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Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:46:09 PM EDT
[#1]
?? LIVE #IRL - Hurricane IAN Intercept, now in Punta Gorda Florida - 9/28/2022
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:46:28 PM EDT
[#2]
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Just started raining again and thundering a lot. Street is already flooded
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:46:58 PM EDT
[#3]
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It’s fucked up. A normal level flight attitude (at least in an airliner) is 2-4 degrees nose up. 15 deg. is a take off pitch attitude (again in a jet airliner, in a Herc or Orion turboprop, that’s a hell of a nose up pitch). Having the nose that far up while still sinking is NOT a good feeling.

TC
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Wow.... Didn't realize. 15 degrees doesn't seem like much when I'm sitting here in the office and have zero reference or how flight happens.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:47:35 PM EDT
[#4]
Naples in Florida has been completely submerged by floodwater




Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:47:43 PM EDT
[#5]
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Yep. That terminal isn’t the most robust. Hope all the ground equipment and little airplanes are tied down!

TC
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Allegent has brought a good sized chunk of their fleet up to CVG, they're parked on the pad that used to be Comair's Concourse C.


Yep. That terminal isn’t the most robust. Hope all the ground equipment and little airplanes are tied down!

TC


Hopefully that old DC-3/C-47 doesn't get turned into a boat.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:48:33 PM EDT
[#6]
A lot of these amateur storm chasers are going to be caught between a rock and a hard place.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:50:07 PM EDT
[#7]
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So the people I talked about in here that live here ..

Just sent me this vid  uploaded to my YT

https://youtube.com/shorts/RWLvDFpBbj4?feature=share
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:50:19 PM EDT
[#8]
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that is incorrect

9/28/2022: The tide now in Fort Myers, FL is rising. Next high tide is 6:45 pm. Next low tide is 12:06 am. Sunset today is 7:18 PM. Sun rise tomorrow is 7:18 AM. The moon phase is Waxing Crescent tonight.

https://www.usharbors.com/harbor/florida/fort-myers-fl/tides/
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https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FdwlI68XgAAdmMi?format=jpg&name=small


High tide at Carlos Pass (Ft Myers Beach) is at 2:11pm.



that is incorrect

9/28/2022: The tide now in Fort Myers, FL is rising. Next high tide is 6:45 pm. Next low tide is 12:06 am. Sunset today is 7:18 PM. Sun rise tomorrow is 7:18 AM. The moon phase is Waxing Crescent tonight.

https://www.usharbors.com/harbor/florida/fort-myers-fl/tides/


My bad, looked at the first high tide at 2:11am. NOAA stating 3:43pm

https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaatidepredictions.html?id=8725325

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Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:50:25 PM EDT
[#9]
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The air was moving down faster than the aircraft could climb.

It’s called wind shear and for obvious reasons is very dangerous.

They were going down in altitude and had no control over it.
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“Uncommanded descent”. Heard an AirTran 737 call that on a particularly shitty day out by DIW one day. They tried to go to FL410 to get out of the turbulence. Didn’t work.

TC
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:50:32 PM EDT
[#10]
hurricane hunter going in for another pass.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:51:23 PM EDT
[#11]
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A lot of these amateur storm chasers are going to be caught between a rock and a hard place.
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The major storm surge and higher winds being on backside might catch a lot of these guys off guard.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:51:26 PM EDT
[#12]
My in-laws place is in Bonita Springs. Pelican Landing off Rt. 41. That area is taking a beating, I’m hoping it’s high enough to escape the storm surge
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:51:27 PM EDT
[#13]
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Still have power in S. Fort Myers. Wind is really picking up. I can see three downed palms on my street so far. Non organic debris also blowing around. Valuables and important items are water tight and Truck is all packed up and ready to move inland in case major of flooding.

Meanwhile, at my AL house:

https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/66797/548D9D00-2C72-455E-A5D1-27148641090C-2542602.png
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The wind must be rough there. The wall on the right side of the frame is curved hugely.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:51:40 PM EDT
[#14]
The eye will be over me in 5 minutes.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:53:34 PM EDT
[#15]
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https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/90543/24040A80-52BF-4AF9-9D9D-64932FF28279_jpe-2542641.JPGSo the people I talked about in here that live here ..

