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AR15.COM
11/8/2016 1:48:32 PM EDT
Hell we all look at the various biased polls the media gives, now they are looking about the social media comments to predict stuff

http://www.headlinepolitics.com/facebook-stunning-prediction-trump/?TMN

After this election season, I guess it is as good as any to predict an election!

Sorry if it is a dupe.
11/8/2016 2:00:58 PM EDT
[#1]
No way.



I'll eat my hat if that happens.
11/8/2016 2:03:34 PM EDT
[#2]
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Quoted:
No way.

I'll eat my hat if that happens.
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:
We need more info on the hat please.  Age, materials, frequency of wear, and ripeness.
11/8/2016 2:03:45 PM EDT
[#3]
I wish, but not likely.
11/8/2016 2:10:52 PM EDT
[#4]
The two states I absolutely cannot see going red is WA and OR, I lived quite a while in those two states and it would never happen!
11/8/2016 2:20:27 PM EDT
[#5]
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Quoted:
The two states I absolutely cannot see going red is WA and OR, I lived quite a while in those two states and it would never happen!
View Quote


I can't listen to Hannity's radio show because there are just too many times he doesn't know what he's talking about.

I'll hit the radio on button real quick to find whether he might have a guest caller I can listen to. Yesterday I listened to Ann Coulter make the claim that OR would go red.

I don't recall her rationale, but sure thought that was an interesting prediction.

.
11/8/2016 2:21:11 PM EDT
[#6]
Big League.
11/8/2016 2:23:12 PM EDT
[#7]
Quote History
Quoted:
No way.

I'll eat my hat if that happens.
View Quote


Gonna need a video.  What kind of hat? Baseball, cowboy, etc ?
11/8/2016 2:35:11 PM EDT
[#8]
I put more faith in that "poll" than I do others. So much has shifted to electronic medium and it doesn't really matter what age except for those over 70 maybe. Our phone book has gone from being 1-1/4" thick to a stapled pamphlet with less pages than a magazine. People can communicate & share and discuss ideas in real time. Just one event can change & influence tens of thousands of people in a matter of hours, like a school of fish instantly changing direction in unison. And people have a short memory & attention span so what's happening yesterday and tomorrow affects today. What happened two weeks ago is long forgotten. Social media is choking the last bit of life from the mainstream & print media both for news and for commerce.
11/8/2016 2:53:07 PM EDT
[#9]
Oregon and Washington go red and we'll see Pepe replace the bald eagle as our national symbol.
11/8/2016 2:57:00 PM EDT
[#10]
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Quoted:
Oregon and Washington go red and we'll see Pepe replace the bald eagle as our national symbol.
View Quote


11/8/2016 2:59:30 PM EDT
[#11]
Clinton has her base of support that are vocal, and she has the yellow-dog voters who aren't enthusiastic but are going to vote D regardless.

Social media doesn't reflect what those quietly resigned and even embarrassed people are going to do.

Don't get your hopes up based on twitter or facebook.
11/8/2016 3:03:44 PM EDT
[#12]
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Oregon and Washington go red and we'll see Pepe replace the bald eagle as our national symbol.




11/8/2016 3:08:42 PM EDT
[#13]
I was reading something this morning saying that twitter has a lot of automatic responses that mirror other tweets. Because of that, Twitter will give you skewed results if tweet count is used as an indicator. Just throwing that out there. But to be honest, reading chicken bones and counting on Nostradamus is probably as accurate as anything else out there right now.
11/8/2016 3:08:43 PM EDT
[#14]
nope. no way NY and NJ are going red.
Are you on glue?

I'm as hopeful as the next guy but that is just silly.
11/8/2016 3:13:25 PM EDT
[#15]
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Quoted:
nope. no way NY and NJ are going red.
Are you on glue?

I'm as hopeful as the next guy but that is just silly.
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I am not on glue, I have nothing to do with it, just found it another interesting way to figure out things, but I claim no responsibility to any of this!

I voted a couple of weeks ago!


11/8/2016 3:15:03 PM EDT
[#16]
Quote History
Quoted:
Clinton has her base of support that are vocal, and she has the yellow-dog voters who aren't enthusiastic but are going to vote D regardless.

Social media doesn't reflect what those quietly resigned and even embarrassed people are going to do.

