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Originally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: Who all trains here? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: Originally Posted By thesilvercord:
https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/327183/90DBDB18-7526-4B76-A2EC-726AE0FD34E1_jpe-2311565.JPG https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/327183/EF0A1A8B-FFD5-42F4-930B-3F3AFB1C3135_jpe-2311566.JPG Who all trains here? What’s the possibility of it also being a depot for all the arms coming in from Poland considering it’s proximity? |
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"This is not about freedom or personal choice" - Joe Biden to America
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Originally Posted By Element94: Thats the body of the journalist. Look at post #29 on this page. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Element94: Originally Posted By hondaciv: A dead Russian Nazi in Ukraine to rid Ukraine of Nazis https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/122973/Screenshot_from_2022-03-13_08-35-36_png-2311685.JPG Thats the body of the journalist. Look at post #29 on this page. nope, Brent Renaud has a fleece pullover on. |
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Originally Posted By Birddog15: Came here to say this. I think what he is getting at is that even though old folks spend less, politicians tend to print money to take care of them. There are not enough young workers paying taxes to take care of all the aging boomers. In the real world where decisions are made based on political considerations, demographics CAN drive economics. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Birddog15: Originally Posted By Suburbanhillbilly: People's disposable income and spending have nothing to do with it. But because Social Security and Medicare depend on the taxes levied on the next generation, the relative numbers between those two groups is certainly critical. And if the retiring generation is larger than the tax paying generation, that is unsustainable without some degree of inflationary policies. The govt must borrow (sell bonds), or print. They just use the Fed to make all that easier for themselves. But as for what you're saying about Russia and the cold war, yes. Anything could happen. A Serb could assasinate an Archduke and start the ball rolling. Could. But it's not likely. And if you'd not been so quick to dismiss the rest of the lecture, you'd get that. Russia ~ and China ~ will not be likely to feed themselves, much less take over the free world. Came here to say this. I think what he is getting at is that even though old folks spend less, politicians tend to print money to take care of them. There are not enough young workers paying taxes to take care of all the aging boomers. In the real world where decisions are made based on political considerations, demographics CAN drive economics. Take this shit to the inflation thread |
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Orwell and Huxley were optimists
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Originally Posted By nickmemphis: A few other thoughts about global thermonuclear war. First of all, if it happens at all, there won't be any nonsense about limited this, and restrained ROE bullshit. The first time someone lets a nuke loose in anger, every other nuclear power on the planet is going to freak and use theirs before they lose them. Weapon accuracy CEP is like <100 meters now, so no one has any launch sites that can survive that, so it's immediately launch now or forever hold your peace. With reference to ground based ICBM sites in fixed locations. You can't exactly keep them secret anymore. View Quote Many people think it’s just the US and Russia launching at each other. Once one Nuke goes off they all get launched. Russia will launch them at U.S., Europe, China, Australia, China will launch at U.S., Australia, Russia, etc India will launch at Pakistan and China. Israel will nuke Iran, etc It’s not like Russia would nuke us and allow China not to get nuked. |
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Originally Posted By cryo_tech: You do you. This shit happens on my soil, I'm not taking prisoners. Geneva convention? I stopped being bound by that the day I got my dd. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By cryo_tech: Originally Posted By hondaciv: Originally Posted By cryo_tech: Originally Posted By Freiheit8472: Captured occupiers in Mariupol school Guess they’re close enough to infiltrate some…? https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/539199/7F532D60-D753-4F7C-94F0-76A1111011ED_jpe-2311614.JPG For the 10th time. They are bombing hospitals, targeting civilians. Stop.... Taking.... Prisoners.... For the 10th time, when you surrender, you are a POW. You don't fight war crimes with war crimes in the court of public opinion. Which is the only way Ukraine wins this war. You do you. This shit happens on my soil, I'm not taking prisoners. Geneva convention? I stopped being bound by that the day I got my dd. POWs are one thing. It would ultimately mean terrible PR. However, the spies, the agents that dress in Ukr. uniform and then deploy with the idea to sabotage something are not covered by the Geneva convention. They should line them up against the wall and have it broadcast all over the world. Maybe that will deter the other groups that they constantly send. Ukrainians have been way too nice actually. Try that with Russia and see what happens. They will send you to Gulag for 30 years best-case scenario. |
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Originally Posted By Element94: Thats the body of the journalist. Look at post #29 on this page. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Element94: Originally Posted By hondaciv: A dead Russian Nazi in Ukraine to rid Ukraine of Nazis https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/122973/Screenshot_from_2022-03-13_08-35-36_png-2311685.JPG Thats the body of the journalist. Look at post #29 on this page. Pretty sure it's 2 different people. The Nazi has a turtleneck-thing on. Attached File |
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God Bless Edward Snowden.
