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Link Posted: 4/26/2024 7:41:01 AM EDT
[#1]


Link Posted: 4/26/2024 7:42:31 AM EDT
[#2]
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 7:43:27 AM EDT
[#3]

Link Posted: 4/26/2024 7:45:15 AM EDT
[#4]


Video
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 7:46:29 AM EDT
[#5]
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 8:01:56 AM EDT
[#6]

The event sparked online discussions, with some users connecting it to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, despite Omsk being approximately 2900 KM away. No further details have been provided, and the situation is still developing.

Coordinates:   55° 4'1.11"N  73°18'20.14"E
View Quote


Link Posted: 4/26/2024 8:03:29 AM EDT
[#7]

Russian army fights against their will.

However, his words were criticized by one mobilised soldier who said that this was not only a complete lie, but that almost none of the mobs signed contracts, and no one went home either. But he also added that in the fall and winter of last year and this year, the mobilised regiments lost 1/3 or more in casualties in killed and wounded. Remnants of these regiments signed contracts. Thus, those mobilised are still saving the Russian army.

As we see, the mobik question remains sensitive for the Russian authorities that are trying to downplay the impact of mobilisation on the society.
View Quote




Link Posted: 4/26/2024 8:07:39 AM EDT
[#8]
Not the standard FPV drones we have seen.  

Link Posted: 4/26/2024 8:20:03 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest] [#9]
Old technology, but neat.  You can see when the end of the runway is seen by the Tomahawk, it corrects itself to be in line with the runway, the flash is a periodic aid for when the Tomahawk flew at night so it could compare the terrain it was seeing with what was in the missile memory.



And yes, it is dispensing cluster munitions.


Old 1993 test footage of the same model, but capable of being flown by a human being because of a live video downlink.  The pilot is making bombing runs on simulated airfield targets.  The beeping is his altitude warning indicator.




This is 14 years old, but shows the ever increasing capability of the Tomahawk.  The below is Blk IV, we are on Blk V now.

Multimission Maritime Tomahawk


Link Posted: 4/26/2024 8:30:38 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest] [#10]

If 🇨🇳China does not take measures to solve the problem with 🇷🇺Russian support, 🇺🇸Washington will do it, - Blinken after negotiations with Xi Jinping
View Quote
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 8:33:09 AM EDT
[#11]
NSFW.

Link Posted: 4/26/2024 8:47:22 AM EDT
[#12]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Old technology, but neat.  You can see when the end of the runway is seen by the Tomahawk, it corrects itself to be in line with the runway, the flash is a periodic aid for when the Tomahawk flew at night so it could compare the terrain it was seeing with what was in the missile memory.



And yes, it is dispensing cluster munitions.


Old 1993 test footage of the same model, but capable of being flown by a human being because of a live video downlink.  The pilot is making bombing runs on simulated airfield targets.  The beeping is his altitude warning indicator.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WyeMyhKE5Yw


This is 14 years old, but shows the ever increasing capability of the Tomahawk.  The below is Blk IV, we are on Blk V now.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kqLnwzIoPtE

View Quote

Without giving away any secrets, how effective are Tomahawks against Russian ADA? Are they stealthy? Or is the stealthy stuff a whole different missile? Whatever Israel used in Iran seemed to work pretty good assuming the S300 crew were not sleeping or at prayer...
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 8:48:55 AM EDT
[#13]
????? ???????? ?????? ?? ?????????



???? ?????? ?????????, ? ???????? ???? ?????????? ?-2



????? ??????????? ???????? ?? ???????. ???? ??? ?? ????. ????? ????????.
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 8:49:14 AM EDT
[#14]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:

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I just dont think Blinken or any of the Xiden Admin. clowns have ANY gravitas with China or anyone else. They have given it all away cheap.
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 9:04:00 AM EDT
[#15]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
NSFW.

View Quote

Interesting combo of kamikaze and package delivery drones. Looks to be more effective. Drop some bombs and then go dive in. The "final" or peak design evolution of these drones will be interesting. Now they are just cobbled together as fast and as cheap as possible but once the mad scientists of the MIC get to work studying what works the final products may be especially scary.

Once the drones have you, it's over. I guess it's best to just run in different directions and hope that your cardio and gymnastics skills outlast the drone battery.
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 9:39:31 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest] [#16]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By ITCHY-FINGER:

Without giving away any secrets, how effective are Tomahawks against Russian ADA? Are they stealthy? Or is the stealthy stuff a whole different missile? Whatever Israel used in Iran seemed to work pretty good assuming the S300 crew were not sleeping or at prayer...
View Quote


There have been modifications to the Tomahawk to make them have a lower radar cross section.  Seeing the Storm Shadow and SCALP-EG cruise missiles regularly hit Russian S-400 and S-300 sites means that the Tomahawk still has a place in being able to hit or sneak around such air defenses to hit their targets.  Plus there are other decoy cruise missiles like the ADM-160 that can help even the older missiles penetrate air defenses as we have seen done in Ukraine.

Things like JASSM-ER are much more stealthy than Storm Shadow and Tomahawk, so those would probably be more ideal to go after Russian long range radars and other targets heavily defended with an integrated air defence system.

We are fortunate to have a wide range of tools for various targets.

The Israelis used the Rafael Rocks air launched ballistic missile, so this was a tool that works for them.  There is public documentation that these warheads can have an anti radiation capability, so a long range anti radar missile.






Two Storm shadows flying over a long range SAM site with TOR short range air defense nearby.
Storm Shadow Flies Over S-300 Battery Heading to Belbek -- Embarassing
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 9:49:10 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest] [#17]

Non-combatant Russians that I interact with on TG (relatives, spouses friends of ChMobiks) have recently shown a high degree of concern about the need for international laws or conventions on the "humanitarian" use of FPV attack drones against unprotected foot soldiers.

It is obviously hypocritical and ironic that Russians want to experience protections that they constantly ignore. However, it also highlights that FPV drones have become a modern-day Babayka (boogie man) that has worked its way into the Russkiy dukh vremeni (zeitgeist).

Note how the ChMobiks have been trained to recover weapons and radios whenever possible.
View Quote



Link Posted: 4/26/2024 9:53:57 AM EDT
[#18]
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 9:56:28 AM EDT
[#19]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By ITCHY-FINGER:

I just dont think Blinken or any of the Xiden Admin. clowns have ANY gravitas with China or anyone else. They have given it all away cheap.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By ITCHY-FINGER:
Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:


I just dont think Blinken or any of the Xiden Admin. clowns have ANY gravitas with China or anyone else. They have given it all away cheap.



