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Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:08:22 PM EDT
[#1]
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Quoted:
Not a soldier here, so I'm asking out of ignorance:
What does "support the tanks with infantry" mean?

I'm trying to wrap my head around it and not getting very far.

The way it looks to me, is that the opposing infantry unit(s) will likely spread out their missile systems.  You probably won't have one in every squad, but maybe every platoon?  
Regardless, the infantry will be scattered about and as soon as a missile crew has line of sight on a tank, I'd expect them to fire, out to 2 or 3 miles or whatever the javelin or equivalent system's range is.  Even with a disparity in budget, the opposing infantry should be effectively saturated with anti-armor systems and able to deploy them anywhere.

How does infantry support tanks against this?  
Sure, you can push infantry out and screen the tanks, but the enemy can still effectively fire on/kill your tanks as soon as they have line of sight.  If you keep your tanks back and out of view, then the missile teams can't fire on them, but at that point, are your tanks even in the fight?  The traditional tank has to be up close with line of sight to employ the gun and engage the enemy.

Just pulling numbers off google: if an M1 Abrams costs $6.2 million, and a javelin about $80k, you could have over 75 missiles for the same cost.  For a fraction of the cost of a tank, the opposition can be swimming in anti-armor weapons.

Do you screen the tanks with infantry, but keep your tanks close enough to the fight to see and fire on the enemy?  It seems that in this case, you're hoping that the missile crew(s) don't see & engage before your tanks?
That's talking current systems.


I expect near future and next gen anti-armor systems to eliminate the need for the missile team to put their eyes on a tank to engage it.  We've already been testing NLOS systems, but I could see a slightly smarter javelin gaining the ability to fire over terrain/buildings and enage a target.  Spotters with GPS connected rangefinders could designate specific targets, or, a near future system could theoretically blind fire over terrain or obstacles and pick its own target.  At that point, you'd just need a guy, drone, or security camera to give your missile crew a rough direction to shoot.
If we're talking future systems, do we just rely on active protection systems and ECM?  Hope APS ammo is cheaper than missiles, and that the opposing infantry doesn't ripple fire and overwhelm the APS?

I'm not going to jump out and say tanks are obsolete, but I'm having trouble seeing how you effectively employ them against a near-peer who's invested in anti-armor weapons instead of their own tanks.

ETA:
Saw a few posts while I was typing that.

If we're opening this up to combined arms and laying waste to everything with artillery and CAS, what's the point of the tank?  If you're not pushing it up and shooting people with the tank, it's not in the fight.  If it's not in the fight, why'd we bring it?
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Tanks and infantry can support each other, but of course it isn't perfect.  They can still get hurt, but its probably better than sending them in alone.  The idea that infantry screening in front of tanks is still sound.  Infantry can flush out missile teams that are close and put pressure on ones firing at longer ranges.  Tanks can support the infantry by providing direct fire to enemy positions and screening for enemy armor.  Artillery (lethal and smoke) helps as well.  Air support, same thing.  

The main thing that tanks can do that infantry can't is penetrate and exploit behind the lines.  If you can break through the lines, you need an armored mobile force with firepower to tear up the rear areas where the supplies/artillery/and support troops are.  You can attempt an encirclement as well if you can get enough forces through the gap and then take lightly defended areas.  Of course, without air superiority, this isn't easy, but its still a viable strategy.  Encircling your enemy denies them resupply and stop them from retreating.  You can take out an entire force in one fell swoop.  It worked well for the Russians in Stalingrad.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:13:43 PM EDT
[#2]
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Quoted:

If we're opening this up to combined arms and laying waste to everything with artillery and CAS, what's the point of the tank?  If you're not pushing it up and shooting people with the tank, it's not in the fight.  If it's not in the fight, why'd we bring it?
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A tank isn’t really suppressed by enemy fire. Not like infantry. A machine gun nest can hold a light infantry advance for hours while they work the problem. A tank can drive up and obliterate it. That’s a traditional use of tanks. If you want to go back to all light infantry and artillery formations the first person to work out how to stop missiles from decimating their tanks will own the field.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:14:51 PM EDT
[#3]
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I’ve kind of wondered this myself. Is a tank still useful if your enemy possesses a weapon useable by infantry on foot that can reliably destroy tanks for a minimal cost?
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Can destroy some or can destroy enough to matter?
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:15:26 PM EDT
[#4]
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:19:01 PM EDT
[#5]
Good points. The infantry has a really tough time breeching defensive lines that have bunkers, machine guns, emplacements, etc. A tank can swoop in and destroy them while the infantry supports. The tanks go back behind their defensive line or keep fighting perhaps taking ground.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:20:10 PM EDT
[#6]
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Quoted:
It weighs 60 pounds and travels at 85mph and you think Raytheon and Rafael won’t figure out how to shoot it down?
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So? Battleships figured out how to shoot planes down, did that make them relevant?