God Bless Ammon Bundy. quod est necessarium est licitum Interim call sign: Tiffany |
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God's grace is not cheap; it's free.
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Originally Posted By ITCHY-FINGER: The Germans in WWII had a badge for individual tank kills. This was earned the old fashioned way by running up to the tank and attaching a bomb or climbing on and using grenades. Some dudes had so many on their sleeve they had no room for more badges. View Quote Precisely what I was referring to. Since they are nazis and all |
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Gary Willis did not comply.
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Originally Posted By hondaciv: Pretty sure it's 2 different people. The Nazi has a turtleneck-thing on. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/122973/Screenshot_from_2022-03-13_09-05-55_png-2311710.JPG View Quote Damn!! Hell of a coincidence!!! |
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Gary Willis did not comply.
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Originally Posted By Nailcrusher: You know nothing about the man except who he worked for. He was there risking his life to report to the world what's going on. And he paid the ultimate price. Go be edgy somewhere else. View Quote Thank you. I wish more people would challenge idiotic posters from spewing that kind of poisonous garbage. |
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Daddy loves you. Now go away.
Ruthless ruler of cubicle B300.2C.983 |
Originally Posted By Cincinnatus: Eventually, Russia could “win,” in that they could take (or destroy) most of the cities and the Government of Ukraine could fall (or go into exile). An insurgency will rage. There will be no more prisoners taken at that point. Quislings will be assassinated. In the end Russia will not be able to keep Ukraine. View Quote Plus 1 |
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Originally Posted By Element94: Its a green fleece pullover. Did you look at post 29? He has the same blue/black undershirt. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Element94: Originally Posted By Chokey: nope, Brent Renaud has a fleece pullover on. Its a green fleece pullover. Did you look at post 29? He has the same blue/black undershirt. The reporter is wearing fleece over a blue/black t-shirt, the Russian is wearing a knit pullover over a brown t-shirt over a blue or black cold weather undershirt. they're not even the same color green. |
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God's grace is not cheap; it's free.
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Grammatik Faschist-Yes that's me in the hat
OK, USA
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Hard bunker shelters and military installations are basically obsolete in terms of a nuclear war situation. The weapons are just too damn accurate now. There's been a war between armor and weapons for ten thousand years, and so far the clear winner is an accurately delivered nuke. it's literally the ultimate trump card weapon, because we have no ability to make armor that can withstand even a small nuke. If it' blows right there, like. We literally have no idea at all how to build anything out of any known combinations of materials that can survive a direct nukular splosion.
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-.- --. --- .. .. -.- . .
What may be known about God is plain to them, because God has made it plain to them. Nothing makes a man's jollies feel more secure than a big bore handgun protecting the goods. Justabulletaway |
Hope and a bit of progress, and leverage of winning battles.
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Originally Posted By Element94: Its a green fleece pullover. Did you look at post 29? He has the same blue/black undershirt. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Element94: Originally Posted By Chokey: nope, Brent Renaud has a fleece pullover on. Its a green fleece pullover. Did you look at post 29? He has the same blue/black undershirt. Dead nazi has dark blue undershirt and camo undershirt under fleece. American has black shirt under fleece |
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"Endeavor to Persevere."
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Originally Posted By Abakan: You never read Sun Tzu, right? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Abakan: Originally Posted By cryo_tech: Originally Posted By Freiheit8472: Captured occupiers in Mariupol school Guess they’re close enough to infiltrate some…? https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/539199/7F532D60-D753-4F7C-94F0-76A1111011ED_jpe-2311614.JPG For the 10th time. They are bombing hospitals, targeting civilians. Stop.... Taking.... Prisoners.... You never read Sun Tzu, right? Hundreds surrender every day and these numb nuts want to give them a reason to fight to the death lmao |
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Renaud exit wound was right side occiptal/temporal, that’s why he’s on the side of the road, and why they took a picture from the left side.
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In the area of Gostomel orcs decided to build pontoon crossings.
