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Posted: 3/9/2024 10:16:26 AM EDT
[#1]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: It’s the internet. You never know who is posting what or for what reason. There are reputable sources and then there are twitter accounts that pop up saying “something.” It may be sloppy work or actual propaganda. I also think many "news" sites only cater to a very specific audience and only tells them what they want to hear. I doubt Ukraine would sponsor something like this since it goes against their "we need more shit NOW" narrative. |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 10:23:50 AM EDT
[#2]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: Taurus
Wow, a German politician saying things that make sense and showing some spine. @Zhukov Does this guy have any shot at replacing Scholz? |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 10:29:25 AM EDT
[Last Edit: BillofRights]
[#3]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: Yeesh. Looks like the shrapnel opened up another airway. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Yeesh. Looks like the shrapnel opened up another airway. Maybe got a lithium battery blasted into his lungs. That would suck bigtime. rip dude. 
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Posted: 3/9/2024 10:35:46 AM EDT
[#4]
 
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Posted: 3/9/2024 10:50:55 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#5]
 Damage. 
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Posted: 3/9/2024 10:51:59 AM EDT
[#6]
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Posted: 3/9/2024 11:31:31 AM EDT
[#7]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: I laughed when I saw that, but it means there is a video of the event from yesterday. It could be a nickname for a Russian vehicle too. I posted a picture of one a few pages ago. It is the copy of the original Bronco. |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 11:33:37 AM EDT
[#8]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By lorazepam: I posted a picture of one a few pages ago. It is the copy of the original Bronco. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By lorazepam: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: I laughed when I saw that, but it means there is a video of the event from yesterday. It could be a nickname for a Russian vehicle too. I posted a picture of one a few pages ago. It is the copy of the original Bronco. Ahh, that's the one. It is also the vehicle identified from the video of the Russians hitting a mine. |
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ESP
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Posted: 3/9/2024 11:58:11 AM EDT
[#9]
HIMARS strike demolishes the ruins of a large Russian-occupied building:
Ukrainians firing multiple AT4s: A Russian tank is rocked by repeated drone strikes: SSU Military Counterintelligence hits 86 targets of Russian military equipment and weapons: |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 12:01:37 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Saltwater-Hillbilly]
[#10]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: Great post. Russia Needs Fresh Artillery Barrels, Bad. It’s Yanking Them Off Old Guns By The Thousand. Jan 12, 2024 04:59pm EST Thanks to a huge consignment of shells from North Korea, Russian forces in Ukraine are flush with artillery ammunition. What gunners don’t have in abundance are howitzer barrels. And there’s evidence the Russians are maintaining their best guns ... by dismantling their worst guns. A howitzer barrel usually is good for a few thousand shots before its steel becomes brittle or bends. If an artillery battery doesn’t replace worn-out barrels in time, it risks catastrophic accidents as shells explode inside their guns. Something we’ve seen many, many times on both sides of Russia’s 23-month wider war on Ukraine. The math is unforgiving for Russia’s gunners. There might be 2,000 Russian howitzers along the 600-mile front line in Ukraine. Altogether, Russian batteries are firing at least 10,000 rounds a day. That’s just five rounds per gun per day, over average. At that average firing rate, a howitzer barrel should last a little over a year. But in practice, the guns in the most critical sectors of the front fire much more than average, while the guns in the quieter sectors might fire less. Around Avdiivka, Bakhmut or Krynky, Russian artillery batteries might need to replace their barrels every couple of months. An artillery barrel requires high-quality steel and precision machining. Before the war, just two factories in Russia were equipped for producing artillery barrels: the Motovilikha Plant in Perm and Barrikady in Volgograd. It’s unclear whether the Kremlin has established any new production facilities or found a foreign source for replacement barrels. North Korea, perhaps. In any event, it’s evident the Russians are struggling to produce the thousands of replacement artillery barrels they need to keep their big guns firing at their current high rate. According to open-source analyst Richard Vereker, the Kremlin has been pulling out of long-term storage thousands of Cold War-vintage towed howitzers. But it’s not necessarily sending those old—but lightly-used—guns to the front in order to make good the roughly 1,100 artillery pieces Russian forces have lost since February 2022. No, it seems technicians instead are yanking the barrels off the old towed guns and using them as a replacements for worn-out barrels on the most important self-propelled howitzers. Vereker came to that conclusion after noting the precipitous decline in losses among Russia’s towed artillery batteries. Towed artillery “is coming out of storage much quicker than [self-propelled guns], but I think it’s to strip off the barrel