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Posted: 8/30/2017 3:02:03 PM EDT
[#1]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Right now, Irma could go anywhere. What we (us in the Gulf States) are watching for is entry into that 16N x 62W zone that past trends will |
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Posted: 8/30/2017 3:04:02 PM EDT
[#2]
@pcsutton
Thank you for your updates. Been lurking S2K.org since Harvey began and coupled with folks like you, there's a wealth of knowledge on these things that I could never comprehend. |
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Posted: 8/30/2017 3:06:51 PM EDT
[#3]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I do not know about that but look at the historical paths I posted above. If you need to be prepped for hurricanes then do that independent of Irma. Give it a week to know where it may go. |
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Posted: 8/30/2017 3:17:46 PM EDT
[#4]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
@pcsutton Thank you for your updates. Been lurking S2K.org since Harvey began and coupled with folks like you, there's a wealth of knowledge on these things that I could never comprehend. 
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Posted: 8/30/2017 3:21:19 PM EDT
[#5]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Wtf kind of name is Irma? Quote HistoryQuoted:
Wtf kind of name is Irma?
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Posted: 8/30/2017 3:41:25 PM EDT
[#6]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Historical paths for storms within two degrees of Irma...1851 to 2016 It would be interesting to know if the ones that made it to the USA also had a high pressure system as shown by cm above. https://icons.wunderground.com/data/images/at201711_climo.gif there is usually a high in the atlantic, named the bermuda high. what it does, is block hurricanes from moving north of it - think of highs as forming barriers to the movement of hurricanes. depending on how far west the western edge, hurricanes form off the coast of africa, move accross the atlantic, and start bumping along the bermuda high. if the high isn't very strong, the western edge is in the atlantic, and hurricanes tend to do east coast hits, or hook around the high and miss everthing. if the high is further west, it will tend to enter the gulf, and what it does after that depend on steering winds, weather fronts, etc. here is a nasa post on the bermuda high - the video seems to not play, but the picture is correct https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/10069 since the western extent of the bermuda high changes, it's still kind of far out to tell were the boundary of it is. there is something else that might be of interest, and are called hebert boxes. there is increased likelyhood of a florida hit, if a strong hurricane passes through these areas 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hebert_Box |
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Posted: 8/30/2017 7:33:16 PM EDT
[#7]
Leave us hope this bitch turns north into the mid-atlantic. Bitch is already down to 1002mb. I'd hazard a guess that it'll be a hurricane by morning.
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Posted: 8/30/2017 7:39:30 PM EDT
[#8]
Why can't we just drop a nuke in the middle of it and blow the storm apart?
One nuke is a hell of a lot cheaper than rebuilding Houston. |
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Posted: 8/30/2017 7:43:31 PM EDT
[#9]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Why can't we just drop a nuke in the middle of it and blow the storm apart? One nuke is a hell of a lot cheaper than rebuilding Houston. 
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Posted: 8/30/2017 9:44:50 PM EDT
[#10]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Why can't we just drop a nuke in the middle of it and blow the storm apart? One nuke is a hell of a lot cheaper than rebuilding Houston. |
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Posted: 8/30/2017 9:47:16 PM EDT
[#11]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
Why can't we just drop a nuke in the middle of it and blow the storm apart? One nuke is a hell of a lot cheaper than rebuilding Houston. 
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Posted: 8/30/2017 10:13:31 PM EDT
[#12]
Why no computer models at NHC anymore?
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Posted: 8/30/2017 10:49:35 PM EDT
[#13]
11pm EST update.
It is predicted to turn into a monster by Sunday night. |
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Posted: 8/30/2017 10:55:08 PM EDT
[#14]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Wtf kind of name is Irma? |
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Posted: 8/30/2017 11:11:19 PM EDT
[#15]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
11pm EST update. It is predicted to turn into a monster by Sunday night. 
Even if it turned and hit the east coast it would cause a huge mess as well A whole lot of the population would be fucked and some major industry would stop or be slowed down. |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 12:08:08 AM EDT
[#16]
it's going to be 5 days before it's known for certain, but right now, it looks like the high in the atlantic, is going to weaken and allow the system to curve northward. watch what happens after it passes 60w.
the 2 possiblities that occur are a carolina hit, or it's going to cur around and go back east. can't really tell untill we get closer |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 12:12:12 AM EDT
[#17]
That's my grandmother's name
Maybe I'll finally get to meet her 
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Posted: 8/31/2017 6:15:21 AM EDT
[#18]
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Posted: 8/31/2017 6:34:09 AM EDT
[#19]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Why can't we just drop a nuke in the middle of it and blow the storm apart? One nuke is a hell of a lot cheaper than rebuilding Houston.  
