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Posted: 8/26/2022 1:50:55 PM EDT
[#1]
 YouTube Gave Me a 7 Day Suspension That Lasted 10 Days |
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Posted: 8/26/2022 1:54:59 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Win1300]
[#2]
Long but worthwhile read from Zoltan Pozsar from CSFB.
PDF link - https://plus2.credit-suisse.com/shorturlpdf.html?v=5amR-WTBd-V&t=-1e4y7st99l5d0a0be21hgr5ht A snippet First, how do you wage wars on multiple fronts when a single front in Ukraine showed how quickly stockpiles can deplete in a war of attrition, and how slow the replacement is (see here). This is not about high -tech weapons that need chips, but rather, basic artillery. As a recent FT article noted, “fetishes for high -tech weapons and lean manufacturing have obscured the importance of maintaining stockpiles of basic kits [like artillery shells]. Total annual U.S. production of 155 million artillery shells, for example, would last only about two weeks in Ukraine, a conflict that marks “the return of industrial warfare”. […] Inexpensive ammunition that you can use on a large scale is essential; the West needs to be more disciplined not always to seek the exquisite, but rather to understand how the exquisite allows what is quite boring and banal”. Second, it’s not like the exquisite stuff can be made quickly either: “in May, when Washington ordered 1,300 Stinger anti -aircraft missiles to replace those sent to Ukraine, the chief executive of Raytheon replied: ‘it will take us a little while ’ ” (see here). And this is not just a replacement issue: the delivery of Stingers to Taiwan has been delayed recently to enable the flood of weapons to Ukraine (see here), and Saudi Arabia also faces delays as it aims to re -stock its arsenal (see here). Meanwhile, on a recent earnings call, Peter Wennick, the CEO of ASML, the maker of cutting -edge lithography machines, noted the following: “I met the executive of a very large industrial company, a conglomerate, last week, and [he] told me that they’re buying washing machines to rip out the chips to put them into industrial modules. I mean, that’s happening these days ”. Another snippet Minsky moments are triggered by excessive financial leverage, and in the context of supply chains, leverage means excessive operating leverage: in Germany, $2 trillion of value added depends on $20 billion of gas from Russia … …that’s 100 -times leverage (see the last chart here ) – more than Lehman’s. And the concept of operating leverage applies in the military domain too: if Taiwan makes the chips for the missiles the U.S. sends it for self -defense but has to wait for missiles because they are needed in Ukraine instead or it can’t ship them to the U.S. owing to a sea and air blockade imposed by China, the U.S. is operationally ill -equipped to support a two -front war. In English… Edit for context - chart showing Electricity prices in Euro's...No russian gas = spiking electric costs... 
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Posted: 8/26/2022 3:38:31 PM EDT
[#3]
Total annual U.S. production of 155 million artillery shells, for example, would last onlyabout two weeks in Ukraine, That's almost 8000 shells every minute. I call BS. |
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Posted: 8/26/2022 3:56:42 PM EDT
[#4]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Superluckycat: That's almost 8000 shells every minute. I call BS. Good catch - looks like Ukraine averages 6000 artillery rounds/day vs 20k rounds/day fired by Russia. The rest of the paper still has some worthwhile observations/opinions. For reference I found this https://www.state.gov/u-s-security-cooperation-with-ukraine/ - chip shortage may make those Stingers hard to replace.... United States security assistance committed to Ukraine includes: Over 1,400 Stinger anti-aircraft systems; Over 6,500 Javelin anti-armor systems; Over 20,000 other anti-armor systems; Over 700 Switchblade Tactical Unmanned Aerial Systems; 126 155mm Howitzers and up to 486,000 155mm artillery rounds; 72,000 105mm artillery rounds; 126 Tactical Vehicles to tow 155mm Howitzers; 22 Tactical Vehicles to recover equipment; 16 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems and ammunition; |
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Posted: 8/26/2022 4:49:27 PM EDT
[#5]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By JPN: If my memory isn't off, Randy Weaver wasn't even involved in that initial shootout. The dog detected the Marshals, started barking and went toward them. Harris and Weaver's son followed the dog, to see what had agitated it. The (now dead) Marshal put a burst into the dog, just as Weaver's son caught up enough to see the dog and the person in camo shooting it. Weaver's son shot the person that had just shot his dog, and the rest of the team (who the son had likely not yet seen) started firing at Weaver's son and Harris, hitting and killing Weaver's son. At that point, the person who started the shooting, and the person that had killed the Marshal, were dead, but that led to escalating the incident further, as Harris apparently returned fire (in self-defense) before retreating, and the team initially reported that the first shots fired had killed the Marshal (but could not later explain to investigators how the dead guy had fired something like half a magazine after he died). Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By JPN: Originally Posted By djohn: Originally Posted By JPN: Wasn't that the guy who started the shooting, by shooting a dog in front of the dog's owner (who was armed)? Yes, according to the New York Times: Essentially, the jury found that Mr. Harris and Mr. Weaver acted in self-defense in the shooting death of Deputy Federal Marshal William Degan on Aug. 21. https://www.nytimes.com/1993/07/09/us/rebuking-the-us-jury-acquits-2-in-marshal-s-killing-in-idaho-siege.html And the LA Times: Degan was killed in self-defense when he and the other marshals fired the first rounds and provoked the shootout. https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1993-07-09-mn-11558-story.html If my memory isn't off, Randy Weaver wasn't even involved in that initial shootout. The dog detected the Marshals, started barking and went toward them. Harris and Weaver's son followed the dog, to see what had agitated it. The (now dead) Marshal put a burst into the dog, just as Weaver's son caught up enough to see the dog and the person in camo shooting it. Weaver's son shot the person that had just shot his dog, and the rest of the team (who the son had likely not yet seen) started firing at Weaver's son and Harris, hitting and killing Weaver's son. At that point, the person who started the shooting, and the person that had killed the Marshal, were dead, but that led to escalating the incident further, as Harris apparently returned fire (in self-defense) before retreating, and the team initially reported that the first shots fired had killed the Marshal (but could not later explain to investigators how the dead guy had fired something like half a magazine after he died). |
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Posted: 8/26/2022 4:51:09 PM EDT
[#6]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Fantomas: just wanted to give an update on my Mom she had Surgery today and everything went fine. She will spend the next 2 days in ICU. My Cousin talked to the Nurse since nobody is allowed into the Hospital. I am very relived that she did not get a colostomy bag. That was one of the worries we had but her Colonoscopy yesterday did not show any damage to her upper colon. She will be in the Hospital most likely until the 2nd of September thank you to everybody for keeping her in your prayers I really appreciate that  |
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Posted: 8/26/2022 7:06:06 PM EDT
[#7]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Win1300: Good catch - looks like Ukraine averages 6000 artillery rounds/day vs 20k rounds/day fired by Russia. The rest of the paper still has some worthwhile observations/opinions. For reference I found this https://www.state.gov/u-s-security-cooperation-with-ukraine/ - chip shortage may make those Stingers hard to replace.... United States security assistance committed to Ukraine includes: Over 1,400 Stinger anti-aircraft systems; Over 6,500 Javelin anti-armor systems; Over 20,000 other anti-armor systems; Over 700 Switchblade Tactical Unmanned Aerial Systems; 126 155mm Howitzers and up to 486,000 155mm artillery rounds; 72,000 105mm artillery rounds; 126 Tactical Vehicles to tow 155mm Howitzers; 22 Tactical Vehicles to recover equipment; 16 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems and ammunition; Those numbers are on the low end… |
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Posted: 8/27/2022 3:53:03 PM EDT
[#8]
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Posted: 8/27/2022 5:34:28 PM EDT
[#9]
Russell Brand savagely mocking 'muh democracy'
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Posted: 8/27/2022 7:07:21 PM EDT
[#10]
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Posted: 8/27/2022 7:17:21 PM EDT
[#11]
Originally Posted By evo7011: We out here https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/124501/BF8DB0FD-A8D2-48E1-A7F0-3423C8146642_jpe-2504923.JPG Originally Posted By evo7011: Dinner https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/124501/8F878AF4-34F2-4872-B373-55E90D258A99_jpe-2505176.JPG looks great fantastic Restaurant |
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Posted: 8/27/2022 10:30:07 PM EDT
[#12]
I checked out a new place that is across the Street from me
I had a very nice Dinner sitting outside the Food was very good. appetizer was Gazpacho Soup  Dinner was Sliders 
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Posted: 8/28/2022 5:17:56 AM EDT
[#13]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By evo7011: Dinner https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/124501/8F878AF4-34F2-4872-B373-55E90D258A99_jpe-2505176.JPG Tongs? |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 10:02:21 AM EDT
[#14]
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Posted: 8/28/2022 10:23:02 AM EDT
[#15]
If you haven't seen this yet, prepare to get further pissed off.
