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Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:11:32 AM EST
[#1]
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Quoted:
So odd questions as I don't twitter but...

Do you know this man personally?
Do you know if he is really a doctor? Or pathologist?
Are you taking the post at face value because the title of his account?
Can I create a twitter account with Dr in my name?
I'm a meteorologist by trade. Can I post that global warming is gonna kill us all like 10 years ago? Or maybe in 50?

I guess most important question: Why do you believe that to be genuine?
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Quoted:
Quoted:

Did you read the whole sequence of tweets? He is being deadly serious.

So odd questions as I don't twitter but...

Do you know this man personally?
Do you know if he is really a doctor? Or pathologist?
Are you taking the post at face value because the title of his account?
Can I create a twitter account with Dr in my name?
I'm a meteorologist by trade. Can I post that global warming is gonna kill us all like 10 years ago? Or maybe in 50?

I guess most important question: Why do you believe that to be genuine?
You're right, someone spent 11 years tweeting 9200 times pretending to be a real-life high profile epidemiologist just so they could troll you.

I spent 7 years in a bioinformatics doctoral program at Georgia Tech studying, among other things, epidemiology, and I know enough to realize that the man in question . . .

"He graduated from The Johns Hopkins University with Honors in Public Health and Phi Beta Kappa. He then completed his dual doctorate in epidemiology and doctorate in nutrition, as the youngest graduate to earn double-PhDs at age 23 from Harvard. Teaching at Harvard for over 15 years, he has advised and mentored 2 dozen students, and lectured in more than a dozen graduate and undergraduate courses, for which he received the Derek Bok Distinction in Teaching Award from Harvard College"

. . . is what some people might consider an "expert" on the subject at hand.

https://scholar.harvard.edu/ericding

For what it's worth, I don't believe in global warming for the same reason I am worried about corona virus - I can do the math myself.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:13:39 AM EST
[#2]
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Quoted:

Well he's obviously drawing conclusions from data that has been corroborated by multiple sources today.
Whether his conclusions are correct or not; I don't have a clue.
But it's enough to get me to pay better attention to what's going on.
How about you?
View Quote
I concur with Gator.  It is getting me a bit more concerned.  I am going to have the wife stock up on provisions to minimize our family exposure.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:15:30 AM EST
[#3]
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Quoted:
Ok, fair enough. Speaking in line of common sense, is this doctor of a similar vein that said Bird/Pig/whatever flu was going to kill everybody? There was much made of such claims when those were the hotness a few years back. Several claims by individuals with Dr or MD in their name. Why should I believe this random one? Where's the hundreds of other virologists et al crying out at inaction?
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Quoted:
Quoted:

The context of the Dr's post correlates generally with most observations of this matter.

Suggesting he is genuine.

A little common sense needs to be applied.
Ok, fair enough. Speaking in line of common sense, is this doctor of a similar vein that said Bird/Pig/whatever flu was going to kill everybody? There was much made of such claims when those were the hotness a few years back. Several claims by individuals with Dr or MD in their name. Why should I believe this random one? Where's the hundreds of other virologists et al crying out at inaction?
I judge this to be different than the past scares  by China’s extremely strong response to it.  I also do not believe the numbers coming out due to both the inability for them to possibly test and document each death and illness with the overflow of folks in the hospitals and also the fact that they are more likely to underestimate the  numbers than overestimate.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:16:12 AM EST
[#4]
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Quoted:

I concur with Gator.  It is getting me a bit more concerned.  I am going to have the wife stock up on provisions to minimize our family exposure.
View Quote
Do you mind sharing a list?

Would appreciate it.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:17:19 AM EST
[#5]
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Quoted:

I judge this to be different than the past scares  by China’s extremely strong response to it.  I also do not believe the numbers coming out due to both the inability for them to possibly test and document each death and illness with the overflow of folks in the hospitals and also the fact that they are more likely to underestimate the  numbers than overestimate.
View Quote
The numbers are likely WAY underreported for the reasons you mention, and more.

Implying a more serious situation than the conclusions by the Doctor.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:19:23 AM EST
[#6]
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Quoted:

Do you mind sharing a list?

