User Panel
Posted: 9/5/2019 10:13:35 AM EST
It's a good time to be a borrower!
October cut expected this afternoon. https://abc13.com/fed-expected-to-cut-interest-rates-again-/5659077/ September cut is done. https://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy/fed-slices-interest-rates-second-time-2008-recession-n1055931 |
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Blame Trump for lowered interest rates and cheap money.
Study Japan and the Japanese reaction. It's one reason why the Japanese have bought a lot of home safes and gold. |
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Blame Trump for lowered interest rates and cheap money. Study Japan and the Japanese reaction. It's one reason why the Japanese have bought a lot of home safes and gold. View Quote We are just 10-20 years behind them....there are a tremendous amount a parallels to be drawn |
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Take your time dude. Pay attention to Detail. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes |
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Effects from the trade war.
China devalued the yuan, this rate cut will just make it worse on them as their temporary export bump will be erased when money becomes cheaper to invest here. Don't know what will happen with export countries other than China. This is a trade war of value attrition and eventual inflation. I just wonder at what point does China's economy eventually comes off the rails? What they will do? Will they whimper into depression or lash out by going full communist Great Leap forward and start acting stupid regionally? |
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Effects from the trade war. China devalued the yuan, this rate cut will just make it worse on them as their temporary export bump will be erased when money becomes cheaper to invest here. Don't know what will happen with export countries other than China. This is a trade war of value attrition and eventual inflation. I just wonder at what point does China's economy eventually comes off the rails? What they will do? Will they whimper into depression or lash out by going full communist Great Leap forward and start acting stupid regionally? View Quote |
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Had a 5 year fixed at like 3.30 6 months ish ago now its at like 2.30. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes |
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Jeez, interest rates are getting ridiculous. It's brave new world. Savers will be punished.
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Powell signals a rate cut.
https://www.cnn.com/2019/09/06/business/federal-reserve-powell-trump-recession-fears/index.html |
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Quoted:
Effects from the trade war. China devalued the yuan, this rate cut will just make it worse on them as their temporary export bump will be erased when money becomes cheaper to invest here. Don't know what will happen with export countries other than China. This is a trade war of value attrition and eventual inflation. I just wonder at what point does China's economy eventually comes off the rails? What they will do? Will they whimper into depression or lash out by going full communist Great Leap forward and start acting stupid regionally? View Quote I predict WAR. |
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I'm surprised the markets aren't up a bit.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-17/new-york-fed-announces-operation-to-ease-money-market-rates |
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Time for a loan to pay for more Beanie Babies! ...or maybe a 97 month car loan.
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I literally closed on a house yesterday...
ETA Car will be paid off in a couple months. Guess now is a good time to start shopping for a new ride. |
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In the process of OT buying a house. Hopefully rates keep dropping and I can get a very low rate
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I'm surprised the markets aren't up a bit. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-09-17/new-york-fed-announces-operation-to-ease-money-market-rates View Quote Repo chaos can be a big deal depending on what's driving it. |
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Can't answer that but I hope there is a revolution and the commies are gone. View Quote Naturally Satan wants it in his "global government". My guess would be the more desperate they get the closer we are to that day. |
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Japan is a good study....they basically had the same thing we had in the 90s instead of the 2000s. We are just 10-20 years behind them....there are a tremendous amount a parallels to be drawn View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Blame Trump for lowered interest rates and cheap money. Study Japan and the Japanese reaction. It's one reason why the Japanese have bought a lot of home safes and gold. We are just 10-20 years behind them....there are a tremendous amount a parallels to be drawn Do our differences matter? Immigration. Culture of accepting wide amounts of diversity including destructive behavior. Others? |
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My grandmother is 98 and she still lives off the money she made when interest rates on CDs were 18%. Was good to her. She already had a paid for home/land. Lived off just what she ate, lived in a low cost area.