Don't get your hopes up based on twitter or facebook.
View Quote


The only hopes I pin on anything, is how I fill my ballot out and I did that a couple of weeks ago!


11/8/2016 3:18:20 PM EDT
[#17]
Quote History
Quoted:
Clinton has her base of support that are vocal, and she has the yellow-dog voters who aren't enthusiastic but are going to vote D regardless.

Social media doesn't reflect what those quietly resigned and even embarrassed people are going to do.

Don't get your hopes up based on twitter or facebook.
View Quote



A whole bunch of my wife's "mom friends" that were silent on FB during the campaign are now posting up pro-Hillary hashtags now that they have voted.
11/8/2016 3:18:53 PM EDT
[#18]
It's a wet dream....
11/8/2016 3:19:44 PM EDT
[#19]
Quote History
Quoted:
The two states I absolutely cannot see going red is WA and OR, I lived quite a while in those two states and it would never happen!
View Quote


New Jersey and New York.

lol
11/8/2016 3:22:18 PM EDT
[#20]
Here's one thing about social media data tracking on this.



I would expect Trump to actually be underrepresented.  Think about it.  Hillary's support comes from women, people under 30 and minorities.  Trump's base comes from white men, whites without college and older whites.




Which constituencies have a bigger online presence in social media?




If that data is even remotely true, we'll be celebrating tonight instead of panic buying.
11/8/2016 3:24:06 PM EDT
[#21]
Social media is too fluid to use like this. Many pro-trump posts I've seen are actually tagged with pro-Hillary slogans so that they get inadvertently shared more.  

No algorithm or automation (and few humans) can pick up on satire.
11/8/2016 3:38:11 PM EDT
[#22]
It does seem odd that Trump would be "winning" on social media considering the demographics of social media users.  Did this just count "mentions" of each candidate, or did they somehow differentiate between support/criticism of each candidate?  I tried reading the article but your link is giving Chrome cancer.
11/8/2016 4:30:39 PM EDT
[#23]
90% of old people aren't on social media. Old people also happen to make up most of the voters.
11/8/2016 4:36:32 PM EDT
[#24]
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90% of old people aren't on social media. Old people also happen to make up most of the voters.
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I would be interested in seeing some reliable statistics that old people make up most of the voters?  As well as they are not on Social media, I have many friends on FB as does my wife and we are in our 60's!
11/8/2016 4:41:41 PM EDT
[#25]
Quote History
Quoted:
The two states I absolutely cannot see going red is WA and OR, I lived quite a while in those two states and it would never happen!
View Quote


Rush Limbaugh today said that the voters aged.....18-29 (something like that) we're down like 65%.....That's a huge number just not voting.  

It "could" happen.  Portland has a large black population and I think the black population is going to vote FOR Trump in large numbers-numbers big enough to make a difference.

No one in Seattle believes that Hilary gives a crap about them so....? I don't even remember any campaign stops by the dynamic duo of Hilary or.....who's that other guy out there.

Possibly more voters for Jill than Hilary out there anyway.  

I also think that Comey dropped the Hilary investigation because he knows Trump is going to win and this wont be the end of it.
11/8/2016 4:43:58 PM EDT
[#26]
47 States!

GD be slipping...
11/8/2016 4:45:06 PM EDT
[#27]

Quote History
Quoted:
I would be interested in seeing some reliable statistics that old people make up most of the voters?  As well as they are not on Social media, I have many friends on FB as does my wife and we are in our 60's!

View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Quote History
Quoted:



Quoted:

90% of old people aren't on social media. Old people also happen to make up most of the voters.




I would be interested in seeing some reliable statistics that old people make up most of the voters?  As well as they are not on Social media, I have many friends on FB as does my wife and we are in our 60's!

I agree, social media allows parents & grand parents keep in touch with their kids, grand kids, old friends etc. Both my inlaws are into their 70's and they each have a FB page, iPads & iPhones that they are on constantly. I see plenty of over 60 people actively using smart phones. I'd venture to say that social media has vastly improved their quality of life.

 
11/8/2016 4:53:37 PM EDT
[#28]
I think the main reason older people are on FB is to be able to keep up with the grand kids, then they figure out they can find those friends they went to school with so many years ago.  I would venture to say, there are a lot of older people using social media these days.