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YouTube Gave Me a 7 Day Suspension That Lasted 10 Days |
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R.I.P. Brian Michael Wallace, AKA FCSD2162
Help Brian's young daughter: https://givesendgo.com/Brianwallace |
Long but worthwhile read from Zoltan Pozsar from CSFB.
PDF link - https://plus2.credit-suisse.com/shorturlpdf.html?v=5amR-WTBd-V&t=-1e4y7st99l5d0a0be21hgr5ht A snippet First, how do you wage wars on multiple fronts when a single front in Ukraine showed how quickly stockpiles can deplete in a war of attrition, and how slow the replacement is (see here). This is not about high -tech weapons that need chips, but rather, basic artillery. As a recent FT article noted, “fetishes for high -tech weapons and lean manufacturing have obscured the importance of maintaining stockpiles of basic kits [like artillery shells]. Total annual U.S. production of 155 million artillery shells, for example, would last only about two weeks in Ukraine, a conflict that marks “the return of industrial warfare”. […] Inexpensive ammunition that you can use on a large scale is essential; the West needs to be more disciplined not always to seek the exquisite, but rather to understand how the exquisite allows what is quite boring and banal”. Second, it’s not like the exquisite stuff can be made quickly either: “in May, when Washington ordered 1,300 Stinger anti -aircraft missiles to replace those sent to Ukraine, the chief executive of Raytheon replied: ‘it will take us a little while ’ ” (see here). And this is not just a replacement issue: the delivery of Stingers to Taiwan has been delayed recently to enable the flood of weapons to Ukraine (see here), and Saudi Arabia also faces delays as it aims to re -stock its arsenal (see here). Meanwhile, on a recent earnings call, Peter Wennick, the CEO of ASML, the maker of cutting -edge lithography machines, noted the following: “I met the executive of a very large industrial company, a conglomerate, last week, and [he] told me that they’re buying washing machines to rip out the chips to put them into industrial modules. I mean, that’s happening these days ”. Another snippet Minsky moments are triggered by excessive financial leverage, and in the context of supply chains, leverage means excessive operating leverage: in Germany, $2 trillion of value added depends on $20 billion of gas from Russia … …that’s 100 -times leverage (see the last chart here ) – more than Lehman’s. And the concept of operating leverage applies in the military domain too: if Taiwan makes the chips for the missiles the U.S. sends it for self -defense but has to wait for missiles because they are needed in Ukraine instead or it can’t ship them to the U.S. owing to a sea and air blockade imposed by China, the U.S. is operationally ill -equipped to support a two -front war. In English… Edit for context - chart showing Electricity prices in Euro's...No russian gas = spiking electric costs... |
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panem et circenses
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Total annual U.S. production of 155 million artillery shells, for example, would last onlyabout two weeks in Ukraine, View Quote That's almost 8000 shells every minute. I call BS. |
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Originally Posted By Superluckycat: That's almost 8000 shells every minute. I call BS. View Quote Good catch - looks like Ukraine averages 6000 artillery rounds/day vs 20k rounds/day fired by Russia. The rest of the paper still has some worthwhile observations/opinions. For reference I found this https://www.state.gov/u-s-security-cooperation-with-ukraine/ - chip shortage may make those Stingers hard to replace.... United States security assistance committed to Ukraine includes: Over 1,400 Stinger anti-aircraft systems; Over 6,500 Javelin anti-armor systems; Over 20,000 other anti-armor systems; Over 700 Switchblade Tactical Unmanned Aerial Systems; 126 155mm Howitzers and up to 486,000 155mm artillery rounds; 72,000 105mm artillery rounds; 126 Tactical Vehicles to tow 155mm Howitzers; 22 Tactical Vehicles to recover equipment; 16 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems and ammunition; |
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panem et circenses
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Originally Posted By JPN: If my memory isn't off, Randy Weaver wasn't even involved in that initial shootout. The dog detected the Marshals, started barking and went toward them. Harris and Weaver's son followed the dog, to see what had agitated it. The (now dead) Marshal put a burst into the dog, just as Weaver's son caught up enough to see the dog and the person in camo shooting it. Weaver's son shot the person that had just shot his dog, and the rest of the team (who the son had likely not yet seen) started firing at Weaver's son and Harris, hitting and killing Weaver's son. At that point, the person who started the shooting, and the person that had killed the Marshal, were dead, but that led to escalating the incident further, as Harris apparently returned fire (in self-defense) before retreating, and the team initially reported that the first shots fired had killed the Marshal (but could not later explain