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View Quote Yeah...uhmmm...about that lead time....might need something a little closer to say...6 days. |
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DFW fox affiliate reporting a student at A&M who just returned from China apparently has it now.
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I don't think it's likely to be as big a deal as people fear, but at the same time - it is all the fuck over several US cities already. Media and public health orgs are way behind the curve.
It's pretty obvious that this was kicking around prior to any widespread efforts at testing for it. |
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41 out of 1125 is higher then 2% deaths. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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DFW fox affiliate reporting a student at A&M who just returned from China apparently has it now. View Quote |
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All we can measure right now is a very small sampling of people who died vs people who beat it. That mortality figure, at least for the moment, is extremely high. Weighing deaths vs people who currently have it is meaningless info, because some of those |
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I'm not going to worry until this isn't a thing anymore. There's still a whole hell of alot of air traffic going on in China. When you see dead airspace, then you know it's the real deal. https://i.imgur.com/06t2Q6T.jpg View Quote |
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Thousands upon thousands upon thousands infected and 41 deaths.
Oh no. Pandemic. Plague. We're all going to die. Get back to me when it becomes more deadly than a paper cut. |
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Good point. What's the link for the live air traffic volume? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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I'm not going to worry until this isn't a thing anymore. There's still a whole hell of alot of air traffic going on in China. When you see dead airspace, then you know it's the real deal. https://i.imgur.com/06t2Q6T.jpg |
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Harvard School of Public Health guy speaking here . . . |
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Harvard School of Public Health guy speaking here . . . View Quote |
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Thousands upon thousands upon thousands infected and 41 deaths. Oh no. Pandemic. Plague. We're all going to die. Get back to me when it becomes more deadly than a paper cut. View Quote Either you believe the Chinese numbers, in which case there have been only around 1200 infected, 41 dead, and 38 recovered.... or you believed there have been, as you said, "Thousands upon thousands upon thousands infected". If you believed the published number of infected patients is off by orders of magnitude, what leads you to believe that the death toll is accurate? |
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Harvard School of Public Health guy speaking here . . . View Quote |
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Harvard School of Public Health guy speaking here . . . View Quote |
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Harvard School of Public Health guy speaking here . . . View Quote We use R0 as one of many values for epidemiological modeling purposes. GleamViz engine with an appropriate model accurately modeled the H1N1 outbreak. R0 is greatly useful for calculating vaccination needs to have community immunity (herd immunity). R0 is an elusive value though... |
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Thousands upon thousands upon thousands infected and 41 deaths. Oh no. Pandemic. Plague. We're all going to die. Get back to me when it becomes more deadly than a paper cut. View Quote China has locked down close to 40 million people over the coronavirus. I don't think they believe it's less than a papercut. Maybe you can help us with this and explain to them why people are not actually dying and continue to be infected? |
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He is being sarcastic on multiple fronts... the guy should know that highly contextualized sarcasm carries extremely poorly in a tweet. It makes him more of a Twit. We use R0 as one of many values for epidemiological modeling purposes. GleamViz engine with an appropriate model accurately modeled the H1N1 outbreak. R0 is greatly useful for calculating vaccination needs to have community immunity (herd immunity). R0 is an elusive value though... View Quote |
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He is being sarcastic on multiple fronts... the guy should know that highly contextualized sarcasm carries extremely poorly in a tweet. It makes him more of a Twit. We use R0 as one of many values for epidemiological modeling purposes. GleamViz engine with an appropriate model accurately modeled the H1N1 outbreak. R0 is greatly useful for calculating vaccination needs to have community immunity (herd immunity). R0 is an elusive value though... View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Harvard School of Public Health guy speaking here . . . We use R0 as one of many values for epidemiological modeling purposes. GleamViz engine with an appropriate model accurately modeled the H1N1 outbreak. R0 is greatly useful for calculating vaccination needs to have community immunity (herd immunity). R0 is an elusive value though... |
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Quoted: Probably not a real good idea for someone in his position to be sarcastic right now concerning this. View Quote Unfortunately the written word is a poor medium for imparting sarcasm. |
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video in link
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He is being sarcastic on multiple fronts... the guy should know that highly contextualized sarcasm carries extremely poorly in a tweet. It makes him more of a Twit. We use R0 as one of many values for epidemiological modeling purposes. GleamViz engine with an appropriate model accurately modeled the H1N1 outbreak. R0 is greatly useful for calculating vaccination needs to have community immunity (herd immunity). R0 is an elusive value though... View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Harvard School of Public Health guy speaking here . . . We use R0 as one of many values for epidemiological modeling purposes. GleamViz engine with an appropriate model accurately modeled the H1N1 outbreak. R0 is greatly useful for calculating vaccination needs to have community immunity (herd immunity). R0 is an elusive value though...
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Did you read the whole sequence of tweets? He is being deadly serious.
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Harvard School of Public Health guy speaking here . . . We use R0 as one of many values for epidemiological modeling purposes. GleamViz engine with an appropriate model accurately modeled the H1N1 outbreak. R0 is greatly useful for calculating vaccination needs to have community immunity (herd immunity). R0 is an elusive value though...
