User Panel
User Panel
User Panel
|
Posted: 11/12/2022 10:51:08 PM EST
[#1]
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/12/2022 10:52:30 PM EST
[#2]
The Dems will steal this election from Kari and not a fucking thing will be done about it!
I wish it were different, but its just the way it is... This will go on until the snap happens. When it does, might want to have your list in order and able to shop for those groceries within 12 hrs. Produce spoiles quick... As we all know |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/12/2022 10:54:45 PM EST
[#3]
I'm gunna lol when the dems keep the house too.
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/12/2022 10:55:11 PM EST
[#4]
Quote HistoryQuoted: zero Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Another thing to point out The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru @Garrett_Archer 5h I didn't think I would have to say it but this does not deviate from past elections. County tabulates first in first out. South Phoenix is closer to MCTEC. It's that simple. There is no intentional "slow walking" of GOP heavy vote centers. They are in the suburbs and exurbs. I guess everyone just assumed that giga-karen hobbs was doing it on purpose because she gives off the vibe that she's a mean spiteful vindictive bitch who hates the pretty popular cheerleader type Speaking of mean and vindictive, was there any visible support of Kari Lake by the McCain-ites or Ducey, Robson, etc? zero I fucking hate most GOP leadership. I’m sure they feel the same about me. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/12/2022 10:59:09 PM EST
[#5]
Quote HistoryQuoted: This. Hobbs has to be one of the stupidest sounding person I've seen in front of a camera. She reminds of that idiot woman that accused Brent Kavanaugh of groping her. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: After watching interviews, the daily polls, and news outlets, if there was one race that I would have bet money on, it would be Kari Lake beating Katie Hobbs. No need to debate. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/12/2022 11:15:02 PM EST
[#6]
Quote HistoryDamn, fucking sad to see you back. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/12/2022 11:18:17 PM EST
[#7]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Damn, fucking sad to see you back. Few of them popping up tonight spreading goodwill amongst fellow firearms enthusiasts. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/12/2022 11:20:21 PM EST
[#8]
Is there an update on the amount or remaining votes to "count"?
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/12/2022 11:23:21 PM EST
[#9]
It's odd that when you look at the Arizona Secretary of State page all the races add up to approximately 2,230,000 total votes. Give or take just a couple thousand for a write-in or 3rd party.
Somehow the Governor contest has 2,280,000 votes. Odd they would have 50,000 extra votes. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/12/2022 11:24:18 PM EST
[#10]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Is there an update on the amount or remaining votes to "count"? As many as it takes. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/12/2022 11:48:43 PM EST
[#11]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Is there an update on the amount or remaining votes to "count"? I don't have confirmed outstanding numbers overall, or by county. They are all really estimates. I'm just (educated) guessing here.(the estimates keep changing) I'm operating on the assumption that: There are somewhere around 290,887 left overall 194885 left in Maricopa Apache 9,280 Cochise 8,262 Coconino 3,816 Gila 55 Graham 118 Mohave 1,200 Pinal 17,969 Yavapai 750 Yuma 1,155 53,397 left in Pima - This has been breaking pretty hard against Kari, like ~60-40ish. I don't know what type of vote is left here, or how it breaks, but assuming that keeps up she'll need to make up for it elsewhere. So If she needs 56% overall in AZ, she'll need to overperform that number in Maricopa, based on a bad Pima assumption. Earlier in the counting she was boasting she'll get 60-80% of the election day votes in Maricopa, but didn't look like she actually needed to hit those numbers. Now it is looking like she'll have to get pretty close to actually performing and reaching near the lower bound of her prediction, give or take a point or two, depending on how she does elsewhere. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/13/2022 12:01:16 AM EST
[#12]
Quote HistoryQuote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: I see the criminal supporters are out to gloat on another steal. Y'all made the bed. https://i.imgur.com/k8e4zBJ.jpg That’s a great big Trump endorsement in my book. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/13/2022 12:31:27 AM EST
[#13]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I don't have confirmed outstanding numbers overall, or by county. They are all really estimates. I'm just (educated) guessing here.(the estimates keep changing) I'm operating on the assumption that: There are somewhere around 290,887 left overall 194885 left in Maricopa Apache 9,280 Cochise 8,262 Coconino 3,816 Gila 55 Graham 118 Mohave 1,200 Pinal 17,969 Yavapai 750 Yuma 1,155 53,397 left in Pima - This has been breaking pretty hard against Kari, like ~60-40ish. I don't know what type of vote is left here, or how it breaks, but assuming that keeps up she'll need to make up for it elsewhere. So If she needs 56% overall in AZ, she'll need to overperform that number in Maricopa, based on a bad Pima assumption. Earlier in the counting she was boasting she'll get 60-80% of the election day votes in Maricopa, but didn't look like she actually needed to hit those numbers. Now it is looking like she'll have to get pretty close to actually performing and reaching near the lower bound of her prediction, give or take a point or two, depending on how she does elsewhere.
