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Arfcom's Razor.
This principle dictates that the real answer must be even crazier than the already crazy scenario at hand. -L_JE |
In to see where this goes
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I'm just here for the pretty colors in the sky. The descent into Mad Max and cannibalism is just a pleasant bonus.
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Multiple Eruptions
May 23, 2024 @ 11:45 UTC A number of events facing Earth during the early part of Thursday (5/23/2024). The first was a filament eruption beginning around 00:00 UTC in the southeast quadrant. That event produced a southeasterly directed CME that appears off the Sun-Earth line. Another event, an M4.2 solar flare around AR 3679 was detected at 02:16 UTC. A second CME became visible after 04:00 UTC leaving the southwest limb area and also appears to be off line. Additional eruptions were observed in the southern hemisphere and looks to be associated with fainter CME in the latest coronagraph imagery. Additional updates will be provided whenever necessary. Multiple Eruptions on the Sun (5/23/2024) - SolarHam.com |
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Originally Posted By motoguzzi: So how many magnets do we need to buy to counteract? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By motoguzzi: Originally Posted By budasc: No, that would be the weakening magnetosphere which is also responsible for our climate changes. Low latitude auroras happened maybe 14 times since 1550 all because of strong geomagnetic storms. In 2023 and 2024 already at least 10 times and counting most times with only minor geomagnetic storms. So how many magnets do we need to buy to counteract? |
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Originally Posted By budasc: So I read somewhere, they were talking about populating Mars and how they were going to somehow going to provide the magnetosphere, and I'm thinking if you have that power you'd better put it into place here on Earth because the speed that our magnetosphere is weakening we won't need a Carrington level event to take down the entire grid. We should not have had that level of geomagnetic storms from a few x1-x3 flares, the two larger flares missed Earth or the glancing blow was weak. Auroras were seen in places that didn't even see them during the Carrington (x40-80) event. I've been watching the results of the flares for 14 years daily and I've seen a huge change. It's getting closer, the grid's going down, prepare. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By budasc: Originally Posted By motoguzzi: Originally Posted By budasc: No, that would be the weakening magnetosphere which is also responsible for our climate changes. Low latitude auroras happened maybe 14 times since 1550 all because of strong geomagnetic storms. In 2023 and 2024 already at least 10 times and counting most times with only minor geomagnetic storms. So how many magnets do we need to buy to counteract? The reality is it is only a matter of time. Sooner or later, the grid will be taken down by a really big CME or 3 Humanity has built a house of cards that cant function without the grid. Well it can, but it would be at the 1820 level of existence after 90% of the population dies from lack of fuel, meds, medical care, food, and heat and resulting uncontrolled violence that will result when people realize when the grid goes down, it isn't coming back for years, if ever. |
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Mach
Nobody is coming to save us. . |
I just checked, the big active area 3664 that was responsible for the big CMEs last week is now very very small.
So unless that things gets big again, it probably is not going to produce any light shows or humanity changing events. It had been 7 billion square kilometers and is now 15 million. Size does matter. |
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Mach
Nobody is coming to save us. . |
Originally Posted By budasc: So I read somewhere, they were talking about populating Mars and how they were going to somehow going to provide the magnetosphere, and I'm thinking if you have that power you'd better put it into place here on Earth because the speed that our magnetosphere is weakening we won't need a Carrington level event to take down the entire grid. We should not have had that level of geomagnetic storms from a few x1-x3 flares, the two larger flares missed Earth or the glancing blow was weak. Auroras were seen in places that didn't even see them during the Carrington (x40-80) event. I've been watching the results of the flares for 14 years daily and I've seen a huge change. It's getting closer, the grid's going down, prepare. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By budasc: Originally Posted By motoguzzi: Originally Posted By budasc: No, that would be the weakening magnetosphere which is also responsible for our climate changes. Low latitude auroras happened maybe 14 times since 1550 all because of strong geomagnetic storms. In 2023 and 2024 already at least 10 times and counting most times with only minor geomagnetic storms. So how many magnets do we need to buy to counteract? The thing with Mars, is it's not really going to be an entire magnetosphere, it's more like putting a wedge in front of Mars to help divert and lessen what impacts the surface to more manageable levels. |
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Shit like this is why you don't give typewriters to monkeys. - L_JE
Colonialism, bringing ethnic diversity to a continent near you. - My Father Me being brief, this is like seeing a comet - Geralt55 |
How We Know The Big Sunspots Are Coming Back |
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“Nothing Awesome is ever simple.” - qualityhardware
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Good
Fuck this gay planet |
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Do you see me, Toecutter?
