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Link Posted: 8/29/2023 11:42:42 PM EDT
[#1]
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Just remember the difference between total destruction and a few limbs being down can be just a mile or two.  I deployed to Michael.  Pamama City was devastated, PC beach was not hit bad just on the other side of the bridge.  But where Mother Nature was at her angriest she flattened mature pine forests of 1000s of acres and bent I beams.
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Agreed, and this storm isn't very wide. The Jefferson/Taylor line is mostly a wildlife refuge.
Link Posted: 8/29/2023 11:44:46 PM EDT
[#2]
Well I’m four miles from the coast south of Tallahassee and directly in the center of the new path. I’m pretty elevated so at least there’s that. I’ve done all I can do to prepare myself and the property at this point. The only thing left is to hang on and see what happens tonight.
Link Posted: 8/29/2023 11:45:04 PM EDT
[#3]
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Same for Lake City
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They're already seeing power outages in the Tampa area and it hasn't even done much yet.
Same for Lake City



That surprises me about Lake Shitty. I am down in Alachua and we have barely had a thunder storm.
Link Posted: 8/29/2023 11:45:21 PM EDT
[#4]
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Lights haven’t even flickered at my place and we normally are the first to loose power
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Don't jinx yourself.
Link Posted: 8/29/2023 11:46:53 PM EDT
[#5]
West Gainesville checking in. Got some flickering but not much on the first band earlier. Light rain on and off for the time being.

They did evac orders for mobile homes earlier around 9. Kinda late to bail at that point though.
Link Posted: 8/29/2023 11:47:16 PM EDT
[#6]
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Don't jinx yourself.
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Yea. They flickered about two seconds after I posted that
Link Posted: 8/29/2023 11:47:45 PM EDT
[#7]
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That surprises me about Lake Shitty. I am down in Alachua and we have barely had a thunder storm.
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Outer band
Attachment Attached File
Link Posted: 8/29/2023 11:48:41 PM EDT
[#8]
Thoughts and prayers to everyone in the path. I have a mobile home in Madison county, it is my hunting camp. I have cut down most of the trees around it over the last few years, hopefully it survives.
Link Posted: 8/29/2023 11:49:59 PM EDT
[#9]
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Are there reports of most people evacuating from the projected landfall area?
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North of Tampa, not a super specific report.
Link Posted: 8/29/2023 11:52:24 PM EDT
[#10]
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Hermine wrecked Tallahassee and that was a Cat 1. Michael hit Mexico Beach and Tallahassee still got battered. If this goes the way I think it is going, Tallahassee is going to look like Marianna after Michael.
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I saw Mexico beach shortly after Michael. The damage was incredible driving in starting around I10. The pine forests all still have a permanent bend to them two hours north of the gulf driving south.

I sure hope the apalachicola area doesn’t get busted up again with this one. They can’t handle it economically. That whole area is poor and doesn’t have the resources to rebuild like a more populated area.
Link Posted: 8/29/2023 11:55:50 PM EDT
[#11]
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I am not a fan either.  I would rather live in Waldo than the Villages.  Even freight the trains rolling through town all night would definitely be better than living full-time in The Villages.
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As a born and raised Florida Man and I rebel against this. I hate everything about the Villages... However as some one that has raised 5 daughters.. those are NOT Loofah's. Do even try bra!  That sir's is a scrubbie!


Freaking armatures


I am not a fan either.  I would rather live in Waldo than the Villages.  Even freight the trains rolling through town all night would definitely be better than living full-time in The Villages.



Wow... never made that correlation, but damn man that is the smartest thing I have heard this year!  

Link Posted: 8/29/2023 11:57:01 PM EDT
[#12]


Decent wind and waves down in Key West about twenty minutes ago.
https://map.snapchat.com/ttp/snap/W7_EDlXWTBiXAEEniNoMPwAAYYnRjdWp1d3NvAYpEVN5lAYpEVNKlAAAAAw/@28.389991,-82.271391,5.92z

Bradenton 30 minutes ago
https://map.snapchat.com/ttp/snap/W7_EDlXWTBiXAEEniNoMPwAAYbXljcmdvdGdtAYpEbu-HAYpEXG5NAAAAAQ/@28.389991,-82.271391,5.92z

Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:03:05 AM EDT
[#13]
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That surprises me about Lake Shitty. I am down in Alachua and we have barely had a thunder storm.
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They're already seeing power outages in the Tampa area and it hasn't even done much yet.
Same for Lake City



That surprises me about Lake Shitty. I am down in Alachua and we have barely had a thunder storm.


12am..Lake City west side of 75 a few miles.  Not even a flicker with power. No real wind yet.
All is well.
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:03:30 AM EDT
[#14]
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West Gainesville checking in. Got some flickering but not much on the first band earlier. Light rain on and off for the time being.

