I can always empathize with those hit.  Between the direcho and Beryl this year we have already spent more than 8 days without power.  I still have fencing down that I havent gotten repaired yet.  My buddy north of me still has powerlines that havent been repaired.

Louisiana has more people pushed up right on the coast.   I know it wont be the case, but hopefully those that need to get out, got out and the rest are prepared.

How was dinner?

Lots of traffic, but I will say Youngsville is kinda cute. If you can make a living out there. Not sure what the people that live there do, but there's a lot of cute neighborhoods, booming businesses along chemin metairie and E Milton. Still a little too rural for me, but seems peaceful place to live.

For Ida we were 6 weeks without power and 8 weeks without running water.
We improvised, adapted, and made the best of it.

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It's been great. Little surge this morning. But fishing and swimming hasn't been bad. Neither has the rain.

My son and I were filling a few sand bags for us. Couple people show up and either bring a little camping shovel or none at all. The news clearly stated to bring your own shovel, bags and sand provided. So I chose to set a good example and helped a few people that clearly don’t know how to work.  Pretty sure my son got the lesson!

Looks like it’s going to miss us. Don’t wish this mess on anyone. Hurricanes suck!!

I’m pretty certain they don’t miss you.

Youngsville the last 15-20 years grew massively.

Raining a little more with a little more wind.

I have the day off because of the storm so I'm just hanging around the house.

Not anymore, now that you are gone.

dang, now I'm hungry..... Guess I should make dinner now so when the power goes out later we can just eat.

"Strong category one"  (at best).

3:41 cst  today

000
WTNT41 KNHC 112056
TCDAT1

Hurricane Francine Discussion Number  13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062024
400 PM CDT Wed Sep 11 2024

Satellite, radar, and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
data indicate that not only has Francine stayed well organized
during the past six hours despite increasing westerly shear, it has
strengthened a little. The latest reports from the aircraft showed
the central pressure has fallen to near 972 mb with maximum 700
mb flight-level winds of 99 kt to the southeast of the center.
Based on these data, the initial intensity is increased to 85 kt.

The initial motion is now 045/15 kt.  The flow between a mid- to
upper-level ridge over the Gulf of Mexico and a mid- to upper-level
trough over Texas should steer Francine northeastward for the next
12 h or so.  The hurricane is expected to make landfall along the
Louisiana coast in the next few hours and move across southeastern
Louisiana tonight.  After that, a turn toward the north on the east
side of the trough will bring the center of Francine across
southwestern and central Mississippi on Thursday. This should be
followed by a northward motion with a decrease in forward speed
until the cyclone dissipates.  The new track guidance is a little
faster than for the previous advisory, so the new forecast track is
similar to, but faster than, the previous track.

Little change in strength is expected during the final hours before
landfall. After landfall, Francine is expected to quickly weaken
while also losing tropical characteristics. Transition to an
extratropical cyclone is expected to be complete by Friday morning,
with the cyclone forecast to dissipate after 60 h.

An experimental cone graphic that includes inland Hurricane and
Tropical Storm Watches and Warnings in the U.S. is now available on
the NHC website. Due to the time needed to compile the inland watch
and warning information, the experimental cone graphic will not be
available as quickly as the operational cone. Once it is available,
the experimental cone graphic can be found from a red weblink above
the operational cone graphic at
www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at1.shtml?cone#contents. Users are
encouraged to take the experimental product survey found below the
experimental cone.


KEY MESSAGES:

1. There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge through
tonight for the Louisiana and Mississippi coastlines, where a
Storm Surge Warning is in effect. Residents in the warning area
should continue to follow advice given by local officials.

2. Damaging and life-threatening hurricane-force winds are expected
in portions of southern Louisiana this evening and tonight, where a
Hurricane Warning is in effect. Ensure you are in a safe location
before the onset of strong winds or possible flooding.

3. Francine is expected to bring heavy rainfall and the risk of
considerable flash and urban flooding, along with river flooding,
across southeastern Louisiana, Mississippi, far southern Alabama and
the Florida Panhandle through Thursday night. Flash and urban
flooding is probable across the Lower Tennessee Valley and Lower
Mississippi Valley tonight into Friday morning.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  11/2100Z 29.2N  91.5W   85 KT 100 MPH
12H  12/0600Z 30.8N  90.5W   55 KT  65 MPH...INLAND
24H  12/1800Z 33.3N  90.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
36H  13/0600Z 35.0N  90.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
48H  13/1800Z 35.7N  90.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
60H  14/0600Z 36.3N  90.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H  14/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Beven



The Experimental Cone map looks interesting, basically it extends the areas expecting impact inland of the coast with TS/Hurricane watch and warnings by color codes as the storm progresses much like the coastal warnings are shown.  I guess it will be helpful for those who are new to an area that have no tropical weather experience and don't understand the impacts of systems well inland.

