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Posted: 2/10/2022 12:51:53 PM EST
[#1]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: Did Swear I read that. Of course that doesn't account for the other troops and gear. Bet he takes eastern Ukraine to connect Crimea. Which might be why he's pushing for not allowing Ukraine to join NATO after. They'd no longer be a contested country or whatever. He either does nothing or takes a large part and leaves the rest. Don't think he could pull off the whole country. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 1:06:29 PM EST
[#2]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By rca2222: It's all about negotiation "I expect we'll have this crisis with us, in various forms, for all of 2022, at least," Sushentsov said in the report. He explained that the Kremlin's goal is not necessarily a full-scale attack on Ukraine, but to "keep the threat of war ever-present, and thus compel negotiations that Western officials have avoided until now." Bingo. So they think Putin will try to keep everyone on edge for another 8-12 months, and grind down the opposition. Sounds familiar like China buzzing Taiwan continuously to wear down Taiwain Air force. The question is how long can the Russian military sustain what they're doing now. If Biden/EU/Nato had any balls they'd all tell Putin "we're done talking" go away. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 1:17:04 PM EST
[Last Edit: CPT_CAVEMAN]
[#3]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83: Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83: Originally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: Did Swear I read that. Of course that doesn't account for the other troops and gear. Bet he takes eastern Ukraine to connect Crimea. Which might be why he's pushing for not allowing Ukraine to join NATO after. They'd no longer be a contested country or whatever. He either does nothing or takes a large part and leaves the rest. Don't think he could pull off the whole country. Looks like there are a bunch of other news sources as well reuters.com Belarus leader reviews joint Russian military drills, touts $1 bln arms deals. MOSCOW, Sept 12 (Reuters) - Belarusian President Alexander We'll see. Belarus is offering to hold nuclear weapons for them, why wouldn't they sell them stuff? |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 1:28:09 PM EST
[#4]
daily check on ADS-B
What's this guy up to? 
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Posted: 2/10/2022 1:28:53 PM EST
[#5]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: Looks like there are a bunch of other news sources as well reuters.com Belarus leader reviews joint Russian military drills, touts $1 bln arms deals. MOSCOW, Sept 12 (Reuters) - Belarusian President Alexander We'll see. Belarus is offering to hold nuclear weapons for them, why wouldn't they sell them stuff? Russia doesn't have to sell Belarus anything. Should Russia desire a massive military presence there they will have it. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 2:16:33 PM EST
[#6]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83: Russia doesn't have to sell Belarus anything. Should Russia desire a massive military presence there they will have it. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83: Originally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: Looks like there are a bunch of other news sources as well reuters.com Belarus leader reviews joint Russian military drills, touts $1 bln arms deals. MOSCOW, Sept 12 (Reuters) - Belarusian President Alexander We'll see. Belarus is offering to hold nuclear weapons for them, why wouldn't they sell them stuff? Russia doesn't have to sell Belarus anything. Should Russia desire a massive military presence there they will have it. Putin: Why are you breaking my balls about "Russian" military hardware in Belarus? It's theirs! |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 2:42:33 PM EST
[#7]
I guess this Kraut hasn't been keeping up on the thread that the Russians are gonna just keep this massive deployment loitering for shits and grins.
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Posted: 2/10/2022 2:43:26 PM EST
[#8]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83: daily check on ADS-B What's this guy up to? https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/164007/Screen_Shot_2022-02-10_at_12_24_31_PM-2274296.png Vacuuming up signals, it's been there before. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 2:45:54 PM EST
[#9]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 2tired2run: Vacuuming up signals, it's been there before. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 2tired2run: Originally Posted By Finslayer83: daily check on ADS-B What's this guy up to? https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/164007/Screen_Shot_2022-02-10_at_12_24_31_PM-2274296.png Vacuuming up signals, it's been there before. Yep, usually two of them call sign YANK. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 2:52:23 PM EST
[#10]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 2tired2run: Vacuuming up signals, it's been there before. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 3:00:12 PM EST
[Last Edit: whollyshite]
[#11]
2- C17s out of Fayetteville going deep into Poland.
