grind with the regime. For a LONG time after resigning from his position he kept his mouth shut and supported Zelenski and his cabinet. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:55:00 PM EDT
[#45]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Bogdan: He lost his position because mentioned that the russian cruise missile that hit Ukrainian apartment building was hit by Ukrainian AA missile or something like that. Essentially he said the truth but he should have kept his mouth shut. Yes he has an axe to grind with the regime. For a LONG time after resigning from his position he kept his mouth shut and supported Zelenski and his cabinet. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Bogdan: Originally Posted By Capta: I read a fair amount by and about him earlier in the war. He had an advisory role and lost it, probably for good reason. Some of what he says probably has a kernel of truth. That wouldn’t surprise me at all. OTOH I also think he’s self-serving and has an axe to grind. He lost his position because mentioned that the russian cruise missile that hit Ukrainian apartment building was hit by Ukrainian AA missile or something like that. Essentially he said the truth but he should have kept his mouth shut. Yes he has an axe to grind with the regime. For a LONG time after resigning from his position he kept his mouth shut and supported Zelenski and his cabinet. Ahhhh! The one that hit the Dnipro apartment building. Yeah I was here when that happened. Sorry, your guy is full of shit. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 2:58:36 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Bogdan]
[#46]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Easterner: Ahhhh! The one that hit the Dnipro apartment building. Yeah I was here when that happened. Sorry, your guy is full of shit. Great so what actually happened and what did he say? Edit: looked at the newspaper articles it looks like he said that we hit the KH22 missiles and it crashed into the building but the Ukrainian gov vehemently denied it. |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 3:05:58 PM EDT
[Last Edit: michigan66]
[#47]
Reports of mass casualty event in Gaza, this is tweet with most info. This guy is Palestinian but he's right more often than not--if true might be bigger than incident in December that killed 21 IDF troops.
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Posted: 5/15/2024 3:06:08 PM EDT
[#48]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Bogdan: Great so what actually happened and what did he say? Edit: looked at the newspaper articles it looks like he said that we hit the KH22 missiles and it crashed into the building but the Ukrainian gov vehemently denied it. Not sure what your other screenname was, but I remember you ... Bye |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 3:08:08 PM EDT
[#49]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Easterner: Not sure what your other screenname was, but I remember you ... Bye huh? |
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Posted: 5/15/2024 3:08:16 PM EDT
[#50]
In Russia, money for an electric car supported by the government was stolen
Law enforcement officers opened a criminal case into the theft of 284 million rubles allocated from the budget for the development of the Zetta electric car, the prosecutor’s office of the Samara region reports. “The district prosecutor’s office sent the inspection materials to the investigative body to make a procedural decision. As a result, a criminal case under Part 4 of Art. 159 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation (Fraud on an especially large scale),” the message says. The prosecutor's office notes that from the end of 2017 to December 2019, ZETTA LLC received subsidies from the federal budget to compensate for part of the costs for carrying out research and development work for a total amount of over 284 million rubles. “During the prosecutor’s inspection, it was established that the agreements concluded by the Ministry of Industry and Trade of Russia with ZETTA LLC were not fulfilled within the established time frame. The scope of work execution ranges from 21% to 47%,” the department added. The Russian electric car Zetta began to be developed in 2019. Denis Manturov, who headed the Ministry of Industry and Trade at the time, reported that the car would hit the market in the spring of 2020, its price would be no less than 550 thousand rubles. The assembly of the cars was supposed to take place at its own plant in Togliatti, but the release date of the car was repeatedly postponed. In 2022, a criminal case was opened against the creator of the Zetta electric car, Denis Shchurovsky, for failure to pay salaries to 59 employees in the amount of 4 million rubles. The car project was closed in 2022, and on April 9 in Tolyatti the production space and equipment of the bankrupt startup were sold. https://t.me/moscowtimes_ru/22229 “The fees are very sad.” Cinemas could not refuse pirated screenings of Hollywood films Russian cinemas have returned to pirate screenings of Hollywood films after a sharp drop in box office receipts. From April 18 to May 13, only domestic films were shown on screens at the request of film distributors, but they were unable to collect the box office. “For the first 12 days of May, with a large number of days off and the absence of alternative content, the collections are very sad - 1.1 billion rubles,” Pavel Ponikarovsky, head of the Lumen