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Posted: 4/16/2019 10:42:13 AM EDT
Yay, I love large hail and possible tornados
1 PM map change 
1 AM map change 
8 AM map change  ...Southern Plains... A moist air mass will already be in place across the region beneath a well-developed EML. Resultant capping should preclude thunderstorm development across the region until the afternoon when the combination of daytime heating, large-scale ascent, boundary-layer mixing and surface convergence act to overcome the convective inhibition. Narrowing down the best location for initial development is difficult given the prevalence of surface boundaries. Initiation is also possible within the open warm sector. Once convective initiation occurs, quick and strong updraft development is anticipated, with the potential for very large hail (i.e. greater than 2" in diameter). Increasing thunderstorm coverage is expected into the evening as large-scale ascent strengthens and the entire system shifts eastward. Primary severe threat is large hail. A tornado threat exists, but weakness in the flow between 850 and 700 mb (resulting from the preceding shortwave trough and overall positive tilt of the upper trough) cast some doubt towards the robustness of low-level mesocyclone organization. Damaging wind gusts are also likely, particularly later in the period as a convective line organizes along the front. 
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Posted: 4/16/2019 10:45:40 AM EDT
[#1]
I'm on the western edge which means I should be okay, but in fact will be wrecked.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 10:47:40 AM EDT
[#2]
I'm right in the middle.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 10:49:02 AM EDT
[#3]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I'm on the western edge which means I should be okay, but in fact will be wrecked. |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 10:49:57 AM EDT
[#4]
Got these sat morning (4/13/19)
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Posted: 4/16/2019 10:50:45 AM EDT
[#5]
I’m in “slight”, I’m already prepared
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Posted: 4/16/2019 10:50:47 AM EDT
[#6]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Got these sat morning https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/192762/ED70BA54-3C52-4076-B4C0-9E74DEA829AC-914334.jpg |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 10:51:35 AM EDT
[#7]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Got these sat morning (4/13/19) https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/192762/ED70BA54-3C52-4076-B4C0-9E74DEA829AC-914334.jpg |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 10:51:43 AM EDT
[#8]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Just add whiskey 
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Posted: 4/16/2019 10:52:53 AM EDT
[#9]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
They’re predicting 2”+ tomorrow. So there’s a chance you’ll get more of those. |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:06:35 AM EDT
[#10]
Tornadoes are so rare per square mile that I don't worry about it.
Hail is much more plentiful and leaves a lasting impression 
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:07:38 AM EDT
[#11]
Ill be sure to park in the covered parking garage tomorrow. far corner spot.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:09:07 AM EDT
[#12]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I'm in the enhanced |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:32:04 AM EDT
[#13]
I hate these color codes charts (colorblind!). Is Houston in the MRGL or MDT?
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:41:02 AM EDT
[#14]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Tornadoes are so rare per square mile that I don't worry about it. Hail is much more plentiful and leaves a lasting impression |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:41:37 AM EDT
[#15]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I hate these color codes charts (colorblind!). Is Houston in the MRGL or MDT? |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:48:07 AM EDT
[#16]
I'm out of town for work and in the zone.
If I went home I'd still be in the zone. 
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:48:44 AM EDT
[#17]
Prayers for everyone's safety.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:52:07 AM EDT
[#18]
I remember a long time ago when we had 4’ hail drifts in the Panhandle in June. This is nothing new or out of the ordinary for this time of year.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:53:58 AM EDT
[#19]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I remember a long time ago when we had 4’ hail drifts in the Panhandle in June. This is nothing new or out of the ordinary for this time of year. https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2012/04/13/150553921/holy-hail-photos-videos-show-texas-storms-fury-drifts-4-feet-deep |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:55:29 AM EDT
[#20]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Somebody will call bullshit, so I'll put up a link. https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2012/04/13/150553921/holy-hail-photos-videos-show-texas-storms-fury-drifts-4-feet-deep Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
I remember a long time ago when we had 4’ hail drifts in the Panhandle in June. This is nothing new or out of the ordinary for this time of year. https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2012/04/13/150553921/holy-hail-photos-videos-show-texas-storms-fury-drifts-4-feet-deep |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:55:46 AM EDT
[#21]
Angus is already peppered
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:58:53 AM EDT
[#22]
Crossing my fingers for a day off work!
