Own

Right now.

BREAKING!

Russian air defense is active4 in the Kerch area and the bridge is closed.#OSINT #Russia #Ukraine #BoycottChineseATVs

— OSINT (Uri) \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8 \uD83C\uDDE8\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDE7 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEE\uD83C\uDDF1 (@UKikaski) March 4, 2024

This is a repository of searchable losses, with photos.

https://ukr.warspotting.net/search/?belligerent=2&weapon=1

Russian source Rhybar.

Update on Kerch: Massive AFU Strike Underway, Crimean Bridge Under Attack

Russian TG Channel Rybar (https://t.co/SYdWdOUZvl):

At the moment, Ukrainian formations have launched another attempt at a massive strike on the Crimean peninsula.
?
To carry out strikes, both UAVs are…

— OSINT (Uri) \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8 \uD83C\uDDE8\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDE7 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEE\uD83C\uDDF1 (@UKikaski) March 4, 2024

FYI: The Russian patrol ship "Sergey Kotov" is a pr. 22160 Kalibr missile patrol corvette.#OSINT #Russia #Ukraine #BoycottChineseATVs pic.twitter.com/VzoZtDClaI

— OSINT (Uri) \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8 \uD83C\uDDE8\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDE7 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEE\uD83C\uDDF1 (@UKikaski) March 4, 2024

2 minutes ago.

Crimean Bridge struck by Ukrainian Maritime Drones

At approximately 2130 UTC (2330 Kyiv time) on March 4, 2024, the Ukrainian SBU/GUR in conjunction with the AFU Navy conducted a maritime drone strike on the Crimean Bridge. There is no information available at this time… pic.twitter.com/5eGqkGjVpy

— OSINT (Uri) \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8 \uD83C\uDDE8\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDE7 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEE\uD83C\uDDF1 (@UKikaski) March 4, 2024

Update on Crimean Bridge

Russian sources claim that both aerial and surface weapons were/are being used to attack the Crimean Bridge tonight. They also claim that Russian Black Sea Fleet assets are "repelling" the attack of enemy air and surface "drones."#OSINT #Russia…

— OSINT (Uri) \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8 \uD83C\uDDE8\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDE7 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEE\uD83C\uDDF1 (@UKikaski) March 4, 2024

Do we get a bitcoin all time high AND the destruction of the kerch bridge in 1 day?!

Attached File

Incoming.

Odesa is currently under heavy attack from Russian Shahed drones with more on the way. AFU air defenses there are active.#OSINT #Russia #Ukraine #BoycottChineseATVs

— OSINT (Uri) \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8 \uD83C\uDDE8\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDE7 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEE\uD83C\uDDF1 (@UKikaski) March 4, 2024

Yeah!!!!! Blow the shit out of em!

Let's wait for more info and videos.  It got quiet on Twitter suddenly.

Now.

The The Russian attack on #Odesa using #iran'ian Shahed drone is described as being "massive" with "multiple groups flying in continuously."#OSINT #Russia #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/2Rz8IJrk8B

— OSINT (Uri) \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8 \uD83C\uDDE8\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDE7 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEE\uD83C\uDDF1 (@UKikaski) March 4, 2024

Can we hope and pray, that the bridge section is already underwater?

There was a ship available somewhere around the Red Sea recently.  Ran when parked.  But I guess that it's sunk cost now.

Agreed, but if the Fuck Russians are throwing a tantrum and bombarding Odessa, that could possibly suggest the Kerch bridge and Black Sea fleet being attacked.

The Crimean Bridge is still closed

There are Russians on social media saying they are still waiting in line for the Crimean Bridge to open.#OSINT #Russia #Ukraine

— OSINT (Uri) \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8 \uD83C\uDDE8\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDE7 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEE\uD83C\uDDF1 (@UKikaski) March 4, 2024

I will bet they hit the Sergey Kotov Corvette.

Update on Crimean Bridge

Crimean Bridge information channels are still reporting that the bridge is closed. Needless to say, it is unusual for it to stay closed for over two-hours now. Locals waiting in ques at the bridge say the lines are short and there is not a large backup…

— OSINT (Uri) \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8 \uD83C\uDDE8\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEC\uD83C\uDDE7 \uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6 \uD83C\uDDEE\uD83C\uDDF1 (@UKikaski) March 4, 2024

????All Kerch/Crimea channels are dead quiet. ????
No updates one way or another. Previously they were very quickly to say everything is fine.
This only means one thing, they were told in case of actual damage or destruction of the bridge to say nothing or face consequences\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6\uD83D\uDC4D

— ITDUDE Fella\uD83C\uDDEE\uD83C\uDDF1\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDF8 (@The_Real_ITDUDE) March 4, 2024

\uD83D\uDEA8 Crimea: Kerch Residents Witness Intense Explosions.

