Official Election Day Thread - Page 8

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Dino

Brother Shotgun of Compassion

Joined Jun 2004
Posts 25789
EE 0% (0)

TX, USA

Posted: 11/4/2024 9:45:09 PM EST

[#1]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Rem700PSS:
For the sake of argument, if election day turnout holds similar to 2020, are we legitimately looking at a Trump victory by a 700,000 vote margin?

It seems like the race for PA would be called before it's even started tomorrow.

View Quote

yeah, but it is dangerous relying on early voting to make predictions.

Those missing votes might turn up tomorrow.

Prov 11:9 An hypocrite with his mouth destroyeth his neighbour: but through knowledge shall the just be delivered.

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30281 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/4/2024 9:48:23 PM EST [#2] Attached File Attached File Attached File

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30286 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/4/2024 10:44:25 PM EST [#3] Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30289 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 7:37:02 AM EST [#4] Attached File Attached File Attached File

Pantexan Joined May 2011 Posts 13972 EE 100% (7) BHS	Posted: 11/5/2024 7:44:10 AM EST [#5]

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30290 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 7:50:10 AM EST [#6] Quote History Originally Posted By Pantexan: https://meme-generator.com/wp-content/uploads/mememe/2020/02/mememe_f9451f30873c0d69c0a4cd50feb23bec-1.jpg View Quote It’s my one man crusade.

Bklyn_Irish As serious as dick cancer... Joined Jan 2003 Posts 11686 EE 100% (40) SC, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 9:13:44 AM EST [#7] Is this going to be THEE thread?
	"Whisky for the gentlemen that like it. And for the gentlemen that don't like it - Whisky!" -Alec Guinness as MAJ (acting Colonel) Jock Sinclair, D.S.O., M.M. "Tunes of Glory"

D_J I'd rather be driving right now. Joined Oct 2008 Posts 29877 EE 100% (7) GA, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 9:37:05 AM EST [#8] Quote History Originally Posted By Bklyn_Irish: Is this going to be THEE thread? View Quote Y'all can decide. https://www.ar15.com/forums/general/OFFICIAL-2024-GENERAL-ELECTION-THREAD/5-2757941/
	I like cars.

Emeoba69

Joined Nov 2008
Posts 8452
EE 0% (0)

OH, USA

Posted: 11/5/2024 9:48:05 AM EST

[#9]

Voted this morning 7:50 am. Maybe 30 people ahead of me, 30 people behind. Surprisingly it was 90% Gen X or younger. Very few blue hairs (boomer or older). Even the workers were younger when typically they were all old grannies in the past. 80/20 men to women. Well under 2020 wait time and numbers but I went in the evening last time so that could explain some of it. Didn’t feel the same level of energy with much fewer numbers. Not sure what to make of it.

uxo2 Member Joined Nov 2005 Posts 25280 EE 100% (172) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 9:54:41 AM EST [#10] OST
	Only two defining forces have ever offered to die for you, Jesus Christ and the American Soldier. One died for your soul; the other for your freedom. George Patton

tortilla-flats Let's Go Joined Oct 2001 Posts 25888 EE 100% (129) TX, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 10:23:14 AM EST [#11] Quote History Originally Posted By D_J: Y'all can decide. https://www.ar15.com/forums/general/OFFICIAL-2024-GENERAL-ELECTION-THREAD/5-2757941/ View Quote This one has been around longer and has more/better content.
	Tom Sawyer. "If The Rules brought us to this, what use are they?"

odiedodi Joined Aug 2009 Posts 44791 EE 0% (0) SGP	Posted: 11/5/2024 10:30:06 AM EST [#12] RCP already calling it. (Don't take any good news as a reason to not vote, for the love of god) RealClearPolitics: "Trump Projected to Retake the White House" pic.twitter.com/owgzOgPvzF Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) November 5, 2024

JVD Joined Nov 2008 Posts 48066 EE 0% (0) WI, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 10:30:56 AM EST [#13]

JustinU235 Not great. Not terrible. Joined Mar 2005 Posts 28586 EE 100% (64) TN, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 10:32:46 AM EST [#14] There's at least 3 official threads now. Which one is it? Can we just combine them into one?
	Become prompt critical.