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Posted: 4/16/2019 11:59:26 AM EDT
[#23]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I'm in the enhanced Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
I'm on the western edge which means I should be okay, but in fact will be wrecked. |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:00:06 PM EDT
[#24]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Somebody will call bullshit, so I'll put up a link. https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2012/04/13/150553921/holy-hail-photos-videos-show-texas-storms-fury-drifts-4-feet-deep Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
I remember a long time ago when we had 4’ hail drifts in the Panhandle in June. This is nothing new or out of the ordinary for this time of year. https://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2012/04/13/150553921/holy-hail-photos-videos-show-texas-storms-fury-drifts-4-feet-deep |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:01:32 PM EDT
[#25]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
My mom was in Amarillo that day and couldn’t get home because they closed 87/287 in between there and Dumas.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:09:44 PM EDT
[#26]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I thank her for her service. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
My mom was in Amarillo that day and couldn’t get home because they closed 87/287 in between there and Dumas. 
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:11:35 PM EDT
[#27]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I'm in the enhanced Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
I'm on the western edge which means I should be okay, but in fact will be wrecked. 
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:12:11 PM EDT
[#28]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I too am enhanced 
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:12:16 PM EDT
[#29]
waiting for the official @Pscutton thread.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:21:59 PM EDT
[#30]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Now look at tornadoes per square mile over a lifetime, say 80 years. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
Tornadoes are so rare per square mile that I don't worry about it. Hail is much more plentiful and leaves a lasting impression Wind - yes Hail - yes Floods - I keep my eyes open, but not too concerned |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:25:39 PM EDT
[#31]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
waiting for the official @Pscutton thread. |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:30:55 PM EDT
[#32]
I'm getting a new roof next week from the LAST hail storm. Let it hail now no fucks given.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:39:49 PM EDT
[#33]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Prayers for everyone's safety. |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:42:51 PM EDT
[#34]
Evan Andrews on Fox 4 said possible Tennis ball sized hail tomorrow
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:43:05 PM EDT
[#35]
Enhanced doesn't sound too good to me....but that's where we're at tomorrow. Right on the bottom edge.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:46:03 PM EDT
[#36]
Right in the bullseye. I guess I won't be driving the Mustang tomorrow.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:56:11 PM EDT
[#37]
You DFW folks seem to get hit with way more than your fair share of this stuff.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:56:56 PM EDT
[#38]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Back at you Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted: Prayers for everyone's safety. 
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Posted: 4/16/2019 12:59:31 PM EDT
[#39]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
My mom was in Amarillo that day and couldn’t get home because they closed 87/287 in between there and Dumas. |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 1:15:31 PM EDT
[#40]
Quote HistoryQuoted: And I thought having to follow a snow plow clearing hail off the interstate in eastern CO was bad. New Mexico has had some crazy hail drifts in recent memory too. |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 1:15:55 PM EDT
[#41]
Most folks are completely oblivious. My ex would drive around and then be like "oh there was a tornado 5 miles away?"
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Posted: 4/16/2019 1:16:51 PM EDT
[#42]
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Posted: 4/16/2019 1:17:58 PM EDT
[#43]
My body is not ready for this.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 1:57:28 PM EDT
[#44]
The map has changed/expanded.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 2:05:37 PM EDT
[#45]
Got my hardhat ready
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Posted: 4/16/2019 3:08:39 PM EDT
[#46]
Heeheheee. Moist.
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Posted: 4/16/2019 3:10:53 PM EDT
[#47]
Love Texas, but man I hate this part of it during this part of the year.
Fucking hail. 
Hopefully I can get my car home and in the garage before the angry hand of God totals the fucker. |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 3:16:18 PM EDT
[#48]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Love Texas, but man I hate this part of it during this part of the year. Fucking hail.
Hopefully I can get my car home and in the garage before the angry hand of God totals the fucker. |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 3:17:17 PM EDT
[#49]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Love Texas, but man I hate this part of it during this part of the year. Fucking hail.
Hopefully I can get my car home and in the garage before the angry hand of God totals the fucker. |
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Posted: 4/16/2019 3:22:15 PM EDT
[#50]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
The only thing worse than hail is the gypsy roof contractors that flock like locusts to effected areas. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
Love Texas, but man I hate this part of it during this part of the year. Fucking hail.
Hopefully I can get my car home and in the garage before the angry hand of God totals the fucker. |
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