to investigators how the dead guy had fired something like half a magazine after he died). View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By JPN: Originally Posted By djohn: Originally Posted By JPN: Wasn't that the guy who started the shooting, by shooting a dog in front of the dog's owner (who was armed)? Yes, according to the New York Times: Essentially, the jury found that Mr. Harris and Mr. Weaver acted in self-defense in the shooting death of Deputy Federal Marshal William Degan on Aug. 21. https://www.nytimes.com/1993/07/09/us/rebuking-the-us-jury-acquits-2-in-marshal-s-killing-in-idaho-siege.html And the LA Times: Degan was killed in self-defense when he and the other marshals fired the first rounds and provoked the shootout. https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1993-07-09-mn-11558-story.html If my memory isn't off, Randy Weaver wasn't even involved in that initial shootout. The dog detected the Marshals, started barking and went toward them. Harris and Weaver's son followed the dog, to see what had agitated it. The (now dead) Marshal put a burst into the dog, just as Weaver's son caught up enough to see the dog and the person in camo shooting it. Weaver's son shot the person that had just shot his dog, and the rest of the team (who the son had likely not yet seen) started firing at Weaver's son and Harris, hitting and killing Weaver's son. At that point, the person who started the shooting, and the person that had killed the Marshal, were dead, but that led to escalating the incident further, as Harris apparently returned fire (in self-defense) before retreating, and the team initially reported that the first shots fired had killed the Marshal (but could not later explain to investigators how the dead guy had fired something like half a magazine after he died). |
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“So, never give up. Continue to fight. You’ll either find a win here and there, or you’ll die fighting. I can accept either of those out comes”- March 31st, 2020 - Until Valhalla
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Originally Posted By Fantomas: just wanted to give an update on my Mom she had Surgery today and everything went fine. She will spend the next 2 days in ICU. My Cousin talked to the Nurse since nobody is allowed into the Hospital. I am very relived that she did not get a colostomy bag. That was one of the worries we had but her Colonoscopy yesterday did not show any damage to her upper colon. She will be in the Hospital most likely until the 2nd of September thank you to everybody for keeping her in your prayers I really appreciate that View Quote |
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“So, never give up. Continue to fight. You’ll either find a win here and there, or you’ll die fighting. I can accept either of those out comes”- March 31st, 2020 - Until Valhalla
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Originally Posted By Win1300: Good catch - looks like Ukraine averages 6000 artillery rounds/day vs 20k rounds/day fired by Russia. The rest of the paper still has some worthwhile observations/opinions. For reference I found this https://www.state.gov/u-s-security-cooperation-with-ukraine/ - chip shortage may make those Stingers hard to replace.... United States security assistance committed to Ukraine includes: Over 1,400 Stinger anti-aircraft systems; Over 6,500 Javelin anti-armor systems; Over 20,000 other anti-armor systems; Over 700 Switchblade Tactical Unmanned Aerial Systems; 126 155mm Howitzers and up to 486,000 155mm artillery rounds; 72,000 105mm artillery rounds; 126 Tactical Vehicles to tow 155mm Howitzers; 22 Tactical Vehicles to recover equipment; 16 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems and ammunition; View Quote Those numbers are on the low end… |
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Russell Brand savagely mocking 'muh democracy'
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When the Tide is out you can see who swims naked
AZ, USA
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Originally Posted By evo7011: We out here https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/124501/BF8DB0FD-A8D2-48E1-A7F0-3423C8146642_jpe-2504923.JPG View Quote Originally Posted By evo7011: Dinner https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/124501/8F878AF4-34F2-4872-B373-55E90D258A99_jpe-2505176.JPG View Quote looks great fantastic Restaurant |
- Official ARFCOM Nickname: Hardware
- Originally Posted By elcope: Er ist ein Bier leener "It's nice to be important, but it's more important to be nice" H.P. Baxxter |
When the Tide is out you can see who swims naked
AZ, USA
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- Official ARFCOM Nickname: Hardware
- Originally Posted By elcope: Er ist ein Bier leener "It's nice to be important, but it's more important to be nice" H.P. Baxxter |
Originally Posted By evo7011: Dinner https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/124501/8F878AF4-34F2-4872-B373-55E90D258A99_jpe-2505176.JPG View Quote Tongs? |
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z - Deplorable Neanderthal
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If you haven't seen this yet, prepare to get further pissed off.
