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Posted: 2/3/2023 10:58:49 AM EST
[#1]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Billings, Bismark, Winnipeg? But, that assumes ground launch from Great Falls and a constant ascent to burst altitude, but none of that fits this particular thing with a steady buoyancy. Odds are, that if another balloon were launched under it, it would end up on a very different path, because that's just how lower/upper level winds often work.
Updated my post prior to seeing this update. FL450 is the uppermost I can find at the moment. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 10:59:28 AM EST
[#2]
Quote History
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:00:06 AM EST
[#3]
Quote HistoryQuoted: that being said...who gives a shit...if millions of illegals crossing the southern border ever few months isn't a problem...i don't give a fuck about this  |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:00:37 AM EST
[#4]
Potato on the spy balloon.
 Joe Biden WALKS AWAY When Asked If He Plans To Address The Chinese Spy Balloon Floating Over The USA |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:01:33 AM EST
[#5]
Quote HistoryHas Tester come off Schumer's crank long enough to comment? |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:02:02 AM EST
[#6]
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:05:30 AM EST
[#7]
So that's it? We spend trillions on defense and all it take is a high altitude balloon to defeat all our capabilities?
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:07:50 AM EST
[#8]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Billings, Bismark, Winnipeg? But, that assumes ground launch from Great Falls and a constant ascent to burst altitude, but none of that fits this particular thing with a steady buoyancy. Odds are, that if another balloon were launched under it, it would end up on a very different path, because that's just how lower/upper level winds often work.
Should be over my office right about now. Excuse me while I go outside and flip it off. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:08:21 AM EST
[#9]
Quote HistoryQuoted: So that's it? We spend trillions on defense and all it take is a high altitude balloon to defeat all our capabilities? No. It's just that taking it down would show our cards while the whole country watches. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:09:37 AM EST
[#10]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Will be interesting when the details come out on how long this has actually been going on. A long time. I wonder what they’re using this to distract us from. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:10:40 AM EST
[#11]
Looks like it will go over us here in Western NC.
Can't wait to give it the finger. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:10:49 AM EST
[#12]
Russia is punching themselves in the nuts after realizing all they needed was a balloon rather than a hyper sonic missile system.
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:10:50 AM EST
[#13]
I think I'll name it "Squirrel"
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:10:50 AM EST
[#14]
Quote HistoryQuoted: No. It's just that taking it down would show our cards while the whole country watches. Show what cards? It’s a fucking balloon, not a satellite or supersonic aircraft. Shoot the fucking thing down with some 20mm. This is embarrassing. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:14:09 AM EST
[#15]
We’re the only retard country that would tolerate this from a known enemy.
We should treat the balloon like they treated our P3 and its crew. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:14:35 AM EST
[#16]
Maybe MTG can get her friends on the horn to help....
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:15:55 AM EST
[#17]
Nope
Not it. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:15:57 AM EST
[#18]
Quote HistoryQuoted: If you are in ND, and this thing is at 80k feet, you should have radio line-of-sight already. No need to wait. The trouble is getting an exact location on it so you can point at it with said directional antenna hooked up to a specan to see what it's putting out. Then tune a radio from there. If I were China, I would have a patch antenna on TOP of the sensor package and talking to a satellite. That way there would be no downward facing RF emissions from it. So I would be surprised if a terrestrial station in the balloon's target area picks anything up. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: If this thing drifts my way, I'll hook up a broadband directional antenna and an SDR. Might be able to see what it's transmitting. Are there any bored hams in the balloons current AO? Looks like you may be able to see it from the ground? If it's riding the jet stream, it looks like it'll head SE. Lower level winds will push it NE. If you are in ND, and this thing is at 80k feet, you should have radio line-of-sight already. No need to wait. The trouble is getting an exact location on it so you can point at it with said directional antenna hooked up to a specan to see what it's putting out. Then tune a radio from there. If I were China, I would have a patch antenna on TOP of the sensor package and talking to a satellite. That way there would be no downward facing RF emissions from it. So I would be surprised if a terrestrial station in the balloon's target area picks anything up. Valid points. Considering antenna placement might be a litmus test for intent to mask transmissions. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:16:23 AM EST
[#19]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Why are you making excuses for and providing cover to the ChiComs? lol Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: How is a weather balloon with a radar reflector attached to it a spy balloon? Why are you making excuses for and providing cover to the ChiComs? lol Like you providing cover for the Ukrainians concerning their “peaceful biolabs”? Hahahaha |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:16:53 AM EST
[#20]
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:17:08 AM EST
[#21]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Six pages and nobody has mentioned Gunkid? The balloon has literally gone up, people. /media/mediaFiles/sharedAlbum/It_s_Happening_Isn_t_It-117.gif .22 LR rifle? Check .38 Revolver? Check "Tactical Wheelbarrow" for all that sweet sweet plunder & loot? Check  Bigger_Hammer  @FireMissionDivision |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:17:46 AM EST
[#22]
I wonder it it looks like Idiocracy from up there as much as it does down here, in this thread.
