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Quoted: LOL what, why? Are you a tech? Was this some weird form of social distancing? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: At least I’ll get some sweet overtime when the grid starts going down. When COVID came out and lock downs happened. My buddy got sequestered to run the real time desk. The parked a trailer on the lot and told him he couldnt leave. 3 weeks of straight 24/7 pay at OT rates, he remodeled his house with a single pay check Sweet gig if you can get it. At the beginning of COVID I got paid ten hours a day to sit at a substation just in case something happened. Nothing ever happened the entire month I did that. LOL what, why? Are you a tech? Was this some weird form of social distancing? I’m a substation electrician. So yeah it was just in case something broke down or whatnot. It was a social distancing thing. We weren’t supposed to work around other guys blah blah blah. Well that lasted a month until they realized a whole bunch of work that needed done wasn’t getting done. |
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Quoted: I’m a substation electrician. So yeah it was just in case something broke down or whatnot. It was a social distancing thing. We weren’t supposed to work around other guys blah blah blah. Well that lasted a month until they realized a whole bunch of work that needed done wasn’t getting done. View Quote Makes sense, but also dumb. We did that in some areas and realized even if an entire crew got sick, giving them 3 weeks off was still faster then trying to play one person at a time. |
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Quoted: my rav4 Cost $33,000 An EV is $60,000 I think right now I can buy a lot of gas with $27,000 About 230,000 miles View Quote Even a base Tacoma SR 4x4 is $36-40k. That Tacoma will run 200-300k miles, then a $5-6k engine swap and get another 200plus thousand miles. For around $60k you can drive that vehicle half a million miles. |
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Quoted: That's the thing. Even a base Tacoma SR 4x4 is $36-40k. That Tacoma will run 200-300k miles, then a $5-6k engine swap and get another 200plus thousand miles. For around $60k you can drive that vehicle half a million miles. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: my rav4 Cost $33,000 An EV is $60,000 I think right now I can buy a lot of gas with $27,000 About 230,000 miles Even a base Tacoma SR 4x4 is $36-40k. That Tacoma will run 200-300k miles, then a $5-6k engine swap and get another 200plus thousand miles. For around $60k you can drive that vehicle half a million miles. Still not an apple to apple comparison….plus a lot of people have no desire to drive a vehicle 200-500k miles. |
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Quoted: Biden ordered the defense department to start researching convert to electric View Quote I have an idea. @WhiskersTheCat So. We have drones to do precision strikes. All we need is more modern warfare gurus to sign up for the army mechanized forces. We convert all existing armor to be powered by nukes. We call them the honey badger. Drone operated. Honey Badger doesn't give a shit, go ahead, send a depleted uranium round at its hull. It doesn't give a shit. You just salted your back yard for 10,000 years HAHA FUCKERS What's that? You found a weak spot and it happened to be by the coolant tank, that a Soviet rpg can destroy. Honey Badger doesn't give a shit. Melt down and salt the back yard for 10,000 years. HAHA FUCKERS Drone operated nuke powered tanks. C130 parachutes them out? Parachute doesn't deploy? Honey Badger doesn't give a shit. Between that and the shaped charge IEDs? Nagasaki 2.0 from high enriched rods making high speed contact. |
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Quoted: I have an idea. @WhiskersTheCat So. We have drones to do precision strikes. All we need is more modern warfare gurus to sign up for the army mechanized forces. We convert all existing armor to be powered by nukes. We call them the honey badger. Drone operated. Honey Badger doesn't give a shit, go ahead, send a depleted uranium round at its hull. It doesn't give a shit. You just salted your back yard for 10,000 years HAHA FUCKERS What's that? You found a weak spot and it happened to be by the coolant tank, that a Soviet rpg can destroy. Honey Badger doesn't give a shit. Melt down and salt the back yard for 10,000 years. HAHA FUCKERS Drone operated nuke powered tanks. C130 parachutes them out? Parachute doesn't deploy? Honey Badger doesn't give a shit. Between that and the shaped charge IEDs? Nagasaki 2.0 from high enriched rods making high speed contact. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Biden ordered the defense department to start researching convert to electric I have an idea. @WhiskersTheCat So. We have drones to do precision strikes. All we need is more modern warfare gurus to sign up for the army mechanized forces. We convert all existing armor to be powered by nukes. We call them the honey badger. Drone operated. Honey Badger doesn't give a shit, go ahead, send a depleted uranium round at its hull. It doesn't give a shit. You just salted your back yard for 10,000 years HAHA FUCKERS What's that? You found a weak spot and it happened to be by the coolant tank, that a Soviet rpg can destroy. Honey Badger doesn't give a shit. Melt down and salt the back yard for 10,000 years. HAHA FUCKERS Drone operated nuke powered tanks. C130 parachutes them out? Parachute doesn't deploy? Honey Badger doesn't give a shit. Between that and the shaped charge IEDs? Nagasaki 2.0 from high enriched rods making high speed contact. Combustion engines excite mankind on a primal and practical level. Primal because haha loud but practical because these memes of make your own gas go back to the 1800s where people legit did. Rockefeller was a monopoly because he bought up his competition not because making oil products was magic. |
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Quoted: Plus, if you do the math, most EV’s don’t save you that much money in energy used. In KS this month, the average cost per residential kWh is $0.1254. So that Hummer EV, with a 200 kWh battery, that took 225 kWh’s to charge over how ever many hours, the cost per, assuming a realistic range of 250 miles, looks like this. 225kWh x $0.1254 = $28.22. 28.22/250 = $0.113 per mile. My car holds 13 gallons. 13YO x average fuel cost of $3.39 = $44.07. I get between 350 and 390 miles a tank. So let’s say $44.07/370 miles. $0.119 per mile. And that’s for more range. My cost to go 250 miles is $29.77. Or, $1.55 more than the EV Hummer. I understand that smaller batteries cost less to charge, but I have an AWD, and there are higher mpg cars out there. If I had info on a Camry or Accord, vs. a mid range Tesla, or a Prius vs a Leaf, I’d bet it’s similar. Factor in differences in cost of acquisition and I’d bet IC beats EV. My point is, cost per mile to operate savings is not as drastic as the Left would pretend. Plus, I can put a new engine in an Accord for ~2K. What’s a new battery pack for a Tesla going for? IF you can get it? ETA, I’m doing this on the fly, but quick and dirty math shows a Tesla 3 averages 3 cents per mile, while an Accord averages 9 cents per mile at todays KS prices. It was <7 cents per mile under Trump. But that’s under ideal highway conditions. What if it’s 14 degrees like it was this morning? Or you lived somewhere hilly? Which do you think has the higher range degradation from changes in conditions? I’m guessing it’s closer to 2-3 cents per mile difference then. When I had a Prius for work, I was averaging 48-50 mpg. That’s 7 cents per mile under real world conditions. Getting 5.6 cpm on my real world highway trips. And I can fill up in five minutes, anywhere, for <$35 in todays costs. Just saying. There’s near parity in cost of ownership. View Quote Most EV sedans get about .3 KWH per mile. That's about $0.03 per mile to drive. The AAA says unleaded is $3.70/gallon nationwide average. A Honda Civic gets 36 MPG combined. A honda civic thus costs $0.10 per mile in gas costs alone to drive. Plus oil, routine MX (belts, fluids, etc) -- most of which doesn't exist on an EV. AAA estimates the repair cost works out to $0.0968/mile for a typical car -- the EV needs just about nothing other than tires and wiper blades and is certainly much lower. Best case the Honda is only a little more than 3x the price to drive for fuel costs alone. In reality the Honda is probably about 5x the price per mile to drive once including MX. The Hummer EV goes 1.6 miles per KWH which works out to $0.075 per mile to drive. An H3 gets about 16 MPG, which works out to $.23/mile to drive in gas costs alone. Again, the gas car is 3x the price per mile to drive for fuel alone. Put another way, its cheaper per mile to drive a Hummer EV to work than it is to drive a Honda civic or other shitbox. AAA did the math as well and they determined that even including the cost of purchase, the only thing cheaper per mile than an EV is a tiny sedan (probably a Honda Fit type car). https://newsroom.aaa.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/2022-YourDrivingCosts-FactSheet-7-1.pdf EVs also seem to take a huge depreciation hit on the used market. For example even at today's insanely inflated prices, a used 2018 Leaf with <30K miles seems to run about $21K . On the civic market $21K will get you a 2016-2018 honda with 65-100K miles on it. I suspect it is original buyers factoring in the value of the tax rebate. I don't give a shit about saving the planet through my driving habits. I also don't care about the plight of poors that live in an apartment and don't have a charging plug available, nor do I care about the impact of my air fryer, clothes dryer, EV or any other cool appliance on the electric grid. I am cheap, I have a predictable commute, and the EV is so inexpensive it justifies itself as an extra car dedicated to commuting and errands around town. If you have a predictable commute, you're well off enough to have a garage or carport with an electric outlet, and you like saving money so you can buy more ammo or other fun toys, then you too could save money with an EV. You can dislike EVs but claiming that they are expensive to operate is just not accurate. |