Would appreciate it.
View Quote
.22
9mm
5.56
.308

Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:20:14 AM EST
[#7]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

You're right, someone spent 11 years tweeting 9200 times pretending to be a real-life high profile epidemiologist just so they could troll you.

I spent 7 years in a bioinformatics doctoral program at Georgia Tech studying, among other things, epidemiology, and I know enough to realize that the man in question . . .

"He graduated from The Johns Hopkins University with Honors in Public Health and Phi Beta Kappa. He then completed his dual doctorate in epidemiology and doctorate in nutrition, as the youngest graduate to earn double-PhDs at age 23 from Harvard. Teaching at Harvard for over 15 years, he has advised and mentored 2 dozen students, and lectured in more than a dozen graduate and undergraduate courses, for which he received the Derek Bok Distinction in Teaching Award from Harvard College"

. . . is what some people might consider an "expert" on the subject at hand.

https://scholar.harvard.edu/ericding

For what it's worth, I don't believe in global warming for the same reason I am worried about corona virus - I can do the math myself.
View Quote
Well, can't argue about his pedigree. Troll? No. Looking for money? Possibly. Just call me skeptical after the umpteen pandemic scare of the past 20 years or so from "experts"

If it turns out to be Spanish flu 2.0 or the realized Manbearpigflu of yesteryear I'll post a public apology here for my intransigence
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:20:21 AM EST
[#8]
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Quoted:

.22
9mm
5.56
.308

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If that's all, then no problem.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:21:15 AM EST
[#9]
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Quoted:

Well, can't argue about his pedigree. Troll? No. Looking for money? Possibly. Just call me skeptical after the umpteen pandemic scare of the past 20 years or so from "experts"

If it turns out to be Spanish flu 2.0 or the realized Manbearpigflu of yesteryear I'll post a public apology here for my intransigence
View Quote
No wonder wx forecasts are so off...



Have you enlightened yourself and analyzed the present conditions in China before drawing your conclusions???????
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:22:37 AM EST
[#10]
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Quoted:

If that's all, then no problem.
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JK, big Costco run will be planned tomorrow.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:24:11 AM EST
[#11]
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Quoted:

JK, big Costco run will be planned tomorrow.
View Quote
Need list...
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:24:42 AM EST
[#12]
The entire thread that doctor posted

Even if the R0 level is lower (some people are saying 2.2, 2.5, 2.8), it's still pretty damn scary.
Let’s pretend the 3.8 estimate is too high (there’s unpublished estimates of 2.5). even if this virus’s R0=2.5, that’s still 2x higher than seasonal flu’s 1.28 (ref above), and higher than 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic of 1.80 that killed millions. So 2.8 is still super bad folks
View Quote
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:26:13 AM EST
[#13]
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Quoted:

I concur with Gator.  It is getting me a bit more concerned.  I am going to have the wife stock up on provisions to minimize our family exposure.
View Quote
As soon as I heard China started locking down a few days ago, I knew it was no joke. I freshened up my stocks for 3 months worth and bought/added masks and more hand soap to the stocks. IF it hits local, I’m shutting the household down and staying put. Easy enough to wait it out and avoid people
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:28:26 AM EST
[#14]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
The entire thread that doctor posted

Even if the R0 level is lower (some people are saying 2.2, 2.5, 2.8), it's still pretty damn scary.
View Quote
Dr. Niman in his podcast tonight has said similar things, although he recognizes the .chinagov data is biased to make the situation look milder than it is.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:31:50 AM EST
[#15]
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Quoted:
Need list...
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Quoted:
Quoted:

JK, big Costco run will be planned tomorrow.
Need list...
@EXPY37 I am planning a big shopping day tomorrow. Main focus is stuff to sustain us for 3 months. I have a ton of food but lack in other areas.
So far the list is
Toilet paper
Garbage bags
Feminine hygiene stuff
Dog food
Bleach
Bleach wipes
Alcohol (sanitary kind, already WELL prepared with the other sort)
Dawn
Tide
Spray bottles
A few bags of rice. (Cheap and easy to make)

The idea is that if I need to, I can walk away from my job and stay home for a period of 2-5 months with limited excursion outside.  I figure that a mask, goggles, tyvek suit, etc will be worn during excursions with a decon when I return.  My house is already locked down with no visitors and the wife unit will not be taking the kids anywhere.
We are planning for the worst.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:32:28 AM EST
[#16]
There are reports this evening of a young man IIRC who has evidence of this virus in his lungs via CTS [I guess] and has no external symptoms.

