Warning

 

Close

Confirm Action

Are you sure you wish to do this?

Confirm Cancel
BCM
User Panel

Page / 298
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 10:57:40 PM EDT
[#1]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Its bedrock alright, just really rotten bedrock.
Under the rotten stuff will be the more solid stuff of course but who knows the depth of that.

The rotten stuff can easily have a channel cut through it
View Quote

That's just the surface, the weir extends down below that.  The weir probably has as much height below grade as above it.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 10:57:42 PM EDT
[#2]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
The Emergency spill way should have 1500 feet in the middle about 6 feet shorter that the 100' on either side on the ends. Or the ends should have been 6 feet taller.

Either way, the way it is now means it will never work as designed unless the design was to drain the lake in the event of a catastrophic flood that can't be controlled by the gates.
View Quote


Hmm...wonder if they could construct a temporary extension of the weir starting at the parking lot and then into the side of the hill, and perhaps have it be 3-4' taller.  About where the parking lot meats the lake they could then tied it in on the downstream side to prevent a bit of a barrier to keep the high velocity water a the transition from scouring.

Of course that isn't a trivial amount of excavation and construction work to do, but perhaps they don't have to dig all new footings, just dig to tie it into the hill better, and then somehow anchor the new poured concrete to the old weir.  Way out of my lane though...
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 10:58:10 PM EDT
[#3]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


While the maintence part is true, the waterlevel was below the spillway intake in December... it has come up 200+ feet.

It hasn't been kept overfilled..
View Quote


Looking at the seasonal curve of the graph I get that another 750,000 acre feet is due between now and June? I'm taking that as the normal increase in held water from Feb 1 to June 1.

We already know that ain't gonna happen. It's all going over the spillway. Pick one. Feel free to correct my numbers/units and don't forget to add the 176% snow pack load.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 10:58:20 PM EDT
[#4]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
think of it this way: As flow over the Espill gets deeper at some point it will flow more than God can put in the lake.
View Quote



Replace the word,'you,' with the word,God.'
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 10:59:25 PM EDT
[#5]
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:00:05 PM EDT
[#6]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Holy shit!

I have a relative there hauling rock to the dam.  I did not know where he was living until he started putting pictures up on his facebook.  

One pic he is posting from his truck with a caption "Heading to Marysville for a load of rock then to the dam in orriville and hope it don't disappear".  
View Quote
I'm capable and willing to work Insane hours for great pay. Who do I need to talk to?
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:00:45 PM EDT
[#7]
not sure if it was posted, RCBS is closed due to this.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:01:21 PM EDT
[#8]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

That's just the surface, the weir extends down below that.  The weir probably has as much height below grade as above it.
View Quote


Did you see the cross section drawing that was posted about 20 times? What you see is all there is.  The sill for the water to land on is even with the bottom of the weir.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:02:19 PM EDT
[#9]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


I see it from a completely different perspective now.

It is still stupid to have built that parking lot there. That parking lot should be at least 10 feet taller than than the top of the spillway.
View Quote

You see the lower parking lots in older pics? Boat ramp from that lot goes down to a large lot and the boat ramp from that lot goes down to another good sized lot with a boat ramp.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:02:39 PM EDT
[#10]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
I'm capable and willing to work Insane hours for great pay. Who do I need to talk to?
View Quote



Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:02:57 PM EDT
[#11]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


I see it from a completely different perspective now.

It is still stupid to have built that parking lot there. That parking lot should be at least 10 feet taller than than the top of the spillway.
View Quote


nope, it has to be lower than the weir - or you have a dam.    They wanted 1700 feet of weir at 901' elevation.  The parking lot is a non-issue and is sacrificial to a flood event.

No one is going to be parking there during a flood anyway  
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:03:02 PM EDT
[#12]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Whatever you say...

There are only tons of pics available some on this very page.

ETA I stand corrected. that was backfilled and it does extend to the road. Damn. It is still a stupid design that is not going to last having water flow over it like that.
View Quote


Well to be fair it was designed as an EMERGENCY SPILLWAY.

Viewed this way: "If water is going over the weir we got a real emergency and everybody down stream better start climbing right now" , the design make a bit more sense.

This was the last ditch effort to stop over running the dam proper, the last line of defense to prevent complete dam failure.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:06:20 PM EDT
[#13]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:




Its bedrock alright, just really rotten bedrock.
Under the rotten stuff will be the more solid stuff of course but who knows the depth of that.

The rotten stuff can easily have a channel cut through it
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:




Its bedrock alright, just really rotten bedrock.
Under the rotten stuff will be the more solid stuff of course but who knows the depth of that.