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Posted: 8/31/2017 6:42:36 AM EDT
[#20]
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Posted: 8/31/2017 7:07:02 AM EDT
[#21]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Why can't we just drop a nuke in the middle of it and blow the storm apart? One nuke is a hell of a lot cheaper than rebuilding Houston. V |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 7:20:18 AM EDT
[#22]
Damn that could be coming right for me
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Posted: 8/31/2017 8:29:49 AM EDT
[#23]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Damn that could be coming right for me |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 8:36:10 AM EDT
[#24]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
From the graphic, it is making a landfall right around NY. Quote HistoryQuoted:
From the graphic, it is making a landfall right around NY. Quoted:
The chance of this one going to NY are low. |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 8:56:46 AM EDT
[#25]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
U booked a Mid-September cruise to the Carribean ? https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/89990/th__9_-294301.JPG The last 2 years we have ended up diverted away from Bermuda because of storms but we were not super worried about it, focused on having fun. Cruises are probably the best way to vacation during hurricane season. |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 9:02:09 AM EDT
[#26]
Ugh, just bought a house, stay away from the northeast please. :)
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Posted: 8/31/2017 10:40:45 AM EDT
[#27]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Meh, we do cruises out of New England to the Carribean in the fall, usually October. You get a much better price. The last 2 years we have ended up diverted away from Bermuda because of storms but we were not super worried about it, focused on having fun. Cruises are probably the best way to vacation during hurricane season. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
U booked a Mid-September cruise to the Carribean ? https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/89990/th__9_-294301.JPG The last 2 years we have ended up diverted away from Bermuda because of storms but we were not super worried about it, focused on having fun. Cruises are probably the best way to vacation during hurricane season. |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 10:58:31 AM EDT
[#28]
Graph was updated.
Cat 3 + by later today. |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 11:18:32 AM EDT
[#29]
This doesn't bode well for the domestic gasoline situation...or anything else for that matter.
Where's Godzilla when we need him? |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 1:03:44 PM EDT
[#30]
The news blurb I just saw predicted it stayed south and went right in the Gulf
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Posted: 8/31/2017 1:12:57 PM EDT
[#31]
OST. This looks bad
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Posted: 8/31/2017 1:21:22 PM EDT
[#32]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
OST. This looks bad |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 1:28:40 PM EDT
[#33]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
OST. This looks bad USA? Maybe not If you need plywood to board up windows you may want to get it before prices rise because of Harvey. I still say it may head north and not significantly impact the USA. Give it 5-7 days. |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 1:32:43 PM EDT
[#34]
Current GFS shows it up the east coast. Euro model shows into the Gulf.
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Posted: 8/31/2017 1:35:09 PM EDT
[#35]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Current GFS shows it up the east coast. Euro model shows into the Gulf. Pepper your angus I-95 from Miami to Jax |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 1:45:36 PM EDT
[#36]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Current GFS shows it up the east coast. Euro model shows into the Gulf.
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Posted: 8/31/2017 1:47:48 PM EDT
[#37]
Irene would have been better
fukin Irene |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 3:10:13 PM EDT
[#38]
I hope to God this this stays out to sea.
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Posted: 8/31/2017 3:10:48 PM EDT
[#39]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Irene would have been better fukin Irene 
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Posted: 8/31/2017 3:11:19 PM EDT
[#40]
Tag
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Posted: 8/31/2017 3:24:24 PM EDT
[#41]
The Devil's fidget spinner. I'm toast
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Posted: 8/31/2017 3:40:14 PM EDT
[#42]
Hopefully it steers away from Louisiana... Last thing we need is the whole damn gulf to be shutdown.
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Posted: 8/31/2017 3:45:31 PM EDT
[#43]
swing your ass back out the sea and stay their Irma, I am building a house and the wood is showing up next week.
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Posted: 8/31/2017 3:52:41 PM EDT
[#44]
In to see where she goes, hopefully out of the Gulf so that our brothers down there can dry out a bit.
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Posted: 8/31/2017 3:53:12 PM EDT
[#45]
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Posted: 8/31/2017 4:27:41 PM EDT
[#46]
Quote History |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 4:31:49 PM EDT
[#47]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
Irene would have been better fukin Irene
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Posted: 8/31/2017 4:33:33 PM EDT
[#48]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Wtf kind of name is Irma? |
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Posted: 8/31/2017 4:33:52 PM EDT
[#49]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Motherfucker. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Motherfucker.
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Posted: 8/31/2017 4:34:34 PM EDT
[#50]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Said that many times in 2011. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Irene would have been better fukin Irene  Failed To Load Title |
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