Asymptomatic carrier. Part of a cluster IIRC.

Cause for a LOT of concern.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:33:07 AM EST
[#17]
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Quoted:

@EXPY37 I am planning a big shopping day tomorrow. Main focus is stuff to sustain us for 3 months. I have a ton of food but lack in other areas.
So far the list is
Toilet paper
Garbage bags
Feminine hygiene stuff
Dog food
Bleach
Bleach wipes
Alcohol (sanitary kind, already WELL prepared with the other sort)
Dawn
Tide
Spray bottles
A few bags of rice. (Cheap and easy to make)

The idea is that if I need to, I can walk away from my job and stay home for a period of 2-5 months with limited excursion outside.  I figure that a mask, goggles, tyvek suit, etc will be worn during excursions with a decon when I return.  My house is already locked down with no visitors and the wife unit will not be taking the kids anywhere.
We are planning for the worst.
View Quote
Thank you.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:37:31 AM EST
[#18]
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Quoted:
There are reports this evening of a young man IIRC who has evidence of this virus in his lungs via CTS [I guess] and has no external symptoms.

Asymptomatic carrier. Part of a cluster IIRC.

Cause for a LOT of concern.
View Quote
Imagine. When you feel sick you stay home. Most diseases don’t have a 10 day incubation period.

With the shitty info coming out of China we have crap day and crap results.
The few cases here will allow us to track the infection and get good data and go from there. Person A brings it here from China.  Infected people B-G. We then figure out when B-G interacted with A and now we have an incubation period that didn’t come from a communist country.
The next week will get us a clearer picture of how bad it is.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:38:17 AM EST
[#19]
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Quoted:
As soon as I heard China started locking down a few days ago, I knew it was no joke. I freshened up my stocks for 3 months worth and bought/added masks and more hand soap to the stocks. IF it hits local, I’m shutting the household down and staying put. Easy enough to wait it out and avoid people
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Quoted:
Quoted:

I concur with Gator.  It is getting me a bit more concerned.  I am going to have the wife stock up on provisions to minimize our family exposure.
As soon as I heard China started locking down a few days ago, I knew it was no joke. I freshened up my stocks for 3 months worth and bought/added masks and more hand soap to the stocks. IF it hits local, I’m shutting the household down and staying put. Easy enough to wait it out and avoid people
I have a solid 12 hours of food on hand so I’ll be making a run tomorrow.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:41:24 AM EST
[#20]
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Quoted:
Dr. Niman in his podcast tonight has said similar things, although he recognizes the .chinagov data is biased to make the situation look milder than it is.
View Quote View All Quotes
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
The entire thread that doctor posted

Even if the R0 level is lower (some people are saying 2.2, 2.5, 2.8), it's still pretty damn scary.
Dr. Niman in his podcast tonight has said similar things, although he recognizes the .chinagov data is biased to make the situation look milder than it is.
The biggest question is that we haven't seen China react the way they have this past week in memorable history; why have they 'locked down' 30+ million people?
The big unanswered question is whether they are reacting, over-reacting, or trying to posture for foreign perception?

The answer to that question holds the key to our fate for the near future.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:45:55 AM EST
[#21]
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Quoted:
The biggest question is that we haven't seen China react the way they have this past week in memorable history; why have they 'locked down' 30+ million people?
The big unanswered question is whether they are reacting, over-reacting, or trying to posture for foreign perception?