Kind of looks like they may taking an odd turn...  Attached FileETA: No, It's descending in Poland. 82nd, I guess? ETA2: It got to 15500ft and the transponding stopped... |
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USA
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Posted: 2/10/2022 3:06:53 PM EST
[#12]
there was a Q4 global hawk up out of istanbul about an hour ago.
probably somewhere over the mediterranean now where there are no receivers to pick it up, it was heading south. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 3:12:49 PM EST
[#13]
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Posted: 2/10/2022 3:13:12 PM EST
[Last Edit: CPT_CAVEMAN]
[#14]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By xLucidx: there was a Q4 global hawk up out of istanbul about an hour ago. probably somewhere over the mediterranean now where there are no receivers to pick it up, it was heading south. Ya, it's been up all day. There was rivet joint up this morning, along with 3 B52s over UK. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 3:14:33 PM EST
[#15]
— marqs (@MarQs__) February 10, 2022 — marqs (@MarQs__) February 10, 2022
This is interesting.
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Posted: 2/10/2022 3:17:12 PM EST
[#16]
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Posted: 2/10/2022 3:30:01 PM EST
[Last Edit: CPT_CAVEMAN]
[#17]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83:
President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko on February 9 signed Decree No. 34 "On transfer to the reserve and conscription for fixed-term military service, service in the reserve." The Decree provides for calling up in February - May 2022 for military service, service in the reserve male citizens of the Republic of Belarus who are 18 years old by the day of conscription and who do not have the right to deferment from conscription, citizens of military age who have lost the right to deferment, and also for service in the reserve of citizens from among the 1st year students of institutions of higher education of the Republic of Belarus of an agricultural profile, who have the right to deferment from conscription to continue their education and who have expressed a desire to undergo such service. The adoption of the Decree will allow the republican government bodies, local executive and administrative bodies to take timely measures to call up citizens for military service and reserve service. At the same time, the Decree provides for the transfer to the reserve of servicemen for fixed-term military service who have served the established terms of military service. https://president-gov-by.translate.goog/ru/events/aleksandr-lukashenko-podpisal-ukaz-o-prizyve-na-srochnuyu-voennuyu-sluzhbu-i-sluzhbu-v-rezerve?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en So they would just be conscripts with no military training? Or will they make them go through training during that time? |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 3:40:09 PM EST
[Last Edit: WoodHeat]
[#18]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83: — marqs (@MarQs__) February 10, 2022 — marqs (@MarQs__) February 10, 2022
This is interesting.
Found this in the comments from the last one:
eta: Translation: 1) the commissar of the Tver region is a different person 2) the commissar from an oak tree collapsed to sign each summons himself 3) the text of the summons is always the same, and it is usually drawn up without such stupid mistakes as here 4) false propaganda from any side is disgusting 5) the address is also different naturally |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 3:42:01 PM EST
[#19]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83:
"Home by May Day" |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 4:13:52 PM EST
[#20]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: Ya, it's been up all day. There was rivet joint up this morning, along with 3 B52s over UK. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: Originally Posted By xLucidx: there was a Q4 global hawk up out of istanbul about an hour ago. probably somewhere over the mediterranean now where there are no receivers to pick it up, it was heading south. Ya, it's been up all day. There was rivet joint up this morning, along with 3 B52s over UK. I saw the B52's thing. What exactly are B52's gonna bring to the table in over eastern europe what is currently blanketed with s400 systems? |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 4:21:10 PM EST
[#21]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 2tired2run: I saw the B52's thing. What exactly are B52's gonna bring to the table in over eastern europe what is currently blanketed with s400 systems? If they were to be employed kinetically? I'd imagine ALCM's? Did you see the callsigns? Hate11 -> Hate14. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 4:22:27 PM EST
[#22]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 2tired2run: I saw the B52's thing. What exactly are B52's gonna bring to the table in over eastern europe what is currently blanketed with s400 systems? Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 2tired2run: Originally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: Originally Posted By xLucidx: there was a Q4 global hawk up out of istanbul about an hour ago. probably somewhere over the mediterranean now where there are no receivers to pick it up, it was heading south. Ya, it's been up all day. There was rivet joint up this morning, along with 3 B52s over UK. I saw the B52's thing. What exactly are B52's gonna bring to the table in over eastern europe what is currently blanketed with s400 systems? AGM-158 |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 4:23:44 PM EST
[#23]
Sure seems like it is coming.
