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[ARCHIVED THREAD] - Chance question (Page 1 of 2)

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10/27/2011 9:58:07 AM EDT


 
10/27/2011 10:01:59 AM EDT
[#1]
If I choose A or D the answer being 25% then I have a 50% chance of getting it right.



ETA: The more I ponder it I cant even fucking think straight. We need a rocket scientist to chime in.



 
10/27/2011 10:10:21 AM EDT
[#2]
You will never be right.
10/27/2011 10:12:21 AM EDT
[#3]
If only 1 of 4 are correct, the only answer can be 25%. I say it's a tarp though.

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile
10/27/2011 10:13:55 AM EDT
[#4]
The question is stupid and not solvable based on the information given.
10/27/2011 10:17:23 AM EDT
[#5]
This requires a skill set that is not mine to posses this time of the day.....there are two 25% answers so 2 out of 4 are correct....which would be 50 %....however, hell I do not know....I fail

-PC-
10/27/2011 10:21:52 AM EDT
[#6]
50 %
since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b
10/27/2011 10:23:15 AM EDT
[#7]
Norman, coordinate.




10/27/2011 10:29:18 AM EDT
[#8]
Quoted:
50 %
since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b


True, but the question is about picking a random answer.....from four choices.

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile
10/27/2011 10:32:13 AM EDT
[#9]
Quoted:
Quoted:
50 %
since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b


True, but the question is about picking a random answer.....from four choices.

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile


Yes. If picked at random 1 in four chances would be 25% since two answers match that your odds have improved. The correct answer is 50%.
10/27/2011 10:32:25 AM EDT
[#10]
33%
10/27/2011 10:33:53 AM EDT
[#11]





Quoted:





Quoted:




Quoted:


50 %


since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b






True, but the question is about picking a random answer.....from four choices.





Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile






Yes. If picked at random 1 in four chances would be 25% since two answers match that your odds have improved. The correct answer is 50%.



...but if the correct answer is "50%", then there's only a 1 in 4 chance you would choose it at random.  See where this is going?


 
10/27/2011 10:36:55 AM EDT
[#12]
One in four is 25%, so A&D are correct, which comprise half of the choices so the answer is 50%, B is correct which is one of the four, so the answer is 25%, so A&D are correct, so 50%, so B is correct, so 25%, A&D, so 50%, B......

10/27/2011 10:39:56 AM EDT
[#13]
Quoted:

Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
50 %
since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b


True, but the question is about picking a random answer.....from four choices.

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile


Yes. If picked at random 1 in four chances would be 25% since two answers match that your odds have improved. The correct answer is 50%.

...but if the correct answer is "50%", then there's only a 1 in 4 chance you would choose it at random.  See where this is going?  





Logic fail. Forget the numbers for a second. You have a one in four chance of selecting the correct answer of any question with four choices. Since two answers match you have a two in four chance of selecting 25% . That is why the answer is 50%.
10/27/2011 10:41:01 AM EDT
[#14]



Quoted:


50 %

since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b


Did it say that?



 
10/27/2011 10:44:46 AM EDT
[#15]
If the are two 25% answers and two other wrong answers, wouldn't it be 33%.

The two 25%'s count as one combined right answer?
10/27/2011 10:45:40 AM EDT
[#16]
I'm putting this as an extra-credit question on my next exam.
10/27/2011 10:48:57 AM EDT
[#17]
Quoted:
50 %
since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b


But that's no longer "at random".  You are now analyzing the question and the answers.
10/27/2011 10:49:32 AM EDT
[#18]
Quoted:
50 %
since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b


10/27/2011 10:56:57 AM EDT
[#19]
This is going to cause more controversy than 48÷2(9+3).

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile
10/27/2011 10:58:12 AM EDT
[#20]



Quoted:



Quoted:




Quoted:


Quoted:


Quoted:

50 %

since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b




True, but the question is about picking a random answer.....from four choices.



Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile




Yes. If picked at random 1 in four chances would be 25% since two answers match that your odds have improved. The correct answer is 50%.


...but if the correct answer is "50%", then there's only a 1 in 4 chance you would choose it at random.  See where this is going?  

Logic fail. Forget the numbers for a second. You have a one in four chance of selecting the correct answer of any question with four choices. Since two answers match you have a two in four chance of selecting 25% . That is why the answer is 50%.