The answer to that question holds the key to our fate for the near future.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
The entire thread that doctor posted

Even if the R0 level is lower (some people are saying 2.2, 2.5, 2.8), it's still pretty damn scary.
Dr. Niman in his podcast tonight has said similar things, although he recognizes the .chinagov data is biased to make the situation look milder than it is.
The biggest question is that we haven't seen China react the way they have this past week in memorable history; why have they 'locked down' 30+ million people?
The big unanswered question is whether they are reacting, over-reacting, or trying to posture for foreign perception?

The answer to that question holds the key to our fate for the near future.
I don’t think they would over react for a “paper cut” as a member put it.  I also can’t see China wasting huge amounts of resources and shut it all down to appease trump or whoever.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:46:56 AM EST
[#22]
I also pulled most of my money out of the stock market.  I figure consumer confidence is gonna be down. plus some regulatory stuff in my biggest stock I had (PG&E) is coming down the pipe Monday.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:48:19 AM EST
[#23]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

Imagine. When you feel sick you stay home. Most diseases don’t have a 10 day incubation period.

With the shitty info coming out of China we have crap day and crap results.
The few cases here will allow us to track the infection and get good data and go from there. Person A brings it here from China.  Infected people B-G. We then figure out when B-G interacted with A and now we have an incubation period that didn’t come from a communist country.
The next week will get us a clearer picture of how bad it is.
View Quote
Exactly.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:50:30 AM EST
[#24]
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Quoted:

I have a solid 12 hours of food on hand so I’ll be making a run tomorrow.
View Quote
Good on you.  Rice, beans,  cooking oil,  cubed bullion, salt, and pepper are cheap enough.  Oh, a few bottles of hot sauce too. That’s my backup to my backup. I have 45 days of mre and dried food.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:53:14 AM EST
[#25]
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Quoted:
I also pulled most of my money out of the stock market.  I figure consumer confidence is gonna be down. plus some regulatory stuff in my biggest stock I had (PG&E) is coming down the pipe Monday.
View Quote
Seems prudent.
NOW, Buy a 40 foot connex full of hand sanitizer, face masks, and bleach..
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:55:08 AM EST
[#26]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

The biggest question is that we haven't seen China react the way they have this past week in memorable history; why have they 'locked down' 30+ million people?
The big unanswered question is whether they are reacting, over-reacting, or trying to posture for foreign perception?

The answer to that question holds the key to our fate for the near future.
View Quote
My thought is, in addition to generally slowing the spread of infection, they locked down the big cities to reduce exposure of agriculture producers in the countryside so food can be supplied, and to try to reduce impact on some industrial producers to preserve technical capacity that can be called on once the virus burns out.

Closing some of the large cities can't help not to have affected their economy, and by next week, significantly.

They have other reasons, to maintain morale of the public, and to preserve and supply the Party, etc.

There is speculation that by now, the quarantine of the cities will have little further benefit.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:55:46 AM EST
[#27]
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Quoted:
I also pulled most of my money out of the stock market.  I figure consumer confidence is gonna be down. plus some regulatory stuff in my biggest stock I had (PG&E) is coming down the pipe Monday.
View Quote
The SM is a huge bubble of over-valuation.

Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:56:27 AM EST
[#28]
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Quoted:
You're right, someone spent 11 years tweeting 9200 times pretending to be a real-life high profile epidemiologist just so they could troll you.

I spent 7 years in a bioinformatics doctoral program at Georgia Tech studying, among other things, epidemiology, and I know enough to realize that the man in question . . .

"He graduated from The Johns Hopkins University with Honors in Public Health and Phi Beta Kappa. He then completed his dual doctorate in epidemiology and doctorate in nutrition, as the youngest graduate to earn double-PhDs at age 23 from Harvard. Teaching at Harvard for over 15 years, he has advised and mentored 2 dozen students, and lectured in more than a dozen graduate and undergraduate courses, for which he received the Derek Bok Distinction in Teaching Award from Harvard College"

. . . is what some people might consider an "expert" on the subject at hand.

https://scholar.harvard.edu/ericding

For what it's worth, I don't believe in global warming for the same reason I am worried about corona virus - I can do the math myself.
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Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:

Did you read the whole sequence of tweets? He is being deadly serious.

So odd questions as I don't twitter but...