The rotten stuff can easily have a channel cut through it


The gaps are where all the gold was that washed out and went downstream.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:08:38 PM EDT
[#14]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


NOT bedrock; see all the fissures and layers? Rock? Yes, but just the top, looser layer. Trust me buddy, I've worked behind a TBM at 400' BELOW what you call bedrock, drilling through solid dolomite limestone; what you're looking at is just large rocks holding hands!!
View Quote

Sigh.  At least we've gone from "It's not even built on bedrock!" to "The bedrock isn't good enough!"  Bedrock isn't some new discovery from the 60 years since the dam was built.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:09:03 PM EDT
[#15]
In other news: https://youtu.be/fJpl1hm1-qg 

the gravel pit I work at is switching over to riprap to help with this dam break.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:10:01 PM EDT
[#16]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


The gaps are where all the gold was that washed out and went downstream.
View Quote


Probably.

The dam was built out of local mine tailings.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:10:57 PM EDT
[#17]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Did you see the cross section drawing that was posted about 20 times? What you see is all there is.  The sill for the water to land on is even with the bottom of the weir.
View Quote

That's not a blueprint.  It's just an illustration to show the shape of the weir.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:11:29 PM EDT
[#18]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

Sigh.  At least we've gone from "It's not even built on bedrock!" to "The bedrock isn't good enough!"  Bedrock isn't some new discovery from the 60 years since the dam was built.
View Quote


I'd bet the construction / engineering documents specify that they had rip down to both reasonably solid rock and some minimum depth (its a gravity structure, it has to have some minimum amount of width and weight to work).
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:11:39 PM EDT
[#19]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
I'm capable and willing to work Insane hours for great pay. Who do I need to talk to?
View Quote


same here
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:13:03 PM EDT
[#20]
The spillway being damaged was a bad thing but why on earth did they decide to use the emergency spillway?

Isn't an emergency spillway an absolute last resort, Hail Mary to save the main dam incase shit goes sideways on the main spillway. As in the main spillway won't flow any water for whatever reason.

Why didn't they ramp up the output on the spillway and monitor the erosion early on before deciding on the E spillway option? After all said and done, they did ramp up to 100K cfs and the spillway wasn't damaged too much more.

Didn't the E spillway only put out 12K cfs. If so, their cost-benefit analysis ration was way off.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:13:42 PM EDT
[#21]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Fast forward through the video for helicopters hauling rock.  https://www.facebook.com/KCRA3/videos/vb.115763581513/10155029133956514/?type=3&theater
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:


Is there any pictures or video of helicopters moving rocks? I curious to see if I can tell who is doing it.
Fast forward through the video for helicopters hauling rock.  https://www.facebook.com/KCRA3/videos/vb.115763581513/10155029133956514/?type=3&theater


Looks like PJ Helicopters with their civilian UH-60 Black Hawks.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:15:09 PM EDT
[#22]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


The gaps are where all the gold was that washed out and went downstream.
View Quote
I heard it was unobtanium from a source who has a friend who's brother had a co-worker that read about in a cave drawing.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:16:12 PM EDT
[#23]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
The spillway being damaged was a bad thing but why on earth did they decide to use the emergency spillway?

Isn't an emergency spillway an absolute last resort, Hail Mary to save the main dam incase shit goes sideways on the main spillway. As in the main spillway won't flow any water for whatever reason.

Why didn't they ramp up the output on the spillway and monitor the erosion early on before deciding on the E spillway option? After all said and done, they did ramp up to 100K cfs and the spillway wasn't damaged too much more.

Didn't the E spillway only put out 12K cfs. If so, their cost-benefit analysis ration was way off.
View Quote
Seriously this.

It's like they thought it would be 'fun' to give it a go or some stupid shit like that.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:16:39 PM EDT
[#24]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Honestly, they'd be better off using those $20k/hr heavy lift helos dropping sandbags around critical areas downstream.

What they are doing now may buy them a few days or weeks, not the full season.   Though it looks good on TV to make people scream at Trump!

See Also "Pissing into the Wind"
View Quote



Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:17:48 PM EDT
[#25]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
The spillway being damaged was a bad thing but why on earth did they decide to use the emergency spillway?

Isn't an emergency spillway an absolute last resort, Hail Mary to save the main dam incase shit goes sideways on the main spillway. As in the main spillway won't flow any water for whatever reason.

Why didn't they ramp up the output on the spillway and monitor the erosion early on before deciding on the E spillway option? After all said and done, they did ramp up to 100K cfs and the spillway wasn't damaged too much more.

