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Posted: 9/5/2019 10:13:35 AM EST
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:17:24 AM EST
[#1]
negative interest rates soon
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:18:48 AM EST
[#2]
double post
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:19:04 AM EST
[#3]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
aaaawwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww yeaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!
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but muh CD rateS!!
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:20:24 AM EST
[#4]
Blame Trump for lowered interest rates and cheap money.

Study Japan and the Japanese reaction.  It's one reason why the Japanese have bought a lot of home safes and gold.
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:22:22 AM EST
[#5]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Blame Trump for lowered interest rates and cheap money.

Study Japan and the Japanese reaction.  It's one reason why the Japanese have bought a lot of home safes and gold.
View Quote
Japan is a good study....they basically had the same thing we had in the 90s instead of the 2000s.

We are just 10-20 years behind them....there are a tremendous amount a parallels to be drawn
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:23:01 AM EST
[#6]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
but muh CD rateS!!
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
aaaawwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww yeaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!
but muh CD rateS!!
Take your time dude.   Pay attention to Detail.
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:24:45 AM EST
[#7]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
negative interest rates soon
View Quote
At which point you take all your money out of the bank and stash it somewhere. No reason to pay the bank to hold more money than you need them to (and pay them for the privilege).
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:24:55 AM EST
[#8]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Take your time dude.   Pay attention to Detail.
View Quote View All Quotes
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
aaaawwwwwwwwwwwwwwwwww yeaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaahhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!!!
but muh CD rateS!!
Take your time dude.   Pay attention to Detail.
Yeah I went to derp, but I herped instead.
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:25:20 AM EST
[#9]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

but muh CD rateS!!
View Quote
And bonds.
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:26:19 AM EST
[#10]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
At which point you take all your money out of the bank and stash it somewhere. No reason to pay the bank to hold more money than you need them to (and pay them for the privilege).
View Quote
So what is the difference between money and currency?  Midcap, Rhinohunter both know.
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:26:29 AM EST
[#11]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
And bonds.
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:

but muh CD rateS!!
And bonds.
yep...most all fixed rate investments from annuities to MBS. Munis to a certain extent.
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:26:52 AM EST
[#12]
I find this unsurprising...
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:28:56 AM EST
[#13]
Effects from the trade war.

China devalued the yuan, this rate cut will just make it worse on them as their temporary export bump will be erased when money becomes cheaper to invest here. Don't know what will happen with export countries other than China.

This is a trade war of value attrition and eventual inflation. I just wonder at what point does China's economy eventually comes off the rails? What they will do? Will they whimper into depression or lash out by going full communist Great Leap forward and start acting stupid regionally?
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:30:22 AM EST
[#14]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Effects from the trade war.

China devalued the yuan, this rate cut will just make it worse on them as their temporary export bump will be erased when money becomes cheaper to invest here. Don't know what will happen with export countries other than China.

This is a trade war of value attrition and eventual inflation. I just wonder at what point does China's economy eventually comes off the rails? What they will do? Will they whimper into depression or lash out by going full communist Great Leap forward and start acting stupid regionally?
View Quote
Can't answer that but I hope there is a revolution and the commies are gone.
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:40:38 AM EST
[#15]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

yep...most all fixed rate investments from annuities to MBS. Munis to a certain extent.
View Quote
Had a 5 year fixed at like 3.30 6 months ish ago now its at like 2.30.

Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:43:42 AM EST
[#16]
Party on, Garth.............

Attachment Attached File


Link Posted: 9/5/2019 10:58:53 AM EST
[#17]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Had a 5 year fixed at like 3.30 6 months ish ago now its at like 2.30.

View Quote View All Quotes
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:

yep...most all fixed rate investments from annuities to MBS. Munis to a certain extent.
Had a 5 year fixed at like 3.30 6 months ish ago now its at like 2.30.

lol...nice
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 11:15:08 AM EST
[#18]
Jeez, interest rates are getting ridiculous. It's brave new world. Savers will be punished.
Link Posted: 9/5/2019 6:11:44 PM EST
[#19]
This is good for Bitcoin.
Link Posted: 9/6/2019 6:50:45 PM EST
[#20]
Link Posted: 9/6/2019 6:57:00 PM EST
[#21]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Jeez, interest rates are getting ridiculous. It's brave new world. Savers will be punished.
View Quote
Yup


Maybe its time to borrow some cash and start another business.
Link Posted: 9/6/2019 7:14:18 PM EST
[#22]
Need cheap money to keep the illusion rolling along.
Link Posted: 9/7/2019 11:47:01 AM EST
[#23]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Effects from the trade war.