GD has talked about strategic consequences of long range drones - hitting oil refineries, or US troops as they get off a ship before driving hundreds of miles overland to attack. Consider the tactical consequences of short range ones. Drones bring what America proposed with Assault Breaker - using smart weapons to kill Soviet follow-on echelons - out of the division or corps level to the squad level. To the individual, if he has an alarm clock and a technical.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:20:52 PM EDT
[#7]
In my non-expert opinion, it seems ATGMs have made tanks and armored vehicles obsolete when used with tactics that would have been simplistic in 1945.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:23:54 PM EDT
[#8]
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Quoted:


Tanks and infantry can support each other, but of course it isn't perfect.  They can still get hurt, but its probably better than sending them in alone.  The idea that infantry screening in front of tanks is still sound.  Infantry can flush out missile teams that are close and put pressure on ones firing at longer ranges.  Tanks can support the infantry by providing direct fire to enemy positions and screening for enemy armor.  Artillery (lethal and smoke) helps as well.  Air support, same thing.  

The main thing that tanks can do that infantry can't is penetrate and exploit behind the lines.  If you can break through the lines, you need an armored mobile force with firepower to tear up the rear areas where the supplies/artillery/and support troops are.  You can attempt an encirclement as well if you can get enough forces through the gap and then take lightly defended areas.  Of course, without air superiority, this isn't easy, but its still a viable strategy.  Encircling your enemy denies them resupply and stop them from retreating.  You can take out an entire force in one fell swoop.  It worked well for the Russians in Stalingrad.
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Well said.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:30:53 PM EDT
[#9]
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Quoted:


So? Battleships figured out how to shoot planes down, did that make them relevant?

GD has talked about strategic consequences of long range drones - hitting oil refineries, or US troops as they get off a ship before driving hundreds of miles overland to attack. Consider the tactical consequences of short range ones. Drones bring what America proposed with Assault Breaker - using smart weapons to kill Soviet follow-on echelons - out of the division or corps level to the squad level. To the individual, if he has an alarm clock and a technical.
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A tank isn’t like a battleship. What made battleships irrelevant wasn’t their vulnerability, it was their short range.

A drone is mostly a cheap, slow missile. The advantage is it’s cheap, the disadvantage is it’s slow.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:33:41 PM EDT
[#10]
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Quoted:
Armor is mobility.  


No Armor…very limited mobility.  


ATGMs are not new.  Nothing has changed.  Most of the reports from Ukraine are nonsense.  Poor tactics by tankers are not the same as tanks being obsolete.
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Armor is mobility.  


No Armor…very limited mobility.  


ATGMs are not new.  Nothing has changed.  Most of the reports from Ukraine are nonsense.  Poor tactics by tankers are not the same as tanks being obsolete.


That mobility mattered when it was necessary close with the enemy in order to make contact and destroy them.  Now you can target the enemy with drones and destroy them with precision guided fires.

ATGMs aren't new, but man portable 4km+ range fire and forget ATGMs that can be fired from confined spaces are, and operating tanks in a way that minimizes their risk to such ATGMs likely means limiting their tactical mobility.


Quoted:
Quoted:
I think tanks will have automated missile defense systems soon. At least the good ones will.



Pretty sure actual 1st world military tanks comes with advanced anti missile stystems already. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6aA9HsmLHBQ



So I guess hard penetrator kinetic rounds are still the king of the battle field.


Or drone laser guided artillery rounds :/


New weapons will be made to counter the limitations of active protection systems.  A simple solution would be ATGMs and loitering munitions with an EFP warhead that detonates from outside the range of the APS.  I like the idea of drones designating targets for SAL guided arty, we should be doing more of that.


Quoted:
Quoted:
Tanks are obsolete. Now on the modern battlefield all you need is a guy with DJI drone to find you a tank and happy hunting from 2 miles away.



Do you know what a drone is? An easily targeted slow as hell missile.


If drones were that easy to kill, Russia wouldn't be getting wrecked by TB-2s, and they arguably have the best SHORAD systems in the world.  Something the size of a DJI drone can be extremely difficult to detect, particularly if the operator is using sound tactics like trying to hide near trees and buildings, and anti aircraft radar systems typically need to filter out objects flying that slow to avoid targeting every bird flying nearby.  Military drones the size of a human hand are now being fielded, and there is no way an armored vehicle is going to spot something like that before the drone spots the armored vehicle.  Then when you go up to something the size of a TB-2, you are now operating from outside the WEZ of SPAAGs and MANPADS, so the enemy needs to shoot higher altitude SAM systems at it with missiles that are likely bigger and more expensive than the drone itself, and every time they shoot they expose their position to other air assets higher up the food chain that are hunting them.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:36:58 PM EDT
[#11]
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Quoted:


That mobility mattered when it was necessary close with the enemy in order to make contact and destroy them.  Now you can target the enemy with drones and destroy them with precision guided fires.

ATGMs aren't new, but man portable 4km+ range fire and forget ATGMs that can be fired from confined spaces are, and operating tanks in a way that minimizes their risk to such ATGMs likely means limiting their tactical mobility.

