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AR15.COM
8/8/2026 8:57:16 PM EDT
We're only 3 weeks away!



If you've never played before, this is a fun way to while away the upcoming college football season. In a nutshell, pick one team that hasn't lost yet. If they win you get to pick another team the next week. Lather, rinse, repeat. No prizes, just for fun. By the 8th or ninth week of the season, the number of undefeated teams usually gets down to 10 or 15, so you might want to save the top teams for deeper into the season.


Rules
1)Pick one college FBS (aka Division 1) team per week. (136 choices in week 1!)
2)The team you pick MUST BE UNDEFEATED and PLAYING THIS WEEK.
3)Once you pick a team you MAY NOT PICK THEM AGAIN.
4)If your pick loses you're out. You only advance to the next week if your pick wins.
5)If you fail to pick in a given week, you're out.
6)Last player standing wins.
7)Picks must be posted in that week's thread.
8)If all the undefeated teams lose in a given week or no survivors can advance to the next week, the tie breaker is the player who posted earliest in that week's thread.
9)Each succeeding week, post your pick for that week, as well as those of your previous picks. This helps YOU not to repeat a pick.
10)If you decide to change a pick, don’t edit the original post, just make a new post. I use the last post you make for your pick. This will also affect tie breaker (Rule 8)
11)Be very clear with your pick. Follow the name format of ESPN Conference Standings. (i.e. OSU could be Ohio State, Oklahoma State, or Oregon State)
12)Schedule weeks are per ESPN.
13)Keeping up with your picks is part of the game. If someone picks a team that has a loss or is not playing that week, don't feel it is your civic duty to point out the error of their ways.
14)Pick must be in thread before kickoff of your game.

Here is a link to the Week 1 Schedule:
https://www.espn.com/college-football/schedule

Tricky bit in week one as 10 teams play twice in “Week 1” (Rule 12). If you pick one of those, you must designate which game, otherwise it will be assumed you’re picking their first game.


Post your Week 1 picks in this thread.



Best of luck, and thanks for playing!
8/8/2026 9:37:30 PM EDT
[#1]
Week 1: Vandy
8/8/2026 10:09:29 PM EDT
[#2]
Cincinnati
8/9/2026 11:46:51 AM EDT
[Last Edit: Ohio_Man][Edited] [#3]
AI has entered the chat… Prompt was to produce a survival pool list with additional requirement that any team selected must likely be undefeated at the time of selection and teams cannot be selected more than once.

Week 1  Sept. 6 Washington
Week 2  Sept. 12  Indiana
Week 3  Sept. 19  Notre Dame
Week 4  Sept. 26  Georgia
Week 5  Oct. 3  Penn State
Week 6  Oct. 10  Ohio State
Week 7  Oct. 17  Texas A&M
Week 8  Oct. 24  Miami
Week 9  Oct. 31  Oregon
Week 10  Nov. 7  Texas
Week 11  Nov. 14  Alabama
Week 12  Nov. 21  Michigan
Week 13  Nov. 28  Oklahoma
8/9/2026 2:01:52 PM EDT
[#4]
Interesting strategy.  Please remember to post in each successive week's thread as the season progresses, per rule 7.
Best of luck!


PS, you are by no means married to your week 1 predictions.
8/9/2026 2:51:31 PM EDT
[#5]
Week 1  Missouri
8/10/2026 8:16:16 AM EDT
[Last Edit: Ohio_Man][Edited] [#6]
Quote History
Originally Posted By jmtgsx:
Interesting strategy.  Please remember to post in each successive week's thread as the season progresses, per rule 7.
Best of luck!


PS, you are by no means married to your week 1 predictions.
View Quote

I’m really more curious to see how the ChatGPT strategy works out long term and wanted to get the list up there.  

It’s interesting because when you ask it to produce a typical survivor pool list (without the added undefeated requirement), the list looks very different. Chat GPT is definitely trying to burn up picking weaker teams (that will eventually get an L sooner than later) who have lopsided games early in the list versus a typical survivor pool where it aims to maximize cumulative % win chance spread over the season.

I will probably have to change up my actual weekly picks as weeks progress and teams lose (and become disqualified).
8/13/2026 4:33:32 AM EDT
[#7]
Quote History
Originally Posted By Ohio_Man:

I’m really more curious to see how the ChatGPT strategy works out long term and wanted to get the list up there.  

It’s interesting because when you ask it to produce a typical survivor pool list (without the added undefeated requirement), the list looks very different. Chat GPT is definitely trying to burn up picking weaker teams (that will eventually get an L sooner than later) who have lopsided games early in the list versus a typical survivor pool where it aims to maximize cumulative % win chance spread over the season.

I will probably have to change up my actual weekly picks as weeks progress and teams lose (and become disqualified).
View Quote


Yeah I don’t think Texas and Alabama will be still be undefeated in weeks 10 and 11
8/28/2026 5:04:51 PM EDT
[Last Edit: WDEagle][Edited] [#8]
@jmtgsx
Not this weekend but next (09/05/26) right?

Edit:  Looks like this weekend and next weekend are combined as week 1.

I'll start week 1 with Minnesota Golden Gophers.
WAR DAMN EAGLE!!!!!!
8/29/2026 12:07:41 PM EDT
[Last Edit: jmtgsx][Edited] [#9]
Yes, I guess technically this is Week 0, but still considered Week 1 per ESPN schedule. (Aug 29- Sept 7)

Rule  12) Schedule Weeks are per ESPN


A quick note, I'm out of country, leaving today, and will return Sept.9.  
I normally post the next week's thread on Tuesdays, but Week 2 won't be posted until late Wednesday.

Week 1 picks good up to Sept. 7 as long as it's posted on this thread before game scheduled kickoff.

Best of luck all and thanks for playing.
9/10/2026 8:09:10 PM EDT
[#10]
Week 2 - Nebraska
WAR DAMN EAGLE!!!!!!
9/15/2026 8:22:14 AM EDT
[Last Edit: WDEagle][Edited] [#11]
Quote History
Originally Posted By Ohio_Man:
AI has entered the chat… Prompt was to produce a survival pool list with additional requirement that any team selected must likely be undefeated at the time of selection and teams cannot be selected more than once.
Week 1  Sept. 6 Washington
Week 2  Sept. 12  Indiana
Week 3  Sept. 19  Notre Dame
Week 4  Sept. 26  Georgia
Week 5  Oct. 3  Penn State
Week 6  Oct. 10  Ohio State
Week 7  Oct. 17  Texas A&M
Week 8  Oct. 24  Miami
Week 9  Oct. 31  Oregon
Week 10  Nov. 7  Texas
Week 11  Nov. 14  Alabama
Week 12  Nov. 21  Michigan
Week 13  Nov. 28  Oklahoma
View Quote

This was doomed from the start with Texas & Ohio State playing each other in week 3.  No way they are both undefeated in week 6 or week 10.
WAR DAMN EAGLE!!!!!!

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