The faster they learn that China never was or will be an ally with the west, the better.
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 9:58:03 AM EDT
[#20]
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 9:58:54 AM EDT
[#21]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:




View Quote View All Quotes
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:

Non-combatant Russians that I interact with on TG (relatives, spouses friends of ChMobiks) have recently shown a high degree of concern about the need for international laws or conventions on the "humanitarian" use of FPV attack drones against unprotected foot soldiers.

It is obviously hypocritical and ironic that Russians want to experience protections that they constantly ignore. However, it also highlights that FPV drones have become a modern-day Babayka (boogie man) that has worked its way into the Russkiy dukh vremeni (zeitgeist).

Note how the ChMobiks have been trained to recover weapons and radios whenever possible.







Unbelievable.

Link Posted: 4/26/2024 9:59:41 AM EDT
[#22]
What does it mean when (for instance) NK disappears completely from the news cycle?
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 10:05:40 AM EDT
[#23]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By nightstalker:
What does it mean when (for instance) NK disappears completely from the news cycle?
View Quote


Domestically? IMO, you’ll only hear about NK on a slow news day, most people don’t really care.
The people who do care will report on it just about every day.


After Zhao Leji’s Visit, What’s Next for China-North Korea Relations?
Recently, North Korea’s relations with Russia have seemingly outpaced ties with China. But Pyongyang has more to gain from China than from Russia.


By Lee Sang-yong
April 26, 2024


A Chinese party and government delegation led by Zhao Leji, the third-highest ranking member of the Chinese Communist Party and chairman of the National People’s Congress Standing Committee, made a visit to North Korea on April 11-13. Zhao’s visit has attracted significant attention from the international community, with experts predicting a likely increase of cooperation between Beijing and Pyongyang in the near future.

North Korea’s relations with China seem weaker compared to its relations with Russia. Pyongyang and Moscow have significantly boosted their economic, political, diplomatic, and military cooperation since the summit between Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un last year.

For instance, while Russia sent Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu to Pyongyang last year to commemorate the signing of the Korean War Armistice Agreement, China sent Li Hongzhong, a lower-ranking official who is vice chairperson of the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress.

Beijing decided to send a higher-level official like Zhao to North Korea this time, suggesting that it may intend to strengthen ties with Pyongyang.

Another factor that likely influenced China’s decision is the perception that China is manipulating North Korea within the framework of a new Cold War with the United States. As such, from China’s perspective, cozy ties between Russia and North Korea, both internationally defiant states, are a major variable, and Beijing means to show the international community that its relations with Pyongyang remain solid.

From North Korea’s perspective, the fact is that it has more to gain from China than from Russia. Even though Russia is reportedly sending rice, flour, and oil products (such as gasoline and diesel) to North Korea, China could send much larger quantities of those same products if it chose to. The same goes for tourism. While Russia accounts for a small number of tourists to North Korea, Pyongyang may see tourism from China as a great opportunity to generate funds.

Moreover, another key variable that North Korea must keep in mind is the fact that there is no guarantee that Russia’s war in Ukraine will continue indefinitely. Although North Korea is taking advantage of Russia’s “war economy” by sending weapons in exchange for food, Pyongyang surely knows that this arrangement has an expiration date. Accordingly, it can be concluded that cooperation with China is necessary for North Korea to achieve its long-term political and economic aims.

Since China and North Korea’s interests align, Beijing sent a high-level official to Pyongyang, and the two sides are highly likely to take steps to further improve relations in the near future.

Even within North Korea, some see it as entirely possible that Kim Jong Un and Xi Jinping will hold a summit this year to commemorate 75 years of diplomatic relations between the two countries. There are rumors that preparations and discussions are being carried out behind the scenes in connection with a possible Kim visit to China, followed by a return visit by Xi to North Korea.

The Possibility of Wide-ranging Collaboration Between North Korea and China

What will China-North Korea relations look like moving forward?

First of all, it is highly likely that the movement of people between the two countries will increase significantly. Mutual exemptions have already been made for diplomatic visas and other visas related to official government business. When diplomatic representatives from the two countries are in close communication, they can play the role of enablers, helping expand each other’s influence in the international community.

The possibility of increased economic cooperation is also likely in the form of Chinese traders going to North Korea to discuss the establishment of joint ventures. All these forms of cooperation could be interpreted as falling under the category of official “government business.” Under this broad definition of cooperation, North Korea will actively seek to send students to China and could also use student visas as a pretext for sending not only workers but also cyber experts (such as hackers).

Since North Korea’s IT experts are being closely monitored by the international community, many will have to be replaced. Pyongyang’s plan seems to be using unknown individuals to carry out cyberattacks and virtual currency theft. North Korea’s  sprawling and illicit foreign currency-earning operations will likely expand under Chinese protection.

Also noteworthy is how China and North Korea agreed to ease customs-related quarantine measures. That is related to the “20×10 regional development policy” that Kim Jong Un has been promoting. North Korea’s goal now is to gain quick access to the raw materials and intermediate materials necessary for the construction of factories in rural North Korea.

Pyongyang seems to have concluded that taking such steps is needed to circumvent international sanctions and that relying on its “big brother” China can help it get projects off the ground. Also, given the mutual visa exemptions for government business mentioned above, it is now easier for Chinese investors to visit North Korea. As a result, Pyongyang seems to expect that the construction of factories in the countryside will be accelerated thanks to Chinese investment.

Second, we should not overlook cooperation in the cultural field. Particularly noteworthy here are the mutual translation and publication of classical works and cooperation in TV and radio broadcasting. North Korea is trying to keep a lid on South Korean entertainment and publications while simultaneously bringing in Chinese works on a large scale. That can be seen as Pyongyang’s strategy for rooting out interest in the “Korean Wave” from the minds of its citizens.

North Korean authorities seem to believe that if they can provide the public with an unlimited supply of Chinese movies translated into Korean, they can satisfy North Korean people’s desire for foreign content while nipping ideological defections in the bud. Pyongyang may also assume that China’s abundance of media centered on anti-Japan and socialist ideology could serve the dual purpose of reinforcing government-approved ideology among the masses.

As such, a large amount of Chinese media is being imported and translated under the oversight and control of the Propaganda and Agitation Department of the Central Committee of the Workers’ Party of Korea. Once this work is done, the apparent plan is to upload this Chinese content to North Korea’s video streaming service “My Companion” so that North Koreans can freely watch it.

Third, North Korea and China are also likely to strengthen cooperation in surveillance and control. Since many North Koreans go to China, it is important for the North Korean authorities to figure out how best to manage and supervise these citizens. Accordingly, many North Korean security agents will be sent to China and request close cooperation with Chinese authorities to monitor North Korean workers there. (According to some reports, an arrangement has already been reached for mutual cooperation in this area).

