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Posted: 3/24/2020 10:45:26 AM EST
I've posed several simple questions that flu bros won't answer. Nos. 7-8 are the only new questions on the list. With every question I have posted, I have predicted that no one would answer it. Over the course of about a week, only one flu bro has answered only one of the questions, no. 6. So, flu bros, what do you say?

1. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the infection rate reach?
2. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the final death rate be?
3. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the infection rate reach?
4. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the final death rate be?
5. On what date will total deaths stop doubling every 3-4 days and the doubling rate begin to slow?
6. How many lives saved would make the current quarantine measures worth it?
7. How many would have to die before people would self-quarantine without government directives?
8. How many would have to die before people should self-quarantine of their own accord?

All answers will, of course, be approximations. I am using the word quarantine loosely, to mean staying at home and procuring only essential goods and services.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:47:12 AM EST
[#1]
Lol. Half those questions require a crystal ball and you can't answer them either.

Edit...over half
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:48:44 AM EST
[#2]
Quoted:
I've posed several simple questions that flu bros won't answer. Nos. 7-8 are the only new questions on the list. With every question I have posted, I have predicted that no one would answer it. Over the course of about a week, only one flu bro has answered only one of the questions, no. 6. So, flu bros, what do you say?

1. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the infection rate reach?
2. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the final death rate be?
3. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the infection rate reach?
4. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the final death rate be?
5. On what date will deaths stop doubling every 3-4 days and the doubling rate begin to slow?
6. How many lives saved would make the current quarantine measures worth it?
7. How many would have to die before people would self-quarantine without government directives?
8. How many would have to die before people should self-quarantine of their own accord?

All answers will, of course, be approximations. I am using the word quarantine loosely, to mean staying at home and procuring only essential goods and services.
View Quote


Can you answer any of those questions without using words like, "feel" or "think"?
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:48:47 AM EST
[#3]
Freedom be scary yo.  No one is stopping anyone from self quarantining.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:51:03 AM EST
[#4]
Question for the shut everything down types:. How long exactly will things need to remain closed just to "slow" the spread of this virus, and how do we avoid another great depression if we do this?  Waiting for answers.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:51:07 AM EST
[#5]
Quoted:
I've posed several simple questions that flu bros won't answer. Nos. 7-8 are the only new questions on the list. With every question I have posted, I have predicted that no one would answer it. Over the course of about a week, only one flu bro has answered only one of the questions, no. 6. So, flu bros, what do you say?

1. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the infection rate reach?
2. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the final death rate be?
3. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the infection rate reach?
4. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the final death rate be?
5. On what date will deaths stop doubling every 3-4 days and the doubling rate begin to slow?
6. How many lives saved would make the current quarantine measures worth it?
7. How many would have to die before people would self-quarantine without government directives?
8. How many would have to die before people should self-quarantine of their own accord?

All answers will, of course, be approximations. I am using the word quarantine loosely, to mean staying at home and procuring only essential goods and services.
View Quote


I don’t know what a flu bro is but the answer to most of your questions is...

How the fuck would anyone know?

You post this like you think formulating these questions makes you somehow superior to these so-called “flu bros”. Can you answer any of these questions?

Here’s one for you, what’s the minimum virus mortality rate we should look for to institute a nationwide lockdown?
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:52:33 AM EST
[#6]
Flubros, Doomers, who gives a shit. We are going to be standing in breadlines soon enough
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:52:52 AM EST
[#7]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Can you answer any of those questions without using words like, "feel" or "think"?
View Quote
Take a stab at it.  Error is ingrained in every single measurement ever made.  Yet it doesn't stop you from putting gas in your car.

It is literally not possible to make a decision if you cannot make projections.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:52:57 AM EST
[#8]
I'm going to answer them all with 87. Do I get a cookie?
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:53:40 AM EST
[#9]
Quoted:
I've posed several simple questions that flu bros won't answer. Nos. 7-8 are the only new questions on the list. With every question I have posted, I have predicted that no one would answer it. Over the course of about a week, only one flu bro has answered only one of the questions, no. 6. So, flu bros, what do you say?

1. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the infection rate reach?
2. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the final death rate be?
3. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the infection rate reach?
4. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the final death rate be?
5. On what date will deaths stop doubling every 3-4 days and the doubling rate begin to slow?
6. How many lives saved would make the current quarantine measures worth it?
7. How many would have to die before people would self-quarantine without government directives?
8. How many would have to die before people should self-quarantine of their own accord?

All answers will, of course, be approximations. I am using the word quarantine loosely, to mean staying at home and procuring only essential goods and services.
View Quote


Pretty much First Post Nails It again.

What are YOUR answers to each?...because they are all Predictions.

Can you give definitive answers to (say)  China, South Korea, Japan and Italy?   (All of which were hit before the US, and should at least have some preliminary numbers based on the measures they've taken.)

I don't consider myself either a FluBro or a Doom and Gloomer...the answer falls in the middle somewhere.   The question is WHERE in the middle.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:55:16 AM EST
[#10]
Worse than the flu, which no one seems to give a shit about, year after year.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:55:29 AM EST
[#11]
Quoted:
I've posed several simple questions that flu bros won't answer. Nos. 7-8 are the only new questions on the list. With every question I have posted, I have predicted that no one would answer it. Over the course of about a week, only one flu bro has answered only one of the questions, no. 6. So, flu bros, what do you say?

1. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the infection rate reach?
2. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the final death rate be?
3. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the infection rate reach?
4. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the final death rate be?
5. On what date will deaths stop doubling every 3-4 days and the doubling rate begin to slow?
6. How many lives saved would make the current quarantine measures worth it?
7. How many would have to die before people would self-quarantine without government directives?
8. How many would have to die before people should self-quarantine of their own accord?

All answers will, of course, be approximations. I am using the word quarantine loosely, to mean staying at home and procuring only essential goods and services.
View Quote


OK Doomer.

1) you can't know this because we don't have an alternate reality
2) see number one
3) what do you mean "infection rate". Number of people in the US who will get the disease? 20% is my guess
4) under 200,000 deaths, 0.06% of the US population
5) In a few days, most likely. It's showing signs of trending down in MOST countries, but not the US.
6) You're asking a very nebulous question based on data we'll never know. Pass
7) Impossible to know human behaviour
8) Stupid question as well. But I could guess maybe 1/2 million. We are at 750 deaths in the US so far, which is 0.0004% of the US population.

Happy?
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:56:02 AM EST
[#12]
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:56:22 AM EST
[#13]
For the record... I'm a flubro.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:57:55 AM EST
[#14]
This thread is dumb.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:58:29 AM EST
[#15]
BRAKKING flu bros nor anyone else can answer those questions
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 10:59:03 AM EST
[#16]
The death rate is trending down. It'll be under 1% in a few days. I predict the final tally will be under 0.6%
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:00:06 AM EST
[#17]
My one question.

If its so bad why is everyone allowed to work?


If you do anything except sell chick shit at chick stores , you're still working here.

I thought were all gonna die if we leave our houses ?

Why is work safe ,and anything not work related a death sentence ?
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:00:32 AM EST
[#18]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Can you answer any of those questions without using words like, "feel" or "think"?
View Quote


Where is your empirical evidence that China or Russia won’t initiate a nuclear ICBM/SLBM attack later today and cause a nuclear apocalypse?
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:00:38 AM EST
[#19]
Those questions are retarded and so is this thread.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:00:40 AM EST
[#20]
Life is inherently dangerous. We should all just stay home.

Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:01:46 AM EST
[#21]
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:01:46 AM EST
[#22]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Lol. Half those questions require a crystal ball and you can't answer them either.

Edit...over half
View Quote


All of them.

Let them all argue.

