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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:11:59 PM EDT
[#1]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Man the weather channel sure is making sure the hysteria is strong with this storm. People are stirred up in a frenzy for sure, people are running around buying everything they can get their hands out |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:12:57 PM EDT
[#2]
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When do they not lol People are stirred up in a frenzy for sure, people are running around buying everything they can get their hands out Quote HistoryQuoted:
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Man the weather channel sure is making sure the hysteria is strong with this storm. People are stirred up in a frenzy for sure, people are running around buying everything they can get their hands out |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:13:56 PM EDT
[#3]
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Leave early. Watch the track/timing on Friday. I think you should beat feet on Saturday of you want to be safe and not trying to outrun a storm moving north through FL. Quote HistoryQuoted:
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What do you locals recommend for someone vacationing in the Venice Florida area? Was planning on driving back to MD on Tuesday, but that will likely change now. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:14:10 PM EDT
[#4]
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Like gas? Quote HistoryQuoted:
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Man the weather channel sure is making sure the hysteria is strong with this storm. People are stirred up in a frenzy for sure, people are running around buying everything they can get their hands out 
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:15:12 PM EDT
[#5]
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I know people that spent 24 hours drive time trying to escape our last hurricane....they were staying in GA. They essentially got stuck in standstill traffic on I-95 for long periods of time. It also took them 22 hours to get home. Quote HistoryQuoted:
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What do you locals recommend for someone vacationing in the Venice Florida area? Was planning on driving back to MD on Tuesday, but that will likely change now. Turns out they were driving in the direction of the hurricane too since they predicted the path wrong |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:17:00 PM EDT
[#6]
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I understand that cases of water bottles are nice, but doesn't anyone else have 5gal jugs for water they can simply fill now? I have six of them and will fill them sometime in the next day or two. I guess everyone used to have the jugs, but the cases of water are so easy. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:17:39 PM EDT
[#7]
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Cant say i have seen em that low around me.. Ill keep an eye out in the future. But having survived Irma for days with no AC, i am confident again. And i will prep my fridge before the weekend (everything i can fill with water to create ice and/or store as cold fluid to keep things cold). I admit, i picked up two cases, but only because i know they can be used anytime (and we like going outside.. camping, hiking, kayak, etc). I have larger water containers (WaterBOB, wooo!), but you can never beat clean, sealed bottles if shit really gets bad (like, i lost my roof and my BOB is destroyed kinda bad). |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:19:15 PM EDT
[#8]
grrrrrrr.......
more shifting - possible part of the panhandle, but more likely back up the center of florida at this time again, this is a shifting forecast, and needs a day or two to firm up path  Attached File |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:19:53 PM EDT
[#9]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
grrrrrrr....... more shifting - possible part of the panhandle, but more likely back up the center of florida at this time again, this is a shifting forecast, and needs a day or two to firm up path https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/2917/dorian_190829_1400_storm_05_jpg-1071463.JPG |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:19:56 PM EDT
[#10]
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I don't get it either. I'd rather have several large 4-gallon jugs, or several 6-packs of gallon jugs, than a shitload of 12-oz bottles. Plus it's generally cheaper to get a bunch of gallon jugs than to get the same amount of water in individual bottles. We do keep a couple of flats of 12oz bottles to freeze in advance. Quote HistoryQuoted:
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I've never understood this "buying bottled water" phenomena. Do people not wash out and save some 1gal containers, which previously held OJ, during the year? I bet I've got about a dozen 1/2 gal ones too. Do people also not realize that gallon freezer bags also can be filled with water? I bet I can top off all of them in less than 1/2 an hour for a penny or two. Any of the above can also be frozen (only fill to 3/4 to allow for expansion) and used as block ice. I'd rather have several large 4-gallon jugs, or several 6-packs of gallon jugs, than a shitload of 12-oz bottles. Plus it's generally cheaper to get a bunch of gallon jugs than to get the same amount of water in individual bottles. We do keep a couple of flats of 12oz bottles to freeze in advance. Here's hoping this beast decides to blow back out to sea, and if you are caught in it's path, prayers for safety. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:20:05 PM EDT
[#11]
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Anyone care to guess how many miles this thing is going to travel from 8/31 to 9/1? Looks like a massive jump. https://i.imgur.com/O2pZYgQ.png  Attached File |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:20:46 PM EDT
[#12]
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I know people that spent 24 hours drive time trying to escape our last hurricane....they were staying in GA. They essentially got stuck in standstill traffic on I-95 for long periods of time. It also took them 22 hours to get home. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:21:23 PM EDT
[#13]
Lines at all the gas stations in Gainesville. I sure hope this storm makes a hard right turn.