and put it onto an SPG.” If Vereker is right and the Russians are cannibalizing their towed artillery in order to keep their self-propelled artillery in action, the question—for advocates of a free Ukraine—is how many old guns the Russians have left, and thus how many spare barrels they can generate without building them from scratch. In other words, are barrels a bottleneck in Russia’s artillery supply? And could a shortage of barrels throttle Russian firepower? Not this year, if at all. According to Vereker, the Kremlin in 2021 was sitting on 12,300 old towed artillery pieces. After nearly two years of fighting, it was down to 7,500 stored towed pieces—implying it has yanked the barrels off as many as 4,800 old guns. The recovered barrels, plus any new barrels Russian industry has produced, were enough to keep 2,000 howitzers shooting for two years. Assuming most of the 7,500 old towed howitzers remaining in storage aren’t already totally worn out, these guns—stripped for parts—could keep the front-line batteries in action for another two years. If so, that points to 2026 as the crisis year in Russian weapons-supply. As it happens, that’s also the year the Russians could run out of infantry fighting vehicles and tanks. https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/01/12/russia-needs-fresh-artillery-barrels-bad-its-yanking-them-off-old-guns-by-the-thousand/?sh=251ad8634308 Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: Originally Posted By MKSheppard: Originally Posted By rbblrwsr: MKSheppard posted some interesting numbers regarding tube production, or lack thereof, by Poo-tin's merry band of thieving assholes. Given that the Russian way of war is to level everything above grade until it's untenable, then do it again a few hundred (or few thousand) meters down the road, they need those tubes to have any chance to advance, and the increasing UA AD presence when glide bombs become a problem seems to make the Russian version of CAS a very temporary solution. Is the tube situation something that's lurking in the background given Russia's expenditure rate on shells? Or is it a nothing burger? Lurking in the background. It's been a lingering issue since 2022 (!). Back when we were only months into this war, there was this article: LINK Novaya-Europe’s source in Rostec says that the Armata [tank] and the 2S35 Koalitsiya-SV [self propelled gun] share the same problem regarding the gun system: Russia does not produce the required type of gun steel. Only two factories in Russia produce blanks for parts of the receiver group: the Motovilikha Plants in Perm and Barrikady, a machine manufacturing plant in Volgograd. “Russia’s metal industry is dead,” our source says. “When a competition for barrel blanks was announced, all the samples put up for it turned out to be defective. The special thing about the new barrels is that they must withstand greater pressure, that is, be more durable. This requires special alloys and melting modes, as well as small-sized furnaces. The thing is: Russia’s metallurgy is focused on large volumes and mass grades of steel. Back in the day, some of the managers within the industry considered that the open-hearth smelting process had become inefficient, and all open-hearth furnaces were extinguished in the country. However, only those furnaces could produce high-quality steel, including the one used to produce artillery. The way I interpret this is that Russia can manufacture a decent amount of low grade barrels for large caliber guns with full charge (EFC) round count limits of 150 for tanks and 800 or so for artillery; allowing them to "meet quota" to get new built or refurbished AFV out the door each month. They remain limited due to sanctions cutting off high quality steels and materials needed to make the good barrels; in addition to the lack of facilities to make them in quantity. They get boutique scale production of "spec" barrels -- i.e. 350-400 EFC for tanks and 1600 to 2000 EFC for artillery -- each month so that the apparatchik can say "look, our stuff is the best!" PS: Ukraine has started hitting Russian metallurgical plants recently -- three so far in the last two weeks (Cherepovka, Lipetsk and Kursk). PPS: I'm sorry I can't be too exact or specific with this; as there's not a lot of detailed information available on the internet. If you have enough money ($15,000 or so), you can actually order detailed writeups of the exact make up of the metals industry in Russia from industrial forecasting services. I'm not willing to go that far to win internet arguments. Great post. Russia Needs Fresh Artillery Barrels, Bad. It’s Yanking Them Off Old Guns By The Thousand. Jan 12, 2024 04:59pm EST Thanks to a huge consignment of shells from North Korea, Russian forces in Ukraine are flush with artillery ammunition. What gunners don’t have in abundance are howitzer barrels. And there’s evidence the Russians are maintaining their best guns ... by dismantling their worst guns. A howitzer barrel usually is good for a few thousand shots before its steel becomes brittle or bends. If an artillery battery doesn’t replace worn-out barrels in time, it risks catastrophic accidents as shells explode inside their guns. Something we’ve seen many, many times on both sides of Russia’s 23-month wider war on Ukraine. The math is unforgiving for Russia’s gunners. There might be 2,000 Russian howitzers along the 600-mile front line in Ukraine. Altogether, Russian batteries are firing at least 10,000 rounds a day. That’s just five rounds per gun per day, over average. At that average firing rate, a howitzer barrel should last a little over a year. But in practice, the guns in the most critical sectors of the front fire much more than average, while the guns in the quieter sectors might fire less. Around Avdiivka, Bakhmut or Krynky, Russian artillery batteries might