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Posted: 6/29/2024 4:19:27 PM EDT
[#1]
Quote HistoryQuoted: There are a lot of people in that potential path. Mostly poor people. Of color.  It's pretty much guaranteed they will see tropical storm action on a regular basis. They have a grasp of what happens, because it happens a lot. |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 4:28:58 PM EDT
[#2]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Them crackers in the middle sure look yummy! https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/301438/IMG_8155_jpeg-3253407.JPG It's a pop tart. |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 4:36:32 PM EDT
[#3]
Hurricane now
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Posted: 6/29/2024 4:45:46 PM EDT
[#4]
Quote HistoryQuoted: All that laying around in the sun and you couldn't even sneak us a glimpse of your old lady's legs? What the fuck?!?!? Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: And me and my wife. We are a bit south of Cancun now until July 9th. Last few days have been spectacular. The combination to my gun safe is ****. Help yourselves boys. I've already informed the resort staff that my safe space will be in the liquor bunker. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/312702/IMG_2634_jpeg-3253351.JPG All that laying around in the sun and you couldn't even sneak us a glimpse of your old lady's legs? What the fuck?!?!? |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 4:45:53 PM EDT
[#5]
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Posted: 6/29/2024 4:48:49 PM EDT
[#6]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Her 64.9 year old legs? I don't want permabanned. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: And me and my wife. We are a bit south of Cancun now until July 9th. Last few days have been spectacular. The combination to my gun safe is ****. Help yourselves boys. I've already informed the resort staff that my safe space will be in the liquor bunker. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/312702/IMG_2634_jpeg-3253351.JPG All that laying around in the sun and you couldn't even sneak us a glimpse of your old lady's legs? What the fuck?!?!? LMAO. You argue a compelling case and I will yield to you on this matter. |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 4:49:09 PM EDT
[#7]
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Posted: 6/29/2024 4:51:49 PM EDT
[#8]
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Posted: 6/29/2024 4:52:32 PM EDT
[#9]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Them crackers in the middle sure look yummy! https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/301438/IMG_8155_jpeg-3253407.JPG Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Cheap Hurricane Food Them crackers in the middle sure look yummy! https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/301438/IMG_8155_jpeg-3253407.JPG I have cases of the FEMA “MRE’s” leftover from the storm last year. They’re surprisingly good - I like some of them better than I liked the ones we had in the Army. There’s only like three variations though, and no mini Tabasco. |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 4:57:04 PM EDT
[#10]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I have cases of the FEMA “MRE’s” leftover from the storm last year. They’re surprisingly good - I like some of them better than I liked the ones we had in the Army. There’s only like three variations though, and no mini Tabasco. They actually are decent tasting but do benefit from a little seasoning. They don’t include a heater though |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 5:03:09 PM EDT
[#11]
Quote HistoryQuoted: They actually are decent tasting but do benefit from a little seasoning. They don’t include a heater though Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: I have cases of the FEMA “MRE’s” leftover from the storm last year. They’re surprisingly good - I like some of them better than I liked the ones we had in the Army. There’s only like three variations though, and no mini Tabasco. They actually are decent tasting but do benefit from a little seasoning. They don’t include a heater though Mine do have a heater and even include a little mylar packet of water to activate it. They include some little paper salt and pepper packets but I agree there should be more seasoning. The heater is very similar to the military ones. The entrees though are in little plastic trays like a TV dinner with a peel-off film liner. The whole kit comes in a clear plastic bag. |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 5:05:33 PM EDT
[#12]
One model shows the potential for it to just clip the tip of Mexico. If it manages to do that and sort of bounce back into the gulf that could be interesting.
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Posted: 6/29/2024 5:06:37 PM EDT
[#13]
Quote HistoryQuoted: One model shows the potential for it to just clip the tip of Mexico. If it manages to do that and sort of bounce back into the gulf that could be interesting. The Gulf water temps are unseasonably hot right now. That’s definitely storm fuel. |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 5:08:23 PM EDT
[#14]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I hope it turns north and hits Florida.  ETA:tropicaltidbits.com for all your hurricane weather needs. Oh man, you just brought bad Karma on your whole damned State. Millions a Texans gonna be righteously pissed at Terry J. 
