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Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:12:30 AM EDT
[#1]
And now NATO ground forces will roll into Eastern Ukraine on the basis of suppressing a rogue separatist element which just shot down a passenger plane...
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:12:32 AM EDT
[#2]

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They're saying it was a surface to air missle. Anyone think Russia gave separatist the missle.
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The separatists ARE Russians.

 
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:12:49 AM EDT
[#3]
Ukraine Reporter ?@StateOfUkraine  8m
#Russia'n cmdr Strelkov commented on downed #MH17 (thinking it was Ukrainian): "We warned - do not fly in our skies"
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:12:51 AM EDT
[#4]
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In Soviet Russia, missile cancels flight.
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this site shows the flight as canceled?
http://www.flightradar24.com/data/flights/mh17/




That's the most fucked up way to cancel a flight...


In Soviet Russia, missile cancels flight.


Flight cancels you.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:13:06 AM EDT
[#5]
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They're saying it was a surface to air missle. Anyone think Russia gave separatist the missle.
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Well, it's not like they'd have developed and built a missile themselves.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:13:07 AM EDT
[#6]
AWESOME!  I am flying to Eastern Europe tomorrow for a two week vacation.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:13:35 AM EDT
[#8]
Funny how this all happenes after FBHO bans Russian AKs
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:13:44 AM EDT
[#9]
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And now NATO ground forces will roll into Eastern Ukraine on the basis of suppressing a rogue separatist element which just shot down a passenger plane...
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NATO is sitting this one out.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:14:09 AM EDT
[#10]
IN on this one.

LET THE FINGER POINTING, UNWARRANTED ASSUMPTIONS AND DISPERSION OF NON-VERIFIED INFORMATION COMMENCE!



Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:14:28 AM EDT
[#11]
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Makes you want to start thinking like a Mission Impossible or James Bond screenwriter and start looking to see if any russians shorted malaysian Airlines stock recently.

WTF could anybody be thinking to cut loose a missile at a commercial airliner?

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Ukies dropped Siberia Airlines Flight 1812 a few years back.

*shrug* Easier than hitting fighter-sized targets, I guess.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:14:59 AM EDT
[#12]
Myroslava Petsa ?@myroslavapetsa  1m
Editor of Russia Today and RIA-News agency Margarita Simonyan must think why she put news about downed by DPR "Ukrainian" cargo plane today
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:15:23 AM EDT
[#13]
Flight path








Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:15:27 AM EDT
[#14]
My money is on trigger-happy Russian separatists who thought it was a Ukrainian AN26 or similar.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:16:04 AM EDT
[#15]
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Buk is good to 65k feet
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What sort of air defense systems does Ukraine maintain? I would assume they and the Russians would have the technical capability to shoot down a high altitude aircraft.



Buk is good to 65k feet



Looks like (Wikipedia) they operate the SA-10 / S-300 as well, up to 90k ft / 30km

Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:16:33 AM EDT
[#16]
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:16:37 AM EDT
[#17]

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Oh boy.  Sounds like the rebels shot down the wrong aircraft.

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Unless we start getting into some really off the wall stuff, that seems to make the most sense. Anxious, poorly trained, maybe even faulty equipment.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:16:38 AM EDT
[#18]
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I think the chances are high it was the separatist knowing they have taken out a few Ukrainian jets in similar fashion in the past week. Itchy trigger fingers.
 
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Aviation expert Major Charles Hayman told Sky News: "It's highly likely this aircraft was flying along a fault line between Russian and Ukrainian defences.

"It’s possible the Ukrainians flapped a bit, thought it was hostile and shot it down.

"Perhaps it was confusion at the Ukrainian air defence centre.

"It looks like someone failed to recognise this was a civilian plane and shot it down."


If this gets pinned on Ukraine you can bet your last dollar Russia is going to roll tanks into Ukraine and grab some more territory.

I think the chances are high it was the separatist knowing they have taken out a few Ukrainian jets in similar fashion in the past week. Itchy trigger fingers.
 