need to replace their barrels every couple of months. An artillery barrel requires high-quality steel and precision machining. Before the war, just two factories in Russia were equipped for producing artillery barrels: the Motovilikha Plant in Perm and Barrikady in Volgograd. It’s unclear whether the Kremlin has established any new production facilities or found a foreign source for replacement barrels. North Korea, perhaps. In any event, it’s evident the Russians are struggling to produce the thousands of replacement artillery barrels they need to keep their big guns firing at their current high rate. According to open-source analyst Richard Vereker, the Kremlin has been pulling out of long-term storage thousands of Cold War-vintage towed howitzers. But it’s not necessarily sending those old—but lightly-used—guns to the front in order to make good the roughly 1,100 artillery pieces Russian forces have lost since February 2022. No, it seems technicians instead are yanking the barrels off the old towed guns and using them as a replacements for worn-out barrels on the most important self-propelled howitzers. Vereker came to that conclusion after noting the precipitous decline in losses among Russia’s towed artillery batteries. Towed artillery “is coming out of storage much quicker than [self-propelled guns], but I think it’s to strip off the barrel and put it onto an SPG.” If Vereker is right and the Russians are cannibalizing their towed artillery in order to keep their self-propelled artillery in action, the question—for advocates of a free Ukraine—is how many old guns the Russians have left, and thus how many spare barrels they can generate without building them from scratch. In other words, are barrels a bottleneck in Russia’s artillery supply? And could a shortage of barrels throttle Russian firepower? Not this year, if at all. According to Vereker, the Kremlin in 2021 was sitting on 12,300 old towed artillery pieces. After nearly two years of fighting, it was down to 7,500 stored towed pieces—implying it has yanked the barrels off as many as 4,800 old guns. The recovered barrels, plus any new barrels Russian industry has produced, were enough to keep 2,000 howitzers shooting for two years. Assuming most of the 7,500 old towed howitzers remaining in storage aren’t already totally worn out, these guns—stripped for parts—could keep the front-line batteries in action for another two years. If so, that points to 2026 as the crisis year in Russian weapons-supply. As it happens, that’s also the year the Russians could run out of infantry fighting vehicles and tanks. https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/01/12/russia-needs-fresh-artillery-barrels-bad-its-yanking-them-off-old-guns-by-the-thousand/?sh=251ad8634308 One of the problems with this approach is that very few of the barrels in storage are likely "new", and I will bet that the "round count" and other history of the barrel is not being forwarded to the end user. I will also bet that there is a reason that a lot of those guns ended up in storage rather than in operational units, and why they are STILL in storage this far into the war. I will also bet that many of these guns had significant barrel erosion, minor manufacturing flaws that effected accuracy, etc, and I'll further bet that the Russian anti-corrosion scheme is inferior to the NATO standard (and we still have problems with corrosion-induced pitting in the lands and grooves, corrosion on trunnions and machined surfaces, etc, on occasion). This will probably improve Russian artillery in the short-term, but this will not fix their problems. In a previous life, when I was directed to turn in some of our vehicles for lateral transfer, they were almost never our best runners! 
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Posted: 3/9/2024 12:25:16 PM EDT
[#11]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Video is of Excalibur rounds in airburst mode, but you get the idea.
Jeez, we’re finally supplying proximity fuses two years later? |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 1:10:02 PM EDT
[#12]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: Jeez, we’re finally supplying proximity fuses two years later? Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Capta: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Video is of Excalibur rounds in airburst mode, but you get the idea.
Jeez, we’re finally supplying proximity fuses two years later? We already were, but France is helping out here now as well. |
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USA
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Posted: 3/9/2024 1:13:30 PM EDT
[#13]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Again, Russian forces are using the Iksandr ballistic missiles to take out Ukrainian high value targets.
Might be some Patriot equipment.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIOsYscXkAAldpv?format=jpg&name=medium https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIOsYsdXkAAMyO_?format=jpg&name=900x900
Again, if there is an Iksandr ballistic missile warning, hop into the cab of your high value vehicles and drive until the impact. These sites need serious anti drone and layered air defenses to cover the Patriot battery.
 Way to much space between the vehicles. If they park them tighter, Russia could make more damage with a single missile. |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 1:22:22 PM EDT
[#14]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 4xGM300m: Way to much space between the vehicles. If they park them tighter, Russia could make more damage with a single missile. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 4xGM300m: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Again, Russian forces are using the Iksandr ballistic missiles to take out Ukrainian high value targets.