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Good points.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:40:01 PM EDT
[#12]
Stop listening to the war propaganda.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:43:58 PM EDT
[#13]
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Were Sagger missiles any good?

https://www.military-today.com/missiles/malyutka.jpg
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After the first couple days of the Yom Kippur War a lot of people thought the Sagger had made tanks obsolete.  The Israeli tankers got cocky, counterattacked the Egyptians without infantry, and took a bunch of losses from Saggers and RPGs.  The Israelis subsequently fixed their tactics and the predictions of the tank's demise proved to be premature.

I wouldn't draw any far reaching conclusions from incompetent Russians getting smoked by Javelins and NLAWS.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:46:43 PM EDT
[#14]
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You’re going to assault an armored unit with infantrymen and no air support?

Short war I guess.
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Quoted:


Do something else? Counter it? Use infantry to assault the microwave or whatever is supporting it?


You’re going to assault an armored unit with infantrymen and no air support?

Short war I guess.


That's what the nlaws are for.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:47:45 PM EDT
[#15]
Quoted:
Since the Javelin Missile has been so deadly with a 93% reported success rate.  Does this make tanks obsolete moving forward?  Ukraine didn’t have many tanks and due to this missile, has given them a huge edge.  Javelins appear to be plentiful and cheap compared to outfitting your army with tanks.  

I wouldn’t want to be in a tank facing an adversary that has tons of javelins.   The sheer amount of Russian tanks destroyed is amazing.  Their tanks don’t seem to be an advantage and they are huge magnets.

Am I wrong?
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No.  Infantry-carried anti-tank weapons have long been a thing.  Tank operations without dismount support have been problematic since the early days of the Second World War.  The Russians have been getting skewered by a Devils Brew of of poor logistics, terrible combined-arms coordination, a creaky force generation capability, abysmal maintenance, and no apparent unit training above the Company level.  Combine all this with a Russian troop-to-task assessment that seemingly requires Divine Intervention to accomplish their objectives against even moderate opposition with the troops available, and you have a metric shit-ton of unsupported tanks, ADA units, LOG nodes and APCs with poorly-trained crews cruising around the battlefield with the tactical equivalent of a neon sign with  "Kill Me" on them.   Given that the Ukrainians are serious at making a go of this, and the West sees this war both as a Geopolitical opportunity to reduce the Russian threat a notch or two and as an infomercial for marketing light infantry weapons, drones, and SHORAD ADA weapons,  a metric shitton of Russian Tanks and other hardware is going to be reduced to scrap metal.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:50:09 PM EDT
[#16]
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That mobility mattered when it was necessary close with the enemy in order to make contact and destroy them.  Now you can target the enemy with drones and destroy them with precision guided fires.

ATGMs aren't new, but man portable 4km+ range fire and forget ATGMs that can be fired from confined spaces are, and operating tanks in a way that minimizes their risk to such ATGMs likely means limiting their tactical mobility.
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That mobility mattered when it was necessary close with the enemy in order to make contact and destroy them.  Now you can target the enemy with drones and destroy them with precision guided fires.

ATGMs aren't new, but man portable 4km+ range fire and forget ATGMs that can be fired from confined spaces are, and operating tanks in a way that minimizes their risk to such ATGMs likely means limiting their tactical mobility.


Missiles can’t take or hold ground.


New weapons will be made to counter the limitations of active protection systems.  A simple solution would be ATGMs and loitering munitions with an EFP warhead that detonates from outside the range of the APS.  I like the idea of drones designating targets for SAL guided arty, we should be doing more of that.

How far can you shoot the sort of EFP that penetrates enough armor to get the job done? And remember that smoke obscures laser beams and in the future artillery will also be vulnerable to APS.



If drones were that easy to kill, Russia wouldn't be getting wrecked by TB-2s, and they arguably have the best SHORAD systems in the world.  Something the size of a DJI drone can be extremely difficult to detect, particularly if the operator is using sound tactics like trying to hide near trees and buildings, and anti aircraft radar systems typically need to filter out objects flying that slow to avoid targeting every bird flying nearby.  Military drones the size of a human hand are now being fielded, and there is no way an armored vehicle is going to spot something like that before the drone spots the armored vehicle.  Then when you go up to something the size of a TB-2, you are now operating from outside the WEZ of SPAAGs and MANPADS, so the enemy needs to shoot higher altitude SAM systems at it with missiles that are likely bigger and more expensive than the drone itself, and every time they shoot they expose their position to other air assets higher up the food chain that are hunting them.


I hesitate at this point to give the Russians any credit.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:51:52 PM EDT
[#17]
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That's what the nlaws are for.
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You’re going to crawl within 800m of a tank platoon and kill one of the tanks? Insha’allah!
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:53:05 PM EDT
[#18]
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Quoted:
A tank isn’t like a battleship. What made battleships irrelevant wasn’t their vulnerability, it was their short range.