If the answer is 50%, then what does it matter what your chances are of selecting 25%?

 
10/27/2011 11:03:25 AM EDT
[#21]
I still can't get past the question being written on a chalk board  Thought those were extinct?
10/27/2011 11:09:36 AM EDT
[#22]
Why does my "random" answer have to be limited to A, B, C or D?  Randomly, I choose...pie.
10/27/2011 11:10:59 AM EDT
[#23]
Quoted:
This is going to cause more controversy than 48÷2(9+3).

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile



2

10/27/2011 11:12:25 AM EDT
[#24]
Quoted:
Quoted:

Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
50 %
since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b


True, but the question is about picking a random answer.....from four choices.

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile


Yes. If picked at random 1 in four chances would be 25% since two answers match that your odds have improved. The correct answer is 50%.

...but if the correct answer is "50%", then there's only a 1 in 4 chance you would choose it at random.  See where this is going?  





Logic fail. Forget the numbers for a second. You have a one in four chance of selecting the correct answer of any question with four choices. Since two answers match you have a two in four chance of selecting 25% . That is why the answer is 50%.


It's a bullshit question, I'd answer E) This question is retarded.

If you had a 2 in 4 chance of answering correctly, then there's only 1 of 4 answers that would be correct (B - 50%) and thus your odds would be 1 in 4, no?

Circular logic
10/27/2011 11:13:41 AM EDT
[#25]
I still think you will have a 33% chance, or 1 in 3. Since 2 of the answers are the same there are only 3 different choices.

Jim
10/27/2011 11:14:07 AM EDT
[#26]
Quoted:

Quoted:
Quoted:

Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
50 %
since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b


True, but the question is about picking a random answer.....from four choices.

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile


Yes. If picked at random 1 in four chances would be 25% since two answers match that your odds have improved. The correct answer is 50%.

...but if the correct answer is "50%", then there's only a 1 in 4 chance you would choose it at random.  See where this is going?  





Logic fail. Forget the numbers for a second. You have a one in four chance of selecting the correct answer of any question with four choices. Since two answers match you have a two in four chance of selecting 25% . That is why the answer is 50%.

If the answer is 50%, then what does it matter what your chances are of selecting 25%?  


You have a 25% chance of randomly picking the answer of any question with four choices. Since two of four are 25% you have a 50% chance of picking the correct answer. Got it?   If all four choices were 25% you would have a 100% chance of picking the correct one answer. Do they really let some of you carry loaded guns?     J/k
10/27/2011 11:18:33 AM EDT
[#27]
Quoted:
Quoted:

Quoted:
Quoted:

Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
50 %
since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b


True, but the question is about picking a random answer.....from four choices.

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile


Yes. If picked at random 1 in four chances would be 25% since two answers match that your odds have improved. The correct answer is 50%.

...but if the correct answer is "50%", then there's only a 1 in 4 chance you would choose it at random.  See where this is going?  





Logic fail. Forget the numbers for a second. You have a one in four chance of selecting the correct answer of any question with four choices. Since two answers match you have a two in four chance of selecting 25% . That is why the answer is 50%.

If the answer is 50%, then what does it matter what your chances are of selecting 25%?  


You have a 25% chance of randomly picking the answer of any question with four choices. Since two of four are 25% you have a 50% chance of picking the correct answer. Got it?   If all four choices were 25% you would have a 100% chance of picking the correct one answer. Do they really let some of you carry loaded guns?     J/k


And since only one of the answers is 50%, you really only had a 1 in 4 chance of getting it right.
10/27/2011 11:26:04 AM EDT
[#28]
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:

Quoted:
Quoted:

Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
50 %
since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b


True, but the question is about picking a random answer.....from four choices.

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile


Yes. If picked at random 1 in four chances would be 25% since two answers match that your odds have improved. The correct answer is 50%.

...but if the correct answer is "50%", then there's only a 1 in 4 chance you would choose it at random.  See where this is going?  





Logic fail. Forget the numbers for a second. You have a one in four chance of selecting the correct answer of any question with four choices. Since two answers match you have a two in four chance of selecting 25% . That is why the answer is 50%.

If the answer is 50%, then what does it matter what your chances are of selecting 25%?  