Might be some Patriot equipment.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIOsYscXkAAldpv?format=jpg&name=medium https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIOsYsdXkAAMyO_?format=jpg&name=900x900
Again, if there is an Iksandr ballistic missile warning, hop into the cab of your high value vehicles and drive until the impact. These sites need serious anti drone and layered air defenses to cover the Patriot battery.
Way to much space between the vehicles. If they park them tighter, Russia could make more damage with a single missile. Good point, it would have helped reduce casualties if they were way more spaced out. We still don't know exactly what that was. Russia claims S-300, others, Patriot, but the trucks are used for artillery as well, so it could have been a group of artillery with ammo supplies. Regardless, a high value target. Ukrainian forces need to keep pace with this new targeting threat and fast response time. |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 1:23:45 PM EDT
[Last Edit: realwar]
[#15]
Zelensky visits Ukrainian warship construction site during visit to Turkey
 President Zelensky visits Ukrainian warship construction site during visit to Turkey Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy inspected two warships constructed for country's navy forces during his visit to Istanbul. Two corvettes, Ivan Vyhovsky and Ivan Mazepa, are being constructed in partnership with Turkey. The Turkish Presidency said Zelenskiy will later hold talks with President Tayyip Erdogan on the course of the Ukraine-Russia war, the Black Sea grain deal and bilateral relations. |
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USA
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Posted: 3/9/2024 1:35:52 PM EDT
[#16]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By mercersfinest4: Wow, a German politician saying things that make sense and showing some spine. @Zhukov Does this guy have any shot at replacing Scholz? Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By mercersfinest4: Originally Posted By Prime: Taurus
Wow, a German politician saying things that make sense and showing some spine. @Zhukov Does this guy have any shot at replacing Scholz? Merz has no spine, he is only talking like this because he is in the opposition. He wouldn't send Taurus either. There is a meme in Germany: Merz says something true. - There is a media outrage. - Merz apologizes three days later. |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 1:45:34 PM EDT
[#17]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
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USA
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Posted: 3/9/2024 1:53:40 PM EDT
[#18]
The comments are comedy gold. |
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USA
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Posted: 3/9/2024 2:02:55 PM EDT
[#19]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: Posted earlier,, a rebuttal.
He made some people mad with his lies. |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 2:41:08 PM EDT
[#20]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Lieh-tzu: It's ironic. Russia claims to protect ethnic Russians, but nothing has or ever will cause as much loss of Russian-speaking people in Ukraine as this invasion. Somewhere around a year ago I recall an article in Washington Post talking about how even middle-age & up Ukrainians are taking classes to learn to speak Ukrainian language ('dialect' if you insist on Russian terms) because they only spoke Russian. Russian is the 'language of the invader' and almost everyone is hot to drop that language. Russian-language books were being turned in for pulping to become toilet paper. I'm still angry after that video clip of the Russian governor of Zaporozhia casually talking about official policies to violate the Geneva conventions. Fuck every Russian that has anything to do with the government, and their whole families. They take pride and say Ukrainian is a more beautiful language that Russian. It sounds more, refined. My wife told me about some other videos with that Zap governor, talking about how if Ukrainians didn't Russify, they are given a bottle of water and dropped off in the middle of nowhere. |
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WI, USA
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Posted: 3/9/2024 3:31:32 PM EDT
[#21]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: This, sometimes it can take considerable time to watch an account to see which way they are leaning. Some are very good, some are just incorrect with their info. Parsing through it all to try and give people an easier chance to sort it all out is the other challenge. Ain't that the truth. Thanks for finding good sources and posing them. Note that pro-Russian sources can also be good sources. I really appreciate Prime posting Rybar, TwoMajors, and Shouvalev (among others), too. Balance & context are key. |
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USA
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Posted: 3/9/2024 3:35:14 PM EDT
[#22]
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Posted: 3/9/2024 4:30:00 PM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#23]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Lieh-tzu: Ain't that the truth. Thanks for finding good sources and posing them. Note that pro-Russian sources can also be good sources. I really appreciate Prime posting Rybar, TwoMajors, and Shouvalev (among others), too. Balance & context are key. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Lieh-tzu: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: This, sometimes it can take considerable time to watch an account to see which way they are leaning. Some are very good, some are just incorrect with their info. Parsing through it all to try and give people an easier chance to sort it all out is the other challenge. Ain't that the truth. Thanks for finding good sources and posing them. Note that pro-Russian sources can also be good sources. I really appreciate Prime posting Rybar, TwoMajors, and Shouvalev (among others), too. Balance & context are key. Thanks!  No problem, it is always a challenge for us to sort things out, Prime and the others like you help round out the info when it gets to this thread. I like the Russian info on the tactical level, where War translated is good with the Russian to English translation. |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 4:34:08 PM EDT
[#24]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: Again, Russian forces are using the Iksandr ballistic missiles to take out Ukrainian high value targets.