 FFBI  Tucker Carlson: This story may have prevented Biden from becoming president |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 1:43:44 PM EDT
[#16]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By zach_: Tongs? Serving tongs, the plate was for me and my GF. |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 1:44:10 PM EDT
[#17]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Fantomas: I checked out a new place that is across the Street from me I had a very nice Dinner sitting outside the Food was very good. appetizer was Gazpacho Soup https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/222783/20220827_181257-2505481.jpg Dinner was Sliders https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/222783/20220827_181803-2505482.jpg Outstanding! |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 1:57:30 PM EDT
[#18]
Pro tip, don’t ride the train at 2am unless you’re carrying heavy.
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Posted: 8/28/2022 7:43:30 PM EDT
[#19]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By evo7011: Dinner https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/124501/8F878AF4-34F2-4872-B373-55E90D258A99_jpe-2505176.JPG Nice Costco had picanha steaks for $5.99/lb. I may have bought a few.  Attached File Attached File |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 8:24:02 PM EDT
[#20]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Win1300: Nice Costco had picanha steaks for $5.99/lb. I may have bought a few. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/58998B21-B4CB-45B0-9C7E-BC2E1D4E28AA_jpe-2506707.JPGhttps://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/A0EA414F-FED3-485C-95C3-DDEEE4C13C01_jpe-2506708.JPG Did anyone tell @Lug1? |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 8:24:26 PM EDT
[#21]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Win1300: Nice Costco had picanha steaks for $5.99/lb. I may have bought a few. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/58998B21-B4CB-45B0-9C7E-BC2E1D4E28AA_jpe-2506707.JPGhttps://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/A0EA414F-FED3-485C-95C3-DDEEE4C13C01_jpe-2506708.JPG My local Brookshire's had those on sale a few weeks ago. What is that cut and how do you cook it? It's a new one on me. 
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Posted: 8/28/2022 8:27:47 PM EDT
[#22]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Gopher: My local Brookshire's had those on sale a few weeks ago. What is that cut and how do you cook it? It's a new one on me. Its cut that was popularized in Brazil. It has a nice fat cap. I sliced it into 1 1/2 thick pieces and put them on a hanging skewer and threw them in my drum smoker over a higher heat - more of a sear but some of the smoke came through nice. Got the idea for using the drum smoker from here. It was really good.  Sirloin Picanha Cooked over Open Flame with MEAT JUICES Dripping Over Coals! |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 8:46:19 PM EDT
[#23]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By The_Dog: Did anyone tell @Lug1? Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By The_Dog: Originally Posted By Win1300: Nice Costco had picanha steaks for $5.99/lb. I may have bought a few. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/58998B21-B4CB-45B0-9C7E-BC2E1D4E28AA_jpe-2506707.JPGhttps://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/A0EA414F-FED3-485C-95C3-DDEEE4C13C01_jpe-2506708.JPG Did anyone tell @Lug1?  |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 8:52:42 PM EDT
[#24]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Win1300: Its cut that was popularized in Brazil. It has a nice fat cap. I sliced it into 1 1/2 thick pieces and put them on a hanging skewer and threw them in my drum smoker over a higher heat - more of a sear but some of the smoke came through nice. Got the idea for using the drum smoker from here. It was really good.  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bd9XokDyrGYNice. That might do well in an oil-less fryer. I have done pork roast in it and it gives a nice crust on the outside and is tender and juicy inside and can be hung from skewers like that. It's a Charbroil Big Easy that is basically a big infra-red cooker. Very versatile with the attachments. Makes a killer turkey and whole chicken.  The Char Broil Big Easy Accessories |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 10:22:49 PM EDT
[#25]
Dem election strategy in New Hampshire:
1. Proclaim Free State Libertarians to be extremists. 2. Proclaim GOP politicians to be Free Staters. 3. Profit. https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-new-hampshire-government-and-politics-261966bda9f95a9b746215abd4bba408 |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 10:48:01 PM EDT
