I think we're done seeing any major advances for awhile by either side.

Donbas is so rainy right now that everything is mud and the the trees have pretty much lost all their leaves so it's harder for artillery to hide from drones.  

Wagner has been digging WW1 style fortifications.  Russians are digging in deep.  Ukraine still does NOT have the air defense or artillery they need to launch an advance in the South.  

Keep striking Russian logistics with HIMARS and other weapons.  This winter will chew up a lot of Russians and could present an opportunity for a winter offensive once the ground freezes in certain areas along the front.

Ukraine needs to leaflet the areas where Russians are with instructions for how to surrender this winter, my guess is that they could get a lot of POWs and NATO should be ready for the humanitarian aid necessary to house a large influx of POWs in Ukraine for what could be a year or longer.

I don't drop the F word often...

But holy fuck

That garbage is spreading too

I believe what you're seeing is the EFP exiting the front of the turret.

Yup, I agree.

Thermal, drones, and PGM are going to feast for the next 4 months.

The Price. pic.twitter.com/zL87vWyvVv

— ???????? ?????????? ???? ????? (@lososevavesna) November 2, 2022

Hopefully Ukraine will have Western MBTs, IFVs, more air defense, and Western aircraft by the time next spring/summer roles around.

Me too. His first mention of Ukrainian bio labs I was out. That and his generally anti Ukraine POV.

But it would be much higher if the Orcs stay.

Edit: from National Anthem

The information was not confirmed, nothing is changing.
Russian-appointed imbecile/“deputy head” of the Kherson administration, who was the first to publish a video with the message that there will be a round-the-clock curfew, deleted his statement.
/2

— Special Kherson Cat \uD83D\uDC08\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 (@bayraktar_1love) November 4, 2022

Russian soldiers flee as their vehicles get hit.

That was my post yesterday.

3/11
\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6??\uD83C\uDDF7\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83D\uDD25\uD83D\uDC80
The occupiers are taking their 200s.
The BMP is covered with dead bodys \uD83D\uDE08#Ukraine #Ukrainian #UkraineKrieg #UkraineWar #UkraineRussiaWar #stopPutin #UkraineCounterOffensive #Donbass #Kherson #NATO #Europe #USA pic.twitter.com/871RGrTnAN

— ddlg ? (@u_me_reality) November 3, 2022

Grenade for foxhole..

All they have to do is ask everyone to say “Palyanitsa”.😂

Ukrainian warriors at a position near Yehorivka, near Pavlivka, Donetsk Oblast. Surrounded but not surrendered. Video is taken on 1 November, the commander later made a decision to retreat due to relentless pressure. pic.twitter.com/O671tbGI5O

Dmitri  (@wartranslated) November 4, 2022

Or surrender

Reportedly Russian drone dropped grenades on Ukrainian drone operators.  

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/ym2kw4/russian_drones_drop_grenades_on_ukrainian_uav/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=mweb

Lancet missing a Ukrainian S-300 radar.

https://www.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/ylx50s/ukrainian_radar_station_hit_by_lancet/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=mweb

As an option, they may ask what's the difference between palyanitsa and polunitsa.

I think you are confusing bio labs with bio WEAPONS labs.

Just prior to the invasion, it was the Biden State Department spokeswoman that told the press about US funded bio labs in Ukraine that are being evacuated and expressed concern over Russians capturing their data.

The bio labs in Ukraine had JACK SHIT to do with the Russian invasion and has been explained away as being there for studying Soviet era bio weapons stuff (BS imho). But to say there were no US bio labs in Ukraine makes you sound dishonest, like you are covering up something and probably triggering some of the paranoid people on the right.

Now back to the war...

I honestly don't get how it's even possible to have that bad a take on something unless you're purposely ignoring multiple open sources of information and sequestering yourself into some bizarre echo chamber (a feedback loop of sorts) or you don't really believe it and are purposely distorting actual news to your own ends, no different than the MSM, just the other side of the same coin. Notice how his only source in that video is Jack Posobiec (an extremely flawed source in his own right) and the spin he's putting on the story, which Salty then goes on to spin further, which will no doubt be spun even further by those following Salty.

