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Link Posted: 9/20/2022 11:55:54 AM EDT
[#1]
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Quoted:
The latest GFS run puts it into FL.

The 0Z and 12Z are supposed to be the most accurate models since they use the latest weather balloon data.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2022092006/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_39.png
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Doubt. They always say that Florida is going to get a direct hit and it almost never happens. I've been here, space coast, for every hurricane since 1987 and not once have they correctly predicted the path
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 11:58:34 AM EDT
[#2]
This is td8. I don't understand how it's a threat to anyone
Attachment Attached File
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 12:01:30 PM EDT
[#3]
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Quoted:
This is td8. I don't understand how it's a threat to anyone
https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/524691/Screenshot_20220920-115745_png-2532997.JPG
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He means Invest 98L


Link Posted: 9/20/2022 12:05:30 PM EDT
[#4]
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Quoted:
Machines do all the work. they just parrot what the machines say.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Meteorologist are fucking useless

Prove me wrong

Machines do all the work. they just parrot what the machines say.


exactly
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 12:05:56 PM EDT
[#5]
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 12:06:58 PM EDT
[#6]
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That doesn't even show up on my weather app
Eta: it's on the radar
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Link Posted: 9/20/2022 12:09:18 PM EDT
[#7]
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 12:10:48 PM EDT
[#8]
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Quoted:
Meteorologist are fucking useless

Prove me wrong

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There's a local one with a Facebook group as a side hobby. He does stuff for corporate contracts or something I can't remember.   But the dude is accurate as fuck.  Way more accurate than the news people.  He's like it's gonna rain tomorrow at 3pm till 5pm. And it does.  News be like "change of rain maybe 50/50 I don't know"
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 12:16:11 PM EDT
[#9]
They're really full of shit and wrong a billion percent of the time in future forecasts. And they need a way to keep people on their site I guess with this "story" from Accuweather:

https://www.accuweather.com/en/health-wellness/study-links-temperatures-with-prevalence-of-hate-tweets/1246985

A new study found that a temperature of 86 degrees Fahrenheit was linked to a sharp increase in vitriol--and also that there was a "feel-good" temperature range that seems to elicit far fewer abusive tweets.

Link Posted: 9/20/2022 1:26:41 PM EDT
[#10]
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Quoted:
This is td8. I don't understand how it's a threat to anyone
https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/524691/Screenshot_20220920-115745_png-2532997.JPG
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It's not TD8. He's talking about 98L.

OP, maybe fix the first post to avoid confusion?
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 1:30:16 PM EDT
[#11]


Link Posted: 9/20/2022 1:41:41 PM EDT
[#12]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

Doubt. They always say that Florida is going to get a direct hit and it almost never happens. I've been here, space coast, for every hurricane since 1987 and not once have they correctly predicted the path
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Space Coast is the safest place in Florida. It’s never had a direct hit from a Cat 3 or higher in recorded history. It’s had glancing blows and direct hits from lesser storms but not bad ass killer storms. It’s one reason I plan to move there eventually.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 1:45:35 PM EDT
[#13]
It better not fuck with Aruba! Going in November.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 1:47:21 PM EDT
[#14]
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Quoted:
Pics of meteorologists?
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Only the Mexican one, please.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 1:47:35 PM EDT
[#15]
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Quoted:
Fear mongering bullshit.

Rubes lining up to suck a golf ball out of the fear hose as they buy milk and bread.
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Milk sandwiches are always good during a natural disaster.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 1:52:44 PM EDT
[#16]
kids are 30% more obese than parents cause


Climate Change!!

https://twitter.com/cbsmornings/status/1558555239170674688?s=21&t=7NJ5DjyjS3WOTwUbnSPcKA

Link Posted: 9/20/2022 1:55:37 PM EDT
[#17]
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Quoted:

That doesn't even show up on my weather app
Eta: it's on the radar
https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/524691/Screenshot_20220920-120926_png-2533010.JPG
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Quoted:

That doesn't even show up on my weather app
Eta: it's on the radar
https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/524691/Screenshot_20220920-120926_png-2533010.JPG


That's Fiona.