That makes it highly likely that China’s intelligence authorities will cooperate closely with North Korea on monitoring and arresting North Korean workers in China for problematic behavior. Ultimately, the political freedom of North Korean workers will likely be violated in China, just as it currently is in Russia.

What should the international community’s role be here? The first thing is to keep an eye on when and how North Korean workers are sent to China. We also need to make note of who comes in as students and carefully examine how they are subjected to labor exploitation. Careful attention should also be paid to where North Korean IT experts are sent and what they plan on doing in the future. To keep North Korea’s actions in check, in other words, the international community must keep sending the message that it will never tolerate Pyongyang’s bad behavior.

It is also important to consider whether increasing cooperation between China and North Korea could serve as a valuable opportunity for the international community. As more people and materials move across borders, that creates more openings for communicating with North Koreans. It is surely important to make the most of that opportunity.

https://thediplomat.com/2024/04/after-zhao-lejis-visit-whats-next-for-china-north-korea-relations/

Link Posted: 4/26/2024 10:14:59 AM EDT
[#24]
Microsoft Warns Windows Users Of Ongoing Russian Hack Attack
Davey Winder



Researchers at Microsoft Threat Intelligence have issued a warning that Russian state-sponsored hackers have been targeting Windows users with a custom tool used to steal credentials and even install backdoors.

APT28 Fancy Bear Hackers Behind Newly Reported Windows Attacks

The hackers, more commonly identified as APT28 or Fancy Bear but tracked by Microsoft as Forest Blizzard, are known to be affiliated with Military Unit 26165, which is part of Russia’s GRU military intelligence agency.

Microsoft said that it has seen Forest Blizzard/APT 28 using the post-exploitation tool, dubbed GooseEgg, against government, education and transport sector organizations in the U.S., Western Europe and Ukraine. “Forest Blizzard primarily focuses on strategic intelligence targets,” Microsoft said. It would appear, the Microsoft intelligence analysts said, that APT28 has been using GooseEgg since at least June 2020 and quite possibly as early as April 2019.

Unpatched Windows Vulnerabilities Lay A Golden Exploit Egg

What, in essence, appears to be a relatively simple launcher application, GooseEgg, is actually a very dangerous tool in the hands of attackers who are exploiting a long-since patched vulnerability in the Windows Print Spooler service. The vulnerability in question, CVE-2022-38028, was fixed as part of the October 2022 Patch Tuesday rollout, having been first reported by the National Security Agency. GooseEgg exploits an unpatched vulnerability by “modifying a JavaScript constraints file and executing it with SYSTEM-level permissions,” Microsoft said. The extent to which GooseEgg can aid the Russian hackers was laid bare by the Microsoft Threat Intelligence report: “GooseEgg is capable of spawning other applications specified at the command line with elevated permissions, allowing threat actors to support any follow-on objectives such as remote code execution, installing a backdoor, and moving laterally through compromised networks.”

How To Mitigate The GooseEgg Attacks

Once again, this active cyber-espionage campaign by state-sponsored hackers highlights the importance of patching vulnerabilities as soon as possible. In addition to the CVE-2022-38028 Windows Print Spooler vulnerability, GooseEgg can also be used alongside exploits for PrintNightmare, which was first disclosed in 2021. Additional vulnerabilities known to have been targeted by the APT28 hackers include CVE-2023-23397, CVE-2021-34527 and CVE-2021-1675.

Microsoft urges organizations and users to apply the CVE-2022-38028 security update to mitigate this attack. It notes that Microsoft Defender Antivirus detects the specific Forest Blizzard capability as HackTool:Win64/GooseEgg.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/daveywinder/2024/04/26/microsoft-warns-windows-users-of-ongoing-russian-hack-attack/




And also, because it’s comically stereotypical-

The European Court of Human Rights went to hell🖕

https://www.echr.coe.int/home


https://check-host.net/check-report/18918819kab



@CyberArmyCoordinator_RCAT and CyberDragon are against European lawlessness and humiliation of Russian citizens.


https://t.me/CyberArmyofRussia_Reborn/7526

https://check-host.net/check-report/18927f8fk7d4

Link Posted: 4/26/2024 10:20:56 AM EDT
[#25]
Russian source, but this video is all over Telegram on both sides.




FighterBomber with…🤷‍♂️…reasonable commentary.

Nothing new has happened regarding this video.

The most prominent experts in aerodynamics, video filming, photoshop and copter piloting put their homework aside to pour out tons of analyzes and expert assessments in all the comments that their children's fingers could reach.
It was inevitable. This is the Internet and it is impossible to prohibit young idiots from writing crap about their opinion, which I respect immensely.

You just have to come to terms with this, or not open comments.

There is no solution yet to the problem with drones and aviation safety, at least from their own drones in the Northern Military District.
And it is unlikely that it will happen.
There are thousands of drones. Most of them are unaccounted for and superfluous.

No one will coordinate drone flights with aviation. If the collision ends in disaster, there will be an investigation, they will find that the cause of the disaster was a collision with a drone, the identity of which cannot be determined, the pilot will be posthumously awarded the Order of Courage, and that’s all until next time. Something will be done when there are many such cases.

You can only notice a quad in flight from an airplane at the moment of collision.
Aviation will not change altitudes either, because it wants to live. Drone pilots will not change them because they actually don’t have a choice of altitudes. Therefore, understand and forgive, and hope that it will pass.
But of course it is necessary to at least try to coordinate the times and levels of work between aviation and infantry.


https://t.me/fighter_bomber/16481

Link Posted: 4/26/2024 10:41:11 AM EDT
[#26]
I take this guy’s reporting as “it probably happened, and he’s probably being a bit dramatic about it”.



























Link Posted: 4/26/2024 11:38:57 AM EDT
[#27]

Link Posted: 4/26/2024 12:24:59 PM EDT
[#28]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Not the standard FPV drones we have seen.  

