Official Hurricane Irma thread - Page 3

General » General Discussion

[ARCHIVED THREAD] - Official Hurricane Irma thread (Page 3 of 223)

Posted: 8/31/2017 5:06:24 PM EDT

[#1]

So - somewhere between NY and the Gulf?

Posted: 8/31/2017 5:06:54 PM EDT

[#2]

Quote History

Quoted:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIlM1WlXcAED5jH.jpg

View Quote

That is one strong bitch.

Posted: 8/31/2017 5:14:34 PM EDT

[#3]

Video in OP is predicting a Cat 5.

Posted: 8/31/2017 5:27:42 PM EDT

[#4]

Quote History

Quoted:
So - somewhere between NY and the Gulf?

View Quote

Yeah that seems to be a bit useless to me at this point. It could also swing North and never touch the US from what I was seeing.

By Tuesday/Wednesday there should be a much better idea of it's path I'd think.

Posted: 8/31/2017 5:55:18 PM EDT

[#5]

It never hurts to prep because as you have just witnessed in Texas, you will be on your own for quite awhile.
(If) it hits your area. We know about these cain's in Florida.

Posted: 8/31/2017 6:04:50 PM EDT

[#6]

a hit on the NJ area now would be very very bad right now...

as in sudden stop blow up the economy bad....

if those refineries go down as well, wicked gas and diesel shortage.... to big a diesel shortage and food and gas supplies stop.... and fall crop harvesting...

bad bad things in a just in time economy....

Posted: 8/31/2017 6:05:55 PM EDT

[#7]

Quote History

Quoted:
It never hurts to prep because as you have just witnessed in Texas, you will be on your own for quite awhile.
(If) it hits your area. We know about this in Florida.

View Quote

I don't miss 2004. Resident of Martin County at the time.

Posted: 8/31/2017 6:06:42 PM EDT

[#8]

I'm already stocked up. But I live right below Tampa and they always seem to miss us. We got a nasty rain storm last weekend and it flooded almost a hundred homes. So if we ever do get hit by one we're fucked.

Posted: 8/31/2017 6:08:17 PM EDT

[#9]

Quote History

Quoted:
a hit on the NJ area now would be very very bad right now...

as in sudden stop blow up the economy bad....

if those refineries go down as well, wicked gas and diesel shortage.... to big a diesel shortage and food and gas supplies stop.... and fall crop harvesting...

bad bad things in a just in time economy....

View Quote

QFT.

Posted: 8/31/2017 6:14:35 PM EDT

[#10]

Be advised that the GFS model is notoriously awful at modeling tropical systems.

In fact, all models are bad at tropical system intensities more than a few days out. That said, this storm is poised to rapidly strengthen into a major hurricane at some point. If it does get to cat5, it will only maintain that strength for limited periods of time due to many scientific reasons that I wont go into.

Posted: 8/31/2017 6:20:42 PM EDT

[#11]

Quote History

Quoted:

I don't miss 2004. Resident of Martin County at the time.
https://www.meandmycaptain.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/4-hurricanes1.jpg

View Quote

Yes, it was crazy. Back then, the Gas Stations didn't have backup Generators so you couldn't travel very far or feed your home generators. Just spoiled food and a dark house if you didn't prep in advance. Please, take our advice.

Posted: 8/31/2017 6:22:59 PM EDT

[#12]

Quote History

Quoted:
Don't worry, she's going to nail the Carolinas.

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Quoted:

Quoted:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIlM1WlXcAED5jH.jpg

Motherfucker.

Don't worry, she's going to nail the Carolinas.

I've got the same feeling for some reason.

Posted: 8/31/2017 6:26:11 PM EDT

[#13]

I hope it does a Fish Storm thing. That is gonna be a big bitch.

I dealt with Hugo, that was some messed up shit many years ago.

Posted: 8/31/2017 6:52:48 PM EDT

[#14]

tell Irma there's noting left to break in Pt Aransas & Rockport Tx; go fuck up mehico, the cartels need help,,,,,

Posted: 8/31/2017 6:56:39 PM EDT

[#15]

Quote History

Quoted:

October is normally a safe bet for the Gulf and Caribbean. I have seen some October hurricanes in the Gulf, but they're not common.