Our Cossacks toasted them a little. Glory of the Nation 🇺🇦 https://t.me/irpininteresting/4259 Attached File |
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God Bless Edward Snowden.
God Bless Ammon Bundy. quod est necessarium est licitum Interim call sign: Tiffany |
Originally Posted By M-1975: Because Lord knows, two different people can't possibly wear similar color combos, especially in the same country. The reporter is wearing fleece over a blue/black t-shirt, the Russian is wearing a knit pullover over a brown t-shirt over a blue or black cold weather undershirt. they're not even the same color green. View Quote Color could be due to photo processing but it doesn't look like the same ribbing pattern on the pullover. |
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Bad things happen in isolated instances in an armed populace, horrific things happen to a disarmed populace. 20th Century Democide https://www.hawaii.edu/powerkills/20TH.HTM
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Originally Posted By kncook: Many people think it’s just the US and Russia launching at each other. Once one Nuke goes off they all get launched. Russia will launch them at U.S., Europe, China, Australia, China will launch at U.S., Australia, Russia, etc India will launch at Pakistan and China. Israel will nuke Iran, etc It’s not like Russia would nuke us and allow China not to get nuked. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By kncook: Originally Posted By nickmemphis: A few other thoughts about global thermonuclear war. First of all, if it happens at all, there won't be any nonsense about limited this, and restrained ROE bullshit. The first time someone lets a nuke loose in anger, every other nuclear power on the planet is going to freak and use theirs before they lose them. Weapon accuracy CEP is like <100 meters now, so no one has any launch sites that can survive that, so it's immediately launch now or forever hold your peace. With reference to ground based ICBM sites in fixed locations. You can't exactly keep them secret anymore. Many people think it’s just the US and Russia launching at each other. Once one Nuke goes off they all get launched. Russia will launch them at U.S., Europe, China, Australia, China will launch at U.S., Australia, Russia, etc India will launch at Pakistan and China. Israel will nuke Iran, etc It’s not like Russia would nuke us and allow China not to get nuked. There's a guy working on a simulator for this, this is assuming all missiles work, no failures, and no intercepted missiles. Nuclear War Simulator - First Look |
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It's not stupid, it's advanced!!
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Originally Posted By M-1975: Because Lord knows, two different people can't possibly wear similar color combos, especially in the same country. The reporter is wearing fleece over a blue/black t-shirt, the Russian is wearing a knit pullover over a brown t-shirt over a blue or black cold weather undershirt. they're not even the same color green. View Quote In his defense,some hopeless dullard couldn’t tell that 2 photos of Zelensky were taken at different times and therefore came to the conclusion that Fox News edited the Nazi symbol off his shirt so it’s not actually the dumbest thing anyone has regarding about different color green shirts on Arf in the past 24 hours 🤷🏼♂️ |
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Originally Posted By thesilvercord: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/327183/25E5B4AC-C8E2-4CA4-8075-50575AAA8FAA_jpe-2311701.JPG View Quote So NATO IS getting too close to Ukraine. That's it Ukraine had it coming. Just kidding, slava ukraini. |
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Grammatik Faschist-Yes that's me in the hat
OK, USA
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Originally Posted By FrankSL: If it’s such a shitty peasant design why did non-Warsaw Pact states such as South Africa, Finland, and Israel use a variant of it? Good AKs are more accurate than people think. Shitty irons don’t help it. View Quote Because it works. In the real world, very few firefights at the tactical level involve super shooter benchrester types exchanging fire at 400+ yards. Anyone can hit people in a 1200 square foot building, which is about 4x the distance of most actual firefights. |
-.- --. --- .. .. -.- . .
What may be known about God is plain to them, because God has made it plain to them. Nothing makes a man's jollies feel more secure than a big bore handgun protecting the goods. Justabulletaway |
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And whoever SHOOTS FIRST has a decided advantage in almost every scenario.
