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Link Posted: 7/28/2019 3:30:51 AM EDT
[#1]
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Quoted:
Boeing 737 Max grounding hits Southwest’s pilot hiring

"Southwest Airlines said it delayed hiring for two classes of new pilots, which have about 25 apiece, and postponed captain upgrades for two other classes of current pilots because it isn’t clear when the Max planes will fly again. Dallas-based Southwest is the biggest U.S. operator of the Boeing 737 Max with 34 in its fleet of around 750 aircraft.

“All of these classes were scheduled to take place in either September, October, or December of this year to support our previously anticipated delivery of 37 MAX 8 and 7 MAX 7 aircraft in 2019,” Southwest said in a statement. “Once we have more clarity on the return-to-service date of the MAX, and future MAX delivery timelines, we will look towards reinstating classes, as needed, to support the expected growth of our fleet.”"
View Quote
Boy, it's rully starting to be clear how wise the decision not to restart the 757 line was, huh? Goldurn bonuses all around for everyone.
Link Posted: 7/28/2019 11:23:28 AM EDT
[#2]
TUI Relocates A Boeing 737 MAX Avoiding Germany

"Yesterday afternoon, FlightRadar24 noticed a “ferry flight” of a TUI Boeing 737 MAX going from Sofia, Bulgaria back to its base in the Netherlands. Most interestingly, the flight took a round-about route avoiding German airspace. The MAX is banned in German airspace."

1)  Normal flight:   Bulgarian Air’s FB 462. Photo: FlightRadar24



2)  Flight avoiding Germany:   TUI’s Boeing 737 MAX with registration PH-TFO. Photo: FlightRadar24



"As Aerotime News reports, each European country remains sovereign of its airspace. France allows specific authorizations for ferry flights. However, Germany’s NOTAM is clear and unequivocal:

“any flight with the types Boeing 737 MAX 8 and Boeing 837 MAX 9 within the airspace of the Federal Republic of Germany is prohibited”.

This was first made clear when a Norwegian 737 MAX was denied entry into Germany and instead landed in France. The Boeing 737 MAX 8 with registration SE-RTB flew on June 11, 2019, from Spain’s Malaga airport (AGP) to return to the carriers’ base in Stockholm (ARN), Sweden."
Link Posted: 7/28/2019 1:56:42 PM EDT
[#3]
This may be a duplicate of another problem besides the AoA sensor..or it may be a clarification of that other problem.

Latest 737 Max Fault That Alarmed Test Pilots Rooted in Software

"As U.S. government test pilots ran through dozens of flight scenarios on the Boeing Co. 737 Max in recent weeks, a potential failure got their attention.

The plane’s flight computer tried to push the aircraft’s nose down repeatedly during a simulator run, prompted by a stream of erroneous flight data. The Federal Aviation Administration pilot concluded commercial pilots might not have time to react and avoid a tragedy in a real plane.

That flaw -- the latest discovered on the family of jets involved in two fatal crashes since October triggered by a different failure that pushed their noses down -- was revealed by FAA last month. It threw new uncertainty on the return to flight of the Chicago-based company’s best-selling model and sent its engineers scrambling for a fix."

"In the fault, a wing at the tail of the Boeing jet known as the horizontal stabilizer was rotating in a way that lowered the nose, according to both people. That same scenario occurred during fatal accidents off the coast of Indonesia and in Ethiopia when a safety feature known as Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System activated during a malfunction.

However, the newly discovered problem wasn’t triggered by MCAS, said one of the people.

It was prompted instead by multiple erroneous data streams in a flight computer that occurred simultaneously, the person said. It was simulated in tests even though it has never been documented to have occurred during flight, the people said. Anticipating every possible outcome of even the most unlikely failures is part of how safety assessments are conducted during certification.

The failure scenario was known previously and had been assessed in a safety analysis when the plane was certified before entering service in 2017. At that time, Boeing concluded that pilots could overcome the nose-down movement by performing a procedure to shut off the motor driving the stabilizer movement.
Link Posted: 7/28/2019 2:08:22 PM EDT
[#4]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
This may be a duplicate of another problem besides the AoA sensor..or it may be a clarification of that other problem.

Latest 737 Max Fault That Alarmed Test Pilots Rooted in Software

"As U.S. government test pilots ran through dozens of flight scenarios on the Boeing Co. 737 Max in recent weeks, a potential failure got their attention.

The plane’s flight computer tried to push the aircraft’s nose down repeatedly during a simulator run, prompted by a stream of erroneous flight data. The Federal Aviation Administration pilot concluded commercial pilots might not have time to react and avoid a tragedy in a real plane.

