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Link Posted: 9/1/2022 12:07:58 PM EDT
[#1]
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Quoted:


Timing the market is a fool's errand.  You do you.  
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Since we are all about muh historics, this isn't the first recession America has faced. There are intermediate strategies that lie somewhere between sitting out/timing the market and betting the house to go balls in. It would behoove you to research them.
Link Posted: 9/1/2022 12:13:32 PM EDT
[#2]
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Quoted:
Since we are all about muh historics, this isn't the first recession America has faced. There are intermediate strategies that lie somewhere between sitting out/timing the market and betting the house to go balls in. It would behoove you to research them.
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Quoted:
Quoted:


Timing the market is a fool's errand.  You do you.  
Since we are all about muh historics, this isn't the first recession America has faced. There are intermediate strategies that lie somewhere between sitting out/timing the market and betting the house to go balls in. It would behoove you to research them.


Meh. Sp500 was 3300 when I bought at 3% less than inflation secured 30 year loan.

Lifetime opportunity right there.
Link Posted: 9/1/2022 7:27:20 PM EDT
[#3]
So tomorrow is buy day, like every Friday.

Tune in more on “as spidey buys”

What are we going to do tomorrow brain?  We’re going to buy like every Friday pinky.

But what if we’ve reallocated our tax deferred investments by finger fuck our 401k out of fear?

Well pinky that’s how we make money.
Link Posted: 9/1/2022 9:03:34 PM EDT
[#4]
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Quoted:
Macro is turning.  And damn fast.



ETA:  More tech layoffs inbound.

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Tech layoffs tend to spearhead the rest of the sectors  , no?

Gonna get mighty expensive for those remote workers who bought big mortgages to fit their new remote working covid lifestyle.
Link Posted: 9/1/2022 10:18:26 PM EDT
[#5]
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Quoted:


Tech layoffs tend to spearhead the rest of the sectors  , no?

Gonna get mighty expensive for those remote workers who bought big mortgages to fit their new remote working covid lifestyle.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Macro is turning.  And damn fast.



ETA:  More tech layoffs inbound.



Tech layoffs tend to spearhead the rest of the sectors  , no?

Gonna get mighty expensive for those remote workers who bought big mortgages to fit their new remote working covid lifestyle.


not really, Tech was super bloated full of people who just beat their meat and ate avocado toast all day.

The rest of the companies that actualy make goods and services are still understaffed.
Link Posted: 9/1/2022 10:23:28 PM EDT
[#6]
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Quoted:


not really, Tech was super bloated full of people who just beat their meat and ate avocado toast all day.

The rest of the companies that actualy make goods and services are still understaffed.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Macro is turning.  And damn fast.



ETA:  More tech layoffs inbound.



Tech layoffs tend to spearhead the rest of the sectors  , no?

Gonna get mighty expensive for those remote workers who bought big mortgages to fit their new remote working covid lifestyle.


not really, Tech was super bloated full of people who just beat their meat and ate avocado toast all day.

The rest of the companies that actualy make goods and services are still understaffed.


I work in tech. The amount we’re spending on technology is explosive. Never seen anything like it.

9 month lead times. And demand is still beyond my belief.
Link Posted: 9/1/2022 10:36:16 PM EDT
[#7]
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Quoted:


Tech layoffs tend to spearhead the rest of the sectors  , no?

Gonna get mighty expensive for those remote workers who bought big mortgages to fit their new remote working covid lifestyle.
View Quote


Real estate industry is a good indicator. Specifically brokerage firms.
Link Posted: 9/2/2022 2:18:22 AM EDT
[#8]
Shits on fire, yo...
Link Posted: 9/2/2022 7:16:49 AM EDT
[#9]
Is that a middle finger?

Link Posted: 9/2/2022 7:41:56 AM EDT
[#10]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
So tomorrow is buy day, like every Friday.

Tune in more on “as spidey buys”

What are we going to do tomorrow brain?  We’re going to buy like every Friday pinky.