Do you know this man personally?
Do you know if he is really a doctor? Or pathologist?
Are you taking the post at face value because the title of his account?
Can I create a twitter account with Dr in my name?
I'm a meteorologist by trade. Can I post that global warming is gonna kill us all like 10 years ago? Or maybe in 50?

I guess most important question: Why do you believe that to be genuine?
You're right, someone spent 11 years tweeting 9200 times pretending to be a real-life high profile epidemiologist just so they could troll you.

I spent 7 years in a bioinformatics doctoral program at Georgia Tech studying, among other things, epidemiology, and I know enough to realize that the man in question . . .

"He graduated from The Johns Hopkins University with Honors in Public Health and Phi Beta Kappa. He then completed his dual doctorate in epidemiology and doctorate in nutrition, as the youngest graduate to earn double-PhDs at age 23 from Harvard. Teaching at Harvard for over 15 years, he has advised and mentored 2 dozen students, and lectured in more than a dozen graduate and undergraduate courses, for which he received the Derek Bok Distinction in Teaching Award from Harvard College"

. . . is what some people might consider an "expert" on the subject at hand.

https://scholar.harvard.edu/ericding

For what it's worth, I don't believe in global warming for the same reason I am worried about corona virus - I can do the math myself.
You know, the guy's credentials are impeccable. Impressive enough that I wanted to find out more.

Well. He happens to also be the current treasurer of the Paul & Daisy Soros Foundation.

https://www.pdsoros.org/meet-the-fellows/eric-ding

Paul (d. 2013) was George's brother, and had an interesting past.

Their current foundation works to promote anyone who isn't born here (or whose parents happened to be immigrants).

China would be a weird, yet logical place for an engineered planet-cleaning virus to start. Bad stuff always seems to start there. Perfect cover. Say someone, or some group engineered a novel virus, and also engineered the cure. Reserved of course for those deemed worthy.

Weren't Gates and some of his fellow overpopulation travelers talking about reducing the planet's population to around 500 million? Would have to start with China and India first.

Plus the Soros clans and others have the resources to park their butts in any secluded place on earth, while a viral wildfire overruns everywhere else. Or maybe there's no need, if they've already had their "flu shot"

Just sayin'

@BlackTuono
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:56:48 AM EST
[#29]
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Quoted:
The SM is a huge bubble of over-valuation.

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Quoted:
Quoted:
I also pulled most of my money out of the stock market.  I figure consumer confidence is gonna be down. plus some regulatory stuff in my biggest stock I had (PG&E) is coming down the pipe Monday.
The SM is a huge bubble of over-valuation.

I’m happy with my gains.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:59:21 AM EST
[#30]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

You know, the guy's credentials are impeccable. Impressive enough that I wanted to find out more.

Well. He happens to also be the current treasurer of the Paul & Daisy Soros Foundation.

https://www.pdsoros.org/meet-the-fellows/eric-ding

Paul (d. 2013) was Geoege's brother, and had an interesting past.

Their current foundation works to promote anyone who isn't born here (or whose parents happened to be immigrants).

China would be a weird, yet logical place for an engineered planet-cleaning virus to start. Bad stuff always seems to start there. Perfect cover. Say someone, or some group engineered a novel virus, and also engineered the cure. Reserved of course for those deemed worthy.

Weren't Gates and some of his fellow overpopulation travelers talking about reducing the planet's population to around 500 million? Would have to start with China and India first.

Just sayin'
View Quote
Quite interesting background. I trust mosquitoes more than Gates.

Yep, my thoughts exactly, that this may have been engineered, and MAYBE NOT BY CHINA, but dropped in their lap for deniability purposes.

Interesting timing...
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 1:59:51 AM EST
[#31]
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Quoted:

I’m happy with my gains.
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You'll be happier if you can retain them...

Link Posted: 1/25/2020 2:02:25 AM EST
[#32]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

Quite interesting background. I trust mosquitoes more than Gates.

Yep, my thoughts exactly, that this may have been engineered, and MAYBE NOT BY CHINA, but dropped in their lap for deniability purposes.