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They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety. - Benjamin Franklin, 1775 |
Originally Posted By Star_Scream: If you follow the big OSINT accounts on Twitter you'll catch most of them. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Star_Scream: Originally Posted By HiramRanger: Damn I hate this thread, can’t read every page and so I miss the cool links. If you follow the big OSINT accounts on Twitter you'll catch most of them. @Star_Scream Share the wealth. What does your OSINT list look like? I'd like to compare. |
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"The beatings will continue until morale improves." - Youknowwho
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Originally Posted By M-1975: Because Lord knows, two different people can't possibly wear similar color combos, especially in the same country. The reporter is wearing fleece over a blue/black t-shirt, the Russian is wearing a knit pullover over a brown t-shirt over a blue or black cold weather undershirt. they're not even the same color green. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By M-1975: Originally Posted By Element94: Originally Posted By Chokey: nope, Brent Renaud has a fleece pullover on. Its a green fleece pullover. Did you look at post 29? He has the same blue/black undershirt. The reporter is wearing fleece over a blue/black t-shirt, the Russian is wearing a knit pullover over a brown t-shirt over a blue or black cold weather undershirt. they're not even the same color green. You need to drink decaf . |
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Gary Willis did not comply.
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Originally Posted By thesilvercord:
View Quote Oh dear God Why? |
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Originally Posted By whollyshite: @Star_Scream Share the wealth. What does your OSINT list look like? I'd like to compare. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By whollyshite: Originally Posted By Star_Scream: Originally Posted By HiramRanger: Damn I hate this thread, can’t read every page and so I miss the cool links. If you follow the big OSINT accounts on Twitter you'll catch most of them. @Star_Scream Share the wealth. What does your OSINT list look like? I'd like to compare. I follow these https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical https://twitter.com/sentdefender https://twitter.com/bot_osint |
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God Bless Edward Snowden.
God Bless Ammon Bundy. quod est necessarium est licitum Interim call sign: Tiffany |
Positive signals on both sides coming out of negotiations.
Ukrainians are in the difficult position of not upsetting their donors and supporters by agreeing to Russian appeasement, Russia just needs an agreement that upholds their initial goals (no NATO in Ukraine). Peace is the prize for Ukraine. For Russia, it's an agreement to not let Ukraine join NATO. |
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Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: There's a guy working on a simulator for this, this is assuming all missiles work, no failures, and no intercepted missiles. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55x11a0aKtY View Quote He posted the maximum damage scenaro for the US on twitter:
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It wasn't till years later that Conrad would realize love was just like communism - it was a great idea but never quite worked out.
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Active Air force officer looks at " No Fly Zones" Not recommended
No Fly Zones - Does a No Fly Zone Over Ukraine Make Sense |
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Originally Posted By gentlemanfarmer: 1/2 the population of the Donbass is not happy with the deal they got. The other half are brainwashed. View Quote Now would be a good time to liquidate them once Ukraine gets the upper hand. Russia and its little puppets in Crimea and Donbass are waging a war of extermination. It’s time to clean out the rats nests. |
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I've been battling some internal demons this week, so far I'm 0 for 6.
كافر. |
Infantry, sales, nurse. Shoulda kept the rifle...
ME, USA
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Originally Posted By Vinnland: He posted the maximum damage scenaro for the US on twitter:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FNsKR_OVsAMkRHY?format=jpg&name=4096x4096 View Quote Most up to date map I've seen posted thus far. Burlington, VT, Bangor, Me, Bath Iron Works, and Portsmouth Naval Shipyard all targeted. |
Proud Member of Team Ranstad. RIP RetMAC, we'll keep the mission alive.