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30293 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 10:43:48 AM EST [#15] Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30294 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 10:45:37 AM EST [#16] Attached File Attached File

Badger545 Tactical Snowman Joined May 2011 Posts 9059 EE 100% (13) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 10:51:20 AM EST [#17] mega thread? more like MAGA thread Attached File
	Now broadcasting from occupied territory

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30295 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 10:53:51 AM EST [#18] Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30296 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 10:56:18 AM EST [#19] Quote History Originally Posted By JustinU235: There's at least 3 official threads now. Which one is it? Can we just combine them into one? View Quote Hey bro, I’ve been doing this since August

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30297 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 10:57:48 AM EST [#20] Quote History Originally Posted By Badger545: mega thread? more like MAGA thread https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/273091/Things_you_should_google_us_neutrality__-3369001.JPG View Quote

trapsh00ter99 Member Joined Dec 2008 Posts 13430 EE 100% (67) OH, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 11:07:39 AM EST [#21] If I had to bet our house on the outcome, I'd bet it on a Trump victory.
	"the science" /duh si-ens/ noun: progressive postmodern religious dogma not based in tested hypothesis or facts used to advance an authoritative political ideology

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30298 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 11:08:20 AM EST [#22] Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30299 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 12:15:22 PM EST [Last Edit: 1975] [#23] Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30300 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 12:21:53 PM EST [#24] Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File

lsujim It smells like victory. Joined Apr 2006 Posts 10051 EE 100% (149) TX, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 12:21:58 PM EST [#25] Just cast my vote in Texas. Took 5 minutes.

InHocSigno Member Joined Jun 2020 Posts 2292 EE 0% (0) IL, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 12:24:41 PM EST [#26] Attached File

1Tribe Team Ranstad, callsign: RUGBURN Joined Nov 2009 Posts 4790 EE 100% (44) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 12:29:05 PM EST [Last Edit: 1Tribe] [#27] Quote History Originally Posted By 1975: It’s my one man crusade. View Quote i seen't it
	"...One Nation, Under God, Indivisible, With Liberty and Justice for All." NEVER FORGET 9-11-2001 I am STILL pissed off.

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30302 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 12:42:47 PM EST [#28] Quote History Originally Posted By InHocSigno: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/512505/2024_Election_jpg-3369130.JPG View Quote

South_Side_Shooter Enjoys Tomato Soup Joined Jun 2010 Posts 19827 EE 100% (1) IL, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 12:46:19 PM EST [#29] Attached File
	While there are certainly some very intelligent people on Arfcom, I have often found that the collective "hivemind" needs to wear slip-on shoes. - Mech2007

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30303 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 12:47:56 PM EST [#30] Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30304 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 1:11:19 PM EST [#31] Attached File Attached File Attached File

farfromhome Privacy Advocate Joined Jun 2004 Posts 11703 EE 100% (5) NPL	Posted: 11/5/2024 1:25:55 PM EST [#32] Where I voted there was sign "No political shirts, hats or other attire allowed" At least my state has an R super majority.
	DO NOT allow anyone to track you. Ask me how to protect your data. Trash social media, it's mind poison. Lock down your network! PROTECT PRIVACY! Privacy will come at a cost.

dedreckon Member Joined Mar 2010 Posts 12148 EE 100% (2) NLD	Posted: 11/5/2024 1:35:01 PM EST [#33] Probably just me but ate dinner in a Thai restaurant in Amsterdam tonight and the Buddha looked like Trump (was just the distance and lighting) Orange Buddha will win Attached File

AR15thur

Member

Joined Aug 2008
Posts 15788
EE 100% (6)

TN, USA

Posted: 11/5/2024 1:53:26 PM EST

[#34]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Dino:
non crazy answer: Dems don't seem to be very excited about Kamala, and even most democrats will say Trump would be better for the economy.

crazy answer: they didn't setup the steal through late night dumps on election day, but rather through early voting with covid eased restrictions.

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Originally Posted By Dino:

Originally Posted By Rem700PSS:

WHAT HAPPENED TO DEMOCRAT TURNOUT IN PENNSYLVANIA.

Early voting numbers for Democrats are down 700,000 from 2020. Republican ballots are basically the same. Was 2020 a mirage.

2020
\uD83D\uDFE6 1,587,654 (+1,040,038)
\uD83D\uDFE5 547,616

2024
\uD83D\uDFE6 893,998 (+372,799)
\uD83D\uDFE5 521,199
Citizen Free Press (@CitizenFreePres) November 4, 2024

This was posted above but I don't want it to get lost.

Can someone legitimately help me reconcile this? In 2020, Joe gets 3,458,229 vs Trump's 3,377,674. Roughly 81,000 votes.

According to this, the early voting in PA has Democrats back 700,000 votes leading up to election day. Republican numbers are about the same.
Republicans traditionally dominate election day turnout.

Where are the Democrats going to pull that many votes from? Is there a legitimate chance that 700,000+ people decided "Meh, I'll vote in person on election day this year"?
50-60,000 votes, I could understand. 700,000? I can't. Can someone seriously take me through this so that I don't feel like I'm being gaslit and force-fed the Kool-Aid?

non crazy answer: Dems don't seem to be very excited about Kamala, and even most democrats will say Trump would be better for the economy.

crazy answer: they didn't setup the steal through late night dumps on election day, but rather through early voting with covid eased restrictions.