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They need to go up, not down. View Quote |
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The "Red Dragon" figures prominently in "end times" prophecy...communism is the govt of Hell on earth. Naturally Satan wants it in his "global government". My guess would be the more desperate they get the closer we are to that day. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Can't answer that but I hope there is a revolution and the commies are gone. Naturally Satan wants it in his "global government". My guess would be the more desperate they get the closer we are to that day. |
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Speaking for myself, because I have no debt and money in the bank. Guess I should buy a house I can barely afford. View Quote Trump wants you to spend your money. Doesn't matter on what, just that you not hoard it any longer, so your dollars pump up the economic numbers and he looks good for reelection. |
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because while it's lots of fun to be a borrower when rates are low, there are certain parts of our economy that depend on interest rates around the 5-8% range to be economically viable. Examples include pension funds, insurance companies, re-insurance companies, and other financial entities that simply cannot have all of their assets exposed to stock market fluctuations because of how they are regulated. Pension funds and insurance companies have to have a certain amount of their assets available to pay current benefits NOW, and they cannot have 100% or even a majority of their assets in the stock market where the value can plunge yet their current benefit payment requirements remain the same. For example, IIRC, life insurance companies have to have something like 70% of their investments be placed in extremely non-volatile stuff like CDs, bonds, etc.
Plus, when rates are this low for this long, it pulls future demand forward. So you get a surge of buying stuff on credit, which is nice NOW, but is not so nice when people don't buy stuff on credit because (a) interest rates rise or (b) the consumer is tapped out. Example: I worked on the sidelines of the auto industry in the mid-late 2000s, interest rates were relatively low and instead of buying a new car every 4-5 years, lots of people were buying a new car every 18 months and rolling the negative equity from their trade-in into the loan on the new car -- and in some cases THAT trade-in's loan had negative equity from the car before that (I actually saw someone with a $54,000 loan balance on a $40,000 vehicle due to that). That meant that they rapidly reached a point where they either (a) stayed in that vehicle for much longer than normal or (b) sold it and bought a used beater. Either way, instead of selling a new car to that person every 4-5 years, the auto industry sold a new car to that person 2-3 times in 5 years then sold nothing to that person for 7-8 years. |
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Quoted: because while it's lots of fun to be a borrower when rates are low, there are certain parts of our economy that depend on interest rates around the 5-8% range to be economically viable. Examples include pension funds, insurance companies, re-insurance companies, and other financial entities that simply cannot have all of their assets exposed to stock market fluctuations. Plus, when rates are this low for this long, it pulls future demand forward. So you get a surge of buying stuff on credit, which is nice NOW, but is not so nice when people don't buy stuff on credit because (a) interest rates rise or (b) the consumer is tapped out. Example: I worked on the sidelines of the auto industry in the mid-late 2000s, interest rates were relatively low and instead of buying a new car every 4-5 years, lots of people were buying a new car every 18 months and rolling the negative equity from their trade-in into the loan on the new car -- and in some cases THAT trade-in's loan had negative equity from the car before that (I actually saw someone with a $54,000 loan balance on a $40,000 vehicle due to that). That meant that they rapidly reached a point where they either (a) stayed in that vehicle for much longer than normal or (b) sold it and bought a used beater. Either way, instead of selling a new car to that person every 4-5 years, the auto industry sold a new car to that person 2-3 times in 5 years then sold nothing to that person for 7-8 years. View Quote |
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Just wonderful. Refinanced my car payment last week. 800+ credit score only got me a 3.5% down from 4.99%. Should of waitd.
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@midcap Do our differences matter? Immigration. Culture of accepting wide amounts of diversity including destructive behavior. Others? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Blame Trump for lowered interest rates and cheap money. Study Japan and the Japanese reaction. It's one reason why the Japanese have bought a lot of home safes and gold. We are just 10-20 years behind them....there are a tremendous amount a parallels to be drawn Do our differences matter? Immigration. Culture of accepting wide amounts of diversity including destructive behavior. Others? |
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