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Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:02:31 AM EDT
[#1]
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Quoted:
I bet they have the port open in two weeks.
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Sourcing, coordinating, and positioning the necessary equipment will take at least that long. I give it 6 weeks.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:02:43 AM EDT
[#2]
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Quoted:
The amount of tin foil hat fuck fuck games in this thread is amazing. Vessel issues happen all the fucking time. A couple of years ago, a brand new vessel on the Great Lakes had its steering go out.

My big customer in the Baltimore area was apparently on the phone with the owner of my company about 6am this morning screaming about his freight.

Per the port website, no vessel traffic, of course, but trucks can still go in to pick up containers.
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This is GD. Everything is a malicious and probably extremely elaborate conspiracy done by people who for whatever reason can never be touched except by the grim reaper himself.

Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:04:24 AM EDT
[#3]
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Quoted:
That crazy on too many different levels
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Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:04:33 AM EDT
[#4]
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Quoted:


I don't know that a lot of people here have heard of Occam's Razor or understand it.

The simplest answer here is mechanical failure, incompetence, or a combination of the two. It's almost certainly going to be something like that, once things shake out.

Do I think it's POSSIBLE a crack group of terrorists took the ship without anyone knowing and successfully rammed the bridge with it? Sure, but it's a long way down the list of possible explanations. Far enough down to be dismissed without something concrete to base it on.
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I thought the left were the experts at making things fit a narrative, but the level of tin-foil hat wearing keyboard commandos here who seem to REALLY WANT this to be terrorism is pretty disgusting.

This website has shown me how many people on the “right” lack critical thinking skills and have extreme levels of delusion.


I don't know that a lot of people here have heard of Occam's Razor or understand it.

The simplest answer here is mechanical failure, incompetence, or a combination of the two. It's almost certainly going to be something like that, once things shake out.

Do I think it's POSSIBLE a crack group of terrorists took the ship without anyone knowing and successfully rammed the bridge with it? Sure, but it's a long way down the list of possible explanations. Far enough down to be dismissed without something concrete to base it on.

The simple explanation is the ship hit the bridge and the bridge fell.  
Is that simple enough for you.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:05:11 AM EDT
[#5]
I'm not a sailor.  But I used to work for a guy who was a major player in the inter-modal shipping business.  We used to deal with Baltimore a wee bit.  It's always been my understanding that some of those container ships are just a stiff breeze and a few wraps of duct tape away from something very bad happening at any second.  The owners run the ships mercilessly and the crews aren't exactly well trained or well rested.  It's a recipe for disaster, especially when you're trying to hold down shipping cost.  My money is on mechanical failure due to deferred maintenance.  A sign of things to come.  

It's a huge hit to the port and to the city.  And the loss of life was probably avoidable.  I seriously doubt the shipper will ever be held financially liable for this cost.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:05:43 AM EDT
[#6]
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Quoted:
It's become clear that p Diddy has orchestrated this bridge collapse to draw attention away from himself.
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8/10. Comments like these are what makes GD great.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:06:33 AM EDT
[#7]
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One certainty.

The replacement bridge will NOT be named after the racist white devil who wrote the anthem of opression!
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I for one welcome our new Michelle Obama bridge.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:07:11 AM EDT
[#8]
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Quoted:
I bet they have the port open in two weeks.
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What about vehicle traffic? How important was that bridge for commuters?
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:07:24 AM EDT
[#9]
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Quoted:


What are the currents like in those waters?
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Flood tides happen, the tide there is about 2 feet. There is a river and a creek that both empty there. The river is before the bridge ( leaving ) and the creek is after. Neither make much current. The tidal current is less than a knot on average, but can hit 2 or 3 if the wind helps back it up. @jellyBelly
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:07:26 AM EDT
[#10]
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Quoted:



Sourcing, coordinating, and positioning the necessary equipment will take at least that long. I give it 6 weeks.
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I bet they have the port open in two weeks.



Sourcing, coordinating, and positioning the necessary equipment will take at least that long. I give it 6 weeks.