So long, I’m going to go and get my papers for when I’m stopped by the police.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:02:00 AM EST
[#23]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Can you answer any of those questions without using words like, "feel" or "think"?
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
I've posed several simple questions that flu bros won't answer. Nos. 7-8 are the only new questions on the list. With every question I have posted, I have predicted that no one would answer it. Over the course of about a week, only one flu bro has answered only one of the questions, no. 6. So, flu bros, what do you say?

1. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the infection rate reach?
2. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the final death rate be?
3. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the infection rate reach?
4. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the final death rate be?
5. On what date will deaths stop doubling every 3-4 days and the doubling rate begin to slow?
6. How many lives saved would make the current quarantine measures worth it?
7. How many would have to die before people would self-quarantine without government directives?
8. How many would have to die before people should self-quarantine of their own accord?

All answers will, of course, be approximations. I am using the word quarantine loosely, to mean staying at home and procuring only essential goods and services.


Can you answer any of those questions without using words like, "feel" or "think"?


What's wrong with answering with "think" or feel" answers? I'll take any answers I can get. But, as you can see, flu bros won't answer.

I have given data-based answers to questions 1-4 many times. I have a guess for no. 5, but I'm not going to state it now to avoid influencing people. Nos. 6-8 are obviously personal, value-based answers, but, again, what's stopping the flu bros from answering?

Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:02:25 AM EST
[#24]
Quoted:
I've posed several simple questions that flu bros won't answer. Nos. 7-8 are the only new questions on the list. With every question I have posted, I have predicted that no one would answer it. Over the course of about a week, only one flu bro has answered only one of the questions, no. 6. So, flu bros, what do you say?

1. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the infection rate reach?
No way to answer that.

2. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the final death rate be?
No way to answer that.

3. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the infection rate reach?
No way to answer that.
4. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the final death rate be?
No way to answer that.

5. On what date will deaths stop doubling every 3-4 days and the doubling rate begin to slow?
Depends on too many factors, but we should be approaching it now.

6. How many lives saved would make the current quarantine measures worth it?
No number really. All of this is only trying to slow the infection rate and death rate.

7. How many would have to die before people would self-quarantine without government directives?
People are individuals, I cannot speak for them.  For me we aren’t even close.

8. How many would have to die before people should self-quarantine of their own accord? Same answer as above.

All answers will, of course, be approximations. I am using the word quarantine loosely, to mean staying at home and procuring only essential goods and services.
View Quote


Your questions are stupid and I’m not a “flu bro”.  At what point to the deaths and hardships from a collapsing economy out weigh the deaths and hardship of this virus.  Now do the actual flu... bro.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:02:45 AM EST
[#25]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Flubros, Doomers, who gives a shit. We are going to be standing in breadlines soon enough
View Quote

Attachment Attached File
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:02:46 AM EST
[#26]
The successful quarantining was hard-line.  I have my doubts about how successful we will be without the hard line approach.  Too many people just see an envelope that needs to be pushed.  Spoiled by freedom
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:02:47 AM EST
[#27]
Quoted:
I've posed several simple questions that flu bros won't answer. Nos. 7-8 are the only new questions on the list. With every question I have posted, I have predicted that no one would answer it. Over the course of about a week, only one flu bro has answered only one of the questions, no. 6. So, flu bros, what do you say?

1. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the infection rate reach? 80%
2. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the final death rate be? On the order of 10k/day
3. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the infection rate reach?
4. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the final death rate be? 2k/d
5. On what date will deaths stop doubling every 3-4 days and the doubling rate begin to slow?  End of April
6. How many lives saved would make the current quarantine measures worth it?
7. How many would have to die before people would self-quarantine without government directives?
8. How many would have to die before people should self-quarantine of their own accord?