Straddling the thin plastic line between psych nurse and patient. Now say 3 FBHOs and go in peace, my son-PorchDog Survivor of ARFBORTION 2016 |
Maniac has responded with a scornful remark
USA
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Originally Posted By SheltiePimp: Positive signals on both sides coming out of negotiations. Ukrainians are in the difficult position of not upsetting their donors and supporters by agreeing to Russian appeasement, Russia just needs an agreement that upholds their initial goals (no NATO in Ukraine). Peace is the prize for Ukraine. For Russia, it's an agreement to not let Ukraine join NATO. View Quote Keeping Ukraine out of nato is a red herring since they weren’t getting brought in. Also, that agreement would be as useful as the one where Russia promised not to invade inf they gave up their nukes. |
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Originally Posted By kbi: https://c.tenor.com/htlzZKVciZ8AAAAC/a10-gunrun.gif After the s300 and other AA systems had there AGM-88 appointments View Quote The A-10 is as formidable as Russian armor |
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Originally Posted By thesilvercord: Agreed. Feels like China is sitting back and taking a lot of notes right now for their next play. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By thesilvercord: Originally Posted By W_E_G: Originally Posted By thesilvercord:
https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/105614/1A23C137-B96B-445D-82AC-00FF509D885B_jpe-2311692.JPG https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/105614/9CA3EB46-8994-4732-9CD3-8C4C0F8BF52F_jpe-2311693.JPG Agreed. Feels like China is sitting back and taking a lot of notes right now for their next play. TL;DR: China chooses how this plays out and has a two week-ish window to make a choice. Align with the west to achieve peace or align with Russia and sign up for war. Possible Outcomes of the Russo-Ukrainian War and China’s Choice by US-China Perception Monitor March 12, 2022 Commentaries Hu Wei is the vice-chairman of the Public Policy Research Center of the Counselor’s Office of the State Council, the chairman of Shanghai Public Policy Research Association, the chairman of the Academic Committee of the Chahar Institute, a professor, and a doctoral supervisor. To read more by Hu, click here to read his article on “How did Deng Xiaoping coordinate domestic and international affairs?” Written on March 5, 2022. Translated by Jiaqi Liu on March 12, 2022. Click To View Spoiler The Russo-Ukrainian War is the most severe geopolitical conflict since World War II and will result in far greater global consequences than September 11 attacks. At this critical moment, China needs to accurately analyze and assess the direction of the war and its potential impact on the international landscape. At the same time, in order to strive for a relatively favorable external environment, China needs to respond flexibly and make strategic choices that conform to its long-term interests.
Russia’s ‘special military operation’ against Ukraine has caused great controvsery in China, with its supporters and opponents being divided into two implacably opposing sides. This article does not represent any party and, for the judgment and reference of the highest decision-making level in China, this article conducts an objective analysis on the possible war consequences along with their corresponding countermeasure options. I. Predicting the Future of the Russo-Ukrainian War 1. Vladimir Putin may be unable to achieve his expected goals, which puts Russia in a tight spot. The purpose of Putin’s attack was to completely solve the Ukrainian problem and divert attention from Russia’s domestic crisis by defeating Ukraine with a blitzkrieg, replacing its leadership, and cultivating a pro-Russian government. However, the blitzkrieg failed, and Russia is unable to support a protracted war and its associated high costs. Launching a nuclear war would put Russia on the opposite side of the whole world and is therefore unwinnable. The situations both at home and abroad are also increasingly unfavorable. Even if the Russian army were to occupy Ukraine’s capital Kyiv and set up a puppet government at a high cost, this would not mean final victory. At this point, Putin’s best option is to end the war decently through peace talks, which requires Ukraine to make substantial concessions. However, what is not attainable on the battlefield is also difficult to obtain at the negotiating table. In any case, this military action constitutes an irreversible mistake. 2. The conflict may escalate further, and the West’s eventual involvement in the war cannot be ruled out. While the escalation of the war would be costly, there is a high probability that Putin will not give up easily given his character and power. The Russo-Ukrainian war may escalate beyond the scope and region of Ukraine, and may even include the possibility of a nuclear strike. Once this happens, the U.S. and Europe cannot stay aloof from the conflict, thus triggering a world war or even a nuclear war. The result would be a catastrophe for humanity and a showdown between the United States and Russia. This final confrontation, given that Russia’s military power is no match for NATO’s, would be even worse for Putin. 3. Even if Russia manages to seize Ukraine in a desperate gamble, it is still a political hot potato. Russia would thereafter carry a heavy burden and become overwhelmed. Under such circumstances, no matter whether Volodymyr Zelensky is alive or not, Ukraine will most likely set up a government-in-exile to confront Russia in the long term. Russia will be subject both to Western sanctions and rebellion within the territory of Ukraine. The battle lines will be drawn very long. The domestic economy will be unsustainable and will eventually be dragged down. This period will not exceed a few years. 