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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:15:49 PM EST
[#1]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
For someone that may be affected by this storm that lives 4 miles from the coast as the crow flies, 2 to 3 miles from the SC/NC border on the SC side, what windows should they board up today or tomorrow, if any? North, South, East, West? All of them? None? 
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:17:49 PM EST
[#2]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Can we send him a Boltface logo shirt to wear in his next video? Maybe just an FUAROCK mixed in. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:21:22 PM EST
[#3]
Really worried a pine tree might fall on my house.
We cleared the land and built the house this year, so some of the trees will be exposed to wind without neighboring trees to shield them. Trees range from 30-50ft from our house on three of the four sides. Should I bail out and go stay with my Inlaws this storm? What does the hive think? I live in Rocky Mount/Nashville area.  Attached File |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:22:59 PM EST
[#4]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Really worried a pine tree might fall on my house. We cleared the land and built the house this year, so some of the trees will be exposed to wind without neighboring trees to shield them. Trees range from 30-50ft from our house on three of the four sides. Should I bail out and go stay with my Inlaws this storm? What does the hive think? I live in Rocky Mount/Nashville area. https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/322543/Screenshot_20180911-161822_Maps-668512.JPG |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:24:20 PM EST
[#5]
Heed his warnings - Joe is in the know.
Meteorologist Joe Bastardi Explains Why Hurricane Florence Is Like Katrina  Meteorologist Joe Bastardi Explains Why Hurricane Florence Is Like Katrina |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:26:22 PM EST
[#6]
Quote HistoryQuoted: You'll probably be fine... but why not just take a couple days away, just to be safe? |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:26:29 PM EST
[#7]
Quote HistoryQuoted: All, the live cam for Puerto Rico showed the wind switching directions as the storm passed and that shredded everything that was left including that freaking shed |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:29:34 PM EST
[#8]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I agree. The DC area should be fine - but the ground is absolutely SOAKED from huge rainfalls in the last month. So more rain, and some strong wind, will probably knock over lots of big oak trees.  Quote HistoryQuoted:
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Most of VA will be fine. DC will be fine. People in VA/WV are concerned because we've had an insane amount of rain this year already and there's been some localized flooding with just an inch or two of rain falling in a short time. The last thing we need is another 4+ inches this weekend. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:32:42 PM EST
[#9]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Or cut the ones down that are in range I will likely clear some out in the future, but certainly don't have time to before Florence hits. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:32:43 PM EST
[#10]
Quote HistoryQuoted: I used to be ashamed to be related to him, but what the heck. He's harmless and lovable. 
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:33:04 PM EST
[#11]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I’ll be keeping my ears open to help those in my part of NoVA, I’m pretty good with a chainsaw. Quote HistoryQuoted:
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Most of VA will be fine. DC will be fine. People in VA/WV are concerned because we've had an insane amount of rain this year already and there's been some localized flooding with just an inch or two of rain falling in a short time. The last thing we need is another 4+ inches this weekend. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:37:29 PM EST
[#12]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Matthew didn't hit this particular house too hard in the beginning, but the latter half of Matthew caused the most destruction, and those winds came from the NW if I'm not mistaken. I know that Matthew will be nothing in comparison, but I'm wondering, based off of the location I mentioned previously, if the worst winds will be coming from the NW(?), or from another direction this time. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:42:10 PM EST
[#13]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Asking for a friend? Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
For someone that may be affected by this storm that lives 4 miles from the coast as the crow flies, 2 to 3 miles from the SC/NC border on the SC side, what windows should they board up today or tomorrow, if any? North, South, East, West? All of them? None? A tree on the house usually doesn't kill people if they're in the middle, on the first floor. That location should be evacuated, though. The hurricane force windfield is a hell of a lot wider than four miles and a Cat 4 can take that house and move it somewhere else. All windows boarded, fridge emptied, and occupants fent. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:44:19 PM EST
[#14]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