In my opinion, Jack Posobiec, Tim Pool, Tucker Carlson, Alex Jones, Ian Miles Cheong, Lara Logan, and some others are all what I personally consider "grifter right" and put zero stock in, even though they may be saying things I agree with (in Logan's case, I think she's suffering from honest to God mental illness). Anything these sudden new converts to "Conservatism" say should be taken worth a massive dose of salt. Just because they say some things you agree with and confirm your biases, does not make them infallible or even mean they're really "on your side". There are a lot of other, far more reliable right mided sources, that have been preaching Conservatism for decades to put your stock in than these people who do nothing but feed confirmation bias and distort it to their (or someone else's) ends. Jones is a great example. During the Bush years it was all Bidabears/Skull N Bones tinfoil and over the course of the Obama years he morphed that into "1776 shall commence again" to keep the grift going since he saw where the winds were blowing.

Salty has identified a market and is just trying to put himself in that orbit to cash in, IMHO. And from his sub/view count, while he's not rolling in YouTube dough like someone like PewDiePie, he's no doubt doing pretty well (as in 6 figures) off it.

Just as the loony Left sits and forms their worldview/opinion on nothing but circle jerking MSM sources, the loony Right forms theirs based off nothing but circle jerking idiots whose only qualifier is owning a webcam and having a YT channel because "mUh InDuHpEnDuNt NeWz SoUrCe!11!!" FYI, I'm a hardcore Conservatarian and I don't use the "loony Right" label lightly or in remotely the same manner as the Left does (i.e. referring to anyone to the right of FDR). I would also mention there are a lot of great right leaning YTers and independent "jurnos" who are honest in their Conservative/libertarian messaging I wouldn't consider "grifter right" like the group I mention.

But, you cannot honestly look at say something as basic as numbers of KIA on each side, even factoring in Russian sources, and in any way claim "Ukraine is losing" unless you're either A) stupid,  B) have an agenda, or C) both.

On a side note, ignoring Salty's 2+2=cat take on the event, I wonder if I went and looked if I'd find any outrage from Jack or Salty over these weapons in a children's setting: https://www.ar15.com/forums/general/Russian-Kindergartners-taught-how-to-use-AK-47s/5-2595015/

Bet not.

This would seem like a good time to supply Ukraine with a high volume of long range weapons.

I don't think the top people care about rules of war and I doubt the pleebs on the ground even know about rules of war.

It's endemic and not just GD.

People can't make an reason based argument anymore.

Now the standard post is:

Some sort of insult or name calling followed by over the top claims and no citations or sourcing. Then more speculation following the "just asking questions" school of thought of making statements based on emotion and no data.

If you press them for sources you usually get a long form video of someone doing the same or a tweet by a talking head which is similarly unsourced.

The US announced a new, $400 million security assistance package to Ukraine. It includes:

- 250 M1117 APCs
- 40 gunboats
- 1,100 Phoenix Ghost loitering munitions
- 45 Czech T-72 tanks (the US is paying for their refurbishment)

Status-6  (@Archer83Able) November 4, 2022

Pentagon stated that Netherlands and US are each paying for 45 Czech T-72 tanks to be refurbished for Ukraine. In total, 90 of them will be delivered.

Status-6  (@Archer83Able) November 4, 2022

A common theme I see in some of these new converts is they say they thought the democrats/left were the party of personal freedoms and basically being nice.(universal healthcare, gay rights) Now they see the democrats/left as the party of canceling dissenting opinions and trying to take power to force everybody to get in line. And so, the republicans are now not as bad as the democrats. Tim Pool, Tulsi, Elon, all the same story. I can see it.

They should say a variation of what FFDR said about the Japanese Empire after Pearl Harbor: "a state of war *has existed* between our nations," and declare that the start of it was in 2014.

The area SW of Donetsk is the hottest part of the front for the past week. Russia wants to prevent Ukraine from drone-spotting and shelling a critical rail line (yellow). Ukraine must hold Pavlivka, Marinka and the road between them to avoid being pushed back several miles. 1/2 pic.twitter.com/IrfrTtZ9q2

Tom Warner  (@warnerta) November 4, 2022

Since the bridge to Crimea was hit four weeks ago, this rail line is the only one Russia can use to supply forces in Zaporizhya and Kherson oblasts and Crimea. It connects from Donetsk to a junction north of Melitopol, which links to Enerhodar, Nova Kakhovka and Melitopol-Crimea. pic.twitter.com/TpaYjp3IoC

Tom Warner  (@warnerta) November 4, 2022

Visual confirmation that Ukrainian troops effortlessly drive on the main road in Pavlivka. No Russian units in Pavlivka present. #Pavlivka #Ukraine #Donetsk pic.twitter.com/BdTk4vY0Nb

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) November 4, 2022

A good point. Although I personally don't think Elon falls into the "grifter right" group for a couple reasons but, I'll leave it at that to not drag the thread off course.  Tulsi is another great example though.