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Headed to the DR in a month, looks like this may smack them straight on. Here’s hoping this fizzles out...
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the center of the spaghetti models places it on a frances/jeanne track (from 2004)
i better run to the store and buy bread and water. |
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Noticed that the HWF1 has it at a cat 3 5.5 days from now. If you look at the spaghetti track for that model that is because that model has it not hitting land, and staying in the water to the east of the DR and West of Puerto Rico.
That would put it at a cat 3, 2 days out from the Florida coast and heading towards southeast Florida. Let's hope that one doesn't happen. |
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Dorian Steady for Now Will Impact Windward Islands Late Monday and Tuesday Hurricane Outlook and Discussion: August 25, 2019 |
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Well, at least if Dorian swings a bit north as a Cat 1/2 the west half of PR will only lose power for 3-4 weeks.
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Come on CT!!! I love storms. I nearly cried when the power went back on after Sandy It's like the trifecta of fun. No power, i get to use my stove collection & chainsaw I have no generator or need for one. Well water but we got so many springs I just get it there. Not to say I wish harm on others just to have my own fun. But I do find them enjoyable |
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Lucky for PR they've got all that https://neonnettle.com/news/images/water-bottles-rotting-puerto-rico-bash-trump-114918.jpg View Quote |
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Please not another Irma. See my avatar. More post Irma pictures https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/148484/bigpinekey-306575.jpg https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/148484/irma1-506406.jpg https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/148484/20170920_170052-544655.jpg View Quote |
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it's not real until Frankie releases a video warning us about it.
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The aftermath at your place on the north end of Big Pine? View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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Please not another Irma. See my avatar. More post Irma pictures https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/148484/bigpinekey-306575.jpg https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/148484/irma1-506406.jpg https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/148484/20170920_170052-544655.jpg Steel roof, the bottom floor is now all engineered glass vs blow out walls, 2ft tall 1ft wide concrete break wall. Etc. |
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These "models" aren't worth a shit for more than about two days out ---- and neither are the intensity "phorecasts".
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I just want to know if we are going to get fucked. It looks like we are going to get fucked. I am a shady meteorologist and have been studying the models since Saturday.
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I live plenty far from the shore, Irma sucked. I was in central FL in 04 and those storms weren't as bad as Irma. Everywhere Irma went, sucked. View Quote |
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Wasn't too bad in Fort Myers. Nothing like those storm surge pics where our place is. View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
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I live plenty far from the shore, Irma sucked. I was in central FL in 04 and those storms weren't as bad as Irma. Everywhere Irma went, sucked. Front side of the island, doctors elbow area had 8-12 feet. Irma was bad for the keys. Worst hurricane since 1934. |
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Please stay away from the panhandle, a lot of work is still needing to be done here.
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Quoted: We had about 4 feet of water. Front side of the island, doctors elbow area had 8-12 feet. Irma was bad for the keys. Worst hurricane since 1934. View Quote |
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This shit happens multiple times a year
Why you all choose to live there is beyond me |
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Since Im about 100 miles inland I will usually just lose power for a few days.
This year my ass is ready with a backup generator |
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I'll be on vacation with the family in Orlando for 10 days starting on Saturday.
So yeah, pretty sure Florida is gonna get nailed. |
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This shit happens multiple times a year Why you all choose to live there is beyond me View Quote Places like Haiti get crushed by these storms and the media freaks out thinking the same thing will happen here, and people like you buy it. I've probably lived through 15 hurricanes and the aftermath each time has been palm fronds on my driveway & occasionally a downed power line. Yes there can be devastating storms here like Harvey & Katrina but they are few and far between. |
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I'm just glad I got notice I should be on patrol instead of a shelter.
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if you are going to post a pic from the nhc, or sfwmd, or any other site that the image changes constantly
download the image convert it to a format arfcom can host host it on arfcom images change over time, so the image isn't going to be the same after the next update occurs no body will know what you were talking about after the images have updated a few times |
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I'll be on vacation with the family in Orlando for 10 days starting on Saturday. So yeah, pretty sure Florida is gonna get nailed. View Quote Old Walt built the place far enough inland so the 'Canes (and salt air) wouldn't wreck his investment. |
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Not the labor day weekend people are gonna look forward to if it makes landfall.
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This shit happens multiple times a year Why you all choose to live there is beyond me View Quote Where hurricanes don't hit, you get blizzards and ice storms, or earthquakes, or volcanos, droughts, floods, locusts, tourists, illegal immigrants, disease, pestilence, famine, gay pride parades...all sorts of nonsense. You choose your environmental threat. Every place has one. What's yours? I've been living down here for more than 40 years. I've never had storm damage to the house despite several hurricanes. I've slept in my own bed in comfort with 100 MPH hurricane winds over my roof. I've only actually had to do that ONCE. More houses have been burned down due to lightning, fireworks, and smoking in bed in my county than have been destroyed due to hurricanes in the last 40 years. The threat is really rather low. It's just sensational when it comes. |
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Ok, I just got back home from Harbor Freight. I bought a Predator 2000 inverter generator as a supplement to our Generac 6500, and I have a question.
Somewhere lurking deep in GD there is a GIANT generator thread. In that thread, someone posted that you can buy some type of adapter so the Predator can operate from an external 5 gallon can. Where can I buy this adapter if anyone knows? Also, do you like your little Predator 2000? Have you had good service out of it? |
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*yawn* Attached File
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View Quote |
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I'm suppose to go to the range this weekend View Quote View All Quotes View All Quotes Quoted:
I'm suppose to go to the range this weekend The drive back might be a little wet. |
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the system is most likely going to be a tropical storm, when it hits florida.
the local media are all in hurricane hysteria mode, telling everyone to prepare for the worse scary stories sell. I know, some tropical storms cause problems, like ts faye did, but I don't see much from this one, except possible tornados |
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