He didn't change his mind? My mom decided to stay. When they had it shifting further north than Myrtle Beach it convinced her to ride it out. I had her talked into leaving at that point. She is going over to my sisters (which is still only a couple of miles from the coast, but at least its not a trailer) place which probably isn't much safer. Now the track is showing more southernly again. There is nothing else for me to do but pray. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted: Be safe , and look in on my old man in Conway. My mom decided to stay. When they had it shifting further north than Myrtle Beach it convinced her to ride it out. I had her talked into leaving at that point. She is going over to my sisters (which is still only a couple of miles from the coast, but at least its not a trailer) place which probably isn't much safer. Now the track is showing more southernly again. There is nothing else for me to do but pray. I'll talk to my Dad again tonight, but I'm sure he's staying put. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:46:31 PM EST
[#15]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I don't expect the damage to be too bad, but I do expect roads to be flooded and washed away, and they are within eye sight of the Bay, one road thatll get you back to 13, with inletts all over. If roads flooded or damaged, I imagine the majority of resources will be occupied with heavier populated and effected areas, and it might be a while before they can get out. He'll my brother said they closed schools Monday due to road flooding from a relatively small thunder storm. Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted: They might be ok that far north. That's close to Exmore isnt it? I told my mom if she bugs out to go up 13 to Dover. My dad is to hardheaded to leave even with recovering from major back surgery. We are in Norfolk. He'll my brother said they closed schools Monday due to road flooding from a relatively small thunder storm. My brother lives there and sent me pictures of Earthen dams completely washed out in a culvert pipe washed out under the road with a pickup truck smashed into it. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:47:01 PM EST
[#16]
If you are bugging in you should have purchased your generator and enough fuel for at least two weeks; had your transfer switch installed by a licensed electrician; and already stocked up on food, water, batteries, prescription meds, ammo, etc. And you should have done all this before hurricane season began. If bugging out, you should already be in the Nashville Hilton.
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:49:58 PM EST
[#17]
We made it from the coast to Charlotte today. Only a few big slow downs on the way. Most gas stations along the coast were out of gas, the rest had long waits.
We were able to top off again about 2 1/2 hours of driving. That gives us enough to make it to our destination in Tennessee tomorrow. Hoping others on the coast get out soon too. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:51:41 PM EST
[#18]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Heading to Raleigh tomorrow to get ready for restoration. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:53:01 PM EST
[#19]
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:58:45 PM EST
[#20]
Oof, that Friday to Saturday is damn near stationary.
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Posted: 9/11/2018 3:59:12 PM EST
[#21]
Quote HistoryMaybe you forgot Shep is a liberal liar? Hurricane Hazel hit north carolina as a Cat 5 in 1954 and went right up through NC in a time when there was far less warning for people. It destroyed every house, EVERY house on the Brunswick County beaches and tore a path of destruction up through North Carolina. Were there less people then sure, but a Cat 4 still had a heavy death toll right? NOPE 15, a grand total of 15 people died. So all those saying if your in the path even inland you should bug out have no idea what they are talking about. Are some people going to be killed by the storm sure. Are your chances of getting killed better in your house thats not on the coast OR on the road by some idiot or drunk? The answer is simple, use some common sense people. Hunker down unless you know your house is prone to flooding. Most of us are aware since we had Matthew less than two years ago. 26 inches in less than week and 1/2. I'm not saying it isn't going to be bad, I think it is going to be really bad but the last thing we nee is hundreds of thousands of people "bugging out" in a event that is going to have state wide flooding.
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:00:09 PM EST
[#22]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Main side Camp Lejeune here. Was given the order of voluntary evacuation with a 500 mile special liberty until monday. I dont have my car so i have to shelter in place at my barracks. Given what people are posting here, i'm getting nervous about this. My barracks says its a fallout shelter, think i would be ok? Here is the Cat 4 surge expectation:  Attached FileTool used to find it: http://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=d9ed7904dbec441a9c4dd7b277935fad&entry=1 Fallout shelters are for nuclear radiation. Military bases are built to withstand things like lots of wind, but surge and flooding depends on the elevation. A third or fourth floor that ISN'T the top floor should be safe from water. If you can find a way to, or close to, Jax, FL, I have room if needed. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:05:22 PM EST
[#23]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Main side Camp Lejeune here. Was given the order of voluntary evacuation with a 500 mile special liberty until monday. I dont have my car so i have to shelter in place at my barracks. Given what people are posting here, i'm getting nervous about this. My barracks says its a fallout shelter, think i would be ok? 