Didn't the E spillway only put out 12K cfs. If so, their cost-benefit analysis ration was way off.
View Quote


Probably because they had no idea if the broken primary spillway could do what it is doing.   It's not like they designed the thing to work if half the spillway was gone.   They were trying to shift as much load off of the spillway as they could.

Unfortunately, the timing isn't working.  Keeping it set at 55 or 65 kcfs wasn't going to do the job with the rest of the storms heading in. - and the espillway showed some flaw that created a potentially dangerous situation.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:19:36 PM EDT
[#26]
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:20:48 PM EDT
[#27]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

That's not a blueprint.  It's just an illustration to show the shape of the weir.
View Quote


If it extended down below grade equally as far as what we can see, I'm sure that would have been shown in the cross section.

Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:21:16 PM EDT
[#28]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


I see it from a completely different perspective now.

It is still stupid to have built that parking lot there. That parking lot should be at least 10 feet taller than than the top of the spillway.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:


and they show exactly what he says it shows.   The weir structure runs from the dam some 1700'.  Its 900' from the dam to the parking lot.


I see it from a completely different perspective now.

It is still stupid to have built that parking lot there. That parking lot should be at least 10 feet taller than than the top of the spillway.
Once the ogee crest meets the parking lot area it changes to basically a large parking curb. It isn't the massive curved wall that it is from roughly the fence line towards the gatehouse.   If erosion got to the parking lot area...that little curb ain't gonna do much.   They call it all the E spillway but only 900 feet of it is a substantial structure. 
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:21:39 PM EDT
[#29]
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:21:45 PM EDT
[#30]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
The spillway being damaged was a bad thing but why on earth did they decide to use the emergency spillway?

Isn't an emergency spillway an absolute last resort, Hail Mary to save the main dam incase shit goes sideways on the main spillway. As in the main spillway won't flow any water for whatever reason.

Why didn't they ramp up the output on the spillway and monitor the erosion early on before deciding on the E spillway option? After all said and done, they did ramp up to 100K cfs and the spillway wasn't damaged too much more.

Didn't the E spillway only put out 12K cfs. If so, their cost-benefit analysis ration was way off.
View Quote


At this point of Monday Morning Quarterbacking it is pretty clear they should have never tested the E Spillway. They almost had a catastrophic failure and had to evac 200000.

Upping the release of the main spillway and monitoring the erosion of the flume, in hindsight was much safe in the short term.

The problem is can the damaged flume of the main spillway survive every drop of H2O in that water shed?

Time will tell.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:22:52 PM EDT
[#31]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

Sigh.  At least we've gone from "It's not even built on bedrock!" to "The bedrock isn't good enough!"  Bedrock isn't some new discovery from the 60 years since the dam was built.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
<strong>Quoted:</strong>


NOT bedrock; see all the fissures and layers? Rock? Yes, but just the top, looser layer. Trust me buddy, I've worked behind a TBM at 400' BELOW what you call bedrock, drilling through solid dolomite limestone; what you're looking at is just large rocks holding hands!!

Sigh.  At least we've gone from "It's not even built on bedrock!" to "The bedrock isn't good enough!"  Bedrock isn't some new discovery from the 60 years since the dam was built.


It fits though. Why are we do we have a 147 page thread on this? Because of repeated erosion/collapse issues. Between the primary spillway break and the smaller sink holes near the parking lot, there is definite evidence of subterranean water flow. Plus the erosion pattern behind the spillway is a bit odd too. 'bedrock' that is significantly fractured will allow a lot more water flow.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:22:56 PM EDT
[#32]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Notice the spillway capacity says 650,000 cfs
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Notice the spillway capacity says 650,000 cfs


Too bad the river doesn't have that capacity.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:23:58 PM EDT
[#33]
I've been following this since the beginning but seeing photos that show scale is still pretty awe inspiring.

Though saying that, please understand that I know there are tens of thousands of people that are suffering because of this fuck up.

This is also an important lesson for engineers that are responsible for the safety of the public.  Don't sign off on something you aren't sure of, bonuses or management pressure be damned.  It'll all work out until it doesn't, then it's your ass that's going to have your license pulled, terminated, and possibly prosecuted.  Or worse than that, you kill people.

Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:26:46 PM EDT
[#34]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Probably because they had no idea if the broken primary spillway could do what it is doing.   It's not like they designed the thing to work if half the spillway was gone.   They were trying to shift as much load off of the spillway as they could.