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Posted: 6/29/2024 5:11:10 PM EDT
[#15]
Quote HistoryQuoted: The Gulf water temps are unseasonably hot right now. That’s definitely storm fuel. Yes but none of the models have it coming very far north. I’m watching but not doing much unless Tampa ends up in the cone. Anyone know what fuel reserves are like this year? There is always a run on gasoline when the Bay Area might take a hit |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 5:14:22 PM EDT
[#16]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Yes but none of the models have it coming very far north. I’m watching but not doing much unless Tampa ends up in the cone. Anyone know what fuel reserves are like this year? There is always a run on gasoline when the Bay Area might take a hit Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: The Gulf water temps are unseasonably hot right now. That’s definitely storm fuel. Yes but none of the models have it coming very far north. I’m watching but not doing much unless Tampa ends up in the cone. Anyone know what fuel reserves are like this year? There is always a run on gasoline when the Bay Area might take a hit Judging by the relatively stable current fuel price, I’d guess there’s enough to go around right now. Just keep a couple full cans on rotation and you’ll be fine. |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 5:16:57 PM EDT
[#17]
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Posted: 6/29/2024 5:35:09 PM EDT
[#18]
Quote HistoryQuoted: The fuck you talking about Willis? My buddy east of Dallas has like 36" of rain so far this year. I have about 4-6". This mother fucker needs to head to whatever side of San Antonio that dumps the most possible rain on this big red bullseye. I can't find the most recent drought monitor, but the location is the same. North Texas is all white!!!!!! WTFBBQ?!?!?!?!?! https://www.myhighplains.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/87/2023/04/TWDB-4-11-2023-drought-monitor-map.png Abnormally dry - no. We are normally dry. If we were not dry, we would be abnormally wet. We had a fairly wet spring, did have a slightly dry June, but had 3 days of rain 2 weeks ago. Plus we have had some light showers since then. Sure we could use some rain. It is basically fucking July - we always need rain in July. But grass is green and growing like mad right now - far from "abnormally dry". I have 2 other properties that are in moderate drought in that map - both got 6+ inches of rain less than 2 weeks ago. |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 5:51:35 PM EDT
[#19]
Quote HistoryQuoted: There are a lot of people in that potential path. Mostly poor people. Of color  |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 5:59:28 PM EDT
[#20]
I’ve been reading the Lake Livingston dam has damage to the spillway from the rains we had in May and June. If it heads this way, it might get interesting around here.
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Posted: 6/29/2024 6:11:45 PM EDT
[#21]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Honestly, I’m more surprised that Chokey posted this and not Texas-Home-Server. |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 6:21:20 PM EDT
[#22]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Judging by the relatively stable current fuel price, I’d guess there’s enough to go around right now. Just keep a couple full cans on rotation and you’ll be fine. I typically over prepare if you ask my wife. 10 gallons of non ETOH at all times (except when the 16 year old snatches it for the jet ski). I’ll bump that up to 50 plus gallons of pump gas if we have any significant chance of an impact. Stabilizer in the fuel if so and just use it in the cars after the threat has passed. I haven’t run my 13K at full load for any length of time but it could easily burn 10 gallons a day if we have the AC etc going |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 6:35:25 PM EDT
[#23]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I typically over prepare if you ask my wife. 10 gallons of non ETOH at all times (except when the 16 year old snatches it for the jet ski). I’ll bump that up to 50 plus gallons of pump gas if we have any significant chance of an impact. Stabilizer in the fuel if so and just use it in the cars after the threat has passed. I haven’t run my 13K at full load for any length of time but it could easily burn 10 gallons a day if we have the AC etc going Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Judging by the relatively stable current fuel price, I’d guess there’s enough to go around right now. Just keep a couple full cans on rotation and you’ll be fine. I typically over prepare if you ask my wife. 10 gallons of non ETOH at all times (except when the 16 year old snatches it for the jet ski). I’ll bump that up to 50 plus gallons of pump gas if we have any significant chance of an impact. Stabilizer in the fuel if so and just use it in the cars after the threat has passed. I haven’t run my 13K at full load for any length of time but it could easily burn 10 gallons a day if we have the AC etc going Yeah with a genset that big, for sure just stock up on pump gas. I’m a cheap bastard so I run the fridge and a window unit on a 212cc 3550w, and lights/TV/chargers on a 2500w inverter unit. I couldn’t burn up more than 5 gallons a day if I tried. IME you can get out and buy more gas by Day 3. If things looked real dire I’d just start siphoning out of my offshore boat - should keep me in gen power for at least a month or so… Something I do that I don’t see people talk about much is using deep cycle batteries with DC inverter for low-draw appliances like chargers and computers. I have a bunch of trolling motor batteries and a couple of those with a full charge could charge a cell phone or a rechargeable flashlight about 100 times. |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 7:45:05 PM EDT
[#24]
Don’t forget there’s a big bunch of Saharan dust coming across right now too.
Let your DOOMTM intensify or subside as you see fit. |
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Posted: 6/29/2024 10:54:50 PM EDT
[#25]
Interesting that it is "predicted" to quickly become a major hurricane then drops to a Category 1 or 2 while still over supposedly warm water.