You have a 25% chance of randomly picking the answer of any question with four choices. Since two of four are 25% you have a 50% chance of picking the correct answer. Got it?   If all four choices were 25% you would have a 100% chance of picking the correct one answer. Do they really let some of you carry loaded guns?     J/k


And since only one of the answers is 50%, you really only had a 1 in 4 chance of getting it right.


And if you only had a 1 in 4 chance of getting it right, the answer then changes, thus my post earlier stating it's circular logic and thus not "solvable".
10/27/2011 11:26:05 AM EDT
[#29]

Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:




50 %




since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b

True, but the question is about picking a random answer.....from four choices.
Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile

Yes. If picked at random 1 in four chances would be 25% since two answers match that your odds have improved. The correct answer is 50%.





...but if the correct answer is "50%", then there's only a 1 in 4 chance you would choose it at random.  See where this is going?  

Logic fail. Forget the numbers for a second. You have a one in four chance of selecting the correct answer of any question with four choices. Since two answers match you have a two in four chance of selecting 25% . That is why the answer is 50%.









If the answer is 50%, then what does it matter what your chances are of selecting 25%?  

You have a 25% chance of randomly picking the answer of any question with four choices. Since two of four are 25% you have a 50% chance of picking the correct answer. Got it?   If all four choices were 25% you would have a 100% chance of picking the correct one answer. Do they really let some of you carry loaded guns?     J/k





ROFL.  Keep thinking...you'll get it eventually.












If you have a 50% chance of getting the correct answer, then "50%" IS the correct answer, right?  What are your odds, then, of picking the correct answer, since "50%" is only one of the four choices?



 
10/27/2011 11:28:38 AM EDT
[#30]
Quoted:
The question is stupid and not solvable based on the information given.


This is correct. People are confusing the correct answer to the question with the actual probability of answering the question correctly. Since we don't know how many answers are considered correct, we can't determine the probability of guessing the correct answer, therefore we can't determine whether A,B,C or D is the correct answer..
10/27/2011 11:32:03 AM EDT
[#31]
Quoted:
50 %
since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b


You didn't pick at random.  

My guess is 0% as stated.  It's a tarp!
10/27/2011 11:32:15 AM EDT
[#32]
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:

Quoted:
Quoted:

Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
50 %
since there is only one correct answer to the question, a,b,c or d, then a and d are not valid choices. leaving b and c, thus 1 of 2 or 50 % ie. b


True, but the question is about picking a random answer.....from four choices.

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile


Yes. If picked at random 1 in four chances would be 25% since two answers match that your odds have improved. The correct answer is 50%.

...but if the correct answer is "50%", then there's only a 1 in 4 chance you would choose it at random.  See where this is going?  





Logic fail. Forget the numbers for a second. You have a one in four chance of selecting the correct answer of any question with four choices. Since two answers match you have a two in four chance of selecting 25% . That is why the answer is 50%.

If the answer is 50%, then what does it matter what your chances are of selecting 25%?  


You have a 25% chance of randomly picking the answer of any question with four choices. Since two of four are 25% you have a 50% chance of picking the correct answer. Got it?   If all four choices were 25% you would have a 100% chance of picking the correct one answer. Do they really let some of you carry loaded guns?     J/k


And since only one of the answers is 50%, you really only had a 1 in 4 chance of getting it right.


And if you only had a 1 in 4 chance of getting it right, the answer then changes, thus my post earlier stating it's circular logic and thus not "solvable".


Exactly.
10/27/2011 11:36:45 AM EDT
[#33]
On another note: I hate you, Monkey_Wrench, for the fuck you've filled my head with on this day.

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10/27/2011 11:57:25 AM EDT
[#34]
There are 4 marbles in a bag. Two red one white one blue. What are your odds of randomly picking a red marble?






I am changing my answer to 87. Goodnight gentlemen.

10/27/2011 12:01:09 PM EDT
[#35]
Quoted:
There are 4 marbles in a bag. Two red one white one blue. What are your odds of randomly picking a red marble?



That's not what the question asks. In your question, 50% is the correct answer.

In the OP's question, picking 50% makes 25% the right answer, while picking 25% makes 50% the correct answer.
10/27/2011 12:15:50 PM EDT
[#36]



Quoted:


On another note: I hate you, Monkey_Wrench, for the fuck you've filled my head with on this day.



Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile


My job is done here.