That flaw -- the latest discovered on the family of jets involved in two fatal crashes since October triggered by a different failure that pushed their noses down -- was revealed by FAA last month. It threw new uncertainty on the return to flight of the Chicago-based company’s best-selling model and sent its engineers scrambling for a fix."

"In the fault, a wing at the tail of the Boeing jet known as the horizontal stabilizer was rotating in a way that lowered the nose, according to both people. That same scenario occurred during fatal accidents off the coast of Indonesia and in Ethiopia when a safety feature known as Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System activated during a malfunction.

However, the newly discovered problem wasn’t triggered by MCAS, said one of the people.

It was prompted instead by multiple erroneous data streams in a flight computer that occurred simultaneously, the person said. It was simulated in tests even though it has never been documented to have occurred during flight, the people said. Anticipating every possible outcome of even the most unlikely failures is part of how safety assessments are conducted during certification.

The failure scenario was known previously and had been assessed in a safety analysis when the plane was certified before entering service in 2017. At that time, Boeing concluded that pilots could overcome the nose-down movement by performing a procedure to shut off the motor driving the stabilizer movement.
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They need to wipe to computers and start from scratch sounds like
Link Posted: 7/28/2019 2:44:00 PM EDT
[#5]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
This may be a duplicate of another problem besides the AoA sensor..or it may be a clarification of that other problem.

Latest 737 Max Fault That Alarmed Test Pilots Rooted in Software

"As U.S. government test pilots ran through dozens of flight scenarios on the Boeing Co. 737 Max in recent weeks, a potential failure got their attention.

The plane’s flight computer tried to push the aircraft’s nose down repeatedly during a simulator run, prompted by a stream of erroneous flight data. The Federal Aviation Administration pilot concluded commercial pilots might not have time to react and avoid a tragedy in a real plane.

That flaw -- the latest discovered on the family of jets involved in two fatal crashes since October triggered by a different failure that pushed their noses down -- was revealed by FAA last month. It threw new uncertainty on the return to flight of the Chicago-based company’s best-selling model and sent its engineers scrambling for a fix."

"In the fault, a wing at the tail of the Boeing jet known as the horizontal stabilizer was rotating in a way that lowered the nose, according to both people. That same scenario occurred during fatal accidents off the coast of Indonesia and in Ethiopia when a safety feature known as Maneuvering Characteristics Augmentation System activated during a malfunction.

However, the newly discovered problem wasn’t triggered by MCAS, said one of the people.

It was prompted instead by multiple erroneous data streams in a flight computer that occurred simultaneously, the person said. It was simulated in tests even though it has never been documented to have occurred during flight, the people said. Anticipating every possible outcome of even the most unlikely failures is part of how safety assessments are conducted during certification.

The failure scenario was known previously and had been assessed in a safety analysis when the plane was certified before entering service in 2017. At that time, Boeing concluded that pilots could overcome the nose-down movement by performing a procedure to shut off the motor driving the stabilizer movement.
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What a clusterfuck.
Link Posted: 7/29/2019 4:13:49 AM EDT
[#6]
Quoted:

They need to wipe to computers and start from scratch sounds like
View Quote
It does make one wonder what other “glitches” might be lurking that haven’t yet been encountered.

Also wonder if these perfect storms of erroneous data, or similar issues, are more common than we realize. The article seems to indicate that may be the case. And in a general sense; not being confined to a single aircraft. With the aviation companies tending to assert that, in these unlikely scenarios, the pilots should be able to overcome the issues. In the past, perhaps that response may have been good enough. But, with Boeing being under the microscope, that may no longer be the case.

Quoted:

What a clusterfuck.
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Any way you slice it...pretty much this ^^^^.
Link Posted: 7/29/2019 5:07:09 AM EDT
[#7]
So when are the going to shit down the 737 factory? Sounds like more to fix.
Link Posted: 7/29/2019 6:07:31 AM EDT
[#8]
Why not disable the automatic function of MCAS and train the pilots to fly the aircraft due to the new CG?
Link Posted: 7/29/2019 6:09:08 AM EDT
[#9]
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Quoted:
Why not disable the automatic function of MCAS and train the pilots to fly the aircraft due to the new CG?
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Probably because the flying qualities are so different than a 737-200 at this point.

And Southwest and Ryan didn't want that.
Link Posted: 7/29/2019 6:23:49 AM EDT
[#10]
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Quoted:
Probably because the flying qualities are so different than a 737-200 at this point.