FFBI Tucker Carlson: This story may have prevented Biden from becoming president |
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Originally Posted By Fantomas: I checked out a new place that is across the Street from me I had a very nice Dinner sitting outside the Food was very good. appetizer was Gazpacho Soup https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/222783/20220827_181257-2505481.jpg Dinner was Sliders https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/222783/20220827_181803-2505482.jpg View Quote Outstanding! |
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Pro tip, don’t ride the train at 2am unless you’re carrying heavy.
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Originally Posted By evo7011: Dinner https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/124501/8F878AF4-34F2-4872-B373-55E90D258A99_jpe-2505176.JPG View Quote Nice Costco had picanha steaks for $5.99/lb. I may have bought a few. Attached File Attached File |
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panem et circenses
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Originally Posted By Win1300: Nice Costco had picanha steaks for $5.99/lb. I may have bought a few. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/58998B21-B4CB-45B0-9C7E-BC2E1D4E28AA_jpe-2506707.JPGhttps://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/A0EA414F-FED3-485C-95C3-DDEEE4C13C01_jpe-2506708.JPG View Quote Did anyone tell @Lug1? |
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Vini, Vidi, Bibi
Life is too short to converse with stupid people. Sir The_Dog, charter member Knights of Wonder Cheesecake OG |
Originally Posted By Win1300: Nice Costco had picanha steaks for $5.99/lb. I may have bought a few. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/58998B21-B4CB-45B0-9C7E-BC2E1D4E28AA_jpe-2506707.JPGhttps://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/A0EA414F-FED3-485C-95C3-DDEEE4C13C01_jpe-2506708.JPG View Quote My local Brookshire's had those on sale a few weeks ago. What is that cut and how do you cook it? It's a new one on me. |
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Politicians Prefer Unarmed Peasants
Caddyshack Some men are morally opposed to violence. They are protected by those who are not. Let's Go Brandon!!!!!!!! |
Originally Posted By Gopher: My local Brookshire's had those on sale a few weeks ago. What is that cut and how do you cook it? It's a new one on me. View Quote Its cut that was popularized in Brazil. It has a nice fat cap. I sliced it into 1 1/2 thick pieces and put them on a hanging skewer and threw them in my drum smoker over a higher heat - more of a sear but some of the smoke came through nice. Got the idea for using the drum smoker from here. It was really good. Sirloin Picanha Cooked over Open Flame with MEAT JUICES Dripping Over Coals! |
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panem et circenses
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Originally Posted By The_Dog: Did anyone tell @Lug1? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By The_Dog: Originally Posted By Win1300: Nice Costco had picanha steaks for $5.99/lb. I may have bought a few. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/58998B21-B4CB-45B0-9C7E-BC2E1D4E28AA_jpe-2506707.JPGhttps://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/A0EA414F-FED3-485C-95C3-DDEEE4C13C01_jpe-2506708.JPG Did anyone tell @Lug1? |
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There is a reason some rookies roll more hose than others....