Reports suggest drone attacks, both aerial and maritime. The #CrimeanBridge is currently closed.#Kerch #Ukraina #Russia pic.twitter.com/LmRZJKkswT

Forsige Breaking News  (@ForsigeNews) March 5, 2024

Oooo, we’re overdue for one of these.

The channel I use for the bridge (because it’s “most official”) hasn’t updated since this post from three hours ago-


Vehicle traffic on the Crimean Bridge is temporarily blocked.
Those on the bridge and in the inspection area are asked to remain calm and follow the instructions of transport security officers.

https://t.me/most_official/4832

Zhest Crimea • Simferopol • Sevastopol
two hours ago
At the moment, all targets have been shot down over the Black Sea. Another batch of UAVs is reported in the direction of Kerch. Meanwhile, the Crimean Bridge is blocked.

https://vk.com/wall-182831011_322412

They are doing a regrettably good job of SingTFU.


ETA- I'm guessing they're not just going after the bridge.

If the K bridge has been left open this long, there's a reason Ukraine has allowed it to remain open.

One wonders what that might be.  

Probably thinks Ukraine borders Pakistan too...

It probably has the best air defense of anywhere Russia currently occupies. Wasted effort doesn't count. Unless they can knock out the radars and SAM sites, simply going after the bridge may be problematic.

❗In telegram channels it spreads like wildfire that in the narrow channel the missile corvette "Sergey Kotov" sank to the bottom of the Black Sea, it is not known how it was attacked (missiles, drones?), for now there is no more information, I will publish all the information as soon as it comes out.-A30B Latam
https://twitter.com/TreasChest/status/1764807081343733772

also minus the Russian warship, Sergei Kotov,\uD83D\uDD25\uD83D\uDD25\uD83D\uDD25 pic.twitter.com/Jcuu3Ht26P

— Dmitro Drei\uD83C\uDDFA\uD83C\uDDE6\uD83C\uDDEA\uD83C\uDDEA (@Dmitro7607) March 4, 2024

Video of arrival in Dachny!!!
While they were installing, we were told:
“Another arrival in Dachnoye. And specific!”

Upd. Mopeds are very fast!

https://t.me/odnajdi_v_odesse/15599



It looks like this raid has already ended. Therefore, we can summarize the preliminary results of today’s raid:

1. The main blow fell on the area of ​​the settlement. Dachnoye/Kholodnaya Balka (at the location of the 35th Marine Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces?). In total, about 14 suicide bombers flew to targets in that area, which is one of the largest cases of the use of attack UAVs during the entire war against a single target.

2. The air defense of the Ukrainian Armed Forces has de facto failed. The attack drones were spotted at the last moment, only on approach to Odessa from the sea, the easiest direction for detecting air targets. Something that has never happened before. This indicates a possible defeat of the detection radar in the Odessa area, which is indirectly confirmed by information about the use of the Kh-31P missile by the Russians this afternoon. It is also worth noting the significantly decreased consumption of anti-aircraft missiles. It feels like the Ukrainian Armed Forces are saving them.

3. The Russian Federation may have used new bombs with reduced radar signature and higher speed than previously used kamikaze UAVs (eyewitnesses reported a higher speed of the UAV).

https://t.me/odnajdi_v_odesse/15610

Another outburst between Solovyev's team and the russian serviceman "13th". Solovyev's lap dog Yakemenko insulted Prigozhin (without calling out his name), and even mocked his complaints about ammo shortage by claiming that Avdiivka was taken with "snowballs".

Think we can see where the line of the potential civil conflict could be drawn. It would not be Navalny's people who'll topple putin. No, it will be those whom he's calling his new elite*.
*"SMO Participants"/Military

Another outburst between Solovyev's team and the russian serviceman "13th". Solovyev's lap dog Yakemenko insulted Prigozhin (without calling out his name), and even mocked his complaints about ammo shortage by claiming that Avdiivka was taken with "snowballs".

Think we can see… pic.twitter.com/vnn4KByTaK

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated) March 4, 2024

Yakemenko from the Solovyov network is a pure devil and a fag. I don't even want to quote this old whore.