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Originally Posted By L_JE: I kinda miss 3663. https://photos.smugmug.com/Events/Solar-Storms-of-May-2024/i-DWkgRdt/1/DBb6q68SxDdvMfrCvRzm3GtkvLFVkNghhn2KVwW52/X3/DSC_5468B3%20-%204128-X3.jpg View Quote That’s such an awesome shot. Represents something that was pretty epic in my opinion. May never see that again in our lifetimes. Not at these latitudes. I remain optimistic though, suns still popping off X class flares, but this latest one doesn’t have us in its crosshairs. 3663, 3664…whatever it takes. Attached File |
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Originally Posted By bkpkr: That’s such an awesome shot. Represents something that was pretty epic in my opinion. May never see that again in our lifetimes. Not at these latitudes. I remain optimistic though, suns still popping off X class flares, but this latest one doesn’t have us in its crosshairs. 3663, 3664…whatever it takes. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/125849/IMG_3387_jpeg-3224847.JPG View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By bkpkr: Originally Posted By L_JE: I kinda miss 3663. https://photos.smugmug.com/Events/Solar-Storms-of-May-2024/i-DWkgRdt/1/DBb6q68SxDdvMfrCvRzm3GtkvLFVkNghhn2KVwW52/X3/DSC_5468B3%20-%204128-X3.jpg That’s such an awesome shot. Represents something that was pretty epic in my opinion. May never see that again in our lifetimes. Not at these latitudes. I remain optimistic though, suns still popping off X class flares, but this latest one doesn’t have us in its crosshairs. 3663, 3664…whatever it takes. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/125849/IMG_3387_jpeg-3224847.JPG Thanks. It's a more difficult photo than I realized at the time, and got very lucky with it. I tried to get a similar photo of 3691, but upper atmosphere winds, the position of the sun, the position of the clouds, regardless of my inability to get a good focus on the sunspots, the photo attempts just weren't worth anything. Ok, they were worth something in as much as they made May 17th all the more special. And this coming on the heels of the lunar cycle that brought us the eclipse, even more so. I don't think I've ever seen a sunspot/facula/granulation photo with some type of foreground context. I mainly just wanted to see if it could be done. So, I walked downtown, a bit slower to get moving that I should have, because I missed the colinearity with the more prominent building features I was hoping to capture, and short of a ladder truck, no way to chase that angle after I missed it, but waited through sunset to see what else might go on. I didn't even think about the auroras, completely dismissing them as a possibility here in lower Alabama, and even forgot about where the moon would be ... packed up the tripod after a couple dozen photos, and my dog and I then walked over to the brewery. When I saw the aurora photos start coming in, I made an abrupt exit for darker skies, away from downtown. With 3691 coming around, I might try to see if I can get a person in there as a foreground subject. |
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Had a surge Monday that tripped my UPS and toasted a camera power supply. Very unusual.
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Originally Posted By DaGoose: May 29, 2024 @ 15:45 UTC A long duration X1.4 solar flare was just observed around AR 3697 peaking at 14:37 UTC (May 29). The event is associated with a Type II radio emission with an estimated velocity of 878 km/s. A coronal mass ejection (CME) is now just becoming visible in updated imagery and should be mostly directed towards the east. An additional update will be provided should an Earth directed component be associated. https://solarham.com/pictures/2024/may29_2024_x1.4.jpg View Quote Mediocre. Less than mediocre. Not even a Great ValueTM version of 3663. Do better, 3697. Do better. |
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May 29, 2024 @ 21:50 UTC
NOAA/SWPC appears to show that the CME associated with the X1.4 solar flare earlier today will pass close enough to Earth to possibly generate moderate (G2) geomagnetic storming beginning May 31st. This will be interesting to see if this unfolds as predicted. Aurora sky watchers should be alert beginning Friday. CME tracking page click HERE |
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Bump
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June 2, 2024 @ 21:10 UTC
A minor (G1) geomagnetic storm watch was added for June 4th. An eruption following an M7.3 solar flare on Saturday apparently ejected enough material to possibly pass Earth and generate a storm. Aurora sky watchers at higher latitudes should be alert beginning Monday night and into Tuesday. |
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June 3, 2024 @ 14:50 UTC
A beautiful eruption of plasma registering as an M4.8 solar flare was just observed and involved both AR 3691 and 3695 in the northwest quadrant. Somewhat of a coronal mass ejection (CME) will be likely, however judging by the way the eruption unfolded, the trajectory should be mostly north of the Sun-Earth line. This event is in addition to two other M-Flares today so far, an M3.2 and M2.8 were observed around AR 3697 in the southern hemisphere. More details to follow regarding the possible CME whenever additional imagery is available. |
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Thanks for the updates, it's appreciated.
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Sic semper tyrannis!
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For a people who are free, and who mean to remain so, a well-organized and armed militia is their best security.
Thomas Jefferson "He didnt punch anybody. He punched an idea." DrFrige |
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NRA Benefactor Life
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Our grid may take a shit, but look at the pretty lights.
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Somebody told me it was the CERN weather machine and / or chemtrails. |
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How come every time there is a shooting, they want to take away the guns from the people who didn't do it?
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