And Southwest and Ryan didn't want that.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Why not disable the automatic function of MCAS and train the pilots to fly the aircraft due to the new CG?
Probably because the flying qualities are so different than a 737-200 at this point.

And Southwest and Ryan didn't want that.
We're a far cry away from the -200 aircraft,  Delta flies the -900 as do other airlines and I believe their level of training would not allow such an incident to happen.
Link Posted: 7/29/2019 7:04:08 AM EDT
[#11]
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Quoted:

We're a far cry away from the -200 aircraft,  Delta flies the -900 as do other airlines and I believe their level of training would not allow such an incident to happen.
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I'm not so sure.

It has not been the level of training at the major airlines that has kept things as safe as they have been...its the quality of the people up front, which is falling over time.
Link Posted: 7/29/2019 4:35:20 PM EDT
[#12]
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Quoted:
So when are the going to shit down the 737 factory? Sounds like more to fix.
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Only the "max" variant is off concern. There are other 737s that come off that line.
Link Posted: 7/29/2019 5:51:04 PM EDT
[#13]
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Quoted:
This is an issue I've never heard about. I'd like to know more. I imagine the same issue would be a problem at a high altitude airport, like the one in my county (6450').
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Quoted:
Quoted:
It certainly is looking more and more like the thing to do.  I wonder how hard is Boeing looking for a quick replacement of the 737.  One of the most annoying features of the 737 as a frequent flyer is the wing is too dam small.  On hot summer days in AZ, I've been on cancelled flights because it's too hot for that wing.

It's annoying to be told... "sorry the plane cannot take off because it's too hot, we can look to book you on another flight today, or spend the night for a morning flight out."  Of course, the likely plane to be rebooked on for that day is a 757.
This is an issue I've never heard about. I'd like to know more. I imagine the same issue would be a problem at a high altitude airport, like the one in my county (6450').
E’rbody just hold on.

Every airplane is certified with a bunch of limitations. Max ambient temperature is one of them. Phoenix usually gets too hot throughout the day a couple times a year to operate. It usually impacts all types and all airlines. It’s a hard limit, regardless of any other factors.

There are other limits like balanced field length (go/stop decision point), climb capability (single engine obstacle clearance) . Those numbers are influenced by density altitude (high temps combined with high altitude) and it limits the amount of weight you can carry.

Throw in full planes and the requirement for a destination alternate for weather, and you’re going to have a problem.

Airlines don’t make money by canceling flights. They’re not in the farming business.


TC
Link Posted: 7/29/2019 5:54:42 PM EDT
[#14]
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Quoted:

We're a far cry away from the -200 aircraft,  Delta flies the -900 as do other airlines and I believe their level of training would not allow such an incident to happen.
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Doesn’t matter. Common type rating is “common” to ALL variants. Delta pilots flying the 717 are typed in the basic old school DC-9.

The Max is sufficiently different wrt handling qualities, it should, and IMO will, be split off.

TC
Link Posted: 7/29/2019 9:00:52 PM EDT
[#15]
Link Posted: 7/29/2019 10:56:19 PM EDT
[#16]
Boeing is burning a lot of time and money trying to patch a plane that nobody's going to want to fly.

When you have top management getting massive salaries and only a few years from retirement, wouldn't expect anything else.

Five years down the road it will be someone else's problem.
Link Posted: 7/30/2019 1:19:49 AM EDT
[#17]
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Quoted:

Only the "max" variant is off concern. There are other 737s that come off that line.
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Oh... I though that the factory was only making 737 MAXes. Had no idea there are other variants being made.
Link Posted: 7/30/2019 1:38:22 AM EDT
[#18]
When you have a system this complex and have to avoid a crash and burn from a "stream of erroneous flight data," things get very complex quickly.

In the perfect world, the downsteam computers never receive a "stream of erroneous flight data." It's all handled at the point of origin.
Link Posted: 7/30/2019 2:43:40 AM EDT
[#19]
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Quoted:
Boeing is burning a lot of time and money trying to patch a plane that nobody's going to want to fly.

When you have top management getting massive salaries and only a few years from retirement, wouldn't expect anything else.

Five years down the road it will be someone else's problem.
View Quote
SOP.
Link Posted: 7/30/2019 9:39:10 PM EDT
[#20]
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Quoted:

If SW and Ryan have their pilots trained for a new type with Boeing money, they may be more open to the idea.