Nah.  Drag the shit out of the main channel.

It'll be months until it's cleaned up, but I bet they focus on opening up a lane.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:07:51 AM EDT
[#11]
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Quoted:
I bet they have the port open in two weeks.
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Doubt. Highly doubt.

That's a big bridge.  It'll take more than two weeks just to mobilize the gear to do it, and that's if it's on the east coast already, gulf will take longer.

The ship is basically pinned in place by a span right now.  They'll have to lift it off to prevent sinking the ship.  After they collect whatever evidence they want. That shit isn't going anywhere soon.

I'm not kidding about a company like Mammoet, there are only a few that have the resources and skill to tackle this in the short term.

Just write the check. Make it cost plus and get it done.  This is an actual situation where government can act to cut the bullshit red tape and just make it happen.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:08:17 AM EDT
[#12]
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Quoted:



That concrete bollard would be roughly equlivent to using a IIIA vest to stop a cannon ball.. YES it got in the way, yes it slowed it down, but the weight absolutely penetrated through the vest.
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Usually major bridges have huge circular concrete bollards designed to take the impact of a ship. Did this bridge have them? They look small from a distance but they’re pretty big.

https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/259519/IMG_4024_jpeg-3169795.JPG
https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/259519/IMG_4025_jpeg-3169796.JPG



That concrete bollard would be roughly equlivent to using a IIIA vest to stop a cannon ball.. YES it got in the way, yes it slowed it down, but the weight absolutely penetrated through the vest.


And it was made in 1972 before there were ships with this kind of tonnage.

In 1972 the largest container ship was the LiverPool Bay 2961 TEU.

The Dali was 9900 TEU. So over 3 times the cargo capacity and probably 3 times the size and weight.

I doubt those concrete bollards produced in 1972 had that size of a ship ( which is a medium size ship today ) in mind during the design and construction.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:08:18 AM EDT
[#13]
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Quoted:

That is very telling.
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Am I interpreting that correctly that the ship cleared the bridge, then lost power and hit the pylon stern first after reversing?
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:09:26 AM EDT
[#14]
I watched the video earlier this morning. You can see the ship lose all power twice before impact.  

There may have not been any wind, however, currents can be a bitch in itself.

I used to watch the Hyundai boats come in Puget Sound.  Nothing like seeing a freak current drag a ship and 4 tugs around like a dog with a rope toy.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:10:14 AM EDT
[#15]
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Quoted:



Sourcing, coordinating, and positioning the necessary equipment will take at least that long. I give it 6 weeks.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
I bet they have the port open in two weeks.



Sourcing, coordinating, and positioning the necessary equipment will take at least that long. I give it 6 weeks.


Just dispatched some of our light towers at the behest of certain agencies and based on the other standby requests the problem is going to be flooding too many resources without a plan.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:10:29 AM EDT
[#16]
I'm no marine engineer but have significant experience working with vessel steering systems on the control end.

The way it works is vessels of this size typically have two large hydraulic steering pumps that are running at all times. At the steering stand or bridge console pump 1 or 2 can be selected very quickly.

The pumps themselves should be powered by either a primary bus or emergency bus. Which bus is feeding the pumps depends on the state of the ship's DGs but it is pretty rare for all of these systems to fail.

What I predict probably happened was a failure of one of the transfer breakers shortly after departure as the engineers may have switched from a smaller auxiliary generator (which may be used in port due to smaller demand) to one of the larger primary DGs.

Typically two DGs will be running at any given point in time with only one actively providing power to main buses, and all that has to happen from a mechanical failure is for the transfer breaker to switch which DG is handling the load to the DG currently on standby.

The failure occurred faster than the emergency DG could be brought up and supply transferred to the emergency bus.

Does it happen often? No. But it does happen. It happened at the worst possible time for this ship.

A steering stand failure could be a possibility as well, but a failure at the stand is not that common.

