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Link Posted: 8/25/2019 8:49:33 PM EDT
[#1]
Headed to the DR in a month, looks like this may smack them straight on. Here’s hoping this fizzles out...
Link Posted: 8/25/2019 8:51:54 PM EDT
[#2]
Florida has had enough rain this year. Kthxbai.
Link Posted: 8/25/2019 8:52:23 PM EDT
[#3]
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Quoted:
Me and my Floridian Arfcommers are always ready to battle the storm.

IN!!!
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Yep, we have everything we need. We're set if the power goes out. I have enough gas for the generator for 6 days. Hopefully some stations somewhere will be open by then if the power is still out.
Link Posted: 8/25/2019 8:53:00 PM EDT
[#4]
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Quoted:
this storm is going to be huge, we have 3 threads about it.
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Ha ha... must be the new method of calling dupe since the new rules kicked in.
Link Posted: 8/25/2019 8:55:04 PM EDT
[#5]
the center of the spaghetti models places it on a frances/jeanne track (from 2004)

i better run to the store and buy bread and water.
Link Posted: 8/25/2019 9:56:52 PM EDT
[#6]
Has it hitting the DR and dropping it back to a depression. Projections are unclear yet whether it will consolidate/re-intensify once it comes back over water, but as of now it look like it will be a weak storm by the time it reaches Florida, if that is where it ends up.








Link Posted: 8/25/2019 10:06:51 PM EDT
[#7]
Noticed that the HWF1 has it at a cat 3 5.5 days from now. If you look at the spaghetti track for that model that is because that model has it not hitting land, and staying in the water to the east of the DR and West of Puerto Rico.
That would put it at a cat 3, 2 days out from the Florida coast and heading towards southeast Florida. Let's hope that one doesn't happen.
Link Posted: 8/25/2019 10:07:15 PM EDT
[#8]
Dorian Steady for Now Will Impact Windward Islands Late Monday and Tuesday


Hurricane Outlook and Discussion: August 25, 2019
Link Posted: 8/25/2019 11:03:53 PM EDT
[#9]
Well, at least if Dorian swings a bit north as a Cat 1/2 the west half of PR will only lose power for 3-4 weeks.
Link Posted: 8/25/2019 11:26:29 PM EDT
[#10]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Come on CT!!!

I love storms.   I nearly cried when the power went back on after Sandy
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8 days and I know what you mean.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 5:28:54 AM EDT
[#11]
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Quoted:
8 days and I know what you mean.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Come on CT!!!

I love storms.   I nearly cried when the power went back on after Sandy
8 days and I know what you mean.
Then we went 9days or something with those tornadoes last year.

It's like the trifecta of fun.  No power, i get to use my stove collection & chainsaw

I have no generator or need for one.  Well water but we got so many springs I just get it there.

Not to say I wish harm on others just to have my own fun. But I do find them enjoyable
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 6:39:08 AM EDT
[#12]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
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Lucky for PR they've got all that abandoned and wasted pre-positioned water!

https://neonnettle.com/news/images/water-bottles-rotting-puerto-rico-bash-trump-114918.jpg
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Link Posted: 8/26/2019 6:39:52 AM EDT
[#13]
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I better not was any evidence away from pedo island.
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Drunk or auto-correct?
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 6:45:50 AM EDT
[#14]
Florida is in the danger zone.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 6:48:36 AM EDT
[#15]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

Storm surge is always nasty. Thats why I  live 8 miles inland
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I live plenty far from the shore, Irma sucked. I was in central FL in 04 and those storms weren't as bad as Irma.
Everywhere Irma went, sucked.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 8:56:07 AM EDT
[#16]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
The aftermath at your place on the north end of Big Pine?
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 9:09:59 AM EDT
[#17]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
this storm is going to be huge, we have 3 threads about it.
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Each one more breathless than the last.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 9:31:12 AM EDT
[#18]
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 9:33:52 AM EDT
[#19]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
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The aftermath at your place on the north end of Big Pine?
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The aftermath at your place on the north end of Big Pine?
Yeah. All in, about 130-150k in damage done, also including engineering and permits to future proof for the next hurricane.

Steel roof, the bottom floor is now all engineered glass vs blow out walls, 2ft tall 1ft wide concrete break wall.  Etc.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 9:40:05 AM EDT
[#20]
These "models" aren't worth a shit for more than about two days out ---- and neither are the intensity "phorecasts".
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 10:18:36 AM EDT
[#21]
I just want to know if we are going to get fucked. It looks like we are going to get fucked. I am a shady meteorologist and have been studying the models since Saturday.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 10:56:26 AM EDT
[#22]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

I live plenty far from the shore, Irma sucked. I was in central FL in 04 and those storms weren't as bad as Irma.
Everywhere Irma went, sucked.
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Wasn't too bad in Fort Myers, basically a direct hit. Nothing like those storm surge pics where our place is. I cant imagine it was worse further inland but our place in Ft.Myers is 6.5 miles inland, you may have been closer to the coast possibly..  The loss of power and retards than cant handle traffic with no traffic signals sucked but still. We got lucky.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 10:57:50 AM EDT
[#23]
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Quoted:
Wasn't too bad in Fort Myers. Nothing like those storm surge pics where our place is.
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Quoted:

I live plenty far from the shore, Irma sucked. I was in central FL in 04 and those storms weren't as bad as Irma.
Everywhere Irma went, sucked.
Wasn't too bad in Fort Myers. Nothing like those storm surge pics where our place is.
We had about 4 feet of water.

Front side of the island, doctors elbow area had 8-12 feet.

Irma was bad for the keys.  Worst hurricane since 1934.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 11:02:31 AM EDT
[#24]
Please stay away from the panhandle, a lot of work is still needing to be done here.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 11:02:44 AM EDT
[#25]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

We had about 4 feet of water.