It’s time to take all these lymars, along with their TV leader, off the air a long time ago, for what they create and bring to the masses, and not give out combat awards to every fucking whore. Fuck everyone to the front as the first board, not to the 15th line of defense with blackjack and barbecue, but to the trenches and to the death, as part of some Storm-Z. Kirkorov as a political officer in this whore and forward to cross the Dnieper. Fucking letter eaters.

Fuck the liars and traitors from the screens!
https://t.me/Z13_Separ/25938
(3.1k “100” emojis)


Why didn’t you open your rooster beaks before? Or is it too small a gut? So I’ll tell you that in our huge country there are many who will one day ask you for this rotten market. Russia is not limited to the Moscow Ring Road, you should always keep this in mind.

Any fagot can kick a dead Lion.
https://t.me/Z13_Separ/25939
(2.4k “100”)


He says they pelted Avdeevka with snowballs... What did they pelt her with?
The corpses of our guys! Someone's sons, fathers, husbands,

Not the corpse of Solovyov’s son, who grows his hair and with all his appearance promotes LGBT (an organization banned in Russia).
And the corpses of ordinary men.
Our Vovka, from the crew, died a year ago, they didn’t even get him, there’s nothing to bury, you know?
Murz (Andrey Morozov) announced the numbers just now, but you were all sickened by this difficult truth, they started putting pressure on him, and we all know the result.

Not guys, hare, these are the real enemies of the people.

Do you know what they did with them before?
https://t.me/Z13_Separ/25940
(3k “100”)

It would be awesome beyond words if they managed to significantly damage the bridge and sank the corvette! But I'd honestly be pretty happy if they just managed to accomplish one of those feats.

Posted this morning, ~0800ET

🦉 "Magura V5" drones - how sea hunters for Russian ships were created

🔥 Material about the creation of "Magura V5" sea attack drones and unknown episodes of special operations for the destruction of Russian ships with this technological weapon was published by Ukrainian Pravda.

👥 In the fall of 2022, the head of the Unmanned Systems Department of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, General Borets, along with a team at the invitation of the developers of marine drones, arrived at a designated place near the river.

"They showed us what their product can do. We evaluated it, everything looked very promising: in this one tool we could see the realization of the technological possibilities of the 21st century," said Borets.

💥 Then there was a period of improvement and adjustment of production, and in May 2023, the operators of the "Magura V5" drones tracked down the first major target - the Russian reconnaissance ship "Ivan Khurs". The crew of the enemy ship tried to repel the attack.

"We met him around half past one in the morning, and around seven o'clock in the morning he was shooting. While he was being chased, some drones ran out of fuel, because the distances are very long. Some drones were damaged. But we did get to him," the general said.

🎯 After the "Khurs", the operators of naval drones of the military intelligence of Ukraine managed to damage the patrol ship "Sergei Kotov", destroy two high-speed amphibious ships "Shark" and "Serna", the missile ship "Ivanovets" and the large landing ship "Cesar Kunikov".

☝️ According to the developers of "Magura V5", this model of marine attack drones was created specifically for hunting warships at sea, so it is smaller, faster and much more maneuverable than other similar drones.

"We followed the path of finding and destroying ships. This is our choice, we are developing just such a method. Constant patrolling is not for us. We work punctually. We decided that we work exclusively on ships," explained Kyrylo Budanov, head of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine.

📌 Read more about Magura V5 drones, including plans to equip them with new modules for defense and attack, by following the link.

https://t.me/DIUkraine/3550

Warning: Large wall of text, but also very good, if I do say so myself. Thanks to the person on another forum who did most of the work.

The Telegram Channel "Poisk_in_UA" (the largest Russian channel for collecting the names of their KIAs/MIAs/POWs) published the report on the number of Russian servicemen identified as KIAs or POWs during the week from February 26th to March 3rd. The number is an all time record since reports began on a weekly basis at the end of January 2023. For the first time, the number of 1,000 Russian servicemen identified (almost all of whom were fallen members of the regular armed forces) was exceeded. Here's the data in an excel chart.

A few notes. The fallen include those killed in action while fighting for Wagner (in orange, which includes both professionals and convicts), the armed forces, and other minor PMCs (in red). The identified POWs (thanks to Ukrainian interviews with them) are shown in light green. The date should not be taken as indicative of the total number of actual fatalities in a given week, though. Obituaries (i.e., the main source, along with graves) are usually published a few weeks after the death, sometimes months. It's very for it to happen in the following days. Sometimes a death comes to light as much as a year later, generally due to examinations of cemeteries. This means that there are a number of backlogs. So, each week in this data represents the date when a death is made known, not necessarily when it occurred. It's also important to note that just a share of soldiers receive a public obituary and are thus identified. It's not a super small percentage of soldiers that receive obituaries, however. Despite this, the number of fatalities remains a somewhat decent proxy for finding out, a few weeks later, the trend in KIAs at the front. You can notice the impact of the Avdiivka offensive in the first week of November, for instance.