In any case, the ship is sinking so this information will have to be collected from the VDR capsule. The VDR will log a significant amount of events but unfortunately it will likely not log automation system alarm history (showing what plant failures may have occurred) but will log things such as rudder angle - not all that useful as we know the rudder angle was not so good.

Some automation systems have their own separate VDR (not all that commonly used in my experience) or report events real time over the vessel internet connection.  We'll have to wait and see. Most of the automation systems out of various smaller Asian countries suck in this regard.

Expect that here on out a tug escort will be deemed required for all vessels departing Baltimore until they have cleared the (soon to be new) bridge.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:10:45 AM EDT
[#17]
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Quoted:


Yet you are here,  hoping that it was a terror attack.
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Reading comprehension — get better at it.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:10:47 AM EDT
[#18]
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Quoted:

The simple explanation is the ship hit the bridge and the bridge fell.  
Is that simple enough for you.
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Quoted:
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I thought the left were the experts at making things fit a narrative, but the level of tin-foil hat wearing keyboard commandos here who seem to REALLY WANT this to be terrorism is pretty disgusting.

This website has shown me how many people on the “right” lack critical thinking skills and have extreme levels of delusion.


I don't know that a lot of people here have heard of Occam's Razor or understand it.

The simplest answer here is mechanical failure, incompetence, or a combination of the two. It's almost certainly going to be something like that, once things shake out.

Do I think it's POSSIBLE a crack group of terrorists took the ship without anyone knowing and successfully rammed the bridge with it? Sure, but it's a long way down the list of possible explanations. Far enough down to be dismissed without something concrete to base it on.

The simple explanation is the ship hit the bridge and the bridge fell.  
Is that simple enough for you.


Reread what I posted.

That's EXACLY what I said.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:10:51 AM EDT
[#19]
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Quoted:
Doubt. Highly doubt.

That's a big bridge.  It'll take more than two weeks just to mobilize the gear to do it, and that's if it's on the east coast already, gulf will take longer.

The ship is basically pinned in place by a span right now.  They'll have to lift it off to prevent sinking the ship.  After they collect whatever evidence they want. That shit isn't going anywhere soon.

I'm not kidding about a company like Mammoet, there are only a few that have the resources and skill to tackle this in the short term.

Just write the check. Make it cost plus and get it done.  This is an actual situation where government can act to cut the bullshit red tape and just make it happen.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
I bet they have the port open in two weeks.
Doubt. Highly doubt.

That's a big bridge.  It'll take more than two weeks just to mobilize the gear to do it, and that's if it's on the east coast already, gulf will take longer.

The ship is basically pinned in place by a span right now.  They'll have to lift it off to prevent sinking the ship.  After they collect whatever evidence they want. That shit isn't going anywhere soon.

I'm not kidding about a company like Mammoet, there are only a few that have the resources and skill to tackle this in the short term.

Just write the check. Make it cost plus and get it done.  This is an actual situation where government can act to cut the bullshit red tape and just make it happen.


In before James Biden gets the contract!

ETA: I don't know if Mammoet has a marine division, but they are definitely the go to heavy lift/heavy transport on dry land
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:10:55 AM EDT
[#20]
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Quoted:
Yes.

Lots of force, not a lot of PSI. Area is a bitch.
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No what.

3 knots is about .5 psi.
Yes.

Lots of force, not a lot of PSI. Area is a bitch.


Yes yes yes, sorry I'm semi tarded today.  

It's .5 psi, half a million pounds of force cumulative.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:11:42 AM EDT
[#21]
https://gcaptain.com/baltimore-bridge-collapse-what-we-know-so-fart/

This site is going to have some of the better analysis.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:11:55 AM EDT
[#22]
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Quoted:



Uh…
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Quoted:
Quoted:
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Yes, and currents are a factor as well.

3 knots of wind against the side of Dali is just under 1,000,000 psi.  Add any possible currents, plus the drag of the props, where the rudder settled at, and sure it's possible across that distance.  It wasn't as abrupt of a turn as that head on angle would indicate, and it didn't go off course very far.