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Posted: 6/29/2024 11:01:19 PM EDT
[#26]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Interesting that it is "predicted" to quickly become a major hurricane then drops to a Category 1 or 2 while still over supposedly warm water. there's supposed to be some wind shear later in the week. |
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Posted: 6/30/2024 6:42:04 AM EDT
[#27]
Quote HistoryQuoted: there's supposed to be some wind shear later in the week. You should have started a new thread to discuss the shear. You have some big shoes to fill, so tighten up. 
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Posted: 6/30/2024 6:45:58 AM EDT
[#28]
Quote HistoryQuoted: There are a lot of people in that potential path. Mostly poor people. Of color. The Biden/ Harris weather machine hates PoCs. |
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Posted: 6/30/2024 7:02:26 AM EDT
[#29]
Now to quickly become a Cat 3 and then Cat 4.
Too early to tell, but one spaghetti noodle has it going into the Atlantic coast and one out in the Gulf. If it wobbles to the north, it looks like another Harvey. |
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Posted: 6/30/2024 7:41:18 AM EDT
[#30]
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Posted: 6/30/2024 7:41:56 AM EDT
[#31]
Here is a link to some surface temperature maps (from Rutgers U). You can use the settings at the top to find recent history.
https://marine.rutgers.edu/cool/data/satellites/imagery/?product=sst ion=gulfmexico humbs=0 Not sure what "warm" means in context of fueling a hurricane but looking at January vs today it seems like the water is pretty warm. Look at the color bar on the right, the day to day is no absolute for the color, each map is calibrated for the range displayed on the graphic. |
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Posted: 6/30/2024 7:44:20 AM EDT
[#32]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Now to quickly become a Cat 3 and then Cat 4. Too early to tell, but one spaghetti noodle has it going into the Atlantic coast and one out in the Gulf. If it wobbles to the north, it looks like another Harvey. Not seeing that. Link?  Attached File |
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Posted: 6/30/2024 7:45:47 AM EDT
[#33]
8:00 AM AST Sun Jun 30 Location: 10.6°N 53.9°W Moving: W at 21 mph Min pressure: 968 mb Max sustained: 115 mph |
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Posted: 6/30/2024 7:46:50 AM EDT
[#34]
The system BEHIND this one is more likely to impact CONUS (as of now, it’s early)
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Posted: 6/30/2024 7:46:51 AM EDT
[#35]
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Posted: 6/30/2024 7:48:16 AM EDT
[#36]
This storm is getting strong fast and moving at 21mph or so. Hopefully it burns out fast by the time it hits the gulf.
 Attached File |
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Posted: 6/30/2024 7:49:36 AM EDT
[#37]
It is now a major hurricane.
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Posted: 6/30/2024 7:53:21 AM EDT
[#38]
The Bamm models are sniffing out a turn to the right at the very end of the run.
The Bamm models are good for just one thing and thats predicting if theres going to be a turn at the end of the run window. They operate off of very limited data of upper air current flows. |
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Posted: 6/30/2024 8:42:06 AM EDT
[#39]
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Posted: 6/30/2024 8:44:42 AM EDT
[#40]
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Posted: 6/30/2024 8:58:29 AM EDT
[#41]
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Posted: 6/30/2024 10:01:58 AM EDT
[#42]
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Posted: 6/30/2024 10:06:45 AM EDT
[#43]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
That is Doom Lite. I like my Doom Dark and Stormy. More sizzle, more POP. Something that mixes asteroids, labor shortages, fresh water sharks and rabies. |
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Posted: 6/30/2024 10:48:58 AM EDT
[#44]
11:00 AM AST Sun Jun 30
Location: 10.7°N 54.9°W Moving: W at 21 mph Min pressure: 964 mb Max sustained: 120 mph |
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Posted: 6/30/2024 11:44:42 AM EDT
[#45]
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Posted: 6/30/2024 11:45:09 AM EDT
[#46]
 
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Posted: 6/30/2024 12:25:40 PM EDT
[#47]
 Morning Update on Hurricane Beryl from NHC in Miami, FL (June 30, 2024) |
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Posted: 6/30/2024 3:48:08 PM EDT
[#48]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Bullshit. Until Franky MacDonald says so, this is a lie!  Hurricane Beryl to Hit Jamaica on Wednesday July 3, 2024 |
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Posted: 7/1/2024 7:55:15 AM EDT
[#49]
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Posted: 7/1/2024 8:38:27 AM EDT
[#50]
Quote HistoryQuoted: These islands are going to get whacked https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/136311/8B427499-82D3-42C7-9F65-824DD4786A47_png-3255065.JPG 
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