Front side of the island, doctors elbow area had 8-12 feet.

Irma was bad for the keys.  Worst hurricane since 1934.
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Yup, you guys got slammed good. That surge does a ton of damage. Way more then anyo of us they live in the mainland got away from the coast.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 11:03:13 AM EDT
[#26]
This shit happens multiple times a year

Why you all choose to live there is beyond me
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 11:05:27 AM EDT
[#27]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
This shit happens multiple times a year

Why you all choose to live there is beyond me
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Because I can do this in February.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 11:19:56 AM EDT
[#28]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
This shit happens multiple times a year

Why you all choose to live there is beyond me
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Snowstorms happen multiple times a year, especially last year for you guys.  Why you choose to live there is beyond me.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 12:35:42 PM EDT
[#29]
Since Im about 100 miles inland I will usually just lose power for a few days.

This year my ass is ready with a backup generator
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 12:40:51 PM EDT
[#30]
Heads up Florida. If you haven't taken care of your pre-season hurricane supplies then you better do it today. Cue the panic soon...





Link Posted: 8/26/2019 12:50:53 PM EDT
[#31]
I'll be on vacation with the family in Orlando for 10 days starting on Saturday.

So yeah, pretty sure Florida is gonna get nailed.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 12:53:26 PM EDT
[#32]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
This shit happens multiple times a year

Why you all choose to live there is beyond me
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Don't listen to the media, these storms tend not be a big deal in America because we have infrastructure strong enough to deal with it.

Places like Haiti get crushed by these storms and the media freaks out thinking the same thing will happen here, and people like you buy it. I've probably lived through 15 hurricanes and the aftermath each time has been palm fronds on my driveway & occasionally a downed power line.

Yes there can be devastating storms here like Harvey & Katrina but they are few and far between.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 1:02:43 PM EDT
[#33]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
This shit happens multiple times a year

Why you all choose to live there is beyond me
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lol
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 4:48:03 PM EDT
[#34]
I'm just glad I got notice I should be on patrol instead of a shelter.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 5:01:44 PM EDT
[#35]
if you are going to post a pic from the nhc, or sfwmd, or any other site that the image changes constantly

download the image
convert it to a format arfcom can host
host it on arfcom

images change over time, so the image isn't going to be the same after the next update occurs

no body will know what you were talking about after the images have updated  a few times
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 5:02:14 PM EDT
[#36]
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 5:04:16 PM EDT
[#37]
-good surf in Stuart by Sunday
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 5:06:07 PM EDT
[#38]
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 5:07:47 PM EDT
[#39]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
I'll be on vacation with the family in Orlando for 10 days starting on Saturday.

So yeah, pretty sure Florida is gonna get nailed.
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I doubt that Rodent World has ever closed for more than one day due to 'Canes.

Old Walt built the place far enough inland so the 'Canes (and salt air) wouldn't wreck his investment.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 5:08:57 PM EDT
[#40]
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If it’ll peter out on it’s way into the gulf and swing through Texas that’s be greeeat

We’re so fucking dry
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Speak for yourself. Southeast Texas is drenched.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 5:11:14 PM EDT
[#41]
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 5:18:12 PM EDT
[#42]
Not the labor day weekend people are gonna look forward to if it makes landfall.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 5:20:07 PM EDT
[#43]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
This shit happens multiple times a year

Why you all choose to live there is beyond me
View Quote
There is no point on earth that is immune to what people like to call "natural disasters", except for those places where the NORMAL conditions generally QUALIFY as a natural disaster.

Where hurricanes don't hit, you get blizzards and ice storms,  or earthquakes, or volcanos,  droughts, floods, locusts, tourists, illegal immigrants,  disease, pestilence, famine, gay pride parades...all sorts of nonsense.

You choose your environmental threat.  Every place has one.  What's yours?

I've been living down here for more than 40 years. I've never had storm damage to the house despite several hurricanes.  I've slept in my own bed in comfort with 100 MPH hurricane winds over my roof.   I've only actually had to do that ONCE.

More houses have been burned down due to lightning, fireworks, and smoking in bed in my county than have been destroyed due to hurricanes in the last 40 years.

The threat is really rather low.  It's just sensational when it comes.
Link Posted: 8/26/2019 8:08:59 PM EDT
[#44]
Ok, I just got back home from Harbor Freight. I bought a Predator 2000 inverter generator as a supplement to our Generac 6500, and I have a question.

Somewhere lurking deep in GD there is a GIANT generator thread. In that thread, someone posted that you can buy some type of adapter so the
Predator can operate from an external 5 gallon can.

Where can I buy this adapter if anyone knows?

Also, do you like your little Predator 2000? Have you had good service out of it?
Link Posted: 8/27/2019 2:31:10 PM EDT
[#45]
Link Posted: 8/27/2019 4:19:07 PM EDT
[#46]
It’s heading your way Jupiter.
Link Posted: 8/27/2019 4:35:12 PM EDT
[#47]
Link Posted: 8/27/2019 4:41:19 PM EDT
[#48]
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I'm suppose to go to the range this weekend
Link Posted: 8/27/2019 4:53:56 PM EDT
[#49]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
I'm suppose to go to the range this weekend
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I'm suppose to go to the range this weekend
Headed to Jeepfest in Jasper Ga. in the morning. You guys have fun with this...

The drive back might be a little wet.
Link Posted: 8/27/2019 4:54:58 PM EDT
[#50]
the system is most likely going to be a tropical storm, when it hits florida.

the local media are all in hurricane hysteria mode, telling everyone to prepare for the worse

scary stories sell.

I know, some tropical storms cause problems, like ts faye did, but I don't see much from this one, except possible tornados
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