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Quoted: Plus, if you do the math, most EV's don't save you that much money in energy used. In KS this month, the average cost per residential kWh is $0.1254. So that Hummer EV, with a 200 kWh battery, that took 225 kWh's to charge over how ever many hours, the cost per, assuming a realistic range of 250 miles, looks like this. 225kWh x $0.1254 = $28.22. 28.22/250 = $0.113 per mile. My car holds 13 gallons. 13YO x average fuel cost of $3.39 = $44.07. I get between 350 and 390 miles a tank. So let's say $44.07/370 miles. $0.119 per mile. And that's for more range. My cost to go 250 miles is $29.77. Or, $1.55 more than the EV Hummer. I understand that smaller batteries cost less to charge, but I have an AWD, and there are higher mpg cars out there. If I had info on a Camry or Accord, vs. a mid range Tesla, or a Prius vs a Leaf, I'd bet it's similar. Factor in differences in cost of acquisition and I'd bet IC beats EV. My point is, cost per mile to operate savings is not as drastic as the Left would pretend. Plus, I can put a new engine in an Accord for ~2K. What's a new battery pack for a Tesla going for? IF you can get it? ETA, I'm doing this on the fly, but quick and dirty math shows a Tesla 3 averages 3 cents per mile, while an Accord averages 9 cents per mile at todays KS prices. It was <7 cents per mile under Trump. But that's under ideal highway conditions. What if it's 14 degrees like it was this morning? Or you lived somewhere hilly? Which do you think has the higher range degradation from changes in conditions? I'm guessing it's closer to 2-3 cents per mile difference then. When I had a Prius for work, I was averaging 48-50 mpg. That's 7 cents per mile under real world conditions. Getting 5.6 cpm on my real world highway trips. And I can fill up in five minutes, anywhere, for <$35 in todays costs. Just saying. There's near parity in cost of ownership. View Quote Do this figures include the vehicle purchase price as well? |
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Quoted: Most EV sedans get about .3 KWH per mile. That's about $0.03 per mile to drive. The AAA says unleaded is $3.70/gallon nationwide average. A Honda Civic gets 36 MPG combined. A honda civic thus costs $0.10 per mile in gas costs alone to drive. Plus oil, routine MX (belts, fluids, etc) -- most of which doesn't exist on an EV. AAA estimates the repair cost works out to $0.0968/mile for a typical car -- the EV needs just about nothing other than tires and wiper blades and is certainly much lower. Best case the Honda is only a little more than 3x the price to drive for fuel costs alone. In reality the Honda is probably about 5x the price per mile to drive once including MX. The Hummer EV goes 1.6 miles per KWH which works out to $0.075 per mile to drive. An H3 gets about 16 MPG, which works out to $.23/mile to drive in gas costs alone. Again, the gas car is 3x the price per mile to drive for fuel alone. Put another way, its cheaper per mile to drive a Hummer EV to work than it is to drive a Honda civic or other shitbox. AAA did the math as well and they determined that even including the cost of purchase, the only thing cheaper per mile than an EV is a tiny sedan (probably a Honda Fit type car). https://newsroom.aaa.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/2022-YourDrivingCosts-FactSheet-7-1.pdf EVs also seem to take a huge depreciation hit on the used market. For example even at today's insanely inflated prices, a used 2018 Leaf with <30K miles seems to run about $21K . On the civic market $21K will get you a 2016-2018 honda with 65-100K miles on it. I suspect it is original buyers factoring in the value of the tax rebate. I don't give a shit about saving the planet through my driving habits. I also don't care about the plight of poors that live in an apartment and don't have a charging plug available, nor do I care about the impact of my air fryer, clothes dryer, EV or any other cool appliance on the electric grid. I am cheap, I have a predictable commute, and the EV is so inexpensive it justifies itself as an extra car dedicated to commuting and errands around town. If you have a predictable commute, you're well off enough to have a garage or carport with an electric outlet, and you like saving money so you can buy more ammo or other fun toys, then you too could save money with an EV. You can dislike EVs but claiming that they are expensive to operate is just not accurate. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Plus, if you do the math, most EV’s don’t save you that much money in energy used. In KS this month, the average cost per residential kWh is $0.1254. So that Hummer EV, with a 200 kWh battery, that took 225 kWh’s to charge over how ever many hours, the cost per, assuming a realistic range of 250 miles, looks like this. 225kWh x $0.1254 = $28.22. 28.22/250 = $0.113 per mile. My car holds 13 gallons. 13YO x average fuel cost of $3.39 = $44.07. I get between 350 and 390 miles a tank. So let’s say $44.07/370 miles. $0.119 per mile. And that’s for more range. My cost to go 250 miles is $29.77. Or, $1.55 more than the EV Hummer. I understand that smaller batteries cost less to charge, but I have an AWD, and there are higher mpg cars out there. If I had info on a Camry or Accord, vs. a mid range Tesla, or a Prius vs a Leaf, I’d bet it’s similar. Factor in differences in cost of acquisition and I’d bet IC beats EV. My point is, cost per mile to operate savings is not as drastic as the Left would pretend. Plus, I can put a new engine in an Accord for ~2K. What’s a new battery pack for a Tesla going for? IF you can get it? ETA, I’m doing this on the fly, but quick and dirty math shows a Tesla 3 averages 3 cents per mile, while an Accord averages 9 cents per mile at todays KS prices. It was <7 cents per mile under Trump. But that’s under ideal highway conditions. What if it’s 14 degrees like it was this morning? Or you lived somewhere hilly? Which do you think has the higher range degradation from changes in conditions? I’m guessing it’s closer to 2-3 cents per mile difference then. When I had a Prius for work, I was averaging 48-50 mpg. That’s 7 cents per mile under real world conditions. Getting 5.6 cpm on my real world highway trips. And I can fill up in five minutes, anywhere, for <$35 in todays costs. Just saying. There’s near parity in cost of ownership. Most EV sedans get about .3 KWH per mile. That's about $0.03 per mile to drive. The AAA says unleaded is $3.70/gallon nationwide average. A Honda Civic gets 36 MPG combined. A honda civic thus costs $0.10 per mile in gas costs alone to drive. Plus oil, routine MX (belts, fluids, etc) -- most of which doesn't exist on an EV. AAA estimates the repair cost works out to $0.0968/mile for a typical car -- the EV needs just about nothing other than tires and wiper blades and is certainly much lower. Best case the Honda is only a little more than 3x the price to drive for fuel costs alone. In reality the Honda is probably about 5x the price per mile to drive once including MX. The Hummer EV goes 1.6 miles per KWH which works out to $0.075 per mile to drive. An H3 gets about 16 MPG, which works out to $.23/mile to drive in gas costs alone. Again, the gas car is 3x the price per mile to drive for fuel alone. Put another way, its cheaper per mile to drive a Hummer EV to work than it is to drive a Honda civic or other shitbox. AAA did the math as well and they determined that even including the cost of purchase, the only thing cheaper per mile than an EV is a tiny sedan (probably a Honda Fit type car). https://newsroom.aaa.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/2022-YourDrivingCosts-FactSheet-7-1.pdf EVs also seem to take a huge depreciation hit on the used market. For example even at today's insanely inflated prices, a used 2018 Leaf with <30K miles seems to run about $21K . On the civic market $21K will get you a 2016-2018 honda with 65-100K miles on it. I suspect it is original buyers factoring in the value of the tax rebate. I don't give a shit about saving the planet through my driving habits. I also don't care about the plight of poors that live in an apartment and don't have a charging plug available, nor do I care about the impact of my air fryer, clothes dryer, EV or any other cool appliance on the electric grid. I am cheap, I have a predictable commute, and the EV is so inexpensive it justifies itself as an extra car dedicated to commuting and errands around town. If you have a predictable commute, you're well off enough to have a garage or carport with an electric outlet, and you like saving money so you can buy more ammo or other fun toys, then you too could save money with an EV. You can dislike EVs but claiming that they are expensive to operate is just not accurate. You aren't providing methodology for the numbers. Look at what happens when you put a 2500lb trailer load on the back of a Ford Lightning. The range drops dramatically, much more than an ICE truck with the same load. |