Do separatists have that Bkd of Sam ? Manpads maybe but I don't think they have those.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:16:43 AM EDT
[#19]
Russia said they didn't do it, so I guess they get to keep Crimea.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:16:54 AM EDT
[#20]
So, will Malaysia invade Ukraine or Russia?
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:16:59 AM EDT
[#21]
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From Sky news. They are blaming the Ukrainians.

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From Sky news. They are blaming the Ukrainians.




Aviation expert Major Charles Hayman told Sky News: "It's highly likely this aircraft was flying along a fault line between Russian and Ukrainian defences.

"It’s possible the Ukrainians flapped a bit, thought it was hostile and shot it down.

That doesn't even begin to make sense.  It had already traveled the length of the country and was headed out.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:17:12 AM EDT
[#22]
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How about the Europeans?   There were probably a bunch of Dutch folks, and probably German, English, French, etc, on that plane.  
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If Russia fucked up and shot it down there may end up being a lot of pissed off Chinese.  They may not care what the west has to say but I'm sure they were planning on the Chinese looking the other  way so this could have consequences for Russia in its little affair with Ukraine.
How about the Europeans?   There were probably a bunch of Dutch folks, and probably German, English, French, etc, on that plane.  



Yup.  That too.  Europe was in a "we don't really give a shit" mode before this.  Will this change?  Will Russia care what NATO countries say?  I think they already factored that into their thinking to some degree but they probably were not counting on a fuck up like this.  Russians may look like they don't care about their international image but in reality, they probably do.  It will depend on how many people from China and Europe were on the plane.  This will increase world attention on Russias BS in the area.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:17:31 AM EDT
[#23]
Russia and Ukraine both deny involvement.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:17:37 AM EDT
[#24]
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Yes. At the very least they'd be able to know something was an airliner. Everybody has IFF.

If the crew was trained and knew what they're doing of course.
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This should get interesting.

I'm curious about SAMs and target ID. Could an SA-17 crew know

S0 they're aiming at?


Yes. At the very least they'd be able to know something was an airliner. Everybody has IFF.

If the crew was trained and knew what they're doing of course.



And you are wrong! Airliners and civilian planes have mode C transponders not IFF transponders.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:18:10 AM EDT
[#25]
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There are SAMs perfectly capable of this
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According to FlightAware it was level at 33,000 feet.   Other than a jet, what ground-based asset could shoot it down that would be in that area?


"analyst" on CNN saying at that altitude it would most likely have been air to air.

  That would be "interesting"!!


There are SAMs perfectly capable of this


Yup
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:18:17 AM EDT
[#26]
I wonder if anyone in particular was targeted or if this was just a target of opportunity.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:18:39 AM EDT
[#28]
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Unless we start getting into some really off the wall stuff, that seems to make the most sense. Anxious, poorly trained, maybe even faulty equipment.
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Oh boy.  Sounds like the rebels shot down the wrong aircraft.

 

Unless we start getting into some really off the wall stuff, that seems to make the most sense. Anxious, poorly trained, maybe even faulty equipment.



Sounds like Soviet SOP
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:18:40 AM EDT
[#29]
We will have to wait and see if DSP detected the SAM launch as it did in October 2001 when Siberia Airlines flight 1812 was shot down over the Black Sea by the Ukranians.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:18:46 AM EDT
[#30]
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Do separatists have that Bkd of Sam ? Manpads maybe but I don't think they have those.
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Aviation expert Major Charles Hayman told Sky News: "It's highly likely this aircraft was flying along a fault line between Russian and Ukrainian defences.

"It’s possible the Ukrainians flapped a bit, thought it was hostile and shot it down.

"Perhaps it was confusion at the Ukrainian air defence centre.

"It looks like someone failed to recognise this was a civilian plane and shot it down."


If this gets pinned on Ukraine you can bet your last dollar Russia is going to roll tanks into Ukraine and grab some more territory.

I think the chances are high it was the separatist knowing they have taken out a few Ukrainian jets in similar fashion in the past week. Itchy trigger fingers.
 


Do separatists have that Bkd of Sam ? Manpads maybe but I don't think they have those.


