User Panel
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Little bit of a pep talk and setting some expectations. The next 2 weeks are going to suck. Trump is going to romp through the NE. He just is. Big City Thinkers love Big City Thinking. You're going to see all the Steamed Trumplings jump back on the bandwagon and start flinging shit like they always do (they'll be in the thread momentarily). That's cool, whatever. You're going to see stories about Trump's comeback, momentum, blah blah blah. Don't lose hope. More favorable ground is coming after the 2 weeks including CA where Cruz has a strong ground organization already in place. Read this for the upcoming roadmap: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-state-by-state-roadmap-for-the-rest-of-the-republican-primary/ Bottom line: Although our panel’s original estimates had Trump finishing with 1,175 pledged delegates, my revised deterministic projections have him at 1,155, and the probabilistic version has him at 1,159. View Quote Cruzkatsick, second ballot, 1,443. View Quote Your boy is just there to cockblock the Donald, as soon as he does that the GOPe puts in their chosen candidate |
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Your boy is just there to cockblock the Donald, as soon as he does that the GOPe puts in their chosen candidate View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Little bit of a pep talk and setting some expectations. The next 2 weeks are going to suck. Trump is going to romp through the NE. He just is. Big City Thinkers love Big City Thinking. You're going to see all the Steamed Trumplings jump back on the bandwagon and start flinging shit like they always do (they'll be in the thread momentarily). That's cool, whatever. You're going to see stories about Trump's comeback, momentum, blah blah blah. Don't lose hope. More favorable ground is coming after the 2 weeks including CA where Cruz has a strong ground organization already in place. Read this for the upcoming roadmap: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-state-by-state-roadmap-for-the-rest-of-the-republican-primary/ Bottom line: Although our panel’s original estimates had Trump finishing with 1,175 pledged delegates, my revised deterministic projections have him at 1,155, and the probabilistic version has him at 1,159. Cruzkatsick, second ballot, 1,443. Your boy is just there to cockblock the Donald, as soon as he does that the GOPe puts in their chosen candidate Rule 40(b). Kasich no win 8 states, Kasich no onna ballot. |
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I'm voting/writing in Ted Cruz in November, so the next two weeks or even two months don't mean shit to me. View Quote In November I'm voting for whoever the GOP nominee is, be it Trump, Cruz, Kasich, or even Jeb the Guac-Bowl Merchant. That said, Cruz can win this. I'll be voting for him in June, and hopefully he carries San Diego county. |
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Rule 40(b). Kasich no win 8 states, Kasich no onna ballot. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Little bit of a pep talk and setting some expectations. The next 2 weeks are going to suck. Trump is going to romp through the NE. He just is. P Big City Thinkers love Big City Thinking. You're going to see all the Steamed Trumplings jump back on the bandwagon and start flinging shit like they always do (they'll be in the thread momentarily). That's cool, whatever. You're going to see stories about Trump's comeback, momentum, blah blah blah. Don't lose hope. More favorable ground is coming after the 2 weeks including CA where Cruz has a strong ground organization already in place. Read this for the upcoming roadmap: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-state-by-state-roadmap-for-the-rest-of-the-republican-primary/ Bottom line: Although our panel’s original estimates had Trump finishing with 1,175 pledged delegates, my revised deterministic projections have him at 1,155, and the probabilistic version has him at 1,159. Cruzkatsick, second ballot, 1,443. Your boy is just there to cockblock the Donald, as soon as he does that the GOPe puts in their chosen candidate Rule 40(b). Kasich no win 8 states, Kasich no onna ballot. lol, yeah I'm sure rinse my penis will be bound by rules like that |
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I hear ya man, same with me. Just wanted to make sure everyone knew the Trumpnado is approaching and to seek shelter. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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I'm voting/writing in Ted Cruz in November, so the next two weeks or even two months don't mean shit to me. I hear ya man, same with me. Just wanted to make sure everyone knew the Trumpnado is approaching and to seek shelter. you spend an awful lot of time on here campaigning for someone even though you openly admit you're voting for Hillary in November |
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Funny, no one is listening. Not to his speeches, and not to his supporters.