Might be some Patriot equipment.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIOsYscXkAAldpv?format=jpg&name=medium https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIOsYsdXkAAMyO_?format=jpg&name=900x900
Again, if there is an Iksandr ballistic missile warning, hop into the cab of your high value vehicles and drive until the impact. These sites need serious anti drone and layered air defenses to cover the Patriot battery.
Yeah, the Russians have worked out some bugs in their ISR and are able to do real-time targeting with the Iksander. |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 4:38:02 PM EDT
[#25]
they can’t escape from us😈 |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 4:43:40 PM EDT
[#26]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By realwar: Zelensky visits Ukrainian warship construction site during visit to Turkey  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpqHP98jFFsUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy inspected two warships constructed for country's navy forces during his visit to Istanbul. Two corvettes, Ivan Vyhovsky and Ivan Mazepa, are being constructed in partnership with Turkey. The Turkish Presidency said Zelenskiy will later hold talks with President Tayyip Erdogan on the course of the Ukraine-Russia war, the Black Sea grain deal and bilateral relations. Waste of time and money, at least during the war. |
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WI, USA
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Posted: 3/9/2024 4:49:11 PM EDT
[#27]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By ITCHY-FINGER: Waste of time and money, at least during the war. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By ITCHY-FINGER: Originally Posted By realwar: Zelensky visits Ukrainian warship construction site during visit to Turkey https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpqHP98jFFsUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy inspected two warships constructed for country's navy forces during his visit to Istanbul. Two corvettes, Ivan Vyhovsky and Ivan Mazepa, are being constructed in partnership with Turkey. The Turkish Presidency said Zelenskiy will later hold talks with President Tayyip Erdogan on the course of the Ukraine-Russia war, the Black Sea grain deal and bilateral relations. Waste of time and money, at least during the war. How will they be armed? Promptly send them to harry Russian shipping between DPRK & Russia? To start, they'd have to wreck the Russian Mediterranean fleet at Syria. Wreck the Russian freighters running arms up to the Black Sea from Syria & Africa? Do they have anti-sub capabilities? I'm just musing, probably it's right that they have no real use. |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 4:58:24 PM EDT
[#28]
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Posted: 3/9/2024 5:00:58 PM EDT
[#29]
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Posted: 3/9/2024 5:01:15 PM EDT
[#30]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Lieh-tzu: How will they be armed? Promptly send them to harry Russian shipping between DPRK & Russia? To start, they'd have to wreck the Russian Mediterranean fleet at Syria. Wreck the Russian freighters running arms up to the Black Sea from Syria & Africa? Do they have anti-sub capabilities? I'm just musing, probably it's right that they have no real use. If they ever left a dock, they would be #1 targets for Russia. It would make the hunt for the Bismark and Tirpitz look like a picnic. Better off buying some old junk cargo ship registered in Liberia and turning them into a Q-ship like we talked about a while back. |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 5:04:48 PM EDT
[#31]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Oooof. |
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VA, USA
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Posted: 3/9/2024 5:10:11 PM EDT
[#32]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Lieh-tzu: How will they be armed? Promptly send them to harry Russian shipping between DPRK & Russia? To start, they'd have to wreck the Russian Mediterranean fleet at Syria. Wreck the Russian freighters running arms up to the Black Sea from Syria & Africa? Do they have anti-sub capabilities? I'm just musing, probably it's right that they have no real use. I was assuming they were post-war use, to address potential Russian coastal mischief. |
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USA
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Posted: 3/9/2024 5:11:23 PM EDT
[#33]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
 Benny Hill Theme Play this video in a background tab before watching the video from the tweet.
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USA
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Posted: 3/9/2024 5:20:02 PM EDT
[#34]
    Apr 6, 2023 Newly produced FAB-1500 M-54 aerial bombs at an arms plant in the Nizhny Novgorod Oblast of Russia, visited by Russian Defense Minister Shoigu.     The Russian MoD released footage of a UMPK-equipped 1,500kg-class FAB-1500 M-54 (still images show a mock-up/inert version). It appears that the bomb has been fitted with a crude rounded dome-shaped fairing at the front to give it a more streamlined shape. In use since Sept. 2023. |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 5:27:50 PM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#35]
1/4 I believe it's a good time to give a quick update on FPV drone usage. Let's start with the progression and total numbers. As we know from my last update, February was one of the most intense months for FPV drone usage, and it's now confirmed that the growth is at least quadratic and shows no signs of stopping. As of March 9th, Ukrainians have already used 721 drones, and at this rate of growth, they will reach January's results in just a week. In terms of overall usage, Russia is falling behind. There are different possibilities for why this is happening - lack of drones, lack of pilots, lack of dedicated ammunition - but I think a combination of the first two factors is the most likely. Overall, Russia doesn't have the staggering numbers claimed by its propaganda.  