Sir Lug1, charter member Knights of Wonder |
Originally Posted By Win1300: Its cut that was popularized in Brazil. It has a nice fat cap. I sliced it into 1 1/2 thick pieces and put them on a hanging skewer and threw them in my drum smoker over a higher heat - more of a sear but some of the smoke came through nice. Got the idea for using the drum smoker from here. It was really good. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bd9XokDyrGY View Quote Nice. That might do well in an oil-less fryer. I have done pork roast in it and it gives a nice crust on the outside and is tender and juicy inside and can be hung from skewers like that. It's a Charbroil Big Easy that is basically a big infra-red cooker. Very versatile with the attachments. Makes a killer turkey and whole chicken. The Char Broil Big Easy Accessories |
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Politicians Prefer Unarmed Peasants
Caddyshack Some men are morally opposed to violence. They are protected by those who are not. Let's Go Brandon!!!!!!!! |
Dem election strategy in New Hampshire:
1. Proclaim Free State Libertarians to be extremists. 2. Proclaim GOP politicians to be Free Staters. 3. Profit. https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-new-hampshire-government-and-politics-261966bda9f95a9b746215abd4bba408 |
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R.I.P. Brian Michael Wallace, AKA FCSD2162
Help Brian's young daughter: https://givesendgo.com/Brianwallace |
Originally Posted By PepePewPew: Dem election strategy in New Hampshire: 1. Proclaim Free State Libertarians to be extremists. 2. Proclaim GOP politicians to be Free Staters. 3. Profit. https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-new-hampshire-government-and-politics-261966bda9f95a9b746215abd4bba408 View Quote Wrong thread or am I drunk? |
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Politicians Prefer Unarmed Peasants
Caddyshack Some men are morally opposed to violence. They are protected by those who are not. Let's Go Brandon!!!!!!!! |
Originally Posted By Superluckycat: That's almost 8000 shells every minute. I call BS. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By Superluckycat: Total annual U.S. production of 155 million artillery shells, for example, would last onlyabout two weeks in Ukraine, That's almost 8000 shells every minute. I call BS. 155 caliber munition artillery shells? A typo/translation error? Caught my eye too. |
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Been awhile, sorry folks.
I miss Cece. Sabaton - Winged Hussars Been dealing with a round robin of ER visits the last few months, with family. |
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Originally Posted By Strykewolf: Been awhile, sorry folks. I miss Cece. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CxlRJsQ7p2k Been dealing with a round robin of ER visits the last few months, with family. View Quote Attached File |
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RS Callsign Mayhem Midget
"I'll come for the killing and stay for the cheesecake" SSgt Jason A Decker. 11/6/09 |
When the Tide is out you can see who swims naked
AZ, USA
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Originally Posted By Strykewolf: Been awhile, sorry folks. I miss Cece. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CxlRJsQ7p2k Been dealing with a round robin of ER visits the last few months, with family. View Quote |
- Official ARFCOM Nickname: Hardware
- Originally Posted By elcope: Er ist ein Bier leener "It's nice to be important, but it's more important to be nice" H.P. Baxxter |
Originally Posted By Fantomas: I checked out a new place that is across the Street from me I had a very nice Dinner sitting outside the Food was very good. appetizer was Gazpacho Soup https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/222783/20220827_181257-2505481.jpg Dinner was Sliders https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/222783/20220827_181803-2505482.jpg View Quote That looks good! |
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Familiarity and prolonged exposure without incident leads to a loss of appreciation of risk.
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Originally Posted By evo7011: We out here https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/124501/BF8DB0FD-A8D2-48E1-A7F0-3423C8146642_jpe-2504923.JPG View Quote You seem to be adapting well. Welcome. |
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A man solved a problem for himself, not knowing that he had solved the problem for millions of people. He did not know.