 



10/27/2011 12:17:48 PM EDT
[#37]
Quoted:

Quoted:
On another note: I hate you, Monkey_Wrench, for the fuck you've filled my head with on this day.

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile

My job is done here.  



HaHa! Whereabouts in Fla.?
10/27/2011 12:26:10 PM EDT
[#38]
If the answer is 33% then you have zero chance of picking the right answer but zero is not one of the choices, sooo the answer is 25 or 6 to 4
10/27/2011 12:33:28 PM EDT
[#39]
I'm on it.



I'll have the answer in a sec.




10/27/2011 12:44:15 PM EDT
[#40]
Quoted:
If the answer is 33% then you have zero chance of picking the right answer but zero is not one of the choices, sooo the answer is 25 or 6 to 4


Nice Chicago reference...
10/27/2011 12:45:33 PM EDT
[#41]
I like it!!!!  

10/27/2011 1:27:22 PM EDT
[#42]
You have 3 choices. One is correct, so 1/3 = 33%
10/27/2011 1:44:44 PM EDT
[#43]
Quoted:
You have 3 choices. One is correct, so 1/3 = 33%


You have four choices, two are identical.  None correctly answer the question.
10/27/2011 2:19:36 PM EDT
[#44]



Quoted:


You have 3 choices. One is correct, so 1/3 = 33%


Change the percentage, and you can fail in three axes simultaneously!

 





10/27/2011 2:20:53 PM EDT
[#45]
Quoted:
If only 1 of 4 are correct, the only answer can be 25%. I say it's a tarp though.

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile


2 out of 4 choices = 50%

3 out of 4 choices is 75% and 75% is not offered as an answer...so 50% is the only answer.
10/27/2011 3:21:47 PM EDT
[#46]
Quoted:
Quoted:


You have a 25% chance of randomly picking the answer of any question with four choices. Since two of four are 25% you have a 50% chance of picking the correct answer. Got it?   If all four choices were 25% you would have a 100% chance of picking the correct one answer. Do they really let some of you carry loaded guns?     J/k


And since only one of the answers is 50%, you really only had a 1 in 4 chance of getting it right.


50% is the answer, but the letter that corresponds to 50% is a red herring, you were never asked which letter was correct.
I think...
10/27/2011 3:27:55 PM EDT
[#47]
Quoted:
Quoted:
If only 1 of 4 are correct, the only answer can be 25%. I say it's a tarp though.

Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile


2 out of 4 choices = 50%

3 out of 4 choices is 75% and 75% is not offered as an answer...so 50% is the only answer.


With only one 50%, you have a 25% chance of randomly choosing it.

The sole purpose of that question is to mind-fuck and it works.
10/27/2011 3:32:07 PM EDT
[#48]
Poll failed.
10/27/2011 3:52:25 PM EDT
[#49]
The answer is either A, B, or D.  It is unknown in which of the four 25%s the real answer lies.  If it is in the first 25%, then the answer is A.  If it is in either of the two middle 25%s, then the answer is B.  If it is in the last 25%, then it follows that the answer is D.  There is the possibility that one could choose C, but that contains only part of the 25%s and therefore is a wrong answer.

10/27/2011 4:19:08 PM EDT
[#50]
I will try and lay it out logically.

You randomly select either a,b,c, or d

If you select A you are declaring that the chances that you picked the correct number is 25%.  However, you would be incorrect because in reality if that were the correct number you would have had a 50% chance of selecting it. (Due to D being the same answer).  You would be Incorrect.

If you select B you are declaring that you have a 50% chance of being correct.  However, you would be incorrect because in reality if that were the correct number you would have had a 25% chance of picking it.  You would be Incorrect.

If you select C you are declaring that you have a 60% chance of being correct.  However, you would be incorrect because in reality if that were the correct number you would have had a 25% chance of picking it.  You would be Incorrect.

If you select D you are declaring that you have a 25% chance of being correct.  However, you would be incorrect because in reality if that were the correct number you would have had a 50% chance of picking it.  (Due to A being the same answer).  You would be Incorrect.

Whether there is a correct answer other than A,B,C, or D is irrelevant because you have no option of selecting anything else.

Therefore you will never be correct, so the chance of selecting the correct answer is 0%
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[ARCHIVED THREAD] - Chance question (Page 1 of 2)