All answers will, of course, be approximations. I am using the word quarantine loosely, to mean staying at home and procuring only essential goods and services.
View Quote
I'll take a stab at a couple easier ones.  Feel free to counter with you're own estimates.  My gut feel is that my estimates are optimistic by an order of magnitude.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:02:57 AM EST
[#28]
lol
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:03:45 AM EST
[#29]
Low T thread. Seek treatment, you'll feel like a man again.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:03:58 AM EST
[#30]
Quoted:
I've posed several simple questions that flu bros won't answer. Nos. 7-8 are the only new questions on the list. With every question I have posted, I have predicted that no one would answer it. Over the course of about a week, only one flu bro has answered only one of the questions, no. 6. So, flu bros, what do you say?

1. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the infection rate reach?
2. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the final death rate be?
3. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the infection rate reach?
4. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the final death rate be?
5. On what date will deaths stop doubling every 3-4 days and the doubling rate begin to slow?
6. How many lives saved would make the current quarantine measures worth it?
7. How many would have to die before people would self-quarantine without government directives?
8. How many would have to die before people should self-quarantine of their own accord?

All answers will, of course, be approximations. I am using the word quarantine loosely, to mean staying at home and procuring only essential goods and services.
View Quote


Those questions sound an awful lot like the anti-gun how many lives have to be taken before we should ban all guns type questions.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:04:12 AM EST
[#31]
So you hate freedom OP?
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:04:46 AM EST
[#32]
Just when you thought the stupidity was receding..............................






For the record, flu bros are not nearly as retarded as chicken little/doomer/flat earthers.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:05:07 AM EST
[#33]
Here you go OP read and educate yourself

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:05:21 AM EST
[#34]
Because they're super loaded questions. How many people should have to die before the govt takes away your AR? How many people should have to die before you give up your AR?
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:05:32 AM EST
[#35]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Question for the shut everything down types:. How long exactly will things need to remain closed just to "slow" the spread of this virus, and how do we avoid another great depression if we do this?  Waiting for answers.
View Quote


Two months. And your Great Depression is a sniffle compared to what would happen if half the world is taken out of service for a month at the same time.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:05:38 AM EST
[#36]
The only thing more sacred than life is freedom.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:06:08 AM EST
[#37]
LOL you are the smartest guy in the room.

Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:06:13 AM EST
[#38]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


OK Doomer.

1) you can't know this because we don't have an alternate reality
2) see number one
3) what do you mean "infection rate". Number of people in the US who will get the disease? 20% is my guess
4) under 200,000 deaths, 0.06% of the US population
5) In a few days, most likely. It's showing signs of trending down in MOST countries, but not the US.
6) You're asking a very nebulous question based on data we'll never know. Pass
7) Impossible to know human behaviour
8) Stupid question as well. But I could guess maybe 1/2 million. We are at 750 deaths in the US so far, which is 0.0004% of the US population.

Happy?
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
I've posed several simple questions that flu bros won't answer. Nos. 7-8 are the only new questions on the list. With every question I have posted, I have predicted that no one would answer it. Over the course of about a week, only one flu bro has answered only one of the questions, no. 6. So, flu bros, what do you say?

1. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the infection rate reach?
2. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the final death rate be?
3. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the infection rate reach?
4. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the final death rate be?
5. On what date will deaths stop doubling every 3-4 days and the doubling rate begin to slow?
6. How many lives saved would make the current quarantine measures worth it?
7. How many would have to die before people would self-quarantine without government directives?
8. How many would have to die before people should self-quarantine of their own accord?

All answers will, of course, be approximations. I am using the word quarantine loosely, to mean staying at home and procuring only essential goods and services.


OK Doomer.

1) you can't know this because we don't have an alternate reality
2) see number one
3) what do you mean "infection rate". Number of people in the US who will get the disease? 20% is my guess
4) under 200,000 deaths, 0.06% of the US population
5) In a few days, most likely. It's showing signs of trending down in MOST countries, but not the US.
6) You're asking a very nebulous question based on data we'll never know. Pass
7) Impossible to know human behaviour
8) Stupid question as well. But I could guess maybe 1/2 million. We are at 750 deaths in the US so far, which is 0.0004% of the US population.

Happy?


Happier.