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Long-range fixed-wing kamikaze, but needs meatballs on the wings.
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 12:43:08 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Saltwater-Hillbilly] [#29]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Capta:

France along with the whole west quite frankly has been operating with blinders on since the mid-90s.  The Soviet threat was over, it was all going to be unicorns and skittles.  Europe mostly disarmed, and Europe had its fantasy of what things should be like.  France “lost” because they had been operating under 30 years of sloth and wishful thinking.
Another aspect that Putin used effectively was France’s and the west’s focus on international legalisms that were meaningless to Russia.  They portrayed Wagner as a non-state actor they had no control over or responsibility for.  This let them get into places and do things that would’ve drawn a different response from a “state” entity.  Eventually well into the Ukraine war, they acknowledged that Wagner was and had always been state sponsored.  My opinion has always been that the “non-state” status let Wagner get dug in, and converting them to a “state” status lets Russia threaten escalation if there’s any response.   However, since then they have also at times again denied it is state sponsored.  Wagner can be one, the other, both, or neither so long as Putin believes it sows confusion and indecision in the west’s response.  However, there are still ways around it.
At the same time Russia (Putin) was making plans to conquer Europe.  Paying off politicians, getting Europe hooked on Russian energy, playing both political sides against each other, trying to drive a wedge between the US and Europe.  Based on hindsight, Putin’s direct actions in Europe started in the early 2000s if not before.  
A similar but not perfect analogy can be made with the start of the second world war.  Japan and Germany had already made their minds up.  We just didn’t believe it and found reasons not to.  Japan had been effectively at war since the early 30s.  So yeah, they made gains early but defeat was also baked in, because Japanese and German GDP was dwarfed by the Allies, just like Russia’s GDP is dwarfed by the west’s.  Once we start getting even partly serious it’s over.  And we are getting serious, but slowly.
Russia is fully committed in Ukraine and their losses have been immense.  They are not the USSR - they don’t have 20 divisions to drop into Africa on a whim.  France, right now, is more than capable of dealing with Wagner.  However, a more likely scenario is that they let Russia be ground to powder in Ukraine for another year or two.  They can afford that delay.  Then events start demanding the Russians pull forces for the front or for regime security - they can’t afford to be everywhere - then France uses some locals beefed up with some FFL and rolls Wagner up.  Not only is it possible, I consider it certain.  Russia is trying to project strength, but is actually desperately weak.
There’s also the position held by some including myself that the west has been suckering Russia in, grinding them down, and that the end goal is their collapse and dismemberment.  There is a lot on the table for the taking, with both the West and China positioning themselves to benefit.  Think of Russia as a nice, big, juicy steak, with all its neighbors tying on napkins and sharpening knives.
Various countries are selling influence to China because China has a lot of cash right now.  However, it has yet to be explained what China can do if various countries take their money and then tell them to go pound sand when the chips are down.
Russia, not so much.  Sure, they have cash and there’s always someone for sale for cash.  We also have a lot more cash.  No one outside of Russia is taking bribes in roubles. Unfortunately for Russia, their best source of foreign revenue and influence outside of energy is now in the shitter and will stay there.   Here’s another Perun video I highly recommend.  It covers the collapse in Russian foreign military sales, and touches on all the knock-on effects that will have, since FMS were always the primary vector for Russian influence in the third world.  I frankly was stunned at how bad it is.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wdap15tWnfI
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Originally Posted By Capta:
Originally Posted By ThreadKiller:
Originally Posted By Capta:

First, while yes France was the former colonial power and their own legacy behavior wasn’t good either, there is also much info out there that the nations that let Wagner in already regret it.  I read such an article but didn’t bother posting it.  So whether the French would be seen as “oppressors” is already a very relative question.
Once Russia is in they aren’t leaving.  They will readily commit mass murder against the locals and call it “liberation from neo-colonialist western forces”, while using their info ops in the west to spread moral relativist propaganda.
Like I said, and I mean it, I’m open to evaluating the situation as a naked power play.  But that works both ways.  If it’s OK for Wagner to execute a neocolonialist agenda while using anti-colonialist rhetoric, while also shooting all the locals who disagree, you can hardly fault the French for (hypothetically) doing some version of the same.  And yes they are fully capable of it.
Which gets back to the Perun video and French defense policy.  Niger supplies something like 40% of French nuclear material.  This affects not only their economy, but also their nuclear deterrent force.  They’re going to act.  The only question is how and when.
Africa is already a de facto theater of the Third World War.  Most tend to blow off the energy aspects of the West/Russia confrontation compared to shit blowing up in Ukraine, but this is a huge error.  Russia’s poor play of their energy card against Europe was war in all but the shooting.  The move into Niger has to be seen the same way.  This is a dire and intentional threat to the economic livelihood of France and by extension Europe.  And, very likely, this was the end goal of Wagner’s Africa operations all along.  They aren’t after a pittance worth of gold and rare woods, they’re there to stand on the neck of France’s nuclear power industry and nuclear deterrent force.
There is plenty of info out there to suggest that Russia (outside the Ukraine op itself) was positioning itself to hold Europe hostage using energy.  Nordstream was one such vector, the French nuclear industry is another such vector.  It’s not an accident.


Well we will see what the French actually do. Normally this would be a job for their foreign legion. But they were already kicked out, they were beaten at their own game. And of course we are once again caught in the aftermath.

And maybe the Russians will in fact overstay their welcome so to speak. Or maybe not. Particularly if they actually live up to their commitments.

This has been a trend in many countries. Many countries have put their money not on the USA and it's allies, but the Chinese and theirs. No amount of intervention is going to change that trend IMHO.

You seem to still think there is a win here, but in my mind it was lost some time ago, we just didn't realize it.

