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Link Posted: 9/18/2019 10:09:54 AM EST
[#1]
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Quoted:
Not good for Trump 2020
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It actually is good for Trump 2020 because it will boost the economy for the short term.

It’s not good for America 2040 tho.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 10:12:17 AM EST
[#2]
The wheels are slowly coming off.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 10:18:56 AM EST
[#3]
Lower rates just means I can fund more shit for less. Bring back 1.5% 84 month car notes! If I’m gonna watch the world burn it will be from a Napa leather seat in my $70k truck with three coats of ceramic coating on it so I stand out in the Costco parking lot.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 10:31:26 AM EST
[#4]
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Quoted:
Lower rates just means I can fund more shit for less. Bring back 1.5% 84 month car notes! If I’m gonna watch the world burn it will be from a Napa leather seat in my $70k truck with three coats of ceramic coating on it so I stand out in the Costco parking lot.
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My man.

We’re on the verge of needing a new car anyway. Considering some companies are already offering 0 for 72 I can’t wait to see what they come up with next.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 10:35:05 AM EST
[#5]
Anyone checked to see how this has affected the 15 and 30 yr mortgage rates?
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 10:37:29 AM EST
[#6]
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Quoted:
Anyone checked to see how this has affected the 15 and 30 yr mortgage rates?
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I was looking into refinance rates and 15 was 3.25 at my local bank. I think the 30 was 3.8 or something.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 10:40:14 AM EST
[#7]
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Quoted:

I was looking into refinance rates and 15 was 3.25 at my local bank. I think the 30 was 3.8 or something.
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Yep. Looking at refi right now. Quoted out 3.5% for 30. That's cheap cheap money.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 10:41:20 AM EST
[#8]
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Quoted:
My man.

We’re on the verge of needing a new car anyway. Considering some companies are already offering 0 for 72 I can’t wait to see what they come up with next.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Lower rates just means I can fund more shit for less. Bring back 1.5% 84 month car notes! If I’m gonna watch the world burn it will be from a Napa leather seat in my $70k truck with three coats of ceramic coating on it so I stand out in the Costco parking lot.
My man.

We’re on the verge of needing a new car anyway. Considering some companies are already offering 0 for 72 I can’t wait to see what they come up with next.
0 for 72? Ahhhh ya. But we can do better! I want a truck and I feel like the timing is gonna come for some biggly deals on premium trucks soon.  Maybe we can see negative interest car notes.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 10:43:20 AM EST
[#9]
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Quoted:
Yep. Looking at refi right now. Quoted out 3.5% for 30. That's cheap cheap money.
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Quoted:

I was looking into refinance rates and 15 was 3.25 at my local bank. I think the 30 was 3.8 or something.
Yep. Looking at refi right now. Quoted out 3.5% for 30. That's cheap cheap money.
We refi last month on a 30 year, 3.505 APR.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 11:42:26 AM EST
[#10]
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Quoted:

Yep. Looking at refi right now. Quoted out 3.5% for 30. That's cheap cheap money.
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Do you think those rates are reflecting what the fed announced? Or will it take a day or two to see the new rates?
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 11:44:47 AM EST
[#11]
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Quoted:
negative interest rates soon
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Is that even possible?

Will there be a day when we get PAID to take out a loan?!
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 11:50:12 AM EST
[#12]
Welcome to an economy that is predicated on financial idiocy. Gotta keep enabling financial retards to make retarded financial decisions with borrowed money, otherwise those consumer spending numbers aren't gonna be pretty... God forbid we discourage reckless borrowing on the personal and governmental levels via higher interest rates.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 11:50:12 AM EST
[#13]
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Quoted:
Do you think those rates are reflecting what the fed announced? Or will it take a day or two to see the new rates?
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Quoted:
Yep. Looking at refi right now. Quoted out 3.5% for 30. That's cheap cheap money.
Do you think those rates are reflecting what the fed announced? Or will it take a day or two to see the new rates?
There's a lag.  Takes more than a day or two.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 11:50:45 AM EST
[#14]
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Quoted:
Is that even possible?

Will there be a day when we get PAID to take out a loan?!
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Quoted:
Quoted:
negative interest rates soon
Is that even possible?

Will there be a day when we get PAID to take out a loan?!
Not for us.

It works the other way and is where they want the pressure. You get paid less than what you deposited in your savings. Which causes people to shift to other investment classes chasing returns.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 11:51:25 AM EST
[#15]
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Quoted:

Is that even possible?

Will there be a day when we get PAID to take out a loan?!
View Quote
WE won't. Banks and governments will.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 11:53:25 AM EST
[#16]
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Can't answer that but I hope there is a revolution and the commies are gone.
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Effects from the trade war.