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Quoted: #3 - Batteries are really lousy at storing energy. #4 - Miracle batteries powerful enough to replace fossil fuels are a fantasy. #5 - We just don't have enough electricity for all electric cars. View Quote #6 - We just don't have enough minerals and other resources required to make enough batteries either. #7 - Getting at those resources is already causing measurable and consequential harm to the ecologies local to them, and that will only get worse. |
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Quoted: #6 - We just don't have enough minerals and other resources required to make enough batteries either. #7 - Getting at those resources is already causing measurable and consequential harm to the ecologies local to them, and that will only get worse. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: #3 - Batteries are really lousy at storing energy. #4 - Miracle batteries powerful enough to replace fossil fuels are a fantasy. #5 - We just don't have enough electricity for all electric cars. #6 - We just don't have enough minerals and other resources required to make enough batteries either. #7 - Getting at those resources is already causing measurable and consequential harm to the ecologies local to them, and that will only get worse. CA is moving forward with this and is in full support of mining it, along with building pipelines to move it. https://www.forbes.com/sites/alanohnsman/2022/08/31/californias-lithium-rush-electric-vehicles-salton-sea/?sh=254fdf5b4f63 |
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Quoted: CA is moving forward with this and is in full support of mining it, along with building pipelines to move it. https://www.forbes.com/sites/alanohnsman/2022/08/31/californias-lithium-rush-electric-vehicles-salton-sea/?sh=254fdf5b4f63 View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: #3 - Batteries are really lousy at storing energy. #4 - Miracle batteries powerful enough to replace fossil fuels are a fantasy. #5 - We just don't have enough electricity for all electric cars. #6 - We just don't have enough minerals and other resources required to make enough batteries either. #7 - Getting at those resources is already causing measurable and consequential harm to the ecologies local to them, and that will only get worse. CA is moving forward with this and is in full support of mining it, along with building pipelines to move it. https://www.forbes.com/sites/alanohnsman/2022/08/31/californias-lithium-rush-electric-vehicles-salton-sea/?sh=254fdf5b4f63 They'll destroy the local water table and they will have to bring in ludicrous amounts of nasty chemicals to process it. .... and there really isn't enough: Click To View Spoiler Nope. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Simon-Michaux-2/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels/links/61236e890c2bfa282a63400a/Assessment-of-the-Extra-Capacity-Required-of-Alternative-Energy-Electrical-Power-Systems-to-Completely-Replace-Fossil-Fuels.pdf From above research: -------------------- From another source, which I haven't been able to find yet: --------------- Another study, for just the UK: https://www.nhm.ac.uk/press-office/press-releases/leading-scientists-set-out-resource-challenge-of-meeting-net-zer.html The letter explains that to meet UK electric car targets for 2050 we would need to produce just under two times the current total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of one year’s total annual production of mined copper. But wait, there's more: The metal resource needed to make all cars and vans electric by 2050 and all sales to be purely battery electric by 2035. To replace all UK-based vehicles today with electric vehicles (not including the LGV and HGV fleets), assuming they use the most resource-frugal next-generation NMC 811 batteries, would take 207,900 tonnes cobalt, 264,600 tonnes of lithium carbonate (LCE), at least 7,200 tonnes of neodymium and dysprosium, in addition to 2,362,500 tonnes copper. This represents, just under two times the total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of the world’s copper production during 2018. Even ensuring the annual supply of electric vehicles only, from 2035 as pledged, will require the UK to annually import the equivalent of the entire annual cobalt needs of European industry. The worldwide impact: If this analysis is extrapolated to the currently projected estimate of two billion cars worldwide, based on 2018 figures, annual production would have to increase for neodymium and dysprosium by 70%, whilst cobalt output would need to increase at least three and a half times for the entire period from now until 2050 to satisfy the demand. ----------------------- The government coerced move to EVs is functionally not about saving the environment or making the globe a nicer place to live (it will probably make it worse). In function, it is going to be about deciding who will and who will not be allowed to have a vehicle. There is no choice, they will have to be rationed. |
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Quoted: They'll destroy the local water table and they will have to bring in ludicrous amounts of nasty chemicals to process it. .... and there really isn't enough: Click To View Spoiler Nope. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Simon-Michaux-2/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels/links/61236e890c2bfa282a63400a/Assessment-of-the-Extra-Capacity-Required-of-Alternative-Energy-Electrical-Power-Systems-to-Completely-Replace-Fossil-Fuels.pdf From above research: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiJ5acAAqsyG.jpg -------------------- From another source, which I haven't been able to find yet: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiueaYAAr7xE?format=jpg&name=small --------------- Another study, for just the UK: https://www.nhm.ac.uk/press-office/press-releases/leading-scientists-set-out-resource-challenge-of-meeting-net-zer.html The letter explains that to meet UK electric car targets for 2050 we would need to produce just under two times the current total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of one year’s total annual production of mined copper. But wait, there's more: The metal resource needed to make all cars and vans electric by 2050 and all sales to be purely battery electric by 2035. To replace all UK-based vehicles today with electric vehicles (not including the LGV and HGV fleets), assuming they use the most resource-frugal next-generation NMC 811 batteries, would take 207,900 tonnes cobalt, 264,600 tonnes of lithium carbonate (LCE), at least 7,200 tonnes of neodymium and dysprosium, in addition to 2,362,500 tonnes copper. This represents, just under two times the total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of the world’s copper production during 2018. Even ensuring the annual supply of electric vehicles only, from 2035 as pledged, will require the UK to annually import the equivalent of the entire annual cobalt needs of European industry. The worldwide impact: If this analysis is extrapolated to the currently projected estimate of two billion cars worldwide, based on 2018 figures, annual production would have to increase for neodymium and dysprosium by 70%, whilst cobalt output would need to increase at least three and a half times for the entire period from now until 2050 to satisfy the demand. ----------------------- The government coerced move to EVs is functionally not about saving the environment or making the globe a nicer place to live (it will probably make it worse). In function, it is going to be about deciding who will and who will not be allowed to have a vehicle. There is no choice, they will have to be rationed. View Quote Ok wait, your argument is there isn't enough, then you cite current production capacity, to discredit new mining capacity coming online? |