China devalued the yuan, this rate cut will just make it worse on them as their temporary export bump will be erased when money becomes cheaper to invest here. Don't know what will happen with export countries other than China.

This is a trade war of value attrition and eventual inflation. I just wonder at what point does China's economy eventually comes off the rails? What they will do? Will they whimper into depression or lash out by going full communist Great Leap forward and start acting stupid regionally?
View Quote
How did we get out of our great depression?

I predict WAR.
Link Posted: 9/7/2019 11:57:32 AM EST
[#24]
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=3WclYu5l4G0
Link Posted: 9/7/2019 12:07:02 PM EST
[#25]
cheaper home loans
more expensive building materials
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 7:49:15 AM EST
[#26]
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 7:50:06 AM EST
[#27]
504 Gateway Time-out error
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:00:35 AM EST
[#28]
Time for a loan to pay for more Beanie Babies! ...or maybe a 97 month car loan.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:11:02 AM EST
[#29]
They need to go up, not down.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:12:06 AM EST
[#30]
Why waste time, cut to zero, now.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:12:22 AM EST
[#31]
I literally closed on a house yesterday...

ETA Car will be paid off in a couple months.  Guess now is a good time to start shopping for a new ride.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:15:27 AM EST
[#32]
In the process of OT buying a house. Hopefully rates keep dropping and I can get a very low rate
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:32:40 AM EST
[#33]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Flat is up if not intervening would move them down.

Repo chaos can be a big deal depending on what's driving it.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:43:20 AM EST
[#34]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Jeez, interest rates are getting ridiculous. It's brave new world. Savers will be punished.
View Quote
Savers have been getting punished since what, 1980 something?
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:45:17 AM EST
[#35]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

Can't answer that but I hope there is a revolution and the commies are gone.
View Quote
The "Red Dragon" figures prominently in "end times" prophecy...communism is the govt of Hell on earth.

Naturally Satan wants it in his "global government".

My guess would be the more desperate they get the closer we are to that day.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:47:46 AM EST
[#36]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Japan is a good study....they basically had the same thing we had in the 90s instead of the 2000s.

We are just 10-20 years behind them....there are a tremendous amount a parallels to be drawn
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Blame Trump for lowered interest rates and cheap money.

Study Japan and the Japanese reaction.  It's one reason why the Japanese have bought a lot of home safes and gold.
Japan is a good study....they basically had the same thing we had in the 90s instead of the 2000s.

We are just 10-20 years behind them....there are a tremendous amount a parallels to be drawn
@midcap
Do our differences matter?
Immigration.
Culture of accepting wide amounts of diversity including destructive behavior.
Others?
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:52:37 AM EST
[#37]
Everyone forgets those 2010-2015 interest rate years.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:55:34 AM EST
[#38]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
They need to go up, not down.
View Quote
And why is that?
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:57:03 AM EST
[#39]
My grandmother is 98 and she still lives off the money she made when interest rates on CDs were 18%. Was good to her. She already had a paid for home/land. Lived off just what she ate, lived in a low cost area.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:57:14 AM EST
[#40]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
negative interest rates soon
View Quote
When real inflation is factored in, it already is.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 8:58:39 AM EST
[#41]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
They need to go up, not down.
View Quote
I agree. But at the same time, I'm hearing, and maybe starting to entertain a compelling argument that we need to preemptively fight this recession so it doesn't hurt Trump. Everyone in this society is in 401k's it seems. Fed has said since 2012, when Powell himself gave a speech that said the govt will be there to prevent asset losses. We aren't in the same economy we were in the 90s, when it was just wealthy and upper middle class in the stock market. Now its everyone. If markets go down, the average joe will be in ruins because of how heavily his retirement dependson the 401k going up. It has to go up signicantly to outpace QE and all the buybacks of junk mortgages that happened in the '00s and early 2010s to bail out the big banks. If people start losing faith in the markets, they'll start pulling out their money and the whole thing will start collapsing. Powell knows this all.  He also knows what he says and does is probably the #1 market mover in today's market. Not even the Saudi attacks overshadow what The Fed does.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 9:01:32 AM EST
[#42]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
The "Red Dragon" figures prominently in "end times" prophecy...communism is the govt of Hell on earth.