Just sent me this vid  uploaded to my YT

https://youtube.com/shorts/RWLvDFpBbj4?feature=share
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Embedded:

Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:54:19 PM EDT
[#16]
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Wow. Praying for those people. The insurance companies are going to shit themselves over all the flood damage vehicles and houses
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:54:20 PM EDT
[#17]
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The eye will be over me in 5 minutes.
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Stay safe!
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:54:37 PM EDT
[#18]
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Downdrafts.

Know when it gets a little bumpy on a commercial flight?

They hit a bump that cost them 1200' of altitude.

Giant brass balls on those pilots.
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If they were flying at 8000 feet, would that be the same as a commercial airliner flying at 35,000 feet suddenly losing 5,300 feet of altitude?
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:54:46 PM EDT
[#19]
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https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/90543/24040A80-52BF-4AF9-9D9D-64932FF28279_jpe-2542641.JPGSo the people I talked about in here that live here ..

Just sent me this vid  uploaded to my YT

https://youtube.com/shorts/RWLvDFpBbj4?feature=share

Embedded:

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/RWLvDFpBbj4
I can't figure out shorts lol
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:55:33 PM EDT
[#20]
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Anybody that stayed should break out a rosary at this point. The weight and speed of the water combined with the wind is going to destroy a whole lot of things. I wouldn't feel safe even in mid rise.
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A rosery won't help them now.
Sanibel is taking a direct hit from a CAT 4 verging on CAT 5. That's, more than likely, not survivable.

Just incredibly sad and heart wrenching.
Thinking about what going on inside them as I type this... chills me.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:55:33 PM EDT
[#21]
Jeff is in Englewood

Live coverage Hurricane Ian 9/28/2022 1:00pm CST

Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:56:09 PM EDT
[#22]
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I can't figure out shorts lol
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I removed the "shorts" and just left the video ID string and it fixed it.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:56:16 PM EDT
[#23]
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Right now that's my worst nightmare
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NHC still has motion as NNE / 15 degrees.

Unless it starts to turn soon, that path will bring strong winds into Tampa metro.


Right now that's my worst nightmare


Looks like it has taken a little wiggle east recently, so Tampa might be in luck
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:56:22 PM EDT
[#24]
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Agreed, and you will not hear me complaining!
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Nothing like watching the water take out your house in real time

I'm one of 600 full time Sanibel residents, and that place and the people mean a lot to me.  I'm dreading the video and photos later today, and hope the people I know that stayed are okay.

It's small consolation, but at least you can be thankful you had your own self-contained bugout boat to fall back to.  At the end of the day, it's the skin of you and yours that matters most of all.


Agreed, and you will not hear me complaining!



I'm at like 8 feet of elevation. The street is considerably less (maybe 4'?). I'm one block from a huge salt water canal that is a few minutes from the Myakka River.

It sucks watching this thing go directly over my house but...live to fight another day !!!!

I just hope all my dumbass neighbors end up o.k. when this is all said and done....





Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:56:55 PM EDT
[#25]
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Looks like the hotel is starting to come apart.

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That right there is the definition of places not to be right now. Rain coming from upper floors, no windows, and the surge surrounding the building...

Fuck that.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:56:59 PM EDT
[#26]


Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:57:06 PM EDT
[#27]
Lost power in my part of Tampa already. I'm basically in the SE corner of I75 and I4.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:57:13 PM EDT
[#28]
DEFCON 1 for sure

Stay safe
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:57:31 PM EDT
[#29]
I'm in my new in Apollo Beach, right now all the water being blown out of Tampa Bay pretty windy but worst of Ian is a couple hrs away.

Got  a Generac  but only 120 gal of propane. wont last too long.

stay safe,

Anglingarchitect
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:57:31 PM EDT
[#30]
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I removed the "shorts" and just left the video ID string and it fixed it.
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I can't figure out shorts lol

I removed the "shorts" and just left the video ID string and it fixed it.
Thank you. So basically works like it always has. Cool.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:58:11 PM EDT
[#31]
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:58:15 PM EDT
[#32]
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In all deference to Black Fox... Sanibel is looking to take a direct hit from a CAT 4...verging on a 5.

The likelihood of this reporter surviving that aren't good.

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In all deference to Black Fox... Sanibel is looking to take a direct hit from a CAT 4...verging on a 5.

The likelihood of this reporter surviving that aren't good.



She's not too bright.

Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:58:31 PM EDT
[#33]
Just walked down the driveway to survey the house and neighbors' houses.

It was tough to walk through the wind.  There were a few times the gusts knocked me backwards.  

This is feeling like it's the strongest storm coming through this area in the 25 years I've been here.