Prayers for all involved.


PSI or pounds of force?


Pounds per square inch

Edit: 500,000



Uh…


Uh, yes, the bridge in my brain has re-connected.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:14:32 AM EDT
[#23]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History

Honestly shocked it doesn't conclude by mentioning minorities and LGBT will be the most severely impacted by this tragedy
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:15:03 AM EDT
[#24]
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Quoted:
Whats the standard crew size on a ship like that?
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Crew requirements for a ship like that?

Uhh, one I suppose.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:15:45 AM EDT
[#25]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
I'm no marine engineer but have significant experience working with vessel steering systems on the control end.

The way it works is vessels of this size typically have two large hydraulic steering pumps that are running at all times. At the steering stand or bridge console pump 1 or 2 can be selected very quickly.

The pumps themselves should be powered by either a primary bus or emergency bus. Which bus is feeding the pumps depends on the state of the ship's DGs but it is pretty rare for all of these systems to fail.

What I predict probably happened was a failure of one of the transfer breakers shortly after departure as the engineers may have switched from a smaller auxiliary generator (which may be used in port due to smaller demand) to one of the larger primary DGs.

Typically two DGs will be running at any given point in time with only one actively providing power to main buses, and all that has to happen from a mechanical failure is for the transfer breaker to switch which DG is handling the load to the DG currently on standby.

The failure occurred faster than the emergency DG could be brought up and supply transferred to the emergency bus.

Does it happen often? No. But it does happen. It happened at the worst possible time for this ship.

A steering stand failure could be a possibility as well, but a failure at the stand is not that common.

In any case, the ship is sinking so this information will have to be collected from the VDR capsule. The VDR will log a significant amount of events but unfortunately it will likely not log automation system alarm history (showing what plant failures may have occurred) but will log things such as rudder angle - not all that useful as we know the rudder angle was not so good.

Some automation systems have their own separate VDR (not all that commonly used in my experience) or report events real time over the vessel internet connection.  We'll have to wait and see. Most of the automation systems out of various smaller Asian countries suck in this regard.

Expect that here on out a tug escort will be deemed required for all vessels departing Baltimore until they have cleared the (soon to be new) bridge.
View Quote

So… it WAS terrorism!
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:16:05 AM EDT
[#26]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
I'm no marine engineer but have significant experience working with vessel steering systems on the control end.

The way it works is vessels of this size typically have two large hydraulic steering pumps that are running at all times. At the steering stand or bridge console pump 1 or 2 can be selected very quickly.

The pumps themselves should be powered by either a primary bus or emergency bus. Which bus is feeding the pumps depends on the state of the ship's DGs but it is pretty rare for all of these systems to fail.

What I predict probably happened was a failure of one of the transfer breakers shortly after departure as the engineers may have switched from a smaller auxiliary generator (which may be used in port due to smaller demand) to one of the larger primary DGs.

Typically two DGs will be running at any given point in time with only one actively providing power to main buses, and all that has to happen from a mechanical failure is for the transfer breaker to switch which DG is handling the load to the DG currently on standby.

The failure occurred faster than the emergency DG could be brought up and supply transferred to the emergency bus.

Does it happen often? No. But it does happen. It happened at the worst possible time for this ship.

A steering stand failure could be a possibility as well, but a failure at the stand is not that common.

In any case, the ship is sinking so this information will have to be collected from the VDR capsule. The VDR will log a significant amount of events but unfortunately it will likely not log automation system alarm history (showing what plant failures may have occurred) but will log things such as rudder angle - not all that useful as we know the rudder angle was not so good.

Some automation systems have their own separate VDR (not all that commonly used in my experience) or report events real time over the vessel internet connection.  We'll have to wait and see. Most of the automation systems out of various smaller Asian countries suck in this regard.

Expect that here on out a tug escort will be deemed required for all vessels departing Baltimore until they have cleared the (soon to be new) bridge.
View Quote

I'm watching video now from a helicopter and it looks like the rudder is centered.

