5-0 for week 4 and my first bet for week 5:

Packers +4.5

I respectfully disagree. I don’t think that stat “means nothing.”  Even going by just the eye test Dak tends to play better late in games when it’s close.  Sometimes even when he hasn’t played well the first 3 quarters.  That stat simply supports that.  And yeah, it would be nice to not have to have any GW drives because your team is always blowing people out.

This takes a while to get through, but it’s worth the watch if you have the time.

https://twitter.com/ChicagoBears/status/1178515683342258176

Last week you said stats dont matter talking about the Seattle- Saints game and only W's matter. Which is it?

I said whether a team wins or loses is ultimately all that matters.

You can disagree if you want, but let me lay out a scenario first.

I don't remember what week Dak took over for Romo, so let's just say he was the starter that whole 2016 season. That means he would have played in 48 regular season games prior to the start of this year. The Cowboys record is 32-16 during that time span. If the info I just looked up is correct, Dak is credited with 8 4th quarter comebacks. So that means 25% of their victories were won with 4th quarter comebacks. Now, since you didn't answer any of the questions I asked () lets just say that of the games they lost, 50% were failed 4th quarter comebacks. That would put Dak at 8-8 or .500 for 4th quarter comebacks. Now if you compare Dak to Wentz, simply because they entered the league at the same time, he is credited with only 4 4th quarter comebacks. If Wentz is 4-0 in 4th quarter comebacks though, I'd much rather trust him, statistically, to win the game.

The volume of wins generated by fourth quarter comebacks doesn't matter if the ratio to losses is poor, which is why I said this stat is meaningless alone. If you push this concept to the limit, Dak could be 8-16 in 4th quarter comebacks and be in dead last for his winning percentage, but he still "has the most." He could also be at 8-0 and not only have the most, but have the best winning percentage. I really don't know as that stat doesn't seem to be just floating out there. I like Dak and overall think he is a pretty decent QB, although he is young and obviously has shown that there are areas of his game that can be improved, so I'm not trying to knock the guy at all. All I'm saying is that when you present the stat the way you did you might as well be asking the math question "If a train goes 42mph, solve for X."

Something interesting did come up when I googled Dak's 4th quarter comeback stat though. This article dived a little deeper into the stats, and despite the bias IMO it shows something interesting.

Give #17 a random drug test.

I disagree with the "keep Foles trade Wentz" theory. I also don't think any team will dominate the division.

I had the Saints as well.

Rams knocked me out of my survivor pool after losing to the Lobster thief.

Is today finally the day Gruden gets fired?

If you want to trim the runtime so people make it to the end, you shouldn't show the slow mo replay for every one.

That is the nice way to say it. There is 9 years of evidence. 80-59. .576

He’s garbage

Whenever I watch Cowboys games they talk more about Kris Richard and Kellen Moore. When they show Garrett he's either clapping or has that look on his face like he's battling a turtle head.

Lol

GW drives is a subjective stat. Sure it looks good on paper but what did the QB do? I know one of those drives Zeke broke off something like a 40yd TD run against the Steelers so that counts towards his stats. How many times was he bailed out by a long FG?

I also curious as the time of possession in the games he looks good in the 4th quarter. If you’re playing against a gassed defense the game is easier.

Are we on the Gruden watch today? DEFCON level 2 or 1?

Which one?

The one that didn't win yesterday presumably.

My English paper do by tonight 12am need a prof reader make sure As and Bs #Eng303

AB  (@AB84) September 29, 2019

Rap is saying Gruden has "supreme confidence" in Colt McCoy and is considering starting him now

From @gmfb: Why the #Redskins QB situation is more complex that it appears, especially with a healthy Colt McCoy in the mix. pic.twitter.com/1HsMOjLrL5

Ian Rapoport  (@RapSheet) September 30, 2019

I never put the Jean short/Cowboys jersey combo together until seeing this. Now that I think about it that does appear to be a fan uniform.

Shit crazy they really do all wear jean shorts RT @NFL_Memes: Cowboys fans have taken over New Orleans \uD83D\uDE33 pic.twitter.com/qGnGLoibsc

— Panda \uD83C\uDFC1 (@SameOleGee_) September 28, 2019

Hope they had fun.....and enjoyed that long walk back from the Dome.   Who Dat!?!

OBJ being OBJ...asked about the choke hold...

Jaguars intend to keep Jalen Ramsey after passing on offer of two first-round picks during ongoing trade saga

I honestly thought when I woke up this morning that there would be breaking news that he had been fired

Vontaze Burfict is facing a season-long suspension for his late conduct on field, per source.

Chris Mortensen  (@mortreport) September 30, 2019

I was under the impression one more of those kinds of hits and he was out for good? Don't quote me on that I could be misremembering...

I seem to remember that as well.

He has certainly built a nice resume for himself. I wouldn't mind seeing him perma banned.

NFL and UFC need to merge.

After each scoring play each team picks a player on the opposing team and they meet at the 50 for a single round 2 minute fight with UFC rules.

Be the end of the season teams are pulling fans out of the seats to play QB or WR.

Impressive for as many surprises and odd games there were this week.

I had the office rolling yesterday when I strolled in stretching against the walls and desks until someone finally asked me wtf I was doing.

