Woman Goes Missing While Vacationing In Mexico, Boyfriend Devastated - Page 9

[ARCHIVED THREAD] - Woman Goes Missing While Vacationing In Mexico, Boyfriend Devastated (Page 9 of 9)

Posted: 11/27/2018 12:46:42 PM EDT

[#1]

Many people while on vacation make mistakes that they don't do at home.

Mainly drinking too much.

This leads to problems like walking in shady areas while drunk and getting mugged or maybe getting hit by a car crossing the street or maybe going swimming, any number of things that would not have happened if they were sober.

Also many tourists look to buy drugs and that puts them close to criminals and their shady doings.

Posted: 11/27/2018 2:30:02 PM EDT

[#2]

Quote History

Quoted:
1. This is completely offset by the fact that for the other countries as well, the rate for tourists is likely significantly lower than 1 in 710,000 for the very same reason. No offense, but how much of a math background do you have?

2. Of course it is so, because the length of exposure is much greater. Most people aren't on vacation for all year, so they spend much more of their time in their home State. Let's swag a one week vacation. Thane that means for 51 weeks, a New Hampshire resident has a cumulative risk of 1 in 100,000, or 1 in 5,100,000 per week. Whereas the one week he is in Mexico, he is running a 1 in 420,000 risk, since he is only there the one week. That's over TWELVE TIMES THE RISK on a per week basis.

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Quoted:

Quoted:

No, but the rate is fairly close to being twice as high as the average rate for all other countries.

Either way, the rate is extremely low. And it includes lots of American citizens who were going to Mexico for reasons other than tourism. It also includes tourists like me who go on wild adventures in Mexico and don’t stick to normal tourist destinations.

And, if you live in Montana, you are almost twice as likely to be struck by lightning in a given year as an American tourist is to be murdered in Mexico. Again, should everyone in Montana flee the state out of fear of lightning strikes?

1. Americans never go to other countries than Mexico for reasons other than tourism?
2. There is no lightning in Mexico? Or, more likely, you get to run a similar risk of that, PLUS the particular Mexican brand of mayhem?

1. Of course they do. But we have been talking about the risk to average tourists, so I wanted to point out that the rate for average tourists is likely significantly lower than 1 in 420,000, because of all the Americans who go to Mexico for non-tourism reasons.

2. Of course there is, although the risk is probably lower than it is for people in Montana (Montana has a higher rate of lightning striking people than other states in the US). But that’s not the point. The point is that both are very low risks. Do you really think 1 in 420,000+ is too risky? The murder rate just about anywhere in the US is higher than that. Even in New Hampshire, which has the lowest murder rate in the US, it’s about 1 in 100,000 (more than 4 times higher than the rate of Americans being murdered in Mexico).

1. This is completely offset by the fact that for the other countries as well, the rate for tourists is likely significantly lower than 1 in 710,000 for the very same reason. No offense, but how much of a math background do you have?

2. Of course it is so, because the length of exposure is much greater. Most people aren't on vacation for all year, so they spend much more of their time in their home State. Let's swag a one week vacation. Thane that means for 51 weeks, a New Hampshire resident has a cumulative risk of 1 in 100,000, or 1 in 5,100,000 per week. Whereas the one week he is in Mexico, he is running a 1 in 420,000 risk, since he is only there the one week. That's over TWELVE TIMES THE RISK on a per week basis.

1. You’re not understanding. The point is that the absolute risk for an average tourist is less than 1 in 420,000 due to the fact that the statistics include people not going for tourism. My point wasn’t to say that the same thing doesn’t also apply to other countries. It does. The risk for an average tourist visiting other countries is lower than 1 in 710,000 for the same reason that the risk for average tourists in Mexico is lower than 1 in 420,000.

2. The point is that the risk is extremely low. If you wouldn’t worry about someone being murdered because he lived in New Hampshire for a year, it doesn’t make sense to worry about someone being murdered because he visited Mexico for a week. Unless, of course, you want to be worried about people who visit Mexico for a week because it fits your worldview or your narrative.

[ARCHIVED THREAD] - Woman Goes Missing While Vacationing In Mexico, Boyfriend Devastated (Page 9 of 9)

General » General Discussion

Win a FREE Membership!

Sign up for the ARFCOM weekly newsletter and be entered to win a free ARFCOM membership. One new winner* is announced every week!

You will receive an email every Friday morning featuring the latest chatter from the hottest topics, breaking news surrounding legislation, as well as exclusive deals only available to ARFCOM email subscribers.

Warning

Confirm Action

About AR15.COM

Stay Connected

Newsletter

Contact Us