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:23:53 PM EDT
[#14]
Quote HistoryQuoted: A lot of people instantly hate me for simply who I am. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:24:06 PM EDT
[#15]
Quote HistoryQuoted: A lot of people instantly hate me for simply who I am. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:27:04 PM EDT
[#16]
we don't have a/c in our house, but we do have a little window unit in the bedroom, for those super humid nights. home depot and walmart both have those little room sized a/c's for 120 bucks. they're like 5000 btu's, or something close to that. we don't have a/c, so we wouldn't "miss it" when the power goes out. whole house fan and attic fan works great all year, and the generator is ready to go. not super excited about the cat-4/5 winds predicted here at the coast though.
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:29:08 PM EDT
[#17]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
grrrrrrr....... more shifting - possible part of the panhandle, but more likely back up the center of florida at this time again, this is a shifting forecast, and needs a day or two to firm up path https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/2917/dorian_190829_1400_storm_05_jpg-1071463.JPG |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:29:58 PM EDT
[#18]
We are ready to ride this thing out on the East CFL coast. Got water and gas yesterday morning. We have two generators and plenty of fuel. I have a feeling we are going to be without power for a while.
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:30:20 PM EDT
[#19]
Quote HistoryQuoted: A lot of people instantly hate me for simply who I am. I know a billionaire (for real) and don't want his life. (humble brag) He paid off the last $20,000 of my house. (also for real) Wife and I watched his real estate for 30 years. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:31:28 PM EDT
[#20]
My prediction
Sharp turn north and will head for SC coast as usual |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:31:42 PM EDT
[#21]
Milk, eggs and bread usually disappear from grocery shelves first.
It's like everyone must crave French toast in a disaster. 
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:31:44 PM EDT
[#22]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
grrrrrrr....... more shifting - possible part of the panhandle, but more likely back up the center of florida at this time again, this is a shifting forecast, and needs a day or two to firm up path https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/2917/dorian_190829_1400_storm_05_jpg-1071463.JPG |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:35:34 PM EDT
[#23]
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My prediction https://i.imgur.com/qkXbg8m.png Sharp turn north and will head for SC coast as usual |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:35:53 PM EDT
[#24]
Tallahassee, Fla. – Governor Ron DeSantis issued an Executive Order, declaring a state of emergency for counties in the path of Hurricane Dorian. The Governor is urging all Floridians on the East Coast to prepare for impacts, as the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane Center project Hurricane Dorian will make landfall on Florida’s East Coast as a major hurricane. By declaring a state of emergency, Governor DeSantis is ensuring that state and local governments have ample time, resources and flexibility to prepare. The State Emergency Operations Center will activate to a Level 2 on Thursday morning, enhancing the coordination between federal, state and local emergency management agencies. “Today, I am declaring a state of emergency to ensure Florida is fully prepared for Hurricane Dorian,” said Governor DeSantis. “It’s important for Floridians on the East Coast to monitor this storm closely. Every Florida resident should have seven days of supplies, including food, water and medicine, and should have a plan in case of disaster. I will continue to monitor Hurricane Dorian closely with emergency management officials. The state stands ready to support all counties along the coast as they prepare.” “Because of the uncertainty in the track of this storm, every resident along the East Coast needs to be ready,” said Florida Division of Emergency Management Director Jared Moskowitz. “As updates come out, it’s important that Floridians continue to pay attention to media and local officials as the track of this storm has been changing and can continue to change rapidly. By having an Executive Order in place and by activating the State Emergency Operations Center to a Level 2, we are fully prepared to support any community that might be impacted.” |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:40:08 PM EDT
[#25]
This is going to be bad, i have a bad feeling about this one, you guys take a one week vacation to the west before all hotels are booked.
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:41:19 PM EDT
[#26]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I understand that cases of water bottles are nice, but doesn't anyone else have 5gal jugs for water they can simply fill now? I have six of them and will fill them sometime in the next day or two. I guess everyone used to have the jugs, but the cases of water are so easy. 