They did evac orders for mobile homes earlier around 9. Kinda late to bail at that point though.
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I am between G'ville and Bell. In a Mobile home. My preps are done. To be honest 32 hours ago I was nervous. Now not so much. I am guessing 35 to 40 MPH winds and some gust. I am on high ground. I will know more in about 30 minutes.



Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:09:40 AM EDT
[#15]
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I am between G'ville and Bell. In a Mobile home. My preps are done. To be honest 32 hours ago I was nervous. Now not so much. I am guessing 35 to 40 MPH winds and some gust. I am on high ground. I will know more in about 30 minutes.



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Yeah, earlier was a lot sketchier than it is now. That little west bump may help a lot, but still don’t trust it much after Ian.
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:18:57 AM EDT
[#16]
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My brother lives just off Colonial. He was not too worried about this storm.
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Nether was I.  I was more worried about my son who just moved into a new place in Clearwater.
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:21:35 AM EDT
[#17]
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Nether was I.  I was more worried about my son who just moved into a new place in Clearwater.
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https://apps.myclearwater.com/activecalls/

Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:22:34 AM EDT
[#18]
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Met him at church once. Didn’t really seem like a guy who would suck a dick but whatever.
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Figured he’d be more of a “blow-job” guy…



Met him at church once. Didn’t really seem like a guy who would suck a dick but whatever.


I met when I filmed his GF on a tandem jump a few years back. She was smoking hot with huge fake tits and he is about 5’5”
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:24:01 AM EDT
[#19]
Hurricane Idalia Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102023
1200 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023

...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS EXPECTED IN THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION THIS MORNING WHEN IDALIA MOVES INLAND...
...12 AM POSITION UPDATE...

NOAA buoy 42036 recently reported sustained winds of 49 mph (79
km/h) and a gust to 60 mph (97 km/h) in the northern rainbands of
Idalia

SUMMARY OF 1200 AM EDT...0400 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.9N 84.6W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM SW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...27 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...958 MB...28.29 INCHES
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:24:30 AM EDT
[#20]
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She is pretty far off the coast
We saw almost no wind in Ellington/Parrish so far
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They’re already seeing power outages in the Tampa area and it hasn’t even done much yet.


She is pretty far off the coast
We saw almost no wind in Ellington/Parrish so far


Tampa hasn't had a major hit since the 1920's, so TECO is probably rockin' the oldest power grid in the state.  Whereas in places like the Keys, south Dade County, the panhandle, and the southwest Gulf Coast most of the power grid is less than 30 years old for some reason.
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:24:59 AM EDT
[#21]
61 mph gust from the south reported in Sarasota.

Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:35:09 AM EDT
[#22]
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61 mph gust from the south reported in Sarasota.

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We're getting what is probably the next to last of the big bands in Fort Myers.  A lot of rain, some significant gusts, but not nearly as bad as the initial outer bands.
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:56:14 AM EDT
[#24]
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We're getting what is probably the next to last of the big bands in Fort Myers.  A lot of rain, some significant gusts, but not nearly as bad as the initial outer bands.
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Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:58:44 AM EDT
[#25]
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 12:59:24 AM EDT
[#26]
Power outages from Lee to Pinellas counties including DeSoto, probably an average of about 1% of each county.



Link Posted: 8/30/2023 1:49:01 AM EDT
[#27]








Link Posted: 8/30/2023 1:59:28 AM EDT
[#28]
Good Luck to Everyone!!
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 2:02:14 AM EDT
[#29]
cat 3
120 wind

Slowed to 15mph

Dropped 13 millibars in last hour

Zello channel is FL Idalia

IM me for password

https://zello.com/downloads/

or use app store on your phone
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 2:23:52 AM EDT
[#30]

Link Posted: 8/30/2023 2:36:59 AM EDT
[#31]
Good luck everyone.

Hurricane Idalia Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL102023
200 AM EDT Wed Aug 30 2023

...IDALIA RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE...
...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS EXPECTED IN
THE FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION THIS MORNING WHEN IDALIA MOVES INLAND...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.3N 84.5W
ABOUT 100 MI...175 KM SW OF CEDAR KEY FLORIDA
ABOUT 175 MI...280 KM S OF TALLAHASSEE FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...945 MB...27.91 INCHES

Link Posted: 8/30/2023 2:39:08 AM EDT
[#32]
Fair

83°F

28°C

Humidity77%
Wind SpeedS 16 mph
Barometer29.73 in (1007.2 mb)
Dewpoint75°F (24°C)
Visibility10.00 mi
Heat Index90°F (32°C)
Last update30 Aug 1:55 am EDT

I'm up because the power went out for about 5 minutes, sound of silence woke me up. It's dry outside right now, not even a rain puddle.
Internet down here and tethering off the phone.