KIAs from L/DPR formations that are identified are included in this data, but this mostly influenced the casualty count in 2022, not onwards. The data doesn't include those reported as MIA by their families, which is usually well over 100 per week. When Avdiivka fell, Poisk in UA wrote that it was having serious problems processing the inputs because of a very large number of obituaries in their backlog and an equally large number of relatives of missing servicemen contacting the channel to get the notice of their family member posted. Only very recently are the first substantial obituaries of those killed in the final part of the battle of Avdiivka arriving. Mediazona (which adjusts KIAs for their actual date of death, when known) has to yet to catch up on the number of deaths for the last month: their latest was on February 15th, and they report that they process between 500 and 600 KIAs per week (up considerably from the summer/autumn). It's possible that during February, the Russians may have even exceeded the peak of losses they had between January and February 2023, at the height of the Bakhmut campaign. The main difference is that then, up to half of the dead were Wagnerites, and mostly their convicts (per statistics published by official Wagner sources, 15k of the 22k KIAs of PMC Wagner in Ukraine were convicts). Now, the number of convicts out of the total number of Russian troops in Ukraine and also out of the total number of casualties has plummeted, and makes up a small minority now. Today, it's largely regular contract soldiers who are dying.

The war is thus now in a very bloody phase, only comparable to the fighting around Bakhmut and Soledar in early 2023, and the Donbas salient campaign in June 2022, when the majority of those dying on the Russian side were L/DPR personnel. In any event, if the number of Russians signing contracts doesn't increase (or worse, for them, decreases) and/or the number of daily casualties doesn't decrease, and if the Russians want to go ahead with their plans to raise new formations, we cannot rule out a second mobilization wave in the second half of 2024.

It should be pointed out that the Ukrainians are not only in the same boat, but also in a worse one in this respect. Without trying to determine what the ratio is, it's at least logical that the trend in Ukrainian losses resembles the Russian one, and while the Russians may have difficulty staffing new units, the Ukrainians have been having a difficult time even fully replenishing their losses. As we speak, the intensity of hostilities along the whole front has never been higher. A year ago, there was enormous fighting in Bakhmut. Then, there was also Avdiivka, there had recently been Vuhledar, and some clashes along the Svatove-Kreminna line. The rest of the front, though, was quiet compared to today. Right now, very few sectors can be described as "quiet." The number of soldiers, equipment, and units has increased considerably for both sides. Battalions on average cover a smaller are compared to the past. This is true for many sectors, but particularly along the Dnipro in the south, in Marinka, and in Kupyansk. In and of itself, this situation doesn't benefit the Ukrainians. Ukraine's challenge in 2024 will be to fix their mobilization system, hope to get a good number of artillery shells from partners, expanding domestic production of FPV drones, and inflicting as many losses as possible on the Russians while minimizing their own and preserving their force structure.

ISW assessment for March 4th.

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-4-2024

Chemezov explained why the Armata is not used in the NWO zone

Chemezov said that it would be expensive to use the Armata in the NWO


MOSCOW, March 4 — RIA Novosti. The newest Russian T-14 Armata tank is far superior to existing tanks in terms of its characteristics, but it is unlikely to be used during the NWO due to its high cost, it is easier for the army to purchase cheaper T-90 tanks, Sergei Chemezov, CEO of the Rostec State Corporation, told RIA Novosti.

"Armata" is, in general, a bit expensive. In terms of its functionality, of course, it is far superior to existing tanks, but it is too expensive, so the army is unlikely to use it now. It's easier for them to buy the same T-90s," Chemezov told RIA Novosti.

According to him, now we need funds for the creation of new weapons.
"Now we need money in order to create new tanks, new weapons, maybe cheaper. Therefore, if there is an opportunity to buy cheaper ones, why not," the agency's interlocutor added.

The T-90 is the main battle tank of the Russian army and the best-selling in the world, it is in service with many countries.
The T-14 Armata tank is the latest development in the field of tank building Russia, which uses the most advanced technology and powerful weapons.

https://ria.ru/20240304/armata-1930916994.html

Well heck...in 30 years they've only built 15 or so so it must be a pretty badass track if that's all they need.