Unfortunately, the timing isn't working.  Keeping it set at 55 or 65 kcfs wasn't going to do the job with the rest of the storms heading in. - and the espillway showed some flaw that created a potentially dangerous situation.
View Quote


They could have ramped it up for an hour, then back down to inspect.

They could have gone WFO and tried to blast away the remaining part of the spillway at the bottom.  Making a clear area for the water to fly off the top part without slamming it to the sides and causing the erosion would have been a plan worth trying. The large debris could have been dozed out of the channel when the water was cut back.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:26:55 PM EDT
[#35]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
north valley community foundation

Nvcf


I know board members, the money is being distributed straight to the local points of need.


I'd prefer to not handle peoples funds.


Elks lodge has a bar!
View Quote


Direct link for donations:

http://nvcf.org/fund/oroville-evacuation-fund/
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:27:31 PM EDT
[#36]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
The spillway being damaged was a bad thing but why on earth did they decide to use the emergency spillway?

Isn't an emergency spillway an absolute last resort, Hail Mary to save the main dam incase shit goes sideways on the main spillway. As in the main spillway won't flow any water for whatever reason.

Why didn't they ramp up the output on the spillway and monitor the erosion early on before deciding on the E spillway option? After all said and done, they did ramp up to 100K cfs and the spillway wasn't damaged too much more.

Didn't the E spillway only put out 12K cfs. If so, their cost-benefit analysis ration was way off.
View Quote


In hindsight, you're probably right.

Going forward, things may not be as bleak as people think, if the upper section of the primary spillway is actually on bedrock like they've said it is and can be stabilized.

The erosion from the primary spillway seems to have stabilized at this rate of flow, but nobody knows how much water they can flow and for how long without damaging it further. It could be they did, in fact, want to see what would happen when they flowed some water over the e-spillway so they'd know what to expect when they HAVE to in a week or a month.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:27:33 PM EDT
[#37]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Too bad the river doesn't have that capacity.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:


Notice the spillway capacity says 650,000 cfs


Too bad the river doesn't have that capacity.

That is a failure on the state's part.  They either didn't keep it dredged like they were supposed to or over the last 70 years they let people build in the flood plane of the river.  
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:29:01 PM EDT
[#38]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


It wasn't a change. A couple pages back there was a YouTube video documentary/puff piece that included Ronaldus Maximus dedicating the damn. He mentioned storage in his dedication. It was always meant for storage.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:

Is there any documentation on that change from flood control to storage?  Everything I can find says it was intended for flood control, hydroelectric generation, and water storage.


It wasn't a change. A couple pages back there was a YouTube video documentary/puff piece that included Ronaldus Maximus dedicating the damn. He mentioned storage in his dedication. It was always meant for storage.


Godhead though he may be, some politician yackety-schmackety does not a design intention make.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:29:26 PM EDT
[#39]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

That is a failure on the state's part.  They either didn't keep it dredged like they were supposed to or over the last 70 years they let people build in the flood plane of the river.  
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:


Notice the spillway capacity says 650,000 cfs


Too bad the river doesn't have that capacity.

That is a failure on the state's part.  They either didn't keep it dredged like they were supposed to or over the last 70 years they let people build in the flood plane of the river.  

Flood plane on a treadmill?
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:29:54 PM EDT
[#40]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Notice the spillway capacity says 650,000 cfs
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Notice the spillway capacity says 650,000 cfs


That would be a show for sure, open her all the way up. drop that lake in a hurry! bye town of Oroville.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:30:11 PM EDT
[#41]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Fiat money doesn't follow the laws of Physics.    

Ignore physics and think it's too hard all you want, but it isn't going to ignore you.  We need to get the truth out to the media that matters before the blame train goes into full swing.  

This is NOT "Fake News".  It isn't even abnormal runoff yet and they've got the dam failing on purpose, that's the message that needs to get out.

How do you get the UK DailyMail or whatever site is covering this to read the 1991 Paper that says this is going to happen, and CA does it anyway without a FERC license?  Get it to Brietbart?  To Drudge?   Somebody to write it in a form that the modern short attention span people can handle without sounding overly dramatic and pissy about it?
View Quote


Your link doesn't say that something like this is going to happen. In fact, it echoes DWR in saying "Numerous faults were mapped in the foundations of the Oroville Dam and Hyatt Powerplant.  However, none appeared to be significantly threatening since displacement along the faults would be minimal and unlikely to occur."
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:31:59 PM EDT
[#42]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Xic5LfFNVc    
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:33:43 PM EDT
[#43]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


The Capacity is also a few hundred thousand AF less on that plaque than they've been stating on the current website and news.    
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:


Notice the spillway capacity says 650,000 cfs


The Capacity is also a few hundred thousand AF less on that plaque than they've been stating on the current website and news.    
What news you watching?

