User Panel
User Panel
User Panel
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 8:19:30 AM EDT
[#1]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By fadedsun: Deep strikes into Russian rear areas would disrupt that force generation capabilities. Striking training bases (especially without warning) and troop concentrations, fuel depots, vehicle depots, etc would make that very costly. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By fadedsun: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest: ISW assessment for March 11th. https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-march-11-2024 Deep strikes into Russian rear areas would disrupt that force generation capabilities. Striking training bases (especially without warning) and troop concentrations, fuel depots, vehicle depots, etc would make that very costly. Agreed, there is a solution to that problem, it just needs to be supplied. |
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 8:25:34 AM EDT
[#2]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By MFP_4073: i have been pondering this a lot the last week. have been reading a book about the US mobilization efforts in WW2... there are a LOT of issues at play with regards to mobilization. one is training -- having the facilities / capacity to train 1,000s of new soldiers. the other is logistics -- having the ability to equip, feed, pay, house 1,000s of new soldiers. all while subject to missile attacks... training new soldiers is by nature a 'massed event' -- an inviting target. i am also concerned about leader development -- developing / training NCOs and junior officers. you can't just hand a guy stripes or a bar and say -- 'you're in charge now' and hope it all works out. also 12-15 months ago we were hearing about all the new brigades and training taking place in Germany, Poland and Great Britain, etc. don't seem to hear that much anymore along those lines. my respect for Ukraine has not diminished. i hope there are lots of positive things going on we aren't aware of. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By MFP_4073: Originally Posted By Jaehaerys: The Ukrainians themselves are saying that they're suffering from manpower issues, and are having a difficult time replacing losses, especially in infantry units. I don't think the Rada would be attempting to pass legislation to allow conscripts to fight and to revamp the mobilization system as a whole if there weren't serious problems. If they're left unchecked long enough, they could lead to a Kharkiv style collapse for the Ukrainians. Allowing prisoners to fight and ex-cons to be mobilized is a decent step, but more needs to be done, and I haven't been impressed by the bills I've seen that aim to reform the mobilization system. I think most of this comes down to the fact that Ukrainian political leadership is afraid to mobilize its younger male citizens. I can kind of understand why if I squint and view things through the eyes of a politician, but, tough shit. This is an existential war for the Ukrainian state and the nation, and they're faced with extinction as a people should they lose. i have been pondering this a lot the last week. have been reading a book about the US mobilization efforts in WW2... there are a LOT of issues at play with regards to mobilization. one is training -- having the facilities / capacity to train 1,000s of new soldiers. the other is logistics -- having the ability to equip, feed, pay, house 1,000s of new soldiers. all while subject to missile attacks... training new soldiers is by nature a 'massed event' -- an inviting target. i am also concerned about leader development -- developing / training NCOs and junior officers. you can't just hand a guy stripes or a bar and say -- 'you're in charge now' and hope it all works out. also 12-15 months ago we were hearing about all the new brigades and training taking place in Germany, Poland and Great Britain, etc. don't seem to hear that much anymore along those lines. my respect for Ukraine has not diminished. i hope there are lots of positive things going on we aren't aware of. It fell out of the news cycle, but England and a few other European countries are still training Ukrainians, at a rate about double what they were doing by 2023. https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/ATAG/2024/759596/EPRS_ATA Moreover, the EU launched an EU Military Assistance Mission in support of Ukraine (EUMAM Ukraine) in November 2022. Almost 40 000 Ukrainian soldiers have been trained as of February 2024; following Member States' agreement in January 2024,the number is expected to reach 60 000 by the end of summer 2024. |
|
|
|
PA, USA
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 8:54:02 AM EDT
[#3]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By fadedsun: The town has just declared independence and wants to join Ukraine |
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:04:30 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#4]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: Starlink didn’t hurt. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: Originally Posted By ServusVeritatis: Originally Posted By Prime: Alleged second HIMARS
Something has changed with Russias ability to find/respond to higher-level threats. Starlink didn’t hurt. It does seem to coincide with Russia getting Starlink to work. Ukrainian units have to be ready to move at all times now. The Russian drones also seem to be pretty close to their targets so they are getting past the anti aircraft sites, or the Himars is in areas without anti aircraft coverage. But, no secondaries, and the Ukrainians might have decoys of these in a few places. In which case, it's pretty cool to make Russia waste Iksandr ballistic missiles on the decoys.