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Quoted: You could get a Mach E for $47k, or $39,500 after rebate. Slightly larger (I think) and faster, though Im not a fan of calling a CUV a mustang but size wise is a fair comparison. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Plus, if you do the math, most EV’s don’t save you that much money in energy used. In KS this month, the average cost per residential kWh is $0.1254. So that Hummer EV, with a 200 kWh battery, that took 225 kWh’s to charge over how ever many hours, the cost per, assuming a realistic range of 250 miles, looks like this. 225kWh x $0.1254 = $28.22. 28.22/250 = $0.113 per mile. My car holds 13 gallons. 13YO x average fuel cost of $3.39 = $44.07. I get between 350 and 390 miles a tank. So let’s say $44.07/370 miles. $0.119 per mile. And that’s for more range. My cost to go 250 miles is $29.77. Or, $1.55 more than the EV Hummer. I understand that smaller batteries cost less to charge, but I have an AWD, and there are higher mpg cars out there. If I had info on a Camry or Accord, vs. a mid range Tesla, or a Prius vs a Leaf, I’d bet it’s similar. Factor in differences in cost of acquisition and I’d bet IC beats EV. My point is, cost per mile to operate savings is not as drastic as the Left would pretend. Plus, I can put a new engine in an Accord for ~2K. What’s a new battery pack for a Tesla going for? IF you can get it? my rav4 Cost $33,000 An EV is $60,000 I think right now I can buy a lot of gas with $27,000 About 230,000 miles You could get a Mach E for $47k, or $39,500 after rebate. Slightly larger (I think) and faster, though Im not a fan of calling a CUV a mustang but size wise is a fair comparison. Ford ended its recall? |
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Quoted: #3 - Batteries are really lousy at storing energy. #4 - Miracle batteries powerful enough to replace fossil fuels are a fantasy. #5 - We just don't have enough electricity for all electric cars. #6. Compared to oil & gas mining & refining, lithium mining, refining, (& even recycling) are hold-my-beer levels more highly toxic, polluting endeavors. #7. There isn't enough lithium on the planet to make enough batteries to adequately supply the car market. Thus, the only "solution" will be mass transit for all (The Club members excluded). View Quote |
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Quoted: Ok wait, your argument is there isn't enough, then you cite current production capacity, to discredit new mining capacity coming online? View Quote I think his point was that we need an astronomical increase in mining capacity to fully convert to EVs. That one feel good project in California will be a drop in the bucket. He's right. There is not enough new production of the elements needed to electrify all transportation. Anyone can look at the current raw production data, and if they have even an inkling as to how difficult it is to start new mining projects(physical and/or regulatory burden), then they'd know EVs will remain a luxury good or very limited in functionality. |
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Quoted: California Air Resources Board is banning new ICE cars in 2035, with a phase out that has already started. It will be interesting to watch this clusterfuck unfold. View Quote Yes. Yes it will. Attached File |
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Quoted: I don't give a shit about saving the planet through my driving habits. I also don't care about the plight of poors that live in an apartment and don't have a charging plug available, nor do I care about the impact of my air fryer, clothes dryer, EV or any other cool appliance on the electric grid. I am cheap, I have a predictable commute, and the EV is so inexpensive it justifies itself as an extra car dedicated to commuting and errands around town. If you have a predictable commute, you're well off enough to have a garage or carport with an electric outlet, and you like saving money so you can buy more ammo or other fun toys, then you too could save money with an EV. You can dislike EVs but claiming that they are expensive to operate is just not accurate. View Quote Would you travel past your normal commute in your EV if you arent traveling back to your home? Kind of hard to justify an EV especially from my POV when there is zero infrastructure when you start traveling out of the metro area My time from moving to NM to WI would have increased significantly if everything was an EV instead of 3 days it would have likely been 6 days just on charging time |
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Quoted: Ok wait, your argument is there isn't enough, then you cite current production capacity, to discredit new mining capacity coming online? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: They'll destroy the local water table and they will have to bring in ludicrous amounts of nasty chemicals to process it. .... and there really isn't enough: Click To View Spoiler Nope. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Simon-Michaux-2/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels/links/61236e890c2bfa282a63400a/Assessment-of-the-Extra-Capacity-Required-of-Alternative-Energy-Electrical-Power-Systems-to-Completely-Replace-Fossil-Fuels.pdf From above research: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiJ5acAAqsyG.jpg -------------------- From another source, which I haven't been able to find yet: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiueaYAAr7xE?format=jpg&name=small --------------- Another study, for just the UK: https://www.nhm.ac.uk/press-office/press-releases/leading-scientists-set-out-resource-challenge-of-meeting-net-zer.html The letter explains that to meet UK electric car targets for 2050 we would need to produce just under two times the current total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of one year’s total annual production of mined copper. But wait, there's more: The metal resource needed to make all cars and vans electric by 2050 and all sales to be purely battery electric by 2035. To replace all UK-based vehicles today with electric vehicles (not including the LGV and HGV fleets), assuming they use the most resource-frugal next-generation NMC 811 batteries, would take 207,900 tonnes cobalt, 264,600 tonnes of lithium carbonate (LCE), at least 7,200 tonnes of neodymium and dysprosium, in addition to 2,362,500 tonnes copper. This represents, just under two times the total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of the world’s copper production during 2018. Even ensuring the annual supply of electric vehicles only, from 2035 as pledged, will require the UK to annually import the equivalent of the entire annual cobalt needs of European industry. The worldwide impact: If this analysis is extrapolated to the currently projected estimate of two billion cars worldwide, based on 2018 figures, annual production would have to increase for neodymium and dysprosium by 70%, whilst cobalt output would need to increase at least three and a half times for the entire period from now until 2050 to satisfy the demand. ----------------------- The government coerced move to EVs is functionally not about saving the environment or making the globe a nicer place to live (it will probably make it worse). In function, it is going to be about deciding who will and who will not be allowed to have a vehicle. There is no choice, they will have to be rationed. Ok wait, your argument is there isn't enough, then you cite current production capacity, to discredit new mining capacity coming online? My argument is that they are gay. Checkmate bigot |
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Quoted: You aren't providing methodology for the numbers. Look at what happens when you put a 2500lb trailer load on the back of a Ford Lightning. The range drops dramatically, much more than an ICE truck with the same load. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Plus, if you do the math, most EV’s don’t save you that much money in energy used. In KS this month, the average cost per residential kWh is $0.1254. So that Hummer EV, with a 200 kWh battery, that took 225 kWh’s to charge over how ever many hours, the cost per, assuming a realistic range of 250 miles, looks like this. 225kWh x $0.1254 = $28.22. 28.22/250 = $0.113 per mile. My car holds 13 gallons. 13YO x average fuel cost of $3.39 = $44.07. I get between 350 and 390 miles a tank. So let’s say $44.07/370 miles. $0.119 per mile. And that’s for more range. My cost to go 250 miles is $29.77. Or, $1.55 more than the EV Hummer. I understand that smaller batteries cost less to charge, but I have an AWD, and there are higher mpg cars out there. If I had info on a Camry or Accord, vs. a mid range Tesla, or a Prius vs a Leaf, I’d bet it’s similar. Factor in differences in cost of acquisition and I’d bet IC beats EV. My point is, cost per mile to operate savings is not as drastic as the Left would pretend. Plus, I can put a new engine in an Accord for ~2K. What’s a new battery pack for a Tesla going for? IF you can get it? ETA, I’m doing this on the fly, but quick and dirty math shows a Tesla 3 averages 3 cents per mile, while an Accord averages 9 cents per mile at todays KS prices. It was <7 cents per mile under Trump. But that’s under ideal highway conditions. What if it’s 14 degrees like it was this morning? Or you lived somewhere hilly? Which do you think has the higher range degradation from changes in conditions? I’m guessing it’s closer to 2-3 cents per mile difference then. When I had a Prius for work, I was averaging 48-50 mpg. That’s 7 cents per mile under real world conditions. Getting 5.6 cpm on my real world highway trips. And I can fill up in five minutes, anywhere, for <$35 in todays costs. Just saying. There’s near parity in cost of ownership. Most EV sedans get about .3 KWH per mile. That's about $0.03 per mile to drive. The AAA says unleaded is $3.70/gallon nationwide average. A Honda Civic gets 36 MPG combined. A honda civic thus costs $0.10 per mile in gas costs alone to drive. Plus oil, routine MX (belts, fluids, etc) -- most of which doesn't exist on an EV. AAA estimates the repair cost works out to $0.0968/mile for a typical car -- the EV needs just about nothing other than tires and wiper blades and is certainly much lower. Best case the Honda is only a little more than 3x the price to drive for fuel costs alone. In reality the Honda is probably about 5x the price per mile to drive once including MX. The Hummer EV goes 1.6 miles per KWH which works out to $0.075 per mile to drive. An H3 gets about 16 MPG, which works out to $.23/mile to drive in gas costs alone. Again, the gas car is 3x the price per mile to drive for fuel alone. Put another way, its cheaper per mile to drive a Hummer EV to work than it is to drive a Honda civic or other shitbox. AAA did the math as well and they determined that even including the cost of purchase, the only thing cheaper per mile than an EV is a tiny sedan (probably a Honda Fit type car). https://newsroom.aaa.