France along with the whole west quite frankly has been operating with blinders on since the mid-90s.  The Soviet threat was over, it was all going to be unicorns and skittles.  Europe mostly disarmed, and Europe had its fantasy of what things should be like.  France “lost” because they had been operating under 30 years of sloth and wishful thinking.
Another aspect that Putin used effectively was France’s and the west’s focus on international legalisms that were meaningless to Russia.  They portrayed Wagner as a non-state actor they had no control over or responsibility for.  This let them get into places and do things that would’ve drawn a different response from a “state” entity.  Eventually well into the Ukraine war, they acknowledged that Wagner was and had always been state sponsored.  My opinion has always been that the “non-state” status let Wagner get dug in, and converting them to a “state” status lets Russia threaten escalation if there’s any response.   However, since then they have also at times again denied it is state sponsored.  Wagner can be one, the other, both, or neither so long as Putin believes it sows confusion and indecision in the west’s response.  However, there are still ways around it.
At the same time Russia (Putin) was making plans to conquer Europe.  Paying off politicians, getting Europe hooked on Russian energy, playing both political sides against each other, trying to drive a wedge between the US and Europe.  Based on hindsight, Putin’s direct actions in Europe started in the early 2000s if not before.  
A similar but not perfect analogy can be made with the start of the second world war.  Japan and Germany had already made their minds up.  We just didn’t believe it and found reasons not to.  Japan had been effectively at war since the early 30s.  So yeah, they made gains early but defeat was also baked in, because Japanese and German GDP was dwarfed by the Allies, just like Russia’s GDP is dwarfed by the west’s.  Once we start getting even partly serious it’s over.  And we are getting serious, but slowly.
Russia is fully committed in Ukraine and their losses have been immense.  They are not the USSR - they don’t have 20 divisions to drop into Africa on a whim.  France, right now, is more than capable of dealing with Wagner.  However, a more likely scenario is that they let Russia be ground to powder in Ukraine for another year or two.  They can afford that delay.  Then events start demanding the Russians pull forces for the front or for regime security - they can’t afford to be everywhere - then France uses some locals beefed up with some FFL and rolls Wagner up.  Not only is it possible, I consider it certain.  Russia is trying to project strength, but is actually desperately weak.
There’s also the position held by some including myself that the west has been suckering Russia in, grinding them down, and that the end goal is their collapse and dismemberment.  There is a lot on the table for the taking, with both the West and China positioning themselves to benefit.  Think of Russia as a nice, big, juicy steak, with all its neighbors tying on napkins and sharpening knives.
Various countries are selling influence to China because China has a lot of cash right now.  However, it has yet to be explained what China can do if various countries take their money and then tell them to go pound sand when the chips are down.
Russia, not so much.  Sure, they have cash and there’s always someone for sale for cash.  We also have a lot more cash.  No one outside of Russia is taking bribes in roubles. Unfortunately for Russia, their best source of foreign revenue and influence outside of energy is now in the shitter and will stay there.   Here’s another Perun video I highly recommend.  It covers the collapse in Russian foreign military sales, and touches on all the knock-on effects that will have, since FMS were always the primary vector for Russian influence in the third world.  I frankly was stunned at how bad it is.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wdap15tWnfI


It appears that, whether intentionally or not, Putin and his crew have triggered a slow-motion Russian "Gottdammerung".  We can all see how this ends, with a Russia eclipsed on the world stage and facing massive internal and economic instability; the question becomes whom Russia takes out on the way down and how much the cake is already baked.  Regardless, whether in 18 months or 18 years, Russia is in for some very hard times.  Both the Chinese and the Russians seriously underestimated how much they were reliant on the global system they were trying to overturn. The system is now critically (if not terminally) damaged, and they are finding that they have a lot more vulnerability to the spiraling 2nd- and 3rd-Order Effects than they imagined.  As their putative "allies" in western "leadership" (corporate, governmental, diplomatic, and academic) whom they seriously screwed over are now concentrating on fighting for survival of both their power and worldview (and skewering their credibility in the process), China and Russia cannot be anything but anxious about what comes next.  The "great reset" that many International Bright (formerly young) Things advocated for is already spinning out of control, and they are falling back on narrative, ideology, and their inner fascist/communist to try to keep things going, and they are now willing to "cut sling" on China and Russia (as well as Venezuela, Cuba, and a lot of other places) in order to try to maintain control in the European/Anglophone world.  Thing are fixin' to get quite sporty!
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 12:47:28 PM EDT
[#30]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Old technology, but neat.  You can see when the end of the runway is seen by the Tomahawk, it corrects itself to be in line with the runway, the flash is a periodic aid for when the Tomahawk flew at night so it could compare the terrain it was seeing with what was in the missile memory.



And yes, it is dispensing cluster munitions.


Old 1993 test footage of the same model, but capable of being flown by a human being because of a live video downlink.  The pilot is making bombing runs on simulated airfield targets.  The beeping is his altitude warning indicator.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WyeMyhKE5Yw


This is 14 years old, but shows the ever increasing capability of the Tomahawk.  The below is Blk IV, we are on Blk V now.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kqLnwzIoPtE

View Quote

80s weapon porn synthpop!!!  
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 1:23:27 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Capta] [#31]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Prime:
I take this guy’s reporting as “it probably happened, and he’s probably being a bit dramatic about it”.



























View Quote

I’m calling this a disinfo op by the FSB to absolve themselves and Putin.  Yes I’m sure that Shoigu and Ivanov were just as corrupt as stated, but IMO the rest is just grafted on.  It is somewhat interesting because this source is directed at the west, not internally.
First, the Ukrainians reported that Prigozhin’s claims of “shell hunger” were always a lie, and Wagner had several times the shell allotment of anyone else at the front.
Second, I strongly doubt that Putin invaded Ukraine based on “information” that came from the Army.  Putin has the SVR and the FSB for that, and they aren’t going to buy into a risky situation that could blow up in their faces, just to protect Shoigu’s grift.  They would even have an incentive to undercut Shoigu on the basis of obviously untrue reporting.  And I will categorically state that in 2021, LITERALLY NO ONE inside the Russian power structure would believe that NATO was about to intervene in East Ukraine.  The whole idea is ludicrous.  NATO was fat, dumb, happy, and asleep.
Third, the Ukraine project obviously and provably extends back 20 years at least and comes directly from Putin, who is on record setting the trajectory of Ukraine’s “non-entity” status at least as far back as 2008.  The whole arc of Russian actions and rhetoric against Ukraine points to the end goal of invasion.  The 2014 war was  intended to take the country or large parts of it then, but the Russian proxies lost and they had to pull in the Army just to stabilize the situation.  Alleging that it all started from nowhere in 2021 to cover up an Army grift is just complete horse shit.
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 1:58:15 PM EDT
[#32]
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Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:




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Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:

Non-combatant Russians that I interact with on TG (relatives, spouses friends of ChMobiks) have recently shown a high degree of concern about the need for international laws or conventions on the "humanitarian" use of FPV attack drones against unprotected foot soldiers.

It is obviously hypocritical and ironic that Russians want to experience protections that they constantly ignore. However, it also highlights that FPV drones have become a modern-day Babayka (boogie man) that has worked its way into the Russkiy dukh vremeni (zeitgeist).

Note how the ChMobiks have been trained to recover weapons and radios whenever possible.