 For example, this is a Ukrainian decoy. 
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:05:01 AM EDT
[#5]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By weptek911: You can’t put a tourniquet on your taint! Good shoot. 
|
|
|
|
OK, USA
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:05:05 AM EDT
[#6]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Jaehaerys: With the removal of Zaluzhny (an opponent of this plan) and the appointment of Syrsky as Commander in Chief, and the growing manpower issues, the rumors in recent weeks about the mobilization of Ukrainian convicts have become a bill, with the first reading being expected to be submitted to the Verkhovna Rada next week. It's looking like the proposal is going to pass, as no parliamentarian has spoken out against it, and in such case there will be a second definitive reading during the spring. Let's recall that the recruiting pool here is pretty big, though not massive like Russia's was back in fall 2022. Inside the Ukrainian prisons and detention centers, there are currently 26 thousand people, 25 thousand of whom are men. Outside them, however, there are over 50 thousand previously detained men who are exempt from mobilization at the moment. It's stated that there are thousands of inmates, according to the Ministry of Justice, who are patriots and have expressed a desire to join the UAF, but were unable to. It's still not entirely clear, but the measure is supposed to allow not only the possibility of enlisting as volunteers, but also the enrollment in the lists of Territorial Recruitment Centers, and thus the possibility of being mobilized as conscripts (for the ones not detained right now, at least). Personally, I think this is a good idea. Like it or not, the Ukrainians are having serious manpower issues, and something has to be done. It was a decent idea when the Russians did it as a means to preserve their force structure and alleviate manpower issues post-Kharkiv offensive, and it's a decent idea for the Ukrainians right now. If they lose this war, their state ceases to exist, their language ceases to exist, their culture and history gets erased, their children get brainwashed, and anyone who objects to this gets detained, deported, tortured, killed, etc. This isn't some hypothetical, it's happening right now in occupied territory. Time to pull out all of the stops. If that happens, brace yourself for Russian propaganda- and therefore, GD's useful idiots- to start talking about how AWFUL it is for a DESPERATE Ukraine to start FORCIBLY conscripting prisoners OFF THE STREETS, only to THROW THEM INTO THE MEAT GRINDER against the Russians.  You read this prediction here first. 
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:06:18 AM EDT
[#7]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By torstin: Is that part of an insurrection or a civil war? Oppressed Russian speakers being liberated from the Moscow regime |
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:07:12 AM EDT
[#8]
Weird to see maps like this this morning.
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:08:12 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#9]
Himars revenge.
A lot of outgoing S-400 rounds, then the sound of 2 impacts on site as the guy filming hits the dirt. |
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:11:03 AM EDT
[#10]
|
|
|
|
OK, USA
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:22:11 AM EDT
[#11]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By doc540: If at any time of their choosing orcs can send dozens of drones anywhere in Ukraine, how can F-16's and their support systems be protected? So, a dozen or so arrive in Ukraine "soon" (there's that word again), how do they survive focused orc attacks because you know they're coming. What would Curtis LeMay do? (just trying to keep from getting in a funk here) I don't know what LeMay would have done because I'm not a strategist, but I would make an arrangement with a neighboring country (and preferably, a NATO one) to allow Ukraine's F-16s to land and get serviced in that country after every sortie. I think F-16 endurance (with extra fuel tanks) can enable them to operate in whatever airspace they're needed, even if they have to fly a little farther. Beyond that, I don't have any other ideas that could protect the planes nearly as well. |
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:23:49 AM EDT
[#12]
|
|
|
|
OK, USA
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:25:04 AM EDT
[#13]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest: https://x.com/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/1767272477082767421
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIac82XW0AA05qu?format=jpg&name=900x900 I mean, it could be fake. He looks pretty pink for a dead guy. |
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:28:20 AM EDT
[#14]
 In case you want to see what the camera can see: https://www.collinsaerospace.com/-/media/CA/product-assets/marketing/a/airborne-reconnaissance/collins-syers-2-fos-data-sheet-9-web.pdf?rev=64b6c464dd9d46f8a0346236ad6b24e4 |
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:29:31 AM EDT
[#15]
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:34:26 AM EDT
[#16]
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:35:02 AM EDT
[#17]
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:38:06 AM EDT
[#18]
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:40:12 AM EDT
[#19]
Drone going after Russian flag.