new era of mobile defence doctrine. I recently discussed the concept of area defence and its limitations in an article, which can be found at https://tochnyi.info/2024/03/trench-warfare-in-fpv-drone-era-an-analysis/. It is encouraging to see the new leadership utilising more mobility in their defence strategy. However, only time will tell if this move proves to be successful.  
in this area, the current situation can change due to ground evolution of South Robotyne.  
NVG FPV drones. However, there is still a gap in the data we have collected so far. It is important to invest in this area and support any activity that aims to deliver equipment enabling these capabilities. The situation for Ukrainian forces is evolving positively, but the road to victory is still long, and there are several challenges ahead. 
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WI, USA
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Posted: 3/9/2024 6:23:33 PM EDT
[#36]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 4xGM300m: https://i.imgur.com/0ejxkKf.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/wY7q12P.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/3pjDQpA.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/TVAbqKR.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/VRYFoIU.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/ji8ZtVM.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/Vl9rKo0.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/dXPo6c9.jpeg In use since Sept. 2023. FAB 1500 with glide kit? Damn, that's a lot of hurt! Need more air defense weapons! |
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USA
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Posted: 3/9/2024 6:34:31 PM EDT
[#37]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Lieh-tzu: FAB 1500 with glide kit? Damn, that's a lot of hurt! Need more air defense weapons!
Video. 
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Posted: 3/9/2024 6:39:22 PM EDT
[#38]
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Posted: 3/9/2024 6:46:54 PM EDT
[#39]
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Posted: 3/9/2024 7:10:17 PM EDT
[#40]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By ITCHY-FINGER: Yeah, the Russians have worked out some bugs in their ISR and are able to do real-time targeting with the Iksander. Yeah either Russian ISR-Targeting has improved internally, they're getting help externally (China), there's an insider threat within the Ukrainian military and/or Ukrainians equivalents for blue force tracking have been compromised. Regardless, Ukrainians need more ammo and more systems 
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ESP
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Posted: 3/9/2024 7:54:51 PM EDT
[#41]
Russian Buk SAM detonates:
Several Russians surrender after Ukrainians storm their trenches: Meet the female Commander of a Ukrainian Anti-Tank Unit: Battles in the middle of the ruins: GoPro footage from Avdiyivka from the first person. The constant sounds of volleys and bursts, the risky movement of assault groups in open terrain, and the conduct of a shooting battle between half-destroyed buildings. The entire city was left with buildings scattered over bricks, and someone's home riddled with enemy shelling. New shots of the defensive battles of the 3rd company of the 1st assault battalion of the Third Assault Brigade — from soldier Barsik. |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 8:03:03 PM EDT
[#42]
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Posted: 3/9/2024 8:07:18 PM EDT
[#43]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIRB4VCXsAADvG4?format=jpg&name=large
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIRCPaMXgAAy16_?format=jpg&name=large
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIRCfYkWsAANLC4?format=jpg&name=large
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIRDPu0XMAAAZa2?format=jpg&name=large
Nice work for drones. 