But what if we’ve reallocated our tax deferred investments by finger fuck our 401k out of fear?

Well pinky that’s how we make money.
View Quote


The jobs report comes out in 50 mins.   Until then no one has any idea what the market is going to do today.   I own both calls and puts.    

Btw last Friday spy was down $14.    Whatcha selling here?
Link Posted: 9/6/2022 9:38:41 AM EDT
[#11]
“October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks.

The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February.”


? Mark Twain
Link Posted: 9/6/2022 9:59:34 AM EDT
[#12]
WTF, market was all pissing vinegar before the open.

Looks like the BIC BOIS made some quick money and dumped their positions
Link Posted: 9/6/2022 10:38:00 AM EDT
[#13]
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Quoted:
WTF, market was all pissing vinegar before the open.

Looks like the BIC BOIS made some quick money and dumped their positions
View Quote

BBBY to the moon!  
Link Posted: 9/6/2022 10:51:37 AM EDT
[#14]
The DJIA is having a mood swing today.

Sure seemed like it was heading below 31k about 10 minutes ago.
Link Posted: 9/6/2022 12:29:25 PM EDT
[#15]
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Quoted:

BBBY to the moon!  
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Quoted:
Quoted:
WTF, market was all pissing vinegar before the open.

Looks like the BIC BOIS made some quick money and dumped their positions

BBBY to the moon!  


lmao....I always miss those trades
Link Posted: 9/6/2022 12:29:38 PM EDT
[#16]
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Quoted:
The DJIA is having a mood swing today.

Sure seemed like it was heading below 31k about 10 minutes ago.
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It's being manipulated by the algos today
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 8:01:26 AM EDT
[#17]
Slow painful grind lower.


Run bull run Bahahaha
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 1:16:45 PM EDT
[#18]
Hells yeah the BULL is BACK BABY!
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 2:40:55 PM EDT
[#19]
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 3:16:54 PM EDT
[#20]
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Quoted:
Hells yeah the BULL is BACK BABY!
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Almost 4000 lol.  Up 2%.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 3:52:20 PM EDT
[#21]
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Quoted:


Almost 4000 lol.  Up 2%.
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Hells yeah the BULL is BACK BABY!


Almost 4000 lol.  Up 2%.


SP500 at 5000 end of year!!!!!
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 3:54:08 PM EDT
[#22]
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Quoted:


SP500 at 5000 end of year!!!!!
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Hells yeah the BULL is BACK BABY!


Almost 4000 lol.  Up 2%.


SP500 at 5000 end of year!!!!!

Attachment Attached File
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 3:55:12 PM EDT
[#23]
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Quoted:


SP500 at 5000 end of year!!!!!
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Hells yeah the BULL is BACK BABY!


Almost 4000 lol.  Up 2%.


SP500 at 5000 end of year!!!!!


End of 2023?  Sure.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 4:26:47 PM EDT
[#24]
When this thread was started SP closed 4543 near the peak of a bear market rally.

Today it closed at 3979.

Enjoy bagholding your basket of overlevered shitcos acquired at insane valuations through inflation and rising rates you dumb bulls.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 4:31:04 PM EDT
[#25]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
When this thread was started SP closed 4543 near the peak of a bear market rally.

Today it closed at 3979.

Enjoy bagholding your basket of overlevered shitcos acquired at insane valuations through inflation and rising rates you dumb bulls.
View Quote


Why are doomers so vitriolic, and have such hatred for others?  I'd hate to go through life as miserably as you do.  I'll pity you from this point forward.

I'm too busy counting my money, anyway......  
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 4:31:59 PM EDT
[#26]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
When this thread was started SP closed 4543 near the peak of a bear market rally.

Today it closed at 3979.

Enjoy bagholding your basket of overlevered shitcos acquired at insane valuations through inflation and rising rates you dumb bulls.
View Quote


Lol what?  Do you not know how to read a chart nor understand what the sp500 index is?