China devalued the yuan, this rate cut will just make it worse on them as their temporary export bump will be erased when money becomes cheaper to invest here. Don't know what will happen with export countries other than China.

This is a trade war of value attrition and eventual inflation. I just wonder at what point does China's economy eventually comes off the rails? What they will do? Will they whimper into depression or lash out by going full communist Great Leap forward and start acting stupid regionally?
Can't answer that but I hope there is a revolution and the commies are gone.
Who will run China when the Chinese are gone, though?
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 11:53:27 AM EST
[#17]
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Everyone forgets those 2010-2015 interest rate years.
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I don't. I refinanced my house to 3.25%.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 11:58:13 AM EST
[#18]
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Quoted:
Do you think those rates are reflecting what the fed announced? Or will it take a day or two to see the new rates?
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Quoted:

Yep. Looking at refi right now. Quoted out 3.5% for 30. That's cheap cheap money.
Do you think those rates are reflecting what the fed announced? Or will it take a day or two to see the new rates?
Markets are forward looking.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:01:28 PM EST
[#19]
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Quoted:
The wheels are slowly coming off.
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Any guesses as to the repos? ETA: rates were running at 4% prior to the Fed repo.

https://apps.newyorkfed.org/markets/autorates/temp

For the non-finance people, the Fed getting involved with repos can be benign in that lots of market forces coincidentally cause disruptions in banking money flow, or not so benign in that the Fed will eventually lose control of interest rates, causing... chaos
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:01:50 PM EST
[#20]
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What, you don't like accelerating asset prices and NIRP on the horizon?

Trump wants you to spend your money. Doesn't matter on what, just that you not hoard it any longer, so your dollars pump up the economic numbers and he looks good for reelection.
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Quoted:

Speaking for myself, because I have no debt and money in the bank.

Guess I should buy a house I can barely afford.  
What, you don't like accelerating asset prices and NIRP on the horizon?

Trump wants you to spend your money. Doesn't matter on what, just that you not hoard it any longer, so your dollars pump up the economic numbers and he looks good for reelection.
I'm a blow it all at Walmart & Harbor Freight!

At least the Rick Flair Theory of Infinite Money Velocity will be more entertaining than plain old deflationary depression.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:03:44 PM EST
[#21]
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because while it's lots of fun to be a borrower when rates are low, there are certain parts of our economy that depend on interest rates around the 5-8% range to be economically viable.  Examples include pension funds, insurance companies, re-insurance companies, and other financial entities that simply cannot have all of their assets exposed to stock market fluctuations because of how they are regulated.  Pension funds and insurance companies have to have a certain amount of their assets available to pay current benefits NOW, and they cannot have 100% or even a majority of their assets in the stock market where the value can plunge yet their current benefit payment requirements remain the same.  For example, IIRC, life insurance companies have to have something like 70% of their investments be placed in extremely non-volatile stuff like CDs, bonds, etc.

Plus, when rates are this low for this long, it pulls future demand forward.  So you get a surge of buying stuff on credit, which is nice NOW, but is not so nice when people don't buy stuff on credit because (a) interest rates rise or (b) the consumer is tapped out.

Example:  I worked on the sidelines of the auto industry in the mid-late 2000s, interest rates were relatively low and instead of buying a new car every 4-5 years, lots of people were buying a new car every 18 months and rolling the negative equity from their trade-in into the loan on the new car -- and in some cases THAT trade-in's loan had negative equity from the car before that (I actually saw someone with a $54,000 loan balance on a $40,000 vehicle due to that).  That meant that they rapidly reached a point where they either (a) stayed in that vehicle for much longer than normal or (b) sold it and bought a used beater.  Either way, instead of selling a new car to that person every 4-5 years, the auto industry sold a new car to that person  2-3 times in 5 years then sold nothing to that person for 7-8 years.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
They need to go up, not down.
And why is that?
because while it's lots of fun to be a borrower when rates are low, there are certain parts of our economy that depend on interest rates around the 5-8% range to be economically viable.  Examples include pension funds, insurance companies, re-insurance companies, and other financial entities that simply cannot have all of their assets exposed to stock market fluctuations because of how they are regulated.  Pension funds and insurance companies have to have a certain amount of their assets available to pay current benefits NOW, and they cannot have 100% or even a majority of their assets in the stock market where the value can plunge yet their current benefit payment requirements remain the same.  For example, IIRC, life insurance companies have to have something like 70% of their investments be placed in extremely non-volatile stuff like CDs, bonds, etc.

Plus, when rates are this low for this long, it pulls future demand forward.  So you get a surge of buying stuff on credit, which is nice NOW, but is not so nice when people don't buy stuff on credit because (a) interest rates rise or (b) the consumer is tapped out.