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:40:29 AM EDT
[#20]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:41:25 AM EDT
[#21]
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:53:19 AM EDT
[#22]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: https://i.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/original/000/033/451/Call_It_A_Draw_Template_3.png Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
https://i.kym-cdn.com/entries/icons/original/000/033/451/Call_It_A_Draw_Template_3.png 
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:54:30 AM EDT
[#23]
This one is hit with an FPV drone.
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:55:24 AM EDT
[#24]
Does Ukraine have the equipment and capacity for in-flight refueling?
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 9:58:52 AM EDT
[#25]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By doc540: Does Ukraine have the equipment and capacity for in-flight refueling? I am going to guess, no. |
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:00:16 AM EDT
[#26]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: WTF “Previously” this might have been an IL-76 https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIdolr-WAAAHa6o?format=jpg&name=small
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIdpGZAXMAAQ25g?format=jpg&name=medium
Oh, darn... gotta maintain those big planes guys. :) |
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:03:59 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#27]
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:09:10 AM EDT
[#28]
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:10:06 AM EDT
[#29]
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:12:07 AM EDT
[#30]
Tank is still running, and the markings are that of a Ukrainian tank with the white cross.
|
|
|
|
WI, USA
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:29:07 AM EDT
[#31]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: 👀 "No NATO country can send troops to Ukraine without the consent of other members of the Alliance", - Stoltenberg ❗️This is how the Secretary General responded to Macron’s statements about the introduction of troops into Ukraine. Stoltenberg stressed that NATO still has no plans to send troops to Ukraine, since the Alliance "is not a party to the conflict." 🤔 According to him, even if NATO countries decide individually to send troops to Ukraine, this will have an impact on all allies as a whole, since they are bound by the collective defense pact.
BS. NATO was not initially involved in the war against Qadaffi in Libya, that was US, UK, France & others acting outside NATO. But Stoltenberg asserts authority to restrict member states here? Is that not an assault on members' sovereignty? For all we know, this was all theater. Macron may have known full well that Stoltenberg would say "not without NATO you don't" giving him political cover to make bold statements he would never follow through on. It wouldn't surprise me. |
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:30:14 AM EDT
[#32]
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:31:30 AM EDT
[#33]
15 minutes ago.
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:32:52 AM EDT
[#34]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Small fixed-wing diving in. Interesting. Wonder what they were trying to hit in that building? |
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:41:05 AM EDT
[#35]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
What size drone load brought down that building? 🤔 |
|
|
|
WI, USA
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:53:40 AM EDT
[#36]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Prime: March 11, 2024 • 8:55 p.m Pistorius is skeptical about “Taurus” ring exchange with Great Britain Federal Defense Minister Boris Pistorius is skeptical about a ring exchange with Great Britain to supply cruise missiles to Ukraine. Asked whether this was an appropriate solution to the "Taurus" debate, Pistorius said: "I don't think so." British Foreign Minister David Cameron did not make this suggestion on his own initiative, but simply said, when asked by a journalist, that the British government was examining all options. “But that was it,” said Pistorius. https://www.tagesschau.de/newsticker/liveblog-ukraine-montag-346.html Baerbock sees ring exchange “option”, SPD does not Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock could imagine exchanging Taurus rings with Great Britain. Her British colleague David Cameron had previously declared his openness to this Foreign Minister Baerbock had brought up a Taurus ring exchange with Great Britain; the British could have delivered it to Ukraine. The SPD also rejects this. https://www.zdf.de/nachrichten/politik/ausland/baerbock-taurus-lieferung-ringtausch-ukraine-krieg-russland-100.html Bottom line: Germany is unwilling to send these weapons in any way, either for Ukraine or to others to free up other weapons for Ukraine. What a great partner and ally they are. I suspect that when (if) Russia invades the Baltics, Germany will hem and how about allowing transit over their territory to anybody west of them wanting to respond on Article 5. |
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:57:35 AM EDT
[#37]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
I think both sides would benefit from an hour-long class showing example video and boiling down say “5 dos and don’ts to improve your survival.” Yeah you can get more into the weeds but after watching a bunch of video there are a few common points. |
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 10:58:57 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#38]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By doc540: What size drone load brought down that building? 🤔 Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By doc540: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
What size drone load brought down that building? 🤔 The one company uses slightly larger frame FPV drones carrying heavier explosives. Thermobaric explosives are great at causing building or bunker damage if it gets inside. |
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 11:08:27 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#39]
Germany has already provided Ukraine with ~ 40,000 rounds from this production line. Ukraine will receive a further ~ 110,000 rounds of this type of ammunition. A further 150,000 rounds of a different type (HEI-T) will then be delivered after the production shifts from APDS-T to HEI-T which is scheduled for Q2/2024. In total, Rheinmetall will supply Ukraine with 300,000 rounds of Gepard ammunition worth a three-digit million sum paid by the German government, therefore securing the medium term needs of ammunition for the vital Ukrainian air defence assets. 