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/13/2022 1:21:17 AM EST
[#14]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Yeah I looked at that table and it doesn't make sense to me. The individual district leans don't appear to be properly factored into the votes per district to correctly arrive at that final vote tally. Anyone else think the same? |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/13/2022 1:22:49 AM EST
[#15]
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/13/2022 1:36:41 AM EST
[#16]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
FL got their count done in 5 hours. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/13/2022 3:08:36 AM EST
[#17]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Yeah I looked at that table and it doesn't make sense to me. The individual district leans don't appear to be properly factored into the votes per district to correctly arrive at that final vote tally. Anyone else think the same? Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted:
Yeah I looked at that table and it doesn't make sense to me. The individual district leans don't appear to be properly factored into the votes per district to correctly arrive at that final vote tally. Anyone else think the same? This applies the district "lean average" to the "votes left". But it still doesn't really makes sense because we don't know(maybe someone else does) what proportion of votes that have already come in from there in terms of party breakdown and early vs election day are.  |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 1:28:05 PM EST
[#18]
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 1:36:16 PM EST
[#19]
So how did it turn out?
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 1:43:37 PM EST
[#20]
Quote HistoryQuoted: So how did it turn out? They're still hunting for more mail in ballots to make Hobbs win. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 1:45:10 PM EST
[#21]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
So what happens if Masters were to end up with more votes at the end of everything? He already conceded. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 1:50:39 PM EST
[#22]
Quote HistoryQuoted: So what happens if Masters were to end up with more votes at the end of everything? He already conceded. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted:
So what happens if Masters were to end up with more votes at the end of everything? He already conceded. Al Gore conceded, and then rescinded his concession, to take W to court. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 1:51:03 PM EST
[#23]
Quote HistoryQuoted: So what happens if Masters were to end up with more votes at the end of everything? He already conceded. Mark Kelly would still be Senator. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 1:51:39 PM EST
[#24]
Bet Kari feels dumb for telling McCain voters not to vote for her.
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 1:53:45 PM EST
[#25]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I'm gunna lol when the dems keep the house too. Yep. I've been pessimistic this whole "RED TSUNAMI" time. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 1:54:33 PM EST
[#26]
Quote HistoryQuoted: They're still hunting for more mail in ballots to make Hobbs win. It's very fishy they are trickling out numbers so slow, they are either trying to get Lake to drop out or creating a scenario making it look like Lake was always behind so fewer people question when it goes to Hobbs. It's clearly going to Hobbs. Eta: also fishy that they say they're going to release 80k votes and it ends up being 97k, where did the extra come from? Why did they lie? |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 1:58:06 PM EST
[#27]
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 2:00:49 PM EST
[#28]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
This whole thing is absolutely fucking atrocious. They have absolutely nuked voter confidence in election integrity. At this point, I think I'd be ok with neutral foreign election observers running that shitshow for Arizona. 
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 2:08:45 PM EST
[#29]
I read on a news site that Kari Lake lost.
Can anyone in AZ confirm this? |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 2:10:35 PM EST
[#30]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Yep. I've been pessimistic this whole "RED TSUNAMI" time. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: I'm gunna lol when the dems keep the house too. Yep. I've been pessimistic this whole "RED TSUNAMI" time. PSYOP. It bred complacency. The Republicans are their own worst enemy. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 2:12:20 PM EST
[#31]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Absolute clownshoes. America is a circus and we're the goddamn clowns for letting this shit go on. 
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 2:22:32 PM EST
[#32]
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 2:26:01 PM EST
[#33]
 |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 2:27:06 PM EST
[#34]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Is there an update on the amount or remaining votes to "count"? Yeah there's 100% dem votes left to count and 0% rep votes... |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 2:28:07 PM EST
[#35]
Quote HistoryQuoted: So what happens if Masters were to end up with more votes at the end of everything? He already conceded. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted:
So what happens if Masters were to end up with more votes at the end of everything? He already conceded. Conceding has no legal force. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 2:30:30 PM EST
[#36]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Yeah there's 100% dem votes left to count and 0% rep votes... Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Is there an update on the amount or remaining votes to "count"? Yeah there's 100% dem votes left to count and 0% rep votes...  Attached File Attached File Attached File |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 2:37:37 PM EST
[#37]
Quote HistoryQuoted: It's odd that when you look at the Arizona Secretary of State page all the races add up to approximately 2,230,000 total votes. Give or take just a couple thousand for a write-in or 3rd party. Somehow the Governor contest has 2,280,000 votes. Odd they would have 50,000 extra votes. Not odd at all if you know what the fuck you’re talking about. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 2:52:30 PM EST
[#38]
Quote HistoryQuoted: So what happens if Masters were to end up with more votes at the end of everything? He already conceded. Sounds like their plan succeeded then. I initially said they were going to drag this out in order to make the R's concede before all the votes were counted. Then the real results would be memory holed. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 3:28:45 PM EST
[#39]
accident post. Carry on.
