Posted: 5/2/2010 10:37:50 AM EDT
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Behold my genius. I think I just figured out the algorithm.
If enough people of a certain type/clade/sect/group/category move into an area (designated A), that area becomes more like their home territory (designated B). If A > B, the result is a relative decline for A - the people of a certain type/clade/sect/group/category are considered undesirable, and original residents of A with the ability leave A, accelerating the decline. If B > A, the result is a relative gain for A - the people of a certain type/clade/sect/group/category are considered a desirable addition. Now the trick is to determine the exact numbers involved. Does it differ for different groups, or even different kinds of groups? Is it percentage of total, or simply absolute numbers? If you can express it in numbers, you can model it. If you can model it, you can make predictions, and then check it against reality. Does anyone with crime and demographic stats and a supercomputer want to work all this up? It's a beautiful day, so I'm off to the range. 
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That is priceless. Thanks for sharing! |