Interesting timing...
View Quote
Would explain China's highly unusual strong response.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 2:13:53 AM EST
[#33]
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Quoted:

Would explain China's highly unusual strong response.
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China is technically advanced in the virology field, maybe more than any other country, with far more experience dealing with issues.

Certainly the Chinese working in foreign labs are funneling most of the discoveries back home.

And their virology investments are, I'll bet, more directed to military use than any other purpose.

Interesting and quite dangerous.

Waiting to see how long before the nCoV shows up in the DC area, and Trump's reaction.

Wouldn't surprise me [altho I expect I'm pretty much alone ] if this event were linked to the Swamp Draining and Impeachment.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 2:18:47 AM EST
[#34]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

You know, the guy's credentials are impeccable. Impressive enough that I wanted to find out more.

Well. He happens to also be the current treasurer of the Paul & Daisy Soros Foundation.

https://www.pdsoros.org/meet-the-fellows/eric-ding

Paul (d. 2013) was George's brother, and had an interesting past.

Their current foundation works to promote anyone who isn't born here (or whose parents happened to be immigrants).

China would be a weird, yet logical place for an engineered planet-cleaning virus to start. Bad stuff always seems to start there. Perfect cover. Say someone, or some group engineered a novel virus, and also engineered the cure. Reserved of course for those deemed worthy.

Weren't Gates and some of his fellow overpopulation travelers talking about reducing the planet's population to around 500 million? Would have to start with China and India first.

Plus the Soros clans and others have the resources to park their butts in any secluded place on earth, while a viral wildfire overruns everywhere else. Or maybe there's no need, if they've already had their "flu shot"

Just sayin'

@BlackTuono
View Quote
"Well. He happens to also be the current treasurer of the Paul & Daisy Soros Foundation. "

Link Posted: 1/25/2020 2:24:51 AM EST
[#35]
You guys need to go back to your mythical creatures forum.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 2:24:53 AM EST
[#36]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quite interesting background. I trust mosquitoes more than Gates.

Yep, my thoughts exactly, that this may have been engineered, and MAYBE NOT BY CHINA, but dropped in their lap for deniability purposes.

Interesting timing...
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:

You know, the guy's credentials are impeccable. Impressive enough that I wanted to find out more.

Well. He happens to also be the current treasurer of the Paul & Daisy Soros Foundation.

https://www.pdsoros.org/meet-the-fellows/eric-ding

Paul (d. 2013) was Geoege's brother, and had an interesting past.

Their current foundation works to promote anyone who isn't born here (or whose parents happened to be immigrants).

China would be a weird, yet logical place for an engineered planet-cleaning virus to start. Bad stuff always seems to start there. Perfect cover. Say someone, or some group engineered a novel virus, and also engineered the cure. Reserved of course for those deemed worthy.

Weren't Gates and some of his fellow overpopulation travelers talking about reducing the planet's population to around 500 million? Would have to start with China and India first.

Just sayin'
Quite interesting background. I trust mosquitoes more than Gates.

Yep, my thoughts exactly, that this may have been engineered, and MAYBE NOT BY CHINA, but dropped in their lap for deniability purposes.

Interesting timing...
It's also possible this was a bioweapon and sloppy lab practices allowed it to get out. With it's fairly long incubation period, the afflicted wouldn't know he was contaminated.  This would also explain the exceptionally heavy handed manner in which they're addressing it.

Absolute worst case scenario is it being able to spread without the infected being symptomatic, either in the case of a carrier mentioned above, or being able to be spread during incubation.  No one wants a Typhoid Mary.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 2:38:12 AM EST
[#37]
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Quoted:
So odd questions as I don't twitter but...

Do you know this man personally?
Do you know if he is really a doctor? Or pathologist?
Are you taking the post at face value because the title of his account?
Can I create a twitter account with Dr in my name?
I'm a meteorologist by trade. Can I post that global warming is gonna kill us all like 10 years ago? Or maybe in 50?

I guess most important question: Why do you believe that to be genuine?
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Did you read the whole sequence of tweets? He is being deadly serious.

So odd questions as I don't twitter but...