network, told RBC. According to him, back in March, when cinemas were not prohibited from showing foreign films, they managed to earn 4.2 billion rubles from Russian content, but already in April this figure fell to 2.3 billion. “The May holidays in terms of box office receipts are also below expectations: two large four-day weekends should have brought in at least one and a half to two times more than what was collected now,” confirms the chairman of the Association of Cinema Owners (AVK) Alexey Voronkov. https://t.me/moscowtimes_ru/22235 Russian companies began massively selling assets abroad due to sanctions The threat of sanctions forces Russian companies to sell foreign assets, including in countries “friendly” to Russia. The largest transaction with foreign assets in the first quarter of 2024 was the purchase by Kazakh investor Kairat Itemgenov of 26.19% in the railway carrier Globaltrans from three companies with Russian beneficiaries. The second largest deal was the sale of MTS its Armenian subsidiary, MTS Armenia CJSC, to the Cyprus company Fedilco Group Limited. The company was sold for $209.1 million. The third most valuable deal was the sale by Transmashholding of two Kazakh assets - shares in Locomotive Assembly Plant JSC, controlled by Kazakhstan Railways, and in the Alstrom project jointly with the French. The stakes in both companies were transferred to the American Wabtec Transportation Engines for $81 million. https://t.me/moscowtimes_ru/22240 Chicken prices have soared in Russia Prices for chicken in Russia have risen sharply, despite the duty-free import of these products in the country since the beginning of 2024, which led to an increase in imports by 16% in January and February, Kommersant writes, citing a report by the National Union of Poultry Farmers (NSP). The cost of chicken meat, depending on its type, rose by 31–48% year-on-year in March, the publication indicates. In March 2024, in central Russia, a chicken leg cost 179 rubles. per kilogram, which is 48% more than a year earlier, broiler carcass - 164 rubles. (growth by 33% year-on-year), chicken thigh - 132 rubles. (31% more expensive than a year ago). The increase in prices for chicken meat was caused by an increase in exports of Russian products and a decrease in domestic production. Thus, in January–February 2024, the export of chicken meat from Russia increased by 9% year-on-year - to 53.94 thousand tons. Domestic production of poultry meat throughout the country in the first quarter of this year decreased by 0.3% to 1.623 million tons. https://t.me/moscowtimes_ru/22241 The US announced new sanctions against Chinese companies for helping Russia The United States will continue to impose sanctions against Chinese companies for supporting the Russian defense industry, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said during a press conference with Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba. “We have already introduced more than 100 sanctions against enterprises that participate in this kind of support. We are going to continue to impose sanctions as necessary,” the American diplomat said. In early April, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, during her visit to Beijing, warned Chinese banks against violating anti-Russian sanctions. “Companies, including those in China, should not provide material support to Russia waging war,” she said then, threatening “serious consequences.” Soon, State Department spokesman Matthew Miller said that the White House was “incredibly concerned” about military supplies from China to Russia, and added that Secretary of State Blinken would raise the issue during an upcoming visit to Beijing. https://t.me/moscowtimes_ru/22244 Russia faces shortage of electronics after Chinese banks refuse to accept 80% of payments Massive refusals of Chinese banks to accept payments from Russia promise problems for the Russian electronics market, which is critically dependent on the import of technology from China. Already in May-June, some Russian companies may face a shortage of Chinese components, which could lead to the failure of contracts and equipment shortages, a source at one of the vendors told Kommersant. According to him, equipment arrived in the Russian Federation in April, for which importers paid in February. In March, Chinese banks stopped accepting transfers for servers, computers, data storage systems and other equipment. The companies are using a stock of spare parts that remained in 2023, and therefore production has not stopped, Kommersant’s source indicates. However, problems may arise in the summer, he believes. According to estimates from the Chong-yang Institute of Financial Studies at the People's University of China in Beijing, 80% of settlements between Russia and China were suspended as of March. In the largest banks, payments began to freeze for weeks, Russian importers told The Moscow Times. Chinese exporters turn to small banks or underground payment operators for help, and some, out of despair, refuse to work with Russia in principle, Reuters wrote. According to agency sources, companies expect the situation to improve after Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to China. The Central Bank of the Russian Federation is already negotiating with Beijing, trying to agree on unblocking at least payments for electronics, a source told Kommersant in the financial market. https://t.me/moscowtimes_ru/22247 |
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