The price is in my title
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 4:32:50 PM EDT
[#27]
Knock on wood...but the timing of this thread starting is uncanny.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 4:38:16 PM EDT
[#28]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
When this thread was started SP closed 4543 near the peak of a bear market rally.

Today it closed at 3979.

Enjoy bagholding your basket of overlevered shitcos acquired at insane valuations through inflation and rising rates you dumb bulls.
View Quote


HA....don't hate the player hate the game
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 5:15:03 PM EDT
[#29]
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Quoted:
Slow painful grind lower.


Run bull run Bahahaha
View Quote


This didn’t age well. Lol.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 5:29:33 PM EDT
[#30]
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 5:40:47 PM EDT
[#31]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:



Neither will yours. There's another leg down on the way.  The FED is just beginning to suck liquidity out of the market.


All of this fake money has to come out of the market for it to reach a true valuation.


https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/422/Screenshot__39_-2517904.png




View Quote View All Quotes
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Quoted:



Neither will yours. There's another leg down on the way.  The FED is just beginning to suck liquidity out of the market.


All of this fake money has to come out of the market for it to reach a true valuation.


https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/422/Screenshot__39_-2517904.png







Spider doesn't understand the fake money, so he chases it with the herd.


 Bad News Is Great: Stocks Hit Session Highs After Beige Book Downgrades Growth    
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:05:13 PM EDT
[#32]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:



Neither will yours. There's another leg down on the way.  The FED is just beginning to suck liquidity out of the market.


All of this fake money has to come out of the market for it to reach a true valuation.


https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/422/Screenshot__39_-2517904.png




View Quote View All Quotes
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:


This didn’t age well. Lol.



Neither will yours. There's another leg down on the way.  The FED is just beginning to suck liquidity out of the market.


All of this fake money has to come out of the market for it to reach a true valuation.


https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/422/Screenshot__39_-2517904.png






Short term?  Likely. Long term?  Not likely at all.

I say again. Cash is getting eaten alive. I’ll just stick to my long term strategy, the market is a long term bull.

I just upped my SBLOC, I’m plenty liquid.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:08:49 PM EDT
[#33]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Short term?  Likely. Long term?  Not likely at all.

I say again. Cash is getting eaten alive. I’ll just stick to my long term strategy, the market is a long term bull.

I just upped my SBLOC, I’m plenty liquid.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:


This didn’t age well. Lol.



Neither will yours. There's another leg down on the way.  The FED is just beginning to suck liquidity out of the market.


All of this fake money has to come out of the market for it to reach a true valuation.


https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/422/Screenshot__39_-2517904.png






Short term?  Likely. Long term?  Not likely at all.

I say again. Cash is getting eaten alive. I’ll just stick to my long term strategy, the market is a long term bull.

I just upped my SBLOC, I’m plenty liquid.

But it has been a bull on coke. Now we need to detox it. Problem is its going to be worse than a bull in a china shop as it detoxes. Wrecks everything.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:11:35 PM EDT
[#34]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

But it has been a bull on coke. Now we need to detox it. Problem is its going to be worse than a bull in a china shop as it detoxes. Wrecks everything.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:


This didn’t age well. Lol.



Neither will yours. There's another leg down on the way.  The FED is just beginning to suck liquidity out of the market.


All of this fake money has to come out of the market for it to reach a true valuation.


https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/422/Screenshot__39_-2517904.png






Short term?  Likely. Long term?  Not likely at all.

I say again. Cash is getting eaten alive. I’ll just stick to my long term strategy, the market is a long term bull.

I just upped my SBLOC, I’m plenty liquid.

But it has been a bull on coke. Now we need to detox it. Problem is its going to be worse than a bull in a china shop as it detoxes. Wrecks everything.


That would be awesome. More buy low.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:13:32 PM EDT
[#35]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Short term?  Likely. Long term?  Not likely at all.

I say again. Cash is getting eaten alive. I'll just stick to my long term strategy, the market is a long term bull.

I just upped my SBLOC, I'm plenty liquid.
View Quote

Is your theory that a dollar of cash has a different value than a dollar of equity, and that value is positive? It's almost like the fed is trying to tame inflation or something.