[#26]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By PepePewPew: Dem election strategy in New Hampshire: 1. Proclaim Free State Libertarians to be extremists. 2. Proclaim GOP politicians to be Free Staters. 3. Profit. https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm-elections-new-hampshire-government-and-politics-261966bda9f95a9b746215abd4bba408 Wrong thread or am I drunk?
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VA, USA
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Posted: 8/28/2022 10:53:50 PM EDT
[#27]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Superluckycat: That's almost 8000 shells every minute. I call BS. Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Superluckycat: Total annual U.S. production of 155 million artillery shells, for example, would last onlyabout two weeks in Ukraine, That's almost 8000 shells every minute. I call BS. 155 caliber munition artillery shells? A typo/translation error? Caught my eye too. 
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OR, USA
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Posted: 8/28/2022 10:55:46 PM EDT
[#28]
Been awhile, sorry folks.
I miss Cece.  Sabaton - Winged Hussars Been dealing with a round robin of ER visits the last few months, with family. |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 11:17:11 PM EDT
[#29]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Strykewolf: Been awhile, sorry folks. I miss Cece. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CxlRJsQ7p2kBeen dealing with a round robin of ER visits the last few months, with family.  Attached File |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 11:24:36 PM EDT
[#30]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Strykewolf: Been awhile, sorry folks. I miss Cece. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CxlRJsQ7p2kBeen dealing with a round robin of ER visits the last few months, with family. 
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Posted: 8/28/2022 11:46:45 PM EDT
[#31]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Fantomas: I checked out a new place that is across the Street from me I had a very nice Dinner sitting outside the Food was very good. appetizer was Gazpacho Soup https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/222783/20220827_181257-2505481.jpg Dinner was Sliders https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/222783/20220827_181803-2505482.jpg That looks good! |
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Posted: 8/28/2022 11:51:45 PM EDT
[Last Edit: ecgRN]
[#32]
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Posted: 8/28/2022 11:55:03 PM EDT
[#33]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By evo7011: We out here https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/124501/BF8DB0FD-A8D2-48E1-A7F0-3423C8146642_jpe-2504923.JPG You seem to be adapting well. Welcome. |
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OR, USA
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Posted: 8/29/2022 12:04:44 AM EDT
[#34]
 Scorpions - Send me an Angel ?ShivaCosima? |
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OR, USA
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Posted: 8/29/2022 1:08:05 AM EDT
[#35]
 Halestorm - Here's To Us [Official Video] |
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USA
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Posted: 8/29/2022 1:26:42 AM EDT
[#36]
Antifa is operating with impunity in Texas. Thread here:
https://www.ar15.com/forums/General/Alright-TX-We-gotta-talk-Antifa-was-here-today-supporting-groomers-and-we-didn-t-do-anything-/5-2581020/?page=1 I feel the right is in stand-down mode at the moment. Things will heat up again as we approach 2024, if the nation and the world last that long. I know Europe will be in shambles by then - their energy prices have more than doubled this year. I feel helpless and totally reactive, being swept along in a speeding current to an uncertain future (this timeline is utterly wrecked). At the same time, I am tied to my work, making more money but stuck with so little free time to prep and do things. My life is fine, but it's like riding a horse made out of glass. It could shatter at any time. I know I will be disappointed with myself if I am doing the 9-5 grind and the nukes fly when I'm sitting at work - I hope if something happens, we all see it coming and can somewhat prepare for it. |
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Posted: 8/29/2022 8:45:21 AM EDT
[#37]
I walk by this station frequently, it’s sketchy AF during the day also.