So they build the infrastructure downstream after this dam handcuffing it. Because this thing can handle more than I thought.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:34:48 PM EDT
[#44]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:



Im at the elks sorting toooooons of donations. Good folks here. Real good folks.
View Quote
You are a good man. God Bless and stay safe!
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:35:43 PM EDT
[#45]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


If it extended down below grade equally as far as what we can see, I'm sure that would have been shown in the cross section.

https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/268039/Screenshot-2017-02-12-12-10-57-1-145248.png
View Quote

OMG! You're right!  That's a detailed dimensional, as built drawing of the spillway and definitely not some hand drawn illustration that was made for a later report by some guy that didn't reference the original drawing.  Look you can even see the voids under the weir that they are trying to fill!  You should alert the media!
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:36:26 PM EDT
[#46]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


At this point of Monday Morning Quarterbacking it is pretty clear they should have never tested the E Spillway. They almost had a catastrophic failure and had to evac 200000.

Upping the release of the main spillway and monitoring the erosion of the flume, in hindsight was much safe in the short term.

The problem is can the damaged flume of the main spillway survive every drop of H2O in that water shed?

Time will tell.
View Quote


I have been thinking all along not to use the E spillway but I wouldn't want to be there having to make those decisions. Naturally the decision is so no one gets hurt or killed but there are many other political things that come into play. I would assume there were others there who didnt want to use the untested E spillway but someone higher up made that decision.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:37:14 PM EDT
[#48]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Fiat money doesn't follow the laws of Physics.    

Ignore physics and think it's too hard all you want, but it isn't going to ignore you.  We need to get the truth out to the media that matters before the blame train goes into full swing.  

This is NOT "Fake News".  It isn't even abnormal runoff yet and they've got the dam failing on purpose, that's the message that needs to get out.

How do you get the UK DailyMail or whatever site is covering this to read the 1991 Paper that says this is going to happen, and CA does it anyway without a FERC license?  Get it to Brietbart?  To Drudge?   Somebody to write it in a form that the modern short attention span people can handle without sounding overly dramatic and pissy about it?
View Quote

You've obviously never worked around government employees.

They don't have to do something "on purpose" to royally fuck something up worse than imaginable. It's not like they have to worry about being fired for being lazy and making poor choices.
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:37:40 PM EDT
[#49]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Seriously this.

It's like they thought it would be 'fun' to give it a go or some stupid shit like that.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
The spillway being damaged was a bad thing but why on earth did they decide to use the emergency spillway?

Isn't an emergency spillway an absolute last resort, Hail Mary to save the main dam incase shit goes sideways on the main spillway. As in the main spillway won't flow any water for whatever reason.

Why didn't they ramp up the output on the spillway and monitor the erosion early on before deciding on the E spillway option? After all said and done, they did ramp up to 100K cfs and the spillway wasn't damaged too much more.

Didn't the E spillway only put out 12K cfs. If so, their cost-benefit analysis ration was way off.
Seriously this.

It's like they thought it would be 'fun' to give it a go or some stupid shit like that.
They made decisions based on the best knowledge they had at the time...and the priorities that they had.  If the crystal ball was working and they knew they would be here now, I promise you they would have run 100k cfs and said fuck it.   Hindsight and all that. 

Being a good emergency manager, especially with complex systems is not fucking easy. If you aren't paranoid enough this happens.  If you are paranoid enough, people think you are ...well....paranoid. normalcy bias. that's the bitch of being good at safety stuff...if your fucking bad ass ..nothing bad happens and nobody notices.  It takes a supremely technically competent person to have enough confidence to do the job well. 

If your not that good at it...you had better be damn good at managing emergencies.  
Link Posted: 2/13/2017 11:38:10 PM EDT
[#50]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
I'm capable and willing to work Insane hours for great pay. Who do I need to talk to?
View Quote


Said no FSA welfare leech ever.
Page / 298
Close Join Our Mail List to Stay Up To Date! Win a FREE Membership!

Sign up for the ARFCOM weekly newsletter and be entered to win a free ARFCOM membership. One new winner* is announced every week!

You will receive an email every Friday morning featuring the latest chatter from the hottest topics, breaking news surrounding legislation, as well as exclusive deals only available to ARFCOM email subscribers.


By signing up you agree to our User Agreement. *Must have a registered ARFCOM account to win.
Top Top