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/2022-YourDrivingCosts-FactSheet-7-1.pdf EVs also seem to take a huge depreciation hit on the used market. For example even at today's insanely inflated prices, a used 2018 Leaf with <30K miles seems to run about $21K . On the civic market $21K will get you a 2016-2018 honda with 65-100K miles on it. I suspect it is original buyers factoring in the value of the tax rebate. I don't give a shit about saving the planet through my driving habits. I also don't care about the plight of poors that live in an apartment and don't have a charging plug available, nor do I care about the impact of my air fryer, clothes dryer, EV or any other cool appliance on the electric grid. I am cheap, I have a predictable commute, and the EV is so inexpensive it justifies itself as an extra car dedicated to commuting and errands around town. If you have a predictable commute, you're well off enough to have a garage or carport with an electric outlet, and you like saving money so you can buy more ammo or other fun toys, then you too could save money with an EV. You can dislike EVs but claiming that they are expensive to operate is just not accurate. You aren't providing methodology for the numbers. Look at what happens when you put a 2500lb trailer load on the back of a Ford Lightning. The range drops dramatically, much more than an ICE truck with the same load. He was talking about commuter cars and you jumped straight to pulling a trailer.... Yes towing with an EV truck is not a great plan but that has absolutely nothing to do with what he was discussing. |
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Quoted: #3 - Batteries are really lousy at storing energy. #4 - Miracle batteries powerful enough to replace fossil fuels are a fantasy. #5 - We just don't have enough electricity for all electric cars. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: #3 - Batteries are really lousy at storing energy. #4 - Miracle batteries powerful enough to replace fossil fuels are a fantasy. #5 - We just don't have enough electricity for all electric cars. Quoted: I think his point was that we need an astronomical increase in mining capacity to fully convert to EVs. Making EVs "necessary," then "discovering" that everyone having an EV isn't viable, then limiting who gets to own cars, and how far they get to travel, is the goal. |
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Quoted: Would you travel past your normal commute in your EV if you arent traveling back to your home? Kind of hard to justify an EV especially from my POV when there is zero infrastructure when you start traveling out of the metro area My time from moving to NM to WI would have increased significantly if everything was an EV instead of 3 days it would have likely been 6 days just on charging time View Quote I travel past my normal commute in my EV all the time with zero issues. In bold, you literally have no idea what you're talking about. Look up a map of the current Tesla charging network, I live in the middle of nowhere central IL and have multiple Superchargers within 30 miles of my house. (This isn't counting all the other chargers available, outside of the Tesla network) As far as charging time goes, again you don't know what your talking about.....it would not double your trip time....it might not even affect it at all if you timed your stops right. It takes a Supercharger 15-20 minutes to charge my Model 3 from 20% to 80% battery.....which gives me another 290 miles. I normally time my stops around lunch / supper if possible and by the time we finish eating, the car is charged and ready to go. |
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Quoted: I travel past my normal commute in my EV all the time with zero issues. In bold, you literally have no idea what you're talking about. Look up a map of the current Tesla charging network, I live in the middle of nowhere central IL and have multiple Superchargers within 30 miles of my house. (This isn't counting all the other chargers available, outside of the Tesla network) As far as charging time goes, again you don't know what your talking about.....it would not double your trip time....it might not even affect it at all if you timed your stops right. It takes a Supercharger 15-20 minutes to charge my Model 3 from 20% to 80% battery.....which gives me another 290 miles. I normally time my stops around lunch / supper if possible and by the time we finish eating, the car is charged and ready to go. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Would you travel past your normal commute in your EV if you arent traveling back to your home? Kind of hard to justify an EV especially from my POV when there is zero infrastructure when you start traveling out of the metro area My time from moving to NM to WI would have increased significantly if everything was an EV instead of 3 days it would have likely been 6 days just on charging time I travel past my normal commute in my EV all the time with zero issues. In bold, you literally have no idea what you're talking about. Look up a map of the current Tesla charging network, I live in the middle of nowhere central IL and have multiple Superchargers within 30 miles of my house. (This isn't counting all the other chargers available, outside of the Tesla network) As far as charging time goes, again you don't know what your talking about.....it would not double your trip time....it might not even affect it at all if you timed your stops right. It takes a Supercharger 15-20 minutes to charge my Model 3 from 20% to 80% battery.....which gives me another 290 miles. I normally time my stops around lunch / supper if possible and by the time we finish eating, the car is charged and ready to go. |
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Quoted: Meh. Wife and I just got back from a road trip. There is no universe in which charging an EV while road tripping long distances is easier or more convenient than gassing up an ICE vehicle. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Would you travel past your normal commute in your EV if you arent traveling back to your home? Kind of hard to justify an EV especially from my POV when there is zero infrastructure when you start traveling out of the metro area My time from moving to NM to WI would have increased significantly if everything was an EV instead of 3 days it would have likely been 6 days just on charging time I travel past my normal commute in my EV all the time with zero issues. In bold, you literally have no idea what you're talking about. Look up a map of the current Tesla charging network, I live in the middle of nowhere central IL and have multiple Superchargers within 30 miles of my house. (This isn't counting all the other chargers available, outside of the Tesla network) As far as charging time goes, again you don't know what your talking about.....it would not double your trip time....it might not even affect it at all if you timed your stops right. It takes a Supercharger 15-20 minutes to charge my Model 3 from 20% to 80% battery.....which gives me another 290 miles. I normally time my stops around lunch / supper if possible and by the time we finish eating, the car is charged and ready to go. I didn't say it was easier or more convenient....I said the other poster who claimed there was zero infrastructure and would literally double the time of the trip has no idea what he's talking about....which is accurate. I've only had my Tesla for a few months and longer trips were a legit concern, even though I bought it knowing that 99% of the miles would be on my daily commute. Longer trips are not easier or harder than ICE, they're just different. I thought a longer trip would be harder in an EV, but after the first trip, it's not....again it's just different. Instead of making dedicated stops for gas, you make timed stops for charging and grab some food or a coffee and stretch your legs. If you're the type of person that likes to drive 500 miles without stopping, an EV isn't for you....personally when we travel for leisure we're not trying to make the fastest time from point A to point B. |
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Damn...Stossel is looking fit these days and that beard looks fantastic on him!