Though that goes back to the whole 757 dying off again.  It was apparently a decade or so ahead of its time.   I don't think a 757 would be the optimal replacement, something like an modern 757 remake.  The A321 with New Engine Option (neo), and I'm not an airbus fan at all.
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Is an updated 757 a better all around plane than the 737 Max?  You define how a modern day 757 is configured.
Link Posted: 7/30/2019 9:40:26 PM EDT
[#21]
Boeing better get its ‘s--- together,’ Ryanair CEO warns as 737 Max grounding drags on

"Ryanair CEO Michael O’Leary warned on Monday that the prolonged grounding of the Boeing 737 Max could lead to job cuts and slash the low-cost airline’s growth prospects next year.

Boeing halted deliveries of the jets in March after two deadly 737 Max crashes within five months of one another. That has meant airlines like European budget carrier Ryanair, cannot grow their operations as planned. Regulators have not said when they will allow the planes to fly again.

Ryanair executives expected 58 of the planes for the summer of 2020, O’Leary said on an earnings call.

“It may well move to 20, it could move to 10, and it could well move to zero if Boeing don’t get their s--- together pretty quickly with the regulator,” O’Leary said."
Link Posted: 7/30/2019 9:45:22 PM EDT
[#22]
Ex-Boeing 737 MAX Engineer Says Team Was Pressured To Cut Costs As Grounding Continues

"Topline: Embattled aircraft Boeing 737 MAX was not adequately funded during production, a former engineer has told the BBC, while an investigation by the New York Times revealed regulators were in the dark about the workings of key software—the failure of which led to two fatal crashes within months of each other.

The aircraft, Boeing’s fastest-selling plane, has been grounded since March after two crashes—a Lion Air Indonesia flight and an Ethiopian Airlines flight—killed 346 people.

Adam Dickson, who was an engineer at Boeing for 30 years, told the BBC that he and his colleagues were under pressure to keep costs down and downplay new features on the plane, so that the firm could avoid scrutiny from the Federal Aviation Administration.

Boeing has denied cutting corners, telling the BBC it has “always held true to its values of safety, quality and integrity.”"
Link Posted: 7/30/2019 10:24:36 PM EDT
[#23]
Link Posted: 7/31/2019 7:02:25 AM EDT
[#24]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Oh... I though that the factory was only making 737 MAXes. Had no idea there are other variants being made.
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Quoted:
Quoted:

Only the "max" variant is off concern. There are other 737s that come off that line.
Oh... I though that the factory was only making 737 MAXes. Had no idea there are other variants being made.
Navy P8’s are made in the same factory.
Link Posted: 7/31/2019 7:20:05 AM EDT
[#25]
corporate officers should get life in prison.

it;s the only way to prevent the next Indian or Asian CEO from outsourcing all of our jobs overseas to third world countries.

you the CEO of Fisher Price? You signed off on releasing a product without the basic testing? kids getting killed at home? You don't get to walk. You pay the price.
Link Posted: 7/31/2019 7:22:33 AM EDT
[#26]
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Quoted:
corporate officers should get life in prison.

it;s the only way to prevent the next Indian or Asian CEO from outsourcing all of our jobs overseas to third world countries.

you the CEO of Fisher Price? You signed off on releasing a product without the basic testing? kids getting killed at home? You don't get to walk. You pay the price.
View Quote
Airlines also outsource their heavy maintenance to Mexico and China.
Link Posted: 7/31/2019 6:43:28 PM EDT
[#27]
Regulators Found High Risk of Emergency After First Boeing MAX Crash

"An internal risk analysis after the first of two Boeing 737 MAX airliner crashes showed the likelihood was high of a similar cockpit emergency within months, according to a Federal Aviation Administration official familiar with the details and others briefed on the matter.

The regulator’s analysis, not previously reported, showed that it “didn’t take that much” for a malfunction like the one confronted by the pilots of the Lion Air flight that crashed into the Java Sea last year to occur, one of the people briefed on the analysis said.

Based on the findings, the regulator decided it was sufficient to inform pilots about the hazards of an onboard sensor malfunction that led to a flight-control system pushing down the plane’s nose. The belief was that if pilots were aware of the risk and knew how to respond, it was acceptable to give Boeing and regulators time to design and approve a permanent software fix to MCAS, the flight-control system implicated in the crash, according to the agency official and people briefed on the findings."
Link Posted: 7/31/2019 6:50:16 PM EDT
[#28]
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Quoted:
Lots of new engine options and clearance with 757, price tag was the major difference, but the price of this mess up dwarfs any price tag issues in the 90s.  Not sure on airport compatibility as a 'drop in replacement'

This article has a comparison

https://i.imgur.com/RkmeFjl.png

Compared to:
https://i.imgur.com/26KOZe1.png
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:

If SW and Ryan have their pilots trained for a new type with Boeing money, they may be more open to the idea.