Your death rate is 21.7 times lower than the lowest estimated death rate, btw.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:06:20 AM EST
[#39]
worst panic poster yet. go back to your mommy.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:06:38 AM EST
[#40]
Quoted:
I've posed several simple questions that flu bros won't answer. Nos. 7-8 are the only new questions on the list. With every question I have posted, I have predicted that no one would answer it. Over the course of about a week, only one flu bro has answered only one of the questions, no. 6. So, flu bros, what do you say?

1. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the infection rate reach?
2. If few, if any, quarantine measures had been taken in the U.S., what would the final death rate be?
3. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the infection rate reach?
4. Given the quarantine measures that we have taken, what will the final death rate be?
5. On what date will deaths stop doubling every 3-4 days and the doubling rate begin to slow?
6. How many lives saved would make the current quarantine measures worth it?
7. How many would have to die before people would self-quarantine without government directives?
8. How many would have to die before people should self-quarantine of their own accord?

All answers will, of course, be approximations. I am using the word quarantine loosely, to mean staying at home and procuring only essential goods and services.
View Quote


no matter what side your on, neither will have the whole truth, the real numbers or any validation we can even gloat about. We have a new virus that will kill every year for the rest of mankind somewhere on this planet.

When I look at my collectors card that every tax payer received showing a picture of Bin Ladens lifeless body propped up in a chair with a pig head sat in his lap gesturing he was getting oral), I think it was all worth it.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:07:13 AM EST
[#41]
You can't "disprove a negative".
your argument is fundamentally flawed.

you should add in there:
"do you like beating up old, infected people?"
while you are at it.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:07:14 AM EST
[#42]
Once the cure becomes worse than the virus itself we're all fucked anyways. Plus it will probably still spread.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:07:14 AM EST
[#43]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


What's wrong with answering with "think" or feel" answers? I'll take any answers I can get. But, as you can see, flu bros won't answer.

I have given data-based answers to questions 1-4 many times. I have a guess for no. 5, but I'm not going to state it now to avoid influencing people. Nos. 6-8 are obviously personal, value-based answers, but, again, what's stopping the flu bros from answering?

View Quote


Is it a good answer when asked if we should ban guns and some soccer mom answers with think or feel?

Questions are retarded, so is the thread.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:07:51 AM EST
[#44]
"Those who would give up essential Liberty, to purchase a little temporary Safety, deserve neither Liberty nor Safety."
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:08:03 AM EST
[#45]
Current situation?

US will have similar infection numbers to H1N1 with a death rate of .3.

We'll see less than 50k dead in the US.

Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:08:24 AM EST
[#46]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Because they're super loaded questions. How many people should have to die before the govt takes away your AR? How many people should have to die before you give up your AR?
View Quote


Not even a good comparison. Never once has an AR killed anyone.

This is about spreading out the infected long enough for the world to keep spinning. Everyone gets infected around the same time and that’s when shit hits the fan, and keeps hitting the fan as the dominos fall.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:08:40 AM EST
[#47]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
The death rate is trending down. It'll be under 1% in a few days. I predict the final tally will be under 0.6%
View Quote


That's not the death rate. That's the ratio of deaths to total cases. It means jack squat because it includes people who haven't died yet but will. Some MSM sources have been incorrectly calling it a death rate in recent days, though.
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:09:51 AM EST
[#48]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Take a stab at it.  Error is ingrained in every single measurement ever made.  Yet it doesn't stop you from putting gas in your car.

It is literally not possible to make a decision if you cannot make projections.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:


Can you answer any of those questions without using words like, "feel" or "think"?
Take a stab at it.  Error is ingrained in every single measurement ever made.  Yet it doesn't stop you from putting gas in your car.

It is literally not possible to make a decision if you cannot make projections.




What's the most you ever lost on a coin toss?
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:11:13 AM EST
[#49]
Link Posted: 3/24/2020 11:11:41 AM EST
[#50]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:




What's the most you ever lost on a coin toss?
View Quote
Bout $100k if you count the 2008 housing collapse. Where we going with this?
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