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Posted: 3/9/2024 9:08:51 PM EDT
[#44]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By ITCHY-FINGER: Waste of time and money, at least during the war. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By ITCHY-FINGER: Originally Posted By realwar: Zelensky visits Ukrainian warship construction site during visit to Turkey https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wpqHP98jFFsUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy inspected two warships constructed for country's navy forces during his visit to Istanbul. Two corvettes, Ivan Vyhovsky and Ivan Mazepa, are being constructed in partnership with Turkey. The Turkish Presidency said Zelenskiy will later hold talks with President Tayyip Erdogan on the course of the Ukraine-Russia war, the Black Sea grain deal and bilateral relations. Waste of time and money, at least during the war. My question is, will Turkey deliver them to Ukraine by taking them through the Bosphorus strait themselves (ie a Turkish vessel) then park them in Odessa and turn over the keys? |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 9:17:20 PM EDT
[#45]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By 4xGM300m: https://i.imgur.com/0ejxkKf.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/wY7q12P.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/3pjDQpA.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/TVAbqKR.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/VRYFoIU.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/ji8ZtVM.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/Vl9rKo0.jpeg https://i.imgur.com/dXPo6c9.jpeg In use since Sept. 2023. I hope one falls on Putin! |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 9:20:49 PM EDT
[#46]
Ukrainian news
With a high degree of probability, we have the first confirmed loss of M901 launchers of the MIM-104 Patriot complex A video showing the defeat of a convoy of launchers and escort vehicles of an anti-aircraft missile system appeared on March 9. Almost immediately, the location was established - a highway 13 km west of Pokrovsk, between the town of Udachnoye and the village of Sergeevka. The impact site is approximately 50 kilometers from the front line. Despite the caption on the video about the destruction of the S-300, Ukrainian and Russian analysts have identified the cabs of MAN KAT1 8x8 trucks, which act as a base for Patriot launchers. Thus, they conclude that the destroyed air defense system was the MIM-104 Patriot missile defense system. That case when a Russian woman was looking for copper, and accidentally found gold, without suspecting it. Or maybe it’s no coincidence that all these notes about the S-300 are a distraction. https://t.me/uniannet/127801 |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 9:23:10 PM EDT
[#47]
China Looks to Ukraine War for Guidance on Attack Helicopters
With respect to Russian airpower, Chinese strategists continue to be quite fixated on Russian attack helicopter operations in Ukraine. In shaping patterns of future warfare, there is little doubt that militaries across the world will be seeking to absorb the key lessons of the Russia-Ukraine War, ranging from the employment of tanks to the use of anti-ship cruise missiles and the ubiquitous drones. For the Chinese military, these lessons might even assume a greater importance, since the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) lacks recent major combat experience. It has also leaned heavily on Russian weapons and doctrine for its rapid modernization over the last few decades. Chinese media coverage of the war in Ukraine has been extensive. The close nature of the China-Russia “quasi-alliance” means that Chinese military analysts have not engaged in the ruthless critiques of Russian military performance that have been commonplace in the West. Yet, Chinese military analyses are still probing deeply for lessons to understand the shape of modern warfare. They have taken particular interest in the U.S. employment of novel weapons and strategies. To fully grasp the scope and depth of these Chinese analyses it is important to take assessments from a full range of Chinese military media, which is more extensive than is often appreciated in the West. These articles are generally associated with research institutes that are directly involved in the Chinese military-industrial complex. This exclusive series for The Diplomat will represent the first systematic attempt by Western analysts to evaluate these Chinese assessments of the war in Ukraine across the full spectrum of warfare, including the land, sea, air and space, and information domains. Read the rest of the series here. As the stalemate in the Ukraine War seemed to harden during late 2023, military strategists wondered if 2024 could see breakthroughs driven by enhanced airpower. Many are focused, for instance, on the apparently imminent deployment of the first Ukrainian F-16 fighters to the battlefield. Likewise, Kyiv has celebrated its first apparent shootdown of a large Russian air battle management Airborne Warning and Control System (AWACS)-type A-50 aircraft. With respect to Russian airpower, Chinese strategists continue to be quite fixated on Russian attack helicopter operations in Ukraine. Helicopters appear to be at the very heart of any Chinese strategy to conquer Taiwan, since they can provide both extensive air cover and firepower for amphibious forces coming ashore in a hypothetical Taiwan scenario. Just as crucial, People’s Liberation Army (PLA) rotary-wing aircraft would provide transport capabilities to deliver “air cavalry” and special forces deep into the island’s interior. This would be done in order to disorient Taiwan’s defenders and prevent reinforcements from developing counter-attacks against the PLA’s initial lodgments. One Russian helicopter, in particular, has garnered extra Chinese attention: the Ka-52 Alligator. Not only is this Russia’s most advanced attack helicopter, incorporating some important design innovations, but there were strong rumors in fall 2021 that the PLA was acquiring the Ka-52 for use aboard its new large amphibious attack ships (type 075). That would not be strange given that the PLA Navy and the other Chinese armed forces have relied extensively on Russian helicopters for decades. Thus, there are many reasons to pay attention to a late 2023 Chinese language analysis of Ka-52 operations in the Russian war in Ukraine. The overall theme of this article is that the Russian helicopter’s combat record has achieved an