A drone is mostly a cheap, slow missile. The advantage is it’s cheap, the disadvantage is it’s slow.
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Tanks are short ranged like battleships. LOS sensors, LOS dumb weapons. Tank designers optimized tanks for a Lanchesterian world - first armor to survive dumb indirect, then more to survive dumb direct, culminating in the T72's tiny turret and carousel storage safely out of LOS.
A technical with drones is like a nuclear carrier. Its drones fly faster than a tank can drive and see farther. The drones fly over terrain the tank can't and the technical drives farther than the tank can.

The precision electronics in drones also go in ballistic missiles for penetrating to kill enemy support/supplies/artillery. You can look down from the sky with radar and perform a virtual encirclement.

IMO, today tanks are for scouting and HE in cities, and mostly because we already have them.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:53:27 PM EDT
[#19]
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Missiles can’t take or hold ground.


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Also a great point. You can attack at far ranges but if you're not taking ground it's mostly just harrassing fire. You can knock out a tank far away but if that's all you're doing it isn't necessarily accomplishing much depending on the nature of the conflict. You have to break lines and take something. Ground, infrastructure, etc.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:56:16 PM EDT
[#20]
Thanks (everyone)
I'm learning, but I still think the price differential will allow anti-armor systems to saturate the battlefield and seriously hamper tank usage.

Why wouldn't the support, supply, and artillery units have a javelin or two handy, if there was potential for them to encounter armor trying to break through?
How does the tank reduce a strong point or machine gun nest when said strong point/mg nest launches javelins at it?

In 5-10 years, the javelin equivalent will have enhanced non-line of sight capability, and missile teams located anywhere within 2-4 miles can engage the tanks.

I'm still hung up thinking that the traditional tank needs line of sight to engage, but any unit with line of sight can engage back with a less expensive, super easy to use, and extremely effective weapon.  
Then, once NLOS capabilities roll out, any enemy having line of sight on the tanks can communicate it to missile teams located almost anywhere to engage and kill.  At this point, wouldn't being seen by anyone get the tank killed?  (Barring effective APS)
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:57:48 PM EDT
[#21]
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Were Sagger missiles any good?

https://www.military-today.com/missiles/malyutka.jpg
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Don't  you remember, all armies mothballed all their armored vehicles after the Suitcase Saggers 125% kill rate in 1973?
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:59:46 PM EDT
[#22]
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People forget that one of the number one roles of a tank is to reduce enemy strong points.  Bunkers, guns, any kind of emplacement, the main gun will make short work of it. It's not just to bust other tanks.

It also has coax 762 and a 50 Cal on top that can be operated from inside. Not to mention anti-personnel loads for the main gun. It can also chew up enemy infantry.

The tanks support the infantry in the infantry supports the tanks. When it's done properly the sum total of both is greater than the individual components by far.

The Russians problem is they don't know how to dance and we do.
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If the US was trying to do what Russia is trying now in Ukraine how would they do it different? It looks like a lot of the armor kills I'm seeing are of tanks and IFVs in close proximity to each other
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 10:59:56 PM EDT
[#23]
Russia isn’t using crunchies.  Just roll with armor and hope for the best.  Nothing like a big ass slow rolling target to get nailed by Javelins or NLAWs.

America became very good at using armor in urban environments supporting infantry and infantry supporting armor in major offensives in cities. Fallujah for example.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:01:03 PM EDT
[#24]
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Quoted:


Tanks are short ranged like battleships. LOS sensors, LOS dumb weapons. Tank designers optimized tanks for a Lanchesterian world - first armor to survive dumb indirect, then more to survive dumb direct, culminating in the T72's tiny turret and carousel storage safely out of LOS.
A technical with drones is like a nuclear carrier. Its drones fly faster than a tank can drive and see farther. The drones fly over terrain the tank can't and the technical drives farther than the tank can.

The precision electronics in drones also go in ballistic missiles for penetrating to kill enemy support/supplies/artillery. You can look down from the sky with radar and perform a virtual encirclement.

IMO, today tanks are for scouting and HE in cities, and mostly because we already have them.
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A tank round is cheaper than a drone that can destroy a tank, it can be used in weather and lighting conditions that require expensive drones rather than what you’re talking about, and most importantly, a tank can hold ground. It can work with infantry to crawl into places drones aren’t effective in.

The solution is a mix of all of these things. They call that combined arms and that’s something the US is really good at.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:02:49 PM EDT
[#25]
poor tactics ought be obsolete
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:07:02 PM EDT
[#26]
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Quoted:

Thanks (everyone)
I'm learning, but I still think the price differential will allow anti-armor systems to saturate the battlefield and seriously hamper tank usage.

Why wouldn't the support, supply, and artillery units have a javelin or two handy, if there was potential for them to encounter armor trying to break through?
How does the tank reduce a strong point or machine gun nest when said strong point/mg nest launches javelins at it?

In 5-10 years, the javelin equivalent will have enhanced non-line of sight capability, and missile teams located anywhere within 2-4 miles can engage the tanks.

