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Update time!

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Reporting 24 sunspots this morning,  2 visible.https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/218810/Screenshot_20201114-082948_Mobile_Observ-1683839.JPG

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Time for an update!!

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I think we all would like to see a 'Maunder Minimum' as it definitely would give us a brief respite from warming and also prompt many other positive happenings, such as reversing the Northward migration we are experiencing from Central and South America, locking up huge amounts of water in ice and reversing sea rise and hopefully giving us time to develop the science and technology we will need on the back side of it, because the heat will really be on at that time. IOW, the cool-down will be slow but the following warm-up will be fast and relentless. If we do luck out and the Grand minimum comes, we better come up with something fast. I mean we'll have maybe 35 years or so before it gets back to 'average' temps but then it will get hot fast. If we haven't figured this thing out by that time we'll be sunk.

Now for the speculation; some think the sun's cooling is actually being engineered by aliens for the purpose of reversing warming on Earth and will actually be permanent. Can't say I don't like that idea but I sure won't be here to see if it stays cool after 30 years or so of cooling. And if the aliens screw it up and the earth goes back into 'snowball' mode like it has in the far past, we can all play 'Ice Planet Hoth'.

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Apparently you haven't studied this much, so this will probably blow your mind:  the Antarctic ice cores show that temps there are still around 3° cooler than the peak of the last interglacial.  Yeah, that's a fact, and everything the MSM has told you is a lie.  There is NOTHING unusual about current temperatures or the rate of warming.  The real threat is the cooling that is due to start at any time.  There is absolutely no reason to believe that human CO2 is going to stave off the next glacial period, which will kill BILLIONS of people when it happens  (read up on Milankovitch cycles, if you are unfamiliar).  And it won't be quick and easy.  Think WW3 over food and fuels, and those who aren't killed in war will starve and/or freeze.  And unlike the prior world wars, it will involve everyone on the planet.  

I guarantee that most people at the UN and their IPCC actually know it's all bullshit, but they see an opportunity to implement global Communism AND reduce population, so they are "all in" with the carbon tax scam.  They probably justify it (morally) by reminding each other if we do nothing, billions will die anyways when temps drop.  There is no way you could study the science required to be on the IPCC, and not know that we are due for cooling soon.    

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There are snow storms! Is this a good sign for no sunspots?

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Great post. Thanks.

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The USN isn't lying to it's commanders about how much ice there is. The average of a trillion tons/yr over the last few decades, and increasing, is a significant amount of latent heat.

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You think the military wouldn't lie about this? They absolutely would!

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Any updates?

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Has the sunspot count been staying low?

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Hopefully, there will be clear skies this weekend and I'll be able to pull out the telescope and filter to take a peek at the sun.

The uncertainty of science: On May 1st NOAA updated its monthly graph to show the Sun’s sunspot activity through the end of April 2021. As I do every month, I have annotated it to show the previous solar cycle predictions and posted it below.

In my sunspot update last month I reviewed in detail the range of predictions by solar scientist for the upcoming solar maximum, noting that based on the higher than expected sunspot activity that has been occurring since the ramp up to solar maximum began in 2020, it appeared that all of their predictions might be wrong. The continuing high activity that occurred in April continued that trend.


April 2021 sunspot activity

The graph above has been modified to show the predictions of the solar science community for the previous solar maximum. The green curves show the community’s two original predictions from April 2007 for the previous maximum, with half the scientists predicting a very strong maximum and half predicting a weak one. The blue curve is their revised May 2009 prediction. The red curve is the new prediction, first posted by NOAA in April 2020.

As the dots on the black line show, since the low point in February, just above the red prediction curve, the number of sunspots in April continued upward at the same pace as in March. Since the beginning of 2020 the Sun’s sunspot activity has consistently exceeded the prediction.

Does that mean we are heading for a very active solar maximum? No, not at these numbers. While the activity does exceed the prediction, it does not do so by much. If you extrapolate these numbers through 2025 (something I admit is a dangerous thing to do), it suggests the next solar maximum will be slightly more active than predicted, and only marginally more powerful than the previous very weak maximum in 2014. Such a maximum would still be very weak, and in fact would be a positive confirmation of the red curve prediction.

Two weak maximums in a row would also continue past patterns, as shown by the historic solar cycle curves at the bottom of the graph. The first two maximums for the 1800s and 1900s were also weak. Having the first two maximums in the 2000s also be weak would simply continue that pattern.

Why such a pattern happens however remains unknown. Though we know that the sunspot cycle is caused by fluctuations in the Sun’s dynamo, no one really understands that dynamo or the processes that cause it to fluctuate.

Furthermore, my extrapolation above must be taken with a gigantic grain of salt. There is no guarantee activity will continue at this pace. It is just as likely that the Sun’s activity will ease in the coming year and begin to match the prediction. Or go up to further exceed it. Because we really don’t know why the activity fluctuates, we can’t make any meaningful predictions about what it will do next.

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Going to be fun to see how the climate change folks spin this shit.

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Yep, this is all I've been getting since 2018.

https://live.staticflickr.com/4852/44901333125_b9a4071925_b.jpgSun 20181110 by FredMan, on Flickr

Back then I'd get these...

https://live.staticflickr.com/1740/42314493362_734c5fcb5e_b.jpg+64 by FredMan, on Flickr

https://live.staticflickr.com/4484/37862337226_3afaa43e97_b.jpgISS Solar Transit 20171024 Stack_Edit by FredMan, on Flickr

https://live.staticflickr.com/4379/37366060586_776e50e933_b.jpgSun Spots 20170930 by FredMan, on Flickr

https://live.staticflickr.com/4432/36186952024_711011fbc5_b.jpgSun Spots 20170904 by FredMan, on Flickr

And that little green dot?  That's the Earth, to scale.

https://live.staticflickr.com/4398/36882472971_4cbaf96eb6_b.jpgSun Spots 20170904 by FredMan, on Flickr

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KP-7 Level Storm

https://i.imgur.com/SmcXrY6.png

" There is no reason this mild CME should have produced this geomagnetic storm to this extent. This is exactly what we've said to watch as the cycle progresses - how well earth's field holds up compared to previous cycles. This is not a good sign."

Quicky, 2:36 long video update
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=90EeTN2eXks

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Yeah, this is not good news. How the hell is a glancing blow hitting us this hard? Probably the reason no magnetic field measurements have been released in years.

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Awaiting CME Impact, Atlantis Evidence, China Weather | S0 News May.24.2021
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MflBRbP9M28

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What did I just watch?

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It will be an age undreamed of!

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You were keeping up until the atlantis stuff right?