Lol.  OK Russia, send your entire artillery park to the smelter and then we’ll talk about drones.
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 2:12:19 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Capta] [#33]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly:


It appears that, whether intentionally or not, Putin and his crew have triggered a slow-motion Russian "Gottdammerung".  We can all see how this ends, with a Russia eclipsed on the world stage and facing massive internal and economic instability; the question becomes whom Russia takes out on the way down and how much the cake is already baked.  Regardless, whether in 18 months or 18 years, Russia is in for some very hard times.  Both the Chinese and the Russians seriously underestimated how much they were reliant on the global system they were trying to overturn. The system is now critically (if not terminally) damaged, and they are finding that they have a lot more vulnerability to the spiraling 2nd- and 3rd-Order Effects than they imagined.  As their putative "allies" in western "leadership" (corporate, governmental, diplomatic, and academic) whom they seriously screwed over are now concentrating on fighting for survival of both their power and worldview (and skewering their credibility in the process), China and Russia cannot be anything but anxious about what comes next.  The "great reset" that many International Bright (formerly young) Things advocated for is already spinning out of control, and they are falling back on narrative, ideology, and their inner fascist/communist to try to keep things going, and they are now willing to "cut sling" on China and Russia (as well as Venezuela, Cuba, and a lot of other places) in order to try to maintain control in the European/Anglophone world.  Thing are fixin' to get quite sporty!
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Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly:
Originally Posted By Capta:
Originally Posted By ThreadKiller:
Originally Posted By Capta:

First, while yes France was the former colonial power and their own legacy behavior wasn’t good either, there is also much info out there that the nations that let Wagner in already regret it.  I read such an article but didn’t bother posting it.  So whether the French would be seen as “oppressors” is already a very relative question.
Once Russia is in they aren’t leaving.  They will readily commit mass murder against the locals and call it “liberation from neo-colonialist western forces”, while using their info ops in the west to spread moral relativist propaganda.
Like I said, and I mean it, I’m open to evaluating the situation as a naked power play.  But that works both ways.  If it’s OK for Wagner to execute a neocolonialist agenda while using anti-colonialist rhetoric, while also shooting all the locals who disagree, you can hardly fault the French for (hypothetically) doing some version of the same.  And yes they are fully capable of it.
Which gets back to the Perun video and French defense policy.  Niger supplies something like 40% of French nuclear material.  This affects not only their economy, but also their nuclear deterrent force.  They’re going to act.  The only question is how and when.
Africa is already a de facto theater of the Third World War.  Most tend to blow off the energy aspects of the West/Russia confrontation compared to shit blowing up in Ukraine, but this is a huge error.  Russia’s poor play of their energy card against Europe was war in all but the shooting.  The move into Niger has to be seen the same way.  This is a dire and intentional threat to the economic livelihood of France and by extension Europe.  And, very likely, this was the end goal of Wagner’s Africa operations all along.  They aren’t after a pittance worth of gold and rare woods, they’re there to stand on the neck of France’s nuclear power industry and nuclear deterrent force.
There is plenty of info out there to suggest that Russia (outside the Ukraine op itself) was positioning itself to hold Europe hostage using energy.  Nordstream was one such vector, the French nuclear industry is another such vector.  It’s not an accident.


Well we will see what the French actually do. Normally this would be a job for their foreign legion. But they were already kicked out, they were beaten at their own game. And of course we are once again caught in the aftermath.

And maybe the Russians will in fact overstay their welcome so to speak. Or maybe not. Particularly if they actually live up to their commitments.

This has been a trend in many countries. Many countries have put their money not on the USA and it's allies, but the Chinese and theirs. No amount of intervention is going to change that trend IMHO.

You seem to still think there is a win here, but in my mind it was lost some time ago, we just didn't realize it.

France along with the whole west quite frankly has been operating with blinders on since the mid-90s.  The Soviet threat was over, it was all going to be unicorns and skittles.  Europe mostly disarmed, and Europe had its fantasy of what things should be like.  France “lost” because they had been operating under 30 years of sloth and wishful thinking.
Another aspect that Putin used effectively was France’s and the west’s focus on international legalisms that were meaningless to Russia.  They portrayed Wagner as a non-state actor they had no control over or responsibility for.  This let them get into places and do things that would’ve drawn a different response from a “state” entity.  Eventually well into the Ukraine war, they acknowledged that Wagner was and had always been state sponsored.  My opinion has always been that the “non-state” status let Wagner get dug in, and converting them to a “state” status lets Russia threaten escalation if there’s any response.   However, since then they have also at times again denied it is state sponsored.  Wagner can be one, the other, both, or neither so long as Putin believes it sows confusion and indecision in the west’s response.  However, there are still ways around it.
At the same time Russia (Putin) was making plans to conquer Europe.  Paying off politicians, getting Europe hooked on Russian energy, playing both political sides against each other, trying to drive a wedge between the US and Europe.  Based on hindsight, Putin’s direct actions in Europe started in the early 2000s if not before.  
A similar but not perfect analogy can be made with the start of the second world war.  Japan and Germany had already made their minds up.  We just didn’t believe it and found reasons not to.  Japan had been effectively at war since the early 30s.  So yeah, they made gains early but defeat was also baked in, because Japanese and German GDP was dwarfed by the Allies, just like Russia’s GDP is dwarfed by the west’s.  Once we start getting even partly serious it’s over.  And we are getting serious, but slowly.
Russia is fully committed in Ukraine and their losses have been immense.  They are not the USSR - they don’t have 20 divisions to drop into Africa on a whim.  France, right now, is more than capable of dealing with Wagner.  However, a more likely scenario is that they let Russia be ground to powder in Ukraine for another year or two.  They can afford that delay.  Then events start demanding the Russians pull forces for the front or for regime security - they can’t afford to be everywhere - then France uses some locals beefed up with some FFL and rolls Wagner up.  Not only is it possible, I consider it certain.  Russia is trying to project strength, but is actually desperately weak.
There’s also the position held by some including myself that the west has been suckering Russia in, grinding them down, and that the end goal is their collapse and dismemberment.  There is a lot on the table for the taking, with both the West and China positioning themselves to benefit.  Think of Russia as a nice, big, juicy steak, with all its neighbors tying on napkins and sharpening knives.
Various countries are selling influence to China because China has a lot of cash right now.  However, it has yet to be explained what China can do if various countries take their money and then tell them to go pound sand when the chips are down.
Russia, not so much.  Sure, they have cash and there’s always someone for sale for cash.  We also have a lot more cash.  No one outside of Russia is taking bribes in roubles. Unfortunately for Russia, their best source of foreign revenue and influence outside of energy is now in the shitter and will stay there.   Here’s another Perun video I highly recommend.  It covers the collapse in Russian foreign military sales, and touches on all the knock-on effects that will have, since FMS were always the primary vector for Russian influence in the third world.  I frankly was stunned at how bad it is.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wdap15tWnfI


It appears that, whether intentionally or not, Putin and his crew have triggered a slow-motion Russian "Gottdammerung".  We can all see how this ends, with a Russia eclipsed on the world stage and facing massive internal and economic instability; the question becomes whom Russia takes out on the way down and how much the cake is already baked.  Regardless, whether in 18 months or 18 years, Russia is in for some very hard times.  Both the Chinese and the Russians seriously underestimated how much they were reliant on the global system they were trying to overturn. The system is now critically (if not terminally) damaged, and they are finding that they have a lot more vulnerability to the spiraling 2nd- and 3rd-Order Effects than they imagined.  As their putative "allies" in western "leadership" (corporate, governmental, diplomatic, and academic) whom they seriously screwed over are now concentrating on fighting for survival of both their power and worldview (and skewering their credibility in the process), China and Russia cannot be anything but anxious about what comes next.  The "great reset" that many International Bright (formerly young) Things advocated for is already spinning out of control, and they are falling back on narrative, ideology, and their inner fascist/communist to try to keep things going, and they are now willing to "cut sling" on China and Russia (as well as Venezuela, Cuba, and a lot of other places) in order to try to maintain control in the European/Anglophone world.  Thing are fixin' to get quite sporty!