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Quoted: Did you read the whole sequence of tweets? He is being deadly serious.
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Shit, we are so interconnected these days a 2%+ death rate is going to be insane. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted: Did you read the whole sequence of tweets? He is being deadly serious.
Let's hope it doesn't come to that. |
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Quoted: I’m so confused now. Lol. Anybody else care to shed light on drericding’s post. Is it true or sarcasm that us non medical folks don’t understand. View Quote https://twitter.com/DrEricDing |
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Harvard School of Public Health guy speaking here . . . View Quote He trusts the .chinesegov data. |
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Quoted: @olds442tyguy - Your post is confusing. Either you believe the Chinese numbers, in which case there have been only around 1200 infected, 41 dead, and 38 recovered.... or you believed there have been, as you said, "Thousands upon thousands upon thousands infected". If you believed the published number of infected patients is off by orders of magnitude, what leads you to believe that the death toll is accurate? View Quote |
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Quoted: Read this man's twitter profile and tell me where a drop of sarcasm exists? That concept was introduced by a poster above me who has an overactive bullshit filter. This guy is a serious epidemiologist who is seriously concerned and using his platform to alert people. Namely, to get the WHO to take this seriously and quit kissing the Chinese government's ass. https://twitter.com/DrEricDing View Quote |
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Quoted: Did you read the whole sequence of tweets? He is being deadly serious.
View Quote Do you know this man personally? Do you know if he is really a doctor? Or pathologist? Are you taking the post at face value because the title of his account? Can I create a twitter account with Dr in my name? I'm a meteorologist by trade. Can I post that global warming is gonna kill us all like 10 years ago? Or maybe in 50? I guess most important question: Why do you believe that to be genuine? |
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On behalf of the Chinese government I kindly insist you redact your post. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted: Read this man's twitter profile and tell me where a drop of sarcasm exists? That concept was introduced by a poster above me who has an overactive bullshit filter. This guy is a serious epidemiologist who is seriously concerned and using his platform to alert people. Namely, to get the WHO to take this seriously and quit kissing the Chinese government's ass. https://twitter.com/DrEricDing |
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Quoted: So odd questions as I don't twitter but... Do you know this man personally? Do you know if he is really a doctor? Or pathologist? Are you taking the post at face value because the title of his account? Can I create a twitter account with Dr in my name? I'm a meteorologist by trade. Can I post that global warming is gonna kill us all like 10 years ago? Or maybe in 50? I guess most important question: Why do you believe that to be genuine? View Quote Suggesting he is genuine. A little common sense needs to be applied. |
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Quoted: So odd questions as I don't twitter but... Do you know this man personally? Do you know if he is really a doctor? Or pathologist? Are you taking the post at face value because the title of his account? Can I create a twitter account with Dr in my name? I'm a meteorologist by trade. Can I post that global warming is gonna kill us all like 10 years ago? Or maybe in 50? I guess most important question: Why do you believe that to be genuine? View Quote His language he used and terminology are in line with what other medical professionals are using to describe potentials. I say legit. |
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So odd questions as I don't twitter but... Do you know this man personally? Do you know if he is really a doctor? Or pathologist? Are you taking the post at face value because the title of his account? Can I create a twitter account with Dr in my name? I'm a meteorologist by trade. Can I post that global warming is gonna kill us all like 10 years ago? Or maybe in 50? I guess most important question: Why do you believe that to be genuine? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted: Did you read the whole sequence of tweets? He is being deadly serious.
Do you know this man personally? Do you know if he is really a doctor? Or pathologist? Are you taking the post at face value because the title of his account? Can I create a twitter account with Dr in my name? I'm a meteorologist by trade. Can I post that global warming is gonna kill us all like 10 years ago? Or maybe in 50? I guess most important question: Why do you believe that to be genuine? So while he might still not be the highest authority on the matter, he sure as shit has more credibility than some random arfcommer. |
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Quoted: The context of the Dr's post correlates generally with most observations of this matter. Suggesting he is genuine. A little common sense needs to be applied. View Quote |
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So odd questions as I don't twitter but... Do you know this man personally? Do you know if he is really a doctor? Or pathologist? Are you taking the post at face value because the title of his account? Can I create a twitter account with Dr in my name? I'm a meteorologist by trade. Can I post that global warming is gonna kill us all like 10 years ago? Or maybe in 50? I guess most important question: Why do you believe that to be genuine? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
Quoted: Did you read the whole sequence of tweets? He is being deadly serious.
Do you know this man personally? Do you know if he is really a doctor? Or pathologist? Are you taking the post at face value because the title of his account? Can I create a twitter account with Dr in my name? I'm a meteorologist by trade. Can I post that global warming is gonna kill us all like 10 years ago? Or maybe in 50? I guess most important question: Why do you believe that to be genuine? Whether his conclusions are correct or not; I don't have a clue. But it's enough to get me to pay better attention to what's going on. How about you? |
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