View Quote

I'd make it mid to late October. Lili in '02 hit us October 2nd IIRC.

Posted: 8/31/2017 7:00:24 PM EDT

[#16]

Quote History

Quoted:
I hope it does a Fish Storm thing. That is gonna be a big bitch.

I dealt with Hugo, that was some messed up shit many years ago.

View Quote

I was a little kid. I had nightmares from that for a looong time.

Posted: 8/31/2017 7:00:36 PM EDT

[#17]

Quote History

Quoted:
Be advised that the GFS model is notoriously awful at modeling tropical systems.

In fact, all models are bad at tropical system intensities more than a few days out. That said, this storm is poised to rapidly strengthen into a major hurricane at some point. If it does get to cat5, it will only maintain that strength for limited periods of time due to many scientific reasons that I wont go into.

View Quote

1. Harvey was gonna die over the Yucatan, remember?
2. It doesn't matter if it holds Cat 5 status for an hour or for 3 days. If it goes over the GOM, we are at Irma's mercy and she will have a good opportunity to reach that status again.

Posted: 8/31/2017 7:00:57 PM EDT

[#18]

Quote History

Quoted:
I don't miss 2004. Resident of Martin County at the time.
https://www.meandmycaptain.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/4-hurricanes1.jpg

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Quoted:

Quoted:
It never hurts to prep because as you have just witnessed in Texas, you will be on your own for quite awhile.
(If) it hits your area. We know about this in Florida.

I don't miss 2004. Resident of Martin County at the time.
https://www.meandmycaptain.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/4-hurricanes1.jpg

I remember the remnants of Frances and Jeanne coming through Georgia..............while it wasn't a hurricane, they created a lot of havoc around here

Posted: 8/31/2017 7:01:36 PM EDT

[#19]

Quote History

Quoted:

I don't miss 2004. Resident of Martin County at the time.
https://www.meandmycaptain.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/4-hurricanes1.jpg

View Quote

My folks had a rental house down there at the time. Lost their shirts.

Posted: 8/31/2017 7:32:56 PM EDT

[#20]

GFS says Irma is not a Patriots fan...

Posted: 8/31/2017 7:45:30 PM EDT

[#21]

Quick question. Say you guys just happened to be replacing some windows and doors at this time near the east coast. Knowing this thing could head your way and you might have to do some boarding up of said windows. Would you go with the pvc moulding or wood?

Swift responses appreciated.

Posted: 8/31/2017 7:47:03 PM EDT

[#22]

Let's see what the Navy is saying.....

https://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?YEAR=2017&MO=08&BASIN=ATL&STORM_NAME=11L.IRMA&PROD=track_vis&PHOT=yes&ARCHIVE=active&NAV=tc&AGE=Latest&SIZE=Thumb&STYLE=tables&AID_DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc17/ATL/09L.HARVEY/tpw/microvap&TYPE=ssmi

Posted: 8/31/2017 7:51:00 PM EDT

[#23]

Tag to see this one, I think it's going to go North instead of the gulf or FL.

Posted: 8/31/2017 7:56:24 PM EDT

[#24]

Red track is Euro

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:02:36 PM EDT

[#25]

Euro model control run is a James Taylor fan and is singing 'I'm going to Carolina...'

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:15:06 PM EDT

[#26]

Quote History

Quoted:
Euro model control run is a James Taylor fan and is singing 'I'm going to Carolina...'

http://i.imgur.com/4ZOiE4F.gif

View Quote

If it holds that track it's gonna be a bad day.

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:19:16 PM EDT

[#27]

Quote History

Quoted:
I've got the same feeling for some reason.

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Quoted:

Quoted:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIlM1WlXcAED5jH.jpg

Motherfucker.

Don't worry, she's going to nail the Carolinas.

I've got the same feeling for some reason.

I dont want a cat 5, or even a cat 1. But a) we are due for a tropical system and b) our annual state rainfall counts on it.

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:21:05 PM EDT

[#28]

Quote History

Quoted:

If it holds that track it's gonna be a bad day.

View Quote

Myrtle Beach

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:25:22 PM EDT

[#29]

Quote History

Quoted:
Myrtle Beach

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Quoted:

Quoted:

If it holds that track it's gonna be a bad day.