Do you know this man personally?
Do you know if he is really a doctor? Or pathologist?
Are you taking the post at face value because the title of his account?
Can I create a twitter account with Dr in my name?
I'm a meteorologist by trade. Can I post that global warming is gonna kill us all like 10 years ago? Or maybe in 50?

I guess most important question: Why do you believe that to be genuine?
Never mind, beat...
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 2:44:01 AM EST
[#38]
https://www.ar15.com/forums/General/Saudi-Arabian-Purqe-thread-Continued-/192-2245431/?page=330#i83155205

Found by PFran42, modified for legibility by StealthM8 and Brass...

Unknown source and validity. Reminds one of FBIANON.

Link Posted: 1/25/2020 2:57:25 AM EST
[#39]
^pure unadulterated bullshit @expy37 stop wasting our bandwidth with that tinfoil

edit: on second thought, that's actually pretty funny... secret delivery... special payload... who comes up with that tripe
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 3:21:23 AM EST
[#40]
https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/china-2019-ncov/821830-china-2019-ncov-cases-in-several-provinces-and-cities-including-confirmed-health-care-workers-at-least-41-deaths/page42

Today, 02:41 AM

BAD NEWS: No symptoms, but still carriers.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/soci...KhZ1RVBT1fWw1U
Published: 12:45pm, 25 Jan, 2020
Doctors warn China coronavirus carriers may show no symptoms of illness•CAT scan revealed signs of pneumonia on 10-year-old Shenzhen boy’s lungs even though he had no outward signs of infection
Quote:

The findings were reported in Friday’s edition of The Lancet medical journal by a team of doctors which included top Hong Kong infectious diseases expert Professor Yuen Kwok-yung, and was based on their study of a family of seven admitted to the University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital between January 10-15.

Six members of the family were later diagnosed with the coronavirus – known as 2019-nCoV – which is causing increasing alarm around the world, with no clues on how it spreads. Of the six family members infected with the virus, a 10-year-old boy initially showed no outward symptoms but a CAT scan of his lungs revealed irregularities called ground-glass pneumonic changes.[url=https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/china-2019-ncov/821830-china-2019-ncov-cases-in-several-provinces-and-cities-including-confirmed-health-care-workers-at-least-41-deaths/page42]
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 3:25:35 AM EST
[#41]
https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/the-pandemic-discussion-forum/824048-discussion-videos-news-reports-various-information-about-what-is-going-on-in-the-blocked-off-cities-in-china/page2

Recent---

Today, 03:12 AM

https://twitter.com/i/status/1220946590858264576

(In Chinese with English subtitles). Voice message from a medical staff in Wuhan: "Indeed, the infection is much more horrible than it's reported on TV. There are so many cases. Doctors have estimated about 100,000 infected. We have more than 10 doctors here, and each doctor has treated more than 100 infected people in just one day. Many of them will not make it. No hospital beds. Their relatives complained and insisted on being treated in our hospital as they quoted the government's promise the hospital should treated those infected with the coronavirus. However, the government didn't support us with medical supplies. We don't have enough resources to hospitalize patients. It won't work if the situation worsens like this. We've been slammed all day long and we are all breaking down. We cannot take it anymore. The patients were begging us desperately, but we couldn't do anything. They are dying right in front of our eyes. Therefore, please take every measure to protect yourselves at home. Don't EVER trust the government. We are on our own now."
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 3:59:14 AM EST
[#42]
@EXPY37

Your last two posts are utterly hilarious.

Tell me...you don't actually believe any of that bullshit do you?
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 4:09:48 AM EST
[#43]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
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Thank you.
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@EXPY37 I am planning a big shopping day tomorrow. Main focus is stuff to sustain us for 3 months. I have a ton of food but lack in other areas.
So far the list is
Toilet paper
Garbage bags
Feminine hygiene stuff
Dog food
Bleach
Bleach wipes
Alcohol (sanitary kind, already WELL prepared with the other sort)
Dawn
Tide
Spray bottles
A few bags of rice. (Cheap and easy to make)

The idea is that if I need to, I can walk away from my job and stay home for a period of 2-5 months with limited excursion outside.  I figure that a mask, goggles, tyvek suit, etc will be worn during excursions with a decon when I return.  My house is already locked down with no visitors and the wife unit will not be taking the kids anywhere.
We are planning for the worst.
Thank you.
Good list. I shopped yesterday but forgot some of those items.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 4:19:51 AM EST
[#44]
Photoshop request @paspeedmaster @doc_zox @ all the rest of the PS geniuses

"TRAIN TO WUHAN"



Not sure who to replace the guy's face with? Xi? Jackie Chan? Iron Chef Chen Kenichi?