Example:  I worked on the sidelines of the auto industry in the mid-late 2000s, interest rates were relatively low and instead of buying a new car every 4-5 years, lots of people were buying a new car every 18 months and rolling the negative equity from their trade-in into the loan on the new car -- and in some cases THAT trade-in's loan had negative equity from the car before that (I actually saw someone with a $54,000 loan balance on a $40,000 vehicle due to that).  That meant that they rapidly reached a point where they either (a) stayed in that vehicle for much longer than normal or (b) sold it and bought a used beater.  Either way, instead of selling a new car to that person every 4-5 years, the auto industry sold a new car to that person  2-3 times in 5 years then sold nothing to that person for 7-8 years.
Oh, they can get all the hedging they need using US Treasury Bonds; in fact, mandate it so as to guarantee they remain solvent

Government problems require government solutions
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:05:57 PM EST
[#22]
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Quoted:
Just wonderful. Refinanced my car payment last week. 800+ credit score only got me a 3.5% down from 4.99%. Should of waitd.
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Shud of got a shorter term loan.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:06:36 PM EST
[#23]
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Quoted:
The wheels are slowly coming off.
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The wheels come off slowly at first, then quickly.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:07:10 PM EST
[#24]
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Quoted:
Shud of got a shorter term loan.
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Quoted:
Just wonderful. Refinanced my car payment last week. 800+ credit score only got me a 3.5% down from 4.99%. Should of waitd.
Shud of got a shorter term loan.
Yeah geez. Last car I financed was 1.75% through my credit union.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:07:58 PM EST
[#25]
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Quoted:
My man.

We’re on the verge of needing a new car anyway. Considering some companies are already offering 0 for 72 I can’t wait to see what they come up with next.
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Lower rates just means I can fund more shit for less. Bring back 1.5% 84 month car notes! If I’m gonna watch the world burn it will be from a Napa leather seat in my $70k truck with three coats of ceramic coating on it so I stand out in the Costco parking lot.
My man.

We’re on the verge of needing a new car anyway. Considering some companies are already offering 0 for 72 I can’t wait to see what they come up with next.
Wait till Trump nukes some CAFE regs, though.

Don't want to be caught with a broken EVAP sensor during the boogaloo, do you?
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:15:16 PM EST
[#26]
Just refi’d house to 3.25 (30yr). Can’t see it going much lower than that for a 30yr...  though it if it somehow drops another half point or so, I’ll refi again if the paid points are right.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:17:48 PM EST
[#27]
It may be nice for most now, but it sucks for those like me that are doing the lending (bonds, ...). When you get to a certain age you generally want to get more conservative.

When young you borrow. When old you lend. Usually.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:18:02 PM EST
[#28]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
0 for 72? Ahhhh ya. But we can do better! I want a truck and I feel like the timing is gonna come for some biggly deals on premium trucks soon.  Maybe we can see negative interest car notes.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Lower rates just means I can fund more shit for less. Bring back 1.5% 84 month car notes! If I’m gonna watch the world burn it will be from a Napa leather seat in my $70k truck with three coats of ceramic coating on it so I stand out in the Costco parking lot.
My man.

We’re on the verge of needing a new car anyway. Considering some companies are already offering 0 for 72 I can’t wait to see what they come up with next.
0 for 72? Ahhhh ya. But we can do better! I want a truck and I feel like the timing is gonna come for some biggly deals on premium trucks soon.  Maybe we can see negative interest car notes.
Negative interest rates on truck loans make me all tingly feeling in the checking account.

Toyota had a 0 for 60 a year or so ago and I almost pulled the trigger then. If they do a 0 for 72 I may go full retard and pimp out a Tacoma TRD Pro for me and a Land Cruiser for the wife.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:19:11 PM EST
[#29]
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Quoted:
Is that even possible?

Will there be a day when we get PAID to take out a loan?!
View Quote View All Quotes
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
negative interest rates soon
Is that even possible?

Will there be a day when we get PAID to take out a loan?!
A lot of the world is already there.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:22:58 PM EST
[#30]
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Quoted:
Speaking for myself, because I have no debt and money in the bank.

Guess I should buy a house I can barely afford.  
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Quoted:
Quoted:
They need to go up, not down.
And why is that?
Speaking for myself, because I have no debt and money in the bank.

Guess I should buy a house I can barely afford.  
Get a HELOC, draw it to the hilt, use it to buy good dividend stocks.

$$$$$

Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:23:44 PM EST
[#31]
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:27:08 PM EST
[#32]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Get a HELOC, draw it to the hilt, use it to buy good dividend stocks.
$$$$$
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Speaking for myself, because I have no debt and money in the bank.
Guess I should buy a house I can barely afford.  
Get a HELOC, draw it to the hilt, use it to buy good dividend stocks.
$$$$$
I want to gamble my house on the ponies!!
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 12:29:20 PM EST
[#33]
You should buy a boat.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 1:27:02 PM EST
[#34]
25bps cut today.  Surprising the Fed is helping GEOTUS.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 1:30:55 PM EST
[#35]
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Quoted:
25bps cut today.  Surprising the Fed is helping GEOTUS.
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I'm not surprised.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 1:32:49 PM EST
[#36]
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Quoted:
How did we get out of our great depression?