Though that goes back to the whole 757 dying off again.  It was apparently a decade or so ahead of its time.   I don't think a 757 would be the optimal replacement, something like an modern 757 remake.  The A321 with New Engine Option (neo), and I'm not an airbus fan at all.
Is an updated 757 a better all around plane than the 737 Max?  You define how a modern day 757 is configured.
Lots of new engine options and clearance with 757, price tag was the major difference, but the price of this mess up dwarfs any price tag issues in the 90s.  Not sure on airport compatibility as a 'drop in replacement'

This article has a comparison



Boeing 737-800 – 162 passengers to a range of 2,930 nautical miles

Boeing 757-200 – 200 passengers to a range of 3,900 nautical miles

The Boeing 757-200 costs around $113 million USD in today’s currency, and the 737 ranges from $100-130 million USD.


For the 737-400:

Passengers: 146
Length: 119 feet
Wingspan: 95 feet
Wing area: 1135 sq feet
MTOW: 138,000 lb
Takeoff distance: 8000 feet
Range: 2160 nm
Thrust: 2x 23,500 lbf
Max fuel: 5,311 US gal

The 757 was significantly larger. For the 757-200:

Passengers: 200
Length: 155 feet
Wingspan: 125 feet
Wing area: 1951 sq feet
MTOW: 255,000 lb
Takeoff distance: 6500 feet
Range: 4100 nm
Thrust: 2x 43,500 lbf
Max fuel: 11,489 US gal
https://i.imgur.com/RkmeFjl.png

Compared to:
https://i.imgur.com/26KOZe1.png
MAX 9 was cannibalized by the MAX 10. Most orders were switched to the 10.

The MAX 7 and A319Neo are practically dead. The CS300/A220 killed those two off.
Link Posted: 8/1/2019 1:17:18 AM EDT
[#29]
Link Posted: 8/1/2019 9:42:41 AM EDT
[#30]
Disable MCAS, fly the aircraft.
Link Posted: 8/1/2019 12:01:39 PM EDT
[#31]
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Quoted:
Disable MCAS, fly the aircraft.
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All of the delays strongly point to Boeing and their main customers wanting to maintain the common type certificate.  If the FAA won’t allow that, I agree with you.
Link Posted: 8/1/2019 12:09:11 PM EDT
[#32]
Wow, why is the 787 not selling?
Link Posted: 8/1/2019 7:07:21 PM EDT
[#33]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
corporate officers should get life in prison.

it;s the only way to prevent the next Indian or Asian CEO from outsourcing all of our jobs overseas to third world countries.

you the CEO of Fisher Price? You signed off on releasing a product without the basic testing? kids getting killed at home? You don't get to walk. You pay the price.
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Corporate bigwigs donate enough $$$ to lawmakers that any accountability laws will never see a vote.

Plus they make enough $$$$ to hire Epstein-class lawyers to get them off the hook.
Link Posted: 8/1/2019 7:08:51 PM EDT
[#34]
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Quoted:
Wow, why is the 787 not selling?
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Too expensive sardine can for the sheep.

Everything run by Wall St. is pure short term profit (long term viability of companies is a joke at this point).

Everyone hates the airlines packing people in like ants, but want somethingnfor nothing plus the regulators in name only appear to be bought off. ALL regulators.
Link Posted: 8/2/2019 5:58:10 AM EDT
[#35]
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Quoted:
Wow, why is the 787 not selling?
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Maybe the X should have been over the 737 Max 8 instead of the 787.
Link Posted: 8/2/2019 1:47:59 PM EDT
[#36]
Boeing to change 737 Max flight-control software to address flaw: Sources

"Boeing plans further changes to the software architecture of the 737 MAX flight-control system to address a flaw discovered after a test in June, two people briefed on the matter said late on Thursday.

The redesign, first reported by the Seattle Times, involves using and receiving input from both flight control computers rather than one.

The move comes in response to an effort to address a problem discovered in June during a Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) simulator test.

This is on top of earlier announced changes to take input from both angle-of-attack sensors in the MCAS anti-stall system linked to two deadly crashes that led to a global grounding of the plane.

Boeing still hopes to complete the software redesign by the end of September to submit to the FAA for approval, the sources said.