I'm still hung up thinking that the traditional tank needs line of sight to engage, but any unit with line of sight can engage back with a less expensive, super easy to use, and extremely effective weapon.  
Then, once NLOS capabilities roll out, any enemy having line of sight on the tanks can communicate it to missile teams located almost anywhere to engage and kill.  At this point, wouldn't being seen by anyone get the tank killed?  (Barring effective APS)
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Why would artillery use a Javelin when they could use heat seeking munitions in their weapons?
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:11:09 PM EDT
[#27]
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Why would artillery use a Javelin when they could use heat seeking munitions in their weapons?
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I was referring to a self defense role in event of armor breaking through the main line and directly engaging the artillery, as alluded to by other posters, but directly loading anti-armor munitions in the artillery makes more sense to me, at least if we get away from the towed and manually operated artillery that traditionalists seem to love.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:11:42 PM EDT
[#28]
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Quoted:
A tank round is cheaper than a drone that can destroy a tank, it can be used in weather and lighting conditions that require expensive drones rather than what you’re talking about, and most importantly, a tank can hold ground. It can work with infantry to crawl into places drones aren’t effective in.

The solution is a mix of all of these things. They call that combined arms and that’s something the US is really good at.
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Before counting the ammo, you have to buy 6 million of tank to shoot it; which balances against a hundred drones and a technical. So you're a couple thousand more expensive with every round. Then there's the fuel - those drones can hit yours faster than you theirs, at which point you're holding ground the Russians-in-Ukraine way.

IMO, you'd still need infantry to walk around after the combined 5 or 6 layers of different drones and sensors search and report to 3 or 4 kinds of artillery. So they'd have an IFV with APS to protect their first-world lives from survivors down to their AKMs and last drones. But the scouting and killing functions of the tank are replaceable.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:16:30 PM EDT
[#29]
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Quoted:

How far can you shoot the sort of EFP that penetrates enough armor to get the job done? And remember that smoke obscures laser beams and in the future artillery will also be vulnerable to APS.
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New weapons will be made to counter the limitations of active protection systems.  A simple solution would be ATGMs and loitering munitions with an EFP warhead that detonates from outside the range of the APS.  I like the idea of drones designating targets for SAL guided arty, we should be doing more of that.

How far can you shoot the sort of EFP that penetrates enough armor to get the job done? And remember that smoke obscures laser beams and in the future artillery will also be vulnerable to APS.


I don't know the answer to that, but probably pretty far if you only need to get through the top of an MBT turret.

Good luck obscuring all your tanks from above with smoke for their entire march toward the objective after entering range of enemy fires.  APS might get the first guided arty shell to detonate just above the tank, but frag from that shell will make sure the APS isn't operating for the second one.

Quoted:
Quoted:


Missiles can’t take or hold ground.




Also a great point. You can attack at far ranges but if you're not taking ground it's mostly just harrassing fire. You can knock out a tank far away but if that's all you're doing it isn't necessarily accomplishing much depending on the nature of the conflict. You have to break lines and take something. Ground, infrastructure, etc.


Yes, mechanized infantry will ultimately need to take the objective after fucking up as much shit as possible with indirect fire.  105/120mm guns are probably still of great use for that, but I don't think you need a 70 ton MBT to haul that gun around anymore.  I think something more like a hybrid of the MGS and the NLOS-C that could not only do direct fire stuff but also provide some of the long range precision fires might be just the ticket.  If anything, the IFVs should be the 70 ton behemoths.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:18:23 PM EDT
[#30]
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I was referring to a self defense role in event of armor breaking through the main line and directly engaging the artillery, as alluded to by other posters, but directly loading anti-armor munitions in the artillery makes more sense to me, at least if we get away from the towed and manually operated artillery that traditionalists seem to love.
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In the future artillery will be moving back farther and farther from the front and being used in larger formations.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:21:57 PM EDT
[#31]
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I don't know the answer to that, but probably pretty far if you only need to get through the top of an MBT turret.

Good luck obscuring all your tanks from above with smoke for their entire march toward the objective after entering range of enemy fires.  APS might get the first guided arty shell to detonate just above the tank, but frag from that shell will make sure the APS isn't operating for the second one.
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I don't know the answer to that, but probably pretty far if you only need to get through the top of an MBT turret.

Good luck obscuring all your tanks from above with smoke for their entire march toward the objective after entering range of enemy fires.  APS might get the first guided arty shell to detonate just above the tank, but frag from that shell will make sure the APS isn't operating for the second one.
A laser warning system can pop smoke the moment a laser shines on a tank and transmit the rough location of the laser designator to ADA elements.



Yes, mechanized infantry will ultimately need to take the objective after fucking up as much shit as possible with indirect fire.  105/120mm guns are probably still of great use for that, but I don't think you need a 70 ton MBT to haul that gun around anymore.  I think something more like a hybrid of the MGS and the NLOS-C that could not only do direct fire stuff but also provide some of the long range precision fires might be just the ticket.