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:46:19 PM EDT
[#27]
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Not just gas but everything at the stores, the shelves are going bare. I went to Publix and people were pushing each other in the aisles Quote HistoryQuoted:
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Man the weather channel sure is making sure the hysteria is strong with this storm. People are stirred up in a frenzy for sure, people are running around buying everything they can get their hands out |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:48:27 PM EDT
[#28]
Quote HistoryQuoted: These are better, stackable, and have a spigot. https://images-na.ssl-images-amazon.com/images/I/51eAFKbEKoL.jpg |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:49:43 PM EDT
[#29]
I have elderly family in Winter Haven in a mobile home. Very concerned.
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:50:34 PM EDT
[#30]
You don't need expensive water jugs to hold water for a few days or weeks. Buy some new garbage cans and fill them up. Good for flushing toilets and washing hands and more.
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:51:33 PM EDT
[#31]
I suppose late tomorrow might see mandatory evacuation orders. Sure looks like beach side Melbourne - Vero Beach - Ft Pierce
Banks are the first to close up and flee followed by supermarkets. I've seen independently owned convenience stores stay open until things really started getting wild. 
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:53:29 PM EDT
[#32]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
This is going to be bad, i have a bad feeling about this one, you guys take a one week vacation to the west before all hotels are booked. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:55:23 PM EDT
[#33]
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Having a generator and gas isn’t a hard, nor expensive thing. It’s simply being prepared. As for a humble brag, sure. I guess it is. A lot of people instantly hate me for simply who I am. It’s fine, I’m used to it. But those who know me and are around me know I go out of my way to help who I can. I’ve hauled my excavator to arfcommers houses to clean up after a storm, or help cut firewood. I’ve given money to help arfcommers and their family’s. Etc. But I’ll shut up and watch now. As the storm is going to be 400+ miles away from me. Quote HistoryQuoted:
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I seriously can't understand how people who live in Florida, or really anywhere there can be a natural disaster, aren't prepared. My house in Florida has a 10,000w Honda generator, a 2000w Honda generator and 1500w Honda generator. We always have multiple cases of water on hand, a 25 gallon tank of gas (for the boats anyways) on hand, plus gas cans. It all gets cycled through the boats. Let alone 3 tanks of propane for the grill, charcoal of the Big green egg, etc. Like this isn't a surprise people. Why doesn't everyone in FL have this? It's a mystery... As for a humble brag, sure. I guess it is. A lot of people instantly hate me for simply who I am. It’s fine, I’m used to it. But those who know me and are around me know I go out of my way to help who I can. I’ve hauled my excavator to arfcommers houses to clean up after a storm, or help cut firewood. I’ve given money to help arfcommers and their family’s. Etc. But I’ll shut up and watch now. As the storm is going to be 400+ miles away from me.  Failed To Load Title |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:55:51 PM EDT
[#34]
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This is near Jupiter Quote HistoryQuoted:
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Everyone is running around with their head cut off in hysteria here. Gas stations and stores are swamped. Lots of new transplants here who never experienced hurricanes and have been scared by the media. Source..live on the Inlet?? |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:55:54 PM EDT
[#35]
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Best I can figure is 270-280ish miles. https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/129054/Dorian_JPG-1071467.JPG |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 2:57:59 PM EDT
[#36]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
You don't need expensive water jugs to hold water for a few days or weeks. Buy some new garbage cans and fill them up. https://cdnimg.webstaurantstore.com/images/products/extra_large/372195/1362462.jpg if you do use trashcans, get some food safe, non recycled plastic bags and line them, if possible. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:02:53 PM EDT
[#37]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
This is going to be bad, i have a bad feeling about this one, you guys take a one week vacation to the west before all hotels are booked. The HMON model that the was initialized at 12z is downright scary. A pressure of 919 with Miami in the bulls-eye. Just for reference Andrew was a tad weaker at 922mb at landfall. 
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:04:06 PM EDT
[#38]
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I'm in Seminole. Was this the Publix on 113th? Try the Publix hidden away on Oakhurst, near Seminole High/Middle Schools. 
I was at that 113 Publix last night, and the water was gone. I was there getting a 3L of wine; I have enough water already. And I used to live down the street from that Oakhurst Publix, been to that Angry Pepper a few times. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:04:16 PM EDT
[#39]
Quote HistoryQuoted: These are better, stackable, and have a spigot. https://images-na.ssl-images-amazon.com/images/I/51eAFKbEKoL.jpg Ive gone through 4 of them. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:05:20 PM EDT
[#40]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I suppose late tomorrow might see mandatory evacuation orders. Sure looks like beach side Melbourne - Vero Beach - Ft Pierce Banks are the first to close up and flee followed by supermarkets. I've seen independently owned convenience stores stay open until things really started getting wild. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT05/refresh/AL052019_wind_probs_34_F120+png/150322.png |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:06:43 PM EDT
[#41]
Quote HistoryNice,
I got this today 
https://imgur.com/gallery/cZF8U2S I have a 1000rd case of 5.45 inbound as well. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:12:32 PM EDT
[#42]
I am lucky.