For decades, 737 models have used only one of the flight control computers for each flight, with the system switching to the other computer on the following flight, according to people familiar with the plane’s design."
Link Posted: 8/2/2019 2:32:35 PM EDT
[#37]
Link Posted: 8/5/2019 11:17:01 PM EDT
[#38]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

So they flip a coin to decide which one is correct when they don't agree?    Same failure of 1 AoA sensor would have 2 flight computers wanting to do vastly different things, not exactly solving the problem, unless they're distributing the workload between them for more processing power from the idle one.    I could see that happening by trying to shoehorn in 2 sensor inputs to the computer that was designed for  one input, can't keep up and get garbage data.

Adding a third system to bet the arbiter would add a lot more grounded time.
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I would be surprised if this passes muster.  Does NASA rely upon two systems only for critical tasks?  The whole reasoning for MCAS seems flawed from the beginning. Get rid of it and train pilots to deal with any different flight characteristics of the engine placement.

Regardless, the 737 Max is safe now.

Boeing CEO to Business Travel Execs: Trust Us, 737 Max Is Safe Now

"Boeing has been on something of an apology tour as the crisis deepens following the crash of two Boeing 737 Max aircraft earlier this year. With no real timetable for the return of the aircraft to service, regaining the trust of the global corporate travel sector is a major issue for the aircraft manufacturer.

At the Global Business Travel Association’s 2019 Convention in Chicago on Monday, Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg worked hard to assuage corporate travel’s creme de la creme that everything is going to be just fine. Half the audience in the banquet hall, however, headed for the exits as his name was announced.

“Certainly the situation with the Max has been a tough one,” said Muilenburg. “We continue to have deep sympathy for the families and loved ones affected by these two accidents. It has reaffirmed and driven us to continue to focus on safety as a core focus for our company, we are working hard on the Max and making good progress.”"

Interesting if the bolded part is true.
Link Posted: 8/5/2019 11:27:11 PM EDT
[#39]
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Quoted:
The Democrat party (the media) seems to have an interest in taking down Boeing.  For that reason it's only logical to presume this is bullshit.

I'd trust Boeing waaaaaaaaaaaay before ANY MSM.
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That would be surprising considering Boeing’s presence in the Puget Sound area and Chicago, both decades long Democrat strongholds. Not to mention the power that unions have at Boeing.
Link Posted: 8/5/2019 11:59:14 PM EDT
[#40]
Link Posted: 8/8/2019 2:39:09 PM EDT
[#41]
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Quoted:
The problem I see is what I stated several pages ago.  The CEO of Boeing came out and said the Max was perfectly safe, nothing wrong with it, and only bad pilots crashed.

Now there are 3 major issues that have been found, 2 with MCAS and a 3rd with another system able to move stabilizer unrelated to MCAS that have "glitches".

Kind of hard to come back and say "It's safe now" when they started out of the gate with that line, and no detailed modification plans or even a tentative FAA certification ready date have been published.
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When he stated just before or after the world-wide grounding that the plane was safe, I knew that nothing he says is worth believing.

End the MCAS fix path and certify the plane as it is without MCAS.
Link Posted: 8/8/2019 2:49:32 PM EDT
[#42]
American Airlines Schedules Additional Boeing 737 MAX Flights In November

"American Airlines, the second biggest operator of the 737 MAX in the US, has bolstered its commitment to return the jet to service in November 2019. Reported route filings show an additional eight routes slated to receive MAX service throughout November and December, accounting for more than 170 flights in total.

The newest MAX schedules are as follows:

Charlotte – St. Louis: From 9th November and 16th November

Chicago O’Hare – New York LaGuardia: From 3rd November to 3rd December daily

Chicago O’Hare – Orlando: 21st November to 3rd December daily

Dallas/Fort Worth – Las Vegas: 21st November to 3rd December daily

Dallas/Fort Worth – Orlando: 21st November to 3rd December daily

Dallas/Fort Worth – Seattle: 1st December

Los Angeles – Nashville: 3rd November to 20th November daily

Phoenix – New York JFK: 28th November"
Link Posted: 8/8/2019 2:53:19 PM EDT
[#43]
Boeing 737 Max Needs Full F.A.A. Review, Crash Families Say

"SHEFFIELD, Mass. — A group of family members representing more than 50 people who died in the crash of Ethiopian Airlines Flight 302 are calling on the Federal Aviation Administration to conduct a full regulatory review of Boeing’s 737 Max before it is allowed to fly again.

By certifying the plane with a so-called amended type certificate, the F.A.A. allowed Boeing to get the Max flying years sooner than it would have had the company introduced a brand-new plane that had to be certified for the first time.

