Will Smith got those same glassy eyes as when his wife was telling him about August.

An AI on my Apple Watch immediately informs me when I have to go in to do a mechanical thrombectomy on an LVO stroke patient the second the CT scan is done. A human radiologist confirms it in ten minutes as I’m driving in. Ten minutes is roughly 19,000,000 more brain cells I can help save by the AI reading and alerting the team early. The AI is wrong sometimes. The future is here now.

Uninspired creative work.

Coding for sure.

I’m intrigued to see what else. It could be our Overmind… or it could be like Y2k. Probably more overmind.

GE is working on this now. Integrating it with GE PACS if I recall correctly.

That is not AI though. that is a detection software that is programed to find one thing and is not good enough at that.  It makes a guess that gets you moving.  

Talking about such things is what confuses people into thinking "its happening." because they dont understand the reality of the issue.

You have something that is 80% good at doing one task out of a million and a human does it better....and the other million tasks.  Even in the exact study it is looking for one thing, a radiologist is responsible for everything.

For 80%, it is worth it, for that specific task. But that is still light years away from "replacing radiologists"  

Don't piss off Johny cab.

There is no chance of AI replacing radiologists in anyone on this board’s lifetime. They do much more than read films. My point is I do see AI being a supplement to radiologists. It’s IR radiologists doing a lot of procedure’s people don't even know about until they are dying. An AI will not be doing those, but might be a useful tool to help with the shortage.

Anyone who works remotely would most likely be easily replaced by AI.  Those positions are already the first on the chopping block for most companies looking to make cuts.  Would make it an easy choice for who to replace with AI.

Graphic design is probably on the chopping block within a couple years

Car, Boat, RV and Motorcycle salesmen

Don't have the AI to read 4 pages. But what would happen if the AI is infected with their version of the China flu?

I’m a truck driver, and contrary to popular belief I won’t be replaced anytime soon.

Nope....
Not according to this

I agree. But like most things, it will be augmented. Long haul lines will be automated. Human drivers will pick up trailers at local hubs for deliveries and loading. Imho.

I’m not sure. But I think a whole lot more white collar jobs will be gone than some think.

Businesses will try to get a constitutional amendment to allow massive automation, because if 80% of the workforce gets laid off, they will vote to ban automation.

'coding' is an interesting one folks keep quoting; if generating HTML for a new cookie cutter website 100% yes; if generating mundane database queries 100% yes; if coding a novel piece of hardware in RTL, or a new encryption technique in SW, nope.

The trick to keeping a job is to stay one level of abstraction beyond AI. But that was the same in regards to staying one level of abstraction beyond low-cost design centers; we still have western world, highly paid engineers doing the leading edge stuff, with low cost centers doing the behind-the-curve work. As the low cost centers improve and up their game, so the high cost engineers must move up the ladder to stay ahead. And they do, and will even against AI.

Doctors are as exposed as lawyers; it's easy for AI to make a diagnosis from looking up billions of medical records and matching probabilities of age/history/symptoms to a prognosis. That's all Doctors do, but based on their own experiences and the research/books they have read. AI will have the combined experience of millions of doctors, billions of patients, and every medical text it can find online.

Depends who pays the politicians the most money I’d guess. No way they’ll let their entire tax base be put out of work unless they get paid.

Learn to Drywall

Well, huh.  I'd be kind of surprised if an ai could do much of my job.  I guess if you boil it down, I'm a technical program manager.  Used to be an engineer, but those days are long past.

I'd love to have an ai that could do most of the debug tasks associated with the task forces I run, though.  That would be awesome, somehow, though, I think we'd spend all our time debugging the ai instead of the customer issue

This has been my experience with automation.

We ended up having to create a new group to deal with the care and feeding of it.

Lol, AI is gonna fuck up big time.

Still the answer. Like it or not.

Have you seen the current crop of AI hands?

I believe those are called "expert systems"

When ai can do an airplane interior, I’ll go off and die in the woods.

I for one welcome our Skynet overlord.

Irony.

The entire voice script of that video was AI generated. Maybe not the reader's voice but the script for sure.

The future has already passed by most people. Many mentally left lane slow drivers still don't understand.

You obviously haven't.

Nah.  Massive AI (not just augments but actual replacement of entire job sectors) isn't an end state -- just a step towards our end.

Massive AI adoption
 -which leads to-
Massive unemployment
 -which leads to-
UBI
 -which leads to-
Total Societal Collapse.  

Not enough of other people's money to make a sustainable system of paying 90% of people to do nothing.  Either you get total collapse or the ruling class implements methods to significantly and forcibly reduce the population of those who do nothing but drain government funds.

Once we're 3rd world status consisting only of warring factions and feudalism, we won't have a lot of use for high societal order jobs such as coders, call centers, teachers, etc etc.

Seems impossible to you?   Go ahead -- show me why it can't happen here.

I can only imagine how fucked up that would be.

@neshomamench

I just asked the Viz AI app representative about it. He said it is 100% an AI logarithms controlling the software, so IDK. It seems similar to the other AI app (rads say it’s AI)our radiologists use for bone density readings. The AI pretty much reads them instead of the rad opening books and doing it like the old days.

No but it absolutely inched that way.  There was a brief period in manufacturing where the MBAs had the genius idea to reduce skilled wages by using automation to control processes as much as increase productivity, and so stopped investing in higher levels of training in favor of hiring anyone mildly capable of making a machine go (green button) or stop (red button.)