Get you some booze and enjoy your hurricane party. Also rollerblades and poncho tied to your hands and legs doesn't =a good time in the barracks parking lot |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:08:28 PM EST
[#24]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Also rollerblades and poncho tied to your hands and legs doesn't =a good time in the barracks parking lot 
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:08:39 PM EST
[#25]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
5 PM guidance is out https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/433230/HURRICANE_FLORENCE__2_-668545.JPG |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:12:26 PM EST
[#26]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
@Pellinore Here is the Cat 4 surge expectation: https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/300350/Screen_Shot_2018-09-11_at_4-668546.JPG Tool used to find it: http://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=d9ed7904dbec441a9c4dd7b277935fad&entry=1 Fallout shelters are for nuclear radiation. Military bases are built to withstand things like lots of wind, but surge and flooding depends on the elevation. A third or fourth floor that ISN'T the top floor should be safe from water. If you can find a way to, or close to, Jax, FL, I have room if needed. Im on the third deck, and the barracks seem to be made of brick/concrete. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:12:48 PM EST
[#27]
Reminder, TS force winds are likely to arrive in the danger zones before thursday morning. When they get there, it becomes unsafe to be in the area since weak trees can come down, people start figuring out theres a storm coming and all leave at once, and shortages of gas get really bad.
It is apparent people in these areas are not thinking clearly as to time tables. Tomorrow is the last realistic point to leave while still ensuring a successful getaway. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:13:36 PM EST
[#28]
Who was it that said they had parents or knew someone new to the area that wanted to stay?
Between Wilmington, NC and Jacksonville, NC. Yeah, they need to get the hell out of the area. North and East of Wilmington will not be where you want to be. If this comes onshore like this the storm surge will be high. 
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:14:13 PM EST
[#29]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
If you are bugging in you should have purchased your generator and enough fuel for at least two weeks; had your transfer switch installed by a licensed electrician; and already stocked up on food, water, batteries, prescription meds, ammo, etc. And you should have done all this before hurricane season began. If bugging out, you should already be in the Nashville Hilton. Buying a case of water a week, a few things of food, extra batteries here and there takes nothing and you can fill up the truck and drink beer while everyone else is panicking 
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:15:53 PM EST
[#30]
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:16:29 PM EST
[#31]
If you are fleeing the hurricane and can not find a place in East TN, I can offer a spare bedroom and bath. Even a kennel for a dog. I am in West TN. Reservations in East TN are slim pickings now. Shoot for Nashville area if you have cash for the hotel.
Stuff can be replaced and is what insurance is for. Stay safe and good luck. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:16:37 PM EST
[#32]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I am still intact after the 2nd one in 1996. So you should be ok. Fucking cold cut sandwiches though for 3 damn days.
Get you some booze and enjoy your hurricane party. Also rollerblades and poncho tied to your hands and legs doesn't =a good time in the barracks parking lot |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:19:53 PM EST
[#33]
not sure of anyone has posted the ECMWF model yet
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:22:03 PM EST
[#34]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quote HistoryQuoted:
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A friend of mine has a brother who lives in this general area about a mile inland. He and his family are staying. How bad was the surge in this area with past storms? They are kind of new to the area. https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/146014/20180911_131200-668265.jpg It's north of Wilmington and south of Jacksonville, NC. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:22:24 PM EST
[#35]
WEll, I did NOT drive drunk to SC last night, at this point, I guess I'm going to stay put here in RI, and I'll head down if he gets hammered, with a couple gennies, a chainsaw, , and water, and tools, and a few guns/ammo, and beer.
LOTS of beer....
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:23:12 PM EST
[#36]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Are newer vehicles able to have a siphon down their gas tube or is there some sort of anti-theft block in place. Most people have gas in unused cars but can't get it out. What is a good siphon to get gas out of vehicles? Quote HistoryQuoted:
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Gasoline is the most underestimated commodity for storms. People don't think in terms of running a generator for 12 hours every day and how much it consumes even in one week. You're in a danger zone, and should stock up. There is no such thing as too much gasoline for hurricanes like there is no such thing as too much ammo for zombies. Plus your neighbors may need some due to them also underestimating need. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:23:13 PM EST
[#37]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Really worried a pine tree might fall on my house. We cleared the land and built the house this year, so some of the trees will be exposed to wind without neighboring trees to shield them. Trees range from 30-50ft from our house on three of the four sides. Should I bail out and go stay with my Inlaws this storm? What does the hive think? I live in Rocky Mount/Nashville area. https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/322543/Screenshot_20180911-161822_Maps-668512.JPG |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:23:13 PM EST
[#38]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
If you are fleeing the hurricane and can not find a place in East TN, I can offer a spare bedroom and bath. Even a kennel for a dog. I am in West TN. Reservations in East TN are slim pickings now. Shoot for Nashville area if you have cash for the hotel. Stuff can be replaced and is what insurance is for. Stay safe and good luck. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:23:36 PM EST
[#39]
For those in the know how is FEMA doing compared to say Katrina?