He should pack up and go home. Seriously. |
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Quoted: You can make your own rules when it is private. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Quoted:
For all of Cruz's talk about "grassroots" and "small $ donors", he's going to let a group of faceless delegates in smoke-filled rooms make deals screwing over millions of voters. Shame on Cruz, his establishment buddies and their supporters. Cruz is establishment. He has been assimilated. You can't smoke indoors anymore, everyone knows this. You can make your own rules when it is private. Cool. |
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Quoted: This. I'm still gonna vote though. I'm not even sure why. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Hillary has already won, none of the rest matters now. This. I'm still gonna vote though. I'm not even sure why. I still think Bernie is going to get the Dem nomination. Regardless I have hope, don't know why but I do. |
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Wut? This is what I'm doing: http://i.imgur.com/ELluEbZ.jpg And please, spare me the "It's a vote for Hillary!!1!!" It's a vote for Ted Cruz. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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I'm voting/writing in Ted Cruz in November, so the next two weeks or even two months don't mean shit to me. I hear ya man, same with me. Just wanted to make sure everyone knew the Trumpnado is approaching and to seek shelter. you spend an awful lot of time on here campaigning for someone even though you openly admit you're voting for Hillary in November Wut? This is what I'm doing: http://i.imgur.com/ELluEbZ.jpg And please, spare me the "It's a vote for Hillary!!1!!" It's a vote for Ted Cruz. "If you're not with us you're against us!" is the common cry. No, fuckers, it means I don't agree with your shitty goddamn democrat that you're all falling for. |
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"If you're not with us you're against us!" is the common cry. No, fuckers, it means I don't agree with your shitty goddamn democrat that you're all falling for. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Wut? This is what I'm doing: http://i.imgur.com/ELluEbZ.jpg And please, spare me the "It's a vote for Hillary!!1!!" It's a vote for Ted Cruz. "If you're not with us you're against us!" is the common cry. No, fuckers, it means I don't agree with your shitty goddamn democrat that you're all falling for. I wish I could find it, but someone here wrote a brilliant post asking if people would vote for Nancy Pelosi if she said something edgy about the border and switched to the Republican party...because that's what you're doing. It was great, I should have saved it/quote it more. |
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Most of the Pennsylvania delegates are "unbound" on the FIRST ballot.
This will be VERY entertaining. |
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Like someone else said earlier, i'm not even going to worry as i'll be writing in Ted Cruz even if he doesn't get the nomination. One NE big city liberal is not different from another NE big city liberal. I will not vote the lesser of two evils ever again.
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If only we knew someone who was adept at scooping those delegates up with his superior organization and campaign apparatus. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Most of the Pennsylvania delegates are "unbound" on the FIRST ballot. This will be VERY entertaining. If only we knew someone who was adept at scooping those delegates up with his superior organization and campaign apparatus. Let's be honest here... Cruz has a great ground game, of this there is no doubt. BUT many of these delegates are old time GOP locals. They know Trump isn't really a Republican. They know who is... |
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If only we knew someone who was adept at scooping those delegates up with his superior organization and campaign apparatus. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Most of the Pennsylvania delegates are "unbound" on the FIRST ballot. This will be VERY entertaining. If only we knew someone who was adept at scooping those delegates up with his superior organization and campaign apparatus. He's busy you know.... Anti-Trump Group Hits Trump for Use of 9/11 Recovery Money |
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Let's be honest here... Cruz has a great ground game, of this there is no doubt. BUT many of these delegates are old time GOP locals. They know Trump isn't really a Republican. They know who is... View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Most of the Pennsylvania delegates are "unbound" on the FIRST ballot. This will be VERY entertaining. If only we knew someone who was adept at scooping those delegates up with his superior organization and campaign apparatus. Let's be honest here... Cruz has a great ground game, of this there is no doubt. BUT many of these delegates are old time GOP locals. They know Trump isn't really a Republican. They know who is... That's what's so funny about the "The GOPe is going to parachute in a white knight at the convention!" talk. The delegates are all mostly conservative, hardcore true believers that have been involved locally forever. I'm sure they're just itching to roll over and surrender to the establishment. Wait, I mean they're just itching to stick a thumb in the eye of the establishment and vote for first real conservative on the ballot in the last 20+ years. That's why they're there. Their raison d'être as it were. |