Right now the predictions have the hurricane coming right over my house. That is almost a guarantee this far out that the hurricane will not be close. I have lived in Florida since 1947. I have heard many predictions and have seen many hurricanes. No prediction this far out has ever been the actual path of the storm. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:14:57 PM EDT
[#43]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
It certainly looks like it will be terrible at this point. There is also a very real possibility that it will hook to the right and miss the entire coast altogether. If that happened you would still have massive flooding and beach erosion though. However I would not bet money on this missing Florida. The HMON model that the was initialized at 12z is downright scary. A pressure of 919 with Miami in the bulls-eye. Just for reference Andrew was a tad weaker at 922mb at landfall. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hmon/2019082912/hmon_mslp_wind_05L_33.png Quote HistoryQuoted:
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This is going to be bad, i have a bad feeling about this one, you guys take a one week vacation to the west before all hotels are booked. The HMON model that the was initialized at 12z is downright scary. A pressure of 919 with Miami in the bulls-eye. Just for reference Andrew was a tad weaker at 922mb at landfall. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hmon/2019082912/hmon_mslp_wind_05L_33.png 
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:18:07 PM EDT
[#44]
Just got the word! We are heading south. Knoxville for tonight. I will post the final destination. Somewhere in FPL territory.
Be safe |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:21:08 PM EDT
[#45]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I seriously can't understand how people who live in Florida, or really anywhere there can be a natural disaster, aren't prepared. My house in Florida has a 10,000w Honda generator, a 2000w Honda generator and 1500w Honda generator. We always have multiple cases of water on hand, a 25 gallon tank of gas (for the boats anyways) on hand, plus gas cans. It all gets cycled through the boats. Let alone 3 tanks of propane for the grill, charcoal of the Big green egg, etc. Like this isn't a surprise people. When I met my wife she couldn't believe all the stuff I have stockpiled for disasters. I got her into as well and she loves going to Walmart before a storm just to watch people freak out when they can't find water. I always buy a case of water on my weekly Walmart trips. I've got water for weeks. Food too. Large coolers. Gas, tools, plus paper products: plates, paper towels, trash bags, eating utensils, etc. Propane tanks. Camp stoves with fuel, charcoal, My fear is I'll lose it all from a tornado that's a product of a hurricane or someone will loot it when I'm at work. . Luckily most of it is locked down
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:22:18 PM EDT
[#46]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I am lucky. Right now the predictions have the hurricane coming right over my house. That is almost a guarantee this far out that the hurricane will not be close. I have lived in Florida since 1947. I have heard many predictions and have seen many hurricanes. No prediction this far out has ever been the actual path of the storm.
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:24:58 PM EDT
[#47]
Ok, at the risk of sounding like a selfish douche, here's a question for those of you that live in Florida.
Realistically, how bad do/can things get in Orlando during a hurricane? I see that it's statistically one of the safest cities in Florida with regards to hurricanes. We're supposed to fly into Orlando on Saturday for 10 days. Saturday should be ahead of the storm, and if we're just going to see a lot of rain and some wind for a couple days, I hate to cancel our vacation. Honest, non-GD thoughts on this? |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:27:51 PM EDT
[#48]
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This is true. Been in Florida for 53 years. Quote HistoryQuoted:
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I am lucky. Right now the predictions have the hurricane coming right over my house. That is almost a guarantee this far out that the hurricane will not be close. I have lived in Florida since 1947. I have heard many predictions and have seen many hurricanes. No prediction this far out has ever been the actual path of the storm. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:29:44 PM EDT
[#49]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
This is true. Been in Florida for 53 years. Quote HistoryQuoted:
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I am lucky. Right now the predictions have the hurricane coming right over my house. That is almost a guarantee this far out that the hurricane will not be close. I have lived in Florida since 1947. I have heard many predictions and have seen many hurricanes. No prediction this far out has ever been the actual path of the storm. |
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Posted: 8/29/2019 3:31:48 PM EDT
[#50]
dupe
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