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:17:52 AM EST
[#23]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Show what cards? It’s a fucking balloon, not a satellite or supersonic aircraft. Shoot the fucking thing down with some 20mm. This is embarrassing. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: No. It's just that taking it down would show our cards while the whole country watches. Show what cards? It’s a fucking balloon, not a satellite or supersonic aircraft. Shoot the fucking thing down with some 20mm. This is embarrassing. 20mm fired from what? And where to the projectiles come down? There are better ways, but again, we won't use them for the reason I already stated. Most likely scenario is we are very likely sopping up every signal this thing puts out. That can be far more valuable than knocking it out of the sky just to show China that our dick is bigger. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:20:25 AM EST
[#24]
Quote HistoryQuoted: So that's it? We spend trillions on defense and all it take is a high altitude balloon to defeat all our capabilities? |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:20:42 AM EST
[#25]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Russia is punching themselves in the nuts after realizing all they needed was a balloon rather than a hyper sonic missile system. In all fairness, Russia should be punched frequently in the nuts every so often just to remind them of where they actually stand in the World. Bigger_Hammer
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:22:15 AM EST
[#26]
Quote HistoryQuoted: At 70,000ft? No, there's just no flight margin up there. All the crazy stuff we've done with C-130s over the years? That doesn't translate to higher altitudes like this, even when considering higher flying aircraft. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Could a UAV with a tail hook snag it and fly it down? At 70,000ft? No, there's just no flight margin up there. All the crazy stuff we've done with C-130s over the years? That doesn't translate to higher altitudes like this, even when considering higher flying aircraft. Retrofit a sidewinder hard point to a U2? You can’t tell me this wasn’t a known scenario before yesterday. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:23:09 AM EST
[#27]
China claims the balloon is theirs and they lost it.
https://conservativebrief.com/spy-70542/?utm_source=CB&utm_medium=TWIT “The airship is from China. It is a civilian airship used for research, mainly meteorological, purposes,” a spokesperson for the Chinese Foreign Ministry said on Friday. “Affected by the Westerlies and with limited self-steering capability, the airship deviated far from its planned course.” |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:23:22 AM EST
[#28]
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:24:30 AM EST
[#29]
Quote HistoryQuoted: its certainly not "spying" because you are right. much easier to do with a satellite. however if there is a payload on board it makes more sense, maybe WuFlu-2. Maybe a test to see if they could get a balloon over the US. That's the reason we havent popped it. The news says its because there is a risk of damage to whoever it lands on below, but its friggin Billings Montana. The entire town is 15 miles long and there is literally nothing but country all around it. We don't know if it has a payload. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Seems odd in a age of satellites its certainly not "spying" because you are right. much easier to do with a satellite. however if there is a payload on board it makes more sense, maybe WuFlu-2. Maybe a test to see if they could get a balloon over the US. That's the reason we havent popped it. The news says its because there is a risk of damage to whoever it lands on below, but its friggin Billings Montana. The entire town is 15 miles long and there is literally nothing but country all around it. We don't know if it has a payload. Why would they need a balloon to spread a virus? They would just do 1300’s Caffa style. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:25:36 AM EST
[#30]
I wonder if the US is taking air samples near the balloon?
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:26:34 AM EST
[#31]
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:27:30 AM EST
[#32]
This a test run for something or has a capability their satellites don’t. Shoot it down now.
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:27:42 AM EST
[#33]
We've got a member of the House Intelligence Committee that's been fucking a known Chinese spy for how long? The entire Presidential family is bought and paid for by the Chinese, and we're going ape shit over a fucking balloon?
Our country is just full of fucking idiots. It's pathetic. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:28:52 AM EST
[#34]
Those balloons are safe as long as the big guy gets his cut.
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:31:01 AM EST
[#35]
This is like when that German landed a Cessna in red Square.