Link Posted: 1/25/2020 5:27:03 AM EST
[#45]
Yesterday the WA state patient had had contact with 16 people.

Oops, today the Seattle times is saying 50 people.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 5:36:23 AM EST
[#46]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Did you read the whole sequence of tweets? He is being deadly serious.

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Harvard School of Public Health guy speaking here . . .
He is being sarcastic on multiple fronts... the guy should know that highly contextualized sarcasm carries extremely poorly in a tweet. It makes him more of a Twit.

We use R0 as one of many values for epidemiological modeling purposes. GleamViz engine with an appropriate model accurately modeled the H1N1 outbreak. R0 is greatly useful for calculating vaccination needs to have community immunity (herd immunity).

R0 is an elusive value though...
Did you read the whole sequence of tweets? He is being deadly serious.

I’d love to contract it soon. Better now with good supportive care available than once the shortages of supplies, meds, equipment, and beds starts. Most folks don’t understand how many commonly used drugs are in short supply at any given time.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 5:46:00 AM EST
[#47]
BAD NEWS: No symptoms, but still carriers.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3047636/doctors-warn-china-coronavirus-carriers-may-show-no-symptoms
Published: 12:45pm, 25 Jan, 2020
Doctors warn China coronavirus carriers may show no symptoms of illness
CAT scan revealed signs of pneumonia on 10-year-old Shenzhen boy’s lungs even though he had no outward signs of infection
Quote:

The findings were reported in Friday’s edition of The Lancet medical journal by a team of doctors which included top Hong Kong infectious diseases expert Professor Yuen Kwok-yung, and was based on their study of a family of seven admitted to the University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital between January 10-15.

Six members of the family were later diagnosed with the coronavirus – known as 2019-nCoV – which is causing increasing alarm around the world, with no clues on how it spreads. Of the six family members infected with the virus, a 10-year-old boy initially showed no outward symptoms but a CAT scan of his lungs revealed irregularities called ground-glass pneumonic changes

Without close surveillance, these patients – described by researchers as “cryptic cases of walking pneumonia” – could prove to be yet another factor in the dangerous trajectory of the Wuhan virus, with the number of infections and countries affected rising rapidly.
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Link Posted: 1/25/2020 5:48:32 AM EST
[#48]
Anybody have Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding's deleted 8th (in the series) tweet?

Folks referencing it were quite dramatic.
Link Posted: 1/25/2020 6:02:01 AM EST
[#49]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Yesterday the WA state patient had had contact with 16 people.

Oops, today the Seattle times is saying 50 people.
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Woooopssssiiiiiieeeeeeeeeeee!!!

Link Posted: 1/25/2020 6:06:44 AM EST
[#50]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Of the original 41 patients 6 died. 15% mortality rate. Not sure how representative that is.

It’s also reported the first patient was not at the wet market.

https://www.thelancet.com/pb-assets/Lancet/pdfs/S0140673620301835.pdf
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Based on that, the fatality rate is 42%

The data I used for that is 18ish hours old.

Just FYI

https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/284035/chart_1-24_PNG-1247866.JPG
Of the original 41 patients 6 died. 15% mortality rate. Not sure how representative that is.

It’s also reported the first patient was not at the wet market.

https://www.thelancet.com/pb-assets/Lancet/pdfs/S0140673620301835.pdf
Early patients typically get care.

Later patients may get limited to none.

Fatality rate would increase. The sick seem literally unconscious from the Wuhan footage. Without medical care? Without any care? Fudge.
Page / 33
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