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Most of the Pennsylvania delegates are "unbound" on the FIRST ballot. This will be VERY entertaining. If only we knew someone who was adept at scooping those delegates up with his superior organization and campaign apparatus. He's busy you know.... Anti-Trump Group Hits Trump for Use of 9/11 Recovery Money #NYValues |
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Little bit of a pep talk and setting some expectations. The next 2 weeks are going to suck. Trump is going to romp through the NE. He just is. Big City Thinkers love Big City Thinking. You're going to see all the Steamed Trumplings jump back on the bandwagon and start flinging shit like they always do (they'll be in the thread momentarily). That's cool, whatever. You're going to see stories about Trump's comeback, momentum, blah blah blah. Don't lose hope. More favorable ground is coming after the 2 weeks including CA where Cruz has a strong ground organization already in place. Read this for the upcoming roadmap: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/a-state-by-state-roadmap-for-the-rest-of-the-republican-primary/ Bottom line: Although our panel’s original estimates had Trump finishing with 1,175 pledged delegates, my revised deterministic projections have him at 1,155, and the probabilistic version has him at 1,159. View Quote Cruz, second ballot, 1,443. View Quote He absolutely does. I was helping register college students to vote Republican, and there were pro-Cruz people with us. |
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Where's the 1443 figure coming from? I keep seeing that specific number. Has someone done the actual math on "confirmed" second ballot Trump to Cruz swing delegates and arrived at that?
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Quoted: And yet you're here, posting. I wonder what that makes you? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Stupid threads are still stupid. And yet you're here, posting. I wonder what that makes you? Is that like a *5th grade voice* "takes one to know one" kinda thing? |
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Where's the 1443 figure coming from? I keep seeing that specific number. Has someone done the actual math on "confirmed" second ballot Trump to Cruz swing delegates and arrived at that? View Quote Combination of released Trump delegates and Rubio delegates. Click To View Spoiler It's an educated guess.
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Quoted: Let's be honest here... Cruz has a great ground game, of this there is no doubt. BUT many of these delegates are old time GOP locals. They know Trump isn't really a Republican. They know who is... View Quote A guy I've been friends with forever and who does a lot of local Republican party stuff came out to my place to shoot this week and brought one of his coworkers along who just got his first AR and wanted to try it out, so while we're reloading up some mags the talk turns to the primary and his coworker said he was gonna vote for Trump. My buddy stops midway through loading a magazine and looks at him and says,"Shit Ray, I figured that you probably couldn't shoot worth a damn, and I was right; but I never would have guessed you were a Democrat too..." So there was that. |
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I have some small hope that since the NY Primary is closed, you won't get the all the Dem crossover voting. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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I don't think the pumpkin messiah will do as well as everyone thinks he will. Cruz slayed the townhall last night, anyone who is not a rabid trumpertarian can see he isn't as far right as they paint him as. I have some small hope that since the NY Primary is closed, you won't get the all the Dem crossover voting. Not even two of his own Dem kids in "Independent" clothing. |
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Most of the Pennsylvania delegates are "unbound" on the FIRST ballot. This will be VERY entertaining. If only we knew someone who was adept at scooping those delegates up with his superior organization and campaign apparatus. He's busy you know.... Anti-Trump Group Hits Trump for Use of 9/11 Recovery Money #NYValues but....but....but, he so is going to Clean up corruption and graft.... |
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Cruz and the GOPe need to do more than hope, Trump keeps out smarting them and saying what the majority of Americans want to hear. CO is a prime example. |