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 3:31:35 PM EST
[#40]
Was the DoJ at that particular location?
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 3:38:10 PM EST
[#41]
|
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 4:00:35 PM EST
[#42]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Not odd at all if you know what the fuck you’re talking about. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: It's odd that when you look at the Arizona Secretary of State page all the races add up to approximately 2,230,000 total votes. Give or take just a couple thousand for a write-in or 3rd party. Somehow the Governor contest has 2,280,000 votes. Odd they would have 50,000 extra votes. Not odd at all if you know what the fuck you’re talking about. Thank you for keeping me in check. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 4:16:05 PM EST
[#43]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Lake has been trailing the entire time, why do we think she will pull ahead now? Seriously? |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 4:17:29 PM EST
[#44]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Lake has been trailing the entire time, why do we think she will pull ahead now? Seriously? . dems are always behind in long counts and they end up winning. Whey can't a R win? LOLOLOLOL. Oh yeah, i forget, dems cheat. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 4:26:03 PM EST
[#45]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Yup...it ain't happening. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 4:27:45 PM EST
[#46]
Lake needs 60% of the rest of the votes. She has been trailing for the entire election so would not get my hopes up.
She really blew it with the independents and moderate Rep. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 4:30:34 PM EST
[#47]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Lake has been trailing the entire time, why do we think she will pull ahead now? Seriously? Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted:
Lake has been trailing the entire time, why do we think she will pull ahead now? Seriously? because the dem SoS has been counting the dem heavy areas 1st |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 4:30:50 PM EST
[#48]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Bet Kari feels dumb for telling McCain voters not to vote for her. Would they have voted for her? The McCain clan are elitist |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 4:33:15 PM EST
[#49]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Would they have voted for her? The McCain clan are elitist I bet she would like 25,000 extra votes right bout now. |
|
|
|
Posted: 11/14/2022 4:45:44 PM EST
[#50]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Lake has been trailing the entire time, why do we think she will pull ahead now? Seriously? Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted:
Lake has been trailing the entire time, why do we think she will pull ahead now? Seriously? The theory is that due to lack of faith in the system, a disproportional number of R's voted at the polls on election day, vs mail in. And in districts and locations that for various reasons, have resulted in a delay (at best?) of those being counted until the end. Or at least, that's what everyone keeps saying. I'm not seeing that actualy showing up, and it hasn't really been playing out that way so much; but that's the seemingly good sounding explanation. The fact that those handling those ballots at the polls in the hardest R districts can't seem to figure out how to count and process the ballots in a timely manner, doesn't fll with confidence. At this point, I would not be putting money on Lake winning. 93% of the votes are in and she's a full 1% behind. That translates to a really really high percentage of the outstanding votes being R. Frankly, aside from overt malfeasance in keeping such segregated, I don't see it happening. (there is a separate thread accusing just that malfeasance with specific "eye witness" "accounts". Which was later debunked as complete bullshit by a long-standing member here, who was there at the time and showed screen shots and such. Making up fake shit accusations like that doesn't help - it's quite damaging actually.) |
|
|
Win a FREE Membership!
Sign up for the ARFCOM weekly newsletter and be entered to win a free ARFCOM membership. One new winner* is announced every week!
You will receive an email every Friday morning featuring the latest chatter from the hottest topics, breaking news surrounding legislation, as well as exclusive deals only available to ARFCOM email subscribers.
AR15.COM is the world's largest firearm community and is a gathering place for firearm enthusiasts of all types.
From hunters and military members, to competition shooters and general firearm enthusiasts, we welcome anyone who values and respects the way of the firearm.
Subscribe to our monthly Newsletter to receive firearm news, product discounts from your favorite Industry Partners, and more.
Copyright © 1996-2024 AR15.COM LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Any use of this content without express written consent is prohibited.
AR15.Com reserves the right to overwrite or replace any affiliate, commercial, or monetizable links, posted by users, with our own.
Attached File