Naturally Satan wants it in his "global government".

My guess would be the more desperate they get the closer we are to that day.
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:

Can't answer that but I hope there is a revolution and the commies are gone.
The "Red Dragon" figures prominently in "end times" prophecy...communism is the govt of Hell on earth.

Naturally Satan wants it in his "global government".

My guess would be the more desperate they get the closer we are to that day.
Lol I don't think I have ever seen you reply to a thread, no matter what the topic, without somehow mentioning Jesus, satan, and / or the end times.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 9:02:41 AM EST
[#43]
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Quoted:
And why is that?
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Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
They need to go up, not down.
And why is that?
Speaking for myself, because I have no debt and money in the bank.

Guess I should buy a house I can barely afford.  
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 9:06:09 AM EST
[#44]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

Speaking for myself, because I have no debt and money in the bank.

Guess I should buy a house I can barely afford.  
View Quote
What, you don't like accelerating asset prices and NIRP on the horizon?

Trump wants you to spend your money. Doesn't matter on what, just that you not hoard it any longer, so your dollars pump up the economic numbers and he looks good for reelection.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 9:09:46 AM EST
[#45]
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 9:11:51 AM EST
[#46]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:

because while it's lots of fun to be a borrower when rates are low, there are certain parts of our economy that depend on interest rates around the 5-8% range to be economically viable.  Examples include pension funds, insurance companies, re-insurance companies, and other financial entities that simply cannot have all of their assets exposed to stock market fluctuations.

Plus, when rates are this low for this long, it pulls future demand forward.  So you get a surge of buying stuff on credit, which is nice NOW, but is not so nice when people don't buy stuff on credit because (a) interest rates rise or (b) the consumer is tapped out.

Example:  I worked on the sidelines of the auto industry in the mid-late 2000s, interest rates were relatively low and instead of buying a new car every 4-5 years, lots of people were buying a new car every 18 months and rolling the negative equity from their trade-in into the loan on the new car -- and in some cases THAT trade-in's loan had negative equity from the car before that (I actually saw someone with a $54,000 loan balance on a $40,000 vehicle due to that).  That meant that they rapidly reached a point where they either (a) stayed in that vehicle for much longer than normal or (b) sold it and bought a used beater.  Either way, instead of selling a new car to that person every 4-5 years, the auto industry sold a new car to that person  2-3 times in 5 years then sold nothing to that person for 7-8 years.
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Seems like we're approaching the conditions that led to the 07/08 collapse. I think they need to find a fed chairman that doesn't want to get involved in the stock market, and just keep things consistent so the Fed is eventually factored out. We don't need a centrally managed economy.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 9:13:25 AM EST
[#47]
Just wonderful. Refinanced my car payment last week. 800+ credit score only got me a 3.5% down from 4.99%. Should of waitd.
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 9:47:37 AM EST
[#48]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
@midcap
Do our differences matter?
Immigration.
Culture of accepting wide amounts of diversity including destructive behavior.
Others?
View Quote View All Quotes
View All Quotes
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Quoted:
Quoted:
Blame Trump for lowered interest rates and cheap money.

Study Japan and the Japanese reaction.  It's one reason why the Japanese have bought a lot of home safes and gold.
Japan is a good study....they basically had the same thing we had in the 90s instead of the 2000s.

We are just 10-20 years behind them....there are a tremendous amount a parallels to be drawn
@midcap
Do our differences matter?
Immigration.
Culture of accepting wide amounts of diversity including destructive behavior.
Others?
How dare you question the strength of our diversity
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 9:58:42 AM EST
[#49]
Not good for Trump 2020
Link Posted: 9/18/2019 10:08:51 AM EST
[#50]
Discussion ForumsJump to Quoted PostQuote History
Quoted:
Just wonderful. Refinanced my car payment last week. 800+ credit score only got me a 3.5% down from 4.99%. Should of waitd.
View Quote
Holy crap, you shouldn’t be paying anywhere near that.

I’m paying 2.8 on a 5 year note.
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