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Posted: 7/2/2021 9:33:09 AM EDT
We shall see if this updates: Currently the present position is at 1100 PM Friday (2 July 2021)
 Current projected path can change Map showing projected path here Off the north coast of South America:  As of 3 July 2021 (unknown time) it was downgraded to a tropical storm and the current predictions do not show it becoming a hurricane again...but these systems do not go by model predictions. |
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Posted: 7/2/2021 9:52:42 AM EDT
[#1]
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Posted: 7/2/2021 9:56:08 AM EDT
[#2]
Quote HistoryDon’t forget to panic buy gas instead of already having reserves that you rotate out during the off season. |
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Posted: 7/2/2021 10:08:02 AM EDT
[#3]
Want to know why it's the 6th? Because when Joe Biden entered the impact date in the hurricane machine he got Independence Day wrong.
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Posted: 7/2/2021 10:10:20 AM EDT
[#4]
Quote HistoryThis guy knows what’s up. |
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Posted: 7/2/2021 11:24:37 AM EDT
[#5]
Boy, that happened fast! Yesterday the maps were showing it would only reach TS level.
For those outside the impacted areas, it would be a good idea to fill up your gas tanks. Even if it doesn't affect the gulf, you know the panic buyers and neckbeards wil be out in force. |
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Posted: 7/2/2021 11:29:16 AM EDT
[#6]
Just let it go already
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Posted: 7/2/2021 11:36:34 AM EDT
[#7]
I'm all stocked up. Might cut our vacation a little short.
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Posted: 7/2/2021 5:30:59 PM EDT
[#8]
That’s gonna suck for those dealing with the collapsed building.
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Posted: 7/3/2021 1:20:21 AM EDT
[#9]
Updated first post to show the projected (No guarantee of accuracy) path.
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Posted: 7/3/2021 1:32:07 AM EDT
[#10]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Don’t forget to panic buy gas instead of already having reserves that you rotate out during the off season. I just top off my boat. 55 gallons ethanol free ready to go |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 3:38:09 AM EDT
[#11]
Hope it gets diminished some by going over the islands and comes north right over the state and pisses out. Worse case it goes out over the warm waters of the gulf and strengthens into a real SOB. Getting gas, bread and beer tomorrow morning after F-1 qualifying just in case.
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Posted: 7/3/2021 3:54:57 AM EDT
[#12]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Hope it gets diminished some by going over the islands and comes north right over the state and pisses out. Worse case it goes out over the warm waters of the gulf and strengthens into a real SOB. Getting gas, bread and beer tomorrow morning after F-1 qualifYying just in case. Are beer sammiches better than milk sammiches?  Stay safe! |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 6:44:05 AM EDT
[#13]
Shill showing as downgrading to a TS around Jamaica.
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Posted: 7/3/2021 6:47:00 AM EDT
[#14]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Shill showing as downgrading to a TS around Jamaica. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/153820/Screenshot_20210703-064210_MyRadar-1999986.jpg I hope their projections on strength are right but we have nowhere near the technology to make an accurate estimate of this as of yet. The waters around Florida are also in the mid to upper 80s so this can only help to strengthen it but we will see |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 6:56:25 AM EDT
[#15]
Cruising at 31 MPH this morning. This is a fast mover. Which means nothing-burger. One step above "Huh, looks like we got a lot of rain last night.
Of course, if it hits the brakes, slows down to 8mph, and runs parallel to the west coast of FL, all bets are off. But that's not going to happen. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 7:47:01 AM EDT
[#16]
Quote HistoryQuoted: This guy knows what’s up. Quote HistoryQuoted: This guy knows what’s up. He's way off. That's French toast fixings, snowstorm preps. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 7:50:22 AM EDT
[#17]
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Posted: 7/3/2021 7:51:04 AM EDT
[#18]
Just hoping that my flights aren’t affected for my conference…
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Posted: 7/3/2021 7:52:37 AM EDT
[#19]
So far looking like a big nothing burger. What will Cantori do?
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Posted: 7/3/2021 7:54:20 AM EDT
[#20]
This storm isn't even worthy of talking about honestly. It could cause some flooding but, that happens every day down here.
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Posted: 7/3/2021 7:56:08 AM EDT
[#21]
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Posted: 7/3/2021 7:58:38 AM EDT
[#22]
Is just showing very possible path really a prediction?