With 8% inflation a dollar in March 2022 is now 96 cents
With 8% inflation and market performance a dollar of SPX in March 2022 is now 83 cents.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:13:49 PM EDT
[#36]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


That would be awesome. More buy low.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:


This didn’t age well. Lol.



Neither will yours. There's another leg down on the way.  The FED is just beginning to suck liquidity out of the market.


All of this fake money has to come out of the market for it to reach a true valuation.


https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/422/Screenshot__39_-2517904.png






Short term?  Likely. Long term?  Not likely at all.

I say again. Cash is getting eaten alive. I’ll just stick to my long term strategy, the market is a long term bull.

I just upped my SBLOC, I’m plenty liquid.

But it has been a bull on coke. Now we need to detox it. Problem is its going to be worse than a bull in a china shop as it detoxes. Wrecks everything.


That would be awesome. More buy low.

As long as the place your income comes from isn’t effected. Why up you sbloc? To buy more?
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:18:17 PM EDT
[#37]
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:25:05 PM EDT
[#38]
Lol build up until next Monday when CPI numbers come out.

Prediction: inflation still up.

Reaction:
Fed goes up 100 basis points next go around


Market gets slaughtered
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:27:11 PM EDT
[#40]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

Is your theory that a dollar of cash has a different value than a dollar of equity, and that value is positive? It's almost like the fed is trying to tame inflation or something.

With 8% inflation a dollar in March 2022 is now 96 cents
With 8% inflation and market performance a dollar of SPX in March 2022 is now 83 cents.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:


Short term?  Likely. Long term?  Not likely at all.

I say again. Cash is getting eaten alive. I'll just stick to my long term strategy, the market is a long term bull.

I just upped my SBLOC, I'm plenty liquid.

Is your theory that a dollar of cash has a different value than a dollar of equity, and that value is positive? It's almost like the fed is trying to tame inflation or something.

With 8% inflation a dollar in March 2022 is now 96 cents
With 8% inflation and market performance a dollar of SPX in March 2022 is now 83 cents.


Think in 5-10 year chunks. Stocks are not for folks under a 5-10 year horizon.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:30:14 PM EDT
[#41]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

As long as the place your income comes from isn’t effected. Why up you sbloc? To buy more?
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:


This didn’t age well. Lol.



Neither will yours. There's another leg down on the way.  The FED is just beginning to suck liquidity out of the market.


All of this fake money has to come out of the market for it to reach a true valuation.


https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/422/Screenshot__39_-2517904.png






Short term?  Likely. Long term?  Not likely at all.

I say again. Cash is getting eaten alive. I’ll just stick to my long term strategy, the market is a long term bull.

I just upped my SBLOC, I’m plenty liquid.

But it has been a bull on coke. Now we need to detox it. Problem is its going to be worse than a bull in a china shop as it detoxes. Wrecks everything.


That would be awesome. More buy low.

As long as the place your income comes from isn’t effected. Why up you sbloc? To buy more?


Because I restricted it too low.

I give zero fucks if I lose my job. I’d have people beating down my door to employ me. Or just retire.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:32:45 PM EDT
[#42]
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:37:40 PM EDT
[#43]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Lol build up until next Monday when CPI numbers come out.

Prediction: inflation still up.

Reaction:
Fed goes up 100 basis points next go around


Market gets slaughtered
View Quote


Well I was wrong last time but I’ll take the other side of that.  As the recession wears on and biden drains the national reserve, oil has dropped to $81.  That really drives inflation a lot.  Yes it’s still up and especially food (holy shit I paid almost $7 for a gal of milk last week)

I think they’re throwing everything they’ve got at the midterms and will fudge the numbers to look like inflation is down and the fed has got it under control. I’m guessing half a point and the market runs up before the election.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:40:10 PM EDT
[#44]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

Is your theory that a dollar of cash has a different value than a dollar of equity, and that value is positive? It's almost like the fed is trying to tame inflation or something.