Myrtle Beach

That track and intensity reminds me a lot of Hugo.

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:25:23 PM EDT

[#30]

God damn it.

This is looking like '04 to '05 all over again.

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:29:45 PM EDT

[#31]

Quote History

Quoted:
That track and intensity reminds me a lot of Hugo.

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Quoted:

Quoted:

If it holds that track it's gonna be a bad day.

Myrtle Beach

That track and intensity reminds me a lot of Hugo.

That track takes it dead over my house.

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:35:01 PM EDT

[#32]

Quote History

Quoted:
God damn it.

This is looking like '04 to '05 all over again.

View Quote

Those years generated the most crazy flow of storms off Africa I've ever seen. Busy times those were for Florida and the Gulf....... Think gents there are 3 more months of the season...............

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:41:43 PM EDT

[#33]

Quote History

Quoted:
I've got the same feeling for some reason.

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Quoted:

Quoted:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIlM1WlXcAED5jH.jpg

Motherfucker.

Don't worry, she's going to nail the Carolinas.

I've got the same feeling for some reason.

Shut the fuck up!

It's going to pass harmlessly out to sea.

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:42:26 PM EDT

[#34]

Quote History

Quoted:

I don't miss 2004. Resident of Martin County at the time.
https://www.meandmycaptain.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/4-hurricanes1.jpg

View Quote

My parents were in Hobe Sound that year - I came down to help them prep. I was outside during two Hurricane Eyes that year....that was a rough one.

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:42:50 PM EDT

[#35]

The 18Z GFS run on Tropical Tidbits looks scary for New England...

But that's 10 days out and anything over five days and the GFS model tends to be wrong that far out.

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:44:36 PM EDT

[#36]

I figured it was going to be a shit year for hurricanes and it looks like I wont be disappointed

just stay away from the cape okay mother nature?

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:50:24 PM EDT

[#37]

Quote History

Quoted:
Shut the fuck up!

It's going to pass harmlessly out to sea.

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Quoted:

Quoted:
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DIlM1WlXcAED5jH.jpg

Motherfucker.

Don't worry, she's going to nail the Carolinas.

I've got the same feeling for some reason.

Shut the fuck up!

It's going to pass harmlessly out to sea.

What's wrong, Lt. Dan, you don't like a little weather?

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:56:03 PM EDT

[#38]

Quote History

Quoted:

What's wrong, Lt. Dan, you don't like a little weather?

View Quote

im trying to get a state job in Hatteras and I would prefer it still be there until I can get hired and start.

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:57:31 PM EDT

[#39]

Quote History

Quoted:

im trying to get a state job in Hatteras and I would prefer it still be there until I can get hired and start.

View Quote

If that forecast track jinks East at all then there will be plenty of undeveloped land on the Outer Banks to choose from.

Posted: 8/31/2017 8:57:31 PM EDT

[#40]

September storms that form in the Cape Verde area tend to hook more into the a
Carolinas. NC and VA have bad luck with Cape Verde storms that start with and I. Isabelle and Irene come to mind.

Posted: 8/31/2017 9:01:36 PM EDT

[#41]

^^^^^ SHHhhhhhh... you, no more talking!!!

Posted: 8/31/2017 9:02:30 PM EDT

[#42]

Quote History

Quoted:
My parents were in Hobe Sound that year - I came down to help them prep. I was outside during two Hurricane Eyes that year....that was a rough one.

View Quote View All Quotes

View All Quotes

Quote History

Quoted:

Quoted:

I don't miss 2004. Resident of Martin County at the time.
https://www.meandmycaptain.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/08/4-hurricanes1.jpg

My parents were in Hobe Sound that year - I came down to help them prep. I was outside during two Hurricane Eyes that year....that was a rough one.

6-7 days of no power after Charlie...then 4 more..then 3 more..
Lost our ass....
Enough so that last years cane ...wife and I sat outside during the whole thing.
We wished it was at night..like Charlie...
Go to bed..wake up...deal with it.
Vs
Crash...bang....wtf was that...crack...pow..yup...neighbors are fucked in broad day light.

I hate canes....but it's just part of it. Sad part is all the rain we get every fucking day....there's already standing water in most places.