These are all the same promises that air power theorists always made and have never panned out.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:23:18 PM EDT
[#32]
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Before counting the ammo, you have to buy 6 million of tank to shoot it; which balances against a hundred drones and a technical. So you're a couple thousand more expensive with every round. Then there's the fuel - those drones can hit yours faster than you theirs, at which point you're holding ground the Russians-in-Ukraine way.

IMO, you'd still need infantry to walk around after the combined 5 or 6 layers of different drones and sensors search and report to 3 or 4 kinds of artillery. So they'd have an IFV with APS to protect their first-world lives from survivors down to their AKMs and last drones. But the scouting and killing functions of the tank are replaceable.
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Oh so you trust systems to keep your IFVs safe but tanks are fucked?

You don’t think there’s any future in counter UAS systems? Interesting.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:35:22 PM EDT
[#33]
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Oh so you trust systems to keep your IFVs safe but tanks are fucked?
You don’t think there’s any future in counter UAS systems? Interesting.
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I envision it as a last ditch, minimum standard for first world status. After sensors and artillery allocate fires to overwhelm anything they see and decide the battle, you need APS to stop a few leakers on your infantry inspection teams, because you won't have any recruits for them if it's suicidal.

Sometimes high-speed groups will drop the APS for a low profile. Like plates.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:36:24 PM EDT
[#34]
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If the US was trying to do what Russia is trying now in Ukraine how would they do it different? It looks like a lot of the armor kills I'm seeing are of tanks and IFVs in close proximity to each other
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People forget that one of the number one roles of a tank is to reduce enemy strong points.  Bunkers, guns, any kind of emplacement, the main gun will make short work of it. It's not just to bust other tanks.

It also has coax 762 and a 50 Cal on top that can be operated from inside. Not to mention anti-personnel loads for the main gun. It can also chew up enemy infantry.

The tanks support the infantry in the infantry supports the tanks. When it's done properly the sum total of both is greater than the individual components by far.

The Russians problem is they don't know how to dance and we do.
If the US was trying to do what Russia is trying now in Ukraine how would they do it different? It looks like a lot of the armor kills I'm seeing are of tanks and IFVs in close proximity to each other


Given the fact that the US Army/Air Force/Marines have fought almost nothing besides expeditionary wars for over a century, have a completely different comprehensive logistics system that is a "Pull" system vs a "Push" system, has very different Combined Arms and Air/Ground integration schemes, an effective NCO corps, and plans tactical operations and writes mission orders at a lower level, with "commander's intent" based orders that allow far more flexibility, it is hard to imagine a US or NATO-led operation that would resemble the current Russian effort in the Ukraine.  The US is equally capable of totally screwing up an invasion, but our formication of the canine would probably not resemble the Russians current abortion.  The Russians are failing at basic tactical/operational fundamentals; we tend to screw up at the national/strategic level.
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:48:48 PM EDT
[#35]
Serious question can a javelin middle be jammed mid flight?
Link Posted: 4/3/2022 11:53:04 PM EDT
[#36]
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Serious question can a javelin middle be jammed mid flight?
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Multispectral smoke could obscure the target.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 12:11:17 AM EDT
[#37]
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Because someone will replace the general. A big part of warfare is taking ground/infrastructure/airfields/etc.
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Facial recognition combined with drones is some scary stuff, but seems inevitable.  

Why spend the time and money to kill 1000s of conscripts when you can just kill the generals?


Because someone will replace the general. A big part of warfare is taking ground/infrastructure/airfields/etc.


There is an article called, "Why Arab Militaries Suck" or something to that effect.

The US military is not like pretty much any other military on the planet.

You can kill the general and there will be ten people who can take his place all the way down to the platoon sgt. The amount of ability that US military people have to overcome casualties and continue to be effective is truly mind boggling.

The Russians and Arabs specifically have effectively zero capability to sustain higher ranking casualties and continue being combat effective. Their militaries are basically kingdoms within kingdoms. In almost all cases, you can lose most of the officers and the U.S. military people will still function at near full capacity, and in some cases operate at a higher level without officer fuckery where most officers nowadays are more concerned with getting their next bar, bird, or star than they are actually developing leadership ability and leading their people.

The last time I was in Qatar we were tasked with helping Lockheed train Qataris on how to maintain their J model C130's. All of us that went were astonished when we realized that the people we were training were Qatari mid level officers and they were essentially lower enlisted as far as the amount of power and responsibility they had. The Qatari regular enlisted were, as a rule, barely literate in 90% of cases and were absolutely not allowed to do anything more complex than sweep floors and move shit around. Literally we had Qatari officers learning to do engine changes and turn wrenches.

Their middle officers were basically our version of lower NCO's, and whenever we taught one of them something, that guy would try to order us to not teach what we just taught him to anyone else and would get all assmad when we would anyway. He wanted to be the answer man so that he was essential. Now let that guy take a bullet to the head, who would be able to do his job?

American military people tend to teach their job to everyone else so that knowledge is spread out so that there is always someone to take their place.