Hard reverse, assuming that it's a right hand rotation prop, would have kicked the stern to port without any rudder input.


Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:16:30 AM EDT
[#27]
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Quoted:
Holy shit, how can a container ship take down a bridge like that!? Was that a really old bridge?

Edit: guess it was built in 1977
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It's called Kinetic Energy and for a ship this size, I'd estimate it's measured in Kilotons. Just like an atom bomb.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:16:45 AM EDT
[#28]
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:20:17 AM EDT
[#29]
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Quoted:
Damn, this is not going to be good. Not an engineer, but that seems like a poor bridge design.
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Stand on top a can of soda. no problem right, now stand on the SIDE of the same can.

Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:20:22 AM EDT
[#30]
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:20:30 AM EDT
[#31]
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Quoted:


In before James Biden gets the contract!

ETA: I don't know if Mammoet has a marine division, but they are definitely the go to heavy lift/heavy transport on dry land
View Quote
They have an offshore division but yeah there are others.  SMIT...is a big one.  

It's got to be some company like that,  the scale is hard to grasp from pictures.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:20:53 AM EDT
[#32]
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Quoted:
The amount of tin foil hat fuck fuck games in this thread is amazing. Vessel issues happen all the fucking time. A couple of years ago, a brand new vessel on the Great Lakes had its steering go out.

My big customer in the Baltimore area was apparently on the phone with the owner of my company about 6am this morning screaming about his freight.

Per the port website, no vessel traffic, of course, but trucks can still go in to pick up containers.
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Not sure if it's the same incident, but a 1000 footer was about to depart Duluth harbor and lost control/power/something as it made its way to the aerial lift bridge canal. Rather than risking damage to the canal and causing an obstruction, it managed to plow into the shore in an area devoid of anything structural, keeping the harbor unblocked. A bad situation handled in about the best way possible. Not the same options available in this case, unfortunately.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:20:55 AM EDT
[#33]
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Quoted:

That is very telling.
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Quoted:


That is very telling.


Interesting.......

The hard right after it passed the protective pier(?) seems odd. Unless it just looks that way from the viewpoint of the camera....

ETA: Potentially answered:

Quoted:

I'm watching video now from a helicopter and it looks like the rudder is centered.

Hard reverse, assuming that it's a right hand rotation prop, would have kicked the stern to port without any rudder input.


Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:21:00 AM EDT
[#34]
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Quoted:

I think some of you guys are going to be shocked at the speed the channel gets cleared/open
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Channel, my guess is a month, but could be two weeks. I see them doing very little for two weeks as they investigate and recover the any cars and bodies. The cant go pulling pieces if the bridge out with divers in the water. So a week or two for that minimum. Then they can probably get the channel clear in a week or two. There will be some down times when the divers go back in as they take pieces of the bridge out and fine another car.

Yes the bridge could be a year, but I would guess two. Its not like they have steel just laying around set up for bridges, that sort of thing normally takes years of planning and prep
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:22:18 AM EDT
[#35]
In before Russians colluded with ISIS to take down the bridge as revenge for last weeks Moscow attack
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:24:20 AM EDT
[#36]
Damn!

That’s a hell of a big ship. That’s what they get for running nut coal in it.


RIP to the lost. Good thing it happened at night, could have been a lot worse if it was bumper to bumper traffic.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:24:36 AM EDT
[#37]
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Sourcing, coordinating, and positioning the necessary equipment will take at least that long. I give it 6 weeks.
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Quoted:
I bet they have the port open in two weeks.



Sourcing, coordinating, and positioning the necessary equipment will take at least that long. I give it 6 weeks.

They probably have stuff on the way now. They will be remarkably quick opening the port.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:24:45 AM EDT
[#38]
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Quoted:
In before Russians colluded with ISIS to take down the bridge as revenge for last weeks Moscow attack
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You forgot about Trump!
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:25:38 AM EDT
[#39]
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Quoted:
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wow, we knew that hours ago
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:25:55 AM EDT
[#40]
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I for one welcome our new Michelle Obama bridge.
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One certainty.