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Posted: 8/29/2022 10:13:26 AM EDT
[#38]
US Embassy being evac'd by rooftop in Baghdad. Natives restless today.
CD |
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Posted: 8/29/2022 10:16:26 AM EDT
[#39]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By The_Dog: Did anyone tell @Lug1? Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By The_Dog: Originally Posted By Win1300: Nice Costco had picanha steaks for $5.99/lb. I may have bought a few. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/58998B21-B4CB-45B0-9C7E-BC2E1D4E28AA_jpe-2506707.JPGhttps://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/517730/A0EA414F-FED3-485C-95C3-DDEEE4C13C01_jpe-2506708.JPG Did anyone tell @Lug1? |
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Posted: 8/29/2022 10:17:58 AM EDT
[#40]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Combat_Diver: US Embassy being evac'd by rooftop in Baghdad. Natives restless today. CD |
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Posted: 8/29/2022 10:28:58 AM EDT
[#41]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Combat_Diver: US Embassy being evac'd by rooftop in Baghdad. Natives restless today. CD No shit? I feel sorry for the guys on the security force. They have no way out.... ask me how I know |
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Posted: 8/29/2022 12:05:42 PM EDT
[#42]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Combat_Diver: US Embassy being evac'd by rooftop in Baghdad. Natives restless today. CD Stay safe. |
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Posted: 8/29/2022 2:38:08 PM EDT
[#43]
Several killed in clashes in Baghdad’s Green Zone after powerful cleric announces withdrawal from politics
https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/29/middleeast/al-sadr-iraq-protests-intl/index.html |
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Posted: 8/29/2022 2:39:25 PM EDT
[#44]
Former Obama Guy Has a Very Strange Take on Why Republicans Dislike the IRS
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Posted: 8/29/2022 2:41:55 PM EDT
[#45]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Combat_Diver: Several killed in clashes in Baghdad’s Green Zone after powerful cleric announces withdrawal from politics https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/29/middleeast/al-sadr-iraq-protests-intl/index.html  Attached File |
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Posted: 8/29/2022 2:50:32 PM EDT
[#46]
Quote History
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Posted: 8/29/2022 2:55:52 PM EDT
[#47]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By RSG: Former Obama Guy Has a Very Strange Take on Why Republicans Dislike the IRS
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Posted: 8/29/2022 3:25:11 PM EDT
[#48]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By Mariner82: What. An. Idiot. Guess he doesn't realize the CW was over for almost 50 years before the income tax was authorized by the 16th Amdt. And blacks were a big part of the founding of the Republican party |
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Posted: 8/29/2022 3:44:36 PM EDT
[Last Edit: Everybodygotone]
[#49]
Quote HistoryOriginally Posted By MADMAXXX: If you haven't seen this yet, prepare to get further pissed off. FFBI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hlc8EIrQxZcRiots, a pandemic, RussiaGate, bullshit me too allegations, an unprecedented media / mind control campaign.... They've done everything but give him an open top limo ride through Dealey Plaza and the only reason they haven't done that is fear of making him a martyr. Trump had countless enemies and very few allies, even among his own administration. |
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Posted: 8/29/2022 3:59:11 PM EDT
[#50]
Quote HistoryQuote HistoryOriginally Posted By evo7011: Originally Posted By Combat_Diver: Several killed in clashes in Baghdad’s Green Zone after powerful cleric announces withdrawal from politics https://www.cnn.com/2022/08/29/middleeast/al-sadr-iraq-protests-intl/index.html https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/124501/DSC00727_jpg-2507584.JPG 
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