Making landfall.

Live video.

looking spicy over there. Kinda mild here on the, just light rain all day. I don't have water front property, but the park behind my house is starting to look like I do.

Rain and wind starting to get a little lively.

Just upgraded to a Cat 2

Getting a little moist in BR...

Apparently made landfall shortly after low tide.  Small blessing in that will slightly decrease the storm surge.

Before offshore died there was a lot of oilfield work there.

Another live stream.

My bayou community in lower Terrebonne Parish took a direct hit.
Lots of down trees and power lines. Hopefully the levees hold. Floods suck badly

got spicy here in New Orleans in the last 45 min or so. Took a shower and did all the nightly stuff, now just watching the news and letting the kids play till bedtime. The power is bound to go out, just don't know when.  Lights have been flickering for the last hour.

police have both sides of a underpass blocked off b/c it's flooded. Some dummy in a Silverado decides to drive on the wrong side of the road straight into the flood water and now the truck is submerged with water ABOVE the hood!!!! dummy

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After about 10 minutes a Good Samaritan saved him, though there was a cop there the whole time and didn’t try to.

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Cops comes after the guy is saved to pretend they were going to do something

Oh Snap!  

After all these years, my wife and I split up our trip this spring and stayed in Lafayette for three days.  We loved the town and surrounding area.  Louisiana friendly, and the best food on the planet.

Denham Springs here. The storm still hasn’t taken the expected northerly turn, and rotation seems to have slowed down as well. Looks like we are going to get a glancing blow rather than the forecasted direct hit. Probably going to be a non-event for here and areas to the west (Baton Rouge) as it progresses for the next few hours. As far as areas north of Lake Pontchartrain go, Ponchatoula, Hammond, and Robert might get the worst of it.

It went well east of the forecast. New Orleans is getting a washout.

I’m next door in MS. Been some good gust, but okay.

Going to be a busy day tomorrow.

Stay safe my LA peeps, it’s on its way to the North Shore!

At I-55 at the MS/LA border (40 miles or so north of Hammond at the Pike county and Tangipahoa parish border) it rained for the last two plus days. Just looked and just breezy but not really windy yet. 27mph wind.

Started raining here a day before the hurricane got close and then I guess the storm came it just kept raining. We were under a flash flood watch two plus days ago.

Speaking of Tangipahoa heard someone call it tang like the drink, Tang eh poe hoe ah.

Morning Check In.

Every one okay?

Hammond, LA got a lot of rain and looking on the net power outtage map shows a lot of outtages. I'm 40 miles north of there and we didn't get squat. I looked at the rain gauge and it shows 2" for the month of Sept. so far which is kind of below average. The highest wind I saw here was 27mph. It's been gone and moved on fort several hours now.

We’re good here.  We have power but the neighborhoods around us don’t.

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Neighbors tree is in my patio though

Show them a survey map of your property line and tell them to remove that drainage pipe, I mean, tree, asap.  Consult the zoning board and a lawyer as well.

Returned once to LFY and the traffic pattern somehow got exponentially worse.
Great people & place, just that the traffic is worse than either Houston or Plano.

Farm is on the opposite end of the state in Caddo Parish. And that is pronounced, 'Caddeaux' thank you very much.
Just got a fine light rain. Just enough to keep from spraying.

In New Orleans, about a mile from the Quarter.  Made it through the night, didn't even lose power, no trees down, no flooding. One of the shutters on the front of the house did break lose and fall off; will probably have to rebuild it .  All in all, not a nothing burger, but not too bad as hurricanes go.

So fun fact, he is a lawyer and was in a minor fender bender. Sued my friend for 2 million and they awarded him 500k. There was barely any damage to either car.

Wishing yall a good recovery and minimal damage from your westerly neighbors. Hang in there yall

Lafayette has outgrown it's roads for sure.  And it makes sense.  The south part of the parish is one of the few places in S. Louisiana that is remotely nice or safe, and has decent employment options.  No BS.  Everyone is moving there.  It's not quite as bad as BR, but it's getting there.  A trip across town used to take twenty minutes.  Now, it could be up to an hour at the worst time of day.

@Gdirty5

Yeah man made it fine, just some trees to clear it passed right over me lol

How yall made out?

I’m right near the bayou with the biggest drainage canal draining me so I’m high and dry

But some folks in the subdivisions that were built over the old swamps without berms had some water in their homes

I’m not really sure how the plats are getting approved without drainage studies

my AO in NE AL got barely a sprinkle. To combat the drought I'm watering my 1 y/o zoysia daily and it's still ify.

We are good where I'm at. Just a little windy and rainy. Nothing crazy.

Downtown Baton Rouge is back to normal business, I'll see how the towns east of here fared on the drive home tomorrow.

Money man

Money makes shit happen. Doesn’t mean it should have