The Russians, for as much as I see them, operate very similar to the Qataris.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 12:14:44 AM EDT
[#38]
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Snip
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Very well said and a subject I don't see talked about often.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 12:20:05 AM EDT
[#39]
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Quoted:


There is an article called, "Why Arab Militaries Suck" or something to that effect.

The US military is not like pretty much any other military on the planet.

You can kill the general and there will be ten people who can take his place all the way down to the platoon sgt. The amount of ability that US military people have to overcome casualties and continue to be effective is truly mind boggling.

The Russians and Arabs specifically have effectively zero capability to sustain higher ranking casualties and continue being combat effective. Their militaries are basically kingdoms within kingdoms. In almost all cases, you can lose most of the officers and the U.S. military people will still function at near full capacity, and in some cases operate at a higher level without officer fuckery where most officers nowadays are more concerned with getting their next bar, bird, or star than they are actually developing leadership ability and leading their people.

The last time I was in Qatar we were tasked with helping Lockheed train Qataris on how to maintain their J model C130's. All of us that went were astonished when we realized that the people we were training were Qatari mid level officers and they were essentially lower enlisted as far as the amount of power and responsibility they had. The Qatari regular enlisted were, as a rule, barely literate in 90% of cases and were absolutely not allowed to do anything more complex than sweep floors and move shit around. Literally we had Qatari officers learning to do engine changes and turn wrenches.

Their middle officers were basically our version of lower NCO's, and whenever we taught one of them something, that guy would try to order us to not teach what we just taught him to anyone else and would get all assmad when we would anyway. He wanted to be the answer man so that he was essential. Now let that guy take a bullet to the head, who would be able to do his job?

American military people tend to teach their job to everyone else so that knowledge is spread out so that there is always someone to take their place.

The Russians, for as much as I see them, operate very similar to the Qataris.
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I think you're right about the NCO thing.  Most of Russia's enlisted are conscripts who serve short term and get mediocre training.  There isn't a large and effective amount of NCO's to guide the lower enlisted (and junior officers).  Without good NCOs (or if the few experienced soldiers are casualties) then that combat force is now a disorganized armed gang.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 12:25:10 AM EDT
[#40]
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Quoted:



Do you know what a drone is? An easily targeted slow as hell missile.
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Tanks are obsolete. Now on the modern battlefield all you need is a guy with DJI drone to find you a tank and happy hunting from 2 miles away.



Do you know what a drone is? An easily targeted slow as hell missile.


Not necessarily.

The drones can be more than one thing. Having a drone aloft that is laser designating for air or artillery delivered smart munitions can be a real pain in the ass.

Sure some of them are suicide drones, but as things get smaller and smaller, the ability to disrupt them is going to be harder. They can have a drone in the air that simply keeps an enemy vehicle or whatever in the crosshair and the missile either recognizes the target from the drone or the laser designated comes on a second or two before impact.

IMHO right now tanks are somewhat obsolete, but that will change as defensive technology improves. Battleships could make a comeback as high energy laser and rail gun technology are perfected, and once they're miniaturized enough, those technologies will make it onto tanks, and the circle will continue endlessly.

If you want to really strain the ol' noodle, think about how much raw firepower each individual, let's say Marine or Soldier has at their disposal as a combat load, and what the equivalent unit size from earlier conflicts is that has the same.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 12:29:57 AM EDT
[#41]
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And when the sky gets turned into a microwave and they are all dried? What then?
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LOL because throwing out a signal that powerful isn't like putting a spotlight on yourself at night in Minnesota farm country in the middle of July and wondering why you have a billion Mosquitoes after you.

The amount of power required for that is basically the entire output of a nuclear powerplant.

So not feasible for a lot of reasons.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 12:34:48 AM EDT
[#42]
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LOL because throwing out a signal that powerful isn't like putting a spotlight on yourself at night in Minnesota farm country in the middle of July and wondering why you have a billion Mosquitoes after you.

The amount of power required for that is basically the entire output of a nuclear powerplant.

So not feasible for a lot of reasons.
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A small vehicle can sever links of drones in a large enough area and lasers are going to be available soon. Existing lasers can burn the cameras. Lots of options, soon if not now.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 12:44:22 AM EDT
[#43]
IIRC back in the day they used to put cages around vehicles to detonate RPGs before they hit our vehicles.

Seems like something like that may also protect tanks.




Link Posted: 4/4/2022 12:46:02 AM EDT
[#44]
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IIRC back in the day they used to put cages around vehicles to detonate RPGs before they hit our vehicles.

Seems like something like that may also protect tanks.




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Works better with some things than others. RPGs are easy to kill that way. Javelins don’t care.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 12:48:52 AM EDT
[#45]
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Works better with some things than others. RPGs are easy to kill that way. Javelins don’t care.
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IIRC back in the day they used to put cages around vehicles to detonate RPGs before they hit our vehicles.

Seems like something like that may also protect tanks.





Works better with some things than others. RPGs are easy to kill that way. Javelins don’t care.