We may or may not get another rain band here in a bit.

https://radar.weather.gov/station/kmlb/standard
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 2:40:35 AM EDT
[#33]







Link Posted: 8/30/2023 2:43:34 AM EDT
[#34]
It has quite rapidly gone from a typical hurricane party storm to a scary one.  I'm in Ponte Vedra, just south of Jacksonville, and even I have taken notice at this point despite being outside the projected cone.

Praying for you guys to the West.  With any luck, it'll hit in one of the preserves/swamps out that way and weaken a bit before it starts truly moving into areas like Perry or wherever it ends up heading.

EDIT:  I used to live in St. Pete Beach, on Sunset Way.  It's a pretty low-lying area, but 4 feet of water there...that's pretty nuts.  I've seen it get like 6 inches before.  But 4 feet?  Wow.  My car would definitely have been underwater in my parking lot, and they're just getting side-swiped.

Also, that Gulfport Casino Ballroom above.  It's on a little stretch of coast in Gulfport, which is slightly inland from St. Pete Beach.  I used to go to a bar there pretty frequently.  Crazy to see how high the water has gotten there as well.  Hope the area makes it through ok; I really enjoyed my time there.  Very nice people.
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 2:52:30 AM EDT
[#35]
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Praying for you guys to the West.  With any luck, it'll hit in one of the preserves/swamps out that way and weaken a bit before it starts truly moving into areas like Perry or wherever it ends up heading.

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I can't share a lot of info at the moment, but Taylor County (Perry) is expected to bear very bad news after this storm passes
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:05:25 AM EDT
[#36]
Best case landfall area as it’s sparsely populated.
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:08:28 AM EDT
[#37]
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I can't share a lot of info at the moment, but Taylor County (Perry) is expected to bear very bad news after this storm passes
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I take it nobody left for higher/drier ground there.

Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:13:00 AM EDT
[#38]






Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:21:17 AM EDT
[#39]




LAW & ORDER!
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:26:30 AM EDT
[#40]
I knew it !

Talking heads on Fox 35 calling for a CAT4 impact at landfall.

Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:26:42 AM EDT
[#41]
I guess we’re staging in Orlando.  Some guys flew in earlier this evening but I’ll be getting in tomorrow afternoon.  I hope this thing loses a bunch of energy in the swamps and I get to sit by a pool for a couple days until demobe.  Good luck out there gents.
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:28:43 AM EDT
[#42]
shes building up to be a bad one, morning time will be aweful. sure hope folks got out of town in the areas of landfall, those storm surges are looking bad already
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:28:44 AM EDT
[#43]
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I guess we’re staging in Orlando.  Some guys flew in earlier this evening but I’ll be getting in tomorrow afternoon.  I hope this thing loses a bunch of energy in the swamps and I get to sit by a pool for a couple days until demobe.  Good luck out there gents.
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TF?
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:29:57 AM EDT
[#44]
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I knew it !

Talking heads on Fox 35 calling for a CAT4 impact at landfall.

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they called it at around 10pm last night that it would become a cat 4.. how close are you to the center when it makes landfall?
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:33:13 AM EDT
[#45]
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TF?
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Makes sense. Orlando barely touched and staging area's have to be somewhat safe and have accomadation options.
Logistically it's relatively close to where the SHTF so crews can get in and out in a timely manner.
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:33:14 AM EDT
[#46]
My SIL, her husband, and my 3yo niece are facing their first hurricane in Tallahassee, having moved from Chicago six-or-so months ago.

Welcome to Florida! We'll see what this bitch has left for the SC Lowcountry.
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:33:26 AM EDT
[#47]









Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:33:45 AM EDT
[#48]
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I knew it !

Talking heads on Fox 35 calling for a CAT4 impact at landfall.

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Not surprising since it’s had a long area to travel in the gulf with the warmest water temps of the year.
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:34:39 AM EDT
[#49]
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they called it at around 10pm last night that it would become a cat 4.. how close are you to the center when it makes landfall?
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Long ways away, just a few miles inland from Cocoa Beach.

If anybody is in need, I can supply a couple of chain saws and a 4000W(peak) generator and a few gas cans.
Link Posted: 8/30/2023 3:37:16 AM EDT
[#50]
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Long ways away, just a few miles inland from Cocoa Beach.
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they called it at around 10pm last night that it would become a cat 4.. how close are you to the center when it makes landfall?

Long ways away, just a few miles inland from Cocoa Beach.


Its going to be a scary ride for the folks in the area of the landfall center
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