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Quoted: Quoted: -snip- "Fully converting to EVs" isn't the goal. Making EVs "necessary," then "discovering" that everyone having an EV isn't viable, then limiting who gets to own cars, and how far they get to travel, is the goal. You're spot on. |
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Quoted: I think his point was that we need an astronomical increase in mining capacity to fully convert to EVs. That one feel good project in California will be a drop in the bucket. He's right. There is not enough new production of the elements needed to electrify all transportation. Anyone can look at the current raw production data, and if they have even an inkling as to how difficult it is to start new mining projects(physical and/or regulatory burden), then they'd know EVs will remain a luxury good or very limited in functionality. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: I think his point was that we need an astronomical increase in mining capacity to fully convert to EVs. That one feel good project in California will be a drop in the bucket. He's right. There is not enough new production of the elements needed to electrify all transportation. Anyone can look at the current raw production data, and if they have even an inkling as to how difficult it is to start new mining projects(physical and/or regulatory burden), then they'd know EVs will remain a luxury good or very limited in functionality. “It’s probably among the 10 biggest lithium deposits in the world,” says Michael McKibben, a geologist at the University of California, Riverside. That is a drop in the bucket? What would qualify as adequate size to you? |
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Like literally every leftist or Green movement it is utter bullshit.
Climate Change, EVs, Peak Oil, windmills and solar, banning fertilizers, cow farts, it is all utter claptrap. People that believe in nothing will fall for anything. |
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Quoted: They'll destroy the local water table and they will have to bring in ludicrous amounts of nasty chemicals to process it. .... and there really isn't enough: Click To View Spoiler Nope. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Simon-Michaux-2/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels/links/61236e890c2bfa282a63400a/Assessment-of-the-Extra-Capacity-Required-of-Alternative-Energy-Electrical-Power-Systems-to-Completely-Replace-Fossil-Fuels.pdf From above research: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiJ5acAAqsyG.jpg -------------------- From another source, which I haven't been able to find yet: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiueaYAAr7xE?format=jpg&name=small --------------- Another study, for just the UK: https://www.nhm.ac.uk/press-office/press-releases/leading-scientists-set-out-resource-challenge-of-meeting-net-zer.html The letter explains that to meet UK electric car targets for 2050 we would need to produce just under two times the current total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of one year’s total annual production of mined copper. But wait, there's more: The metal resource needed to make all cars and vans electric by 2050 and all sales to be purely battery electric by 2035. To replace all UK-based vehicles today with electric vehicles (not including the LGV and HGV fleets), assuming they use the most resource-frugal next-generation NMC 811 batteries, would take 207,900 tonnes cobalt, 264,600 tonnes of lithium carbonate (LCE), at least 7,200 tonnes of neodymium and dysprosium, in addition to 2,362,500 tonnes copper. This represents, just under two times the total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of the world’s copper production during 2018. Even ensuring the annual supply of electric vehicles only, from 2035 as pledged, will require the UK to annually import the equivalent of the entire annual cobalt needs of European industry. The worldwide impact: If this analysis is extrapolated to the currently projected estimate of two billion cars worldwide, based on 2018 figures, annual production would have to increase for neodymium and dysprosium by 70%, whilst cobalt output would need to increase at least three and a half times for the entire period from now until 2050 to satisfy the demand. ----------------------- The government coerced move to EVs is functionally not about saving the environment or making the globe a nicer place to live (it will probably make it worse). In function, it is going to be about deciding who will and who will not be allowed to have a vehicle. There is no choice, they will have to be rationed. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: #3 - Batteries are really lousy at storing energy. #4 - Miracle batteries powerful enough to replace fossil fuels are a fantasy. #5 - We just don't have enough electricity for all electric cars. #6 - We just don't have enough minerals and other resources required to make enough batteries either. #7 - Getting at those resources is already causing measurable and consequential harm to the ecologies local to them, and that will only get worse. CA is moving forward with this and is in full support of mining it, along with building pipelines to move it. https://www.forbes.com/sites/alanohnsman/2022/08/31/californias-lithium-rush-electric-vehicles-salton-sea/?sh=254fdf5b4f63 They'll destroy the local water table and they will have to bring in ludicrous amounts of nasty chemicals to process it. .... and there really isn't enough: Click To View Spoiler Nope. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Simon-Michaux-2/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels/links/61236e890c2bfa282a63400a/Assessment-of-the-Extra-Capacity-Required-of-Alternative-Energy-Electrical-Power-Systems-to-Completely-Replace-Fossil-Fuels.pdf From above research: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiJ5acAAqsyG.jpg -------------------- From another source, which I haven't been able to find yet: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiueaYAAr7xE?format=jpg&name=small --------------- Another study, for just the UK: https://www.nhm.ac.uk/press-office/press-releases/leading-scientists-set-out-resource-challenge-of-meeting-net-zer.html The letter explains that to meet UK electric car targets for 2050 we would need to produce just under two times the current total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of one year’s total annual production of mined copper. But wait, there's more: The metal resource needed to make all cars and vans electric by 2050 and all sales to be purely battery electric by 2035. To replace all UK-based vehicles today with electric vehicles (not including the LGV and HGV fleets), assuming they use the most resource-frugal next-generation NMC 811 batteries, would take 207,900 tonnes cobalt, 264,600 tonnes of lithium carbonate (LCE), at least 7,200 tonnes of neodymium and dysprosium, in addition to 2,362,500 tonnes copper. This represents, just under two times the total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of the world’s copper production during 2018. Even ensuring the annual supply of electric vehicles only, from 2035 as pledged, will require the UK to annually import the equivalent of the entire annual cobalt needs of European industry. The worldwide impact: If this analysis is extrapolated to the currently projected estimate of two billion cars worldwide, based on 2018 figures, annual production would have to increase for neodymium and dysprosium by 70%, whilst cobalt output would need to increase at least three and a half times for the entire period from now until 2050 to satisfy the demand. ----------------------- The government coerced move to EVs is functionally not about saving the environment or making the globe a nicer place to live (it will probably make it worse). In function, it is going to be about deciding who will and who will not be allowed to have a vehicle. There is no choice, they will have to be rationed. Deep sea mining & dredging will probably have to become a thing. Not exactly environmentally friendly either. |
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All this!!! |