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30305 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 1:59:02 PM EST [#35] Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30306 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 2:03:29 PM EST [#36] Quote History Originally Posted By dedreckon: Probably just me but ate dinner in a Thai restaurant in Amsterdam tonight and the Buddha looked like Trump (was just the distance and lighting) Orange Buddha will win https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/239278/1000005805_jpg-3369235.JPG View Quote That looks strikingly like Trump.

tripleshok Member Joined Jan 2015 Posts 1231 EE 100% (3) FL, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 2:19:37 PM EST [Last Edit: tripleshok] [#37] Voted for Trump again, for the 4th time starting with the 2016 primary. Make America Great Forever!

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30307 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 2:28:33 PM EST [#38] Attached File Attached File Attached File Attached File

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30308 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 2:30:14 PM EST [Last Edit: 1975] [#39] Wow. My first ever tacked thread. Thank you mods. Go Vote!

MateFrio

Member

Joined Jun 2008
Posts 6641
EE 100% (1)

MO, USA

Posted: 11/5/2024 2:32:09 PM EST

[#40]

These are the states that matter.

Arizona (11 electoral votes): Recent polls indicate a near tie, with both candidates having a substantial chance of winning.
Georgia (16 electoral votes): The race is highly competitive, with neither candidate holding a decisive lead.
Michigan (15 electoral votes): Polls show a tight contest, with margins within the statistical error.
Nevada (6 electoral votes): Both campaigns are investing heavily, reflecting its toss-up status.
North Carolina (16 electoral votes): The state remains a battleground with no clear frontrunner.
Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes): A critical swing state with polls indicating a statistical tie.
Wisconsin (10 electoral votes): The race is extremely close, with both candidates vying for a lead.

For Trump to win he needs the following:

Arizona (currently leading by 2.1 points)
Georgia (leading by 0.8 points)
North Carolina (leading by 0.9 points)
Nevada (leading by 0.3 points)

Win one of these states:

Wisconsin (most Republican-friendly)
Pennsylvania
Michigan

For Harris to win.

Hold these states:

Pennsylvania (currently leading by 0.2 points)
Michigan (leading by 1.0 point)
Wisconsin (leading by 1.0 point)

Maintain traditional Democratic strongholds:

New Hampshire
Minnesota
Virginia

TLDR: Pennsylvania

Illegitimi Non Carborundum
DEXAI

Subnet Member Joined Apr 2004 Posts 172401 EE 100% (1) TX, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 2:32:24 PM EST [#41] Quote History Originally Posted By 1975: Wow. My first ever tacked thread. Thank you mods. Go Vote! View Quote With highlight, for an extra dose of pimpin'.
	And I looked, and behold a pale horse: and his name that sat on him was Death, and Hell followed with him.

Cypher15

Member

Joined May 2007
Posts 48838
EE 100% (1)

MD, USA

Posted: 11/5/2024 2:33:06 PM EST

[#42]

FL:

Florida election day vote

\uD83D\uDD34 Rep 293,747 (47.53%)
\uD83D\uDD35 Dem 156,283 (25.29%) pic.twitter.com/BNJDBA4vW1
Election Wizard (@ElectionWiz) November 5, 2024

Az:

WOW!!!! https://t.co/Dbl3G6eUY3
Election Wizard (@ElectionWiz) November 5, 2024

Turnout is 2:1 R in Maricopa and Rs just passed a million advantage in FL, people waiting hours to vote in PA.

So sick of this vague BS. https://t.co/8upef9HExI
Seth Keshel (@RealSKeshel) November 5, 2024

NV:

In just one update, Republicans wiped the "lead" Democrats were building in Clark. Obviously things can change, but this is good for Trump is it holds. https://t.co/SxJlTuB3yx
Real Political Data (@RealPData) November 5, 2024

GA:

Duval County, FL, which is D+1.9% in registration, is at R+3.0% in turnout and always votes right if its registration.

It is also a perfect mirror of GA since 2004, meaning as long as these similarities hold up, GA should be moving right, too. And GA has voted right of Duval in…
Seth Keshel (@RealSKeshel) November 5, 2024

Things are looking promising. There are rumors of LOW turnout in Northern Virginia.

Pour it on like we're 10 points behind and run up the fucking score.
Do not get cocky, just vote.

Coyote with 40 people crammed into a minivan gets into a chase with DPS, Paco over estimates his driving abilities and *whmmo!* the Astrovan of Immigration becomes a Pinata of Pain, hurling broken bodies like so many tasty pieces of cheap candy...

scuba_steve These are not my pants. Joined Nov 2013 Posts 29090 EE 100% (20) VA, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 2:36:22 PM EST [Last Edit: scuba_steve] [#43] Quote History Originally Posted By 1975: Wow. My first ever tacked thread. Thank you mods. Go Vote! View Quote You've been promoted. Now, off to point more folks here.