I predict WAR.
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Quoted:
Effects from the trade war.

China devalued the yuan, this rate cut will just make it worse on them as their temporary export bump will be erased when money becomes cheaper to invest here. Don't know what will happen with export countries other than China.

This is a trade war of value attrition and eventual inflation. I just wonder at what point does China's economy eventually comes off the rails? What they will do? Will they whimper into depression or lash out by going full communist Great Leap forward and start acting stupid regionally?
How did we get out of our great depression?

I predict WAR.
War financed with increasing the national debt.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 1:32:55 PM EST
[#37]
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 1:46:37 PM EST
[#38]
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Quoted:
Can't answer that but I hope there is a revolution and the commies are gone.
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Effects from the trade war.

China devalued the yuan, this rate cut will just make it worse on them as their temporary export bump will be erased when money becomes cheaper to invest here. Don't know what will happen with export countries other than China.

This is a trade war of value attrition and eventual inflation. I just wonder at what point does China's economy eventually comes off the rails? What they will do? Will they whimper into depression or lash out by going full communist Great Leap forward and start acting stupid regionally?
Can't answer that but I hope there is a revolution and the commies are gone.
I wish for that too, but it's tough for citizens (or subjects in China's case) to pull off a revolt against a well armed government without guns.  How long did the Venezuelan rebellion last after Guaido failed to gain military backing?  Maybe 5 minutes?
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 1:51:46 PM EST
[#39]
Everything is GREAT!
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 1:52:29 PM EST
[#40]
Lol at the markets panic over the idea of no more cuts.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 1:54:33 PM EST
[#41]
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Quoted:
The wheels are slowly coming off.
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“How did you go bankrupt?"
Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly.”

? Ernest Hemingway, The Sun Also Rises

Watch out for that transition from slowly to suddenly, it's a killer.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 1:58:37 PM EST
[#42]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Lower rates just means I can fund more shit for less. Bring back 1.5% 84 month car notes! If I’m gonna watch the world burn it will be from a Napa leather seat in my $70k truck with three coats of ceramic coating on it so I stand out in the Costco parking lot.
View Quote
Holy fuck, were they really that low?
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 1:58:46 PM EST
[#43]
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Quoted:
I'm not surprised.
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7 are calling for a further cut.  They may be back at 0 in a few years.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 2:01:00 PM EST
[#44]
Should I refinance then? I'm at 5.5% from 2002. Might be worth it.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 2:01:50 PM EST
[#45]
I just wrote a first mortgage at 5% with a balloon after 60 months on a house I sold in June.

That's looking like a good decision now.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 2:02:03 PM EST
[#46]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

Negative interest rates on truck loans make me all tingly feeling in the checking account.

Toyota had a 0 for 60 a year or so ago and I almost pulled the trigger then. If they do a 0 for 72 I may go full retard and pimp out a Tacoma TRD Pro for me and a Land Cruiser for the wife.
View Quote
Toyota has 0% for 60 right now, excluding TRD Pro models. That's for the Tundra at least, I haven't looked at other models.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 2:02:15 PM EST
[#47]
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Holy crap, you shouldn’t be paying anywhere near that.

I’m paying 2.8 on a 5 year note.
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Quoted:
Just wonderful. Refinanced my car payment last week. 800+ credit score only got me a 3.5% down from 4.99%. Should of waitd.
Holy crap, you shouldn’t be paying anywhere near that.

I’m paying 2.8 on a 5 year note.
2.35 on a 5 year.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 2:03:21 PM EST
[#48]
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Quoted:
Yep. Looking at refi right now. Quoted out 3.5% for 30. That's cheap cheap money.
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Quoted:

I was looking into refinance rates and 15 was 3.25 at my local bank. I think the 30 was 3.8 or something.
Yep. Looking at refi right now. Quoted out 3.5% for 30. That's cheap cheap money.
Mine is 3.02%.

Shit really has to get bad for it to be worthwhile to refi.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 2:07:29 PM EST
[#49]
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Mine is 3.02%.

Shit really has to get bad for it to be worthwhile to refi.
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That's an outstanding rate.

I remember when the bullshit HAMP program got kicked off, and people were getting 2% rates. They'd still bitch about their payments not being affordable or the rate too high.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 2:08:31 PM EST
[#50]
This is good for me. Since wife decided to divorce me and is leaving, I need to refinance my house in my name to remove her. A lower interest rate on a conventional loan will be beneficial to me in the long run.
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