The one they're talking about is sitting just north of Suriname/Guyana.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 2:11:47 PM EDT
[#18]
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Quoted:
Meteorologist are fucking useless

Prove me wrong

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very true. 87% of the time they get tomorrows weather worse off than the farmers almanac does.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 2:18:19 PM EDT
[#19]
they might have to break out the sprinklers and warehouse fans.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 3:08:29 PM EDT
[#20]
Something is always going to end the world.  Experience has taught me not to panic.  I guess I need to watch that "don't look up" movie another dozen times or so until the propaganda sinks in.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 3:10:47 PM EDT
[#21]


in a perfect world all women would look like that, even the ugly ones.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 3:15:30 PM EDT
[#22]
This thread is the epitome of GD.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 3:26:02 PM EDT
[#23]
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Quoted:
Does this mean global warming isn’t coming?
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Comes every year

It’s called “Summer”

Do you want to know about global cooling? The story is annual and riveting!
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 3:33:17 PM EDT
[#24]
dylan dreyer has always done it for me :)

Link Posted: 9/20/2022 4:17:51 PM EDT
[#26]
This storm will be the one to watch. The gulf is very warm, lots of fuel to bulk up a storm.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 4:22:03 PM EDT
[#27]
98-L = Gustav
Pepper ur angus gulf coast.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 4:23:34 PM EDT
[#28]
What "One" I don't fucking understand by "the one" will it be so powerful it cripples the country?
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 4:24:44 PM EDT
[#29]
Soulmate hurricane?
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 4:45:29 PM EDT
[#30]
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Quoted:
This one is likely to hit Florida but anywhere on the Gulf Coast is at high risk. One doesn’t need to be a forecaster to see it coming.
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Our local TV talking weather heads say No.  There is a steering high/heat dome over TX that will send it straight across the gulf to Mexico.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 4:51:57 PM EDT
[#31]
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Small tits and a big ass.  Me thinks she is wearing padded "fanny" panties.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 5:14:55 PM EDT
[#32]
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Quoted:
You mean the TD8 that is just hanging out in the mid atlantic?
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I looked, and I have no idea what everyone in the thead is on about:

https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane

https://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/tcs.html  <---- great resource, shows the raw track guesses by all the different models and such.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 5:18:31 PM EDT
[#33]
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Quoted:


Ya, I'm confused what a fish storm has to do with anything. I'd be more concerned about Invest98 that most models are agreeing on being a fairly strong GoM storm ready to hump Florida's leg
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Quoted:
Quoted:
You mean the TD8 that is just hanging out in the mid atlantic?


Ya, I'm confused what a fish storm has to do with anything. I'd be more concerned about Invest98 that most models are agreeing on being a fairly strong GoM storm ready to hump Florida's leg


https://www.weathernerds.org/tc_guidance/storm.html?tcid=AL98

Here's invest 98:
ECMWF


GEFS ensemble


ETA: black line is the average of all the tracks.

The individual lines are individual model predictions.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 5:23:10 PM EDT
[#34]
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 5:42:42 PM EDT
[#35]
I’m seeing the opposite of hype from forecasters on WWL Tv. It’s downplay and disclaimers over and over again.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 5:45:37 PM EDT
[#36]
Whether we get hurricanes or not, whether they're big hurricanes or little ones, it'll be because of climate change.

The Angry Weather Goddess really can be all things to all people, dontchaknow.
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 5:46:33 PM EDT
[#37]
It's a climate "crisis"
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 5:47:47 PM EDT
[#38]
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I'm watching, it will end up in the central gulf or west Florida
Link Posted: 9/20/2022 5:50:39 PM EDT
[#39]




Link Posted: 9/20/2022 7:13:34 PM EDT
[#40]
kcolg30 says FUCK FPL
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