4. The political situation in Russia may change or be disintegrated at the hands of the West. After Putin’s blitzkrieg failed, the hope of Russia’s victory is slim and Western sanctions have reached an unprecedented degree. As people’s livelihoods are severely affected and as anti-war and anti-Putin forces gather, the possibility of a political mutiny in Russia cannot be ruled out. With Russia’s economy on the verge of collapse, it would be difficult for Putin to prop up the perilous situation even without the loss of the Russo-Ukrainian war. If Putin were to be ousted from power due to civil strife, coup d’état, or another reason, Russia would be even less likely to confront the West. It would surely succumb to the West, or even be further dismembered, and Russia’s status as a great power would come to an end. II. Analysis of the Impact of Russo-Ukrainian war On International Landscape 1. The United States would regain leadership in the Western world, and the West would become more united. At present, public opinion believes that the Ukrainian war signifies a complete collapse of U.S. hegemony, but the war would in fact bring France and Germany, both of which wanted to break away from the U.S., back into the NATO defense framework, destroying Europe’s dream to achieve independent diplomacy and self-defense. Germany would greatly increase its military budget; Switzerland, Sweden, and other countries would abandon their neutrality. With Nord Stream 2 put on hold indefinitely, Europe’s reliance on US natural gas will inevitably increase. The US and Europe would form a closer community of shared future, and American leadership in the Western world will rebound. 2. The “Iron Curtain” would fall again not only from the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea, but also to the final confrontation between the Western-dominated camp and its competitors. The West will draw the line between democracies and authoritarian states, defining the divide with Russia as a struggle between democracy and dictatorship. The new Iron Curtain will no longer be drawn between the two camps of socialism and capitalism, nor will it be confined to the Cold War. It will be a life-and-death battle between those for and against Western democracy. The unity of the Western world under the Iron Curtain will have a siphon effect on other countries: the U.S. Indo-Pacific strategy will be consolidated, and other countries like Japan will stick even closer to the U.S., which will form an unprecedentedly broad democratic united front. 3. The power of the West will grow significantly, NATO will continue to expand, and U.S. influence in the non-Western world will increase. After the Russo-Ukrainian War, no matter how Russia achieves its political transformation, it will greatly weaken the anti-Western forces in the world. The scene after the 1991 Soviet and Eastern upheavals may repeat itself: theories on “the end of ideology” may reappear, the resurgence of the third wave of democratization will lose momentum, and more third world countries will embrace the West. The West will possess more “hegemony” both in terms of military power and in terms of values and institutions, its hard power and soft power will reach new heights. 4. China will become more isolated under the established framework. For the above reasons, if China does not take proactive measures to respond, it will encounter further containment from the US and the West. Once Putin falls, the U.S. will no longer face two strategic competitors but only have to lock China in strategic containment. Europe will further cut itself off from China; Japan will become the anti-China vanguard; South Korea will further fall to the U.S.; Taiwan will join the anti-China chorus, and the rest of the world will have to choose sides under herd mentality. China will not only be militarily encircled by the U.S., NATO, the QUAD, and AUKUS, but also be challenged by Western values and systems. III. China’s Strategic Choice 1. China cannot be tied to Putin and needs to be cut off as soon as possible. In the sense that an escalation of conflict between Russia and the West helps divert U.S. attention from China, China should rejoice with and even support Putin, but only if Russia does not fall. Being in the same boat with Putin will impact China should he lose power. Unless Putin can secure victory with China’s backing, a prospect which looks bleak at the moment, China does not have the clout to back Russia. The law of international politics says that there are “no eternal allies nor perpetual enemies,” but “our interests are eternal and perpetual.” Under current international circumstances, China can only proceed by safeguarding its own best interests, choosing the lesser of two evils, and unloading the burden of Russia as soon as possible. At present, it is estimated that there is still a window period of one or two weeks before China loses its wiggle room. China must act decisively. 2. China should avoid playing both sides in the same boat, give up being neutral, and choose the mainstream position in the world. At present, China has tried not to offend either side and walked a middle ground in its international statements and choices, including abstaining from the UN Security Council and the UN General Assembly votes. However, this position does not meet Russia’s needs, and it has infuriated Ukraine and its supporters as well as sympathizers, putting China on the wrong side of much of the world. In some cases, apparent neutrality is a sensible choice, but it does not apply to this war, where China has nothing to gain. Given that China has always advocated respect for national sovereignty and territorial integrity, it can avoid further isolation only by standing with the majority of the countries in the world. This position is also conducive to the settlement of the Taiwan issue. 