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Combination of released Trump delegates and Rubio delegates. Click To View Spoiler It's an educated guess. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Where's the 1443 figure coming from? I keep seeing that specific number. Has someone done the actual math on "confirmed" second ballot Trump to Cruz swing delegates and arrived at that? Combination of released Trump delegates and Rubio delegates. Click To View Spoiler It's an educated guess. And Kasich delegates. |
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Where's the 1443 figure coming from? I keep seeing that specific number. Has someone done the actual math on "confirmed" second ballot Trump to Cruz swing delegates and arrived at that? Combination of released Trump delegates and Rubio delegates. Click To View Spoiler It's an educated guess. And Kasich delegates. I don't know, I don't trust Kasich at all. I see some unholy alliance of Trump/Kasich 2016 going on. |
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Rule 40(b). Kasich no win 8 states, Kasich no onna ballot. View Quote Rule 40 does not require a candidate to "win" anything. You would know that if you had read and could understand the rules. Even in the absence of the ability to read and understand the rules, you could have known that if you paid attention to the statements of the GOP General Counsel. After the delegates are no longer bound, they may support any candidate. If nominations were re-opened the now unbound delegates could support any person for purposes of qualifying under the rule. Of course, re-opening the nominations would require a suspension of the rules. That is covered in another rule you have never read. Pray that the people who run the party do not alter the deal with your hero. |
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Rule 40 does not require a candidate to "win" anything. You would know that if you had read and could understand the rules. Even in the absence of the ability to read and understand the rules, you could have known that if you paid attention to the statements of the GOP General Counsel. After the delegates are no longer bound, they may support any candidate. If nominations were re-opened the now unbound delegates could support any person for purposes of qualifying under the rule. Of course, re-opening the nominations would require a suspension of the rules. That is covered in another rule you have never read. Pray that the people who run the party do not alter the deal with your hero. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Rule 40(b). Kasich no win 8 states, Kasich no onna ballot. Rule 40 does not require a candidate to "win" anything. You would know that if you had read and could understand the rules. Even in the absence of the ability to read and understand the rules, you could have known that if you paid attention to the statements of the GOP General Counsel. After the delegates are no longer bound, they may support any candidate. If nominations were re-opened the now unbound delegates could support any person for purposes of qualifying under the rule. Of course, re-opening the nominations would require a suspension of the rules. That is covered in another rule you have never read. Pray that the people who run the party do not alter the deal with your hero. Yes, because the way I was typing you could tell I was be super serious and delving in the minutiae of Rule 40(b). I'm dealing with Trump supporters here, trying to K.I.S.S. |
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Cruz bots are the most thin skinned, hypocritical pussies in america.
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Wut? This is what I'm doing: http://i.imgur.com/ELluEbZ.jpg And please, spare me the "It's a vote for Hillary!!1!!" It's a vote for Ted Cruz. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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I'm voting/writing in Ted Cruz in November, so the next two weeks or even two months don't mean shit to me. I hear ya man, same with me. Just wanted to make sure everyone knew the Trumpnado is approaching and to seek shelter. you spend an awful lot of time on here campaigning for someone even though you openly admit you're voting for Hillary in November Wut? This is what I'm doing: http://i.imgur.com/ELluEbZ.jpg And please, spare me the "It's a vote for Hillary!!1!!" It's a vote for Ted Cruz. So you know it's helping Hillary win but you don't care? |
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View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Quoted: Trump will get 1237. God, let's hope not. http://i3.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/original/000/010/692/19789999.jpg No. He's ahead because he says what most people want to hear, and because he's playing this game better (smarter) than his opponents. CO for example initially looked like a huge win for Cruz. Yay said the Cruz supporters, the party picked us and Trump was too stupid to learn the rules. Then the next day Trump comes out and tells everyone the game is rigged, the GOPe is still the problem, and Cruz is in on it with them. Cruz supporters call him a whiner while America buys into it and he sees a 15% bump in the national poll. Trump is way out front and every other candidate and the majority of then news media spend all their time trying to tear him down, and he continues to be the front runner. Who's the smart one again? |