I think a lot of the cake is already baked.  As long as Ukraine can make it through the summer, Putin’s gambit of outlasting support has failed.  The West isn’t going to fold, and every day that goes by, the West makes progress in shaking itself awake and towards dealing with Russia the way they need to be dealt with.
With ATACMS now landing on valuable Russian shit with some regularity, the “escalation” taboo is fading.  If there ever was a taboo.
Westerners almost universally don’t understand how insular Russia is.  They will project normality to the outside until the wheels come completely off, at which point nearly everyone in the West will be shocked.
The post-World-War-Two order is finished, we just don’t know yet how bad things will get.  My opinion is that it’s worst-case-scenario for Russia and that they don’t survive the next 25 years in their current form.
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 2:18:45 PM EDT
[#34]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Saltwater-Hillbilly:


It appears that, whether intentionally or not, Putin and his crew have triggered a slow-motion Russian "Gottdammerung".  We can all see how this ends, with a Russia eclipsed on the world stage and facing massive internal and economic instability; the question becomes whom Russia takes out on the way down and how much the cake is already baked.  Regardless, whether in 18 months or 18 years, Russia is in for some very hard times.  Both the Chinese and the Russians seriously underestimated how much they were reliant on the global system they were trying to overturn. The system is now critically (if not terminally) damaged, and they are finding that they have a lot more vulnerability to the spiraling 2nd- and 3rd-Order Effects than they imagined.  As their putative "allies" in western "leadership" (corporate, governmental, diplomatic, and academic) whom they seriously screwed over are now concentrating on fighting for survival of both their power and worldview (and skewering their credibility in the process), China and Russia cannot be anything but anxious about what comes next.  The "great reset" that many International Bright (formerly young) Things advocated for is already spinning out of control, and they are falling back on narrative, ideology, and their inner fascist/communist to try to keep things going, and they are now willing to "cut sling" on China and Russia (as well as Venezuela, Cuba, and a lot of other places) in order to try to maintain control in the European/Anglophone world.  Thing are fixin' to get quite sporty!
View Quote



With so many variables and unknowns here, it's difficult to game out how all of this will end. Putin craves power and wanted nothing more than to go down in Russian history as the greatest leader since Peter the Great. If his military had been half as competent and well equipped as he had been led to believe, he would have steamrolled to Kyiv and decapitated the leadership within a month or two, earning the praise and admiration from his people he anticipated. I doubt the West would have calculated conflict with Russia was worth restoring Ukraine at that point. Instead, he became the person who grossly miscalculated practically everything. Even if he wanted to end the conflict tomorrow, how would he? The "sunken cost" at this point almost forces him to push his chips all in. Reparations, war crime trials, etc. are all Russia can look forward to if they sue for peace. A modern day 1917 revolution or Putin's death is the only way I can see this end.
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 2:22:39 PM EDT
[#35]
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Originally Posted By Prime:
I take this guy’s reporting as “it probably happened, and he’s probably being a bit dramatic about it”.



























View Quote

Seems complicated but plausible.
Dont forget the "errant" missile fired by the Russian MOD that nearly killed Prig. a short time before he went rogue. He was trying to get Putin's attention, was being ignored, then tried too hard with his march on Moscow. I think all the corruption, grift, theft, etc is all SOP for Russia. I bet in their pre-Op plans, they had Ukraine carved up like a turkey with various corrupt "rebuilding" projects for the cronies who were lining up. I hope all the assholes kill each other in the upcoming in-fighting.
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 2:24:50 PM EDT
[#36]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Prime:
Russian source, but this video is all over Telegram on both sides.




FighterBomber with…🤷‍♂️…reasonable commentary.

Nothing new has happened regarding this video.

The most prominent experts in aerodynamics, video filming, photoshop and copter piloting put their homework aside to pour out tons of analyzes and expert assessments in all the comments that their children's fingers could reach.
It was inevitable. This is the Internet and it is impossible to prohibit young idiots from writing crap about their opinion, which I respect immensely.

You just have to come to terms with this, or not open comments.

There is no solution yet to the problem with drones and aviation safety, at least from their own drones in the Northern Military District.
And it is unlikely that it will happen.
There are thousands of drones. Most of them are unaccounted for and superfluous.

No one will coordinate drone flights with aviation. If the collision ends in disaster, there will be an investigation, they will find that the cause of the disaster was a collision with a drone, the identity of which cannot be determined, the pilot will be posthumously awarded the Order of Courage, and that’s all until next time. Something will be done when there are many such cases.

You can only notice a quad in flight from an airplane at the moment of collision.
Aviation will not change altitudes either, because it wants to live. Drone pilots will not change them because they actually don’t have a choice of altitudes. Therefore, understand and forgive, and hope that it will pass.
But of course it is necessary to at least try to coordinate the times and levels of work between aviation and infantry.


https://t.me/fighter_bomber/16481

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WOW! Some drone operator nearly got some medals and R&R...
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 2:31:55 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Prime] [#37]




Link Posted: 4/26/2024 2:33:00 PM EDT
[#38]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:


There have been modifications to the Tomahawk to make them have a lower radar cross section.  Seeing the Storm Shadow and SCALP-EG cruise missiles regularly hit Russian S-400 and S-300 sites means that the Tomahawk still has a place in being able to hit or sneak around such air defenses to hit their targets.  Plus there are other decoy cruise missiles like the ADM-160 that can help even the older missiles penetrate air defenses as we have seen done in Ukraine.

Things like JASSM-ER are much more stealthy than Storm Shadow and Tomahawk, so those would probably be more ideal to go after Russian long range radars and other targets heavily defended with an integrated air defence system.

We are fortunate to have a wide range of tools for various targets.