Journalists filmed them just a few days ago with at least 1 Buk and 1 other SAM launcher.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:19:06 AM EDT
[#31]
Russian BUK SA-11. Possible system that brought it down.




http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buk_missile_system


 
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:19:09 AM EDT
[#32]
You must be fucking stupid to plan a flight over a battlefield where they shoot down planes daily... Honestly.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:19:16 AM EDT
[#33]
Flighttracker shows the flight terminating in NW Ukraine, south of Belarus.

Do the russians have their missiles forward deployed  in Belarus or in separatist controlled Ukraine?
That missile system is not something you just loan out to the rebels.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:19:18 AM EDT
[#34]

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I wonder if anyone in particular was targeted or if this was just a target of opportunity.
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I bet it was a mistake regardless of who did it. Nobody in their right mind would think that they would benefit from shooting down a civilian aircraft.

 
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:19:35 AM EDT
[#35]
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Giraldo is on and he is MAD. Blames Putin.
 
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and the media has finally caught up to arfcom

https://www.google.com/#q=mh17&safe=off&tbm=nws

Interdasting.
 
Giraldo is on and he is MAD. Blames Putin.
 


Did he stamp his little feet?
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:20:19 AM EDT
[#36]
Russian back pedaling begins now...
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:20:22 AM EDT
[#37]
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The flight wasn't canceled, the landing was.

If it was intentionally brought down, Shit Just Got Real.
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this site shows the flight as canceled?
http://www.flightradar24.com/data/flights/mh17/


By a SAM...


The flight wasn't canceled, the landing was.

If it was intentionally brought down, Shit Just Got Real.



thanks, I just choked on my hamburger.

but don't worry, I'll be ok
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:20:30 AM EDT
[#38]
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Do separatists have that Bkd of Sam ? Manpads maybe but I don't think they have those.
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They are known to have some mobile systems.  At least one Buk system.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:21:00 AM EDT
[#39]
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And you are wrong! Airliners and civilian planes have mode C transponders not IFF transponders.
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This should get interesting.

I'm curious about SAMs and target ID. Could an SA-17 crew know

S0 they're aiming at?


Yes. At the very least they'd be able to know something was an airliner. Everybody has IFF.

If the crew was trained and knew what they're doing of course.



And you are wrong! Airliners and civilian planes have mode C transponders not IFF transponders.


Mode C (and A) = Mode 3.

And you have Mode S.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:21:04 AM EDT
[#40]
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Russian back pedaling begins now...
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Remember - Ukrainians that are pro-Russian still count as "Ukrainians shot down the plane"
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:21:06 AM EDT
[#41]
I read on separatists' news feed that TWO planes fell simultaneously. One of them was a Ukrainian military AN-26. The second one was the Malaysian passenger plane. So, it seem that they fired several rockets at the military plane and shot it down. But one of the rockets hit a passenger jet which was flying nearby. Fucking idiots had killed 300 innocent people. Sad...
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:21:13 AM EDT
[#42]
some unconfirmed wreckage photos on twitter now



https://twitter.com/hashtag/mh17
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:21:26 AM EDT
[#43]

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They were flying directly into Russia.



 
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:21:37 AM EDT
[#44]
ho lee shit.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:21:56 AM EDT
[#45]
Good news, it's just been reported that President Obama has been briefed on the situation.

He's been assured it will not interfere with his scheduled golf games.
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:22:20 AM EDT
[#46]
Footage of locals with crash site in the background

Anybody get what they are saying ?

http://www.telegraaf.nl/tv/nieuws/binnenland/22866662/__Beelden_neergestort_vliegtuig__.html
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:22:23 AM EDT
[#47]
max seddon ?@maxseddon  5m
Donetsk rebels are denying they have the Buk missile complexes Ukraine say downed #MH17, but boasted of them in June:
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:22:33 AM EDT
[#48]

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Funny how this all happenes after FBHO bans Russian AKs
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Those damned tea partiers



 
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:22:37 AM EDT
[#49]
Have commercial air traffic been flying the same route since hostilities commenced?
Link Posted: 7/17/2014 8:22:54 AM EDT
[#50]

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some unconfirmed wreckage photos on twitter now



https://twitter.com/hashtag/mh17
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