He doesn't give a shit, and his invasion ending up costing thousands more Russian casualties than planned is a boring detail at his status meeting. The Generals told him he's still going to win, may have to shell a few cities into dust, no biggie. Huge success, just like Grozny.

I’d make pozole, seems some of them are already browned so it would take some time off the cook

Might be a good time if China ever wanted to do that.  Let Russia get a huge percentage of their forces committed in Ukraine, then hammer them from behind and start taking land.

We were talking about this today. I saw a claim that the average Russian officer received $550/mo pay for deployment. Imagine getting told that you had to leave your wife and kids to go drill on the border, during winter, for $550/mo. Then, you are told that you have to invade this country with people you might be related to, but that they all support you coming to liberate them. Yea, your rations are expired and outdated...not a ton of fuel or supplies, but it won't take long.

First city, they start throwing Molotov's and several of your buddies die. You hear that every country that you have ever heard of is sending missiles that can kill you from miles away, yet all the civilians have guns so you cant leave the BMP. All of your guys are 18 and have one month's training. Now, the money you're saving up for a new tracksuit/gold chain and $550/mo just dropped 30% and is going to keep falling. Your wife can't get paid from her OnlyFans account and your iPhone needs an update but Apple won't let it go through.

Old armor and shit tactics vs new anti armor and determined, home turf guerrillas.

I ain’t no command and staff graduate but…

We learned in WWII that carpet bombing > all

Matter of time before failure results in loosening ROEs then it’s a race to a bloody bottom

We have the AT-4 and even the LAAW M-72 made a return during the GWOT.  The only thing the NLAW has over the other two is a top attack mode which you don't need for thin skin vehicles.

NLAW is semi guided to compensate for moving vehicles and has a much longer claimed range.

this is how it will happen in kiev

Correct..inevitable..

It’s a predicted path weapon, that senses pre firing movement of the launcher to predict where the round needs to fly to,  when it is in top attack mode it is less range sensitive because it’s flying a much a much higher trajectory than it would be in direct attack mode.

I don't think Putin did this to help China take Taiwan (just because Russia and China share common enemies doesn't mean they're friends or want eachother to succeed geostrategically).

I do think China was thinking of using this as a distraction to make a move on Taiwan, depending on how much of our force structure we diverted towards Europe and away from the Pacific. But we clearly haven't diverted anything away from the Pacific, at least not to any meaningful extent. Thus, China is not making a move.