It would also hinder the main gun.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 12:51:33 AM EDT
[#46]
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It would also hinder the main gun.
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I doubt it would do much against APFSDS and HEAT is going away.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 12:55:13 AM EDT
[#47]
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Quoted:
People forget that one of the number one roles of a tank is to reduce enemy strong points.  Bunkers, guns, any kind of emplacement, the main gun will make short work of it. It’s not just to bust other tanks.

It also has coax 762 and a 50 Cal on top that can be operated from inside. Not to mention anti-personnel loads for the main gun. It can also chew up enemy infantry.

The tanks support the infantry in the infantry supports the tanks. When it’s done properly the sum total of both is greater than the individual components by far.

The Russians problem is they don’t know how to dance and we do.
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We couldn't dance in that environment either. You're talking moving troops, tanks, and soft targets with more than a mile and a half on either side as a buffer zone.

This is, in the simplest terms, known as, "Impossible" and we would be taking pretty grevious losses too. I do commend your faith in combined arms, but think you're not really basing this in reality. John Woo doesn't direct war, so most infantry isn't just going to get to knife range before engaging, they're highly unlikely to get shot by the main OR the coax, and worse for you is that they might just say, "Fuck You" and go beat up on the fuel trucks. Ask any group of military officers what it would be like to move infantry with as little as 600 yards on either side as a buffer and they'll likely tell you that that situation is just as difficult up to impossible as doing so with a mile and a half on either side of your armor.

The Javelins have little to no launch signature, and even if you saw where it came from, there is no guarantee that the launch team is going to be there when retribution arrives. From the time that you saw a launch to the time artillery arrives is measured in minutes. If they aren't shooting and scooting, they're fucking idiots who deserve to get nailed by artillery anyway. That means you're going to have to send in infantry sans armor to make it safe for the armor, and they're going to have to cover areas measured in square miles to do it. I don't want to be a guy walking into a hostile urban environment because fuck that.

You have to realize that the Russians are getting shat upon while they're OUTSIDE the cities in the open in pretty much flat terrain.

I mean, if you're talking about just leveling entire cities with artillery, great! We are likely to get to see that eventuality in The Ukraine.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 1:04:25 AM EDT
[#48]
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When competent CAS turns the missile operators into pink mist, then tanks are GTG.  Add in some aimed artillery / mortars and those missile operators will be long gone.  

Add in reactive armor that works...  

But all the Armchair generals will say "Oh, we are all EXPERTS now, since we watched UKR defeat Russia from our Lazybois and know what to do!!!"

LMFAO, go drink another beer and mow your lawn.
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The whole point of atgms is that tank killing us incredibly dispensable and concealable. The countermeasures you're mentioning are gonna be used on all infantry already so they're no better at protecting tanks than they are at killing infantry. If you have cas and artillery dominance you still can't shoot what you can't see or get loiter time over, and it's a lot harder to see two guys than a tank or artillery piece. Infantry have always been killed by the above and always will, and some will survive unless you're somehow able to wipe everything out before ground gets there, negating the need for significant ground assets.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 1:06:10 AM EDT
[#49]
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Are we regressing to horse and mule or are soldiers going to walk everywhere?
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They are going to uparmor jackasses with trophy and reactive armor.
Link Posted: 4/4/2022 1:10:31 AM EDT
[#50]
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Quoted:


We couldn't dance in that environment either. You're talking moving troops, tanks, and soft targets with more than a mile and a half on either side as a buffer zone.

This is, in the simplest terms, known as, "Impossible" and we would be taking pretty grevious losses too. I do commend your faith in combined arms, but think you're not really basing this in reality. John Woo doesn't direct war, so most infantry isn't just going to get to knife range before engaging, they're highly unlikely to get shot by the main OR the coax, and worse for you is that they might just say, "Fuck You" and go beat up on the fuel trucks. Ask any group of military officers what it would be like to move infantry with as little as 600 yards on either side as a buffer and they'll likely tell you that that situation is just as difficult up to impossible as doing so with a mile and a half on either side of your armor.

The Javelins have little to no launch signature, and even if you saw where it came from, there is no guarantee that the launch team is going to be there when retribution arrives. From the time that you saw a launch to the time artillery arrives is measured in minutes. If they aren't shooting and scooting, they're fucking idiots who deserve to get nailed by artillery anyway. That means you're going to have to send in infantry sans armor to make it safe for the armor, and they're going to have to cover areas measured in square miles to do it. I don't want to be a guy walking into a hostile urban environment because fuck that.

You have to realize that the Russians are getting shat upon while they're OUTSIDE the cities in the open in pretty much flat terrain.

I mean, if you're talking about just leveling entire cities with artillery, great! We are likely to get to see that eventuality in The Ukraine.
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Realistically that is how you win wars in cities without losses. You tell the civilians to leave and rubblize the place.

I don't think the Russians are in a hurry because that is the plan after they restabilize their economy and American media moves on to midterm propaganda.

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