3. China should achieve the greatest possible strategic breakthrough and not be further isolated by the West. Cutting off from Putin and giving up neutrality will help build China’s international image and ease its relations with the U.S. and the West. Though difficult and requiring great wisdom, it is the best option for the future. The view that a geopolitical tussle in Europe triggered by the war in Ukraine will significantly delay the U.S. strategic shift from Europe to the Indo-Pacific region cannot be treated with excessive optimism. There are already voices in the U.S. that Europe is important, but China is more so, and the primary goal of the U.S. is to contain China from becoming the dominant power in the Indo-Pacific region. Under such circumstances, China’s top priority is to make appropriate strategic adjustments accordingly, to change the hostile American attitudes towards China, and to save itself from isolation. The bottom line is to prevent the U.S. and the West from imposing joint sanctions on China. 4. China should prevent the outbreak of world wars and nuclear wars and make irreplaceable contributions to world peace. As Putin has explicitly requested Russia’s strategic deterrent forces to enter a state of special combat readiness, the Russo-Ukrainian war may spiral out of control. A just cause attracts much support; an unjust one finds little. If Russia instigates a world war or even a nuclear war, it will surely risk the world’s turmoil. To demonstrate China’s role as a responsible major power, China not only cannot stand with Putin, but also should take concrete actions to prevent Putin’s possible adventures. China is the only country in the world with this capability, and it must give full play to this unique advantage. Putin’s departure from China’s support will most likely end the war, or at least not dare to escalate the war. As a result, China will surely win widespread international praise for maintaining world peace, which may help China prevent isolation but also find an opportunity to improve its relations with the United States and the West. |
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Originally Posted By SheltiePimp: Positive signals on both sides coming out of negotiations. Ukrainians are in the difficult position of not upsetting their donors and supporters by agreeing to Russian appeasement, Russia just needs an agreement that upholds their initial goals (no NATO in Ukraine). Peace is the prize for Ukraine. For Russia, it's an agreement to not let Ukraine join NATO. View Quote Ukraine.doesnt.need NATO. If Ukraine gets peace the west will rebuild it as Switzerland of the east. Russia has created a permanent enemy for the next 100 years. Ukraine will work on a nuclear program, guarantee it. |
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Originally Posted By hondaciv: I follow these https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical https://twitter.com/sentdefender https://twitter.com/bot_osint View Quote Thanks! Those are some new ones. I'm not sure what that bot covers, and it's probably quite a few of these, but here's my current list: @EndGameWW3 @TheStudyofWar @DefenseIntel @L_Team10 @Michael1Sheldon @CIA @IntelCrab @RALee85 @The_Lookout_N @vcdgf555 @air_intel @Archer83Able @AuroraIntel @projectowlosint @Global_Mil_Info @Cyber_O51NT @ELINTNews @ImageSatIntl @terror_alarm @CovertShores |
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"The beatings will continue until morale improves." - Youknowwho
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Originally Posted By Vinnland: He posted the maximum damage scenaro for the US on twitter:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FNsKR_OVsAMkRHY?format=jpg&name=4096x4096 View Quote Even the WalMart headquarters in Bentonville, Arkansas gets one on this map. |
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"The only thing necessary for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing." --Edmund Burke
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These are some of the pages I've been following on a platform that allows you to view Twatter without an account:
https://nitter.net/IntelCrab https://nitter.net/michaeldweiss https://nitter.net/RALee85 https://nitter.net/EuromaidanPress |
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nothing of value here
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Originally Posted By Vinnland: He posted the maximum damage scenaro for the US on twitter:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FNsKR_OVsAMkRHY?format=jpg&name=4096x4096 View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Vinnland: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: There's a guy working on a simulator for this, this is assuming all missiles work, no failures, and no intercepted missiles. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55x11a0aKtY He posted the maximum damage scenaro for the US on twitter:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FNsKR_OVsAMkRHY?format=jpg&name=4096x4096 WTF did we do? Apart from the Greenbrier, and the chemical plants and refineries in Charleston and along the Ohio River, I'm not sure what some of those hits would even be for. |
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Originally Posted By 6SJ7GT: Maybe they can trade for some migs. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By 6SJ7GT: Originally Posted By hondaciv:
Maybe they can trade for some migs. I wonder and hope "we" are buying some of that stuff to bring back and disect for Intel. |
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A Grendel's Love is different from a 5.56's Love
SC, USA
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Originally Posted By SmilingBandit: Keeping Ukraine out of nato is a red herring since they weren’t getting brought in. Also, that agreement would be as useful as the one where Russia promised not to invade inf they gave up their nukes. View Quote Out of NATO should not be an issue. The Baltics can form their own alliance and not be in NATO. Ukraine can UGTOW like the Swiss. They won’t get fucked with again. |
Leave me alone. I’m a libertarian.
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