improbable comeback. The article recapped the struggles of Russian helicopter aviation during the first phase of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. U.K. Ministry of Defense data was cited to suggest that as many as 39 Ka-52s might have been lost in the early part of the Russian invasion – amounting to a quarter of the Russian fleet of Alligators. According to this Chinese analysis, these significant losses caused a “sense of astonishment,” at least among Western commentators. Likewise, it is said that the helicopter had performed below expectations and that Russia would have trouble replacing such high losses. However, the article noted that assessments of the Ka-52 significantly altered after its strong performance during Ukraine’s summer counter-offensive. The Alligator attack helicopters were credited with destroying high numbers of Ukrainian armored vehicles, including the most advanced Western types, such as Leopard tanks and Bradley AFVs. The report noted that the U.K. minister of defense had been disturbed by these battlefield developments and the Chinese assessment suggested that that defense analysts have rebranded the Russian Alligator attack helicopter as “Putin’s Vulture” or the “NATO Tank Killer.” The Chinese analysis posited that the new effectiveness of these Russian attack helicopters can be attributed to the development of “appropriate tactics.” Initially, the Alligators were simply “too exposed to fire from the Ukrainian armed forces’ battlefield air defense network…” Of course, the new tactics were partly enabled by Ukraine’s combat vehicles revealing themselves as they went on the offensive, the article explains. Instead of attempting to penetrate dense air defenses, the helicopters are instead called in “on demand” to destroy targets of opportunity, while then rapidly exiting the battlefield. Apparently, such “hit and run” tactics do not allow the Ukrainian side to target the Russian attack helicopters effectively. A British military aviation expert was quoted at length in this Chinese rendering. It was explained that these tactics found a weakness in Ukraine’s air defenses, since they had just seconds to react to these strikes. In addition, that expert noted the effective terrain masking employed by the Russian Alligators. They “fly very close to the ground” and will suddenly appear over a hill or out of a forest to make their missile attacks. Thus, for the defenders on the ground, “it’s very difficult to lock on to these helicopters.” The Chinese assessment also noted that the Russian Ka-52s have shown great effectiveness in night operations. The analysis explained that Russian attack helicopters have been assisted by other Russian tactics on the battlefield, including especially dense belts of land mines, which repeatedly stalled Ukrainian armored thrusts and made their tanks and AFVs vulnerable targets for the Alligators. The article cited an American observer of military affairs as commenting that the lethality of Russian helicopters during the summer of 2023 is a reminder of the success of the U.S. Apache helicopters operating in the Persian Gulf War. The report also said that of approximately 125 Ukrainian armored vehicles disabled in June 2023, more than 50 were disabled by Russian helicopter operations. It quoted a Ukrainian soldier as having told the British press that the Alligator attacks are “dauntless and relentless,” occurring three to four times per day. Moreover, the Russians have apparently improved both the sensors and their laser-guided munitions fired by the Ka-52, so that it can destroy targets at greater distances. The Chinese analysis explained that when the helicopter is delivering strikes from 8-10 kilometers away, the Ukrainian target “really cannot either see or hear the Russian attack helicopter.” It quoted a Ukrainian soldier from a German paper observing that at this distance, “We fundamentally have no means to counter” the Russian helicopter threat. The article reported that the Russian military is now upgrading the sensors and weapons to track multiple targets at ranges exceeding 30-50 km. Undoubtedly, Chinese strategists will be interested to see how such longer-range helicopter attack systems can be combined with improved drone surveillance, a technological coordination issue we previously addressed, to enhance PLA air-to-ground attack doctrine for a Taiwan scenario. The Chinese article, which focused on the summer 2023 exploits of the Ka-52, also claimed that Russian attack helicopters have improved their battlefield survivability through improved use of electronic warfare (EW). The article discussed a case in June when an Alligator was reportedly attacked by no fewer than 18 Ukrainian missiles but still managed to successfully escape due to its Vitebsk 25 EW system – a result that the article claimed had been verified by other relatively recent tests. A 2023 article in The Economist noted that the Russian armed forces “has for many years placed a ‘huge focus’ on using its military-industrial complex to produce and develop an impressive range of EW capabilities…” That same article also warned that insights from the EW struggle in Ukraine are likely “to be passed on to the Chinese” by the Russian military. Taiwan’s air defense system and its ability to blunt a PLA heliborne or airborne attack constitutes an unknown for the Taiwan scenario going forward. Recently, Taipei got some good news on that front in the form of the delivery of a major batch of U.S.-made man-portable air defense system Stingers to the island. The Chinese article summarized above, however, shows that Chinese strategists are extremely keen to find ways to foil such defenses to bring China’s airpower, both fixed wing and rotary wing, to bear on a prospective cross-strait military scenario. https://thediplomat.com/2024/02/china-looks-to-ukraine-war-for-guidance-on-attack-helicopters/ |
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Posted: 3/9/2024 9:52:14 PM EDT
[#48]
ISW assessment for March 9th.
https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-9-2024 |
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Posted: 3/10/2024 12:15:56 AM EDT
[Last Edit: Prime]
[#49]
🎥 The Ukrainian 2023's summer counter-offensive in Zaporizhzhia Oblast through the eyes of a medic of Ukrainian 47th Mechanized Brigade. #RussiaUkraineWar https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1766453801878249798 |
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Posted: 3/10/2024 12:28:54 AM EDT
[#50]
 
 
 
 
 
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