But with scrutiny of the F.A.A. mounting after the crash in Ethiopia and an earlier crash in Indonesia, the families of many victims are calling on the F.A.A. to take an entirely new look at the Max. The plane remains grounded while Boeing works on a software update and other changes intended to make the Max safer."
Link Posted: 8/8/2019 3:38:32 PM EDT
[#44]
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Quoted:
About 25 years ago, I worked with Dennis Muilenburg on a project. He seemed like a decent engineer back then.

What Boeing did on the 737Max8 is inexcusable. No competent engineer would design a passenger carrying aircraft where a single sensor failure would cause a catastrophic loss-of-control of the vehicle. No competent/honest regulator would sign off on such a design. The fact that Boeing didn't see fit to keep a single-thread catastrophic failure from ever being implemented in the first place causes me to think the FAA should revoke their entire DER certs and review ALL of their aircraft certifications for the last decade or so to see what other idiotic/stupid/amateur hour mistakes have been made and missed. Boeing should have to make good all the lost monies to every single airline for every minute those aircraft are sitting on the ground. And, Boeing should have to pay for all aircraft to be fixed in such as way as to prevent any possibility of this or any other single-point-of-failure catastrophic loss of control. In fact, if I were the FAA, I'd require Boeing to re-do every single one of their FMEAs, safety case analyses, and flight control validation tests on these and any other Boeing aircraft that I had even the remotest suspicion there might be a problem with.

As for the FOD problem, back in the 80's when I worked for a defense contractor, we had a program called "FOD Busters" where everyone in the company had to take training on how to keep FOD out of the aircraft. The actual manufacturing folks got a heavier dose of that training. I would have thought that Boeing, of all places, would have a super-tight FOD control program. There again, it sounds like Boeing currently has a bad case of amateur hour stupid.

I suspect Dennis didn't know all the details of these shenanigans. If he did know or approved them, not only should he be summarily fired, but charged with a crime along with anyone who worked on the effort. Based on what has come out so far, there's absolutely no excuse for what Boeing apparently did (and didn't do). There's ample reason to put Boeing's ability to design, manufacture, and certify aircraft in doubt. And, they did it to themselves.
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I am impressed that you once worked with Dennis, and I respect your views expressed.  I am an aero engineer who's first job was on the "controversial" F-111, or switch-blade Edsel, whichever you prefer.  This was in the late 1960's so any comparison with the current 737Max problems is invalid I know.  But if any of us way back then had ever proposed any comparable scheme on the F-111, the customer (Air Force) would have been all over it.  The gradual coziness between Boeing and the FAA that was allowed to develop is criminal.  My view is that the company and several high-ranking individuals are in for some serious penalties.  It's going to get worse before it gets better.
Link Posted: 8/13/2019 11:41:30 AM EDT
[#45]
Boeing reports no new orders of 737 Max as worldwide grounding enters sixth month

"Boeing, yet again, received no new orders for its troubled 737 Max jets last month as the worldwide grounding of its best-selling plane enters its sixth month.

The dearth of Max orders in July marked the fourth-straight month without any new orders for the planes, Boeing said Tuesday.

The slowdown could give European manufacturer Airbus, which reported 389 commercial plane deliveries in the first six months of the year, the crown as the world’s biggest airplane maker. Airbus’ A320 planes compete with Boeing’s 737s in the single-aisle segment, which comprise most aircraft orders."
Link Posted: 8/13/2019 12:31:21 PM EDT
[#46]
So what did they do with all the 757 tooling and blueprints?
Link Posted: 8/13/2019 12:57:38 PM EDT
[#47]
New FAA administrator says there is no timeline for the 737 MAX's return to service

"The new head of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Stephen Dickson commented on the 737 MAX's return to service shortly after he was sworn in as the agency's 18th administrator on Monday.

The former senior vice president of flight operations for Delta Air Lines was confirmed by the Senate on July 24 in a 52 to 40 vote that went along party lines.

"I want to again be clear and absolutely committed, that the FAA is a safety driven organization and safety is my highest priority," Dickson said after being sworn in by U.S Transportation Secretary Elaine Chao . "This plane will not fly commercial service again until I'm completely assured that it is safe to do so.""
Link Posted: 8/18/2019 10:45:12 AM EDT
[#48]
The Four-Second Catastrophe: How Boeing Doomed the 737 MAX

Interesting read if accurate.