So, just asking if it seems like a more well run operation than previous administrations? |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:24:11 PM EST
[#40]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Even if it hits as a cat 3, it will be pushing a cat 4 storm surge. Your friends are fucked. Quote HistoryQuoted:
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If it hits as a Cat 5, have him make sure that they write their names, addresses, SS#, DL# and next of kin on multiple spots on they and their children's bodies in Sharpie. Makes it easier to identify bodies and parts. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:25:37 PM EST
[#41]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
A friend of mine has a brother who lives in this general area about a mile inland. He and his family are staying. How bad was the surge in this area with past storms? They are kind of new to the area. https://www.AR15.Com/media/mediaFiles/146014/20180911_131200-668265.jpg It's north of Wilmington and south of Jacksonville, NC. I'd suggest you have your friend convince him to read up a little bit. Storm surge mapping models have that area under water if I'm looking at it correctly. Looks like a pretty good chance he'll be, at best case scenario, isolated for a few days. I'd scoot my ass out of there and not put my family at risk...  Attached File |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:25:44 PM EST
[#42]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
If you are bugging in you should have purchased your generator and enough fuel for at least two weeks; had your transfer switch installed by a licensed electrician; and already stocked up on food, water, batteries, prescription meds, ammo, etc. And you should have done all this before hurricane season began. If bugging out, you should already be in the Nashville Hilton. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:26:58 PM EST
[#43]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
I am still intact after the 2nd one in 1996. So you should be ok. Fucking cold cut sandwiches though for 3 damn days.
Get you some booze and enjoy your hurricane party. Also rollerblades and poncho tied to your hands and legs doesn't =a good time in the barracks parking lot Quote HistoryQuoted:
Quoted:
Main side Camp Lejeune here. Was given the order of voluntary evacuation with a 500 mile special liberty until monday. I dont have my car so i have to shelter in place at my barracks. Given what people are posting here, i'm getting nervous about this. My barracks says its a fallout shelter, think i would be ok?
Get you some booze and enjoy your hurricane party. Also rollerblades and poncho tied to your hands and legs doesn't =a good time in the barracks parking lot |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:30:17 PM EST
[#44]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
The Cajun Navy bailed out Obama during Harvey. Trump was President during Harvey. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:30:56 PM EST
[#45]
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:32:08 PM EST
[#46]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Main side Camp Lejeune here. Was given the order of voluntary evacuation with a 500 mile special liberty until monday. I dont have my car so i have to shelter in place at my barracks. Given what people are posting here, i'm getting nervous about this. My barracks says its a fallout shelter, think i would be ok? |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:33:25 PM EST
[#47]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Find the Schrader valve on the fuel rail. Remove the core, hook up a hose of the appropriate diameter and turn the key switch to the ON position. Should run right out into your gas can. Quote HistoryQuoted:
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Are newer vehicles able to have a siphon down their gas tube or is there some sort of anti-theft block in place. Most people have gas in unused cars but can't get it out. What is a good siphon to get gas out of vehicles? |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:35:45 PM EST
[#48]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
?????? Trump was President during Harvey. Quote HistoryQuoted:
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The Cajun Navy bailed out Obama during Harvey. Trump was President during Harvey. The media never really reported anything on it. |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:36:26 PM EST
[#49]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Hate to be "that guy" but is there a video of that on youtube? Quote HistoryQuoted:
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Are newer vehicles able to have a siphon down their gas tube or is there some sort of anti-theft block in place. Most people have gas in unused cars but can't get it out. What is a good siphon to get gas out of vehicles? |
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Posted: 9/11/2018 4:42:09 PM EST
[#50]
Quote HistoryQuoted:
Reminder, TS force winds are likely to arrive in the danger zones before thursday morning. When they get there, it becomes unsafe to be in the area since weak trees can come down, people start figuring out theres a storm coming and all leave at once, and shortages of gas get really bad. https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062018_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34+png/152311_earliest_reasonable_toa_no_wsp_34.png It is apparent people in these areas are not thinking clearly as to time tables. Tomorrow is the last realistic point to leave while still ensuring a successful getaway. |
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