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Posted: 7/3/2021 9:30:19 AM EDT
[#23]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Is just showing very possible path really a prediction? Those are all the different models which show "reasonable" agreement. still would not make major decisions based upon a possible impact three days out. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 9:33:29 AM EDT
[#24]
Quote HistoryQuoted: This storm isn't even worthy of talking about honestly. It could cause some flooding but, that happens every day down here. It floods every day? That must suck. The current prediction does show it being a tropical storm when it passes over Florida but even the system level can change for the better or worse. Monitor the status as it approaches and prepare accordingly. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 10:16:33 AM EDT
[#25]
Quote HistoryThe black line in the Euro model goes directly over my house. Better get more beer today. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 10:20:51 AM EDT
[#26]
I don't even see any real rotation now.
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Posted: 7/3/2021 10:39:23 AM EDT
[#27]
Quote HistoryQuoted: This storm isn't even worthy of talking about honestly. It could cause some flooding but, that happens every day down here. Reading these threads, I can tell Florida from the rest of the country.  We speak from experience. They repeat what they hear from the TV. Not knocking watching TV, but the News, well, they want to sensationalize things. I sat at home during Charlie and it was a strong 3, maybe 4 when it hit. That was kinda dumb looking back, but, it was fine. Power was out about a day. Now Irma was different. I still stayed home, but it went straight up the gut. So nowhere to run. Power was out for 7-ish days. A TROPICAL STORM? It is a lot of rain. Now it may wash the footing from under a couple of 15 story condos (too soon?), but the rest of us will be fine. Maybe some flooding, but nothing worth getting worked up about. 15-20 years ago, Publix would stay open right up to an hour or so of the storm. They opened up as soon as it passed. Now, well, we know how our society has changed. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 10:44:48 AM EDT
[#28]
I'll believe those models when me shit turns purple and smells like rainbow sherbet
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Posted: 7/3/2021 10:48:34 AM EDT
[#29]
Just downgraded..
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Posted: 7/3/2021 10:51:05 AM EDT
[#30]
Meh.
It will get shredded by Cuba. Better get more beer anyways. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 10:51:37 AM EDT
[#31]
A hurricane is not a "slap around" until it gets to Cat III or more. Cat Is and IIs are nothing more prolonged afternoon thunderstorms here in Florida.
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Posted: 7/3/2021 10:53:49 AM EDT
[#32]
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Posted: 7/3/2021 10:53:52 AM EDT
[#33]
Looks like projected winds and rain amounts at my house in the Keys is less than what I got this week in Ohio.
I don’t know the big deal about tropical storms. We call them thunder storms up north… |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 10:57:56 AM EDT
[#34]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Reading these threads, I can tell Florida from the rest of the country. We speak from experience. They repeat what they hear from the TV. Not knocking watching TV, but the News, well, they want to sensationalize things. I sat at home during Charlie and it was a strong 3, maybe 4 when it hit. That was kinda dumb looking back, but, it was fine. Power was out about a day. Now Irma was different. I still stayed home, but it went straight up the gut. So nowhere to run. Power was out for 7-ish days. A TROPICAL STORM? It is a lot of rain. Now it may wash the footing from under a couple of 15 story condos (too soon?), but the rest of us will be fine. Maybe some flooding, but nothing worth getting worked up about. 15-20 years ago, Publix would stay open right up to an hour or so of the storm. They opened up as soon as it passed. Now, well, we know how our society has changed. Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: This storm isn't even worthy of talking about honestly. It could cause some flooding but, that happens every day down here. Reading these threads, I can tell Florida from the rest of the country. We speak from experience. They repeat what they hear from the TV. Not knocking watching TV, but the News, well, they want to sensationalize things. I sat at home during Charlie and it was a strong 3, maybe 4 when it hit. That was kinda dumb looking back, but, it was fine. Power was out about a day. Now Irma was different. I still stayed home, but it went straight up the gut. So nowhere to run. Power was out for 7-ish days. A TROPICAL STORM? It is a lot of rain. Now it may wash the footing from under a couple of 15 story condos (too soon?), but the rest of us will be fine. Maybe some flooding, but nothing worth getting worked up about. 15-20 years ago, Publix would stay open right up to an hour or so of the storm. They opened up as soon as it passed. Now, well, we know how our society has changed. It used to be the major damage was physical destruction. Now, its that plus the flooding. 
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:01:48 AM EDT
[#35]
Quote HistoryQuoted: The black line in the Euro model goes directly over my house. Better get more beer today. Came here to say this |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:07:11 AM EDT
[#36]
I'm supposed to be in the keys all next week. Looks like I will be light on the sunscreen and heavy on the rum.