We're going to regret that if we don't yet, since every day there seems to be fewer people available who can discriminate between when to mash geen button and when to mash red button much less understand what's going on at a higher level.

The industrial revolution removed some jobs from society that made, lets say, <80 IQ people employable to an extent they subsidized their existence.  What happens when 100 IQ is no longer sufficient as any non-automated job requires 110+ to do?

That seems to be the inevitable conclusion to machine learning, the question is how long will it take and how quickly we adapt to it economically and socially.

Voiceover work. Just listened to AI read a script I wrote in like 7 different voices. It’s ready for prime time.

How exactly?

Wall Street Journal: The Jobs Most Exposed to ChatGPT

Accountants are among the professionals whose careers are most exposed to the capabilities of generative artificial intelligence, according to a new study. The researchers found that at least half of accounting tasks could be completed much faster with the technology.

The same was true for mathematicians, interpreters, writers and nearly 20% of the U.S. workforce, according to the study by researchers at the University of Pennsylvania and OpenAI, the company that makes the popular AI tool ChatGPT.

They found that most jobs will be changed in some form by GPTs, with 80% of workers in occupations where at least one job task can be performed more quickly by generative AI. Information-processing roles—including public relations specialists, court reporters and blockchain engineers—are highly exposed, they found. The jobs that will be least affected by the technology include short-order cooks, motorcycle mechanics and oil-and-gas roustabouts.

GPTs are GPTs: An Early Look at the Labor Market Impact Potential of Large Language Models

Abstract
We investigate the potential implications of large language models (LLMs), such as Generative Pretrained Transformers (GPTs), on the U.S. labor market, focusing on the increased capabilities arising from
LLM-powered software compared to LLMs on their own. Using a new rubric, we assess occupations based
on their alignment with LLM capabilities, integrating both human expertise and GPT-4 classifications.
Our findings reveal that around 80% of the U.S. workforce could have at least 10% of their work tasks
affected by the introduction of LLMs, while approximately 19% of workers may see at least 50% of their
tasks impacted. We do not make predictions about the development or adoption timeline of such LLMs.
The projected effects span all wage levels, with higher-income jobs potentially facing greater exposure to
LLM capabilities and LLM-powered software. Significantly, these impacts are not restricted to industries
with higher recent productivity growth. Our analysis suggests that, with access to an LLM, about 15%
of all worker tasks in the US could be completed significantly faster at the same level of quality. When
incorporating software and tooling built on top of LLMs, this share increases to between 47 and 56%
of all tasks. This finding implies that LLM-powered software will have a substantial effect on scaling
the economic impacts of the underlying models. We conclude that LLMs such as GPTs exhibit traits of
general-purpose technologies, indicating that they could have considerable economic, social, and policy
implications.

Occupations with no labeled exposed tasks
Agricultural Equipment Operators
Athletes and Sports Competitors
Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers
Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists
Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers
Cooks, Short Order
Cutters and Trimmers, Hand
Derrick Operators, Oil and Gas
Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers
Dishwashers
Dredge Operators
Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers
Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators, Surface Mining
Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles
Foundry Mold and Coremakers
Helpers–Brickmasons, Blockmasons, Stonemasons, and Tile and Marble Setters
Helpers–Carpenters
Helpers–Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons
Helpers–Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters
Helpers–Roofers
Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers
Motorcycle Mechanics
Paving, Surfacing, and Tamping Equipment Operators
Pile Driver Operators
Pourers and Casters, Metal
Rail-Track Laying and Maintenance Equipment Operators
Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons
Roof Bolters, Mining
Roustabouts, Oil and Gas
Slaughterers and Meat Packers
Stonemasons
Tapers
Tire Repairers and Changers
Wellhead Pumpers
Table 11: All 34 occupations for which none of our measures labeled any tasks as exposed.

Just about everything other than servicing machines and on call trade work can be done by ai and automation.  Customer service, art and design, manufacturing health diagnosis, research, accounting, legal work that doesn't require direct communications and on foot investigation.transportation, video work, farming, marketing research.    

We will definitely have to consider a new economic system as this continues or everyone will be poor other than giant corporations and those who service the machines.


In many operations you'll still need a few people to assist the ai and make decisions but not many

This ties into those assholes who did the Georgia stones, where they want the Earths population down to an sustainable 500 million.  Guess how they will accomplish that?  You won't like it...

Yup, the more a job deals with unknowns, non-standard scenarios, and requires abstract analysis and problem solving - the safer it is. This is why I prefer to be a business analyst working on the requirements and solution design end of software development, and not actually writing code.

AI image generation is improving rapidly.

I generated this image for another thread.

Click To View Spoiler

Hands are not perfect, but pass casual inspection. The discontinuity with the sofa is actually the biggest red flag, and someone could fix that with inpainting and photoshop with 15 minutes. This is with freely available models, the pay stuff is even better. It's also a huge jump from the Stable Diffusion 1.4 random balls of fingers we had six months ago. Give it a year, and the tech will not be a limitation at all.

Anything that’s completed work is created on a computer or anything that can be manufactured through the use of a computer.

I just saw a survey where they asked one thousand AIs what career they most wanted to perform in the near future.

67% of AIs surveyed want to become radiologists. The other 33% want to hang sheetrock.