"Regulators have focused since the crashes on MCAS, its reliance on a single sensor and Boeing BA 0.75% ’s decision not to tell pilots about the new system. At the root of the miscalculations, though, were Boeing’s overly optimistic assumptions about pilot behavior.

In designing the flight controls for the 737 MAX, Boeing assumed that pilots trained on existing safety procedures should be able to sift through the jumble of contradictory warnings and take the proper action 100% of the time within four seconds.

That is about the amount of time that it took you to read this sentence.

Boeing bet nearly everything on those four ticks of the clock. The company’s belief in its engineering, and its reliance on pilots to be flawless cogs, enabled Boeing to speed the latest iteration of its most important airliner to market and ultimately saved money for its customers."
Link Posted: 8/18/2019 11:15:13 AM EDT
[#49]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
The Four-Second Catastrophe: How Boeing Doomed the 737 MAX

Interesting read if accurate.

"Regulators have focused since the crashes on MCAS, its reliance on a single sensor and Boeing BA 0.75% ’s decision not to tell pilots about the new system. At the root of the miscalculations, though, were Boeing’s overly optimistic assumptions about pilot behavior.

In designing the flight controls for the 737 MAX, Boeing assumed that pilots trained on existing safety procedures should be able to sift through the jumble of contradictory warnings and take the proper action 100% of the time within four seconds.

That is about the amount of time that it took you to read this sentence.

Boeing bet nearly everything on those four ticks of the clock. The company’s belief in its engineering, and its reliance on pilots to be flawless cogs, enabled Boeing to speed the latest iteration of its most important airliner to market and ultimately saved money for its customers."
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While I certainly think Boeing was too cavalier in their, “the pilots will figure it out” mentality. I also think the article is likely sensationalizing the whole 4 seconds angle. The data from the Ethiopian crash indicates the pilots had a lot more than 4 seconds to right the ship. And that incident occurred at pretty volatile point in their flight.
Link Posted: 8/18/2019 11:37:37 AM EDT
[#50]
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The problem I see is what I stated several pages ago.  The CEO of Boeing came out and said the Max was perfectly safe, nothing wrong with it, and only bad pilots crashed.

Now there are 3 major issues that have been found, 2 with MCAS and a 3rd with another system able to move stabilizer unrelated to MCAS that have "glitches".

Kind of hard to come back and say "It's safe now" when they started out of the gate with that line, and no detailed modification plans or even a tentative FAA certification ready date have been published.
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So they flip a coin to decide which one is correct when they don't agree?    Same failure of 1 AoA sensor would have 2 flight computers wanting to do vastly different things, not exactly solving the problem, unless they're distributing the workload between them for more processing power from the idle one.    I could see that happening by trying to shoehorn in 2 sensor inputs to the computer that was designed for  one input, can't keep up and get garbage data.

Adding a third system to bet the arbiter would add a lot more grounded time.
I would be surprised if this passes muster.  Does NASA rely upon two systems only for critical tasks?  The whole reasoning for MCAS seems flawed from the beginning. Get rid of it and train pilots to deal with any different flight characteristics of the engine placement.

Regardless, the 737 Max is safe now.

Boeing CEO to Business Travel Execs: Trust Us, 737 Max Is Safe Now

"Boeing has been on something of an apology tour as the crisis deepens following the crash of two Boeing 737 Max aircraft earlier this year. With no real timetable for the return of the aircraft to service, regaining the trust of the global corporate travel sector is a major issue for the aircraft manufacturer.

At the Global Business Travel Association’s 2019 Convention in Chicago on Monday, Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg worked hard to assuage corporate travel’s creme de la creme that everything is going to be just fine. Half the audience in the banquet hall, however, headed for the exits as his name was announced.

“Certainly the situation with the Max has been a tough one,” said Muilenburg. “We continue to have deep sympathy for the families and loved ones affected by these two accidents. It has reaffirmed and driven us to continue to focus on safety as a core focus for our company, we are working hard on the Max and making good progress.”"

Interesting if the bolded part is true.
The problem I see is what I stated several pages ago.  The CEO of Boeing came out and said the Max was perfectly safe, nothing wrong with it, and only bad pilots crashed.

Now there are 3 major issues that have been found, 2 with MCAS and a 3rd with another system able to move stabilizer unrelated to MCAS that have "glitches".

Kind of hard to come back and say "It's safe now" when they started out of the gate with that line, and no detailed modification plans or even a tentative FAA certification ready date have been published.
If Muillenberg claimed the aircraft was safe after two crashes and hundreds killed and since more problems were found, he needs to resign or his ass needs to be canned.  He is incompetent.
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