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:07:40 AM EDT
[#37]
This storm won’t be a Hurricane when it hits Florida just a tropical storm. It will just be a windy, rainy day.
I know the lack of concern seems weird to people outside of Florida, but after you go through a storm or two you realize that the news really over hypes every storm system and that most them amount to a rainy day. The only part of the hurricane to really watch out for is the eye. If the storm gets to a cat 3 or higher and the eye is coming for you then you should be concerned. Especially if you live on the coast because there can be flooding caused by storm surge. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:08:34 AM EDT
[#38]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Hope it gets diminished some by going over the islands and comes north right over the state and pisses out. Worse case it goes out over the warm waters of the gulf and strengthens into a real SOB. Getting gas, bread and beer tomorrow morning after F-1 qualifying just in case. I'm hoping this one is a nothingburger. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:09:59 AM EDT
[#39]
oh teh noes!
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:10:56 AM EDT
[#40]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Shill showing as downgrading to a TS around Jamaica. https://www.ar15.com/media/mediaFiles/153820/Screenshot_20210703-064210_MyRadar-1999986.jpg I got a notice on my phone about 15 minutes ago that it had been downgraded to a TS. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:40:53 AM EDT
[#41]
Quote HistoryQuoted: It used to be the major damage was physical destruction. Now, its that plus the flooding. https://jitneybooks.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/brickell-flooding-post.jpg Quote HistoryQuoted: Quoted: Quoted: This storm isn't even worthy of talking about honestly. It could cause some flooding but, that happens every day down here. Reading these threads, I can tell Florida from the rest of the country. We speak from experience. They repeat what they hear from the TV. Not knocking watching TV, but the News, well, they want to sensationalize things. I sat at home during Charlie and it was a strong 3, maybe 4 when it hit. That was kinda dumb looking back, but, it was fine. Power was out about a day. Now Irma was different. I still stayed home, but it went straight up the gut. So nowhere to run. Power was out for 7-ish days. A TROPICAL STORM? It is a lot of rain. Now it may wash the footing from under a couple of 15 story condos (too soon?), but the rest of us will be fine. Maybe some flooding, but nothing worth getting worked up about. 15-20 years ago, Publix would stay open right up to an hour or so of the storm. They opened up as soon as it passed. Now, well, we know how our society has changed. It used to be the major damage was physical destruction. Now, its that plus the flooding. https://jitneybooks.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/brickell-flooding-post.jpg Anything’s a Dildo “Expert Level” |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:44:08 AM EDT
[#42]
This again.......
Transplants are colossal p&@&ies, it's pathetic. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:45:56 AM EDT
[#43]
Quote HistoryMOTHERFUCKIN’ FRENCH TOAST FOR WEEKS!!!! |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:46:21 AM EDT
[#44]
Quote HistoryQuoted: This again....... Transplants are colossal p&@&ies, it's pathetic. Yeah, but they drive some colossal sales dollars for me stocking up on booze.... |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:48:35 AM EDT
[#45]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Yeah, but they drive some colossal sales dollars for me stocking up on booze....  Good on you sir
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:49:36 AM EDT
[#46]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Just let it go already I, too, have young children and so immediately had this come to mind. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:51:46 AM EDT
[#47]
It's not like extra cases of beer are gonna go bad.....
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Posted: 7/3/2021 11:57:14 AM EDT
[#48]
Quote HistoryQuoted: It floods every day? That must suck. The current prediction does show it being a tropical storm when it passes over Florida but even the system level can change for the better or worse. Monitor the status as it approaches and prepare accordingly. The problem is most of the country sees “hurricane” and freaks the fuck out. Floridians see that it isn’t a Cat 3 or above and don’t give a shit. A Cat 1 or 2 only fucks up pizza delivery for half a day and I have to get it myself. I’ve sat on a covered back porch with friends and drank for 16 hours during a tropical storm. I’ve had people from all over the country message me and tell me I needed to flee the state, my house is going to get wrecked and we’re all gonna die. The electricity went off for less than 3 seconds and I had to spend about 2 hours cleaning up the yard. My four palmetto trees hadn’t been cleaned out in a few years, so I had a pile of shit twice as big as my truck to clean up. We get really tired of the panic from the rest of the country. |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 12:03:02 PM EDT
[#49]
Quote HistoryQuoted: Just let it go already YOU CAN'T HOLD ME BACK ANYMORE!!!! |
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Posted: 7/3/2021 12:04:02 PM EDT
[#50]
Let the storm rage on.....hurricanes never bothered me anyway
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