The Israelis used the Rafael Rocks air launched ballistic missile, so this was a tool that works for them.  There is public documentation that these warheads can have an anti radiation capability, so a long range anti radar missile.

https://www.secretprojects.co.uk/data/attachments/159/159683-caa9dde09c481b495eeda5b4fa9b7d72.jpg

https://swarajya.gumlet.io/swarajya/2024-04/9d92e424-4b70-4ee9-b7d7-fffe40e9d680/unnamed.jpg


Two Storm shadows flying over a long range SAM site with TOR short range air defense nearby.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iPFfzatNamU
View Quote


Very interesting. Thank you as always.
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 2:34:53 PM EDT
[#39]
Not my favorite source, but the info is what it is.




Link Posted: 4/26/2024 2:43:30 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Prime] [#40]


































https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-07-15/surging-crimea-shipments-point-to-stealing-of-ukrainian-grain




https://www.bellingcat.com/news/2024/04/23/from-crimea-to-iran-two-more-ships-join-russias-grain-smuggling-fleet/

Link Posted: 4/26/2024 2:54:20 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Prime] [#41]








Link Posted: 4/26/2024 2:57:20 PM EDT
[#42]
Biden Administration Announces Historic New Security Assistance Package for Ukraine

April 26, 2024 |  



Today, as we commemorate the two-year anniversary of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group led by Secretary Austin, the Department of Defense (DoD) announced a historic new security assistance package to address Ukraine's ongoing battlefield needs and demonstrate unwavering U.S. support for Ukraine. This package, provided through the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative (USAI) using funding appropriated by the national security supplemental which the President just signed into law, includes equipment to augment Ukraine's air defenses, fires, and artillery, and to sustain capabilities previously committed by the United States.

Unlike Presidential Drawdown Authority, which DoD has continued to leverage to deliver equipment to Ukraine from DoD stocks at a historic pace, including through the $1 billion package announced on April 24, USAI is an authority under which the United States procures capabilities from U.S. industry or partners. This announcement represents the beginning of a contracting process to acquire  additional priority capabilities for Ukraine.

The capabilities in this announcement, which totals up to $6 billion, include:

Additional munitions for Patriot air defense systems;
Additional munitions for National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile Systems (NASAMS);
Equipment to integrate Western air defense launchers, missiles, and radars with Ukraine's air defense systems;
Counter-UAS equipment and systems;
Munitions for laser-guided rocket systems;
Multi-mission radars;
Counter-artillery radars;
Additional ammunition for High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS);
155mm and 152mm artillery rounds;
Precision aerial munitions;
Switchblade and Puma Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS);
Tactical vehicles to tow weapons and equipment;
Demolition munitions;
Components to support Ukrainian production of UAS and other capabilities;
Small arms and additional small arms ammunition; and
Ancillary items and support for training, maintenance, and sustainment activities.

This USAI package highlights the strong and unwavering U.S. commitment to meet Ukraine's most pressing immediate and longer-term capability needs to fight Russian aggression as part of the global coalition we have built with some 50 Allies and partners.

https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3757794/biden-administration-announces-historic-new-security-assistance-package-for-ukr/

Link Posted: 4/26/2024 3:04:48 PM EDT
[#43]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Capta:

I’m calling this a disinfo op by the FSB to absolve themselves and Putin.  Yes I’m sure that Shoigu and Ivanov were just as corrupt as stated, but IMO the rest is just grafted on.  It is somewhat interesting because this source is directed at the west, not internally.
First, the Ukrainians reported that Prigozhin’s claims of “shell hunger” were always a lie, and Wagner had several times the shell allotment of anyone else at the front.
Second, I strongly doubt that Putin invaded Ukraine based on “information” that came from the Army.  Putin has the SVR and the FSB for that, and they aren’t going to buy into a risky situation that could blow up in their faces, just to protect Shoigu’s grift.  They would even have an incentive to undercut Shoigu on the basis of obviously untrue reporting.  And I will categorically state that in 2021, LITERALLY NO ONE inside the Russian power structure would believe that NATO was about to intervene in East Ukraine.  The whole idea is ludicrous.  NATO was fat, dumb, happy, and asleep.
Third, the Ukraine project obviously and provably extends back 20 years at least and comes directly from Putin, who is on record setting the trajectory of Ukraine’s “non-entity” status at least as far back as 2008.  The whole arc of Russian actions and rhetoric against Ukraine points to the end goal of invasion.  The 2014 war was  intended to take the country or large parts of it then, but the Russian proxies lost and they had to pull in the Army just to stabilize the situation.  Alleging that it all started from nowhere in 2021 to cover up an Army grift is just complete horse shit.
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Not gonna argue any of that, I have no idea.

But, interestingly...


...this just popped up.




If true, it suggests at least some level of plausibility to the idea that Surovikin just got exonerated.

Link Posted: 4/26/2024 3:06:57 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Prime] [#44]


Initially it's tough to tell what's going on here. At ~4:00 you get the first clear view of who our protagonist is.









Link Posted: 4/26/2024 3:10:37 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Prime] [#45]





Link Posted: 4/26/2024 3:33:48 PM EDT
[#46]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Originally Posted By Prime:
Not my favorite source, but the info is what it is.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GMAsDo0XwAE9oEG?format=jpg&name=large


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Link Posted: 4/26/2024 3:50:53 PM EDT
[#47]


Link Posted: 4/26/2024 3:58:35 PM EDT
[#48]
🇷🇺 More than 22,000 people were evacuated from the Tyumen and Orenburg regions due to floods - Ministry for Emergency Situations of the Russian Federation

The agency reported that due to threats after the flood in the Orenburg region, 17,800 people were evacuated. More than 11,000 homes and 17,000 pieces of land were flooded in the region. More than 5,100 people were evacuated in the Tyumen region. There are 581 people in temporary reception centers, of which 201 are children. 180 residential buildings, 523 country houses, 2,844 domestic plots and 19 road sections were flooded. In total, 22,900 people were evacuated from the Orenburg and Tyumen regions. In the Kurgan region, 2,106 residential buildings, 6,849 country houses and 11 road sections were flooded.

 In the photo and video: Ishimsky district of the Tyumen region


Link Posted: 4/26/2024 4:04:25 PM EDT
[#49]
Link Posted: 4/26/2024 4:12:34 PM EDT
[#50]
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Originally Posted By Prime:


Initially it's tough to tell what's going on here. At ~4:00 you get the first clear view of who our protagonist is.









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That MTLB ambush was smart.  They knew where their mines were and registered an AGS on the road 25 yards behind it to shred the infantry when they tried to flee.
The first burst was probably to distract the driver from the mines.  This is a tactic I’ve seen before going way back.  Kudos!
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