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Posted: 2/10/2022 4:29:48 PM EST
[#24]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By PissedMick: I guess this Kraut hasn't been keeping up on the thread that the Russians are gonna just keep this massive deployment loitering for shits and grins.
Regional war is interesting wording. One could construe that means more than just Ukraine. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 4:30:23 PM EST
[#25]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By cwm1150: Sure seems like it is coming. nah it's 4D space chess brah! 
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Posted: 2/10/2022 4:31:08 PM EST
[Last Edit: whollyshite]
[#26]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83:
It doesn't sound like Putin is moving his team out of Belarus... ...Unless they move out of Belarus and in to Ukraine... ETA: I say that, but my sliding scale now believes that Russia isn't going to invade. That could obviously change, though. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 4:47:22 PM EST
[#27]
Putin pulls his superyacht out of Germany to avoid possible sanctions if Russia invades. Or something like that.
 Putin''s SuperYacht Flees German Shipyard | Ep43 SY News |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 4:57:37 PM EST
[#28]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Nailcrusher: Regional war is interesting wording. One could construe that means more than just Ukraine. That's how I took his meaning. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 5:39:21 PM EST
[#29]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 2tired2run: I saw the B52's thing. What exactly are B52's gonna bring to the table in over eastern europe what is currently blanketed with s400 systems? AGM-158B gives the B-52 the ability to kill S400s. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 5:47:15 PM EST
[Last Edit: 2tired2run]
[#30]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By outofbattery: AGM-158B gives the B-52 the ability to kill S400s. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By outofbattery: Originally Posted By 2tired2run: I saw the B52's thing. What exactly are B52's gonna bring to the table in over eastern europe what is currently blanketed with s400 systems? AGM-158B gives the B-52 the ability to kill S400s. Thanks wasn't aware B52's could be used for that. Typhoons escorting B52's
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Posted: 2/10/2022 5:53:03 PM EST
[Last Edit: 2tired2run]
[#31]
More explody stuff to Ukraine
Thor system on the move
F16's in Poland
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Posted: 2/10/2022 5:53:17 PM EST
[#32]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By outofbattery: AGM-158B gives the B-52 the ability to kill S400s. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By outofbattery: Originally Posted By 2tired2run: I saw the B52's thing. What exactly are B52's gonna bring to the table in over eastern europe what is currently blanketed with s400 systems? AGM-158B gives the B-52 the ability to kill S400s. B-52's aren't going to do anything unless Russia crosses into another Country besides Ukraine. Buffs striking Russian targets inside Ukraine will be seen by Russia as an act of war and then all best are off the table. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 6:36:33 PM EST
[#33]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 2tired2run: More explody stuff to Ukraine
Thor system on the move
F16's in Poland
You know we have assets everywhere on those roads taking those videos/pics. On top of all the proud Russians filming the "cool stuff" as it goes by. Shit we do it here, I snapped photos of SWCC boats as they went south on I-65. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 7:35:24 PM EST
[#34]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83: AGM-158 Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83: Originally Posted By 2tired2run: Originally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: Originally Posted By xLucidx: there was a Q4 global hawk up out of istanbul about an hour ago. probably somewhere over the mediterranean now where there are no receivers to pick it up, it was heading south. Ya, it's been up all day. There was rivet joint up this morning, along with 3 B52s over UK. I saw the B52's thing. What exactly are B52's gonna bring to the table in over eastern europe what is currently blanketed with s400 systems? AGM-158 Poland has those too....interesting. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 7:36:45 PM EST
[#35]
Looks like Kamala is being sent over to straighten this shit out. Should all be taken care of in a few days.