AJE Do or do not. There is no "try" Joined Nov 2005 Posts 63546 EE 100% (76) OH, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 2:36:36 PM EST [#44] Quote History Originally Posted By 1975: Wow. My first ever tacked thread. Thank you mods. Go Vote! View Quote Good job jumping on the subject early
	“Hokey religions and ancient weapons are no match for a 10mm at your side, kid.”

Cypher15 Member Joined May 2007 Posts 48839 EE 100% (1) MD, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 2:36:59 PM EST [#45] Real info - no voting centers in DeKalb County, GA, with intermediate or long wait times. Most under 5 minutes. This is Election Day in a 83/16 Biden County that came into Election Day 79k votes short of its 2020 ballot count. pic.twitter.com/OYiyVJxi7K Seth Keshel (@RealSKeshel) November 5, 2024
	Coyote with 40 people crammed into a minivan gets into a chase with DPS, Paco over estimates his driving abilities and whmmo! the Astrovan of Immigration becomes a Pinata of Pain, hurling broken bodies like so many tasty pieces of cheap candy...

6gunfighter2

They Died With Their Boots On

Joined Feb 2004
Posts 77218
EE 0% (0)

OH, USA

Posted: 11/5/2024 2:37:35 PM EST

[Last Edit: 6gunfighter2] [#46]

Quote History

Originally Posted By MateFrio:
These are the states that matter.

Arizona (11 electoral votes): Recent polls indicate a near tie, with both candidates having a substantial chance of winning.
Georgia (16 electoral votes): The race is highly competitive, with neither candidate holding a decisive lead.
Michigan (15 electoral votes): Polls show a tight contest, with margins within the statistical error.
Nevada (6 electoral votes): Both campaigns are investing heavily, reflecting its toss-up status.
North Carolina (16 electoral votes): The state remains a battleground with no clear frontrunner.
Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes): A critical swing state with polls indicating a statistical tie.
Wisconsin (10 electoral votes): The race is extremely close, with both candidates vying for a lead.

For Trump to win he needs the following:

Arizona (currently leading by 2.1 points)
Georgia (leading by 0.8 points)
North Carolina (leading by 0.9 points)
Nevada (leading by 0.3 points)

Win one of these states:

Wisconsin (most Republican-friendly)
Pennsylvania
Michigan

For Harris to win.

Hold these states:

Pennsylvania (currently leading by 0.2 points)
Michigan (leading by 1.0 point)
Wisconsin (leading by 1.0 point)

Maintain traditional Democratic strongholds:

New Hampshire
Minnesota
Virginia

TLDR: Pennsylvania

View Quote

Since when has New Hampshire been a “traditional democratic stronghold?”

Aren’t they kinda conservative?

"You know, a long time ago, being crazy meant something. Nowadays, everybody's crazy." - Charles Milles Manson.

Cypher15 Member Joined May 2007 Posts 48840 EE 100% (1) MD, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 2:38:31 PM EST [#47] NV News: Great to join @charliekirk11 to break down NV's EDay (some of them in real time). Bottom line: Rs had a big lead going into EDay. D EDay turnout in Clark is stronger than in previous years, but rural NV turnout is massive too. Advantage Trump. pic.twitter.com/oejQnO1Cxm Victor Joecks (@VictorJoecks) November 5, 2024 Hey you! Yea! YOU! GO VOTE!
	Coyote with 40 people crammed into a minivan gets into a chase with DPS, Paco over estimates his driving abilities and whmmo! the Astrovan of Immigration becomes a Pinata of Pain, hurling broken bodies like so many tasty pieces of cheap candy...

1975 Member Joined Jan 2011 Posts 30309 EE 0% (0) USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 2:38:59 PM EST [#48] What today’s election feels like! \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8Team America \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8 pic.twitter.com/uwlscqDzMz Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 5, 2024

chargerkid5 Member Joined Aug 2008 Posts 3725 EE 100% (16) SD, USA	Posted: 11/5/2024 2:39:02 PM EST [Last Edit: chargerkid5] [#49] You can't wear political attire at the polls. However my company issued red polo shirt was strategically chosen for attire today.
	"Hey you guys with the glow sticks get over here! You're in range of the flame throwers!"

odiedodi

Joined Aug 2009
Posts 44800
EE 0% (0)

SGP

Posted: 11/5/2024 2:39:22 PM EST

[#50]

Quote History

Originally Posted By Cypher15:

Things are looking promising. There are rumors of LOW turnout in Northern Virginia.

View Quote

Told people it's in play. I'd really like to see VA and New Hampshire go for him. Anything beyond that is just getting greedy to ask for, but every unexpected pick up will make the seething exponentially funnier to watch.

Official Election Day Thread (Page 8 of 93)

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