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Scorpions - Send me an Angel ?ShivaCosima? |
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Halestorm - Here's To Us [Official Video] |
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Antifa is operating with impunity in Texas. Thread here:
https://www.ar15.com/forums/General/Alright-TX-We-gotta-talk-Antifa-was-here-today-supporting-groomers-and-we-didn-t-do-anything-/5-2581020/?page=1 I feel the right is in stand-down mode at the moment. Things will heat up again as we approach 2024, if the nation and the world last that long. I know Europe will be in shambles by then - their energy prices have more than doubled this year. I feel helpless and totally reactive, being swept along in a speeding current to an uncertain future (this timeline is utterly wrecked). At the same time, I am tied to my work, making more money but stuck with so little free time to prep and do things. My life is fine, but it's like riding a horse made out of glass. It could shatter at any time. I know I will be disappointed with myself if I am doing the 9-5 grind and the nukes fly when I'm sitting at work - I hope if something happens, we all see it coming and can somewhat prepare for it. |
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I walk by this station frequently, it’s sketchy AF during the day also.
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US Embassy being evac'd by rooftop in Baghdad. Natives restless today.
CD |
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De Oppresso Liber
Iraq: 91,03,04,05,06,08,09,15,16,22’ Afghanistan: 09,10,11',14',17',18',19',20'&21' |
Originally Posted By The_Dog: Did anyone tell @Lug1? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By The_Dog: Originally Posted By Win1300: Nice Costco had picanha steaks for $5.99/lb. I may have bought a few. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/58998B21-B4CB-45B0-9C7E-BC2E1D4E28AA_jpe-2506707.JPGhttps://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/A0EA414F-FED3-485C-95C3-DDEEE4C13C01_jpe-2506708.JPG Did anyone tell @Lug1? |
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“So, never give up. Continue to fight. You’ll either find a win here and there, or you’ll die fighting. I can accept either of those out comes”- March 31st, 2020 - Until Valhalla
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“So, never give up. Continue to fight. You’ll either find a win here and there, or you’ll die fighting. I can accept either of those out comes”- March 31st, 2020 - Until Valhalla
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RS Callsign Mayhem Midget
"I'll come for the killing and stay for the cheesecake" SSgt Jason A Decker. 11/6/09 |
panem et circenses
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Several killed in clashes in Baghdad’s Green Zone after powerful cleric announces withdrawal from politics
https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/29/middleeast/al-sadr-iraq-protests-intl/index.html |
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De Oppresso Liber
Iraq: 91,03,04,05,06,08,09,15,16,22’ Afghanistan: 09,10,11',14',17',18',19',20'&21' |
Former Obama Guy Has a Very Strange Take on Why Republicans Dislike the IRS
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Originally Posted By Combat_Diver: Several killed in clashes in Baghdad’s Green Zone after powerful cleric announces withdrawal from politics https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/29/middleeast/al-sadr-iraq-protests-intl/index.html View Quote Attached File |
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View Quote |
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RS Callsign Mayhem Midget
"I'll come for the killing and stay for the cheesecake" SSgt Jason A Decker. 11/6/09 |
Originally Posted By RSG: Former Obama Guy Has a Very Strange Take on Why Republicans Dislike the IRS
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You must hate a Democrat as you would the Devil.
Extremism in defense of liberty is no vice. Moderation in pursuit of justice is no virtue. NorCal_LEO-assigned callsign Bulkhead |
Let us never forget, government has no resources of its own. Government can only give to us what it has previously taken from us.
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Originally Posted By MADMAXXX: If you haven't seen this yet, prepare to get further pissed off. FFBI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hlc8EIrQxZc View Quote Riots, a pandemic, RussiaGate, bullshit me too allegations, an unprecedented media / mind control campaign.... They've done everything but give him an open top limo ride through Dealey Plaza and the only reason they haven't done that is fear of making him a martyr. Trump had countless enemies and very few allies, even among his own administration. |
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When the Tide is out you can see who swims naked
AZ, USA
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View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Originally Posted By evo7011: Originally Posted By Combat_Diver: Several killed in clashes in Baghdad’s Green Zone after powerful cleric announces withdrawal from politics https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/29/middleeast/al-sadr-iraq-protests-intl/index.html https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/124501/DSC00727_jpg-2507584.JPG |
- Official ARFCOM Nickname: Hardware
- Originally Posted By elcope: Er ist ein Bier leener "It's nice to be important, but it's more important to be nice" H.P. Baxxter |
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