All this talk about shooting it down etc. And the excuses are Hilarious. We can't shoot a balloon down but we sure will pump an SUV full of 20mm that is going down a range road. In the 50s we had jet fighters that couldn't intercept a rogue target drone. They expended all of their rockets and missed. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:31:29 AM EST
[#36]
It would have been destroyed immediately if it was thought to be owned by white nationalists.
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:38:25 AM EST
[#37]
Quote HistoryQuoted: It would have been destroyed immediately if it was thought to be owned by white nationalists. Strange flex but OK. 
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:39:32 AM EST
[#38]
Quote HistoryQuoted: The mission of riling the peasants will be over if they shoot the balloon down. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:42:18 AM EST
[#39]
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:42:45 AM EST
[#40]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Strange flex but OK. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: It would have been destroyed immediately if it was thought to be owned by white nationalists. Strange flex but OK. Here, let me help you out a little bit. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:43:58 AM EST
[#41]
Nuclear strike on Beijing would be an appropriate response.
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:44:43 AM EST
[#42]
I'd guess that with a balloon, photo reconnaissance isn't an objective. Seeing as even with intelligent altitude changes to try and gain some directional control with various wind currents or the jet stream, that's still rather random.
So it's probably some sort of SIGINT device. And since the balloon can't be guaranteed to land where China can collect it, it logically must be relaying data via RF somehow. Either on a frequency with long global reach, or upwards to a satellite for relay. And frequencies and power used have some limitations from available power and antenna sizes and frequency harmonics. And there's many strategies, frequency hopping, spread spectrum, data-bursts, repeating other terrestrial radio sources and injecting data into the carrier or sidebands, all sorts of ways to mix it up. Laser is possible, but difficult when you can't guarantee orientation or jostling from the wind. Before it went public, we could have been intentionally feeding it false data. And arguably, the Intel we'd gather from shooting it down is limited. Properly designed, it could be using all open market COTS chips, and any firmware/software running it can be encrypted end-to-end in ways that make analysis impossible. Leaving the balloon be, and letting the Chinese think they're getting away with it, and simultaneously feeding it bad data, while we study what it does to learn about their systems and tactics/strategies, is arguably the most useful thing. We shoot the balloon down, the Chinese just design something different, and we've got to study that and start all over too. Kind of like how the Soviets finally shot down a U2 and put Gary Powers on a show trial. They ultimately just got the SR71 for their trouble. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:47:24 AM EST
[#43]
Can a B-2 carry anything to attack the balloon?
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:48:55 AM EST
[#44]
Quote HistoryQuoted: If you are in ND, and this thing is at 80k feet, you should have radio line-of-sight already. No need to wait. The trouble is getting an exact location on it so you can point at it with said directional antenna hooked up to a specan to see what it's putting out. Then tune a radio from there. If I were China, I would have a patch antenna on TOP of the sensor package and talking to a satellite. That way there would be no downward facing RF emissions from it. So I would be surprised if a terrestrial station in the balloon's target area picks anything up. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: If this thing drifts my way, I'll hook up a broadband directional antenna and an SDR. Might be able to see what it's transmitting. Are there any bored hams in the balloons current AO? Looks like you may be able to see it from the ground? If it's riding the jet stream, it looks like it'll head SE. Lower level winds will push it NE. If you are in ND, and this thing is at 80k feet, you should have radio line-of-sight already. No need to wait. The trouble is getting an exact location on it so you can point at it with said directional antenna hooked up to a specan to see what it's putting out. Then tune a radio from there. If I were China, I would have a patch antenna on TOP of the sensor package and talking to a satellite. That way there would be no downward facing RF emissions from it. So I would be surprised if a terrestrial station in the balloon's target area picks anything up. User name checks out.  |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:52:31 AM EST
[#45]
Man, if ever I wanted the ability to overtly deploy an early strike device without triggering a proper alarm
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:55:23 AM EST
[#46]
Quote HistoryCombat Sent. |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:57:47 AM EST
[#47]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: How is a weather balloon with a radar reflector attached to it a spy balloon? Why are you making excuses for and providing cover to the ChiComs? lol Got me. I'm working for the Chicoms. Defending their balloon plots.   Attached File |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 11:58:42 AM EST
[#48]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Man, if ever I wanted the ability to overtly deploy an early strike device without triggering a proper alarm |
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Posted: 2/3/2023 12:00:53 PM EST
[#49]
I wonder if the DOD presser isn't to announce " this started under Trump ".
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Posted: 2/3/2023 12:02:08 PM EST
[#50]
How tough can this be? It's a fucking balloon, put a hole in it.
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