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 11:14:01 AM EDT
[Last Edit: AlmightyTallest]
[#40]
Hearing buzz of a $400 million aid package to Ukraine from the U.S. that will be announced later today.
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 11:16:12 AM EDT
[#41]
I have not made a graph of T-62 Varisnt, mostly because with 7 types and only 100 Tanks it would not show a lot, the 7 types and total losses for each are: T-62 Orb 1967: 2 T-62 Obr 1972: 2 T-62M: 67 T-62M Obr 2022: 4 T-62MV: 18 T-67MV Obr 2022: 4 T-62 (unknown Varaint): 3 T-62s were made between 1961 and 1975. The Obr 2022 models have received some upgrades recently, as far as I know, a lot of ERA armour, and not much more, but correct me if you know of other things added to the upgrade? In the Summer of 2022 Moscow announced that they would reactivate 800 of these in, I don't know how many will be in total, but between March 2023 and September 2023 198 were removed from long-term storage and 362 remained in storage. 
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 11:18:32 AM EDT
[#42]
|
|
|
|
USA
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 11:54:33 AM EDT
[Last Edit: Johnrpb]
[#43]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIecCE6XgAAInzz?format=jpg&name=small Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Germany has already provided Ukraine with ~ 40,000 rounds from this production line. Ukraine will receive a further ~ 110,000 rounds of this type of ammunition. A further 150,000 rounds of a different type (HEI-T) will then be delivered after the production shifts from APDS-T to HEI-T which is scheduled for Q2/2024. In total, Rheinmetall will supply Ukraine with 300,000 rounds of Gepard ammunition worth a three-digit million sum paid by the German government, therefore securing the medium term needs of ammunition for the vital Ukrainian air defence assets. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIecCE6XgAAInzz?format=jpg&name=small APDS-T - is Ukraine using these as direct fire support now or does APDS-T work as well as HEI for anti-drone/missile work? |
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 11:54:51 AM EDT
[#44]
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 11:56:00 AM EDT
[Last Edit: Prime]
[#45]
✈️💥 Is it a bonus? "Passengers of the Il-76 can be operator-officers from the A-50 air defense system"
According to the information of the Cheka-OGPU, Il-76 passengers can be operators-officers with anti-aircraft defense systems, including A-50. "Severny" airport in Ivanovo is one of the bases for the deployment of anti-aircraft defense aircraft. We are still waiting for additional confirmation about this information. 😉 "The number of people killed in the crash of the Il-76 in the Ivanovo region has increased to 16. Emergency services are still working on the scene, sorting out the wreckage of the downed transporter. According to one of the versions, there could have been several unregistered passengers on board." - reports 112 They were not surprised by the reaction of the Russians, who "paid tribute" to the dead crew of the IL-76 with the words - "Fu, f****c how it smells." We will leave a quote below for such a reaction!😆 https://t.me/ukrainian_militant/21916 Severny Airport in the Ivanovo Region is one of the bases for the deployment of AWACS aircraft, including A 50. According to sources from the Cheka-OGPU, the passengers of the IL 76 shot down today in the Ivanovo Region could have been operators - officers of the AWACS complex. https://t.me/vchkogpu/46533 |
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 11:56:23 AM EDT
[#46]
|
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 12:00:40 PM EDT