The replacement bridge will NOT be named after the racist white devil who wrote the anthem of opression!

I for one welcome our new Michelle Obama bridge.


George Floyd memorial bridge
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:26:46 AM EDT
[#41]







Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:29:08 AM EDT
[#42]
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I haven’t read through everything, but my wife is a retired O5 from the Coast Guard who spent a lot of time investigating incidents like this. She said it looks like the boat lost electrical power, possibly dropped anchor as a precaution and either lost steering with the rudder cranked hard right, or the anchor dragging turned it. Either was it was a massive, likely unexpected turn. The billowing smoke was almost positively a reverse engine attempt to stop something that wasn’t going to stop.

She gives it a pretty low probability of being intentional, but there is always the chance. As she said, ‘incompetence and shoddy maintenance is generally the culprit.’

Like a typical Arfcommer, I immediately jumped to it looks intentional, but her explanation probably fits a lot better.
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Indeed.  When I first watched it I didn't notice the lights turning on and off.  All I noticed was him rolling coal which I took as giving her all she had in forward.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:29:20 AM EDT
[#43]
Baltimore, Maryland USA | StreamTime LIVE

Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:29:29 AM EDT
[#44]
Shades of the USS South Dakota losing all power while engaged with the Japanese fleet.  The entire ship went dark.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:29:47 AM EDT
[#45]
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Quoted:
Doubt. Highly doubt.

That's a big bridge.  It'll take more than two weeks just to mobilize the gear to do it, and that's if it's on the east coast already, gulf will take longer.

The ship is basically pinned in place by a span right now.  They'll have to lift it off to prevent sinking the ship.  After they collect whatever evidence they want. That shit isn't going anywhere soon.

I'm not kidding about a company like Mammoet, there are only a few that have the resources and skill to tackle this in the short term.

Just write the check. Make it cost plus and get it done.  This is an actual situation where government can act to cut the bullshit red tape and just make it happen.
View Quote


Heerema, etc...  Of course with our luck, those vessels are probably off in the Persian Gulf or SE Asia right now.  But something in that class.  Really big lifts.

OTC was a fun trade show to attend as a student trying to get into O&G law.  Didn't happen, but there's some really neat tech and awfully smart people working offshore.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:30:11 AM EDT
[#46]
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:30:26 AM EDT
[#47]
Can't blame people for suspecting a potential for terrorism:

- World-wide social/economic strife.

- Weak administration/aggressive foreign powers ramping up rhetoric.

- Recent warning by nationwide sheriff's association that terror-risk is higher than pre-9/11.

- Nobody trusts nobody these days, due to decades of deliberate lies/spin/gaslighting/politics.

- Ship veers directly into pylon of bridge at a major port, blocking channel. Massive economic consequences projected.


If it was just an accident, it damn sure fit the terror profile by an amazing culmination of bad circumstances.

Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:30:33 AM EDT
[#48]
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Our own government is a far greater threat to our country than any foreign country.
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In 2024 the only thing more retarded than automatically assuming everything is nefarious, is automatically assuming it is not.

We ARE at war with Russia.

Just not as much as a bunch of people wish we were. Pretending either of those parties will not escalate to satisfy their goals is obscenely ignorant.

If Russia has good intel that the CIA/western intelligence/Ukranian sock puppet was behind the Crocus City event retaliation is a foregone conclusion.

Our own government is a far greater threat to our country than any foreign country.
Can u guys please stop with the bullshit!

Save it for your own your country hates you russian propaganda thread.
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:31:03 AM EDT
[#49]
Link Posted: 3/26/2024 10:31:15 AM EDT
[#50]
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George Floyd memorial bridge
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One certainty.

The replacement bridge will NOT be named after the racist white devil who wrote the anthem of opression!

I for one welcome our new Michelle Obama bridge.


George Floyd memorial bridge

Freddie Gray Memorial Bridge

No vans allowed



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