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Posted: 2/10/2022 7:40:05 PM EST
[#36]
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Posted: 2/10/2022 7:40:31 PM EST
[#37]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Who_Me: Looks like Kamala is being sent over to straighten this shit out. Should all be taken care of in a few days. The Queen of resolving border issues. It's probably an intentional slight to be honest lol. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 7:50:00 PM EST
[#38]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By whollyshite: It doesn't sound like Putin is moving his team out of Belarus... ...Unless they move out of Belarus and in to Ukraine... ETA: I say that, but my sliding scale now believes that Russia isn't going to invade. That could obviously change, though. How much stuff do they have on eastern The Ukraine? Could pull them out of The Belarus and throw them on that line. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 7:51:20 PM EST
[#39]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By voodochild: B-52's aren't going to do anything unless Russia crosses into another Country besides Ukraine. Buffs striking Russian targets inside Ukraine will be seen by Russia as an act of war and then all best are off the table. This goes without saying. That wasn’t the hypothetical though as to what a B-52 could do vs S-400s. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 7:55:29 PM EST
[#40]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/164007/FBC6755A-581F-4964-9474-AF44098B4509-2274790.jpg  Attached File |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 8:15:37 PM EST
[#41]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: So they would just be conscripts with no military training? Or will they make them go through training during that time? How much training will they need to rape, pillage, and plunder civilians after the Russias armor rolls through towns? The 10,000 Chechen troops Putin has deployed can teach the Belarus to make lots of war... |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 8:17:47 PM EST
[#42]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By PissedMick: If they were to be employed kinetically? I'd imagine ALCM's? Did you see the callsigns? Hate11 -> Hate14. The next flight of B-52H's to deploy will be Discontent7-10 Or is that too many letters? |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 8:33:19 PM EST
[#43]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By outofbattery: AGM-158B gives the B-52 the ability to kill S400s. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By outofbattery: Originally Posted By 2tired2run: I saw the B52's thing. What exactly are B52's gonna bring to the table in over eastern europe what is currently blanketed with s400 systems? AGM-158B gives the B-52 the ability to kill S400s. Or Nordstream 2. 
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Posted: 2/10/2022 8:36:19 PM EST
[Last Edit: Finslayer83]
[#44]
Gentleman on the radio this afternoon from one of the think tanks had an interesting hypothesis.
Limited incursion into formally secure Donbass / southeastern coastline / water for Crimea. The resulting economic sanctions actually do cripple Russian economy resulting in all out open conflict to maintain power internally. |
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SC, USA
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Posted: 2/10/2022 8:41:44 PM EST
[#45]
Feb 26. Eastern quarter of Ukraine. Pick a pretext. Russian declares No-Fly on everything East of Kiev.
Joe shits himself, goes to bed without pudding. |
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SC, USA
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Posted: 2/10/2022 8:43:50 PM EST
[#46]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83: Gentleman on the radio this afternoon from one of the think thanks had an interesting hypothesis. Limited incursion into formally secure Donbass / southeastern coastline / water for Crimea. The resulting economic sanctions actually do cripple Russian economy resulting in all out open conflict to maintain power internally. Obviously this analyst does not work for our government and has an IQ over 100, which no one at our State Dept does. |
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Posted: 2/10/2022 8:51:02 PM EST
[#47]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83: https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/164007/FBC6755A-581F-4964-9474-AF44098B4509-2274790.jpg  Attached File |
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Posted: 2/11/2022 8:15:19 AM EST
[#48]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Finslayer83: Gentleman on the radio this afternoon from one of the think thanks had an interesting hypothesis. Limited incursion into formally secure Donbass / southeastern coastline / water for Crimea. The resulting economic sanctions actually do cripple Russian economy resulting in all out open conflict to maintain power internally. Or if the sanctions will be crippling, why wouldn’t they be motivated to try to grab the Baltic states? Sure, it would cause an Article 5 invocation, but it’s possible that they feel confident in success if they can bring it to a hasty conclusion. What would they need in order to accomplish that? Could their current deployments support such a play? They’ve moved a lot of Iskander batteries with full logistics trains toward the west for instance. Don’t forget that the idea of short war concessions cause the Japanese to miscalculate that one time. |
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Posted: 2/11/2022 8:20:05 AM EST
[#49]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: How much stuff do they have on eastern The Ukraine? Could pull them out of The Belarus and throw them on that line. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By CPT_CAVEMAN: Originally Posted By whollyshite: It doesn't sound like Putin is moving his team out of Belarus... ...Unless they move out of Belarus and in to Ukraine... ETA: I say that, but my sliding scale now believes that Russia isn't going to invade. That could obviously change, though. How much stuff do they have on eastern The Ukraine? Could pull them out of The Belarus and throw them on that line. Lots, but I'm sure that they could make room for the other forces. Ukraine e is surrounded from 3 sides right now. |
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