80mph gusts

SRQ.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:59:04 PM EDT
[#34]
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I flew down there last Tuesday to buy a car from Germain Lexus in Naples. This is a brutal storm.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:59:11 PM EDT
[#35]
Weather Channel's Mike Seidel bravely fights hurricane wind as 2 guys calmly walk behind him
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:59:41 PM EDT
[#36]
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The eye will be over me in 5 minutes.
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good luck

Link Posted: 9/28/2022 1:59:57 PM EDT
[#37]
Storm Chasing Major Hurricane Ian
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:02:13 PM EDT
[#38]
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Wow. Praying for those people. The insurance companies are going to shit themselves over all the flood damage vehicles and houses
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Wow. Praying for those people. The insurance companies are going to shit themselves over all the flood damage vehicles and houses


Actually, a ton of flood claims would be a good thing for insurance companies as the National Flood Insurance Program is underwritten by the federal government.


Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:02:39 PM EDT
[#39]
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She sounds like someone who's just figuring out that she's in way deeper shit than she signed up for.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:03:11 PM EDT
[#40]
Worried about our dog breeder who’s between Rotonda and Myakka. There’s no way he evacuated with all the puppers.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:04:51 PM EDT
[#41]
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The eye will be over me in 5 minutes.
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Defcon...where are you at ???

Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:05:03 PM EDT
[#42]
Video from inside the Hurricane Hunter aircraft that had the drop in altitude earlier.


Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:05:05 PM EDT
[#43]
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The storm surge projections are now from ground (not water), so if they say we're getting 8' of storm surge that's meaningful.  My ground level floor is ground level.  The house has a series of stairs that basically make it a 3 story split-level.  This is the view from our entry door at ground level:

https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/4267/65522.JPG

Our inlaw suite and my office are about 4' above ground.  The main floor is probably 9' and the top story of course is around 18'.  I'm guessing the ground level is underwater and perhaps the lower living area.  That's significant.
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Sorry.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:05:58 PM EDT
[#44]
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Dude, in Largo that is one of thousands.  The trees are all over the transformers here, that thing flapping is the least of your worries.  It's gonna go, it's gonna go.  We were out for a week in the Bluffs from Irma.  Only person happy is my son who is a rookie lineman.  Chainsaws and line crews are the most valuable things post-storm.

Praying hard for everyone south of here.
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I think our idiot neighbors are going to cost us our power....

https://i.imgur.com/yoDKKGf.jpg
Dude, in Largo that is one of thousands.  The trees are all over the transformers here, that thing flapping is the least of your worries.  It's gonna go, it's gonna go.  We were out for a week in the Bluffs from Irma.  Only person happy is my son who is a rookie lineman.  Chainsaws and line crews are the most valuable things post-storm.

Praying hard for everyone south of here.

I have one of those sun shade tarps. Two corners connect to my house and the other two connect to cemented in 4x4s. I removed the corners from the poles and ran big screw style stakes into the ground at the edge of my patio and connected the corners to them. It's now an angled tarp protecting my sliding glass doors from flying debris
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:07:32 PM EDT
[#45]
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Actually, a ton of flood claims would be a good thing for insurance companies as the National Flood Insurance Program is underwritten by the federal government.


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Wow. Praying for those people. The insurance companies are going to shit themselves over all the flood damage vehicles and houses


Actually, a ton of flood claims would be a good thing for insurance companies as the National Flood Insurance Program is underwritten by the federal government.



That's fucked. I'd rather see the insurance companies bankrupted
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:07:42 PM EDT
[#46]
@defcon you okay?
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:08:07 PM EDT
[#47]
Hurricane Ian to Hit Florida on Thursday September 29, 2022
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:08:23 PM EDT
[#48]
I would stay away from used cars from FL for awhile.
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:08:25 PM EDT
[#49]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
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A rosery won't help them now.
Sanibel is taking a direct hit from a CAT 4 verging on CAT 5. That's, more than likely, not survivable.

Just incredibly sad and heart wrenching.
Thinking about what going on inside them as I type this... chills me.
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Would you please stop.  Everyone in the path of a 4/5 doesn’t die.

Lighten up Francis
Link Posted: 9/28/2022 2:09:06 PM EDT
[#50]
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Video from inside the Hurricane Hunter aircraft that had the drop in altitude earlier.


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Can someone imbed the video? I can't see Twitter links on this shitty old iPhone 4
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