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Quoted: Ok wait, your argument is there isn't enough, then you cite current production capacity, to discredit new mining capacity coming online? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: They'll destroy the local water table and they will have to bring in ludicrous amounts of nasty chemicals to process it. .... and there really isn't enough: Click To View Spoiler Nope. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Simon-Michaux-2/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels/links/61236e890c2bfa282a63400a/Assessment-of-the-Extra-Capacity-Required-of-Alternative-Energy-Electrical-Power-Systems-to-Completely-Replace-Fossil-Fuels.pdf From above research: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiJ5acAAqsyG.jpg -------------------- From another source, which I haven't been able to find yet: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiueaYAAr7xE?format=jpg&name=small --------------- Another study, for just the UK: https://www.nhm.ac.uk/press-office/press-releases/leading-scientists-set-out-resource-challenge-of-meeting-net-zer.html The letter explains that to meet UK electric car targets for 2050 we would need to produce just under two times the current total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of one year’s total annual production of mined copper. But wait, there's more: The metal resource needed to make all cars and vans electric by 2050 and all sales to be purely battery electric by 2035. To replace all UK-based vehicles today with electric vehicles (not including the LGV and HGV fleets), assuming they use the most resource-frugal next-generation NMC 811 batteries, would take 207,900 tonnes cobalt, 264,600 tonnes of lithium carbonate (LCE), at least 7,200 tonnes of neodymium and dysprosium, in addition to 2,362,500 tonnes copper. This represents, just under two times the total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of the world’s copper production during 2018. Even ensuring the annual supply of electric vehicles only, from 2035 as pledged, will require the UK to annually import the equivalent of the entire annual cobalt needs of European industry. The worldwide impact: If this analysis is extrapolated to the currently projected estimate of two billion cars worldwide, based on 2018 figures, annual production would have to increase for neodymium and dysprosium by 70%, whilst cobalt output would need to increase at least three and a half times for the entire period from now until 2050 to satisfy the demand. ----------------------- The government coerced move to EVs is functionally not about saving the environment or making the globe a nicer place to live (it will probably make it worse). In function, it is going to be about deciding who will and who will not be allowed to have a vehicle. There is no choice, they will have to be rationed. Tell everyone you didn't read without saying you didn't read. I'd love to know how you could spin "this is the amount of raw minerals we require to do it, and there literally isn't that much available" into "we don't have enough *mining capacity* right now so we can't do it." |
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Quoted: Deep sea mining & dredging will probably have to become a thing. Not exactly environmentally friendly either. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: #3 - Batteries are really lousy at storing energy. #4 - Miracle batteries powerful enough to replace fossil fuels are a fantasy. #5 - We just don't have enough electricity for all electric cars. #6 - We just don't have enough minerals and other resources required to make enough batteries either. #7 - Getting at those resources is already causing measurable and consequential harm to the ecologies local to them, and that will only get worse. CA is moving forward with this and is in full support of mining it, along with building pipelines to move it. https://www.forbes.com/sites/alanohnsman/2022/08/31/californias-lithium-rush-electric-vehicles-salton-sea/?sh=254fdf5b4f63 They'll destroy the local water table and they will have to bring in ludicrous amounts of nasty chemicals to process it. .... and there really isn't enough: Click To View Spoiler Nope. https://www.researchgate.net/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Simon-Michaux-2/publication/354067356_Assessment_of_the_Extra_Capacity_Required_of_Alternative_Energy_Electrical_Power_Systems_to_Completely_Replace_Fossil_Fuels/links/61236e890c2bfa282a63400a/Assessment-of-the-Extra-Capacity-Required-of-Alternative-Energy-Electrical-Power-Systems-to-Completely-Replace-Fossil-Fuels.pdf From above research: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiJ5acAAqsyG.jpg -------------------- From another source, which I haven't been able to find yet: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiueaYAAr7xE?format=jpg&name=small --------------- Another study, for just the UK: https://www.nhm.ac.uk/press-office/press-releases/leading-scientists-set-out-resource-challenge-of-meeting-net-zer.html The letter explains that to meet UK electric car targets for 2050 we would need to produce just under two times the current total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of one year’s total annual production of mined copper. But wait, there's more: The metal resource needed to make all cars and vans electric by 2050 and all sales to be purely battery electric by 2035. To replace all UK-based vehicles today with electric vehicles (not including the LGV and HGV fleets), assuming they use the most resource-frugal next-generation NMC 811 batteries, would take 207,900 tonnes cobalt, 264,600 tonnes of lithium carbonate (LCE), at least 7,200 tonnes of neodymium and dysprosium, in addition to 2,362,500 tonnes copper. This represents, just under two times the total annual world cobalt production, nearly the entire world production of neodymium, three quarters the world’s lithium production and 12% of the world’s copper production during 2018. Even ensuring the annual supply of electric vehicles only, from 2035 as pledged, will require the UK to annually import the equivalent of the entire annual cobalt needs of European industry. The worldwide impact: If this analysis is extrapolated to the currently projected estimate of two billion cars worldwide, based on 2018 figures, annual production would have to increase for neodymium and dysprosium by 70%, whilst cobalt output would need to increase at least three and a half times for the entire period from now until 2050 to satisfy the demand. ----------------------- The government coerced move to EVs is functionally not about saving the environment or making the globe a nicer place to live (it will probably make it worse). In function, it is going to be about deciding who will and who will not be allowed to have a vehicle. There is no choice, they will have to be rationed. Deep sea mining & dredging will probably have to become a thing. Not exactly environmentally friendly either. ... but it's to save the environment! (as they dredge up coral reefs and kill off untold amounts of sea life). |
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Quoted: Tell everyone you didn't read without saying you didn't read. I'd love to know how you could spin "this is the amount of raw minerals we require to do it, and there literally isn't that much available" into "we don't have enough *mining capacity* right now so we can't do it." View Quote So you just don't understand what you are posting. Let me give you a hint, this is from the core source you have been using, which they did update it in 2022: "World Resources: Owing to continuing exploration, identified lithium resources have increased substantially worldwide and total about 89 million tons. Identified lithium resources in the United States—from continental brines, geothermal brines, hectorite, oilfield brines, pegmatites, and searlesite—are 9.1 million tons. Identified lithium resources in other countries have been revised to 80 million tons. Identified lithium resources are distributed as follows: Bolivia, 21 million tons; Argentina, 19 million tons; Chile, 9.8 million tons; Australia, 7.3 million tons; China, 5.1 million tons; Congo (Kinshasa), 3 million tons; Canada, 2.9 million tons; Germany, 2.7 million tons; Mexico, 1.7 million tons; Czechia, 1.3 million tons; Serbia, 1.2 million tons; Russia, 1 million tons; Peru, 880,000 tons; Mali, 700,000 tons; Zimbabwe, 500,000 tons; Brazil, 470,000 tons; Spain, 300,000 tons; Portugal, 270,000 tons; Ghana, 130,000 tons; Austria, 60,000 tons; and Finland, Kazakhstan, and Namibia, 50,000 tons each." Now that one mine I posted is estimated at 32 million tons, which of course would adjust the currently just revised up number for the US from 9.1 million tons. But maybe you think the oil was going to run out in the 1970 's too. |
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Quoted: So you just don't understand what you are posting. Let me give you a hint, this is from the core source you have been using, which they did update it in 2022: "World Resources: Owing to continuing exploration, identified lithium resources have increased substantially worldwide and total about 89 million tons. Identified lithium resources in the United States—from continental brines, geothermal brines, hectorite, oilfield brines, pegmatites, and searlesite—are 9.1 million tons. Identified lithium resources in other countries have been revised to 80 million tons. Identified lithium resources are distributed as follows: Bolivia, 21 million tons; Argentina, 19 million tons; Chile, 9.8 million tons; Australia, 7.3 million tons; China, 5.1 million tons; Congo (Kinshasa), 3 million tons; Canada, 2.9 million tons; Germany, 2.7 million tons; Mexico, 1.7 million tons; Czechia, 1.3 million tons; Serbia, 1.2 million tons; Russia, 1 million tons; Peru, 880,000 tons; Mali, 700,000 tons; Zimbabwe, 500,000 tons; Brazil, 470,000 tons; Spain, 300,000 tons; Portugal, 270,000 tons; Ghana, 130,000 tons; Austria, 60,000 tons; and Finland, Kazakhstan, and Namibia, 50,000 tons each." Now that one mine I posted is estimated at 32 million tons, which of course would adjust the currently just revised up number for the US from 9.1 million tons. But maybe you think the oil was going to run out in the 1970 's too. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Tell everyone you didn't read without saying you didn't read. I'd love to know how you could spin "this is the amount of raw minerals we require to do it, and there literally isn't that much available" into "we don't have enough *mining capacity* right now so we can't do it." So you just don't understand what you are posting. Let me give you a hint, this is from the core source you have been using, which they did update it in 2022: "World Resources: Owing to continuing exploration, identified lithium resources have increased substantially worldwide and total about 89 million tons. Identified lithium resources in the United States—from continental brines, geothermal brines, hectorite, oilfield brines, pegmatites, and searlesite—are 9.1 million tons. Identified lithium resources in other countries have been revised to 80 million tons. Identified lithium resources are distributed as follows: Bolivia, 21 million tons; Argentina, 19 million tons; Chile, 9.8 million tons; Australia, 7.3 million tons; China, 5.1 million tons; Congo (Kinshasa), 3 million tons; Canada, 2.9 million tons; Germany, 2.7 million tons; Mexico, 1.7 million tons; Czechia, 1.3 million tons; Serbia, 1.2 million tons; Russia, 1 million tons; Peru, 880,000 tons; Mali, 700,000 tons; Zimbabwe, 500,000 tons; Brazil, 470,000 tons; Spain, 300,000 tons; Portugal, 270,000 tons; Ghana, 130,000 tons; Austria, 60,000 tons; and Finland, Kazakhstan, and Namibia, 50,000 tons each." Now that one mine I posted is estimated at 32 million tons, which of course would adjust the currently just revised up number for the US from 9.1 million tons. But maybe you think the oil was going to run out in the 1970 's too. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiueaYAAr7xE?format=jpg&name=small Ok, so, do you expect us to believe you utterly missed this? Or that you don't know what "known reserves" or "needed" means? No, wait, I'll save you: just say your adblocker blocks images from twitter. |
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Quoted: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiueaYAAr7xE?format=jpg&name=small https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiueaYAAr7xE?format=jpg&name=small Ok, so, do you expect us to believe you utterly missed this? Or that you don't know what "known reserves" or "needed" means? No, wait, I'll save you: just say your adblocker blocks images from twitter. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiueaYAAr7xE?format=jpg&name=small https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FggkiueaYAAr7xE?format=jpg&name=small Ok, so, do you expect us to believe you utterly missed this? Or that you don't know what "known reserves" or "needed" means? No, wait, I'll save you: just say your adblocker blocks images from twitter. I didn't miss that, and I clearly posted data to that specific image that shows it is no longer correct. Big hint, my data is from 2022 and has larger reserves for lithium then your out dated data. But here, have yet another clue as at to what you are missing. Reserves data are dynamic. They may be reduced as ore is mined and (or) the feasibility of extraction diminishes, or more commonly, they may continue to increase as additional deposits (known or recently discovered) are developed, or currently exploited deposits are more thoroughly explored and (or) new technology or economic variables improve their economic feasibility. Reserves may be considered a working inventory of mining companies’ supplies of an economically extractable mineral commodity. As such, the magnitude of that inventory is necessarily limited by many considerations, including cost of drilling, taxes, price of the mineral commodity being mined, and the demand for it. Reserves will be developed to the point of business needs and geologic limitations of economic ore grade and tonnage. For example, in 1970, identified and undiscovered world copper resources were estimated to contain 1.6 billion metric tons of copper, with reserves of about 280 million tons of copper. Since then, about 600 million tons of copper have been produced worldwide, but world copper reserves in 2021 were estimated to be 880 million tons of copper, more than triple those in 1970, despite the depletion by mining of much more than the 1970 estimated reserves. Now think about that, what did I originally post, new mine + new technology. Now what does that do to the reserves you posted about based on older data? But more importantly pay attention to "Reserves data are dynamic" and "Reserves will be developed to the point of business needs." |
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Quoted: You aren't providing methodology for the numbers. Look at what happens when you put a 2500lb trailer load on the back of a Ford Lightning. The range drops dramatically, much more than an ICE truck with the same load. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Plus, if you do the math, most EV’s don’t save you that much money in energy used. In KS this month, the average cost per residential kWh is $0.1254. So that Hummer EV, with a 200 kWh battery, that took 225 kWh’s to charge over how ever many hours, the cost per, assuming a realistic range of 250 miles, looks like this. 225kWh x $0.1254 = $28.22. 28.22/250 = $0.113 per mile. My car holds 13 gallons. 13YO x average fuel cost of $3.39 = $44.07. I get between 350 and 390 miles a tank. So let’s say $44.07/370 miles. $0.119 per mile. And that’s for more range. My cost to go 250 miles is $29.77. Or, $1.55 more than the EV Hummer. I understand that smaller batteries cost less to charge, but I have an AWD, and there are higher mpg cars out there. If I had info on a Camry or Accord, vs. a mid range Tesla, or a Prius vs a Leaf, I’d bet it’s similar. Factor in differences in cost of acquisition and I’d bet IC beats EV. My point is, cost per mile to operate savings is not as drastic as the Left would pretend. Plus, I can put a new engine in an Accord for ~2K. What’s a new battery pack for a Tesla going for? IF you can get it? ETA, I’m doing this on the fly, but quick and dirty math shows a Tesla 3 averages 3 cents per mile, while an Accord averages 9 cents per mile at todays KS prices. It was <7 cents per mile under Trump. But that’s under ideal highway conditions. What if it’s 14 degrees like it was this morning? Or you lived somewhere hilly? Which do you think has the higher range degradation from changes in conditions? I’m guessing it’s closer to 2-3 cents per mile difference then. When I had a Prius for work, I was averaging 48-50 mpg. That’s 7 cents per mile under real world conditions. Getting 5.6 cpm on my real world highway trips. And I can fill up in five minutes, anywhere, for <$35 in todays costs. Just saying. There’s near parity in cost of ownership. Most EV sedans get about .3 KWH per mile. That's about $0.03 per mile to drive. The AAA says unleaded is $3.70/gallon nationwide average. A Honda Civic gets 36 MPG combined. A honda civic thus costs $0.10 per mile in gas costs alone to drive. Plus oil, routine MX (belts, fluids, etc) -- most of which doesn't exist on an EV. AAA estimates the repair cost works out to $0.0968/mile for a typical car -- the EV needs just about nothing other than tires and wiper blades and is certainly much lower. Best case the Honda is only a little more than 3x the price to drive for fuel costs alone. In reality the Honda is probably about 5x the price per mile to drive once including MX. The Hummer EV goes 1.6 miles per KWH which works out to $0.075 per mile to drive. An H3 gets about 16 MPG, which works out to $.23/mile to drive in gas costs alone. Again, the gas car is 3x the price per mile to drive for fuel alone. Put another way, its cheaper per mile to drive a Hummer EV to work than it is to drive a Honda civic or other shitbox. AAA did the math as well and they determined that even including the cost of purchase, the only thing cheaper per mile than an EV is a tiny sedan (probably a Honda Fit type car). https://newsroom.aaa.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/08/2022-YourDrivingCosts-FactSheet-7-1.pdf EVs also seem to take a huge depreciation hit on the used market. For example even at today's insanely inflated prices, a used 2018 Leaf with <30K miles seems to run about $21K . On the civic market $21K will get you a 2016-2018 honda with 65-100K miles on it. I suspect it is original buyers factoring in the value of the tax rebate. I don't give a shit about saving the planet through my driving habits. I also don't care about the plight of poors that live in an apartment and don't have a charging plug available, nor do I care about the impact of my air fryer, clothes dryer, EV or any other cool appliance on the electric grid. I am cheap, I have a predictable commute, and the EV is so inexpensive it justifies itself as an extra car dedicated to commuting and errands around town. If you have a predictable commute, you're well off enough to have a garage or carport with an electric outlet, and you like saving money so you can buy more ammo or other fun toys, then you too could save money with an EV. You can dislike EVs but claiming that they are expensive to operate is just not accurate. You aren't providing methodology for the numbers. Look at what happens when you put a 2500lb trailer load on the back of a Ford Lightning. The range drops dramatically, much more than an ICE truck with the same load. Lightning and Hummer are the worst use and argument for an EV. WV can be great cars. Beyond that I’m not convinced, and I’ve had two teslas. If you guys want to compare at least make it reasonable, a mid size luxury car to an equivalent EV. Comparing a hummer to a civic is kinda absurd. |
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