"Getting lose just in case the Skins call me up to play QB"

Lol, they weren't beat by Bridgewater, they were beat by the Saints defense.

Jason Garrett is an average head coach, at best. The problem is that its going to be hard to find an above average head coach that is willing to work for Jerry.
I've been pleasantly surprised by Kellen Moore this year, but I don't know why we regressed back to shitty play calling last night. We have the talent to win games.

I agree

#Raiders LB Vontaze Burfict has been suspended for the rest of the season.

Ian Rapoport  (@RapSheet) September 30, 2019

Edit: It is the longest suspension for an on-field act in NFL history. Albert Haynesworth was suspended five games for kicking, then stomping on Cowboys' C Andre Gurode's face. Gurode needed 30 stitches.

Beat by a few seconds .

Needs to be kicked out of the league.

He should have been banned years ago, but this is a good start.

If a player is suspended for the whole year or being an idiot  does the team still have to honor the contract?

They shouldn’t

Kirk Cousins: 3 years, $84M
Stefon Diggs: 5 years, $81M
Adam Thielen: 4 years, $64M
31st in passing yards per game
32nd in passing first downs per game

Kirk is 5-27 career against teams with a winning record.

Today is the 5th anniversary of Trent Dilfer declaring the Patriots "not good anymore" after losing 41-14 to the Chiefs on MNF. Since then the Patriots are 76-18 with 5 AFCCG appearances, 4 SB appearances, and 3 SB championships.

Khalil Mack on not wanting to over celebrate Sunday's win over a divisional rival, "A dog that poop fast don't poop for long man."

Khalil Mack has 10 forced fumbles in 18 games with the Bears.

The Chicago Bears are now 5-1 when scoring fewer than 20 points since 2018. The rest of the NFL is 28-186 in such games in that span.

Browns now in a tie for first place in AFC North for first time since Week 10 of 2014, when they led by half a game. Sunday also marked first time in franchise history they had a 300-yard passer (Baker Mayfield), 150-yard rusher (Nick Chubb) and 150-yard receiver (Jarvis Landry).

The NFC South is special this season:
Saints won without a touchdown.
Panthers won with their backup QB losing 3 fumbles.
Buccaneers scored 55 against the defending NFC Champs.
Matt Ryan went 35 of 53 for 397 yards but didn't throw a TD.

The Dolphins are not in last place in the AFC. They have the strength of schedule tie breaker over the Broncos. The Broncos have lost 8 straight games.

The Broncos have NEVER started 0-5 before. They are 6.5 point dogs at the Chargers next week.

The Dolphins have not won a game since the Miami Miracle. Hope they enjoyed it.

The Falcons have trailed by double digit points for 63.8% of their offensive snaps. This is the highest rate in the league, even higher than the Dolphins (62.8%).

The player with the most guaranteed money in NFL history (Jared Goff) has 9 turnovers to 7 TDs through 25% of the season.

Rich Gannon, reportedly quoting a former coach of his, on the Lions goal line fumble, "... it's better to die as a baby than fumble on the goal line."

Pat Mahomes finished the game 0-9 on deep pass attempts. It marked his first NFL game without a deep completion.

Tom Brady, to The Greg Hill Show on the Josh Allen hit, "I had a play like that up in Buffalo ... I remember the next day Coach Belichick said to me - I'll never forget this - 'Hey Brady, if you want to have a career in this league, when you're running like that, you throw the ball away or slide.'"

With last night's -3 yards rushing, Tom Brady is back at exactly 1000 yards for his career.

Even though they won, Tom Brady's passer rating of just 45.9 is his lowest since November 11th 2006. After the game, "I am frustrated when we don't play well. I am frustrated when we don't score points. I am happy when we win. It's a lot of mixed emotions."

The Patriots defense is averaging 3.25 points per game. 13 points surrendered on defense in 4 games. 10 INTs and 18 sacks.

Jay Gruden accepted a penalty on 3rd and 7 after an incompletion, making it 3rd and 17 instead of 4th and 7. The Giants went on to score a TD on that drive.

Jaguars QB Gardner Minshew has the highest passer rating (106.9) and completion percentage (69.4%) of any rookie in the Super Bowl era (1966-present) through their first 4 games.

The Jaguars are 2-0 since Ramsey made his trade request to go to a contender.

Tonight will be the first ever MNF game between to 0-3 teams.

The Eagles cutting LJ Fort has triggered a cascade of events where the Steelers will lose their 3rd round comp pick for Le'Veon Bell unless they cut Donte Moncrief who just signed a $9M contract in March.

A suspended player is not paid their weekly salary. Has no effect on their signing bonus/already paid money. Burfict is on a 1 year, 2 million contract. 300k signing bonus, 153k roster bonus, 200k workout. His base salary is down to 1.15 million, so he will lose almost 70k per game.

Good.....that piece of shit should be thrown out of the league

Steelers need to cut Moncrief.
His hands have turned to stone. I know about his finger.

I think my Steelers are going 0-4 after tonight.

Not to pick nits, but, the Browns are in sole possession of 1st place in the div.

Better to die a small child than to fumble this ball

-John Heisman

They are in 1st place due to the TIE breakers... The original statement is correct.