[#47]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Johnrpb: APDS-T - is Ukraine using these as direct fire support now or does APDS-T work as well as HEI for anti-drone/missile work? Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Johnrpb: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Germany has already provided Ukraine with ~ 40,000 rounds from this production line. Ukraine will receive a further ~ 110,000 rounds of this type of ammunition. A further 150,000 rounds of a different type (HEI-T) will then be delivered after the production shifts from APDS-T to HEI-T which is scheduled for Q2/2024. In total, Rheinmetall will supply Ukraine with 300,000 rounds of Gepard ammunition worth a three-digit million sum paid by the German government, therefore securing the medium term needs of ammunition for the vital Ukrainian air defence assets. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GIecCE6XgAAInzz?format=jpg&name=small APDS-T - is Ukraine using these as direct fire support now or does APDS-T work as well as HEI for anti-drone/missile work? Honestly, we haven't seen much evidence of Gepard being used as direct fire support. It certainly makes more sense for the guns to use the HEI for the anti air role. I am a bit surprised at this report. |
|
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 12:01:53 PM EDT
[#48]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Why do militaries decommission almost-used weapons instead of shooting them up in training exercises? Giving some British soldier an almost-expired NLAW to shoot at a target in training both gets rid of it and provides training to the soldier. But it sounds like they don't shoot the NLAWs and instead send them somewhere to be disassembled and then have the individual parts destroyed, which seems like it's more complicated and more expensive than just shooting it. |
|
|
|
OK, USA
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 12:03:12 PM EDT
[#49]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By torstin: That is just nuts. I had no idea. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By torstin: That is just nuts. I had no idea. I'm guessing it's just a bad translation, but the caption implies that the picture is a U2 selfie. It's something I didn't see nearly as much before reading all these non-English sources for the war, but "lost in translation" doesn't quite cover it- more like "some inaccuracies in translation." |
|
|
|
Posted: 3/12/2024 12:06:10 PM EDT
[#50]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By CleverNickname: Why do militaries decommission almost-used weapons instead of shooting them up in training exercises? Giving some British soldier an almost-expired NLAW to shoot at a target in training both gets rid of it and provides training to the soldier. But it sounds like they don't shoot the NLAWs and instead send them somewhere to be disassembled and then have the individual parts destroyed, which seems like it's more complicated and more expensive than just shooting it. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By CleverNickname: Originally Posted By AlmightyTallest:
Why do militaries decommission almost-used weapons instead of shooting them up in training exercises? Giving some British soldier an almost-expired NLAW to shoot at a target in training both gets rid of it and provides training to the soldier. But it sounds like they don't shoot the NLAWs and instead send them somewhere to be disassembled and then have the individual parts destroyed, which seems like it's more complicated and more expensive than just shooting it. I am sure some of these munitions get expended in training, it just seems like there is still more weapons that aren't used up even in training that stay in stockpiles until the use by date passes. |
|
|
|
Win a FREE Membership!
Sign up for the ARFCOM weekly newsletter and be entered to win a free ARFCOM membership. One new winner* is announced every week!
You will receive an email every Friday morning featuring the latest chatter from the hottest topics, breaking news surrounding legislation, as well as exclusive deals only available to ARFCOM email subscribers.
AR15.COM is the world's largest firearm community and is a gathering place for firearm enthusiasts of all types.
From hunters and military members, to competition shooters and general firearm enthusiasts, we welcome anyone who values and respects the way of the firearm.
Subscribe to our monthly Newsletter to receive firearm news, product discounts from your favorite Industry Partners, and more.
Copyright © 1996-2024 AR15.COM LLC. All Rights Reserved.
Any use of this content without express written consent is prohibited.
AR15.Com reserves the right to overwrite or replace any affiliate, commercial, or monetizable links, posted by users, with our own.