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Yes, because the way I was typing you could tell I was be super serious and delving in the minutiae of Rule 40(b). I'm dealing with Trump supporters here, trying to K.I.S.S. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Rule 40(b). Kasich no win 8 states, Kasich no onna ballot. Rule 40 does not require a candidate to "win" anything. You would know that if you had read and could understand the rules. Even in the absence of the ability to read and understand the rules, you could have known that if you paid attention to the statements of the GOP General Counsel. After the delegates are no longer bound, they may support any candidate. If nominations were re-opened the now unbound delegates could support any person for purposes of qualifying under the rule. Of course, re-opening the nominations would require a suspension of the rules. That is covered in another rule you have never read. Pray that the people who run the party do not alter the deal with your hero. Yes, because the way I was typing you could tell I was be super serious and delving in the minutiae of Rule 40(b). I'm dealing with Trump supporters here, trying to K.I.S.S. Sure.... Just admit the dude schooled you. |
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Hmm, maybe it isn't going to suck... http://hotair.com/archives/2016/04/15/hmmm-trump-under-50-in-poll-of-new-york-for-first-time-this-month/ If Trump were to finish below 50 percent in 16 districts, that’s 16 delegates going to Kasich or Cruz (assuming the second-place finisher gets at least 20 percent of the vote, which seems inevitable in a three-way race). That’s … not a great outcome for Trump. If he also finishes below 50 statewide, that would cost him another four delegates by Phil Kerpen’s estimation. The last survey by this pollster, Optimus, taken three weeks ago had him winning 15 of New York’s 27 districts with an outright majority, meaning that he’s actually slipped a bit this month. A few days ago, Nate Silver published a state-by-state roadmap to the rest of the primaries and estimated that Trump needs 91 delegates from New York to stay on the path to 1,237. Silver’s more conservative projections of how he might do there put him in the low 80s. Optimus’s new data has him in the mid 70s. If there’s such a thing as having a “bad night” when you win a big state primary by crushing your opponents, that’s what it would look like. View Quote |
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So Cruz rigged all the other states he won, why isn't he rigging these? https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-nYf62LgyJto/Vw5RniBw8SI/AAAAAAAABls/DOyBWn0dilkIquRSr8KOEQh-FBev_qBIACLcB/s320/Colorado%2B1912.jpg Right click/Save as Winning! |
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So you know it's helping Hillary win but you don't care? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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I'm voting/writing in Ted Cruz in November, so the next two weeks or even two months don't mean shit to me. I hear ya man, same with me. Just wanted to make sure everyone knew the Trumpnado is approaching and to seek shelter. you spend an awful lot of time on here campaigning for someone even though you openly admit you're voting for Hillary in November Wut? This is what I'm doing: http://i.imgur.com/ELluEbZ.jpg And please, spare me the "It's a vote for Hillary!!1!!" It's a vote for Ted Cruz. So you know it's helping Hillary win but you don't care? Trump supporters don't seem to care that they're helping Hillary win. Why should we? Posted Via AR15.Com Mobile |
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Cruz bots are the most thin skinned, hypocritical pussies in America. View Quote Amen. The "usual suspect" rabid Cruzbots here are also running true to form. I figured they would be the first to pick up their toys and schlep home when Toxic Ted showed his true colors and was called on it.. |
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Did you see how Cruz also kept Circus Peanut's kids from being able to vote? He ought to be ashamed! View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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So Cruz rigged all the other states he won, why isn't he rigging these? https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-nYf62LgyJto/Vw5RniBw8SI/AAAAAAAABls/DOyBWn0dilkIquRSr8KOEQh-FBev_qBIACLcB/s320/Colorado%2B1912.jpg Did you see how Cruz also kept Circus Peanut's kids from being able to vote? He ought to be ashamed! |
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