With 8% inflation a dollar in March 2022 is now 96 cents
With 8% inflation and market performance a dollar of SPX in March 2022 is now 83 cents.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:


Short term?  Likely. Long term?  Not likely at all.

I say again. Cash is getting eaten alive. I'll just stick to my long term strategy, the market is a long term bull.

I just upped my SBLOC, I'm plenty liquid.

Is your theory that a dollar of cash has a different value than a dollar of equity, and that value is positive? It's almost like the fed is trying to tame inflation or something.

With 8% inflation a dollar in March 2022 is now 96 cents
With 8% inflation and market performance a dollar of SPX in March 2022 is now 83 cents.

That's the thing, they think because it is invested it's purchasing power is not inflated away as well.  Inflation hurts all forms of currency denominated assets.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:49:53 PM EDT
[#45]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:


Well I was wrong last time but I’ll take the other side of that.  As the recession wears on and biden drains the national reserve, oil has dropped to $81.  That really drives inflation a lot.  Yes it’s still up and especially food (holy shit I paid almost $7 for a gal of milk last week)

I think they’re throwing everything they’ve got at the midterms and will fudge the numbers to look like inflation is down and the fed has got it under control. I’m guessing half a point and the market runs up before the election.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Lol build up until next Monday when CPI numbers come out.

Prediction: inflation still up.

Reaction:
Fed goes up 100 basis points next go around


Market gets slaughtered


Well I was wrong last time but I’ll take the other side of that.  As the recession wears on and biden drains the national reserve, oil has dropped to $81.  That really drives inflation a lot.  Yes it’s still up and especially food (holy shit I paid almost $7 for a gal of milk last week)

I think they’re throwing everything they’ve got at the midterms and will fudge the numbers to look like inflation is down and the fed has got it under control. I’m guessing half a point and the market runs up before the election.
The challenge is if we are really in a recession.  Jobs figures (yea, I know they are manipulated) show a strong labor market.  Until there is pain on employment headline numbers, the Fed will keep pushing ahead.

The Fed has a dual mandate.  Full employment and 2% inflation.  Well, only one is askew right now.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:55:27 PM EDT
[#46]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

That's the thing, they think because it is invested it's purchasing power is not inflated away as well.  Inflation hurts all forms of currency denominated assets.
View Quote
Some guy in this thread said he was going to beat inflation by doubling his returns. I should have thought of that years ago.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 6:58:11 PM EDT
[#47]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Some guy in this thread said he was going to beat inflation by doubling his returns. I should have thought of that years ago.
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:

That's the thing, they think because it is invested it's purchasing power is not inflated away as well.  Inflation hurts all forms of currency denominated assets.
Some guy in this thread said he was going to beat inflation by doubling his returns. I should have thought of that years ago.


7 years and you’ll double your money.  If you. Just keep buying way way shorter.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 7:43:48 PM EDT
[#48]
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 7:43:49 PM EDT
[#49]
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Quoted:


7 years and you’ll double your money.  If you. Just keep buying way way shorter.
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:

That's the thing, they think because it is invested it's purchasing power is not inflated away as well.  Inflation hurts all forms of currency denominated assets.
Some guy in this thread said he was going to beat inflation by doubling his returns. I should have thought of that years ago.


7 years and you’ll double your money.  If you. Just keep buying way way shorter.
Knife catching is fun.
Link Posted: 9/7/2022 7:45:15 PM EDT
[#50]
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Quoted:



How much money have you lost this year?  I bet it's a fucking metric shit ton.



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7 years and you’ll double your money.  If you. Just keep buying way way shorter.



How much money have you lost this year?  I bet it's a fucking metric shit ton.





Not a penny.

Well accept fir fucking taxes on gains/div. I don’t consider that loss, the man gonna get his cut.

The main purpose for the SBLOC was taxes and getting into a cash crunch. It’s a cash flow buffer. Because my cash is constantly eaten alive by inflation. The SBLOC is 2.5%.

Which as you know is very much below current inflation, and right at below historical.
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